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STUDY NOTES
F3, F2 and P3
Financial Strategy,
Advanced Financial
Reporting and
Risk Management
The previous articles in this series,
published in December 2014 and January
2015, covered methods of determining an
entitys weighted-average cost of capital
(WACC) and related calculations. Now lets
try applying these to a numerical scenario
By John B Riordan FCMA, CGMA
I have segmented my WACC analysis of the following
scenario into logical steps based on the key information
provided. Candidates should note that the same material
could be presented in a number of formats in an exam.
My approach is broken down into six steps:
Evaluate a simplified statement of financial position and
statement of profit or loss and other comprehensive income
for an entity, along with additional information thats
typically provided eg, variables relevant to the capital
asset pricing model (CAPM). This is the key starting point,
at which candidates are given guidance notes on how to
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Sales
550
Cost of sales
(390)
Initial observations
These first three entries are standard items in a statement of
profit or loss and other comprehensive income, with limited
applicability to capital instruments in terms of immediate returns
(accepting fully that Ebit values will ultimately be the original drivers
of returns to capital providers).
Earnings before
interest and tax (Ebit)
160
Finance costs
(25)
Tax
(50)
85
Distributions to
preference
shareholders
(7)
Earnings available
for distribution to
ordinary shareholders
78
Dividends to ordinary
shareholders
(31)
From this line we can derive the pay-out ratio and dividend per share.
If the right historical data is provided, we can also use it to estimate
dividend growth.
47
Retained earnings
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Associated
information provided
Initial
observations
Long-term
bank borrowings
300
Redeemable
bonds
100
Long-dated
bonds (treated
as irredeemable)
100
Preference
share capital
100
Ordinary
share capital
300
Retained
reserves
600
Total equity
and liabilities
1,500
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T0 T1 T2 T3 T4 T5
78 74 72 67 60 55
Dividends (m)
31 30 28 26 24 21
Initial observations
The T0 values are consistent with those in the statement of profit or loss and other comprehensive income,
where profit after tax equates to earnings available for distribution to ordinary shareholders. With these
figures, we can calculate historical dividend pay-out ratios as well as earnings and dividend growth trends.
Note that, while six years worth of data is presented, we need to use the 5th root for compound annual
growth rate calculations, on the understanding that dividend growth will be key in our calculation of ke.
Other data
Parameter
Value
4
1.3
45%
Estimated beta of
(non-risk-free)
debt instruments (d)
0.2
Estimated return on
UK government gilts
3%
This is the Rf component of the CAPM. Its described in many ways, but
in essence its risk-free.
Estimated return on
the market portfolio
9%
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Market
value
Observations /
basis for calculation
Long-term bank
borrowings
300m
300m
Redeemable bonds
100m
92m
Long-dated bonds
(irredeemable)
100m
95m
100m
100m
600m
1,200m
Reserves
300m
1,500m
1,787m
10.7%
8.9%
500 1,500
= 33%
487 1,787
= 27%
33:67
27:83
Instrument / initial
calculation parameters
Debt/equity ratio: Vd Ve
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Calculating high and low NPVs from the redeemable bond cash flows
T0 T1 T2 T3 T4 T5
Investment
(92m)
Interest flows after tax 3.5m 3.5m 3.5m 3.5m 3.5m
Redemption value
100m
NPV @ 10%(16.64m)
Discount factor @ 3%
NPV @ 3%
10.29m
STUDY NOTES
John B Riordan is a
freelance lecturer and
specialist in corporate
finance with First
Intuition Ireland