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INFLATION ANALYSIS AND PRICE SITUATION

2063 SHRAWAN (MID-AUGUST 2006)


(Special Issue on Petroleum Products Price)

NEPAL RASTRA BANK


RESEARCH DEPARTMENT

PRICE DIVISION
BALUWATAR, KATHMANDU
Phone/Fax: 977-1-4411782
Email : pricediv@nrb.org.np
www.nrb.org.np

CONTENTS
1.
2.

3.

4.

Inflation Projection for 2063/64 (2006/07) in Nepal


Price Situation - Mid-August, 2006
*
Consumer Price
*
Wholesale Price
*
Salary and Wage rate
Boxes:
1.
Inflation Analysis: Global Scenerio
2.
Central Bank Responses to Inflationary Shock
3.
World Petroleum Produc;tion: Demand & Supply
4.
Petroleum Product Pricing in Nepal
5.
Current Financial Situation of Nepal Oil Corporation
Tables:

*
*
*

*
*

Consumer Price Index (CPI)


Wholesale Price Index (WPI)
Salary and Wage Rate Index (SWRI)
Average Retail Prices of Selected Commodities in Border Markets
Weekly Average Retail Prices of Some Essential Commodities

INFLATION AND PRICE SITUATION : AT A GLANCE

World Inflation
Inflation in India
Inflation in Nepal

CPI (Mid-August)
Y-O-Y Change in CPI
M-O-M Change in CPI
Food and Beverages Group
Index
Y-O-Y Change
M-O-M Change
Non Food and Serveses Group
Index
Y-O-Y Change
M-O-M Change

WPI(Mid-August)
Index
Y-O-Y Change
M-O-M Change
SWRI(Mid-August)
Index
Y-O-Y Change
M-O-M Change

* Projected.

2005/06

2006/07*

3.8
4.4
8.0

3.2
5.0-5.5
6.0

170.7
7.3
2.3

182.4
6.9
1.0

165.0
6.6
2.9

175.0
6.1
1.2

177.2
8.0
1.6

191.0
7.8
0.7

133.5
9.3
2.8

142.4
6.7
1.8

101.9
1.9
1.9

109.3
7.3
2.9

INFLATION ANALYSIS AND PRICE SITUATION

Annual Inflation
10

8.0
8

Percent

6.0
4.8

4.5
4.0
4

2.9

0
2001/02

2002/03

2003/04

2004/05

2005/06

2006/07*

Year

NCPI

* Projected for FY 2006/07

1. Inflation Projection for 2063/64 (2006/07)


A major objective of Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) is to
maintain price stability. Accordingly, NRB makes
inflation rate projection in the announcement of annual
monetary policy and attempts to control the estimated
level of inflation during the period. The average
annual inflation rate projected for the fiscal year
2063/64 is 6.0 percent. While projecting the inflation
for the current FY 2063/64, it is assumed that the rate
may move upward due to the probable unexpected rise
in prices of petroleum products to 9.0 percent. There are
some major assumptions of the projections:
lagged effect of hike in petroleum prices of February
2006.
Favorable weather condition for the production of
grains and cereal articles
Indian inflation would remain within the range of 5.05.5 percent as estimated by RBI for FY 2006/07.
2. Price Situation
Consumer Price
(a) Overall Index

Y-O-Y CPI Inflation

Percent

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Overall

Food and Beverages

Non-food and Services

Group
Mid-August 2005

Mid-August 2006

Indices of Food and Beverages Group


250

Index

200

150

100

50

0
M i d-A ugus t 2005

M i d-A ugus t 2006

Months
Overall
Vegetables and Fruits
Milk and Milk Products
Beverages

Grains and Cereal Products


Spices
Oil and Ghee
Restaurant Meals

The year on year (y-o-y) consumer price inflation


increased by 6.9 percent in mid-August 2006
compared to an increase of 7.3 percent in the
corresponding period of the previous year. The passthrough effect of two times rise in the prices of
petroleum products in 2005/06 as well as an increase in
the prices of transportation fare in the same period
together with a sharp rise in the prices of pulses mainly
accounted for consumer price inflation of 6.9 percent in
the review period. On the other hand, a comparatively
low rise in the prices of grains and cereal products eased
inflation relative to that of the previous year.
(b) Food and Beverages Group
In the review period, the y-o-y index of food and
beverages group surged up by 6.1 percent compared
to an increase of 6.6 percent in the corresponding
period last year. Despite a marginal rise in the prices
of grains and cereal products, a sharp increase in the
prices of spices and pulses pushed up the index of this
group. The indices of pulses (23.6 percent), spices (10.5
percent), grains and cereal products (7.4 percent), milk
and milk products (6.2 percent), meat, fish and eggs (5.2
percent), beverages (4.8 percent), vegetables and fruits
(4.3 percent), sugar and related products (3.5 percent),
restaurant meals (2.4 percent) and oil and ghee (1.0
percent) all increased in the review period.

Box 1: Inflation Analysis: Global Scenario


On the eve of the FY 2006/07 (mid-July, 2006) headline inflation in several countries firmed up in response to sustained
pressures from record high international crude oil prices. Many central banks, thus, tightened their monetary policies to
contain inflation and inflationary expectations. In Nepal, NRB also announced slightly tightened Monetary Policy for FY
2006/07 with projecting annual average rate of inflation to be 6.0 percent. However, the policy recognized the fact that
the projection might be about 3.0 percentage point higher if the Government of Nepal revised upward the prices of
petroleum products.
In the first month of the FY 2006/07 (mid-July 2006 - mid-Aug. 2006), headline inflation in Nepal as measured by
National Urban Consumer Price Index (NUCPI) stood at 6.9 percent. Along with higher oil prices, primary food articles
(rice & rice products, pulses etc.) and transportation fares also posed upward pressure in inflation.
Global Inflation: Some numbers
Headline inflation moved up around the globe with the increase in international crude oil price. Inflation edged up sharply
in major advanced economies in June 2006 with the oil price reaching a new high of over $ 75 a barrel.
On y-o-y basis, U.S. inflation in June 2006 reached to 4.3 percent and 2.5 percent each in Euro area and U.K. The
inflation rate for some selected developed & developing economics for May 2006 and May 2005 are shown in Table.
Developed Economies
Australia
Canada
Euro Area
Japan
U.K.
U.S.
Developing Economies
Brazil
India
Indonesia
Israel
Korea
Philippines
South Africa
Thailand
Nepal

CPI Inflation
2005 May
2.4
1.6
2.1
0.2
2.0
2.5
7.3
3.7
7.4
0.2
2.7
7.6
3.3
3.8
7.3**

2006 May
3.0
2.8
2.5*
0.6
2.5*
4.3*
4.0*
6.3
15.5*
3.5
2.6*
6.7
3.9
5.9*
6.9**

* Data for June 2006 ** Data for mid-August.


Note: Indian data on inflation pertain to CPI for industrial workers.
Source: IMF, websites of various central banks, The Economist and the OECD.

Indices of Non-food and Services group


300
250

150
100
50

Commodities
Mid-August 2005

Mid-August 2006

Tobacco and
Related
Products

Education,
Reading and
Recreation

Medical and
Personal Care

Transport and
Communication

Housing Goods
and Services

Footwear

Cloth, Clothing
& Sewing
Services

0
Overall

Index

200

(c) Non-food and Services Group


The index of non-food and services group increased
by 7.8 percent compared to an increase of 8.0
percent in the same period last year. The pass through
effect of rise in the prices of petroleum products two
times in 2005/06 as well as the lagged effect of in the
prices of transportation fare in February 2006,
accounted for the rise in the price index of this group.
The indices of transport and communication (17.9
percent), housing goods and services (14.4 percent),
tobacco and related products (6.5 percent), footwear
(2.8 percent), medical and personal care (2.5 percent),
cloth, clothing and sewing services (1.7 percent) and
education, reading and recreation (0.7 percent) all
increased in the review period.

(d) Regional Indices


Region-wise, the price indices of Terai increased by
higher rate of 7.5 percent followed by Hills at 6.8
percent and the Kathmandu Valley at 5.9 percent. In the
corresponding period of the previous year, the indices of
Hills had increased at the higher rate of 8.7 percent,
followed by Terai at 7.4 percent and the Kathmandu
Valley at a lower rate of 6.1 percent.

Regionw ise Consum er Price Indices


190
180
170
160
150
Overall

Kathmandu

Terai

Hills

Region

Mid-August 2005

Mid-August 2006

(e) Core CPI inflation


The y-o-y core inflation increased by 4.6 percent in
mid-August 2006 compared to an increase of 4.5
percent a year ago.

Box 2: Central Bank Responses to Inflationary Shock


Many central banks around the world tighten monetary policy to contain inflation & inflationary expectation especially
in view of possible pass-through of previous increase in oil prices. In an open economy, central bank responded the
shocks by adjusting policy interest rates.
U.S. Federal Reserve raised Fed fund rate by 25 basis points in May 2006 and 25 basis point in June 2006 to 5.25
percent. Thus, Fed fund rate increased by 425 basis points since the tightening began in June 2004.
In Euro area, European Central Bank raised key policy rate by 25 basis points in June 2006, a total increase of 75
basis points since December 2005.
Reserve Bank of Australia also raised policy interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.75 percent in response to strong
economic activity & underlying inflationary pressures.
In U.K., on the other hand, Bank of England after cutting its policy rate by 25 basis point on August 4, 2005 has
kept unchanged since then.
In Japan, y-o-y consumer price inflation has turned positive since January 2006. Accordingly, Bank of Japan on
July 14, 2006 decided to increase the un collateralized overnight leading rate by 25 basis points after maintaining
zero interest rates for an extended period.
In Thailand, Bank of Thailand raised policy rates by 25 basis points each in April and June 2006 to 5.0 percent a
total hike of 275 basis points since March end 2005.
Bank of Korea raised the policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.25 percent in June 2006, total of 100 basis points since
October 2005.
The Bank of Indonesia, which had raised policy rates by 425 basis points during July - December 2005, cut the rate
by 25 basis points each in May and July 2006 to 12.25 percent to support growth.
In Nepal, the monetary policy announced in July, 2006 also hike up the bank rate by 25 basis points to 6.25
percent.
Source: IMF, websites of various central banks, The Economist and the OECD.

(f) M-O-M CPI Inflation

M-O-M CPI Inflation

Percent

4
3
2
1
0
Overall

Food and Beverages

Non-food and Services

The overall price index in Mid-August, 2006


increased by 1.0 percent compare to that of mid-July
2006. During the review month, the indices of food and
beverages and non-food and services group increased by
1.2 percent and 0.7 percent, respectively. The indices of
Terai and Hills increased by 1.0 percent each and
Kathmandu valley increased by 0.9 percent.

