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CONTENTS
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13
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Principles of Interdependence
95
108
112
PROLEGOMENA
EPILOGUE
iii
iv
Prolegomena
the problems relating to the crisis which a vast majority of the world
have been passionately discussing the liquidity problems, the job losses,
the government debts, the tax policies, banks being too big to fail, the
family and corporate bankruptcies, the wealth inequalities all these
problems are not actually problems. They are merely symptoms
of a much more profound and original cause.
This thesis shall endeavor to explain this original cause of the
crisis: societies throughout history have experienced only three
basic paradigms or fields of economic-labor relationships; agriculture and mining, mass production, and services1 (72 percent
of the global labor-force is now crowded into the services sector).
In the past, as technological advancements reduced the demand
for mass human labor in one field, that mass labor subsequently
moved onto the next field. The crisis we are now experiencing is
caused specifically and predominantly because mass human labor is no
longer needed in these three exhausted fields.
In short, we proffer herein that society is now at a crossroads
of how we even define the problem of the global economic crisis.
Either the crisis is caused by too high or too low taxes, too many
regulations, or not enough, too much or not enough government
intervention to create jobs, immigration policies being too lax or
too rigid or even that the crisis is not actually a crisis, but rather
only a market correction or, as this thesis contends, the crisis is
explicitly caused by nothing more than the ceaseless clock of evolution. The essential objective of this thesis is to stimulate a more
enlightened global dialogue to first accurately define the cause of
the crisis (if indeed it can be agreed there is a crisis), and from that
more accurate definition of the problem, some solution or set of
solutions can be more reasonably and rationally considered.
If society chooses to explore the definition of the crisis as we
herein posit it to be that our three accustomed fields of socio-economic activity no longer requires human labor the path this
unorthodox definition weaves shall lead to a series of disquieting
observations. What we mean by this is that if a society is accustomed to viewing the seemingly technocratic and practical func1 The services sector generally includes: government, telecommunication, information
technology, pharmaceuticals, healthcare/hospitals, education, banking/financial services,
insurance, legal services, consulting, news medias, casinos, tourism, and retail sales, etc.
economic fields of the past. Put simply, the Titanic has already hit
the iceberg, and no amount of patching the hull will prevent the
ship from sinking. The only rational course of action is to rapidly
and wisely construct a lifeboat a fourth economy.
Further, and keeping in mind that the three economic fields
humanity has been cultivating for generations are now exhausted
in terms of supporting the labor masses, we can also discern
that several of the newly emerging models of economics such
as sharing2, caring3, or gift4 economies, or corporate social
responsibility5 programs are equally incapable of preventing the
ship from sinking. Indeed, even though these types of emerging
economic models originate from genuine and humane intentions,
they may actually be masking our view of the actual problem facing
global societies and their markets. To explain this view: sharing
economy programs, such as Airbnb (accommodations sharing)
or Uber (transport sharing) are not actually sharing in some transcendental sense, but rather are nothing more than markets naturally seeking out more efficient flows of activity. In a conventional
corporation, the company is constantly searching to more effec2 Sharing economy (also referred to as peer-to-peer economy, mesh, collaborative
economy, collaborative consumption) is a socio-economic practice based on the sharing
of human and physical resources. The collaborative consumption model is used in
marketplaces such as eBay, Craigslist, Airbnb and Uber, emerging sectors such as social
lending, peer-to-peer accommodation, peer-to-peer travel experiences, peer-to-peer task
assignments or travel advising, car sharing or commute-bus sharing.
3 Caring economy is a socio-economic practice focused on raising awareness,
investment, and formal economic indicator status in the development of high quality
human capital (particularly for those that seek to assist society as a whole teachers,
doctors, nurses, women in general, and the like).
4 Gift economy (also referred to as gift culture or gift exchange) is a socio-economic
practice based on the notion that valuables are not sold, but rather given without an explicit
agreement for immediate or future rewards. This particular socio-economic practice, more
so than sharing or caring economies, has foundations that are more anthropological rather
than economic. Certain anthropologists have theorized that communities experience
internal conflicts when faced with economic exchanges that may not be mutually beneficial,
and thus seek to encourage members of a community to gift something of value to another
without an explicit expectation for some immediate or future reward thus diffusing any
internal conflict.
5 Corporate social responsibility (CSR, also corporate conscience, corporate citizenship
or sustainable responsible business) is a form of corporate self-regulation integrated
into a companys business model and ethos. CSR policies function as a self-regulatory
mechanism whereby a business monitors and directs its active compliance with legal and
ethical standards as opposed to acting within conventional competitive attitudes that are
more adversarial and/or purely self-interested.
10
11
12
The world we live in, our view of it and the values we attach
to it, is shaped by what we know. And when what we know
changes, the world changes and with it, everything.
James Burke, The Day the Universe Changed
14
PERCENTAGE OF WORKFORCE
70%
APEX OF
MANUFACTURING LABOR ECONOMY, 1939
53%
35%
18%
0%
1850 60
70
80
90 1900 10
20
30
40 1950 60
MANUFACTURING
[ secondary ]
70
80
90 2000 10
SERVICES
[ tertiary ]
However, before we delve any deeper into Clark and Fourastis charting of these three economic sectors and their evolutionary consequences to the human endeavor, we need to briefly
travel back to the 18th century. There, we will observe the revolutionary birth of economies for the masses. This is important for
two specific reasons: the day-to-day practical nature of economic
activity; and the moral nature of social order. Prior to, and in the
early years of the Industrial Revolution, human labor was generally
coerced either via feudalism or outright slavery. But as a consequence of multiple events, including the reoccurring pandemics of
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and economic activity jeopardizes both the efficacy and sustainability of a commercial society and thus, social order.
