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INTRODUCTION
Many people have become very rich in the commodity markets. It is one of a few investment
areas where an individual with limited capital can make extraordinary profits in a relatively short
period of time. For example, Richard Dennis borrowed $1,600 and turned it into a $200 million
fortune in about ten years.
Nevertheless, because most people lose money, commodity trading has a bad reputation as being
too risky for the average individual. The truth is that commodity trading is only as risky as
you want to make it.
Those who treat trading as a get-rich-quick scheme are likely to lose because they have to take
big risks.If you act prudently, treat your trading like a business instead of a giant gambling casino
and are willing to settle for a reasonable return, the risks are acceptable. The probability of
success is excellent.
The process of trading commodities is also known as futures trading. Unlike other kinds of
investments, such as stocks and bonds, when you trade futures, you do not actually buy anything
or own anything. You are speculating on the future direction of the price in the commodity you
are trading. This is like a bet on future price direction. The terms "buy" and "sell" merely indicate
the direction you expect future prices will take.
On one side of a transaction may be a producer like a farmer. He has a field full of corn growing
on his farm. It won't be ready for harvest for another three months. If he is worried about the
price going down during that time, he can sell futures contracts equivalent to the size of his crop
and deliver his corn to fulfill his obligation under the contract. Regardless of how the price of
corn changes in the three monthsuntil his crop will be ready for delivery, he is guaranteed to be
paid the current price.
On the other side of the transaction might be a producer such as a cereal manufacturer who needs
to buylots of corn. The manufacturer, such as Kellogg, may be concerned that in the next three
months theprice of corn will go up, and it will have to pay more than the current price. To protect
against this, Kelloggcan buy futures contracts at the current price. In three months Kellogg can
fulfill its obligation under thecontracts by taking delivery of the corn. This guarantees that
In addition to agricultural commodities, there are futures for financial instruments and
intangibles such as currencies, bonds and stock market indexes. Each futures market has
producers and consumers who need to hedge their risk from future price changes. The
speculators, who do not actually deal in the physical commodities, are there to provide liquidity.
This maintains an orderly market where price changes from one trade to the next are small.
Rather than taking delivery or making delivery, the speculator merely offsets his position at some
time before the date set for future delivery. If price has moved in the right direction, he will
profit. If not, he will lose.
What is Commodity?
The word commodity came into use in English in the 15th century, it came from the French,
"commodite", to benefit or profit. Going further back, the French word derived from the Latin
commoditatem (nominative commoditas) meaning "fitness, adaptation,". The Latin root
Commodity meant variously "appropriate","proper measure, time or condition" and advantage, or
benefit.
A commodity is something for which there is demand, but which is supplied without qualitative
differentiation across a market. It is a product that is the same no matter who produces it, such as
petroleum, notebook paper, or milk.
In other words, copper is copper. The price of copper is universal, and fluctuates daily based on
global supply and demand. Sharekhan customers have the advantage of trading in all the market
segments together in the same window, aswe understand the need of transactions to be executed
with high speed andreduced time. At the same time, they have the advantage of having all
AdvisoryServices for Life Insurance, General Insurance, Mutual Funds and IPOs
also.Sharekhan is a customer focused financial services organization providing arange of
investment solutions to our customers. We work with clients to meettheir overall investment
objectives and achieve their financial goals. Our clientshave the opportunity to get personalized
services depending on their investment profiles. Our personalized approach enables clients to
achieve their TotalInvestment Objectives.Key product offerings are as follows The word
Stereos,
on
the
other
hand,
have
many
levels
of
quality
coffee
beans , soybeans ,aluminum, rice ,wheat,gold and silver .Commoditization occurs as a goods or
services market loses differentiation across its supply base, often by the diffusion of the
intellectual capital necessaryto acquire or produce it efficiently. As such, goods that formerly
carried
premiummargins
have
become
commodities,
such
India Commodity Market can be subdivided into the following two categories:
Wholesale Market
Retail Market
The traditional wholesale market in India dealt with whole sellers whobought goods from the
farmers and manufacturers and then sold them to the re-tailers after making a profit in the
process. It was the retailers who finally sold thegoods to the consumers. With the passage of time the
importance of whole sell-ers began to decline due to various reasons. In recent years, the extent of
the re-tail market (both organized and unorganized) has evolved in leaps and bounds. Infact, the
success stories of the commodity market of India in recent years hasmainly centered on the
growth generated by the Retail Sector. Almost everycommodity under the sun both agricultural
and industrial is now being providedat well distributed retail outlets throughout the country.
