The House PPC Guide May 2015

Parliaments Magazine
PPC Guide May 2015
BATTLEGROUND
BRITAIN
The 50 constituencies to watch at the 2015 General Election

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PPC Guide May 2015
28
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Candidates correct at time of press, 9 Dec 2014
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34
Contents
19
ew would want to predict

this months general election
outcome.
In 2010 neither Labour nor the
Tories did well enough to form a
government on their own and Labour
lost very badly. The Lib Dems
became the junior partner in a coalition government.
In Scotland the SNP continued to gain strength,
culminating in an independence referendum which,
though lost, is nevertheless changing the power
balance of the UK. Ukip started as a party which
mainly threatened the Conservatives, but its reach
has widened. In the European elections it won more
seats than any other party. It now has two Westminster
MPs, both having defected from the Conservatives and
forced by-elections. Meanwhile the Greens are gaining
members at a higher rate than the established parties.
In fact, this months general election might best
be understood as one of 650 odd by-elections. Local
circumstances and individual candidates will matter
more than ever. This guide looks at the 50 most
interesting marginal seats who are the runners and
riders and what factors may affect the outcome.
I hope readers will find it useful on election night.
GISELA STUART MP EDITOR
11 32
4 AMBER VALLEY; ARGYLL & BUTE

5 AYRSHIRE NORTH & ARRAN; BIRMINGHAM YARDLEY
6 BRADFORD EAST; BRENT CENTRAL
8 BRISTOL WEST; BROXTOWE
10 BURNLEY; CARDIFF CENTRAL
11 CARDIFF NORTH; CARLISLE
13 CHIPPENHAM; DEWSBURY
14 DORSET MID & POOLE NORTH; DUNDEE WEST
16 EDINBURGH EAST; FALKIRK
17 GORDON; GREAT GRIMSBY
18 HENDON; HORNSEY & WOOD GREEN
19 INVERNESS, NAIRN, BADENOCH & STRATHSPEY;
LANCASTER & FLEETWOOD
20 LINCOLN; LINLITHGOW & FALKIRK EAST
21 LIVINGSTON; LLANELLI
22 MANCHESTER WITHINGTON; MONTGOMERYSHIRE
25 MORECAMBE & LUNESDALE; NORWICH SOUTH
26 OCHIL & SOUTH PERTHSHIRE; REDCAR
28 ROTHERHAM; SHERWOOD
31 SOLIHULL; SOMERTON & FROME
32 ST AUSTELL & NEWQUAY; ST IVES
34 STIRLING; STOCKTON SOUTH
35 STROUD; SUTTON & CHEAM
36 THANET SOUTH; THURROCK
37 WARRINGTON SOUTH; WARWICKSHIRE NORTH
38 WAVENEY; WELLS
Data and analysis supplied by Dods People and Dods Polling. For details on all declared candidates or
to learn more about PPC polling, please contact us at information@dods.co.uk or on 0207 593 5581
WWW.POLITICSHOME.COM
3 contents.indd 3
MAY 2015 | THE HOUSE MAGAZINE | 3
05/05/2015 11:25:39
Amber Valley
A m b - B i r
Conservative
Nigel Mills
(restanding)
Labour
Kevin Gillott
Lib Dem
Kate Smith
UKIP
Stuart Bent
This Derbyshire constituency is an

area where the traditional mining,
iron founding and textile industries
have declined and the economy
is slowly becoming more diverse.
Amber Valley is one of the most
populated non-city districts in
the East Midlands and the most
populated district in Derbyshire
apart from the city of Derby. The
constituencys three main towns
are all priorities for regeneration.
Having lost the seat in 2010 to the
Conservatives by only 536 votes,
Labour will be fighting hard to
retake Amber Valley.
Green Party
John Devine
Election 2010 results

Nigel Mills: Conservative majority 536
Margin: 1.1%
2%
0.6%
6.9%
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
British National Party
UK Independence Party
Others
14.4%
38.5%
37.4%
Argyll and Bute

Lib Dem
Alan Reid
(restanding)
Conservative
Alastair Redman
Labour
Mary Galbraith
SNP
Brendan OHara
UKIP
Caroline Santos
4 | THE HOUSE MAGAZINE | May 2015
4-5 amber valley to birmingham yardley.indd 4
Argyll and Bute is vast, remote and

beautiful. It comprises 26 inhabited
islands off the west coast of
Scotland, including Colonsay,
Iona, Islay, Jura, Mull, Tiree and
Bute, as well as a great swath
of the mainland from the Kintyre
Peninsula to the moors of Argyll
in the remote north. With the
declining fortunes of the Lib Dems
and the rise of the SNP in the area,
Alan Reid will have to work hard to
keep his seat.

Alan Reid: Lib Dem majority 3,431
Margin: 7.5%
1.8%
1%
18.9%
Liberal Democrat
Conservative
Labour
Scottish National Party
Green Party
Others
Data and analysis supplied by Dods People and Dods Polling
31.6%
22.7%
24%
05/05/2015 11:24:47
Ayrshire North and Arran

Labour
Katy Clark
(restanding)
SNP
Patricia Gibson
Conservative
Jamie Greene
North Ayrshire and Arran stretches

along a long strip of east coast
mainland and includes, just across
the Firth of Clyde, the Isle of Arran.
Largs, Fairlie and West Kilbride
wealthy commuting areas to the
north contrast with the southern
industrial belt which runs from
Ardrossan to Kilwinning. Labours
dominance is is being challenged
by the SNP as disaffected voters
turn to the nationalists.
Lib Dem
Ruby Kirkwood

Katy Clark: Labour majority 9,895
Margin: 21.4%
1%
10%
Labour
Conservative
Liberal Democrat
Others
UKIP
Sharon McGonigal
15.6%
47.3%
25.9%
Birmingham Yardley
Lib Dem
John Hemming
(restanding)
Labour
Jess Phillips
Conservative
Arun Photay
UKIP
Paul Clayton
Respect
Teval Stephens
4-5 amber valley to birmingham yardley.indd 5
Birmingham Yardley represented

a valuable win for the Lib Dems
in the 2005 general election,
but remains closely contested.
It is now made up of four wards:
Acocks Green, South Yardley,
Stechford and Yardley North and
Sheldon. Unusually for the West
Midlands, the contest here is
traditionally between the Lib Dems
and Labour. With Lib Dem support
falling nationally, this is exactly the
sort of seat Labour need to win.
But Birmingham city councillor
and Victims Champion Jess
Phillips may find the experienced
campaigner and maverick John
Hemming a doughty opponent.