Groups
Mid-July 2006

Mid-August 2006

Wholesale Price
National Wholesale Price Index

(a) Overall Index

(1999/00=100)

200

Index

150

133.5

152.8

142.4

134.2

140.2
123.7

138.9

132.6

100
50
0
Overall Index

Agricultural Commodities Domestic Manufactured


Commodities

Imported commodities

Groups
Mid-August 2005

Mid-August 2006

(b) Agricultural Commodities

Sub-group Indices of Agricultural Commodities


200.0

Index

160.0
120.0
80.0
40.0
Spices

Livestock
Production

Commodities

Fruits
and
Vegetables

Pulses

Cash
Crops

Foodgrains

Overall

0.0

Mid-August 2005

The y-o-y wholesale price inflation increased by 6.7


percent in mid-August 2006 compared to an increase
of 9.3 percent in the corresponding period of the
previous year. Despite a decline in the prices of fruits
and vegetables in the review period, a lagged effect of
upward price revision in petroleum products in February
last fiscal year and sharp rise in prices of pulses, spices,
cash crops and construction materials pushed the
wholesale price index up.

Mid-August 2006

In the review period, the index of agricultural


commodities increased by a lower rate of 4.5 percent
compared to the growth of 9.9 percent during the
corresponding period last year. Such growth is mainly
attributable to the rise in the prices of food-grains, cash
crops as well as pulses livestock. The indices of pulses
(20.6 percent), spices (13.4 percent), cash crops (11.9
percent), food-grains (9.0 percent) and livestock
production (5.1 percent) increased respectively whereas
the index of fruits and vegetables (12.6 percent)
declined sharply in the review period.

Box 3: World Petroleum Production: Demand & Supply


In 2003, USA, Britain and their allies launched an attack on Iraq. This conflict led to cut down the global oil production resulting to increase
the gap between production and supply of petroleum products. Since then, the global oil price tended to increase steadily upward to mark
the unpredicted high of U.S.$ 75 per barrel in June 2006. However, the prices of oil products declined and it presently stands around $ 58
per barrel. The volatility of the global oil prices have multiple effect in the world economy as well as Nepalese economy especially in
driving up inflation and inflationary expectation.

Table 1: World Petroleum Production, Demand & Supply, 1995-2005


Year
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005

Production
1
26004
26461
27710
28774
27579
29267
28344
26352
27822
29924
31155

Demand
2
69984
71539
73293
73945
75596
76619
77406
78082
79742
82453
83987

Supply
3
70314
71960
74185
75679
74879
77793
77717
76957
79565
83005
84411

1
% change
2
5
4
-4
6
-3
-7
6
8
4

(Thousand Barrels per Day)


2
3
% change
% change
2
2
2
3
1
2
2
-1
1
4
1
0
1
-1
2
3
3
4
2
2

Source: Energy Information Administration, Official energy statistics for the US government.

The table 1 shows the aggregate production, demand and supply of the world petroleum based on the data from 1995 to 2005. In 1999, the
production and supply of oil prices both declined by 4.0 percent and 1.0 percent respectively. The same trend appeared in 2002 and both
declined by 7.0 percent and 1.0 percent respectively, whereas in 2001, the production declined by 3.0 percent and supply stood at par of the
previous year. However, for remaining years, the production increased at a higher level and supply followed it at a lower rate. During the
period, demand rose marginally in all of the years but the production and supply showed a fluctuating trend. The fluctuation in the
production market had affected the supply side, consequently, supply pushed market price tended to change periodically and the trend of
fluctuation hit on the oil prices as demand was persistently increased.
contd..

Table 2: World Supply Demand Balance of Oil (Millions barrel per day)
Item
1
Demand
OECD
Non-OECD
China
Total
Supply
Non-OPEC
OPEC
Total

2003
2

2004
3

2005
4

2006P
5

Q1

2006P
Q2
Q3

Q4

48.7
31.2
5.6
79.9

49.5
33.0
6.5
82.5

49.6
34.4
6.9
84.0

49.9
35.6
7.4
85.6

50.2
35.1
7.2
85.3

48.8
35.2
7.3
84.0

49.9
35.4
7.4
85.4

50.8
36.8
7.6
87.6

48.9
30.7
79.6

50.1
32.9
83.1

50.1
33.9
84.0

50.9
34.1
85.0

50.7
33.7
84.4

50.4
33.5
83.9

51.0
34.5
85.5

51.6
34.7
86.3

0.3

-0.6

-0.1

0.5

0.9

0.1

-0.1

1.3

Stock changes

Source: Energy Information Administration, Official energy statistics for the US government.
P : Projections

With limited surplus global crude oil production capacity and the U.S. oil production and refining industries still to recover fully, oil prices
are expected to remain firm in the near future (Table 2). The Energy Information Administration (EIA) of the US, therefore, expects WTI
prices to average US $ 69.1 per barrel in calendar year 2006, an increase of about 22 percent over the price prevailing in 2005 (US $ 56.5
per barrel).

Table 3: The US and Brent Petroleum, 1995 - 2005


Year

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
US Price/barrel
18.40
22.03
20.61
14.40
19.30
30.26
25.95
26.15
Brent Price/barrel
17.02
20.67
19.09
12.72
17.97
28.50
24.44
25.02
US % change
19.7
-6.4
-30.1
34.0
56.8
-14.2
0.8
Brent % change
21.5
-7.6
-33.4
41.3
58.6
-14.2
2.4
Nepal % change*
7.8
-1.4
-14.8
15.9
25.8
-11.7
15.6
Source: Energy Information Administration, Official energy statistics for the US government.
*: Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department, Price Division.

2003
30.99
28.83
18.5
15.2
8.5

2004
41.47
38.27
33.8
32.7
20.3

2005
56.70
54.52
36.7
42.5
31.1

Table 3 presents the data of US and Brent Oil prices. Brent is the oil-distributing hub in Europe. The table shows that Brent price is lower
than that of the US market price. During 1995 to 2005, it is observed that the oil prices had dramatically fluctuated. In Brent, the price rose
unexpectedly to $54.52 in 2005 from $17.02 per barrel in 1995 level. Similarly in US market, for the same period, the price of petroleum
products stood at $56.70 and $18.40 per barrel respectively. During this decade the Brent and U.S. price rose 321.50 percent and 308.15
percent respectively.

Figure 1. Price Trend of Oil Products


( On an annual average basis)

70
60
50
40
Percent

30
20
10
0
-10

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

-20
-30
-40

Year
Brent

Nepal

Figure I shows that Brent oil prices increased by 21.5 percent in 1996. Since then, declining trend in global prices reached to -33.4 percent
in 1998 possibly due to crisis in South East Asian economies. The prices again moved up to a increase of 58.6 percent in 2000. However it
declined by 14.2 percent in 2001. After 2002 to 2005, the prices increased widely and reached to 42.5 percent level in 2005. Nepalese oil
prices followed the trend of Brent prices during the period. However, since 2003 to date, the Nepalese oil prices stood at below the level of
Brent oil prices.

(c)

S ub - g r o up I nd i ces o f D o mest ic M anuf act ur ed


C o mmo d i t i es

In the review period, the index of this group


increased by a higher rate of 7.2 percent due to the
rise in price of construction materials compared to a
rise of 4.0 percent during the same period of the
preceding year. The indices of construction materials
(12.9 percent), beverages and tobacco (6.4 percent),
food-related products (5.6 percent) and others (2.8
percent) all increased in the review period.

200
160
120
80
40
0
Over all

Food-

Bever ages

Relat ed

and Tobacco

Const ruct ion

Ot her s

Mat erials

Product s

C o mmo d it i es

Mid-August 2005

Domestic Manufactured Commodities

Mid-August 2006

Box 4: Petroleum Product Pricing in Nepal


Price of petroleum products are fixed by the Government of Nepal (GoN). So, this product is classified as government controlled goods in
CPI. Nepal Oil Corporation, a government undertaking, is a sole authority to import and supply all articles of oil products and it imports
and distributes the products to private petroleum dealers. The dealers then determine their retail prices for ultimate consumers.

Table 4: Periodic Price Trend of Petroleum Products in Nepal(Per Ltr / NRs.)(1994-2006)


FY

Effective Date

1994/95

27 Dec 94

29.00

0.0

12.00

0.0

8.50

-5.6

1995/96

04 Apr 96

31.00

6.9

13.50

12.5

9.50

11.8

305.00

11 Jul 96

34.00

9.7

14.00

3.7

9.50

0.0

380.00

24.6

13 Jun 97

39.00

14.7

17.50

25.0

11.00

15.8

380.00

24.6

25 Jun 97

39.00

0.0

15.50

-11.4

10.50

-4.5

495.00

30.3

39.00

0.0

15.50

0.0

10.50

0.0

465.00

22.4

17 Jul 98
16 Jan 99

40.00
40.00

2.6
0.0

16.50
15.50

6.5
-6.1

10.50
10.50

0.0
0.0

465.00
465.00

0.0
0.0

1999/00

27 Oct 99

40.00

0.0

23.00

48.4

13.00

23.8

465.00

0.0

2000/01

14-Oct-00
16-Nov-00

47.00
47.00

17.5
0.0

27.50
27.50

19.6
0.0

26.00
22.00

100.0
-15.4

550.00
550.00

18.3
0.0
0.0

1996/97

1997/98
1998/99

Petrol

% Change

Diesel

% Change

Kerosene

% Change LPG Per Clnd % Change

17-Jan-01

46.00

-2.1

26.50

-3.6

17.00

-22.7

550.00

2001/02

02 Jan 02

46.00

0.0

26.50

0.0

17.00

0.0

550.00

0.0

2002/03

23-Nov-02

52.00

13.0

26.50

0.0

17.00

0.0

650.00

18.2

26-Mar-03

56.00

7.7

35.50

34.0

28.00

64.7

700.00

7.7

20-Apr-03

56.00

0.0

33.50

-5.6

27.00

-3.6

700.00

0.0

2003/04

03 Jul 04

54.00

-3.6

31.00

-7.5

24.00

-11.1

700.00

0.0

2004/05

12 Aug 04

56.00

3.7

31.00

0.0

24.00

0.0

725.00

3.6

18 Sep 04

56.00

0.0

35.00

12.9

28.00

16.7

750.00

3.4

10 Jan 05

62.00

10.7

41.00

17.1

36.00

28.6

850.00

13.3

12 Feb 05

62.00

0.0

41.00

0.0

34.00

-5.6

800.00

-5.9

21 Jun 05

62.00

0.0

41.00

0.0

34.00

0.0

900.00

12.5

19 Aug 05

67.00

8.1

46.00

12.2

39.00

14.7

900.00

0.0

18 Feb 06

67.00

0.0

52.50

14.1

47.71

22.3

900.00

0.0

2005/06

Source: Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department, Price Division.


In FY 1995/96, the prices of petroleum products viz. petrol, diesel, kerosene and LPG were registered Rs. 31, Rs. 13.50, Rs. 9.50, Rs.
305, respectively. During a decade, the prices of these products were increased more than double and recorded to Rs. 67, Rs. 52.50, Rs.
47.70 and Rs. 900, respectively. In review period, the prices was revised 23 times and the mounting prices affected the overall economy.

Contd..