Moreover, the retail outlets belong to both the organized as well as the unor-ganized sector.
Modern marketing strategies and other techniques of sales promotionenable such markets to
draw customers from every section of the society. How-ever the growth of such markets has still
centered on the urban areas primarilydue to infrastructural limitations. Considering the present
growth rate, the total valuation of the Indian Retail Market is estimated to cross Rs. 10,000
billion in the year 2010. Demand for commodities is likely to become four times by 2012than
what it presently is.
Commodities unlike stock/share, which mostly have an impact on thecountry in which it is being
listed or traded, can leave a long lastingimpression in almost all the countries in which it
is traded. A group of traders can never be in command of influencing a large price fluctuationsin
commodities, as the prices are not determined by that particular sect/ orgroup but by other factors
i.e. international demand, supply, totalproduction, consumption expected, international regulation
andinternational state of affairs etc. The cost of living index/wholesale price is determined by the
pricevariations in the commodities which are consumed by the general publicand the industries.
The inflation or deflation are mostly linked with thecommodity price instability, they have
epitomized themselves as a verysturdy force in the international state of affairs.Now almost all
type of commodities are being traded that too in a moreorganized manner, for instance CBOT
has switched over to electronictrading platform in the year 2000 and very recently it has
switched over itsclearing operations to the same mode, at NYMEX the trading takes placeboth in
Open Out Cry and Electronic Mode, at TOCOM (Tokyo CommodityExchange) the trading is
computerized and like wise all the internationalexchanges the following the suit.
The history of organized commodity derivatives in India goes back to thenineteenth century
when Cotton Trade Association started futures trading in1875, about a decade after they started
in Chicago. Over the time datives market developed in several commodities in India. Following
Cotton, derivatives trading started in oilseed in Bombay (1900), raw jute and jute goods in
Calcutta(1912), Wheat in Hapur (1913) and Bullion in Bombay (1920).However many feared
that derivatives fuelled unnecessary speculation and were detrimental to the healthy functioning
of the market for the underlying commodities, resulting in to banning of commodity options
trading and cash settlement of commodities futures after independence in 1952. The
parliament passed the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1952, which regulated contractsin
Commodities all over the India. The act prohibited options trading in Goodsalong with cash
settlement of forward trades, rendering a crushing blow to the commodity derivatives market.
Under the act only those associations/exchanges, which are granted reorganization from the
Government,are allowed to organize forward trading in regulated commodities. The act20
envisages three tire regulations:
(i)
(ii)
day-to-day basis;
Forward Markets Commission provides regulatory oversight under the powers
(iii)
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in 2007 to $9.0 trillion. OTC trading accounts for the majority of trading in goldand silver.
Overall, precious metals accounted for 8% of OTC commodities derivatives trading in 2007,
down from their 55% share a decade earlier astrading in energy derivatives rose.Global physical
and derivative trading of commodities on exchanges increased more than a third in 2007 to reach
1,684million contracts. Agricultural contracts trading grew by 32% in 2007, energy29% and
industrial metals by 30%. Precious metals trading grew by 3%, with higher volume in New York
being partially offset by declining volume in Tokyo. Over 40% of commodities trading on
exchanges was conducted on US exchanges and a quarter in China. Trading on exchanges in
China and India has gained in importance in recent years due to their emergence as significant
commodities consumers and producers .