The evolutions and globalization of moral complexities are
only one facet of the existential threat being imposed on Adam
Smiths commercial society. Inevitably, technology and automation
replaces the need for mass human labor in increasingly broader
market segments and labor is thus forced to move on to some
newer field of revenue generation. As Figure 1 (page 14) shows,
Clark and Fourasti observed that as early as 1939, the U.S. laborforce had already begun to migrate out of the manufacturing sector
the epistle and empowering talisman of the masses and into
the uncharted territory of the services sector. In modern markets,
the services sector now makes up a considerable 72 percent of the
worlds output, and generally includes: government, telecommunication, information technology, pharmaceuticals, healthcare
and hospitals, education, banking and financial services, insurance, legal services, consulting, news medias, casinos, tourism,
and retail sales. Figure 2 illustrates the dramatic rate of growth of
the services sector in comparison to the agriculture/mining and
manufacturing sectors between the years 1962 and 2011.
Figure 3 illustrates how new jobs were distributed within the
U.S. labor market in 2014. Out of 3.3 million new jobs, the over-
Agriculture
& Mining
Manufacturing
Services
-7 %
11 %
211 %
19
22
355
Health care
450
Business services
660
Fig 3Distribution of new jobs, U.S., 2014 (selected series) (in 000s)
Source: US BLS
Higher-wage industries
Mid-wage industries
Lower-wage industries
- 3,579
- 3,240
- 1,973
Jobs lost
Jan 2008 - Feb 2010
2,603
2,282
3,824
Jobs gained
Feb 2010 - Feb 2014
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demonstrate that growth in traditional sectors such as manufacturing and housing construction have all but dissipated. From a
wider birds eye view, Figure 4 illustrates how various sectors of the
U.S. labor market were initially impacted by the 2008 Great Recession, and how the recovery within these sectors has been uneven
and over-balanced to lower-wage industries. Between 2008 and
2014, lower-wage industries accounted for only 22% of job losses,
but 44% of jobs gained (the majority of overall employment gains).
Mid-wage industries accounted for 37 percent of job losses, but
only 26 percent of job gains. Higher-wage industries accounted for
41 percent of job losses, but only 30 percent of job gains.
Hidden within the data, however, we must recognize that
in the limited ways and sectors it can, the hand of government
intervention in stimulating job creation, has consequences. The
Barack Obama Administration, as an example, in facilitating a
somewhat aggressive expansion in health care services (and the
1.2 million new jobs necessary to facilitate this care), as a consequence of mandating that employers contribute to subsidizing
their employees insurance premiums, some employers have retaliated to this mandate to contribute by cutting labor and investing in
technology that replaces the need for labor. This gravitation toward
technology replacing labor, as Clark and Fourasti demonstrated
in the 1940s, has always been present. But as can be observed with
various government intervention projects, the short-term economic
(and political) gains derived from these interventions have often
unanticipated long-term consequences that effect the very fabric
of human socio-economic activity. Also hidden within the data
are the fundamental shifts occurring within traditional bastions of
wealth, power, and influence. U.S. law schools, as an example, are
experiencing the lowest number of applicants in 40 years, fewer
legal jobs for graduates, and wildly rising tuition costs. At the same
time, the legal services profession has experienced a fundamental
shift in the way it functions. Law firms which once depended
upon young graduates to do laborious tasks such as search through
volumes of documents, now use computer programs.
Overall, Figures 2, 3, & 4 should provide an initial pattern, an
initial insight that something fundamental has shifted in the essential nature and function of economic markets. The pattern that
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seems to emerge from the above (and similar) data which interprets
only the symptoms of the persistent global economic crisis, is that
market economies which already were overly populated into the
services sector, a small and confined market of low-wage services
has now become the last refuge of the masses. And we know as a
human species what inevitably happens in confined markets where
scarcity and competition for survival come face to face.
From this initial pattern revealed in the above symptoms, we
can begin to discern a series of deeper observations that begin to
illuminate the true cause of the economic crisis. Three primary
risks exist in such a large percentage of the human labor-force
being focused toward the cultivation of any single market field
(in this case, services). The first risk is that a tragedy of the commons
is created where individuals acting independently and rationally according to each ones self-interest, behave contrary to the
larger groups long-term best interests by depleting some common
resource. The second risk is more specific to the services sector
in that services should operate from a valuation of quality (rather
than quantity). In agriculture and manufacturing, quantity is the
primary objective we want, as a society, to purchase a quantity
of something, say, automobiles. Yes, quality is important, but it
is quantity which provides a market-wide demand for not simply
automobiles, but fuel stations, roads, and replacement parts. In the
services sector, however, a corporation does not have as its priority
to solicit a quantity of consulting services documents, but rather to
acquire the most quality from any specific consulting document.
But global economic markets are almost universally constructed
to facilitate quantity. The key economic indicator of a national
market is Gross Domestic Product (GDP) a function of quantity,
not quality. Modern markets simply do not yet know how to facilitate quality as a fundamental benchmark.
The third risk relates to securing and maintaining aggregate
demand. A critical necessity to sustain a commercial society is that
the masses generate enough demand (meaning, possessing disposable capital) circulating throughout the marketplace to keep the
masses employed producing for and consuming from each other.
Obviously, then, without aggregate demand being maintained, not
enough fuel is able to circulate throughout the engine of economics
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and the engine essentially stalls. A little later, we shall explore the
often severely negative impact of the services sector has on maintaining aggregate demand but first, we need to put the notion of
aggregate demand into a wider historical perspective.
The challenge of maintaining aggregate demand is certainly not
new. Before, during, and after the Great Depression of the 1930s
to 1940s, two great schools of thought fiercely debated how best
to regain aggregate demand throughout the marketplace (remembering that aggregate demand is simply enough capital money
flowing through the market in sufficient quantity to facilitate the
masses to consume). One school, represented by John Maynard
Keynes, argued that it was vital for governments to aggressively
increase the supply of money flowing into the marketplace. This
was done by way of two primary methods: central banks lending
money at more favorable rates to commercial banks so as to
encourage increased investment, and thus, employing new labor to
operate and manage this new investment; and governments instituting public-oriented spending, such as infrastructure expansion,
so as to directly increase labor demand.