John Hemming: Lib Dem majority 3,002
Margin: 7.32%
2.9%
0.9%
5.3%
Liberal Democrat
Labour
Conservative
Others
19.1%
39.4%
32.1%
May 2015 | THE HOUSE MAGAZINE | 5
05/05/2015 11:24:48
Bradford East
B r a - b r e
Lib Dem
David Ward
(restanding)
Labour
Imran Hussain
Conservative
Iftikhar Ahmed
UKIP
Owais Rajput
Green Party
Dave Stevens
Recreated in 2010, this seat

reshapes much of the old Bradford
North constituency, snaking
down the east of the city along
the border with Pudsey. A large
percentage of the population
come from ethnic minorities,
mostly Asian. The constituency
includes the wards of Bolton
and Undercliffe, Bowling and
Barkerend, Bradford Moor,
Eccleshill, Idle and Thackley, and
Little Horton. The Lib Dems won
the seat from Labour in 2010 after
a hard-fought battle, but with such
a small margin of victory it could
very well return to Labour again.

David Ward: Lib Dem majority 365
Margin: 0.9%
2.1%
4.6%
Liberal Democrat
Labour
Conservative
Others
26.7%
33.6%
32.7%
Brent Central
Lib Dem
Lauren Keith
Labour
Dawn Butler
Conservative
Alan Mendoza
Green Party
Shahrar Ali
TUSC
John Boyle
6 | THE HOUSE MAGAZINE | MAY 2015
6-8 Bradford east to Broxtowe.indd 6
Created in 2010, this seat takes in

nine wards from across the London
Borough of Brent. A traditionally
strong Labour area, Sarah Teathers
victory over Labour candidate Dawn
Butler in 2010 was partly buoyed
by local opposition to the Iraq War.
However, Teather decided to stand
down at the 2015 election, and
her initial replacement former
Lib Dem party fundraiser Ibrahim
Taguri was forced to quit as PPC
in March following allegations over
a party donation. His replacement,
Lauren Keith, is facing a stiff
challenge from Butler, who
served as MP for the abolished
constituency of Brent South from
2005 until 2010.

Sarah Teather: Lib Dem majority 1,345
Margin: 2.9%
1.5%
1.9%
11.1%
Liberal Democrat
Labour
Conservative
Green Party
Others
43.7%
40.8%
05/05/2015 11:23:01
The future
waits for
no airport.
gatwick 1.indd 1
09/12/2014 17:23:12
Bristol West
b r i - b r o
Lib Dem
Stephen Williams
(restanding)
Labour
Thangam Debbonaire
Conservative
Claire Hiscott
Green Party
Darren Hall
In many ways, Bristol West might

be considered the most diverse
of the citys constituencies, with
its unusual mix of students,
ethnic minorities and wealthy
professionals. Its mixed character
may be linked to its marginality.
Following a strong performance
in the local elections, the Green
Party are now serious contenders
for this seat, making Bristol West a
three-way marginal and the result
even harder to predict.

Stephen Williams: Lib Dem majority 11,366
Margin: 20.5%
1.2%
3.8%
Liberal Democrat
Labour
Conservative
Green Party
Others
UKIP
Paul Turner

1.1%
18.3%
48%
27.5%
Broxtowe
Conservative
Anna Soubry
(restanding)
Labour
Nick Palmer
Lib Dem
Stan Heptinstall
UKIP
Frank Dunne
Green Party
David Kirwan
6-8 Bradford east to Broxtowe.indd 8
Traditionally a safe Conservative

seat covering the western fringes
of the west and north west
of Nottingham, Broxtowe has
changed significantly politically
and socially since the early 1990s.
Unlike many surrounding seats
in Nottinghamshire and East
Derbyshire, the constituency is
largely middle class, particularly
in the suburban towns of Beeston
and Stapleford. Outspoken
Conservative MP Anna Soubry
faces a robust challenge from the
seats former MP of 13 years, Nick
Palmer.

Anna Soubry: Conservative majority 389
Margin: 0.7%
2.3%
2.7%
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Green Party
0.8%
16.9%
39%
38.3%
05/05/2015 11:23:10
The runway debate has been going on for decades now - and further delays are something that the
UK really cant afford. Every month that our country doesnt have a new runway is another month
of missed economic growth.
Gatwick is able to deliver Britains new runway much faster than Heathrow with less disruption and
without requiring any funding from the taxpayer.
We just dont face the same geographical challenges associated with Heathrows expansion plans,
like having to build their runway over the M25 or having to fly an extra 130,000 planes over central
London every year.
Expanding Gatwick will strengthen the UKs network of airports and create greater competition
in the industry, meaning passengers will benefit from lower fares and better service.
Which is great, because aviation is changing fast. With the introduction of more fuel efficient aircraft, were
now able to fly greater distances without stopping - a whole world of possibilities has opened up.
Gatwick already flies direct to more destinations than any other UK airport building a second runway
would not only strengthen our routes to emerging markets, it would also relieve pressure and
free up hub capacity at Heathrow.
With two world class airports working to their full potential, the skys the limit.
So, enough of the debate, lets just make the right decision for Britains future.
Get the facts about
the runway debate at
gatwickobviously.com
and @LGWobviously
gatwick 2.indd 1
09/12/2014 17:23:47
Burnley
b u r - c a r
Lib Dem
Gordon Birtwistle
(restanding)
Labour
Julie Cooper
Conservative
Sarah Cockburn-Price
UKIP
Tom Commis
Burnley is a major East Lancashire

town situated just east of
Blackburn. The constituency also
includes some of the surrounding
Pennine moors. Formerly a safe
Labour seat, the Liberal Democrats
secured victory in 2010. In the
past Burnley has received national
press coverage for flirting with
the BNP, but the far-right partys
vote has since collapsed. Up until
recently, the race has been seen
primarily as being between the
Lib Dems and Labour but will
Ukip benefit from the support of
disaffected voters in the town?
Green Party
Mike Hargreaves

Gordon Birtwistle: Lib Dem majority 1,818
Margin: 4.3%
7.4%
8.9%
Liberal Democrat
Labour
Conservative
Others
35.6%
16.6%
31.3%
Cardiff Central
Lib Dem
Jenny Willott
(restanding)
Labour
Jo Stevens
Conservative
Richard Hopkin
Plaid Cymru
Martin Pollard
UKIP
Anthony Raybould
10-11 Burnley to Carlisle.indd 10
Cardiff Central comprises the city

centre and encompasses the
castle, Cardiff University, the City
Hall, law courts, National Museum,
Cardiff Royal Infirmary and a large
shopping area. The seat also
includes the Millennium Stadium,
the magnificent home of Welsh
rugby. Jenny Willott has held the
seat for the Lib Dems since 2005,
but is facing a serious challenge
from Labour in the form of trade
union solicitor Jo Stevens.