The Tenth Plan (2002-2007) has the program to strengthen the management capacity of NOC, as well as to introduce measures for
reducing leakages. The Plan also ensured about the private sector participation in the activities of NOC. It is expected that the effective
implementation of these plans and policies would streamline continuous supplies of petroleum products and enable NOC to become
financially viable.

Table 5 : Prices of Petroleum Products in Nepal (In US$)


Exchange Rate

FY

%
Change

Petrol

with USD/ 1 NPR*

Diesel

%
Change

Kerosene

0.43

%
Change

LP Gas
( Per Clnd)

%
Change

1986

17.60

0.62

1987

21.10

0.55

-11.49

0.36

-16.59

0.33
0.27

-16.59

1988

21.80

0.59

7.95

0.34

-3.21

0.26

-3.21

1989

23.50

0.55

-7.23

0.32

-7.23

0.24

-7.23

1990

27.40

0.69

26.32

0.33

4.06

0.25

2.92

1991

29.10

0.67

-3.36

0.31

-5.32

0.25

0.30

1992

42.70

0.59

-12.63

0.23

-25.52

0.19

-25.82

1993

42.60

0.64

9.59

0.26

9.42

0.21

12.76

1994

49.00

0.59

-7.76

0.24

-4.43

0.19

-9.44

1995

49.11

0.59

-0.22

0.24

-0.22

0.17

-9.54

1996

50.45

0.64

9.09

0.27

11.54

0.19

8.80

6.79

1997

56.25

0.69

7.63

0.29

7.63

0.19

1.49

7.78

1998

56.75

0.69

-0.88

0.27

-6.89

0.19

-3.19

8.19

5.35

1999

67.60

0.59

-13.90

0.24

-13.34

0.16

-16.05

6.88

-16.05

2000

68.15

0.59

-0.81

0.34

42.59

0.19

22.81

6.82

-0.81

2001

70.40

0.66

12.94

0.39

14.34

0.31

61.34

7.81

14.50

2002

74.65

0.62

-7.04

0.35

-8.01

0.23

-26.01

7.37

-5.69

2003

78.00

0.68

9.85

0.39

10.51

0.29

27.23

8.46

14.85

2004

74.75

0.72

6.72

0.41

5.71

0.32

10.81

9.36

10.67

2005

74.14

0.80

11.28

0.51

22.94

0.42

31.07

10.86

15.95

2006

70.35

0.96

19.80

0.71

39.40

0.62

47.44

12.79

17.82

14.57

* : Source : Nepal Rastra Bank (Year end basis)

The table 5 presents the annual average of retail prices of the different oil products in Nepal in US dollar terms. The table further shows
that rate of price changes in petrol, diesel and kerosene is higher compared to that of LP Gas. In FY 2006, prices of petrol, diesel and
kerosene increased by 19.80 percent, 39.40 percent and 47.44 percent respectively. However, the price of LPG increased only by 17.82
subsidizing percent. The Government of Nepal still subsidizes on LPG and kerosene prices.
Nepal imports all oil products from Indian Oil Corporation. So, Nepalese and Indian petroleum prices have similar trend in the market.
The following table and diagram shows the price trend of petroleum products in Nepal and India.

Table 6 : Percent Price Change in Petroleum Products (Nepal and India)


Period April 2001 January 2002 January 2003 January 2004 January 2005 January 2006
Nepal

35.4

-9.5

4.3

20.7

11.1

30.1

India

43.5

-5.4

24.2

13.7

18.1

36.9

Source : Nepal Rastra Bank.


Figure 2 : Price Trend of Petroleum Products*
50
43.5

40
36.9

35.4

30

30.1

Percent

24.2

20

20.7

10

13.7

18.1
11.1

4.3
-5.4

0
01.04.'01
-10

01.01.'02

01.01'03

-9.5

01.01.'04

01.01.'05

Period

-20

Nepal

India

01.01.'06

Figure 2 shows the similar trend of Nepalese


and Indian oil price movement with Brent oil
prices, in 2001. The prices in Nepal and India
increased by 35.4 percent and 43.5 percent
respectively.
In 2002 the prices in both
countries declined by 9.5 percent and 5.4
percent respectively. In 2003 Nepalese oil
prices increased by only 4.3 percent and Indian
prices sharply increased by 24.2 percent. In
2004, the increase in the Nepalese oil prices is
higher than that of Indian prices. However, in
2005 and 2006, the level of price increase was
below to Indian prices.

(d)
Sub-group Indices of Imported Commodities

In the review period, the index of this group


increased by 10.0 percent compared to an increase of
11.7 percent during the corresponding period in the
previous year. The pass through impact of the revised
prices of petroleum products two times in the review
year affected the index of petroleum products and coal
that exerted an upward pressure on the index of this
group. The price index of petroleum products and coal
(24.2 percent), others (10.6 percent), chemical fertilizers
and chemical goods (6.1 percent), transport vehicles and
machinery goods (2.0 percent) and textile and related
products(0.5 percent) increased in the review period. In
contrast, the price indices of electric and electronic
goods and drugs and medicine declined by 1.5 percent
and 0.2 percent respectively.

320
280

Index

240
200
160
120
80
40
0

Overall

Petroleum
Products
and Coal

Chemical
Fertilizers
and
Chemical
Goods

Transport
Vehicles
and
Machinery
Goods

Drugs and
Medicine

Electric
and
Electronic
Goods

TextileRelated
Products

Others

Commodities
Mid-August 2005

Imported Commodities

Mid-August 2006

(f) M-O-M WPI Inflation

M-O-M WPI Inflation

The overall wholesale price index on m-o-m basis in


mid-August, 2006 increased by 1.8 percent compare
to that of mid-July 2006. During the review month,
the indices of agricultural, domestic manufactured and
imported commodities group increased by 2.0 percent,
2.6 percent and 1.1 percent, respectively.

6
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1

Over al l

A g r i cul t ur al
Lab o ur er

I nd ust r i al
Lab o ur er

C o nst r uct io n
Lab o ur er

-2
Gr ou p

M id-July 2006

M id-A ugust 2006

Box 5: Current Financial Situation of Nepal Oil Corporation


Nepal Oil Corporation, the only state owned importer and distributor of oil products in Nepal is facing financial crisis. Its monthly operating
loss reached to Rs. 3.12 crores and the cumulative loss is accounted Rs.1419.82 crores on November 2006.

Table 7: NOC's Monthly Profit/Loss Calculation as at November 2006


NOC's Profit/Loss Position (Prices are W/O VAT)

Petrol

Aviation Fuel

Diesel

LP Gas

Estimated Import/Sales as per FY 063/064 Projection

7,200

6,700

28,300

8,000

23,300

Depot Landed Cost, N.Rs./KL or Cyld in case of LPG

53,035.59

49,178.06

45,365.65

931.49

47,413.79

Ex-Depot Selling Price, N.Rs./KL or Cyld for LPG

56,592.15

68,125.97

44,667.47

718.72

45,519.69

3556.56

18947.91

-698.18

-212.77

-1894.09

3.56

18.95

-0.70

-212.77

-1.89

25,607,231

126,951,009

-19,758,475

-119,867,215

-44,132,396

Total Government Rev. (N.Rs/Lit or Cyld)

24.01

10.78

9.51

192.78

Monthly Govt. Revenue in Crores (in Rs.)

17.28

2.89

26.92

10.86

Profit/Loss Per Kl (or Per Mt. for LPG)


Profit/Loss Per Litre (or Per Cyld. for LPG)
Monthly Profit/Loss, Rs.
Net Estimated Monthly Loss to NOC, (in Rs.)

Kerosene

-31,199,847
1.98
4.61

*Total Monthly Govt. Revenue

62.57

Net Estimated Monthly Loss to NOC in Crores NRs.

-3.12

Source : Nepal Oil Corporation

- Exchange rate : 1US$=72.1 Rs.(November 01, 2006)

The table indicates that NOC distributes Diesel, LP Gas and Kerosene at a price below the cost whereas there is profit in petrol (Rs.3.56)
and aviation fuel (Rs.18.95) per liter. In aggregate, there is Rs. 62.57 crores monthly revenue for the government by selling these products.
The monthly loss recorded about 3.12 crores for NOC.

Salary and Wage Rate


Salary and Wage Rate Index

(a) Overall Index

(2004/05=100)

Index

120
115
110
105
100
95
90

110.4

109.3
106.4
102.5

101.9
100.0

Overall

Salary

Wage Rate

Group
Mid-August 2005

Mid-August 2006

(b) Salary

Sub-group Indices of Salary

The index of this group increased by 6.4 percent,


compared to that of the preceding year's index. The
impact of the 10.0 percent rise in the salary of
government employees contributed to rise the index.
ns

n
O
at
e
Pr
iv

Ar
m
y

Ba
nk

&

rg
an
is
at
io

uc
at
io
Ed

&P
ol
ic
e

Fo
rc
es

ut
io
ns
tit
In
s

Fi
na
nc
ia
l

C
or
po
ra
tio

Pu
bl
ic

C
iv
il
S

er
vi
ce

ve
ra
ll
O

ns

120
100
80
60
40
20
0

Index

The National Salary and Wage Rate Index (2004/05


= 100), on a y-o-y basis, increased by 7.3 percent in
mid-August 2006. Such index had increased by 1.9
percent a year ago. The rise in wages of laborers as
well as the 10 percent rise in the salary of government
employees as announced in the budget speech of the
fiscal year 2006/07 accounted for the growth of salary
and wage inflation.

Mid-August 2005

Sub-groups

Mid-August 2006

(c)

Sub-group indices of wage Rate


125

Index

100
75
50
25
0
Overall

Agricultural Labourer

Industrial Labourer

Construction Labourer

Wage Rate

In the review period, the index of this group


increased at a higher rate of 7.7 percent compared to
an increase of 2.5 percent during the corresponding
period in the preceding year. The growth in the wage
rate index is mainly attributable to the rise in the wage
rate of agricultural labourer (8.8 percent) industrial
labourer (7.0 percent) and construction labourer (4.1
percent).

Sub-groups

Mid-August 2005

Mid-August 2006

M- O-M change of SWRI

(d) M-to-M Basis

The overall index in mid-August 2006 increased by


2.9 percent compared to that of the previous month.
During the review month, the salary and wage rate
increased by 6.0 percent and 1.8 percent respectively.

Percent

5
4
3
2
1
0
Overall

Salary Index

Wage Rate Index

Group

Mid-July 2006

Mid-August 2006

Table - 1

National Urban Consumer Price Index


(1995/96 = 100)

Groups & sub-groups


1
1.

