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3/12/2015

IMFraisesIndiagrowthforecastto7.2%thisfiscalTheHindu

Today'sPaperBUSINESS
IMFraisesIndiagrowthforecastto7.2%thisfiscal
PujaMehra

TheInternationalMonetaryFund(IMF)hasforecastIndiawillgrow7.5percentin201516,upfrom7.2percentin
thecurrentyear,aprojectionlessoptimisticthanthatoftheModigovernment.
IntheUnionbudget2015,thegovernmentestimatedgrowthofupto8.5percentin201516.
TheIndianeconomyisthebrightspotinthegloballandscape,becomingoneofthefastestgrowingbigemerging
marketeconomiesintheworld,theIMFsaidinanofficialstatement.Thereportstressedtheurgencyofcertainkey
reforms,includingthebottlenecksintheenergy,miningandpowersectorsinfrastructuregaps,landacquisition
processesandenvironmentalclearances.
InitsannualassessmentoftheIndianeconomyinthemandatoryArticleIVannualreport,theIMFsaidthatIndias
vulnerabilitieshaverecededmorethanthoseofmostemergingmarketsandsentimenthasbeenrevived.
TheIndianeconomyisreviving,helpedbypositivepolicyactionsthathaveimprovedconfidenceandlowerglobaloil
pricesTocontinueonthistrend,Indianeedstorevitalisetheinvestmentcycleandacceleratestructuralreforms,
accordingtothestatement.
Newinvestmentprojectannouncementshavestartedtopickup,particularlyinthepowerandtransportsectors,said
IMFMissionChiefforIndiaPaulCashin.Healsonotedthatbolsteringfinancialsectorhealthandfurtherfinancial
inclusionwouldsupportgrowthgoingforward.
Mr.CashinsaidthatwhileIndiaiswellplacedtocopewithexternalshocks,therearepossiblerisksonthehorizon,
bothexternalanddomestic.Theseincludespilloversfromweakglobalgrowthandpotentialglobalfinancialmarket
volatilitythatcouldbedisruptive,includingfromanyunexpecteddevelopmentsastheUnitedStatesbeginstoraiseits
interestrates.Onthedomesticfront,theweaknessesincorporatebalancesheets,especiallyinlightoftheincreasein
corporateleverageofthepastfewyears,andworseningbankassetqualitybearwatching,astheycouldweighon
growth.
TheIMFreportalsosaidthatIndiaseconomicprofilerecentlygotaliftasthecountryimprovedthewayitmeasures
economicoutput.Therevisednationalaccountsseriesincorporatesnumerousconceptualandmethodological
improvementsthatmakethemmoreconsistentwithinternationalbestpractices,itsaidaddingthatthereportitself
waspreparedbeforetherevisionswerereleasedbytheCentralStatisticsOffice.
Mr.CashinalsogavethumbsuptotheModigovernmentsrecentmovetointroduceaflexibleinflationtargeting
framework.Itwillhelpdeliverlowandstableinflation,anddiminishtheprospectofrenewedboutsofhighinflation,
http://www.thehindu.com/todayspaper/tpbusiness/imfraisesindiagrowthforecastto72thisfiscal/article6983852.ece

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3/12/2015

IMFraisesIndiagrowthforecastto7.2%thisfiscalTheHindu

hesaid.
Amongthereformsthereportrecommendedarestepsintheagriculturesectorforefficientprocurement,distribution,
andstorageoffoodinthepublicsystem.Greaterflexibilityinlabourmarketsandimprovementsineducationfor
meetingtherisingshortagesofskilledlabourwereamongthekeyreformssuggested.

http://www.thehindu.com/todayspaper/tpbusiness/imfraisesindiagrowthforecastto72thisfiscal/article6983852.ece

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