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In the 1940s, forward and futures contracts as well as options wereoutlawed as part of the
governments drive to contain inflation or trading inthese contracts was made impossible through
price controls. This situation prevailed until 1952, when the government passed theForward
Contract (Regulation) Act, which controls all transferable forwardcontracts and futures up to this
day. The Act again allowed futures trade ina number of commodities (but excluded some
essential foods like sugar andfood grains).It provided that forward and futures markets should
normally be self-regulating through governing bodies of recognized associations in whichthe
13
Two government appointed comities The Datwala Committee in 1966 and the Khusro
Committee in 1979 recommended the revival of futures trading in a wide range of
commodities,but little action resulted.Contracts in most commodities are actively traded for
periods up to sixmonths out and as should be the case for mature future markets, most contracts
are used for hedging purposes and not for physical trade. Thismeans that a large majority of
positions are closed out before maturity and physical delivery is relatively rare. The Indian
economy is going through a process of liberalization and isopening up to the world market.
Partly, as a result, Indian exporters are increasingly confronted with highly competitive world
markets in which theyare forced not only to work on slimmer margins but also to sell further
forwards in order not to lose markets.
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15
1 In the hierarchy of Indian commodity exchanges market, the Forward Markets Commission is
a statutory body set up under the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1952. The Commission
functions under the administrative control of the Ministry of Consumer Affairs, Food & Public
Distributions, Dept. of Consumer Affairs, Government of India.
Under the Act, the Commission has following functions
To advise the Central Government in respect of recognition or withdrawal of
recognition of any association and other matters arising out of the administration of the Act.
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
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under the Act. The Commission, at present comprises 4 Members, one of whom is
its Chairman. It has its headquarters at Mumbai and a Regional Office at Calcutta.
The sanctioned strength of the office comprises of 42 officers and 94 staff
members, one post of Director (Enforcement) has been revived and 3 posts (2 of
Computer and 1 of Hamal) has been surrendered. The Commission has 3 functional
wings under the set-up to carry out various tasks as detailed below:
(i) The Commodity Division: This Division deals with all the matters relating to the
regulation of the forward and futures markets in the country. Besides, this
Division keeps a close watch on the emerging developments in different
commodity markets in India. This Division also prepares a number of analytical
reports and notes of varying periodicity regarding the trading condition in respect
of goods to which the provisions of the Act are applicable including the supply,
demand and prices. These reports are submitted to the Department of Consumer
Affairs.
(ii) The Enforcement Division: Assists the police authorities in the States and Union
Territories in enforcing the provisions of the Act, conducts training courses,
scrutinizes documents seized by the police during the course of raids and renders
help to the prosecution with its officers appearing as expert witnesses in the
different Courts of Law in the country. The Commission keeps close surveillance
on the activities in illegal forward markets and communicates the intelligence
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(iii) The Administration Division: Deals with the personnel and staff matters of the
Commission. The commodity exchanges under the Forward market Commission, are divided
into national commodity exchanges and regional commodity exchanges.
Under the national commodity exchanges, there are three major exchanges namely
MCX, NCDEX and NMCE. The Regional Commodity Exchange consists of 21 Regional
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19
20
21
Alloy,
North
American
Commodities Traded:
- Corn, Soybean, Oil, Soybean meal, Wheat, Oats, Ethanol, Rough Rice,Gold, and
Silver etc.
22
23
The government has now allowed national commodity exchanges, similar tothe BSE & NSE, to
come up and let them deal in commodity derivatives in anelectronic trading environment. These
exchanges are expected to offer anation-wide anonymous, order driven, screen based trading
system fortrading. The Forward Markets Commission (FMC) will regulate these exchanges.
Consequently four commodity exchanges have been approved to commence business in this
regard. They are:
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National Commodities & Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) promoted by ICICI Bank
Limited (ICICI Bank), Life Insurance Corporation of India(LIC), National Bank of Agriculture
and Rural Development (NABARD) and National Stock Exchange of India Limited (NSC).