Weight
%
2

MID-AUGUST 2006 (SHRAWAN 2063)


2004/05
2005/06
2006/07P
Percentage Change
Jul/Aug June/July Jul/Aug May/June June/July Jul/Aug Column 5 Column 5 Column 8 Column 8
3
4
5
6
7
8
Over 3
Over 4
Over 5
Over 7

OVERALL INDEX

100.00

159.1

166.8

170.7

179.6

180.6

182.4

7.3

2.3

6.9

1.0

1.1. FOOD & BEVERAGES

53.20

154.8

160.3

165.0

170.9

172.9

175.0

6.6

2.9

6.1

1.2

Grains and Cereal Products

18.00

143.0

151.8

158.8

170.0

170.1

170.5

11.0

4.6

7.4

0.2

(14.16)

141.4

150.2

158.9

166.7

166.7

167.1

12.4

5.8

5.2

0.2

Rice and Rice Products


Pulses

2.73

130.2

134.0

137.1

172.0

171.2

169.5

5.3

2.3

23.6

-1.0

Vegetables and Fruits

7.89

163.2

158.0

166.7

149.6

160.9

173.8

2.1

5.5

4.3

8.0

Spices

1.85

153.3

147.4

145.9

156.8

159.9

161.2

-4.8

-1.0

10.5

0.8

Meat, Fish and Eggs

5.21

165.8

172.0

173.0

183.0

183.9

182.0

4.3

0.6

5.2

-1.0

Milk and Milk Products

4.05

150.5

154.5

156.2

160.2

163.7

165.9

3.8

1.1

6.2

1.3

Oil and Ghee

3.07

151.8

148.2

147.7

149.6

148.4

149.2

-2.7

-0.3

1.0

0.5

Sugar and Related Products

1.21

140.3

158.4

158.9

167.4

164.7

164.4

13.3

0.3

3.5

-0.2

Beverages

2.28

161.1

167.4

177.4

183.7

183.8

186.0

10.1

6.0

4.8

1.2

Restaurant Meals

6.91

185.5

199.9

201.5

206.6

206.6

206.4

8.6

0.8

2.4

-0.1

46.80

164.1

174.4

177.2

189.5

189.6

191.0

8.0

1.6

7.8

0.7

8.92

140.1

143.1

144.1

145.7

145.9

146.6

2.9

0.7

1.7

0.5

Cloths

(2.28)

129.1

131.6

133.2

134.0

134.2

134.6

3.2

1.2

1.1

0.3

Clothings

(5.75)

139.1

142.6

142.8

144.8

145.0

145.4

2.7

0.1

1.8

0.3

1.2. NON-FOOD & SERVICES


Cloth, Clothing & Sewing Services

Footwear

2.20

132.8

134.9

136.2

139.5

139.5

140.0

2.6

1.0

2.8

0.4

Housing Goods and Services

14.87

164.7

186.2

186.6

211.7

211.7

213.4

13.3

0.2

14.4

0.8

Fuel, Light and Water

(5.92)

201.5

246.0

246.1

300.8

300.8

300.8

22.1

0.0

22.2

0.0

Transport and Communication

4.03

186.2

209.9

215.9

253.6

253.6

254.6

16.0

2.9

17.9

0.4

Medical and Personal Care

8.03

171.2

172.7

175.0

177.7

177.7

179.4

2.2

1.3

2.5

1.0

Education, Reading and Recreation

7.09

188.9

191.2

199.8

200.2

200.3

201.1

5.8

4.5

0.7

0.4

Tobacco and Related Products

1.66

153.5

159.7

162.1

164.6

164.6

172.7

5.6

1.5

6.5

4.9

P = Provisional.

Table - 1.1

Urban Consumer Price Index : Kathmandu Valley


(1995/96 = 100)

Groups & sub-groups


1
1.

Weight
%
2

MID-AUGUST 2006 (SHRAWAN 2063)


2006/07P
Percentage Change
2004/05
2005/06
Jul/Aug June/July Jul/Aug May/June June/July Jul/Aug Column 5 Column 5 Column 8 Column 8
3
4
5
6
7
8
Over 3
Over 4
Over 5
Over 7

OVERALL INDEX

100.00

154.6

160.5

164.0

171.2

172.2

173.7

6.1

2.2

5.9

0.9

1.1. FOOD & BEVERAGES

51.53

150.9

154.2

156.9

161.9

163.8

165.7

4.0

1.8

5.6

1.2

Grains and Cereal Products

16.37

152.3

152.4

155.7

166.0

167.8

169.1

2.2

2.2

8.6

0.8

(13.05)

157.2

155.5

159.5

169.4

170.8

172.3

1.5

2.6

8.0

0.9

Pulses

2.14

117.1

125.4

127.9

173.3

170.5

166.9

9.2

2.0

30.5

-2.1

Vegetables and Fruits

8.27

141.2

140.1

146.9

129.7

134.5

145.2

4.0

4.9

-1.2

8.0

Spices

1.57

148.2

143.4

139.0

143.2

144.0

144.3

-6.2

-3.1

3.8

0.2

Meat, Fish and Eggs

5.28

163.5

169.4

171.9

189.0

188.9

185.5

5.1

1.5

7.9

-1.8

Milk and Milk Products

4.18

136.2

144.4

144.5

144.2

153.0

153.1

6.1

0.1

6.0

0.1

Rice and Rice Products

Oil and Ghee

2.62

147.5

143.2

142.5

146.2

144.3

144.9

-3.4

-0.5

1.7

0.4

Sugar and Related Products

1.36

146.9

165.0

165.6

172.9

168.3

170.0

12.7

0.4

2.7

1.0

Beverages

2.39

135.5

144.9

147.2

147.2

147.7

150.3

8.6

1.6

2.1

1.8

Restaurant Meals

7.35

175.0

184.3

186.0

188.6

189.7

189.7

6.3

0.9

2.0

0.0

48.47

158.6

167.2

171.6

181.0

181.1

182.3

8.2

2.6

6.2

0.7

8.67

143.3

147.1

148.1

148.4

148.8

149.1

3.3

0.7

0.7

0.2

Cloths

(1.83)

136.1

141.8

146.0

146.1

146.6

146.6

7.3

3.0

0.4

0.0

Clothings

(6.14)

138.6

142.1

142.2

142.3

142.8

142.8

2.6

0.1

0.4

0.0

1.2. NON-FOOD & SERVICES


Cloth, Clothing & Sewing Services

Footwear

2.41

134.6

135.3

136.5

136.8

136.8

136.8

1.4

0.9

0.2

0.0

Housing Goods and Services

15.14

160.8

179.4

179.9

200.9

200.9

202.2

11.9

0.3

12.4

0.6

Fuel, Light and Water

(4.95)

210.3

258.1

258.1

313.5

313.5

313.5

22.7

0.0

21.5

0.0

Transport and Communication

4.21

179.8

200.7

213.6

244.6

244.6

244.0

18.8

6.4

14.2

-0.2

Medical and Personal Care

7.86

174.5

173.5

174.9

175.6

175.6

177.2

0.2

0.8

1.3

0.9

Education, Reading and Recreation

8.33

156.8

158.3

173.0

172.7

172.7

172.8

10.3

9.3

-0.1

0.1

Tobacco and Related Products

1.85

137.1

140.2

144.0

144.8

144.8

157.0

5.0

2.7

9.0

8.4

DOMESTIC GOODS

81.26

153.1

156.7

160.7

165.7

167.0

168.4

5.0

2.6

4.8

0.8

IMPORTED GOODS

18.74

161.1

176.8

178.3

195.0

194.7

196.5

10.7

0.8

10.2

0.9

TRADABLE GOODS

68.86

151.0

157.0

159.3

167.1

168.4

170.3

5.5

1.5

6.9

1.1

NON-TRADABLE GOODS

31.14

162.7

168.2

174.4

180.1

180.6

181.3

7.2

3.7

4.0

0.4

GOVT.CONTROLLED GOODS

17.03

165.0

186.0

192.4

214.6

216.4

217.2

16.6

3.4

12.9

0.4

NON-CONTROLLED GOODS

82.97

152.5

155.2

158.2

162.2

163.1

164.8

3.7

1.9

4.2

1.0

P=Provisional

Table - 1.2

Urban Consumer Price Index : Terai


(1995/96 = 100)

Groups & sub-groups


1
1.

Weight
%
2

MID-AUGUST 2006 (SHRAWAN 2063)


2004/05
2005/06
2006/07P
Percentage Change
Jul/Aug June/July Jul/Aug May/June June/July Jul/Aug Column 5 Column 5 Column 8 Column 8
3
4
5
6
7
8
Over 3
Over 4
Over 5
Over 7

OVERALL INDEX

100.00

161.6

169.7

173.6

183.6

184.7

186.6

7.4

2.3

7.5

1.0

1.1. FOOD & BEVERAGES

54.98

156.2

162.1

168.0

174.6

176.7

178.9

7.6

3.6

6.5

1.2

Grains and Cereal Products

19.76

140.1

152.9

162.8

174.4

173.4

173.2

16.2

6.5

6.4

-0.1

(15.42)

135.6

149.7

161.9

167.5

166.6

166.1

19.4

8.1

2.6

-0.3

Pulses

3.35

138.2

137.5

141.0

166.7

167.1

166.0

2.0

2.5

17.7

-0.7

Vegetables and Fruits

7.63

176.6

165.5

176.0

158.8

175.1

191.1

-0.3

6.3

8.6

9.1

Spices

2.06

151.4

144.8

145.1

162.6

168.2

169.6

-4.2

0.2

16.9

0.8

Meat, Fish and Eggs

5.02

166.2

172.9

172.5

179.8

180.7

179.5

3.8

-0.2

4.1

-0.7

Milk and Milk Products

3.98

154.6

155.1

158.4

163.6

164.2

167.4

2.5

2.1

5.7

1.9

Oil and Ghee

3.23

154.6

149.8

149.2

151.0

150.3

151.8

-3.5

-0.4

1.7

1.0

Sugar and Related Products

1.09

135.9

153.0

153.2

163.7

161.9

160.1

12.7

0.1

4.5

-1.1

Beverages

2.00

168.1

172.9

183.3

194.6

194.6

196.5

9.0

6.0

7.2

1.0

Restaurant Meals

6.86

184.2

201.8

203.5

209.5

208.9

208.0

10.5

0.8

2.2

-0.4

45.02

168.2

179.0

180.5

194.5

194.6

196.0

7.3

0.8

8.6

0.7

9.16

142.7

144.1

145.2

147.3

147.3

148.2

1.8

0.8

2.1

0.6

Rice and Rice Products

1.2. NON-FOOD & SERVICES


Cloth, Clothing & Sewing Services
Cloths

(2.63)

132.2

133.1

133.8

136.1

136.3

137.1

1.2

0.5

2.5

0.6

Clothings

(5.45)

143.6

145.2

145.4

147.2

147.1

147.6

1.3

0.1

1.5

0.3

Footwear

1.78

132.7

134.4

135.1

139.2

139.2

139.8

1.8

0.5

3.5

0.4

Housing Goods and Services

14.80

167.7

190.8

191.2

219.2

219.2

220.7

14.0

0.2

15.4

0.7

Fuel, Light and Water

(6.91)

198.4

241.4

241.5

296.9

297.0

296.9

21.7

0.0

22.9

0.0

Transport and Communication

4.16

184.5

203.5

206.7

243.7

243.7

244.8

12.0

1.6

18.4

0.5

Medical and Personal Care

8.04

171.7

174.3

175.8

179.0

179.0

180.4

2.4

0.9

2.6

0.8

Education, Reading and Recreation

5.54

207.6

210.7

214.9

215.9

216.2

217.4

3.5

2.0

1.2

0.6

Tobacco and Related Products

1.54

162.8

168.3

170.2

173.9

173.9

178.9

4.5

1.1

5.1

2.9

P = Provisional.