Jenny Willott: Lib Dem majority 4,576
Margin: 12.6%
2.1%
3.4%
Liberal Democrat
Labour
Conservative
Plaid Cymru
Others
2.7%
21.5%
41.3%
28.7%
05/05/2015 11:29:38
Cardiff North
Conservative
Craig Williams
Labour
Mari Williams
Lib Dem
Elizabeth Clark
Cardiff is fast becoming one of

Europes finest maritime cities,
and the rapid development is
giving the city a new cosmopolitan
feel. The northern division has
become a major Tory/Labour
battleground. Following incumbent
MP Jonathan Evans decision to
stand down, new Conservative PPC
Craig Williams will have a hard job
fighting off Labours Mari Williams
in this ultra-marginal seat.
Plaid Cymru
Elin Walker Jones

Jonathan Evans: Conservative majority 194
Margin: 0.4%
2.4%
3.3%
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Plaid Cymru
Others
UKIP
Ethan Wilkinson
1.4%
18.3%
37.4%
37%
Carlisle
Conservative
John Stevenson
(restanding)
Labour
Lee Sherriff
Lib Dem
Loraine Birchall
UKIP
Fiona Mills
Carlisle is a predominantly urban

constituency comprising the city
itself, as well as outlying rural
towns. Industry within the seat is
focused on food manufacturing,
with agriculture playing a role
in the lives of many inhabitants.
Tourists are also attracted by
the citys Roman heritage. John
Stevenson faces a tough fight
against Labours Lee Sherriff. This
marginal seat is exactly the kind of
constituency both the Conservative
and Labour parties need to capture
in order to win the next general
election.
Green Party
Helen Davison
10-11 Burnley to Carlisle.indd 11

John Stevenson: Conservative majority 853
Margin: 2%
2.3%
2.6%
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Others
3%
15.5%
39.2%
37.2%
05/05/2015 11:29:39
BAE.indd 1
09/12/2014 17:24:54
Chippenham
Conservative
Michelle Donelan
Labour
Andy Newman
UKIP
Julia Reid
Green Party
Tina Johnston
Chippenham was newly created in

2010 by the Boundary Commission
out of parts of the Devizes,
North Wiltshire, and Westbury
constituencies. The seat is based
around the town of Chippenham,
which is the largest town in rural
North Wiltshire, lying between the
Marlborough Downs to the east,
the Cotswolds to the north and
west, and Salisbury Plain to the
south. The three seats from which
this constituency was formed in
2010 were all solid Tory territory,
and Conservative Michelle Donelan
is seen as a serious contender to
take the seat from Duncan Hames.

Duncan Hames: Lib Dem majority 2,470
Margin: 4.7%
This largely urban West Yorkshire

seat to the south of Leeds has had
a marginal past. Major boundary
changes helped make the seat
slightly more winnable for the
Conservatives, and they returned
a majority of 1,526 at the 2010
general election. A rise in Ukips
fortunes locally could potentially
split the Conservative vote and
even deliver a possible victory to
Labours Paula Sherriff.

Simon Reevell: Conservative majority 1,526
Margin: 2.8%
c h i - d e w
c h i - d u n
Lib Dem
Duncan Hames
(restanding)
2.9%
3.4%
6.9%
Liberal Democrat
Conservative
Labour
Others
45.7%
41%
Dewsbury
Conservative
Simon Reevell
(restanding)
Labour
Paula Sherriff
Lib Dem
Ednan Hussain
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Independent
Others
UKIP
Mark Thackray
13-14 Chippenham to Dundee West.indd 13
6%
7%
Green Party
Adrian Cruden
2.8%
34.9%
16.9%
32.1%
05/05/2015 11:27:57
Dorset Mid and Poole North

d o r - d u n
Lib Dem
Vikki Slade
Conservative
Michael Tomlinson
Labour
Patrick Canavan
UKIP
Richard Turner
Green Party
Mark Chivers
On the border between town

and country, this constituency
stretches from the suburban
residential areas of north Poole to
smaller rural communities. A new
creation for 1997, Mid Dorset and
North Poole was narrowly held by
the Conservatives in its inaugural
year but Annette Brooke won
the seat in 2005, turning in one
of the most impressive Lib Dem
performances in the south-west
that year. However, Brooke could
only manage a majority of 269
in 2010, and after her decision
not to contest the seat, this is a
constituency the Tories will be
looking to take.

Annette Brooke: Lib Dem majority 269
Margin: 0.6%
Dundee was once known for

jute, jam and journalism: now
the jute mills are long closed
and Dundee is marketed as the
city of discovery in an attempt
to increase tourism. The seat
remains a hive of industry, with
food processing and publishing still
important and new hi-tech firms
establishing themselves. Residents
are still by and large staunchly
working class, but there are some
more middle-class areas around
Dundee Law. The city centre, both
universities and the airport are also
in this seat. The ascendant SNP
currently holds the near-analogue
Holyrood seat of Dundee City West.

Jim McGovern: Labour majority 7,278
Margin: 19.6%
4.5%
5.9%
Liberal Democrat
Conservative
Labour
45%
44.4%
Dundee West
Labour
Michael Marra
SNP
Chris Law
Lib Dem
Daniel Coleman
Conservative
Nicola Ross
Green Party
Pauline Hichion
13-14 Chippenham to Dundee West.indd 14
1.9%
9.3%
11.4%
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Conservative
Others
48.4%
28.8%
05/05/2015 11:27:58
CRUK.indd 1
09/12/2014 17:25:30
Edinburgh East
e d i - g o r
Labour
Sheila Gilmore
(restanding)
SNP
Tommy Sheppard
Lib Dem
Karen Utting
Conservative
James McMordie
Green Party
Peter McColl
Until now seen as a safe Labour

seat, Edinburgh East is situated
in the heart of Scotlands capital
and includes landmarks such as
Edinburgh Castle, Arthurs Seat,
St Giles Cathedral, the Palace
of Holyroodhouse, the Princes
Street gardens, and Edinburgh
University. The constituency also
encompasses deprived areas such
as the Craigmillar estate. Although
the city of Edinburgh voted no to
independence overall, Edinburgh
East bucked the trend, recording
the highest yes vote in the capital
at 47% leaving the seat looking
potentially vulnerable to an SNP
swing.