This first school of thought is generally referred to as Keynesian
economics. In the main, liberal and social political institutions tend
to adopt Keynesian tools so as to manage aggregate demand in
part, because these types of political institutions inherently tend to
hold the view that government programs are materially best suited
to serve society as a whole. Thus, Keynesian tools conveniently fit,
a priori, into these paradigms of social purpose, organization and
management.
The contrasting school of thought attempting to best manage
aggregate demand is demonstrated by Friedrich Hayek and his
view that the business cycle of ebbs and flows to market demand
was only natural, and that markets should essentially be left alone
to sort itself out naturally. Hayek argued government intervention
into the marketplace either via increasing the supply of money
or via government jobs programs was artificial, and thus, would
produce only artificial results. Understandably, this Hayekian
school is easily adopted, a priori, by libertarian and conservative
political institutions due to their belief that government should
persistently get out of the way of the private sector.
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RATE OF GROWTH
100%
75%
50%
25%
0%
Period 1: 1947-1970
AVG HOURLY WAGES (ROG)
Period 2: 1970-2010
GDP (ROG)
Fig 5Rates of grow th comparison of US household debt, avg. hourly wages, & GDP
Source: BLS and US Federal Reser ve
these two periods. But during the same two periods, GDP experienced an overall 18% increase in its rate of growth. Obviously, if
wage growth was slowing, and GDP growth was rising, something
other than wages was fueling the growth of GDP. Certainly, the
use of technology and automation impacts both labor and output.
But more tellingly, the rate of growth for household debt during
these two periods rose by 48%.
If effectively used to provisionally stimulate a particular
segment of the market in times where certain inefficiencies have
inadvertently entered, debt might then be considered beneficial.
But as Figure 5 suggests, the masses became addicted to exponentially increasing doses of the debt drug. Since the Middle Ages,
world markets have employed a monetary system of currency based
on reserves of gold and sometimes silver. But beginning in the
1970s, the U.S. led the way to replace the gold standard with what
is called fiat money currency which originally derived its value
from government regulation or law. As of 2013, no nation-state
uses a gold standard as the basis of its monetary system. And this
is where a substantial amount of misinformation and confusion
begins to distort our fundamental understanding of economics
and in turn, the crisis of the Great Recession.
Almost exclusively, government and business leaders, well-respected economists, and academicians from around the world
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long outdated management of taxation and the conflicting definitions and consequences of market efficiency, to the deficiencies
inherent within advertising-dependent business models as well as
the paradox of financialization9 and. But what has been presented
thus far in this abridged version should be sufficient in allowing
the reader to discern an emerging pattern:
Thesis 1: A substantial amount of misinformation and outdated
knowledge is inappropriately guiding our collective understanding
of economics and more specifically and immediately, our
day-to-day management of the global economic crisis itself.
Thesis 2: Once we update our knowledge-base of economics, we
finally will realize the inescapable truth that our three accustomed
fields of agriculture and mining, mass production, and services
no longer demand human labor resources sufficient to employ
the masses, and thus, can no longer sustain aggregate demand
throughout the masses. Without aggregate demand, Adam Smiths
economies for the masses can no longer be maintained. Without the
glue of a commercial society (or some alternative), social order by
and amongst the masses can no longer be maintained.
In short, the socio-economic compass we have been assiduously following for generations, upon enlightened inspection, we
discover has been rusted and broken for quite some time. By excavating the long-forgotten charts of Clark and Fourastis, we now
find ourselves in the uncharted and unstable territory of reality. The
collapsing nature of our individual and collective socio-economic
actions, no matter how illusory it has been for nearly three-quarters of a century, has a devastating and corrosive impact upon the
moral nature of social order. The next chapter shall explore the
strange paradox of how a global civilization can perceive that its
social order is derived from considered and accurate knowledge
but, in actuality, social order has been artificially constructed
upon the two incongruous pillars of illusion and fear. g
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Robert Malthus, and Ibn Khaldun, as examples, were multi-disciplinary obtaining their wisdom from philosophy, theology, and
study of society as a whole, and then applying that wisdom into the
practice of economics.
Know, then that the difference between people arises
principally from the difference in their occupations; for their
very union springs out of the need for co-operation in the
securing of a livelihood.10
The human wisdom displayed by the above observation of Ibn
Khaldun in 1377 is contrasted by contemporary institutions which
more narrowly focus their observations on the technical mechanics
of economics. As the following text proclaimed by the Swiss-based
Center for Banking Studies demonstrates, the focus becomes so
profoundly narrowed toward mechanics, our human behavior is
essentially excluded from any consideration. Problems and their
solutions thus become subjects of technocratic, rather than
human intervention and consequence. Our capacity for wisdom
begins to atrophy.
Unemployment. What are the causes of involuntary
unemployment? Contrary to what is often believed, it can
be shown that pathological unemployment is due not to the
behaviour of economic agents, but to a monetary anomaly
affecting the process of capital accumulation. At the core of
the anomaly is the fact that profits give rise to a bank deposit
that never dries up, thus generating repeated financial
lendings of the same sum. Once the process of capital
accumulation has reached a level that no longer allows for
a positive difference between natural and monetary rates
of interest, new investments are necessarily reduced and
employment shrinks. [This] analysis [] leads to a proposal
for a monetary reform allowing capital to accumulate
consistently with the very nature of bank money and with
the logical and factual distinction between money, income
and capital.11
10 Ibn Khaldun, The Muqaddimah, 1377
11 Centro di Studi Bancari (Center for Banking Studies) - http://www.csbancari.ch/
pubblicazioni/RMElab/concerns.htm (as of December 2014)
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In their very essence, societies have grown to almost reflexively operate in a hierarchical and competitive manner focusing
their existence around the perpetual task of acquiring increasing
amounts of material wealth (which exists only in limited supply) so
as to maintain or acquire additional security and/or power (which
tends to grow narrower as one climbs the pyramid). Consequently,
individuals fall into the timeless and dishonorable trap of competing
with each other for this limited supply of wealth, security, and
power thus self-perpetuating the dysfunctional pyramid structures and dogmas for the generations that follow. Exacerbating this
zero-sum competition for wealth and power, society as a whole
is compelled to sustain the entire global economic and political
system via the act of persistent and increasing material consumption even though the natural resources required to produce this
endless material consumption are limited. Thus, we have self-created a paradox for ourselves: an economic and political system
based on scarcity, but fueled by endless material consumption.
