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21 FEBRUARY 2015
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RBI governor Raghuram Rajan said an export-led growth strategy will not pay for India
as it did for Asian economies including China due to the tepid global economic
recovery, especially in the industrial countries. Photo: Bloomberg
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strategy will not pay for India as it did for Asian economies, including China,
due to the tepid global economic recovery, especially in the industrial
countries. Other emerging markets certainly could absorb more, and a
regional focus for exports will pay off. But the world as a whole is unlikely to
be able to accommodate another export-led China, he said.
The Narendra Modi government, after coming to power six months ago, has
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Make for India better approach than Make in India: Raghuram Rajan - Livemint
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powerhouse and has advocated for boosting exports and incentivizing import
substitution.
Rajan, however, clarified that he is not advocating export pessimism.
Instead, I am counselling against an export-led strategy that involves
subsidizing exporters with cheap inputs as well as an undervalued exchange
rate simply because it is unlikely to be as effective at this juncture. I am also
where all sorts of enterprise can flourish, and then leaving entrepreneurs to
choose what they want to do. Instead of subsidizing inputs to specific
industries because they are deemed important or labour-intensive, a strategy
that has not really paid off for us over the years, let us figure out the public
goods each sector needs, and strive to provide them, he added.
Giving instances, Rajan said small and medium enterprises might benefit
much more from an agency that can certify product quality, or a platform to
help them sell receivables, or a state portal that will create marketing
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even though many other emerging economies are not doing too well, India
has an opportunity to move towards a growth rate of 6-7% and thereafter to
8%, Singh said.
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33 Comments
pointed circle
While what Rajan is saying makes sense it is long-drawn and seems to have a high
gestation period in which he is essentially suggesting creation of the environment. It is a
lot more easier for the govt to focus on sectors and have sector-specific plans. However
considering we already are the king of software world, why not ride the momentum there?
In any case the ROI on software/services is much higher than than of manufacturing.
Deep
With a high gst rate proposed of 27% we cannot have a consumption boom and without it
we cannot have a manufacturing boom.
Practical Guy
Do you think some one who comes an invests large money would not think about local
demand? and think of just export? Would that not meet with competition and bring upon a
balance immediately? What are we trying to say here?
Make in India for India is good. But Make in India for export is not bad!! Its a combination
of both that will ultimately make India succeed. If someone disagrees, please give specific
examples.
NPegasus
Why does it have to be export driven growth vs. domestic growth? Why not a combination
of two in healthy proportion? Nobody disagrees that building better physical infrastructure,
and reducing costs of buying and selling (introducing GST) will encourage organic growth.
Mr. Rajan has side stepped on the high cost of capital. How do you finance infrastructure
when the cost of borrowing Indian money is astronomical?
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