Sheila Gilmore: Labour majority 9,181
Margin: 22.9%
Set in Scotlands old industrial

heartland, this constituency was
created in 2005. On paper Labour
enjoys a healthy majority, but a
series of high-profile scandals
could play in the SNPs favour.
Not only did incumbent Eric Joyce
resign the Labour whip following
his arrest for drunk and disorderly
behaviour in a Commons bar,
but the subsequent selection
process for a new Labour PPC
was also long and controversial,
and the Unite union was accused
of hijacking the exercise. Karen
Whitefield, the former Labour
MSP for Airdrie and Shotts, has a
daunting fight on her hands.

Eric Joyce: Labour majority 7,843
Margin: 15.4%
5.8%
10.9%
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Conservative
Others
43.4%
19.4%
20.4%
Falkirk
Labour
Karen Whitefield
SNP
John McNally
Conservative
Alison Harris
Lib Dem
Galen Milne
UKIP
David Coburn
16-17 Edinburgh east to Gordon.indd 16
2.5%
10.3%
11.2%
Labour
Conservative
Liberal Democrat
45.6%
30.2%
05/05/2015 11:27:29
Gordon
Lib Dem
Christine Jardine
SNP
Alex Salmond
Labour
Braden Davy
Conservative
Colin Clark
UKIP
Emily Santos
Set in the rural hinterland around

the city of Aberdeen, this seat has
seen a huge growth in population
caused by the oil boom. Forestry,
agriculture and food processing
including whisky distilleries
are among the most important
industries. Other industries include
paper at Inverurie and engineering
supplies for the oil and gas
industries. Following the popular
Malcolm Bruces decision to stand
down, Christine Jardines campaign
to keep the seat for the Lib Dems
was dealt a heavy blow by political
leviathan Alex Salmonds decision
to run for the very seat that
his own Holyrood constituency
overlaps.

Malcolm Bruce: Lib Dem majority 6,748
Margin: 13.8%
Situated in North East Lincolnshire,

the once-famous fishing port
of Great Grimsby has been a
solidly Labour seat since 1945,
remaining loyal even in bad times.
However, Labours local base is
shrinking. Local election results
have not been kind to the party,
with Ukip making a series of local
election breakthroughs, both in
Grimsby and neighbouring areas.
Longstanding incumbent Austin
Mitchell has also seen his majority
fall from a peak of 16,000 in 1997
to 714 by 2010. With the local
economy struggling, Mitchells
decision to stand down may have
blown the race wide open.

Austin Mitchell: Labour majority 714
Margin: 2.2%
3%
18.7%
Liberal Democrat
Labour
Conservative
Others
36%
20.1%
22.2%
Great Grimsby
Labour
Melanie Onn
Conservative
Marc Jones
Lib Dem
Steve Beasant
UKIP
Victoria Ayling
16-17 Edinburgh east to Gordon.indd 17
4.6%
3.5%
6.2%
Labour
Conservative
Liberal Democrat
Others
32.6%
22.4%
30.5%
05/05/2015 11:27:31
Hendon
h e n - l a n
Conservative
Matthew Offord
(restanding)
Labour
Andrew Dismore
Lib Dem
Alasdair Hill
UKIP
Raymond Shamash
Green Party
Ben Samuel
This ethnically and economically

diverse marginal north London
seat was held by Labours Andrew
Dismore from 1997 until his
narrow defeat in 2010 to the
Conservatives. During a negatively
waged election campaign,
Matthew Offord benefited from
voters concerns over the economy,
and also what appeared to be
voter mobilisation in communities
opposed to the Iraq war. Andrew
Dismore, who later said he would
have the number 106 engraved
on my heart until I die, described
the campaign as the filthiest Ive
ever been involved in. Could a
bitter rematch this May result in
Dismore recapturing his old seat?

Matthew Offord: Conservative majority 106
Margin: 0.2%
2.1%
1.1%
12.3%
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Green Party
42.2%
42%
Hornsey and Wood Green

Lib Dem
Lynne Featherstone
(restanding)
Labour
Catherine West
Conservative
Suhail Rahuja
Green Party
Gordon Peters
UKIP
Clive Morrison
18-19 Hendon to Lancaster and Fleetwood.indd 18
Hornsey and Wood Green

constituency is in the London
Borough of Haringey and covers
the western area of the borough
including Muswell Hill and the
steep hills of Wood Green. It
is a reasonably affluent north
London seat with some diverse
areas. Although Featherstone has
a reasonable majority, the Lib
Dems lost 14 out of 23 seats on
Haringey Council in the May 2014
local elections. If such a result was
replicated in this months general
election, the former leader of
Islington Council, Catherine West,
could be the victor.

Lynne Featherstone: Lib Dem majority 6,875
Margin: 12.4%
2.3%
0.5%
16.6%
Liberal Democrat
Labour
Conservative
Green Party
Others
46.3%
33.9%
05/05/2015 11:26:49
Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey

Lib Dem
Danny Alexander
(restanding)
Labour
Mike Robb
SNP
Drew Hendry
Conservative
Edward Mountain
UKIP
Les Durance
A vast constituency covering over

750,000 hectares, this is one of
the largest in the UK. The city of
Inverness has been regenerated
in the last three decades, and is
now a self-confident and vibrant
capital of the Gidhealtachd, the
Gaelic-speaking heartland. The
seat was held by Labour until
2005, but constituents now have a
Nationalist MSP and a Lib Dem MP.
As Treasury Chief Secretary in the
Coalition Government, could Danny
Alexanders perceived closeness to
the Tories, combined with his role
in unpopular government cuts, see
him become one of the biggest
scalps taken by the SNP in the
general election?

Danny Alexander: Lib Dem majority 8,765
Margin: 18.6%
5.2%
13.3%
Liberal Democrat
Labour
Conservative
Others
40.7%
18.7%
22.1%
Lancaster and Fleetwood

Conservative
Eric Ollerenshaw
(restanding)
Labour
Cat Smith
Lib Dem
Robin Long
Green Party
Chris Coates
This Lancashire constituency was

created in the 2010 boundary
changes. It combines the historic
town of Lancaster with the coastal
town of Fleetwood. As an ultramarginal Conservative/Labour
seat, the fight for Lancaster and
Fleetwood promises to be fierce,
as both parties will view winning
this seat as essential to their
prospects of forming a government
after the general election.
However, with rising support for
Ukip eating into their core votes,
the result is going to be hard to
predict.
UKIP
Matthew Atkins
18-19 Hendon to Lancaster and Fleetwood.indd 19

Eric Ollerenshaw: Conservative majority 333
Margin: 0.8%
4.4%
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Green Party
Others
5.1%
19.1%
36%
35.2%
05/05/2015 11:26:50
Lincoln
l i n - l l a
Conservative
Karl McCartney
(restanding)
Labour
Lucy Rigby
Lib Dem
Ross Pepper
An ancient cathedral city that is

more industrial and working class
than outsiders might imagine.
Ukip may have polled only 2.2%
of the vote in 2010, but antiimmigration sentiment combined
with growing local resentment that
Lincoln has become remote from
the concerns of a Westminster
elite could see the party
dramatically boost its vote share.

