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Governance in Nepal What Went Wrong? Global Perspective Global Positives and Negatives RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884 Common Definitions Democratic Governance (undp) human rights and political freedoms as human rights. Democratic Governance Aims at building institutions and rules that are not only efficient and fair, but also are developed through a democratic process in which all people have a political voice.
Governance in Nepal What Went Wrong? Global Perspective Global Positives and Negatives RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884 Common Definitions Democratic Governance (undp) human rights and political freedoms as human rights. Democratic Governance Aims at building institutions and rules that are not only efficient and fair, but also are developed through a democratic process in which all people have a political voice.
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Governance in Nepal What Went Wrong? Global Perspective Global Positives and Negatives RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884 Common Definitions Democratic Governance (undp) human rights and political freedoms as human rights. Democratic Governance Aims at building institutions and rules that are not only efficient and fair, but also are developed through a democratic process in which all people have a political voice.
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Organization of the Talk Common Definitions Democratic Governance The WB Indicators How Does Nepal Fare? Global Perspective Global Positives & Negatives Governance in Nepal What Went Wrong
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Common Definitions UNDP Exercise of economic, political & administrative authority to manage a country’s affairs at all level Comprises mechanisms, process & institutions through which citizens & groups articulate their interests, exercise their legal rights, meet their obligations, & mediate their differences
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Common Definitions, contd World Bank Three aspects of governance Form of political regime Process by which authority is exercised in the management of a country’s economic & social resources for development Capacity of governments to design, formulate & implement policies & discharge function
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Common Definitions, contd OECD Encompasses the role of public authorities in establishing the environment in which economic operators function and in determining the distribution of benefits as well as the nature of relationship between the ruler and the ruled
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Common Definitions, contd Institute of Governance, Ottawa Sum of the many ways individuals & institutions, public & private, manage their common affairs Continuing process through which conflicting or diverse interests may be accommodated and co-operative action may be taken
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Common Definitions, contd Democratic Governance (UNDP) Aims at building institutions & rules that are not only efficient and fair, as well, but also are developed through a democratic process in which all people have a political voice i.e., it incorporates into the notion f good governance for development, democratic processes and institutions, and a concern with the securing of political & civil rights & freedoms as human rights RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884 Common Definitions, contd Mahbub ul Haq Good Political Governance Structures & processes that support the creation of a participatory, responsive & accountable polity Good Economic Governance Competitive, non-discriminatory & equitable economy Good Civic Governance Society in which people are given the ability to self-organize RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884 Democratic Governance (UNDP) Human rights & political freedom Voice in government decisions Accountability Inclusive & fair rules Gender equality Free from discrimination (race, ethnicity, class, gender, etc) Needs of future generations Responsive economic & social policies Economic & social policies aim at poverty eradication & expanding choices RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884 Indicators (WB Study) Process by which governments are selected, monitored & replaced Voice & accountability, political stability & absence of violence Ability of governments to formulate & implement sound policies Government effectiveness, regulatory quality Respect of citizens & state for the institutions that govern economic & social interactions among them Rule of law, control of corruption RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884 Voice & Accountability Orderly transfers of political power Political rights Vested interests Accountability of public officials Civil liberties & Human rights Freedom of association Freedom of press
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Political Stability Armed conflicts Violent demonstrations Social unrest, including ethnic tensions International tensions/ terrorist threat
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Governance Effectiveness Quality of public service provision Quality of bureaucracy / institutional effectiveness Credibility of Government’s commitment to policies Quality of general infrastructure Quality of public schools Public service vulnerability to political pressure RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884 Regulatory Quality Unfair competitive practices Government’s attitude towards investment Price controls Discriminatory tariffs Excessive protections Discriminatory taxes Extent of dominance of SOEs Regulation of foreign trade
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Rule of Law Violent crime Organized crime Fairness of judicial process Enforceability of contracts Speediness of judicial process Confiscation/expropriation Intellectual property rights protection Private property protection
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Control of Corruption Public trust in financial honesty of politicians Corruption among public officials Corruption as obstacle to business State capture, including positions of power through patronage
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
How Does Nepal Fare? The World Bank Study [2003]
1996 1998 2000 2002
Voice & Accountability 0.13 -0.01 -0.12 -0.52 Political stability 0.14 -0.43 -1.02 -1.63 Governance effectiveness -0.32 -0.94 -0.72 -0.51 Regulatory quality -0.24 -0.34 -0.30 -0.50 Rule of law -0.34 -0.25 -0.31 -0.50 Control of corruption -0.26 -0.59 -0.42 -0.30