Table - 1.3

Urban Consumer Price Index : Hills


(1995/96 = 100)

Groups & sub-groups


1
1.

Weight
%
2

MID-AUGUST 2006 (SHRAWAN 2063)


2006/07P
Percentage Change
2004/05
2005/06
Jul/Aug June/July Jul/Aug May/June June/July Jul/Aug Column 5 Column 5 Column 8 Column 8
3
4
5
6
7
8
Over 3
Over 4
Over 5
Over 7

OVERALL INDEX

100.00

159.7

169.7

173.6

182.7

183.5

185.4

8.7

2.3

6.8

1.0

1.1. FOOD & BEVERAGES

53.04

157.5

165.9

170.2

176.1

177.6

179.5

8.1

2.6

5.5

1.1

Grains and Cereal Products

17.76

135.4

147.9

153.3

164.6

164.7

165.6

13.2

3.7

8.0

0.5

(13.86)

130.7

143.2

149.9

159.9

160.2

160.8

14.7

4.7

7.3

0.4

Pulses

2.66

130.2

138.4

141.7

184.2

183.2

183.2

8.8

2.4

29.3

0.0

Vegetables and Fruits

7.61

163.4

167.0

174.4

157.6

166.0

174.1

6.7

4.4

-0.2

4.9

Spices

2.01

166.9

161.1

159.0

163.7

163.7

166.8

-4.7

-1.3

4.9

1.9

Meat, Fish and Eggs

5.48

168.3

174.1

175.8

181.8

184.4

182.8

4.5

1.0

4.0

-0.9

Milk and Milk Products

3.94

162.7

169.3

169.2

177.3

180.1

182.9

4.0

-0.1

8.1

1.6

Oil and Ghee

3.77

151.5

151.9

152.0

151.3

149.8

149.4

0.3

0.1

-1.7

-0.3

Sugar and Related Products

1.15

141.1

162.2

162.9

168.2

166.6

166.6

15.5

0.4

2.3

0.0

Beverages

2.65

184.3

189.6

211.0

214.2

214.2

216.4

14.5

11.3

2.6

1.0

Restaurant Meals

6.01

205.9

220.4

221.5

228.2

228.4

229.8

7.6

0.5

3.7

0.6

46.96

162.1

174.1

177.5

190.1

190.1

192.1

9.5

2.0

8.2

1.1

Rice and Rice Products

1.2. NON-FOOD & SERVICES


Cloth, Clothing & Sewing Services

8.94

127.9

133.9

134.5

137.3

137.3

137.9

5.2

0.4

2.5

0.4

Cloths

(2.54)

109.2

110.9

110.8

108.2

108.0

108.2

1.5

-0.1

-2.3

0.2

Clothings

(5.51)

127.9

136.4

137.0

142.7

142.9

143.8

7.1

0.4

5.0

0.6

2.63

130.1

135.7

138.7

144.9

144.9

145.8

6.6

2.2

5.1

0.6

Housing Goods and Services

14.40

163.4

185.0

185.4

209.2

209.2

211.8

13.5

0.2

14.2

1.2

Fuel, Light and Water

(5.92)

195.3

238.5

238.5

290.0

290.1

290.2

22.1

0.0

21.7

0.0

Transport and Communication

3.31

201.5

242.1

244.4

295.1

295.1

298.1

21.3

1.0

22.0

1.0

Medical and Personal Care

8.39

164.7

167.0

173.1

177.5

177.5

180.0

5.1

3.7

4.0

1.4

Education, Reading and Recreation

7.78

191.6

192.9

203.4

202.9

203.0

203.6

6.2

5.4

0.1

0.3

Tobacco and Related Products

1.51

155.4

168.3

170.2

172.3

172.3

181.8

9.5

1.1

6.8

5.5

Footwear

P = Provisional.

Table-1a

Core CPI Inflation**


(1995/96 = 100)

Group & sub-groups


OVERALL (Adjusted)

MID-AUGUST 2006 (SHRAWAN 2063)


Change %
Weight
Revised
2004/05
2005/06 2006/07P
%
Weight
Jul/Aug
Jul/Aug
Jul/Aug
2005/06
2006/07
100.00
100.00
157.8
164.8
172.5
4.5
4.6

FOOD AND BEVERAGES (Adjusted)

53.20

45.53

159.5

167.9

179.5

5.2

7.0

Grains and Cereal Products


Rice and Rice Products
Wheat and Wheat Flour
Other Grains and Cereal Products
Pulses
Vegetables and Fruits
Spices
Meat, Fish and Eggs
Milk and Milk Products
Oil and Ghee
Sugar and Related Products
Beverages
Restaurant Meals

14.16
1.79
2.05
2.73
7.89
1.85
5.21
4.05
3.07
1.21
2.28
6.91

0.00
2.62
3.00
3.99
0.00
2.70
7.61
5.92
4.49
1.77
3.33
10.10

141.4
159.5
139.8
130.2
163.2
153.3
165.8
150.5
151.8
140.3
161.1
185.5

158.9
174.8
144.3
137.1
166.7
145.9
173.0
156.2
147.7
158.9
177.4
201.5

167.1
212.4
158.2
169.5
173.8
161.2
182.0
165.9
149.2
164.4
186.0
206.4

12.4
9.6
3.2
5.3
2.1
-4.8
4.3
3.8
-2.7
13.3
10.1
8.6

5.2
21.5
9.6
23.6
4.3
10.5
5.2
6.2
1.0
3.5
4.8
2.4

NON-FOOD AND SERVICES (Adjusted)

46.80

54.47

156.4

162.3

166.5

3.8

2.6

Cloth, Clothing & Sewing Services


Footwear
Housing goods and Services
House Furnishing and Household Goods
House Rent
Cleaning Supplies
Fuel, Light and Water
Transport
Communication
Medical and Personal Care
Education, Reading and Recreation
Tobacco and Related Products

8.92
2.20

13.04
3.22

140.1
132.8

144.1
136.2

146.6
140.0

2.9
2.6

1.7
2.8

3.50
4.19
1.26
5.92
3.61
0.42
8.03
7.09
1.66

5.12
6.12
1.84
0.00
0.00
0.61
11.74
10.36
2.43

133.4
148.3
140.2
201.5
193.4
123.4
171.2
188.9
153.5

139.7
154.9
143.8
246.1
226.4
126.6
175.0
199.8
162.1

144.6
161.8
158.9
300.8
269.5
126.6
179.4
201.1
172.7

4.7
4.5
2.6
22.1
17.1
2.6
2.2
5.8
5.6

3.5
4.5
10.5
22.2
19.0
0.0
2.5
0.7
6.5

P: Provisional
**Based on the exclusion principle by excluding rice and rice products, vegetables and fruits, fuel, light and water and
transports.
Total weight excluded 31.58
Total weight included 68.42

Table - 2

National Wholesale Price Index


(1999/00 = 100)

Mid-August 2006 (Shrawan 2063)


Groups and Sub-groups
1

1. Overall Index

Weight %
2

2004/05
Jul/Aug Jun/Jul
3
4

Jul/Aug
5

2005/06
May/Jun
6

Jun/Jul
7

2006/07P
Percentage Change
Jul/Aug Column 5 Column 5 Column 8 Column 8
8
Over 3
Over 4
Over 5
Over 7

100.00

122.1

129.9

133.5

138.2

139.9

142.4

9.3

2.8

6.7

1.8

49.59

122.1

127.7

134.2

133.9

137.4

140.2

9.9

5.1

4.5

2.0

Foodgrains

16.58

96.6

112.0

115.8

125.7

123.7

126.2

19.9

3.4

9.0

2.0

Cash Crops

6.09

167.4

163.2

166.6

155.5

172.3

186.4

-0.5

2.1

11.9

8.2

Pulses

3.77

122.0

123.5

129.4

155.3

156.1

156.0

6.1

4.8

20.6

-0.1

11.18

132.7

125.4

142.3

117.0

123.8

124.4

7.2

13.5

-12.6

0.5

1.95

103.9

101.6

102.2

108.8

111.4

115.9

-1.6

0.6

13.4

4.0

10.02

128.7

141.6

144.2

150.1

152.3

151.6

12.0

1.8

5.1

-0.5

20.37

118.9

124.9

123.7

129.4

129.3

132.6

4.0

-1.0

7.2

2.6

Food-Related Products

6.12

109.3

115.3

115.2

118.2

119.0

121.6

5.4

-0.1

5.6

2.2

Beverages and Tobacco

5.68

119.9

124.7

126.4

128.8

128.8

134.5

5.4

1.4

6.4

4.4

Construction Materials

4.50

141.2

152.4

144.7

159.8

160.1

163.3

2.5

-5.1

12.9

2.0

Others

4.07

107.3

109.4

109.4

113.4

111.3

112.5

2.0

0.0

2.8

1.1

30.04

124.3

136.7

138.9

151.2

151.1

152.8

11.7

1.6

10.0

1.1

Petroleum Products and Coal

5.40

165.2

211.9

211.9

263.2

263.2

263.2

28.3

0.0

24.2

0.0

Chemical Fertilizers and Chemical Goods

2.46

131.6

153.1

160.8

169.5

169.5

170.6

22.2

5.0

6.1

0.6

Transport Vehicles and Machinery Goods

6.97

115.1

119.5

123.9

126.1

126.1

126.4

7.6

3.7

2.0

0.2

Electric and Electronic Goods

1.87

96.7

96.6

96.8

96.0

95.3

95.3

0.1

0.2

-1.5

0.0

Drugs and Medicine

2.73

107.3

108.0

111.5

111.3

111.3

111.3

3.9

3.2

-0.2

0.0

Textile-Related Products

3.10

114.6

112.1

111.2

111.0

111.5

111.8

-3.0

-0.8

0.5

0.3

Others

7.51

117.9

123.8

125.2

132.8

132.6

138.5

6.2

1.1

10.6

4.4

1.1 Agricultural Commodities

Fruits and Vegetables


Spices
Livestock Production
1.2 Domestic Manufactured Commodities

1.3 Imported Commodities

P = Provisional

Table - 2.1

Wholesale Price Index of Agricultural Commodities


(1999/00 = 100)

Mid-August 2006 (Shrawan 2063)


Code
No. Names of Commodities Weight %
1
2
Overall Index

2004/05
Jul/Aug Jun/Jul
3
4

Jul/Aug
5

2005/06
May/Jun
6

Jun/Jul
7

2006/07P
Percentage Change
Jul/Aug Column 5 Column 5 Column 8 Column 8
8
Over 3
Over 4
Over 5
Over 7

