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Agenda
What is advanced RAM analysis?
Quantitative picture of Performance
DNV solution
Top 5 tips to perform an effective RAM Study
DNV calls it
Defeat is ensured for the one who beforehand does not have all things in order,
people call it misfortune. While victory is ensured for the one who beforehand has
learned to be prepared, people call it luck.
Roald Amundsen
We call it RAM!
Tips to perform a RAM study
Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
Simulation
How it works
- The user specifies a configuration in terms of
equipment reliability and dependencies, as
well as the associated asset operations
- By discrete event simulation using a Monte
Carlo method, a number of life cycles given
the specified configuration are simulated
- By performing a large enough number of life The benefits with simulation are
cycle simulations a reliable prediction of the
- It can be used with process complexities
asset performance is produced
and uncertainties where exact analytical
solutions are not possible
- It allows for easy extension of the analysis
to include large inventories & sensitivity
studies (what-ifs)
- It highlights the weak links in the
configuration (equipment criticality) and
allows you to optimise asset configuration
and operations
whilst
Minimizing
manning costs
materials costs
maintenance work load
transportation and support
downtime affecting revenue/operating
and
costs
Maintaining
contractual nominations
safety case requirements
Slide 7
Quantitative picture of
Performance
Equipment/System uptime
Availability
Maintainability
Maintenance resources
Shift constraints
Mobilization delays
Spares constraints
Slide 9
Availability
Actual
Pump on
Pump on
Pump on
Pump failed
Pump failed
%
Potential
Pump always on
Time
Slide 10
Reliability
Equipment/System uptime
Availability
Maintainability
Production Efficiency
Maintenance resources
Shift constraints
Mobilization delays
Spares constraints
Operability
Plant interdependencies
Plant re-start times
Production/demand rates
Storage Size
Tanker Fleet and Operations
Slide 11
Achieved production
Production losses
Criticality
Contract shortfalls
Delayed cargoes
Actual
Volume
Pump on
Pump on
Pump on
Pump failed
Pump degraded
Potential
Volume
Pump always on
Production Rate
Time
Tips to perform a RAM study
Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
Slide 12
Reliability
Equipment/System uptime
Availability
Maintainability
Production Efficiency
Maintenance resources
Shift constraints
Mobilization delays
Spares constraints
Operability
Achieved production
Production losses
Criticality
Contract shortfalls
Delayed cargoes
Plant interdependencies
Plant re-start times
Production/demand rates
Storage Size
Tanker Fleet and Operations
Unit Costs/Revenue
Slide 13
Product price
Man-hour/spares costs
Transport costs
Discount rates
Actual
Volume
Pump on
Pump off
Pump on
Pump on
Pump degraded
Maintenance
Expenditure
Lost Revenue
Slide 14
Products
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Maros
Maintainability Availability Reliability
Operability Simulation program
Tool of choice for analysis of upstream and
LNG assets for the past 25 years
In use since 1984 with continuous
development efforts
Provides functionality for modelling of all
issues pertinent to process equipment and
units in the upstream market
Features include time varying production
flow profile, multiple products, production
recovery techniques, tanker export
operations, financial modelling and more
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Taro
Total Asset Review & Optimization
Specialised for modelling of refinery
complexes
Developed since in 1995
Provides capability for the integration of
shipping and storage into performance
models
Features include multiple streams, unit
interdependencies, yield rates, blending
rules, advanced storage and more
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2. Collecting
- Collate all required data
3. Preparation
- Prepare a study basis
- Build the model in stages
- Verify model operation at each stage
4. Results
- Compare over all results with expectations
- Perform sensitivity analyses
- Generate reports
Slide 19
Definition
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Slide 21
Slide 22
Collecting
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Slide 24
Reliability data
Getting the right data is a crucial step in a RAM Study
Sources
-
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Advantages
Generic-published
Easy to obtain
Generic-applied
Collected-maintenance data
Collected-formal scheme
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Disadvantages
Non-specific boundaries and
assumptions unknown
Requires detailed knowledge of
proposed application and
factors influencing reliability
Many not have data in the
correct form or detail required,
or sufficient amount of data
Preparation
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Slide 28
Maintenance strategies
Operational considerations
Slide 29
Results
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Slide 31
Analysis Results
Availability (uptime)
Production Efficiency
Production Statistics
Complex / Platform / Equipment Criticality
Frequency of Shutdowns
Maintenance Resource Expenditure
Utilization
Slide 32
Slide 33
Slide 34
Analysis is about a picture of performance (transparency) which the project team can
use to make decisions
Slide 35
Slide 36
Best regards,
DNV Software
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