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Implications/ consequences:
A higher subsidy burden may force the government to look for
ways to increase income. It could look at increasing borrowing.
Higher government borrowing could crowd out private borrowing,
and interest rates may rise.
Food security will also mean a higher expenditure for the
government in the days to come. A higher expenditure will mean a
higher fiscal deficit.
In a particular year when the government is not able to procure enough rice or wheat
to fulfil its obligations under right to food security, it will have to import these grains.
There is another factor that can put pressure on the rupee.
This might also lead to the government printing money to finance
the scheme. It was and remains easy for the government to obtain
money by printing it rather than taxing its citizens.
Money printing will lead to higher inflation.
Higher food prices will mean higher inflation and this in turn will
mean lower savings Lower savings will also have an impact on the
current account deficit.
Conclusion:
The scheme is open-ended: theres no expiry date. It covers around two-thirds of the
populationeven those who are not really needy. This means that the outlays will have to
increase as the population grows. The government intends to use the Public
Distribution System for delivering subsidies to the poor. The PDS is already
used to deliver food subsidies to the poor but around 51% of the food
delivered that way is currently lost to leakages. It is sold on the open
market for a higher price. To conclude, the basic point is that food security will turn
out to be a fairly expensive proposition for India.
References:
http://profit.ndtv.com/news/cheat-sheet/article-food-security-bill-10-factsyou-should-know-326330
http://www.dnaindia.com/india/1587925/report-explained-facts-aboutfood-security-bill
http://www.firstpost.com/economy/food-bill-is-the-biggest-mistake-indiamight-have-made-till-date-1062841.html