100.00

122.1

127.7

134.2

133.9

137.4

140.2

9.9

5.1

4.5

2.0

22.10

95.3

112.3

117.4

121.2

121.0

120.7

23.2

4.5

2.8

-0.2

Rice

Maize

1.80

87.0

91.6

97.3

105.6

104.5

110.2

11.8

6.2

13.3

5.5

Wheat

9.54

101.5

115.4

115.4

139.7

133.7

142.1

13.7

0.0

23.1

6.3

Sugarcane*

2.52

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Oilseeds

2.56

153.3

128.6

134.1

129.7

132.2

133.2

-12.5

4.3

-0.7

0.8

Jute

0.30

121.6

162.1

162.2

173.7

173.7

133.7

33.4

0.1

-17.6

-23.0

Potato

6.89

174.6

176.1

178.9

164.3

187.1

208.4

2.5

1.6

16.5

11.4

Pulses

7.60

122.0

123.5

129.4

155.3

156.1

156.0

6.1

4.8

20.6

-0.1

Fruits

11.38

143.7

117.0

146.5

145.5

135.7

135.6

1.9

25.2

-7.4

-0.1

10

Vegetables

11.17

121.5

133.9

138.0

87.9

111.6

113.0

13.6

3.1

-18.1

1.3

11

Spices (Other Crops)

3.93

103.9

101.6

102.2

108.8

111.4

115.9

-1.6

0.6

13.4

4.0

12

Milk

1.96

110.9

122.2

122.2

121.7

133.4

134.8

10.2

0.0

10.3

1.0

13

Meat (Buffalo)

8.05

149.2

168.0

175.5

186.0

188.4

188.4

17.6

4.5

7.4

0.0

14

Mutton

5.20

124.4

132.2

132.2

135.2

133.0

133.0

6.3

0.0

0.6

0.0

15

Pork

1.09

117.8

117.8

117.8

140.8

140.8

140.8

0.0

0.0

19.5

0.0

16

Chicken

1.05

102.9

122.7

119.4

126.7

127.3

104.4

16.0

-2.7

-12.6

-18.0

17

Eggs

1.51

103.6

113.2

111.4

95.6

105.1

106.8

7.5

-1.6

-4.1

1.6

18

Fish

1.34

106.4

114.4

112.9

120.8

120.8

124.2

6.1

-1.3

10.0

2.8

* Because of seasonal nature, it's weight has been divided proportionately to other cash crops in off-season (May/June to Oct./Nov).

P = Provisional

Table - 2.2

Wholesale Price Index of Domestic Manufactured Commodities


(1999/00 = 100)

Mid-August 2006 (Shrawan 2063)


Code
No. Names of Commodities Weight %
1
2
Overall Index

2004/05
Jul/Aug Jun/Jul
3
4

Jul/Aug
5

2005/06
May/Jun
6

Jun/Jul
7

2006/07P
Percentage Change
Jul/Aug Column 5 Column 5 Column 8 Column 8
8
Over 3
Over 4
Over 5
Over 7

100.00

118.9

124.9

123.7

129.4

129.3

132.6

4.0

-1.0

7.2

2.6

19

Sugar

5.34

127.1

147.7

147.2

149.7

150.0

149.3

15.8

-0.3

1.4

-0.5

20

Veg. Ghee

7.67

100.0

96.1

95.6

102.7

102.3

106.4

-4.4

-0.5

11.3

4.0

21

Mustard Oil

0.35

145.2

132.8

129.2

123.9

123.9

124.7

-11.0

-2.7

-3.5

0.6

22

Soybean Oil

3.35

117.4

119.1

118.9

124.8

123.4

127.2

1.3

-0.2

7.0

3.1

23

Biscuit

0.91

98.4

107.8

107.8

103.6

103.6

103.0

9.6

0.0

-4.5

-0.6

24

Processed Milk

4.12

114.9

119.7

119.7

119.7

124.7

129.9

4.2

0.0

8.5

4.2

25

Wheat Flour

1.26

103.4

118.6

118.5

132.2

129.5

135.2

14.6

-0.1

14.1

4.4

26

Noodles

3.18

103.8

103.1

103.1

103.1

103.1

106.7

-0.7

0.0

3.5

3.5

27

Tea

0.83

87.5

90.6

86.5

87.9

87.9

80.9

-1.1

-4.5

-6.5

-8.0

28

Animal Feed

1.03

108.8

106.1

102.2

114.1

114.1

114.1

-6.1

-3.7

11.6

0.0

29

Beaten Rice

3.01

98.2

114.9

117.9

114.8

118.7

120.4

20.1

2.6

2.1

1.4

30

Soft Drinks

4.54

115.6

120.2

120.2

126.8

126.8

126.8

4.0

0.0

5.5

0.0

31

Liquor

7.15

130.2

133.4

135.8

137.8

137.8

139.4

4.3

1.8

2.7

1.2

32

Beer

5.25

122.0

129.3

131.1

135.1

135.1

143.3

7.5

1.4

9.3

6.1

33

Cigarette

11.02

114.1

118.6

120.7

120.7

120.7

130.2

5.8

1.8

7.9

7.9

34

Jute Goods

3.15

99.8

110.0

110.5

122.6

109.8

115.8

10.7

0.5

4.8

5.5

35

Leather (Processed)

0.63

102.8

104.1

104.1

104.1

104.1

104.1

1.3

0.0

0.0

0.0

36

Leather Shoes

1.76

104.3

105.1

105.1

110.2

110.2

110.2

0.8

0.0

4.9

0.0

37

Paper

4.37

107.0

114.7

114.7

117.7

117.7

118.6

7.2

0.0

3.4

0.8

38

Matches

0.47

102.1

102.3

102.3

106.2

100.2

100.2

0.2

0.0

-2.1

0.0

39

Soap

6.34

113.6

107.5

107.5

106.6

106.6

106.6

-5.4

0.0

-0.8

0.0

40

Slippers

0.50

100.0

109.3

109.3

109.3

109.3

109.3

9.3

0.0

0.0

0.0

41

Plastic goods

0.37

126.5

145.4

152.4

152.0

154.8

158.8

20.5

4.8

4.2

2.6

42

Polythene Pipe

0.49

120.9

136.8

136.8

136.8

136.8

184.4

13.2

0.0

34.8

34.8

43

Bricks

1.07

127.4

130.3

137.7

141.9

143.5

144.0

8.1

5.7

4.6

0.3

44

Cement

9.17

127.7

134.6

133.5

151.0

151.4

151.0

4.5

-0.8

13.1

-0.3

45

Iron Rods

2.46

203.1

191.9

188.6

204.9

204.9

213.4

-7.1

-1.7

13.1

4.1

46

GI/HB Wires

2.29

165.6

161.3

162.1

182.9

182.9

182.9

-2.1

0.5

12.8

0.0

47

Corrugated Sheets

5.71

128.5

163.8

136.3

149.2

149.2

149.2

6.1

-16.8

9.5

0.0

48

Electric Wires

0.87

155.3

163.9

160.8

168.7

168.7

204.4

3.5

-1.9

27.1

21.2

49

Drycell Battery

1.34

100.0

102.8

102.8

111.8

111.8

111.8

2.8

0.0

8.8

0.0

P = Provisional

Table - 2.3

Wholesale Price Index of Imported Commodities


(1999/00 = 100)

Mid-August 2006 (Shrawan 2063)


Code
No.

Names of Commodities
1
Overall Index

Weight %
2
100.00

2004/05
Jul/Aug Jun/Jul
3
4
124.3
136.7

2005/06
Jul/Aug May/Jun
5
6
138.9
151.2

Jun/Jul
7
151.1

2006/07P
Percentage Change
Jul/Aug Column 5 Column 5 Column 8 Column 8
8
Over 3
Over 4
Over 5
Over 7
152.8
11.7
1.6
10.0
1.1

50

Horlicks & Powder Milk

1.07

118.9

122.6

125.6

122.6

123.3

125.0

5.6

2.4

-0.5

1.4

51

Raw Wool

3.07

122.9

121.6

119.7

114.9

116.4

117.3

-2.6

-1.6

-2.0

0.8

52

Salt

0.38

133.3

133.3

133.3

150.0

150.0

150.0

0.0

0.0

12.5

0.0

53

Petroleum Products

17.62

165.7

213.0

213.0

265.2

265.2

265.2

28.5

0.0

24.5

0.0

54

Chemical Fertilizers

4.65

133.4

146.2

145.5

163.0

163.0

163.0

9.1

-0.5

12.0

0.0

55

Polythene Grannuels

1.88

125.7

140.9

135.3

158.8

165.7

196.1

7.6

-4.0

44.9

18.3

56

Medicine

9.09

107.3

108.0

111.5

111.3

111.3

111.3

3.9

3.2

-0.2

0.0

57

Chemical Goods

3.53

129.4

162.3

180.8

178.0

178.0

180.6

39.7

11.4

-0.1

1.5

58

Other Machinery & Parts

12.81

114.0

120.7

123.7

127.0

127.0

127.5

8.5

2.5

3.1

0.4

59

Transp. Vehi. & Parts

8.77

116.4

117.6

124.7

125.3

125.3

123.9

7.1

6.0

-0.6

-1.1

60

Readymade Garments

1.83

117.8

109.6

109.6

109.6

109.6

109.6

-7.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

61

Agri.Instru. & Parts

1.09

119.6

124.6

124.8

127.9

127.9

133.0

4.3

0.2

6.6

4.0

62

Cotton Fabrics & Textiles

3.62

107.7

107.7

107.7

107.6

107.6

107.6

0.0

0.0

-0.1

0.0

63

Electro. Goods & Equip.

5.33

97.8

97.7

97.9

97.0

96.2

96.2

0.1

0.2

-1.7

0.0

64

Coal

0.35

143.3

160.0

160.2

160.2

160.2

160.2

11.8

0.1

0.0

0.0

65

Radio, T.V. & Parts

0.89

90.1

90.1

90.1

90.1

90.1

90.1

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

66

Tire, Tube & Flapes

0.55

111.3

110.6

113.5

112.5

112.5

126.8

2.0

2.6

11.7

12.7

67

Pipe & Pipe Fittings

0.48

130.7

151.9

151.9

151.9

151.9

185.7

16.2

0.0

22.3

22.3

68

Thread

1.80

110.9

107.4

105.3

112.9

112.9

112.9

-5.0

-2.0

7.2

0.0

69

Glass Sheet & Wares

0.54

123.0

126.6

149.6

132.5

132.5

134.6

21.6

18.2

-10.0

1.6

70

Other Stationery

0.45

92.0

92.0

84.0

84.0

84.0

84.0

-8.7

-8.7

0.0

0.0

71

Others

20.20

117.0

122.0

123.7

131.2

130.3

133.8

5.7

1.4

8.2

2.7

P = Provisional

Table - 3

National Salary and Wage Rate Index


(2004/05=100)
Mid- August 2006 (Shrawan 2063)
S.No.