Karl McCartney: Conservative majority 1,058
Margin: 2.3%
7%
UKIP
Nick Smith
20.2%
37.5%
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Others
35.2%
Linlithgow and Falkirk East

Labour
Michael Connarty
(restanding)
SNP
Martyn Day
Lib Dem
Emma Farthing-Sykes
Conservative
Sandy Batho
20-21 Lincoln to Llanelli.indd 20
Situated in the central industrial

belt, the constituency spreads
from Grangemouth and Boness
down the south bank of the Forth
to the ancient burgh of Linlithgow,
stopping just short of Queensferry.
The light manufacturing capital of
Scotland, it reaches about 15km
inland to include working-class
Bathgate and Armadale in the
south, and the former coal-mining
area of Polkemmet. Will the SNPs
rising popularity be enough to
overturn Michael Connartys large
majority and take this tradionally
safe Labour seat?

Michael Connarty: Labour majority 12,553
Margin: 24.3%
11.9%
12.8%
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Conservative
49.7%
25.4%
05/05/2015 11:31:59
Manchester Withington
m a n - m o n
Lib Dem
John Leech
(restanding)
Labour
Jeff Smith
Conservative
Robert Manning
Green Party
Lucy Bannister
UKIP
Mark Davies
This mainly residential seat to the

south of Manchester city centre
includes the areas of Didsbury,
Withington and Chorlton. These
desirable neighbourhoods have
high numbers of students and
young professionals. After first
deserting the Tories during the
Thatcher years, a shock win for
the Lib Dems in 2005 and their
re-election in 2010 has turned this
once very safe Labour seat into
marginal territory. John Leech may
have voted against tuition fees,
but with so many student voters
living in the constituency, can
Labour capitalise on anti-Lib Dem
sentiment and retake this seat?

John Leech: Liberal Democrat majority 1,850
Margin: 4.1%
3.6%
11.1%
Liberal Democrat
Labour/Co-operative
Conservative
Others
44.6%
40.5%
Montgomeryshire
Conservative
Glyn Davies
(restanding)
Lib Dem
Jane Dodds
Plaid Cymru
Ann Griffith
Labour
Martyn Singleton
UKIP
Des Parkinson
22-25 Manchester withington to Norwich South.indd 22
Montgomeryshire is a rural
constituency with an elderly
population centred on Newtown.
Lembit pik was a surprise loser
on election night when the Tories
Glyn Davies captured the seat
with a 13.2% swing in 2010. Will
the political weather ensure this
seat remains blue or can local
councillor and social worker Jane
Dodds recapture the seat for the
Lib Dems?

Glyn Davies: Conservative majority 1,184
Margin: 3.5%
5.4%
7.1%
8.3%
Conservative
Liberal Democrat
Plaid Cymru
Labour/Co-operative
Others
41.3%
37.8%
05/05/2015 11:31:28
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17:45
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Reflecting their concerns at
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09/12/2014
17:26:42
08/12/2014
14:08
Morecambe and Lunesdale

Labour
Amina Lone
Lib Dem
Matthew Severn
UKIP
Steve Ogden
Green Party
Phil Chandler
This seat contains the rural

northern parts of Lancashire that
border Cumbria with wards such
as Carnforth, and swings round
to the west to the seaside resort
of Morecambe. Not quite as
glamorous as its near neighbour
Blackpool, its two piers have both
disappeared in recent years one
in a fire, the other in a storm. It
switched to the Tories in 2010. As
an ultra-marginal seat, the battle
for Morecambe and Lunesdale
promises to be fierce, with both
the Conservatives and Labour
needing to win seats such as
this if they are to be returned to
government.

David Morris: Conservative majority 866
Margin: 2%
Norwich South takes in the

majority of the citys historical
features including its Norman
castle and cathedral. Labour
support here has dwindled over
recent elections, with the Liberal
Democrats winning the seat by a
small margin in 2010, defeating
former cabinet minister Charles
Clarke. However, the Lib Dems
plummeting constituency poll
ratings suggest this seat may
become Labours once again.

Simon Wright: Liberal Democrat majority 310
Margin: 0.6%
4.2%
m o r - n o r
Conservative
David Morris
(restanding)
1.4%
13.3%
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Green Party
41.5%
39.5%
Norwich South
Lib Dem
Simon Wright
(restanding)
Labour
Clive Lewis
Conservative
Lisa Townsend
Green Party
Lesley Grahame
22-25 Manchester withington to Norwich South.indd 25
14.9%
29.3%
Liberal Democrat
Labour
Conservative
Green Party
Others
UKIP
Steven Emmens
4.1%
22.9%
28.7%
05/05/2015 11:31:38
Ochil and South Perthshire

o c h - r e d
Labour
Gordon Banks
(restanding)
SNP
Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh
Conservative
Luke Graham
Lib Dem
Iliyan Stefanov
Rural hamlets like Auchterarder,

Comrie and Crieff sparsely dot the
mountainous northern region of
this beautiful rural constituency,
whose more populous parts lie
in south-east Clackmannanshire,
centred on Alloa and Alva.
Although the seat includes the
great rural hinterland of the old
Perth division, the majority of its
electors are drawn from the old
Labour seat of Ochil. A key SNP
target, the Scottish nationalists are
keen to capture this seat.

Gordon Banks: Labour majority 5,187
Margin: 10.3%
2.6%
11.4%
Labour
Conservative
Liberal Democrat
Others
UKIP
Martin Gray
37.9%
20.5%
27.6%
Redcar
Lib Dem
Josh Mason
Labour
Anna Turley
Conservative
Jacob Young
UKIP
Chris Gallacher
Green Party
Peter Pinkney
26-28 Ochil to Sherwood.indd 26
A coastal constituency, Redcar

includes the eponymous seaside
resort. Sandwiched between
Middlesbrough to the south and
Hartlepool and Stockton to the
north, most of the constituency is
urban and heavily industrialised.
The Lib Dems took the seat from
Labour with their biggest swing of
2010 an impressive 22%. But
with the Lib Dems suffering in the
polls and popular incumbent MP
Ian Swales standing down, can
local councillor Josh Mason do
enough to prevent this seat being
retaken by Labour?