Punjab National Bank (PNB), Credit Ratting Information Service of India Limited (CRISIL),
IndianFarmers Fertilizer Cooperative Limited (IFFCO), Canara Bank and GoldmanSachs by
subscribing to the equity shares have joined the promoters as a shareholder of exchange.
NCDEX is the only Commodity Exchange in the country promoted by national level
institutions. NCDEX is a public limited company incorporated on 23 April 2003. NCDEX isa
national level technology driven on line Commodity Exchange with anindependent Board of
Directors and professionals not having any vested interestin Commodity Markets.It is committed
to provide a world class commodity exchange platform for market participants to trade in a wide
spectrum of commodity derivatives driven by best global practices, professionalism and
transparency. NCDEX is regulated by Forward Markets Commission (FMC). NCDEX is
alsosubjected to the various laws of land like the Companies Act, Stamp Act,Contracts Act,
Forward Contracts Regulation Act and various other legislations. NCDEX is located in Mumbai
and offers facilities to its members in more than550 centers through out India. NCDEX currently
facilitates trading of 57commodities No securities transaction tax levied.
25
Bullion
Minerals
Oil &oil seeds
Pulses
Spices
Plantation
Fibers & others
Energy
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27
28
Commodity traded:Cardamom , Castor Seed, Oil & Oilcake , Chana ,Coffee ,Copra, Coconut Oil& Coconut Oil
cake ,Cuminseed ,Gold Study ,Groundnut seed, oil & oil cake ,Guar SeedS, Isabgul Seed ,Lin
Seed ,Menthol Crystal ,Pepper ,Pulses,Rape/Mustard Seed, Oil & Oil cake ,Raw Jute, Rubber
,Sacking ,Safflower seed ,Salient features of Oil ,Sesame Seed Silver Study ,Soy Seed, Oil &
Oilcake ,Sugar ,Sunflower seed ,Turmeric Wheat.
29
List of commodity traded:Oil, oil-Cake, Soy bean, Soy Meal, Soy Oil, Crude Palm Oil.
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31
N MC X
MCX
N CD E X
32
34
There are two major segments of the commodities market. They are
Over-the-counter (OTC) market:Over-the-counter means that there is no formal structure of trading and parties trade on
the basis of bilateral understanding.
In terms of commoditytrading, OTC represents spot trading of commodities. Since the structure
is notformal, it is also referred as customized market".
Almost all the trading thattakes place over in these markets is delivery based.
35
Exchange-traded market:-
36
Despite having a robust economy, India's share in the global commodity market is not as big as
estimated. Except gold the share in other sectors of the commodity market is not very significant.
India accounts for 3% of the global oil demands and 2% of global copper demands. In
agriculture India's contribution to international trade volume is rather less compared to the huge
production base available. Various infrastructure development projects that are being undertaken
in India are being seen as a key growth driver in the coming days.
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Without the commodities markets, prices for natural resources would vary place top lace all
around the world. Likewise for determining price, the commodities markets balance out natural
resources by economic feasibility. US consumers will be willing to pay more for oil than Saudi
Arabia as the supply is different; if US consumers outbid England for Saudi oil, then that oil will
be delivered to the buyer in the United States.
Commodities offer the ultimate volatility in intraday trading. The wild movements oftenas great
as 5-10% can be leveraged throughBrokerage accounts up to 40:1. This kindof obscene leverage
is utilized by day traders who can multiply their gains an leverage up small amounts of money to
buy a large volume of a certain commodity Corporations that produce raw materials often trade
on the commodities market as away to balance out the amount of money they receive for their
goods. Corporate traders have the responsibility to ensure that wild market movements up or
down do not affect the profit margins of the company at hand.
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Investors should always learn the basics of trading before they put their money into it.
Commodity trading like any other form of trading is similar in concept only thing here
we are trading in certain commodities instead of shares or foreign currencies as in other forms of
trading.