Groups/Sub-groups
1

Overall Index

Weight
%
2

Mid-Aug

Mid-Jul

Mid-Aug

Mid-Jun

Mid-Jul

Mid-Aug

2004/05

2005/06

2006/07P

Percentage Change

5 over 3 5 over 4

8 over 5

8 over 7
2.9

100.0

100.0

100.0

101.9

105.7

106.2

109.3

1.9

1.9

7.3

1 Salary Index

27.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.4

100.4

106.4

0.0

0.0

6.4

6.0

Officers
Non Officers

9.8
17.2

100.0
100.0

100.0
100.0

100.1
100.0

100.3
100.4

100.3
100.4

105.7
106.8

0.1
0.0

0.1
0.0

5.6
6.8

5.4
6.4

2.8
0.3
2.5
1.1
0.2
0.9
0.6
0.1
0.4
4.0
0.2
3.8
10.6
6.8
3.8
7.9
2.2
5.7

100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0

100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0

100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
101.5
102.5
101.3
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0

100.0
100.0
100.0
104.4
106.4
104.0
110.0
112.6
109.4
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0

100.0
100.0
100.0
104.4
106.4
104.0
110.0
112.6
109.4
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0

110.0
110.0
110.0
107.0
109.1
106.6
110.9
114.1
110.1
111.4
109.9
111.5
107.0
106.5
108.0
101.3
101.5
101.3

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.5
2.5
1.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.5
2.5
1.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

10.0
10.0
10.0
7.0
9.1
6.6
9.3
11.3
8.7
11.4
9.9
11.5
7.0
6.5
8.0
1.3
1.5
1.3

10.0
10.0
10.0
2.5
2.5
2.5
0.8
1.3
0.6
11.4
9.9
11.5
7.0
6.5
8.0
1.3
1.5
1.3

73.0

100.0

100.0

102.5

107.7

108.4

110.4

2.5

2.5

7.7

1.8

39.5
20.5
19.0
25.3
6.3
6.3
6.3
6.3
8.3
2.8
1.4
1.4
2.8
1.4
1.4
2.8
1.4
1.4

100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0

100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0

104.5
104.2
104.8
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.1
100.7
101.8
101.5
102.1
100.3
100.1
100.5
100.0
100.0
100.0

109.0
108.2
109.8
107.0
104.3
106.4
108.2
109.0
103.6
104.4
105.5
103.3
102.9
104.4
101.3
103.6
103.3
103.8

110.0
109.1
110.9
107.0
104.3
106.4
108.2
109.0
104.8
105.1
106.0
104.1
103.1
104.9
101.3
106.2
106.4
106.0

113.7
113.2
114.2
107.0
104.3
106.4
108.2
109.0
104.8
105.1
106.0
104.1
103.1
104.9
101.3
106.2
106.4
106.0

4.5
4.2
4.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.7
1.8
1.5
2.1
0.3
0.1
0.5
0.0
0.0
0.0

4.5
4.2
4.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.7
1.8
1.5
2.1
0.3
0.1
0.5
0.0
0.0
0.0

8.8
8.6
9.0
7.0
4.3
6.4
8.2
8.9
4.1
3.2
4.4
2.0
2.8
4.8
0.8
6.2
6.4
6.0

3.4
3.8
3.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

1.1 Civil Service


Officers
Non Officers
1.2 Public Corporations
Officers
Non Officers
1.3 Bank & Financial Institutions
Officers
Non Officers
1.4 Army &Police Forces
Officers
Non Officers
1.5 Education
Officers
Non Officers
1.6 Private Organisations
Officers
Non Officers
2 Wage Rate Index
2.1 Agricultural Labourer
Male
Female
2.2 Industrial Labourer
High Skilled
Skilled
Semi Skilled
Unskilled
2.3 Construction Labourer
Mason
Skilled
Unskilled
Carpenter
Skilled
Unskilled
worker
Male
Female
P : Provisional

Table 4

Average Retail Prices of Selected Commodites in Border Market


Mid-August 2006
(Prices in NRs)
Nepal*
S.NO.

Discreption

Unit

India**

Mid-Aug 05

Mid-Jul 06

Mid-Aug 06 Mid-Aug 05

Mid-Jul 06

Mid-Aug 06

Percetage Change
3 Over 2

6 Over 5

3 Over 6
7.7

Foodgrains
1

Paddy Coarse

Qtl.

1145.25

1109.00

1104.00

954.00

1026.67

1024.67

-0.5

-0.2

Paddy Fine (Basmati )

Qtl.

2050.00

2137.50

2137.50

1653.34

2045.34

2050.67

0.0

0.3

4.2

Maize

Qtl.

1012.50

1011.25

1010.00

886.00

908.67

870.67

-0.1

-4.2

16.0

Rice Fine ( Basmati )

Kg.

37.42

42.00

42.00

37.73

40.40

39.33

0.0

-2.6

6.8

Rice ( Mansuli )

Kg.

23.75

24.00

24.09

22.53

21.07

19.93

0.4

-5.4

20.8

Rice Coarse

Kg.

19.67

18.83

18.92

16.87

16.87

16.20

0.4

-4.0

16.8

Beaten Rice

Kg.

24.17

23.50

23.67

21.47

21.07

20.80

0.7

-1.3

13.8

Wheat Flour ( Atta )

Kg.

16.75

20.75

20.92

14.87

18.07

18.20

0.8

0.7

14.9

Wheat Flour ( Maida )

Kg.

19.25

23.25

23.75

17.20

20.00

19.87

2.2

-0.7

19.6

10

Black Gram

Kg.

44.83

75.42

75.42

48.80

75.23

75.34

0.0

0.1

0.1

11

Arahar

Kg.

51.67

56.75

56.92

50.27

51.87

51.33

0.3

-1.0

10.9

12

Mung

Kg.

53.08

85.33

88.67

53.73

78.40

78.67

3.9

0.3

12.7

13

Musuro

Kg.

43.83

48.58

48.58

41.47

42.14

40.67

0.0

-3.5

19.5

14

Moog (Broken )

Kg.

53.25

85.75

85.75

47.73

65.33

63.80

0.0

-2.3

34.4

15

Chick Pea

Kg.

35.63

49.75

50.42

33.87

44.28

45.22

1.3

2.1

11.5

Vegetables

Kg.

16

Red Potato

Kg.

14.50

15.33

17.50

11.60

13.20

13.20

14.1

0.0

32.6

17

White Potato

Kg.

14.17

14.25

16.00

11.27

12.67

12.94

12.3

2.1

23.7

18

Dry Onion

Kg.

15.58

14.42

15.42

11.60

11.33

11.87

6.9

4.7

29.9

19

Tomato

Kg.

32.67

30.50

23.50

33.73

35.73

35.60

-23.0

-0.4

-34.0

20

Cabbage

Kg.

20.75

16.17

17.67

27.87

24.27

29.73

9.3

22.5

-40.6

21

Cauli Flower

Kg.

41.92

38.00

49.83

57.07

60.27

68.80

31.1

14.2

-27.6

Pulses

Fruits
22

Banana ( Harichhal )

Doz.

20.67

21.25

21.25

20.80

23.47

21.27

0.0

-9.4

-0.1

23

Apple (Chocolate )

Kg.

75.00

80.83

79.58

82.00

83.33

80.80

-1.5

-3.0

-1.5

24

Orange

Kg.

0.00

60.00

60.00

64.00

0.00

0.00

0.0

0.0

0.0

25

Sweet Orange

Kg.

39.00

55.00

45.84

33.60

48.00

41.34

-16.7

-13.9

10.9

26

Salt

Kg.

9.00

10.00

10.00

12.50

13.80

13.40

0.0

-2.9

-25.4

27

Turmeric

250g

17.75

22.25

22.25

20.93

22.00

22.93

0.0

4.2

-3.0

28

Garlic

250g

11.67

19.33

19.83

7.80

14.27

18.53

2.6

29.9

7.0

29

Ginger

250g

17.08

10.50

9.25

20.00

10.27

10.27

-11.9

0.0

-9.9

30

Cuminseed

Kg.

165.00

161.67

161.67

160.00

168.00

170.67

0.0

1.6

-5.3

31

Dry Chilli

250g

16.42

30.17

30.17

13.40

25.20

25.00

0.0

-0.8

20.7

32

Coriander

250g

12.75

17.84

17.84

11.40

14.93

15.07

0.0

0.9

18.4
-2.3

Spices

Milk & Milk Products


33

Dairy Milk

Lit.

23.00

25.00

25.00

25.20

25.20

25.60

0.0

1.6

34

Lactogen Refill Pack No.2

500g

227.50

227.50

227.50

213.20

212.00

213.60

0.0

0.8

6.5

35

Horlicks

500g

164.25

165.50

166.75

172.00

175.60

176.80

0.8

0.7

-5.7

36

Mutton

Kg.

215.00

228.33

228.33

192.00

214.67

206.67

0.0

-3.7

10.5

37

Chicken

Kg.

122.08

137.50

136.68

134.00

120.67

107.33

-0.6

-11.1

27.3

38

Fish (Rahu)

Kg.

95.83

109.58

107.50

84.00

102.00

98.67

-1.9

-3.3

9.0

39

Egg

Piece

4.52

4.13

4.13

2.98

2.26

2.28

0.0

1.0

80.7

40

Mustard Oil

Lit.

95.42

95.50

95.58

84.53

84.93

87.33

0.1

2.8

9.4

41

Vegetable Ghee

Lit.

49.75

56.84

58.67

68.67

73.60

74.13

3.2

0.7

-20.9

42

Soyabean Oil

Lit.

61.00

71.92

71.25

75.47

74.80

74.67

-0.9

-0.2

-4.6

43

Sunflower Oil

Lit.

90.50

92.25

92.58

104.53

110.22

109.69

0.4

-0.5

-15.6

44

Lundry Soap

Piece

9.00

9.00

9.00

8.60

8.60

8.60

0.0

0.0

4.7

45

Bath Soap (Lux)

Piece

17.00

17.00

17.00

20.80

20.80

20.80

0.0

0.0

-18.3

46

Urea

50Kg.

767.75

920.00

977.92

390.40

396.80

409.87

6.3

3.3

138.6

47

D.A.P.

50Kg.

1223.75

1263.33

1298.75

750.00

777.20

766.00

2.8

-1.4

69.5

48

Potas

50Kg.

680.00

685.00

683.33

353.60

349.33

348.80

-0.2

-0.2

95.9

Meat & Fish

Oil & Ghee

Soap

Chemical Fertilizers

Page 11 of 14

Nepal*
S.NO.

Discreption

Unit

Mid-Aug 05

Mid-Jul 06

India**
Mid-Aug 06 Mid-Aug 05
3

Mid-Jul 06

Mid-Aug 06

Percetage Change
3 Over 2

6 Over 5

3 Over 6
31.2

Construction Materials
49

Cement (Indian)

50

Iron Rods (10 mm.)

50Kg.

343.99

406.67

408.89

261.60

313.60

311.60

0.5

-0.6

Kg.