Ian Swales: Liberal Democrat majority 5,214
Margin: 12.4%
3.8%
4.5%
13.8%
Liberal Democrat
Labour
Conservative
Others
45.1%
32.7%
05/05/2015 11:31:03
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& Cats Home has
been rehoming
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From puppies to passports

and breeding to behaviour,
Battersea is one of the leading
voices in the debate on animal
welfare in Westminster
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For more information or to visit Battersea please contact our Public Affairs Manager Michael Webb on M.Webb@battersea.org.uk
battersea.indd 1
09/12/2014 17:31:08
Rotherham
r o t- s h e
Labour
Sarah Champion
(restanding)
UKIP
Jane Collins
Conservative
Sebastian Lowe
English Democrats
Dean Walker
Lib Dem
Janice Middleton
The old coal and steel town of

Rotherham now bearing the
scars of the decline of both its
major industries has been
represented by all three main
parties, but only Labour has won
here since 1933 and, since WWII,
usually overwhelmingly. Sarah
Champion held the seat for Labour
at the 2012 by-election caused
by Denis MacShanes resignation
following an expenses scandal
but saw the partys majority halved
to 5,318. Ukip came second,
almost quadrupling its vote share
since 2010 making Rotherham
one of its top target seats in the
north. Leading the charge is the
UKIP MEP, Jane Collins.
BY-Election 2012 results

Sarah Champion: Labour majority 5,318
Margin: 25%
Sherwood covers the central part

of Nottinghamshire and contains
the former mining communities of
Hucknall, Ravenshead, Ollerton and
Calverton. Previously held by Paddy
Tipping, Labours comfortable reign
ended when Tipping stood down
after 18 years in 2010. The seat
was won by Mark Spencer for the
Conservatives with a majority of
214. Sherwood is now number five
on Labours target list for 2015.

Mark Spencer: Conservative majority 214
Margin: 0.4%
9.8%
5.4%
Labour
Respect
Conservative
Others
8.3%
46.4%
8.4%
21.6%
Sherwood
Conservative
Mark Spencer
(restanding)
Labour
Lonie Mathers
Lib Dem
Dan Mosley
7.1%
14.9%
UKIP
Sally Chadd
Green Party
Lydia Davies-Bright
26-28 Ochil to Sherwood.indd 28
39.2%
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Others
38.8%
05/05/2015 11:31:14
IMPROVING
THE WORLD
THROUGH
ENGINEERING.
The Institution of Mechanical Engineers is one of the
worlds leading professional engineering institutions.
As a learned society we offer decision makers informed
and impartial research, support and policy publications
covering five key themes; Manufacturing, Education,
Environment, Energy and Transport.
If you would like to speak to us, please
contact public affairs on 020 7973 1293
or publicaffairs@imeche.org
www.imeche.org
IMECHE.indd 1
09/12/2014 17:27:29
The University and

College Union (UCU)
is the largest trade
union and professional
organisation for
academics, lecturers,
trainers, researchers
and academic-related
staff working in further
and higher education
across the UK.
Setting the agenda for the knowledge economy:

a vision for 2015 and beyond
ducation not only improves an individuals proposals for change our members would like to see
chances in life, it drives a sustainable economy in 2015 and beyond. These include:
and fairer society.
Colleges and universities are key economic
contributors, both as local employers and the providers
of the skilled professional and technical staff which
businesses and public services depend on.
a radical rethink on student finance
As we approach the general election each of the

parties must set out clearly how they plan to develop
and support further and higher education in the next
parliament.
a bespoke training offer for adults aged 25 and

over
The University and College Union (UCU) is the

largest trade union and professional organisation
for academics, lecturers, trainers, researchers and
academic-related staff working in further and higher
education across the UK.
Our manifesto sets out a vision for a diverse and
resilient post-school education sector, with 15
an overhaul of careers education

robust minimum standards for apprenticeships
an end to zero-hours contracts

enhanced transparency of college and university
management
curbs to public support for profit-making
education institutions
the removal of international students from the
immigration cap
Download the manifesto today from www.ucu.org.uk/ucuge15manifesto or contact

publicaffairs@ucu.org.uk for more information.
UCU.indd 1
09/12/2014 17:28:00
Solihull
Conservative
Julian Knight
Labour
Nigel Knowles
UKIP
Phil Henrick
Green Party
Howard Allen
Solihull, on the southeastern

fringes of Birmingham, comprises
eight wards: Elmdon, Lyndon,
Olton, St Alphege, Shirley East,
Shirley South, Shirley West and
Silhill. It is middle class, suburban,
owner-occupied and white. The
seat had been Conservative
since its creation in 1945 but
fell to the Lib Dems in a surprise
victory in 2005 and again, with
a tiny majority, in 2010. Lib Dem
incumbent Lorely Burt will have
a fight on her hands if she is to
hold on to her seat against the
resurgent Tories, led by journalist
Julian Knight.

Lorely Burt: Lib Dem majority 175
Margin: 0.3%
s o l - s o m
s o l - s t i
Lib Dem
Lorely Burt
(restanding)
5.7%
8.9%
Liberal Democrat
Conservative
Labour
Others
42.8%
42.5%
Somerton and Frome

Lib Dem
David Rendel
Conservative
David Warburton
Labour
David Oakensen
UKIP
Alan Dimmick
Somerton and Frome is one of

the largest rural constituencies
in England, covering almost 900
square miles. It borders Wiltshire
to the east, Bath and North East
Somerset to the north and Dorset
to the south. With David Heath
standing down, the Lib Dem
charge is being led by old hand
David Rendel, the former MP for
Newbury. The Liberal Democrats
will be only too aware that despite
four successive victories here, their
grip on power remains very fragile,
with the Tories now desperate to
win this seat.
Green Party
Theo Simon
31-32 Solihull to St Ives.indd 31

David Heath: Lib Dem majority 1,817
Margin: 3%
3.2%
4.4%
Liberal Democrat
Conservative
Labour
Independent
0.4%
47.5%
44.5%
05/05/2015 11:34:36
St Austell and Newquay

s ta - s t i
Lib Dem
Stephen Gilbert
(restanding)
Conservative
Stephen Double
Labour
Deborah Hopkins
The new seat of St Austell and

Newquay stretches from the
south-east to the north coast
of Cornwall and takes in a huge
rural heartland in between the
big touristic towns of St Austell
and Newquay. Though held by the
Lib Dems for many years now,
this seat is a key target for the
Conservatives.

