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Executive summary
Historical data of the countrys:
Argentinas economy benefits from the rich natural resources in their land, as well
as the highly literate population, their focus in export-oriented agricultural sector
and the rich and diversified industries. Argentina was one considered to be one of
the worlds wealthiest countries 100 years ago; Argentina has struggled in the past
with the economic problems such as inflation, capital flight, external debt, and
budget deficits. (country watch) The economic started to worsen in 2001 when
there were massive withdrawals from the banks, the widening of spreads on
Argentine bonds, and the decline of confidence of consumers and investors.
Inflation increased through the years and many political figures including President
Kirchner opted to retrain prices on business and export taxes after understanding
the inflation data. There has been many attempts and effort from the Argentinian
government to decrease their deficit and stabilize the banking system. After the
worldwide recession in 2009 the government got control of the internal economy
and starting building up to reduce inflation through political, fiscal and monetary
policies. The gross domestic product (GDP) of Argentina in 2011 was worth 445.99
billion US dollars. The GDP value of Argentina represents a 0.72% of the world
economy. The GPD is divided in three main sectors; agriculture represents 10.7%,
industry 31.1%, and services 58.2%. (CIA)
The medium-term growth outlook remains weak, with the high rates of GDP growth that Argentina has recorded in
the past two years on the back of expansionary macroeconomic policies expected to give way to an annual average
growth rate of just 3.4% in 2012-16, as economic distortions deter investment .The short-term growth outlook is
even worse, reflecting the impact of increasingly heterodox and interventionist economic policies, including
nationalization and foreign exchange controls, on consumer and business sentiment. Most available indicators (for
construction, industrial production, and consumer and business confidence) suggest that the economy contracted in
the second quarter of2012 on a sequential basis, as continued tightening of controls and persistent speculation over
peso devaluation
produced confidence shocks. Our previous expectation, moreover, of a fairly strong pick-up in growth in the second
half of 2012 now appears optimistic, as although the outlook for Brazil (a key trade partner) should improve on the
back of sustained stimulus measures there, domestic investment seems likely to remain subdued by uncertainty over
prices; utility tariffs; import, foreign exchange and capital controls; and the legal and regulatory environment
(for thefull year, we now expect a contraction in fixed investment of 5.7%).(Country Report, Argentina)
The government will remain reluctant to take the difficult steps needed to tackle the inflation problem. Even
according to official data, consumer price inflation remains among the highest in emerging markets, at 9.9%
in May. However, with the government mostly relying on ad hoc agreements at the firm level to try to control
prices, fiscal policy remaining expansionary, nominal peso depreciation set to accelerate, and newly imposed
import controls hindering access to cheap consumer goods, inflationary pressures will remain high.
Meanwhile, the difficulty of gauging the real rate of inflation is likely to remain a major source of concern