The modern societal fabric has been progressively torn apart
into competitive rather than cooperative relationships. This ever-increasing division of society, then, has caused society to disregard
their desire to seek approval from others and instead, to seek
nothing but self-gratification and self-aggrandizement. Society
and by extension, its marketplace has lost its cooperative nature
which is essential to maintain value generation, and hence, order.
Thus, differences begin to fester and erode the commercial society
which has served civilizational order for over 200 years. And as a
consequence of a weakened social order, society is neither confident nor cooperative in questioning or self-regulating its overall
behavior and thus, cannot clearly see the terrible paradox of scarcity-versus-consumption it has self-created. Somehow, modern
society has come to accept as some divine inevitability that the
primary objective of a prudent and realistic person is to strengthen
those qualities we have come to define as ambition and success to
persistently strive to get ahead. Our moment-to-moment task is to
escalate up the pyramid of wealth, station, class, and ultimately for
the select few, power. Everyone else, then, is to be considered an
adversary that we must surpass and even defeat at all costs. The
rule of survival of the fittest, of social Darwinism, is the game.
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But, as we have seen, the game now seems to have finally run
its course, to have finally exhausted not only the resources of this
Earth, but also the moral fortitude of the human endeavor itself.
Governments can no longer afford to fund a plethora of social
entitlement programs, yet both the aged and the young maintain
that their group is indeed entitled to certain social and employment benefits, no matter the cost to the other group. Indeed,
between 2007 and 2011, the younger generations, as a percentage
of the U.S. labor-force, declined, whilst those aged 55 and older
increased (BLS, 2011). Businesses aggressively seek their version
of entitlements as well, from tax breaks to the relaxing of various
regulatory oversights from how they treat the environment and
even their own employees. Industries with the best and most wellfunded government lobbyists win the best concessions, whilst
industries that cannot afford such representation, bear the full
burden of maintaining the social systems, thus essentially subsidizing the wealthier industries. Instead of Adam Smiths market
where multiple blacksmiths are able to jointly feed and collaborate
with a growing market demand, our modern Darwinist market
is turning on itself and like the ouroboros, is eating its own
tail. Until now, no matter how unforgiving or even immoral our
Darwinist markets had become, there seemed to be no other game
in town; no game-changer or no messiah leader seemed to come
to societys rescue. When some new technology or project or leader
professes to have the sacred game-changer, society pauses for a
moment, breathless, hoping against hope that indeed the game
can be changed. Inevitably, though, the game continues on, and all
society can do is make the best it can as it is forced to muster any
ambition and drive for success which might still somehow remain.
The moral foundations of this thesis shall attempt to communicate that, despite the game being perhaps mortally wounded by
the 2008 Great Recession, the only true game to change is our very
selves. The practical foundations of this thesis, then, shall attempt
to demonstrate that the very act of seeking out a new fourth
economy will inherently and intuitively begin to inspire society to
shed its Darwinist tendencies, and in turn, rebirth their collaborative and empathic tendencies. In order for us to explore such a
process via which we can somehow regain our societal cooperative
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Fig 8Meslin
example 2 - if
consumer
corporations
published ads in
the same manner
as Fig 7, they
might look like
this.
Fig 9Meslin
example
3 - if a city
administration
truly wanted to
encourage public
engagement,
their ad might
look like this.
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introducing punitive fines. But the result of the fines was that
late pick-ups actually increased. Parents still arrived late, paid the
fine, and just went on with life. Sandel, in the same the masses
are victims vein as Noam Chomsky before him, argues that the
markets are somehow separate from the masses, and that some
external life-force somehow possesses the soul and institutions
of the markets to imprison the weak and powerless masses. The
masses are merely victims of the market. Sandel argues that it is the
market which is responsible for corrupting the natural and moral
idea of collective responsibility. Once the old norm of arriving
on time at the day-care center had been monetized, according to
Sandel, it was impossible to change back.
But Foucault argued (famously with Noam Chomsky in a 1971
television debate) that this the market is responsible attitude only
enables and fortifies our individual and societal sense of victimhood. Foucault argued against the institutions influence us
approach because almost every institution that exists throughout
all aspects of human civilization does so for the inherent purpose
to perpetuate some articulated or unarticulated (conscious or
subconscious) will of society. Thus, Foucaults observations ultimately lead us to this destination: society either directly or indirectly creates any and all institutions and their resulting policies as
a direct consequence of societys need to have institutions control
society rather than society, on an individual and collective level,
control itself. Throughout history, society has tended to appoint
institutions to enact the general will of the people.
Two consequences, however, arise from our choice to institutionalize our natural responsibilities: firstly, we abdicate our
natural responsibilities to someone else. This Adam Smith division of labor approach may, at first glance, seem an efficient way
of managing the affairs of society. But, as we have seen throughout
the experiences of our lives, our separatist world-view can also
do us harm. And secondly, over the centuries, we have simply
lost consciousness of the underlying philosophies, intentions, and
cultural norms that are embedded into our institutions, our market
economies, and our entire way of life. We have inherited, but we
have not comprehended what we have inherited. We are in the
system and the system is in us. We have been divided into indi-
45
vidual productive units for the sake of profit only because we have
chosen not to join together in collaborative and interdependent
endeavors for the sake of pure experience. Wall Street bankers and
inept government officials have not led us to the cliff of economic
ruin. We have all led ourselves into crisis.