Stephen Gilbert: Lib Dem majority 1,312
Margin: 2.7%
2.2%
3.7%
4.3%
Mebyon Kernow
Dick Cole
Liberal Democrat
Conservative
Labour
Mebyon Kernow
Green Party
Steve Slade
7.2%
42.7%
39.9%
St Ives
Lib Dem
Andrew George
(restanding)
Conservative
Derek Thomas
Labour
Cornelius Olivier
UKIP
Graham Calderwood
Mebyon Kernow
Rob Simmons
31-32 Solihull to St Ives.indd 32
The most south-westerly

constituency in the country
stretches from Lands End
northwards to Godrevy Head,
north of the seaside town from
which it takes its name. The seat
also includes the Isles of Scilly.
But the largest town is Penzance,
the commercial centre of West
Cornwall. Labour support has
stagnated for many years, but
unless Andrew George benefits
from some Labour tactical voting,
this seat may well turn blue. A
rising Ukip and Cornish nationalist
vote makes the result even more
difficult to predict.

Andrew George: Lib Dem majority 1,719
Margin: 3.7%
2.9%
1.7%
5.6%
Liberal Democrat
Conservative
Labour
Green Party
Others
8%
42.6%
38.9%
05/05/2015 11:34:37
e
ic
o
v
e
h
t
is
o
t
s
e
if
n
Our ma
.
n
io
s
s
e
f
o
r
p
n
io
t
a
c
u
d
e
of the
for education
ve shaped a vision
ATL and AMiE members ha
le and education staff.
op
pe
g
un
yo
r
fo
al
de
w
ne
which is a
Young people need an assessment

system and a curriculum that are
broad and balanced
Transition from school to FE, HE
and work needs financial support
and excellent careers guidance
Education and students futures
need to be prioritised over profit
Education professionals need an
end to excessive working hours
and a genuine career path through
a national pay structure and CPD
Our teacher, lecturer, leader and

support staff members will continue
to debate the issues in ATLs manifesto
to influence parties policies ahead of
the general election.
Read our manifesto

www.atl.org.uk/manifesto
Share it with others, join the debate
#ShapeEducation @ATLUnion
@ATL_AMiE
Schools and colleges need an

accountability system based on
collaboration, with local inspection
and a new role for Ofsted
ATL.indd 1
09/12/2014 17:28:36
Stirling
s t i - s u t
Labour
Johanna Boyd
Conservative
Stephen Kerr
SNP
Steven Paterson
Lib Dem
Elisabeth Wilson
Centred on the ancient Scottish

capital of the same name,
this seat also includes historic
Bannockburn and Stirling Bridge,
as well as the vast Loch Lomond
and Trossachs national park. Until
now a reasonably safe Labour seat
at Westminster, it is a three-way
marginal at Holyrood since the
SNP leapfrogged Labour and the
Conservatives to win the seat in
2007. With Anne McGuire standing
down, Labour PPC Johanna Boyd
faces a tough fight to prevent
the SNP taking this seat in a
Bannockburn-style rout.
Green Party
Mark Ruskell

Anne McGuire: Labour majority 8,304
Margin: 17.7%
2.4%
14.5%
Labour
Conservative
Liberal Democrat
Others
41.7%
17.3%
24%
Stockton South
Conservative
James Wharton
(restanding)
Labour
Louise Baldock
Lib Dem
Drew Durning
The congenial sibling of the

Stockton North seat contains
the town centre, and also
houses many commuters to
Middlesbrough. With lower
unemployment and a workforce
less centred upon manual
labour, it is little surprise that
Stockton South has flirted with the
Conservatives, albeit by narrow
margins. Louise Baldock may well
take this seat back for Labour.

James Wharton: Conservative majority 332
Margin: 0.6%
7.7%
UKIP
Ted Strike
Green Party
Jacqui Lovell
34-35 Stirling to Sutton.indd 34
15.1%
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Others
38.9%
38.2%
05/05/2015 11:34:22
Stroud
Conservative
Neil Carmichael
(restanding)
Stroud lies to the south of

Gloucester, between the two
larger rural Gloucestershire
constituencies of the Cotswolds
and Forest of Dean. More
industrialised than the
neighbouring constituency of the
Cotswolds, the Conservative hold
has been much more tenuous in
Stroud, a seat with a history of
nonconformist political activity.
A constituency with a history of
wavering between Labour and the
Tories, the former Labour MP for
Stroud, David Drew, may well find
himself returned to Westminster
once again.
Labour
David Drew
Lib Dem
Adrian Walker-Smith
Green Party
Sarah Lunnon
UKIP
Caroline Stephens

Neil Carmichael: Conservative majority 1,299
Margin 2.2%
5.1%
15.4%
Conservative
Labour/Co-operative
Liberal Democrat
Others
40.8%
38.5%
Sutton and Cheam

Lib Dem
Paul Burstow
(restanding)
Conservative
Paul Scully
Labour
Emily Brothers
UKIP
Professor Angus Dalgleish
National Health
Action Party
Dave Ash
34-35 Stirling to Sutton.indd 35
The areas of Sutton and Cheam

are on the south-west boundary
of Greater London. Suburban,
primarily residential areas, the
latter is rather more affluent
than its neighbour. Although a
Lib Dem seat since 1997, Paul
Scully is fighting hard to retake the
constituency for the Tories. With
Emily Brothers who came out in
December as the first transgender
PPC selected by a major political
party representing Labour, and
local Keep St Helier Hospital
campaigner Dave Ash making his
challenge in the seat of a former
health minister, Sutton and Cheam
looks set to be a fascinating
battleground.

Paul Burstow: Lib Dem majority 1,608
Margin: 3.3%
2%
2.1%
1%
6.9%
Liberal Democrat
Conservative
Labour
Others
45.5%
42.2%
05/05/2015 11:34:23
Thanet South
t h a - wa r
Conservative
Craig Mackinlay
Labour
Will Scobie
Lib Dem
Russ Timpson
UKIP
Nigel Farage
Green Party
Ian Driver
Thanet South sits in the northeast corner of Kent. It includes

the coastal resorts of Broadstairs
and Ramsgate plus the port of
Sandwich. The sitting MP, Laura
Sandys, was dealt a body blow in
2011 when Pfizer announced it
was to close its Sandwich plant,
with the loss of 6,000 jobs. Ukip
suggested vocal pro-European
Sandys decision to stand down
was influenced by the fear that
she would lose her seat to the
party. Faced with a challenge by
its popular leader Nigel Farage,
the local Conservative Association
chose a Ukip defector, Craig
Mackinlay, to replace her.

