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Культура Документы
6%
15.0
10.0
5.0
-
FY13
FY15E
FY13
FY15E
600
200
400
CAGR: 24.4%
400
69.6
0
2012
2020E
2012
2020E
20.0
CAGR: 16.6%
15.0
10.0
14.7
8.0
5.0
0.0
FY14E
FY18E
Market
size:
USD10.4
billion
Opportunities
Growingdemand
demand
Growing
FY13
FY15E
Market
size:
USD12.5
billion
Advantage
India
Increasing investments
Policy support
Consumer durables
Consumer
electronics
(brown goods)
Consumer
appliances
(white goods)
Televisions
Air conditioners
Refrigerators
CD and DVD
players
Personal
computers
Washing
machines
Sewing
machines
Laptops
Digital cameras
Electric fans
Cleaning
equipment
Electronic
accessories
Camcorders
Microwave
ovens
Other domestic
appliances
Late 2000s
Early 2000s
Mid and late
1990s
Consolidation
Growth
1980s and early
1990s
Liberalisation
Pre-liberalisation
Closed market
Increased
product
availability,
increased media
penetration and
advertising
Increasing availability
and affordability of
consumer finance
Liberalisation of
provides impetus to
markets
growth
Influx of global
Low penetration of
players such as LG
high-end products
and Samsung
such as air
Shift in focus from
conditioners (<1 per
promotion to
cent)
product innovation
Companies look to
consolidate market share
Indian companies such as
Videocon gaining global
identity
Increasing penetration of highend products such as air
conditioners (>3 per cent)
Introduction of new
aspirational products such as
High Definition TVs (HDTVs)
Companies targeting high
growth rural market
12.5
12
10
7.3
8
5.2
6
4
CAGR: 13%
2.9
3.2
3.5
3.8
4.2
7.3
6.3
4.7
2
0
Urban markets account for the major share (65 per cent) of
total revenues in the consumer durables sector in India
Demand in urban markets is likely to increase for nonessential products such as LED TVs, laptops, split ACs and,
beauty and wellness products
35%
Rural
Urban
65%
Market for LCD/LED^ TVs have increased from 4 million units in 2011 to 5.5 million units
in 2012 and the same is projected to increase to 7 million units in 2013
The price decline due to relatively low import duty on LCD panels, higher penetration
levels, and the introduction of small entry-size models are key growth drivers in the
segment
The Indian DVD market accounted for 3.7 million units sold in 2012
The organised market has a share of 80 per cent in the total market
Direct-to-Home (DTH)
The Set-Top Box (STB) market is growing rapidly, due to the expansion of DTH and
introduction of the Conditional Access System (CAS) in metros
The DTH market was worth USD2.2 billion in FY13; the subscriber base reached 56.5
million* from 23 million during 2010-13, subscriber base is expected to reach 200 million
by 2018, thereby making India the one of the worlds largest DTH market
Source: CEAMA, Electronic Industries Association of India, Corporate Catalyst India, KPMG, Aranca Research
Notes: ^LCD Liquid Crystal Display, LED Light Emitting Diode
Refrigerators
The size is estimated to be USD1.38 billion in 2014 and its sales stood approximately at
14 million units in 2013
This segment makes up 31 per cent of the consumer appliances market
The market share of direct cool and frost free segment is 75 per cent and 25 per cent
respectively
Key growth drivers are lower prices and rising demand for frost-free refrigerators
The Indian ACs market accounted for sales of 3.6 million units in 2013
The size of the segment expanded to USD1.6 billion in 2014
ACs are perceived as high-end products; current penetration stands at 6.8 per cent
The segment had a 13.0 per cent share in 2013 in the consumer appliances market
High income growth and rising demand for split ACs are the key growth drivers
Washing appliances
Electric fans
Washing machines are the second largest contributor to the consumer appliances market
(after refrigerators); in FY13 total sales was 7.5 million units
Segment size is estimated to be USD612 million in 2014