Is it possible the owners of the day-care center story Sandel
recounts in a misguided effort to resolve what they saw to be
a collective responsibility failure by their clients are the ones
actually responsible for projecting a monetizing solution into
the problem? What if the owners had simply sat down with their
clients to discuss the human elements of what was happening and
as a result of this more human dynamic, the community discovered some collaborative approach which addressed not merely the
symptom of the problem (parental lateness), but the problem itself
(the day-to-day dynamics of child care)? Perhaps someone in the
community might have been inspired to start an in-house arts and
crafts project for children, or established a relationship with active
elderly volunteers (helping both young and old). The lesson here:
the knee-jerk reaction to consistently blame markets rather than
ourselves, often blinds us in our ability to see unexplored possibilities just waiting for us in our own consciousness.
A mere 13 years after the revolutionary births of American
republicanism and Adam Smiths mass liberation of the laboring
class, the very sovereignty of the British monarchy and governance itself throughout the territories of Europe were now in
mortal peril. The common man had been liberated from poverty
and slavery but now wanted more. The common man was now
emboldened to want natural rights rights that originate from
life itself, rather than from some self-appointed governor or law, no
matter how benevolent. To the elites minds, the genie had to be
put back in the bottle, and quickly. In the year 1790, the political
theorist and philosopher Edmund Burke published Reflections on
the Revolution in France and perhaps no other document or philosophy has had such an enduring and crippling impact upon how
ruling elites view the masses within a modern-era government
and how the masses, still today, have continued to cower from
their own natural responsibilities. Edmund Burke, in arguing
why a French Revolution should not be supported, parroted much
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ians: those who are strong, adventurous, and brave; in the armed
forces. These correspond to the spirit part of the soul. Workers:
laborers, carpenters, plumbers, masons, merchants, farmers, etc.
These correspond to the appetite part of the soul. Certainly, we
can see that this reductionist view of the human species is effectively predeterminative, even dehumanizing for each of us can
possess a mixture of all three of these aspects of psychology
and behavior at any given time. We are much more subtle and
composite than Plato or Burke believe us to be. We do not have
to be compartmentalized into behavioral and social boxes. We do
not have to be governed by some external force of power. We can
govern ourselves.
Finally, this leads us to the concept of self-governance versus
our conventional perception that we require some form of extrinsic
incentive (an incentive that is external or separate from the primary
activity being performed) in order to govern our actions and our
socio-economic behavior. Management advisor, Daniel Pink, is a
forceful voice for helping us to observe that a profound mismatch
exists between what science knows and what business does.
Modern economic and business models continue to be based on the
notion that some monetary award should be given so as to motivate
a person to complete a task in the shortest time possible. A simple
example: a person is offered some monetary award if they successfully stack a certain number of boxes or saw a certain volume of
wooden planks in a specific alloted time. But what happens when
the task is not merely mechanical when the task requires some
element of creativity or ingenuity?
As early as the 1940s, science was already demonstrating
that people often had difficulties in visual perception and problem-solving tasks. The Gestalt psychologist, Karl Duncker,
devised the now-famous experiment called the candle problem to
test what he termed functional fixedness (where one element of
a whole situation already has a [fixed] function which has to be
changed for making the correct perception or for finding the solution to the problem).13 The result of Dunkers experiment and
13 For a more detailed description of the candle problem, see http://en.wikipedia.org/
wiki/Candle_problem
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The underlying and unspoken objective that seems to be motivating the business sector to not accept what observable science is
recommending, is that business owners are singularly focused on
forcing compliance upon the labor-force (meaning, this is what
you must do to get paid), rather than to allow the labor-force to be
intrinsically engaged into the deeper affairs and inner workings of
the business. The three clear observations to be made in understanding the consequences of intrinsic versus extrinsic motivators: a] Pink observes what stimulates a persons internal sense of
consciousness (and thus, performance motivator) is the yearning
to do what we do in the service of something larger than ourselves.
b] Thus, rather than compliance coerced with carrots and sticks,
what should motivate modern-era labor resources is the more
naturally and intrinsically felt need to make a valued contribution
or service (internal to a persons sense of consciousness, utility, or
societal/personal consequence). c] On simply a functional level,
the challenges and tasks inherent to the 21st century services-centric economy inherently require all economic actors to be engaged
in some type of collaborative partnership, rather than bound by
conventional owner and labor-rent relationships.
Yet, we illogically disregard what science and naturalness
are attempting to communicate, and we stubbornly adhere to an
outdated paradigm based on compliance and coercion, rather than
an evolved paradigm of collaboration and service. If we attempt
to imagine a scene from some primitive society, or perhaps from
Adam Smiths generation, we can easily conceptualize that each
member of the community was tangibly experienced and valued
by the community as a whole. The hunter-gatherer who brought
back a deer carcass was made to feel the gratitude of the entire
community, perhaps with offerings of fruit or drink. A craftsman
who wielded a blacksmiths hammer to construct a simple table or
a complex building structure left a tangible mark upon society and
its capacity to survive, progress, and evolve.
But in todays self-centered marketplace, when we pass by a
bank building or stand in front of a government service bureaucrat,
we quite often do not exude this type of positive feeling that individuals laboring within these institutions are actually attempting
to assist society as a whole. Indeed, we often feel that an increasing
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Since 1776, Adam Smiths economics for the masses has been at
the center of social order. By allowing the commercial society to
weaken, social order is now in palpable jeopardy. As a consequence,
we have a collective duty to finally come to terms with this inescapable fact: the crisis we are now experiencing (economic, social, and
environmental) is caused specifically because mass human labor is no
longer needed in the three exhausted fields of agriculture/mining, mass
production, and services.