Commodity trading gives you options to hedge against inflation while also promising you good
return. Commodities market also helps you in diversifying your portfolio hence if another form
of investment of yours runs bad then you can always rely on the commodities market in order to
maintain profits. Commodity trading is not just for the institutional investors but also for the
retail investors though investors should always invest after having done research and having the
knowledge of the market so that if there is a sudden slump in the market they are not adversely
affected by it in a huge way.
Trading in commodity derivatives is also easily possible. Hence if you want to buy or sell a
particular commodity like gold, silver, crude oil, metals or other then you can easily trade in
commodity derivatives. There are several exchanges on which you can trade incommodities with
the most popular commodity trading exchanges being The National commodity and the
derivative exchange or the multi commodity exchange. Everything ranging from hold to metals
to agricultural commodities like grains pulses oils etc can be traded by anyone who wants to
do commodity trading.
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Directly trading commodities is the best, and cheapest, way to get in on commodityprice action.
Trading commodities starts with a broker who can grant traders access toboth the futures market
and some spot commodities market. Commodity futures aremore common though many brokers
offer precious metals to be traded at spot pricesrather than in future format. With spot prices, the
price of the commodity is not reflected as a future value, but rather as a current value that will
never expire. Futures are priced in month long intervals, thus November crude oil will trade at a
higher orlower price than October crude oil, even though the same commodity is being
traded.Spot prices are the same prices across the board.
There are many exchange traded funds (ETFs) that are bought and sold on the stockmarkets,
such as the NY Stock Exchange or NASDAQ rather than the commoditiesmarkets, such as the
US CBOT exchange. ETFs are traded just like stocks but arebacked in full by a balance of both
futures and hard assets. One very popular ETF is the SPDR Gold Trust, which trades under the
ticker GLD. One of the main benefits of ETFsis that of storage, the gold that backs the fund is
held elsewhere and can be moveddigitally through a stock exchange rather than a hand to hand
transaction. Exchangetraded funds often come with an expense ratio which is extrapolated from
the current market value each year to cover storage and trading expenses for the fund, as well
asreward the fund's creator.
Commodity Stocks
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There are 2 major kinds of markets in India. These markets are the Bond Market and the
Commodity Trading market. Here, we will be discussing more about the later one.The
Commodity trading market in India deals with all the touchable markets which wecome across in
our mundane activities.These Commodity trading markets enablepeople to exchange goods for
money andvice versa. These goods or commoditiescan be anything and can belong to anysector
may it be agricultural, mineral, fossiland many more. The commodity tradingmarket observes the
trading of variouscommodities such as cereals, ginned aswell as un- ginned cotton, pulses,
oils,jute, sugar, gur, cotton, oilseeds, coffee,tea, jute products, potatoes, onions,petrochemicals,
gold , silver, crude, metals and many more commodities.The regulator for the commodity trading
market in India is the Forward MarketsCommission. It is similar to SEBI (Securities and
Exchange Board of India) whichperforms the role of protecting the interests of investors in
securities. The commoditymarket in India is mainly influenced by the demand and supply
equation. Variousexternal factors such as social changes, weather, policies of the government,
globalfactors drive the commodity market as well The commodity trading market in our country
is said to have a daily turnover of 120Billion rupees to about 150 Billion rupees on an average.
The total commodities derivatives trade value forms 66% of Indias GDP (Gross Domestic
Product). It is alsobelieved by a lot of people that this percentage will only keep rising in the
future.
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The commodities market is virtually a 24/7 market. Though there are many different markets that
trade throughout the day and open and close at different times,commodities in the US are the
same as commodities in Europe and Asia. The price of gold in Asian commodity trading will be
reflected in the price when the US marketsopen. Many traders who enjoy the foreign exchange
market, but would prefer to trademore fundamentally driven investments, will find the
commodities market a nice changefrom the currency markets. There are some drawbacks to a
24/7 market, as the price of your positions will change as you sleep; thus, short term investors in
the commoditiesmarket are likely to buy and sell within the day rather than hold an investment
through another trading cycle in a foreign country.