41.64

46.14

46.49

38.70

39.08

38.68

0.8

-1.0

51

Corrugated Sheet (26 Gage)

20.2

Bundle

4902.92

4785.00

4880.83

4592.00

5394.00

5456.00

2.0

1.1

-10.5

52

Bricks (Big Size)

53

Timber 3''x4''x12' (Sal Tree)

Thou.

3393.75

3675.00

3729.17

3235.00

3253.33

3406.67

1.5

4.7

9.5

Cft.

1006.25

1110.42

1118.75

1110.67

1271.92

1233.25

0.8

-3.0

-9.3

54

Mason

Day

207.29

224.17

224.17

228.00

230.67

242.00

0.0

4.9

-7.4

55

Carpenter

Day

196.88

217.92

217.92

224.00

226.27

238.00

0.0

5.2

-8.4

56

Labourer (Male)

Day

99.58

116.67

122.08

116.00

132.00

142.00

4.6

7.6

-14.0

57

Labourer (Female)

Day

97.08

109.58

115.83

110.00

126.00

136.00

5.7

7.9

-14.8
6.1

Wages

Petroleium Products
58

Kerosene (Open)

Lit.

34.13

47.71

47.63

35.73

44.80

44.91

-0.2

0.2

59

Kerosene (Quota)

Lit.

0.00

0.00

0.00

17.40

17.80

17.90

0.0

0.6

0.0

60

Diesel

Lit.

41.00

52.39

52.39

50.39

56.86

56.90

0.0

0.1

-7.9

61

Petrol

62

L.P. Gas

Lit.

62.00

67.24

67.24

69.98

81.12

81.02

0.0

-0.1

-17.0

Cylinder

900.00

900.00

900.00

483.38

484.58

484.58

0.0

0.0

85.7

Other
63

Sugar

64

Tea (Red Label)

Kg.

35.00

37.47

37.13

31.60

33.73

33.60

-0.9

-0.4

10.5

250g

61.33

85.50

85.50

73.60

74.20

73.93

0.0

-0.4

15.6

65

Electricity Tariff

30 Ampiar

664.00

664.00

664.00

155.20

155.20

155.20

66

Telephone Tariff

Minimum

259.90

259.90

248.60

313.20

323.20

310.64

0.0

0.0

327.8

-4.3

-3.9

67

Drinking Water Tariff

Minimum

50.00

50.00

50.00

80.00

80.00

80.00

0.0

0.0

-20.0
-37.5

68

Postal Stamp (Registry)

Minimum

10.00

10.00

10.00

35.20

35.20

35.20

0.0

0.0

-71.6

69

Doctor Fee (Specialist)

Per Patient

206.25

210.42

210.42

198.00

218.00

208.00

0.0

-4.6

1.2

70

Chest X-Ray

Per X-Ray

120.00

126.25

126.25

148.00

152.00

150.67

0.0

-0.9

-16.2

Service Sector

* Average Prices of Biratnagar, Birganj,Sidhdharthanagar and Nepalganj.


** Average Prices of Purnia, Mujjaffurpur, Gorakhpur and Baharaich.

Page 12 of 14

Table -5.1

Weekly Average Retail Prices of Some Essential Commodities


Kathmandu
Mid - August 2006

S. No.

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40

Name
Foodgrains
Rice Fine(Pokhreli)
Rice Mansuli(Terai )
Rice Mansuli (Trishuli )
Beaten Rice (Tikan)
Wheat Flour (Atta)
Bread
Pulses
Black Gram
Mung
Musuro
Chick Pea
Vegetables
Cabbage
Tomato
Beans Green
Red Potato
White Potato
Dried Onion
Fruits
Apple
Banana (Harichhal)
Spices
Salt
Cuminseed
Turmeric
Garlic
Milk & Milk Products
Dairy Milk
Lactogen
Oil and Ghee
Mustard Oil
Soybean Oil
Vegetable Ghee
Meat & Fish
Mutton
Fish( Rahu )
Soap
Bath Soap
Lundry Soap
Construction Materials
Cement (Nepali -Everest )
Cement ( Indian - Buland )
Iron Rods ( Himal )
Corrugated Sheets ( Hulas )
Bricks (Big Size)
Timber 3"x4"x12'(Sal Tree )
Others
Sugar
Tea
Kerosene ( Open market )

Unit

July.23
July.31
Srawan 07 Srawan 15
1
2

August.07
Srawan 22
3

(Prices in Rupees)
August.15 Percentage Change
Srawan 30 Column 3 Column 4
4
Over 2
Over 3

Kg.
Kg.
Kg.
Kg.
Kg.
Pound

38.67
25.00
29.33
50.00
24.67
16.00

38.67
25.00
29.33
50.00
24.00
16.00

38.67
25.00
29.33
50.00
24.00
16.00

38.67
25.00
29.33
50.00
24.33
16.00

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.4
0.0

Kg.
Kg.
Kg.
Kg.

88.33
86.67
56.67
65.00

86.67
83.33
55.00
63.33

86.67
81.67
55.00
63.33

86.67
80.00
55.00
63.33

0.0
-2.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
-2.0
0.0
0.0

Kg.
Kg.
Kg.
Kg.
Kg.
Kg.

12.00
16.00
33.33
18.00
13.67
18.00

12.00
13.00
31.67
18.00
15.00
18.00

11.33
13.00
28.33
18.00
15.00
18.00

12.00
12.00
30.00
19.33
15.67
18.67

-5.6
0.0
-10.5
0.0
0.0
0.0

5.9
-7.7
5.9
7.4
4.5
3.7

Kg.
Doz.

70.00
25.00

76.67
30.00

73.33
30.00

73.33
30.00

-4.4
0.0

0.0
0.0

Kg.
200g.
200g.
200g.

10.00
34.67
18.00
12.33

10.00
34.67
18.00
13.00

10.00
34.67
18.00
12.00

10.00
35.33
18.00
12.00

0.0
0.0
0.0
-7.7

0.0
1.9
0.0
0.0

500 ml.
500g

13.00
243.33

13.00
243.33

13.00
243.33

13.00
243.33

0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0

Lit.
Lit.
Lit.

100.00
68.00
58.00

100.00
68.67
60.00

100.00
68.67
60.00

100.00
69.33
60.67

0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
1.0
1.1

Kg.
Kg.

300.00
120.00

300.00
120.00

300.00
120.00

300.00
120.00

0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0

100g.
200g.

17.00
9.00

17.00
9.00

17.00
9.00

17.00
9.00

0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0

454.00
475.00
50.23
5310.00
3500.00
1250.00

454.00
485.00
51.36
5310.00
3500.00
1250.00

454.00
485.00
51.36
5310.00
3500.00
1250.00

454.00
485.00
51.36
5310.00
3500.00
1250.00

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

38.00
40.00
48.00

40.00
40.00
48.00

40.00
40.00
48.00

40.00
40.00
48.00

0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0

50Kg.
50Kg.
Kg.
Bundle
Thou.
C.F.
Kg.
200g.
Lit.

Table - 5.2

Weekly Average Retail Prices of Some Essential Commodities


Terai*
Mid - August 2006

S.No.

Name

31
32
33
34
35
36

Foodgrains
Rice Fine (Basmati)
Rice Mansuli
Beaten Rice
Wheat Flour (Atta)
Local Bread
Pulses
Black Gram
Arahar
Musuro
Chick Pea
Vegetables
Cabbage
Local Tomato
Green Beans
Red Potato
White Potato
Dried Onion
Fruits
Apple (Delicious)
Banana (Harichhal)
Spices
Salt
Turmeric
Cuminseed
Dry Chilli
Milk and Milk Products
Dairy Milk (500 ml.)
Lactogen Refill Pack NO.2
Oil and Ghee
Mustard Oil
Soybean Oil
Vegetable Ghee
Meat and Fish
Mutton
Fish( Rahu )
Soap
Bath Soap
Lundry Soap
Construction Materials
Cement ( Nepali )
Cement ( Indian )
Iron Rods
Corrugated Sheets
Bricks (Big Size)
Timber 3"x4"x12' ( Sal Tree)

37
38
39

Sugar
Tea Dust (Nepali)
Kerosene( open market )

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

Unit

July.23
Srawan 07
1

July.31
Srawan 15
2

August.07
Srawan 22
3

(Prices in Rupees)
August.15 Percentage Change
Srawan 30 Column 3 Column 4
4
Over 2
Over 3

Kg.
Kg.
Kg.
Kg.
Pound

40.92
23.83
23.00
20.59
15.17

40.92
23.83
23.00
20.59
16.67

40.92
23.83
23.42
20.59
16.75

40.92
23.75
23.33
20.59
16.83

0.0
0.0
1.8
0.0
0.5

0.0
-0.3
-0.4
0.0
0.5

Kg.
Kg.
Kg.
Kg.

74.75
55.33
48.33
55.58

75.00
55.33
48.17
55.58

75.00
55.33
48.25
55.58

75.00
54.08
47.83
55.50

0.0
0.0
0.2
0.0

0.0
-2.3
-0.9
-0.1

Kg.
Kg.
Kg.
Kg.
Kg.
Kg.

17.25
21.00
37.33
17.67
16.09
15.92

18.17
19.00
40.00
18.42
16.50
15.92

17.67
18.50
40.00
18.75
16.50
15.92

16.67
22.00
37.33
18.75
17.33
16.42

-2.8
-2.6
0.0
1.8
0.0
0.0

-5.7
18.9
-6.7
0.0
5.0
3.1

Kg.
Doz.

82.08
20.83

84.58
22.17

82.08
22.50

82.08
22.83

-3.0
1.5

0.0
1.5

Kg.
250g.
250g.
250g.

10.00
22.25
41.42
29.67

10.00
22.25
41.25
29.67

10.00
22.25
41.25
29.67

10.00
22.42
42.08
29.67

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.8
2.0
0.0

Pound
500g

12.75
230.00

12.75
230.00

12.75
230.00

12.75
232.50

0.0
0.0

0.0
1.1

Lit.
Lit.
Lit.

94.00
70.00
58.67

94.00
70.00
59.67

94.11
70.00
59.67

94.11
70.00
60.17

0.1
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.8

Kg.
Kg.

228.33
110.42

228.33
107.50

228.33
107.50

228.33
107.08

0.0
0.0

0.0
-0.4

100g.
200g.

17.00
9.00

17.00
9.00

17.00
9.00

17.00
9.00

0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0

382.92
408.89
46.77
4870.83
3737.50
1122.92

381.67
408.89
47.37
4895.83
3737.50
1122.92

381.67
400.00
47.37
4905.83
3741.67
1122.92

381.67
418.33
47.81
4905.83
3741.67
1122.92

0.0
-2.2
0.0
0.2
0.1
0.0

0.0
4.6
0.9
0.0
0.0
0.0

37.17
20.25
47.63

36.83
20.50
47.63

36.83
20.50
47.58

36.75
20.50
47.54

0.0
0.0
-0.1

-0.2
0.0
-0.1

50Kg.
50Kg.
Kg.
Bundle
Thou.
C.F..

Others
Kg.
100g.
Lit.

*Average Prices of Biratnagar, Birgunj, Sidhdharthanagar and Nepalgunj.

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