In the end, as Foucault observes, we truly have no one other
than ourselves to blame for the increasing fracturing of our
socio-economic order. Our own gluttony, our own hubris, our own
antipathy to evolve these are the unhealthy seeds to our present
socio-eco0nomic crisis. Society has allowed itself and its integral
responsibilities to atrophy, and no longer comprehends how to
balance between individual well-being and enlightenment, societal well-being and order, and responsibility to care for and sustain
Earths resources and environment.
Only we the entirety of the masses can make the decisive move to finally change the game and stem this decline we
are presently experiencing, and thus, re-knit the societal fabric
of the human endeavor. As Ibn Khaldun intimated so long ago,
we need to rediscover some form of mutually-supportive occupational paradigm as we explore some new socio-economic endeavor
beyond that of mere luxury consumption (and technically, making
sure that this cooperation results in aggregate demand on both a
local and global scale). As Daniel Pink observes (and as countless
others throughout history have observed) that the yearning to do
what we do in the service of something larger than ourselves is what
most effectively (and honorably) motivates a labor-force. The next
chapter shall attempt to discern what might be the larger than
ourselves foundations which animate this new paradigm beyond
luxury consumption. We shall explore what we call principles of
global interdependence. g
PRINCIPLES OF INTERDEPENDENCE
When any attempt is being made to either discuss particular principles of any existent or conceptual world-view, we are
duty-bound to venture down a rabbit-hole of sorts to earnestly
peer into the uncertain fog of humanitys collective philosophical
precepts. This abridged edition of this thesis in its undertaking
to visualize the principles of some new socio-economic paradigm
of global interdependence cannot even begin to examine comprehensively or even fairly into the myriad of intricate concepts that
comprise the philosophical underpinnings of our human endeavor
seeking its next evolutionary milestone. This text can merely touch
the surface of only a minor selection of these concepts. Some form
of beginning, however, must be ventured so that societies can be
stimulated to initiate a wider and more thorough discernment
process.
Thus, what follows in this chapter shall briefly highlight four
selected concepts: a] certainty versus curiosity; b] rhetoric versus
parrhesia; c] individualism versus collective society; and d] exclusiveness versus entanglement (specific to socio-economics, this
could also be called zero-sum versus trans-market applications of
profit-seeking). As a result, we shall attempt to synthesize each
of these four threads into a coherent tapestry of what a fourth
economy set of principles based on the valuations of intangible
assets might be, and indeed, how society as a whole is to weave such
an evolutionary tapestry if it so chooses. This thesis is also dutybound to declare what it discerns to be none of its business: namely,
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ation of a state of nature (the war of all against all) could only be
avoided by strong undivided government. Hobbes argument was
that it mattered less the specific design of governance, as long as
the nations security was maintained. Security was paramount to
any other concern. Can we not hear the echoes of this fear-based
ideology when leaders of the U.S. government and military attempt
to use rhetoric to convince the public that torture or the civil rights
limiting Patriot Act are valid and necessary tools to protect the
nation from acts of terror? Are we conscious of their childhoods
and deeper psychologies? Have we grown afraid to peer behind
the veil of rhetoric and those that speak rhetoric? Upon these vague
unstable foundations of myths and prejudices, we have come to
build great monuments of economic institutions and policies. Our
ritualistic commitment to these monuments have provided a justification for us to deceive ourselves with subjective-based preordinations such as that each of us, as individuals, are to arrive at
some specific destination (standard of living, class/power position,
or even stage of retirement). As a consequence of our holding on
to ritual, we have forgotten to give credence to the journey itself.
We dont even question any other alternative to concepts such as
retirement, or specialized occupation, or our nations persistent
focus on the quantitative nature of GDP figures. We have deceived
ourselves with superficial distinctions of identity by attempting to
contort our occupations into the essential definition of our identity.
We proffer that our superficial definitions of identity and our
unquestioning commitment to socio-economic ritual when
discerned more by curiosity than certainty can provide us with
new vistas of thought and opportunity. As we expand and make
more authentic our definitions of identity, and as we let go of myth
and ritual, we will finally discover that our identities are multi-layered, and that our value to society can never truly experience retirement, or even death. In short, the unknown void of khaos (in this
case, the fourth economy and beyond) actually provides a natural
order based not on certainty, but rather, on curiosity. But first, we
still need to untangle the knots of individualism versus collective
society, and exclusiveness versus entanglement. We begin: the
individual ought to be valued by a collective society, and society
ought to be, in return, valued by the individual.
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CENTRALIZED
DE-CENTRALIZED
DISTRIBUTED
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to explore and develop the strengths and weaknesses of the individual as it naturally desires to serve the whole of society.
As society naturally evolves, each individuals uniqueness will
also evolve. In short, exclusiveness attempts to dissuade or protect
us from natural evolution, where uniqueness naturally adapts to
and adds color and depth to the ever-changing circumstances and
priorities of evolution. Thus, if humanity is to somehow make a
concerted effort toward embracing the notions of network-centric
entanglement as the essential foundation of a new fourth economy,
we shall require some form of dialogue and process which sparks
both our imagination as well as our action. The following (and
final) chapter will outline such a dialogue and process intended to
spark a concerted action toward a new fourth economy. But first,
we briefly outline the quantitative as well as qualitative principles
of global interdependence which could perhaps serve as a fountainhead of a new fourth economy.