Fully automatic washing machines are garnering an increasing share of the market due to
reduction in prices and higher disposable incomes
Company
Product category
Company
Product category
TVs, home theatre systems, DVD players, audio products, personal care
products, household products, computers and phones
TVs, home theatre systems, DVD players, mobile phones, digital cameras and
camcorders, refrigerators, ACs, washing machines, microwave ovens and
computers
TVs, projectors, DVD players, audio systems, home theatre systems, digital
cameras and camcorders, computers, video-gaming products and recording
media
TVs, DVD players, microwave ovens, refrigerators, washing machines, ACs and
power backup solutions
Refrigerators, washing machines, microwave ovens, water purifiers and power
backup solutions
Increasing presence of
organised retail
The Indian retail industry has experienced growth of 10.6 per cent between 2010-12 and retail
industry is worth USD500 billion and is expected to reach USD750-850 billion by 2015
The penetration of modern retail is 12.0 per cent in consumer durables segment
The sector is witnessing the emergence of modern durable retail chains and e-retailers like
Tata Croma, Reliance Digital, E zone
8%
Food& Grocerries
20%
Organised
33%
Mobile& Telecom
Consumer
Electroniocs
Food Services
4%
6%
Jewellery
Unorganised
7%
Footwear
11%
8%
92%
11%
Others
Source: India Retail Report 2013, Images Group, Deloitte report, Aranca Research
Increased affordability
of products
Focus on energy-efficient
and environment-friendly
products
Companies are expanding their product portfolio to include products like High-Definition
Televisions (HDTVs), tablets and smart phones, etc, demand for which are rising with
consumers income, easy availability of credit and wide use of online sales
Advancement in technology and higher competition are driving price reductions across
various consumer durable product segments such as computers, mobile phones,
refrigerators and TVs
Competitive Rivalry
Continuous innovation leads to intense rivalry
Threat of New
Entrants
(Low)
Substitute Products
Technology advancements
to substitute
Bargaining
Power of
Customers
(High)
low
By changing the input, firms
cannot drastically
differentiate on price
information enables
customers to be powerful
Buyers switching cost is very
less
Competitive
Rivalry
(High)
Substitute
Products
(Medium)
Bargaining
Power of
Suppliers
(Low)
Powerful competitive
strategy
Marketing strategies
Occasion based
marketing
Focus on energy
efficiency
Sony is focusing on both quality and technology; it launched Z1 with a latest technology
The firms are now offering combo products instead of discounts to attract the customers
Such kind of offers help manufacturers to boost sales and also ensures a saving. For
example a firm offers a combo of LCDs and home theatres
India, being the land of occasions and festivals, therefore, customers are offered great
deals
For instance the prices of products during Diwali, New Year, etc go down and also the
customers are offered with great deals. Such strategies are adopted so as to enhance
revenues plus to maintain the goodwill amongst the buyers
Companies are focusing on energy efficiency in their range, pushing the low cost of
ownership
Higher real
disposable
incomes
Easy consumer
credit
Growing consumer
base
Increasing investments
Policy support
Strong
government t
Growing demand
Setting up of
EHTPs
Inviting
Resulting
in
Expanding
production and
distribution
facilities in India
Increasing
liberalisation,
favourable FDI
climate
Increased R&D
activity
Providing support
to global projects
from India
35%
30%
2,000
25%
20%
1,500
15%
1,000
10%
5%
500
0%
0
-5%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014E
2015E
2016E
2017E
2018E
2019E
Electronics sector the first in India to be allowed complete customs exemption on certain