(Scores range from -2.5 to 2.5)
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Global Income Disparity Share, in 1990, of Richest 20% Poorest 20% GDP 86 1 Exports 82 1 FDI 68 1 Telephone Lines 74 1.5 Internet users 93 0.2
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Forces of Globalization Decline in costs of 1960 1990 Computers 125 1 Telephone calls 15 1 Air transport 2 1
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Declining Influence of Government 1997 Data Total sales of General Motors $164 B Total GDP of Thailand $154 B Total sales of Hollywood movies $30 B Total sales of movie Titanic $1.8 B Total GDP of Nepal $4.8 B Of 100 largest economies in the world 50 countries 50 MNCs
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Rampant Poverty & Low HDI Of 6 B people in the world, 2.8 B live on less than $2 a day 1.2 B live on less than $1 a day Under 5 mortality In rich countries 1 in 100 children In poor countries 20 in 100 children Malnourishment In rich countries < 5% In poor countries 50 % 60 countries ended 1990s poorer
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Global Politics Since 1980, 81 countries democratized, 47 fully functioning democracies 37,000 INGOs in 2000 Only 14% of parliamentarians women, 10 countries with none Only 6 vetoes cast in UN security council in the second half of 1990s (cf average of 25 between 1946-1995)
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Global Positives Lowering of ideological tensions since the end of the Cold War Emerging consensus on the need for certain economic & new political reforms Heightened flows of information made possible by the ICT technology advances
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Global Positives, contd Extreme poverty 29% in 1990 to 23% in 1999 In 1990s, 800 M people gained access to improved water, & 750 to improved sanitation Between 1970 & 200, Under 5 mortality 96 to 56 per 1,000 Primary school enrolment 80% in 1990 to 84% in 1998 Death from interstate conflict down 3 times in 2990s from 1980s
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Global Negatives Declining global ODA grossly insufficient to meet MDGs Nearly 3.6 M killed in wars within states 50% more refugees & internally displaced in 1990s Half of all civilian war casualties are children Estimated 300,00 child soldiers worldwide RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884 Governance in Nepal 3 General Elections & 2 Local Election Strong decentralization law About 200,000 elected representatives in local government About 36,000 of them women Strong growth of civil society Revolution in media
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Governance in Nepal, contd Stronger anti-corruption regime CIAA, Corruption control act Reforms aimed at building inclusive society NHRC, NWC, NDC, NAIP Initiation of devolution of basic service to LGIs Initiatives for public expenditure priritization RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884 Governance in Nepal, contd 1990 2000 GDP 100 175 Literacy 40% 55% Life expectancy 40 yrs 62 yrs Infant Mortality (1,00) 102 64 Child Mortality (1,00) 162 91
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
Governance in Nepal, contd 1989 2000 Social spending 2.2 times Revenue 2.3 times Industrial production 3.3 times Exports 4.7 times Exports to India 18.7 times Service exports 2.8 times Tourism income 1.6 times Forex reserve 3.8 times RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884 Governance in Nepal, contd 1989 2000 Energy consumption 1.4 times Hydro-power generation 3.0 times Road 2.3 times Telephones 6.9 times School enrolment 1.5 times Schools 1.6 times Health centers 4.1 times
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
What Went Wrong 12 Governments in 13 years Stagnant agriculture grew only 1.5 times in 11 years Export trade benefited almost exclusively Kathmandu valley and few major towns Export trade with no significant backward or forward linkage
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
What Went Wrong, contd Delay in banking & financial sector reform much needed with economic liberalization Inadequate bank supervision and the resultant in large non performing assets Organized interest groups reaping economic benefiting from the political patronage
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
What Went Wrong, contd Lack of transparency in political party financing opening room of political graft & corruption Sense of supremacy over law reinforcing political graft & corruption Continued petty corruption leading to further alienation & powerlessness
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
What Went Wrong, contd Tendency for graft & corruption reinforced by Weak institutional capacity to combat corruption Weak government fund disbursement procedure, & auditing Faulty public procurement rules Revenue leakage
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
What Went Wrong, contd Political patronage leading to inefficiency, irresponsiveness in civil service Lack of appropriate pay & other incentives resulting in a civil service incapable of leading economic growth & private sector development Bias in public expenditure towards urban & modern sector of the economy Centralized political system failing to deliver services to poor, inaccessible & remote areas Lack of effective public programs to mitigate the adverse effects of transition toward market economyRK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884 What Went Wrong, contd Excessive burden of recurrent expenditures, and inefficient & wasteful SOEs constraining much desired public investment in rural economic and social infrastructure development Disproportionate share of increased social sector spending to urban economy & richer population Due to centralization, social sector spending could not benefit interior & backward regions Inability to reach out to poor, marginalized and vulnerable RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884 What Went Wrong, contd Lack of hard budget constraint leading to a lack of prioritization in public expenditures Lack of resources & poor capacity of LGIs Public expenditures on primary vs tertiary education primary vs hospital health care Rural vs urban drinking water and sanitation
RK Pandey, Mobile: 98510-86884
What Went Wrong, contd Increased public awareness, expectation, not matched by economic growth, opportunities leading to widespread frustration in the rural areas providing breeding ground for Maoist insurgency Break down, near collapse of government in rural areas outside district headquarters Existing violent conflict between pro & anti 2047 constitution complicated by new triangular conflict