Envisioning a new fourth economy, we interweave two particular aspects of a radical transformation of the concept of value:
shareholder value, and product/service value. In present-day
capital markets, a publicly-traded corporations stock value cannot
truly be considered a rational quantification of the companys
tangible value; the purchasing and selling of a companys stock
has degenerated into nothing more than mere casino speculation. Purchasers and sellers of stocks no longer are interested in
the actual (intrinsic) value of an enterprise, but rather, they seek
profits by betting on or against any company or even industry (and
large purchasers/sellers often do both at the same time). In a paradigm of socio-economic interdependence, however, all economic
actors formal corporations, ad hoc collaborative networks, one-off
ventures, etc. operate so as to more fully enfranchise and diversify the issuance of shareholdings. Building on the principles of
uniqueness rather than exclusivity, and similar to the liberation of
intellectual property models, as discussed earlier, enfranchisement
is meant in this way: economic actors which, say, provide services
to a company (whether as employees, or vendors, or even on an ad
hoc basis), can choose to be remunerated in company shares, rather
than cash and these shares can be freely exchanged at any time
for anything else of value, without the need to submit the transac-
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CITIZEN operating as
(a) innovator - laborer - consumer - investor/shareholder
(b) innovator - consumer - investor/shareholder
(c) consumer - investor/shareholder
CITIZENS CONTRIBUTION a combination of
(a) intellectual property
(b) capital investment
(c) labor
CORPORATE PRODUCTION
Product & service value
weighted by:
(a) global market consumption
(b) global market usefulness
(c) global market accountability
3
As a consequence of a consumer purchase of
weighted good / service / idea / intellectual property
CAPITAL
institutional
& ad hoc
By interweaving these two flows, a more responsible econometric model to determine price-to-value can be established. In
an entanglement process, the more a product is consumed on
a global scale, the greater its value to and burden upon society.
In other words, if product x was consumed by 25 percent of the
global population, its value (consumer purchase price) might be
US$ 1.00. However, if product x was consumed by 75 percent of
the global population, then its value (consumer purchase price)
might be US$ 1.25. Thus, value is determined not by labor-value,
but instead, by a visible (and persistently fluctuating) socio-economic weighting process. Capital and futures markets become
more responsive to the moment-to-moment requirements of the
market. This removes the incentive to divert capital away from the
general marketplace and toward an isolated market where off-balance sheet financial speculations occur. Thus, the very definition
of price is expanded beyond merely the conventionally directly
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visible costs (as an example, the direct cost to purchase raw materials), to include the more indirect and long-term costs to the environment and society at large in extracting, using, and discarding
raw materials.
Flow 3: All global citizens are shareholders in corporations
of their choosing. These consumer-shareholders, then, receive
moment-to-moment dividend payments from each good, service,
and intellectual property consumed.
This radical transformation of value quantification from laborvalue to interdependent-value occurs as a consequence of humanity
altering what specifically it consumes in the new fourth economy.
If, as an example, humanity chooses to embrace the vision of wise
exploration of space, oceans, land, and even the human self as its
fourth horizon then this new socio-economic activity will, itself,
possess an intrinsic element of moral value which re-knits the
fabric of social order in a manner that inspires the best and most
honorable part of ourselves. It is quite easy to discard a used fastfood package onto the street when its short-term utility is expended.
But it is vastly more difficult to discard a human being which is
teaching you how to breathe several hundred meters under the
ocean (if, for no other reason, you may have a reciprocal opportunity to exchange with the other person some intangible asset which
you possess). Since we, ourselves, essentially become the economy,
we materially transform what we value and how we quantify and
exchange this value.
Inevitably, humanity must make a choice. Is our present luxury-centric mass consumption economy sustainable? Is it truly
rational to continue to squander precious time and resources in
refining how we operate within a decaying marketplace? Is it truly
feasible to expect that if we simply persevere in efforts to clean up
how businesses and governments operate, that somehow we can
restore aggregate demand throughout the markets? And even if
it was indeed somehow feasible to maintain aggregate demand in
a luxury-centric mass consumption economy, would this be the
enlightened or even moral thing to do? In making a choice, this
thesis does not mean to imply that luxury-centric consumption
should no longer occur, only that luxury-centric consumption no
longer becomes the centerpiece of our socio-economic activity.
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Fig 12The four th economy: evolving away from accumulating material wealth (top photo),
toward growing the well-being of all people, including children (bottom photo).
Bottom photograph is a still photo capture from video of a young girl, in awe, par ticipating in an
undersea discover y on the team of Rober t Ballard, 2008. See the video at www.ted.com
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Universe of infinite
socio-economic potentiality
Brunnian
entanglement links
Individuals &
Groups
Intellectual
Property
Transactions of
Intellectual
Property
Exponential utilization of
new socio-economic activity
Fig 13A Brunnian link model visualizing the potential of socio-economic activity
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70%
53%
35%
18%
0%
2010
2015
PRIMARY
2020
2025
SECONDARY
2030
TERTIARY
2035
2040
[NEW] QUATERNARY
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form of appreciable profit. Conversely, not enough money circulating through the system would escalate interest rates to a point
where few borrowers could effectively use the borrowed capital
to generate profits. History demonstrates that a states monetary
policy tends to be shaped by having to cope with three specific
situations which adversely cause disequilibrium in the supply of
money.
Liquidity trap. Initially described in Keynesian theory, a
liquidity trap is a situation in which injections of cash into the
private banking system by a central bank fail to lower interest
rates and hence fail to stimulate economic growth. According to
Keynes, it was the supply of money which caused fluctuations in
interest rates provided by the private banking system to the market
and that interest rates provided the true stimulus for borrowing,
consumption and investment. Critics of this theory suggest that
money supply and corresponding interest rate fluctuations might
play a stimulating role in cases where the markets required only a
bit of tweaking. But pronounced liquidity traps occur primarily
as a consequence of a failure in aggregate demand being generated;
money supply is of negligible consequence. Indeed, since Keynes,
historical events seem to contradict Keynes argument as to the
true cause of a liquidity trap. In Japan, throughout the 1990s, and
in the U.S., since 2008, central banks have attempted to stimulate
the markets by both injecting new money into the system as well as
lowering interest rates to or close to zero. But these big gun monetary policies have had a negligible impact to stimulate the market
back to expansion. Indeed, there has been a tripling of the U.S.
monetary base between 2008 and 2011 and yet, this has failed
to produce any significant effect on U.S. domestic price indices
or dollar-denominated commodity prices. Consequently, it could
be argued that whether fiat money supply is created by governments and their central banks (past), private banks via the creation
of loans (present), or even an equity-centric process (future), the
money supply, itself, is not a cause of liquidity traps, and thus,
arguing that any future equity-centric process of money creation
would create liquidity traps is simply not supported by the facts.