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MINISTRY OF
CONSUMER AFFAIRS
FMC
(Forward Market
Commission)
COMMODITY
EXCHANGE
NATIONAL
EXCHANGE
NCDEX
MCX
REGIONAL
EXCHANGE
NMCE
NBOT
2O OTHER
REGIONAL
EXCHANGE
Types of Commodities
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45
It is estimated that around 60 to 70 percent of all trades transacted onfutures exchanges are done
for the purpose of hedging. Although hedging isthe most important use of futures contracts, their
use is obviously notlimited to that. They are there to take risk for profit. That is why speculators
are drawn to the futures markets like bees to ahoney jar. Speculators play a very important role in
the whole marketmechanism. They bring liquidity to the markets.Commodity futures contracts
are also used to diversify portfolios.Producers and their representatives (cooperatives,
govt organizations) of commodities use commodity futures to protect the selling price of
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Efficient
price
discovery
prevents
seasonal
price
volatility.
* Greater flexibility, certainty and transparency in procuring commodities would aid bank
lending.
*Facilitate
informed
lending.
* Hedged positions of producers and processors would reduce the risk of default faced by
banks.
* Lending for agricultural sector would go up with greater transparency in pricing and
storage.
* Commodity Exchanges to act as distribution network to retail agri-finance from Banks
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Robust,
scalable,
state-of-art
technology
deployment.
* Member can trade in multiple commodities from a single point, on real time basis.
* Traders would be trained to be Rural Advisors and Commodity Specialists and through
them multiple rural needs would be met, like bank credit, information dissemination, etc.
Why Commodity Futures?
One answer that is heard in the financial sector is "we need commodity futures markets so that
we will have volumes, brokerage fees, and something to trade''. I think that is missing the point.
We have to look at futures market in a bigger perspective
What Is The Role For Commodity Futures In India's Economy?
In India agriculture has traditionally been an area with heavy government intervention.
Government intervenes by trying to maintain buffer stocks, they try to fix prices, and they have
import-export restrictions and a host of other interventions. Many economists think that we could
have major benefits from liberalization of the agricultural sector.
In this case, the question arises about who will maintain the buffer stock, how will we smoothen
the price fluctuations, how will farmers not be vulnerable that tomorrow the price will crash
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49
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maintains an account of all dealing parties in which the daily profit or loss dueto changes in the
futures price is recorded. Squiring off is done by taking anopposite contract so that the net
outstanding is nil.For commodity futures to work, the seller should be able to deposit
thecommodity at warehouse nearest to him and collect the warehouse receipt. The buyer should
be able to take physical delivery at a location of his choice on presenting the warehouse receipt.
But at present in India very few warehouses provide delivery for specific commodities.Following
diagram gives a fair idea about working of the Commodity market.
Today Commodity trading system is fully computerized. Traders need not visita commodity
market to speculate. With online commodity trading they could sitin the confines of their home
or office and call the shots.
The commodity trading system consists of certain prescribed steps or stages asfollows:
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1 Trading: - At this stage the following is the system implemented- Order receiving
- Execution
- Matching
- Reporting
- Surveillance
- Price limits
- Position limits
- Matching
- Registration
- Clearing
- Clearing limits
- Notation
- Margining
- Price limits
- Position limits
- Clearing house.
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You can invest in the futures market in a number of different ways, but before taking the plunge,
you must be sure of the amount of risk you're willing to take. As a futures trader, you should
have a solid understanding of how the market works and contracts function. You'll also need
todetermine how much time, attention, and research you can dedicate to the investment. Talk
toyour broker and ask questions before opening a futures account.Unlike traditional equity
traders, futures traders are advised to only use funds that have beenearmarked as risk capital.
Once you've made the initial decision to enter the market, the nextquestion should be, how?
1) Self Directed: As an investor, you can trade your own account, without theaid or advice of a Commodity
broker. This involves the most risk because you becomeresponsible for managing funds, ordering
trades, maintaining margins, acquiring research, andcoming up with your own analysis of how
the market will move in relation to the commodity inwhich you've invested. It requires time
and complete attention to the market.