items used for manufacturing electronic goods
The peak rate of basic customs duty is 10 per cent and 217 tariff lines (under the ITA-1)
are exempted from duty
A reduction (12 per cent to10 per cent) in Central Excise duty was definitely the way
forward to support demand and fuel growth in consumer durable sector. Industry seeks
relaxation in excise duty
Excise duty is being reduced to 6.0 per cent on LED lamps and LEDs required for
manufacture of such lamps
Encouragement to FDI
National Electronics
Policy 2012
100 per cent FDI is permitted in electronics hardware-manufacturing under the automatic
route
FDI into single brand retail has been increased from 51.0 per cent to 100 per cent; the
government is planning to hike FDI limit in multi-brand retail to 51.0 per cent
EPCG allows import of capital goods on paying 3.0 per cent customs duty
EHTP provides benefits, such as duty waivers and tax incentives, to companies which
replace certain imports with local manufacturing
Harmonisation Zero duty and 3 per cent EPCG Scheme into zero duty EPCG scheme
Source: Department of Commerce, Government of India; Corporate Catalyst India, Aranca Research
Notes: EPCG - Export Promotion Capital Goods scheme, EHTP - Electronic Hardware Technology Park Scheme, ITA-1 - Information Technology Agreement
2010
2012
2011
2013- 2014
Source: Company websites, The Hindu, Economic Times, Business Standard, Aranca Research
Notes: R&D - Research and Development, MSIPS- Modified Special Incentive Package Scheme
Economic initiatives
Manufacturing sector should be the base for Indias development. There should be a
minimum tariff protection to motivate domestic manufacturing
Secondary and University education must prioritise skill development
Centre and states to partner in development so as to focus on telecommunication
Funding scientific
research
It is proposed to set up a Research Funding Organisation that will fund the research
projects selected. Contribution to the organisation will be eligible for tax benefits
The Excise Duty on all goods falling under Chapter 84 & 85 of the Schedule to the Central
Excise Tariff Act is reduced from 12 per cent to 10 per cent for the period up to June 2014.
Encourage the domestic production of mobile handsets, excise duty for all categories of
mobile handsets is restructured. The rates will be 6 per cent with CENVAT credit or 1 per
cent without CENVAT credit
Consumer durables market expected to expand at a CAGR of 14.8 per cent to USD12.5 billion in FY15 (from USD7.3 billion
in FY12)
Demand from rural and semi-urban areas is expected to expand at a CAGR of 25 per cent to USD6.4 billion in FY15 from
USD2.1 billion in FY10
By FY15, rural and semi-urban markets are likely to contribute a majority of consumer durables sales
The rural market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 25 per cent from 2012-15
Rural
35%
Urban
65%
FY12
USD7.3
billion
FY15
USD12.5
billion
Urban
49%
Rural
51%
Increasing
rural income
with higher
non-farm
income
CAGR: 13.5%
40
30
20.6
20
10
Lower
penetration
generating
demand for
first time
buyers
0
2005
2012
Increasing reach of
companies and
customised products
for the rural market
Market leader LG plans to invest USD166.7 million in capacity expansion for various product categories and India specific
R&D and USD145.8 million in marketing and branding in 2013
Whirlpool plans to invest more than USD156.3 million in India by 2015, with more than half of it earmarked for innovation
Japanese consumer durables major Panasonic will invest USD USD276 billion in India over next three years. It plans to
invest USD208 million by 2014 in setting up manufacturing units and an advanced R&D centre
Samsung India Electronics Pvt Ltd has been recently given approval for investment of USD75 million under MSIPS and will
get 25 per cent subsidy under it. It plans to invest USD94 million to expand capacity by 2015