Interest rates and rates of inflation-deflation. In a debt-centric
money supply system, over- and under-supply would certainly
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have an impact upon interest rates. But, if a socio-economic interdependent paradigm would eventually augment (if not replace) a
debt-centric money supply with an equity-centric money supply,
interest rates would no longer be of significance. Relating to inflation and deflation situations, economists have conventionally
agreed that these situations are caused by an excessive fluctuation of the money supply. But again, modern market activity seems
to confuse this issue. Conventional wisdom supports the notion
that money, itself, has been a commodity which is valued as to its
surplus or scarcity. This certainly was of import under a system
of representative currency, but under a system of fiat currency,
money, itself, is no longer a store of value. What this means is, in
the past, anyone could essentially walk into a bank with currency,
and demand that currency be exchanged for gold or silver. Indeed,
until just a few years ago, many local banks in the U.S. still held
small reserves of gold in their local bank vaults for this very reason.
But today, if someone were to walk into a bank with currency, the
bank would have nothing to exchange. In short, money no longer
represents something; it merely is a unit of exchange. As we have
seen, the private banking system has created fiat money when
the demand for loans required such money creation. In western
markets, the vast over-supply of money that presently exists does
not seem to impact, positively or negatively, rates of inflation. So
again, by introducing equity-based money creation, these past
challenges of managing interest rates and rates of inflation/deflation would no longer be a central focus of concern. In short, it is
our thesis that by introducing a free-flowing equity-based supply
of money, many (but certainly not all) of the historical upheavals
caused by a debt-based money supply would be mitigated.
Equilibrium & game theories. One of humanitys long-standing
cornerstones relating to economics is the management of market
equilibrium. Economic equilibrium is a state where economic
forces such as supply and demand are balanced; meaning, equilibrium occurs at the point at which quantity demanded and quantity supplied are equal. Game theory is a process where mathematical models are used to predict how actors plan for or react to
various events or situations that occur within the marketplace. If,
as an example, crude oil prices begin to fall, mathematical models
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rainbow. All of us will need to get our hands dirty; everyone will
need to have skin in the game. Individuals and societies will need
to come together and discern for themselves whether global economies can continue to operate within the three fields of agriculture/mining, mass production, and services or not. Humanity
will need to come together and discern for themselves whether
seeking a new fourth economy based on the exchange of intangible
value is feasible or not. The fundamental purpose of this thesis
is simply to provide an insight that humanity has been operating
from outdated knowledge, and that once our knowledge-based
has been rehabilitated, a rational and reasoned discernment of our
new knowledge would almost certainly lead humanity to realize
that some new fourth economy is not only warranted, but perhaps
even desired. This thesis cannot attempt to convince anyone of
anything. As Immanuel Kant, long ago, challenged us: we must
have the courage to think for ourselves.
What this thesis can provide, however, are broad descriptions of two distinct spheres of action which would most likely
emerge during the process of global evolution toward a new fourth
economy if indeed, humanity was to discern for itself that a new
fourth economy is to be its endeavor. These two spheres of action:
a revolutionary format of dialogue (in part, to re-educate ourselves,
and in part, to initiate a new experience of human relationships);
and infrastructure and process (deciding what present-day institutions should be maintained, reformed, completely dismantled, or
created anew so as to best facilitate the free-flowing exchange of
intangible value).
Revolutionary format of dialogue
The format of dialogue conventionally experienced throughout
many societies goes something like this: a panel of experts
assemble on a stage and debate their points of view; perhaps at
the end of the experts debate, the public audience is invited to
ask a couple of questions. Several flaws exist, however, in this
expert-panel format. Firstly, as we have demonstrated throughout
this thesis, the vast majority of these so-called experts have been
operating from outdated and illusory knowledge. We do not imply
that these people are not intelligent or worthy of participating in a
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for all of humanity communities all around the world would come
together to explore their human (tangible and intangible) opportunities and priorities particular to their specific community, and
with the assistance of expert systems, each community would be
fundamentally conscious of the opportunities and priorities being
discussed throughout all other communities on a global scale. Via
this global discernment process, once each community has identified its general path forward into the quaternary economy, each
community will undoubtedly require some aspect of collaboration
with various other communities and resources. Consequently, and
to use the quantum mechanics imagery, each community and each
individual within a community will simultaneously desire to act as
both a particle and wave of particles. This collaborative dialogue
exercise, then, will intuitively pull into existence a need for some
new format of infrastructure and process so as to most effectively
facilitate the implementation of a new socio-economic paradigm of
global interdependence.
Infrastructure and process
A key aspect of envisioning an evolutionary infrastructure which
can facilitate and sustain the dynamics and fluidity of socio-economic interdependence is process, not institution. An institution is
constructed so as to protect some substance (say, central banks
controlling the amount of currency circulating throughout the
system, or a corporation controlling its assets and profits). Process,
on the other hand, is not inherently focused on controlling but
rather in facilitating. What presently circulates through a conventional bank is limited to currency and debt instruments, and
through a typical corporation is limited to production resources
(including labor) and profits. But throughout a socio-economic
interdependent value exchange, what could circulate would have
few, if any limitations. A transaction facilitated via an interdependent value exchange might include: an idea, book, music portfolio,
span of highway, unused capacity of a manufacturing facility, an
employees social and professional contacts, fiat equity money, or
simply the essential culture of a community of people.
Thus, the technical process of how socio-economic interdependent dynamics might be facilitated requires some out of
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Real-time synthesis
between
Conduits &
Networks
PROCESS NETWORK
GLOBAL COLLABORATIVE EXPERIENCE
SOCIAL WELL-BEING
ECOSYSTEMS
GOVERNANCE
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Epilogue
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