2) Full Service: -
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3) Commodity Pool: A third way to enter the market, and one that offers thesmallest risk, is to join a commodity pool.
Like a mutual fund, the commodity pool is a group of commodities which can be invested in. No
one person has an individual account; funds arecombined with others and traded as one. The
profits and losses are directly proportionate to theamount of money invested. By entering a
commodity pool, you also gain the opportunity toinvest in diverse types of commodities. You are
also not subject to margin calls. However, it isessential that the pool be managed by a skilled
broker, for the risks of the futures market are stillpresent in the commodity pool.
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Broker:The Broker is essentially a person of firm that liaisons between individualtraders and the
commodity exchange. In other words the Commodity Broker isthe member of Commodity
Exchange, having direct connection with theexchange to carry out all trades legally. He is also
known as the authorizeddealer.
To become a commodity trader one needs to complete certain legal and bindingobligations.
There is routine process followed, which is stated by a unit of Government that lays down the
laws and acts with regards to commoditytrading. A broker of Commodities is also required to
meet certain obligations togain such a membership in exchange.To become a member of
Commodity Exchange the broker of brokerage firmshould have net worth amounting to Rs. 50
Lakh. This sum has been determined by Multi Commodity Exchange.
To become member of Commodity Exchange the person should comply withthe following
Eligibility Criteria.
66921
MARKET PLAYERS
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HEDGERS
A Hedger can be Farmers, manufacturers, importers and exporter. A hedger buys or sells in
thefutures market to secure the future price of a commodity intended to be sold at a later date in
thecash market. This helps protect against price risks.The holders of the long position in futures
contracts (buyers of the commodity), are trying tosecure as low a price as possible. The short
holders of the contract (sellers of the commodity)will want to secure as high a price as possible.
The commodity contract, however, provides adefinite price certainty for both parties, which
reduces the risks associated with price volatility.By means of futures contracts, Hedging can also
be used as a means to lock in an acceptableprice margin between the cost of the raw material and
the retail cost of the final product sold.
Example:
A silversmith must secure a certain amount of silver in six months time for earrings and bracelets
that have already been advertised in an upcoming catalog with specific prices. But what if
theprice of silver goes up over the next six months? Because the prices of the earrings and
braceletsare already set, the extra cost of the silver can't be passed onto the retail buyer, meaning
it would be passed onto the silversmith. The silversmith needs to hedge, or minimize her risk
against a possible price increase in silver. How? The silversmith would enter the futures market
and purchase a silver contract for settlement in six months time (let's say June) at a price of $5
perounce. At the end of the six months, the price of silver in the cash market is actually $6
perounce, so the silversmith benefits from the futures contract and escapes the higher price. Had
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SPECULATORS
Other commodity market participants, however, do not aim to minimize risk but ratherto benefit
from the inherently risky nature of the commodity market. These are thespeculators, and they
aim to profit from the very price change that hedgers areprotecting themselves against. A hedger
would want to minimize their risk no matterwhat they're investing in, while speculators want to
increase their risk and therefore maximize their profits. In the commodity market, a speculator
buying a contract low in order to sell high in the future would most likely be buying that contract
from a hedger selling a contract low in anticipation of declining prices in the future.
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LONG
SHORT
Secure a price now to protect against Secure a price now to protect
HEDGERS
rising prices
of declining prices
ARBITRAGEURS
Arbitrage refers to the opportunity of taking advantage between the price difference between
twodifferent markets for that same stock or commodity.In simple terms one can understand by an
example of a commodity selling in one market at pricex and the same commodity selling in
another market at price x + y. Now this y, is the differencebetween the two markets is the
arbitrage available to the trader. The trade is carriedsimultaneously at both the markets so
theoretically there is no risk. (This arbitrage should not beconfused with the word arbitration, as
arbitration is referred to solving of dispute between two ormore parties.)The person who
conducts and takes advantage of arbitrage in stocks, commodities, interest ratebonds, derivative
products, forex is know as an arbitrageur.An arbitrage opportunity exists between different
markets because there are different kind of players in the market, some might be speculators,
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HARBISPECUED GT ERSRAGLATOEURS
63
No risk can be eliminated, but the same can be transferred to some-one who can handle it better
or to someone who has the appetitefor risk. Commodity enterprises primarily face the following
classes of risk. Namely:
The price Risk,
The quantity Risk,
The yield/output risk and
The political Risk
The price risk:The chance there will be unexpected changes in a financial price, including currency (foreign
exchange) risk, interest rate risk, and commodity price risk.