Nokia intends to invest up to USD52.1 million to revamp operations in India by 2014
Carrier plans to invest USD104 million over the next five years to expand production capacity at its newly commissioned
plant in Gurgaon
Cumulative FDI in electronics sector for April 2000 April 2014 stood at USD1340.2 million and that in telecommunication
stood at USD14173.4 million
Bosch Automotive Electronics India Pvt Ltd gets approval for investing USD80 million under MSIPS
Carrier
13.8
14
104.2
12
375.0
Whirpool
Blue star
Haier
Videocon
208.3
6.3
12.5
3.3
187.5
300.0
1.5
0
2009
LG
9.9
2
Panasonic
CAGR: 74%
10
2010
2011
2012
2013
312.5
Source: TV Veopar Journal 2011, IHS Technology, Aranca Research
Note: *Announced during the year
base
2017
About 200 million DTH subscribers by 2018
200
200
150
CAGR: 28.7%
100
54.52
50
0
2013*
2018E
Source: TRAI Annual Report 2011-12,
Department of Information Technology; KPMG; Aranca Research
Note: 2013* - Data as on March 2013
Increase in
employment
Sector
Infrastructure
investment
Removing middlemen
Entry route
Benefiting Indian
manufacturers
FDI limit
Automatic
100%
Foreign Investment
and Promotion Board
100%
Foreign Investment
and Promotion Board
51%
Source: Aranca Research
In 2013, the FDI was at USD1.79 billion according to the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion. In January, 2014 FDI
had increased by 1.5 per cent at USD2.18 billion. Overseas investors cumulative inflows into the country are nearing the
USD200 billion mark
3,000
2,500
2,000
2,977
205
250
2,692
2249
178
1,768 2,005
1,901
1,884
150
155
1,500
1,000
100
114
84
200
48.44
24
500
50
2007
2008
2009
2010
Revenues
2011
9M
2012
2013*
Net Profit
Plans to expand
D2h portfolio and
new set up box
plant
Revenue base of
USD 3,420 million,
with net loss of
USD13 million during
FY13
Market capitalisation of
USD940 million
Plans to set up a
SEZ in Pune and
Aurangabad in
Maharashtra
Acquires
Thomson, Philips,
and Electrolux
plants
Focuses on R&D
Launches LCD TV
bundled with DTH
and Internet chip
Sales expanded at a
CAGR of 12.4 per cent
during FY0813
To launch 16 Inch
LED at an
economical price.
Builds strong
brand presence in
Tier 2 and Tier 3
cities
Focuses primarily on
consumer electronics
products
1985-95
1995-05
2005-2014
Source: Company website, Aranca Research
5.6
5
4
3.3
3
2.4
2
1.3
1
0
2007
2012
Samsung
LG
Premium
segment
Mass
segment
After 2005, the two have expanded the scope of their target
markets and offer both functional and high-end products
Before 2005
LG
After 2005
Samsung
66%
55%
54%
43%
39%
37%
20%
25%
21%
23%
11%
32%
34%
27%
10%
Air
Mircowaves
Conditioners
Samsung
Mobile
Phones
others
4.8%
5.0%
2.5%
2.0%
0.0%
2012
2015E
LG
Samsung
7.2
6.1
5.7
5.6
5.2
5.4
4.0
2.0
0.0
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14F
FY15F
Product
Standing
Market share
Refrigerator
Third
17 per cent
Washing machine
Third
15 per cent
Microwave
Fourth
9 per cent
Air conditioner
Fifth
6 per cent
Focuses on
refrigerators,
microwaves, air
conditioners and
washing machines.
Sales expected to
expand at a growth of 25
per cent during FY1314
Achieves
presence through
more than 2200
wholesale dealers
and 18000 retail
outlets
Targets rural
market by lower
pricing and
innovation like
Chotokool
Builds strong
brand presence in
metros and Tier 1
cities
Penetrates into
medical
refrigeration
business in 2014
Launches a new
premium product
range under EON
brand to target
high-end segment
Godrej Appliances
sees 25 per cent
growth in the FY14
Focuses primarily on
consumer electronics
products
Before 2005
2005-2012
2012 onwards
Year
Year
2004-05
44.81
2005
43.98
2005-06
44.14
2006
45.18
2006-07
45.14
2007
41.34
2007-08
40.27
2008
43.62
2008-09
46.14
2009
48.42
2009-10
47.42
2010
45.72
2010-11
45.62
2011
46.85
2011-12
46.88
2012
53.46
2012-13
54.31
2013
58.44
2013-14
60.28
Q12014
61.58
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