Laura Sandys: Conservative majority 7,617
Margin: 16.5%
Thurrock borders Greater London,

covers 18 miles of the north
bank of the Thames and includes
the towns of Grays, Tilbury and
Purfleet. An important port area,
it is home to Tilbury docks and
oil refineries and forms a major
part of the Thames Gateway
regeneration area. Traditionally
a two-way contest between
the Tories and Labour, this
constituency has now become a
three-way marginal, with Ukip
polling well. Holding the seat with
a tiny majority, the Tories face
challenges from Ed Milibands
former Spad, Polly Billington, and
Ukip MEP Tim Aker.

Jackie Doyle-Price: Conservative majority 92
Margin: 0.2%
5.5%
15.1%
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
47.9%
31.4%
Thurrock
Conservative
Jackie Doyle-Price
(restanding)
Labour
Polly Billington
Lib Dem
Rhodri Jamieson-Ball
UKIP
Tim Aker
CISTA
Jamie Barnes
36-37 Thanet south to north Warwickshire.indd 36
0.6%
7.4%
7.9%
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Others
10.7%
36.7%
36.5%
05/05/2015 11:34:04
Warrington South
Conservative
David Mowat
(restanding)
Labour
Nick Bent
Lib Dem
Bob Barr
UKIP
Malcolm Lingley
Held by the Conservatives for

just shy of a decade following its
creation in 1983, Labours win
here in 1992 was followed by
three more at successive general
elections before David Mowat
triumphed for the Tories in 2010.
There is some industry in the
seat, mainly chemical and service
industries, but it generally consists
of quiet residential areas. A key
battleground for both Labour and
the Conservatives, the result here
may say a lot about each of the
parties prospects nationwide.

David Mowat: Conservative majority 1,553
Margin: 2.8%
3.7%
27.5%
35.7%
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Others
Green Party
Stephanie Davies
32.9%
Warwickshire North
Conservative
Craig Tracey
Labour
Mike OBrien
Lib Dem
Alan Beddow
UKIP
William Cash
Green Party
Ian Bonner
36-37 Thanet south to north Warwickshire.indd 37
North Warwickshire lies to the

east of Birmingham and north of
Coventry. It comprises a collection
of post-industrial villages and the
town of Bedworth. Historically it
had a large coal-mining industry,
but this has almost petered out.
The district is relatively remote
from the rest of Warwickshire, as
the county is almost split in two by
the West Midlands. With sitting MP
Dan Byles standing down, can the
Tories new candidate Craig Tracey
do enough to prevent former
government minister Mike OBrien
taking back the old seat he lost in
2010?

Dan Byles: Conservative majority 54
Margin: 0.1%
2.8%
4.5%
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Others
0.9%
11.6%
40.1%
40%
05/05/2015 11:34:06
Waveney
wav- w e l
Conservative
Peter Aldous
(restanding)
Labour
Bob Blizzard
Lib Dem
Stephen Gordon
UKIP
Simon Tobin
The most easterly seat in Britain,

Waveney is situated in the
northeastern corner of Suffolk. The
constituency contains the declining
coastal town of Lowestoft and
the market towns of Beccles and
Bungay. Currently held with a tiny
majority by Peter Aldous, Labours
Bob Blizzard will be battling hard
to retake the seat he previously
held for 13 years. But with Ukips
successful showing in the 2013
local elections, could Simon Tobin
produce an electoral upset of his
own?
Green Party
Graham Elliott

Peter Aldous: Conservative majority 769
Margin: 1.5%
2.5%
5.2%
13.3%
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Others
40.2%
38.7%
Wells
Lib Dem
Tessa Munt
(restanding)
Conservative
James Heappey
Labour
Chris Inchley
UKIP
Helen Hims
Green Party
Jon Cousins
38 Waveney to Wells.indd 38
The Somerset city of Wells after

which the constituency is named
is Englands smallest city, with
a population of only 10,000. The
constituency also lays claim to
Glastonbury, and the burial site
of King Arthur and Guinevere said
to be in the grounds of the ruined
Glastonbury Abbey. Tessa Munt
ended the 30-year reign of the
previous Conservative MP, David
Heathcoat-Amory, in 2010. With
a tiny majority of 800, can the
Lib Dems do enough to prevent
new Conservative candidate James
Heappey from turning the seat
blue again?

Tessa Munt: Lib Dem majority 800
Margin: 1.4%
2.9%
3.1%
7.5%
Liberal Democrat
Conservative
Labour/Co-operative
Others
43.9%
42.5%
05/05/2015 11:33:20
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09/12/2014 17:31:44
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and @LGWobviously
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09/12/2014 17:34:29

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The 50 constituencies to watch at the 2015 General Election

The new energy force

Oil & Gas

The House Advert_1114.indd

PPC Guide May 2015

Many thanks to David Downing for his assistance

ew would want to predict

4 AMBER VALLEY; ARGYLL & BUTE

MAY 2015 | THE HOUSE MAGAZINE | 3

This Derbyshire constituency is an

Election 2010 results

Argyll and Bute

4-5 amber valley to birmingham yardley.indd 4

Argyll and Bute is vast, remote and

Election 2010 results

Ayrshire North and Arran

North Ayrshire and Arran stretches

Election 2010 results

4-5 amber valley to birmingham yardley.indd 5

Birmingham Yardley represented

Data and analysis supplied by Dods People and Dods Polling

Election 2010 results

May 2015 | THE HOUSE MAGAZINE | 5

Recreated in 2010, this seat

Election 2010 results

6-8 Bradford east to Broxtowe.indd 6

Created in 2010, this seat takes in

Election 2010 results

Data and analysis supplied by Dods People and Dods Polling

In many ways, Bristol West might

Election 2010 results

6-8 Bradford east to Broxtowe.indd 8

Traditionally a safe Conservative

Election 2010 results

Data and analysis supplied by Dods People and Dods Polling

Get the facts about

the runway debate at

Burnley is a major East Lancashire

Election 2010 results

10-11 Burnley to Carlisle.indd 10

Cardiff Central comprises the city

Election 2010 results

Cardiff is fast becoming one of

Election 2010 results

Carlisle is a predominantly urban

10-11 Burnley to Carlisle.indd 11

Data and analysis supplied by Dods People and Dods Polling

Election 2010 results

MAY 2015 | THE HOUSE MAGAZINE | 11

Chippenham was newly created in

Election 2010 results

This largely urban West Yorkshire

Election 2010 results

13-14 Chippenham to Dundee West.indd 13

Data and analysis supplied by Dods People and Dods Polling

MAY 2015 | THE HOUSE MAGAZINE | 13

Dorset Mid and Poole North

On the border between town

Election 2010 results

Dundee was once known for

Election 2010 results

13-14 Chippenham to Dundee West.indd 14