Basically, it's the risk the you will lose money due to a fall in the market price of a security that you
own.
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The yield/output risk:The risk of experiencing an adverse shift in market interest rates associated with investing in
a fixed income instrument. The risk is associated with either a flattening or steepening of the
yield curve, which is a result of changing yields among comparable bonds with different
maturities. When market yields change, this will impact the price of a fixed-income instrument.
When market interest rates, or yields, increase, the price of a bond will decrease and vice versa.
The political Risk:It is a type of risk that can be understood and managed with reasoned foresight and
investment .Broadly, political risk refers to any political change that alters the expected outcome
and value of a given economic action by changing the probability of achieving business objectives.
Talking about the nationwide commodity exchanges, the risk of the counter party not
fulfilling his obligations on due date or at any time therefore is the most common risk.
This risk is mitigated by collection of the following margins:1. Initial margins
2. Exposure margins
3. Mark to Market on daily positions.
4. Surveillance
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prefer
specific
i n v e s t m e n t ? ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------4 . I f
n o ,
w h y ?
this
question)-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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which
Commodities
you
will
prefer
to Invest? And
why?
a. Bullion b. Agricultural c. Metals d. Fossils/Energy------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------10.What is your perception about Commodity Market?a. Less Risky b. Risky c. Very Risky
11.What
you think
Commodity
Market
Advertisements
(hoardings,
prints
Above 50 years
14.Occupation
a.Govt. Job b. Private Job c. Business d. Other (specify)
15.Income
Group
(Per
month)a . N i l b . B e l o w 1 0 , 0 0 0 / - c . 1 0 , 0 0 0 2 0 , 0 0 0 / -
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Conclusions
Commodity market in India is still in a nascent stage. It should be given a helping hand by the
concerned authorities to increase its depth. The infrastructure facilities likewarehouses,
transportation etc. should be improved so that the genuine buyers can take physical delivery of
goods instead of settling transaction in cash. This may also controlspeculation to an extent.There
is also an urgent need for an independent regulator for these markets. Instead of bureaucratic
Ministry of Consumer Affairs & Food, professional agency like ForwardsMarket Commission
(FMC) needs to be at the helm.Apart for these more products like Commodity Options need to
be introduced. This willfurther help deepen the market & would help in increasing the popularity
of suchexchanges. This will finally lead to a wider investor base & lesser power in the hands
of ruthless traders & speculator Taking these few but firm steps, I believe, there is a bright future
ahead for the Futures Market.
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BIBLIOGRAPHY
http://commodities.in
http://www.commoditiescontrol.com
http://www.mcxindia.com
http://www.ncdex.com
http://etd.uasd.edu/ft/th9518.pdf
http://www.scribd.com/doc/57538114/29/Current-Scenario-in-Indian-Commodity-Market
http://www.scribd.com/doc/58231340/6/INTRODUCTION-TO-COMMODITY-MARKET
http://www.scribd.com/doc/15961806/Commodity-Market-Report
http://www.scribd.com/doc/29702792/Indian-Commodity-Market
http://www.scribd.com/doc/66929130/Indian-Commodity-Market-Repaired
http://www.scribd.com/doc/64389119/17678441-Complete-Project-Commodity-MarketCommodity-Market-Modified
http://www.scribd.com/doc/98779533/Introduction-to-commodity-market
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