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ChevronTexaco
Ara Bagdasarian
David Johnson
HAC Pt1
ChevronTexaco
Objective
Introduce new commercial High Acid Crudes
Provide understanding that High Acid Crudes
are crudes of opportunity
Understand supply and demand balances
Review High Acid Crudes commonly sold into
the USGC & USEC Markets
Understand economics of running HACs
Identify concerns & problems associated with
running HACs
3
ChevronTexaco
TAN is the industry standard for measuring the acid content in crudes.
High Acid crudes are defined as those crudes with a TAN of 1.0 or higher.
TAN IS VERY MISLEADING
TAN = Total Acid Number
All organic acids
Light organic acids
Naphthenic acids
Any acids present in the crude that have been added during the production process
While light organic acids do cause some overheads corrosion and other acids can
cause other problems, the group of the acids that cause most corrosion in
refineries are Naphthenic acids.
It is believed there are more than 1000 Naphthenic Acid species
Some are very corrosive others are relatively inert
Different species distil at different temperatures and can concentrate in
specific areas in the refinery.
You cannot determine how corrosive a crude will be or which parts of the
refinery it will affect from its TAN
4
ChevronTexaco
Naphthenic Acid
Crude Formation
ChevronTexaco
10
20
09
20
07
06
08
20
20
20
05
20
03
04
20
98
19
5000
4000
Far East
WAFR
Americas
Northwest Europe
3000
2000
1000
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
0
1998
mbd
6000
02
7.00%
20
7000
20
7.50%
01
8000
20
8.00%
00
9000
20
8.50%
19
10000
99
9.00%
ChevronTexaco
Americas HAC
(>1.0 TAN) Production
7000
6000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
mbd
5000
Venezuelan
Marlim (Brazil)
Roncador (Brazil)
ChevronTexaco
800
700
600
400
5% of total WAFR
300 production
200
100
20
10
20
08
20
06
20
04
20
02
20
00
19
98
mbd
500
ChevronTexaco
1000
900
800
Clair
Grane
700
Leadon
600
Troll Blend
500
Balder
400
Harding
300
200
100
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
Captain
Heidrun
Alba
Gryphon
ChevronTexaco
800
mbd
1000
BZ25-1 (Bohai
Bay)
CFD (Bohai Bay)
600
Penglai
400
Shengli
Liuhua
200
W andoo
0
10
20
09
20
08
20
07
20
06
20
05
20
04
20
03
20
02
20
01
20
00
20
19
99
Duri
10
ChevronTexaco
ChevronTexaco HAC
Equity Production
250
200
mbd
150
100
50
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
Benguela Heavy
(Angola)
Kome (Chad)
Clair (UK)
BZ25-1 (Bohai
Bay)
QHD (Bohai
Bay)
Kuito (Angola)
Captain (UK)
Alba (UK)
11
Finds in Guantas and Hebron excluded - projects not yet approved
ChevronTexaco
Global Supply/
Demand Balance
12
ChevronTexaco
Global Supply/
Demand Balance
HAC are plentiful in most global regions and are increasing their
% of total crude supply.
North America absorbs most of this excess.
South America is a net exporter of approx. 2.5 MMbd of crude.
A large percentage of this is High Acid crude blends. Approx.
500 mbd is refined in South America, mostly local production.
North West Europe which has traditionally been a net exporter
of HACs is now balanced (increased refinery HAC runs) :HACs from NWE are exported to the USEC, USGC,
Mediterranean and even the Far East.
HACs are imported from West Africa & South America.
Capetown is the only African refinery processing HACs, while
West African HAC production is rapidly increasing and being
13
exported out of the region.
ChevronTexaco
Global Supply/
Demand Balance
ChevronTexaco
15
ChevronTexaco
South America
Marlim
Roncador (2003/2004)
Venezuelan Blends
West African
Kuito
Ceiba
Kome (2004)
Dalia (2H 2005)
Rosalita (2007)
NWE
Alba *
Troll Blend
Gryphon
Heidrun
Captain *
Harding *
Leadon *
Grane (4Q 2003)
Clair (4Q 2004)
16
ChevronTexaco
Merey Laguna
Blend
API
12.2
21.3
14.5
16.0
23.6
2.71
2.5
1.92
2.49
2.07
1.15
1.52
1.24
1.03
TAN 3.65
17
ChevronTexaco
18
ChevronTexaco
19
ChevronTexaco
Kuito
0.94
19.0
0.68
11.5
2.1
-30/-25
ChevronTexaco
Disadvantages
ChevronTexaco
Captain
ChevronTexaco
Advantages
Disadvantages
Low S
Distillates have good cold
properties
Low CCR i.e. good coker
feed
High VGO yield
Good Asphalt feed
ChevronTexaco
ALBA
ALBA CRUDE SPECIFICATIONS
Specific Gravity
Gravity, API
Sulphur, wt%
UOPK
Acid No., mg KOH/g
Pour Point, Deg C/Deg F
75-80 mbd Field
Production
ChevronTexaco
markets 25 mbd.
0.9233
19.4
1.25
11.8
1.42
-35/-35
24
ChevronTexaco
Disadvantages
ChevronTexaco
ChevronTexaco HACs becoming available in the next
few years
Kome (2004)
Chad
Expected start-up 2H 2004 @ 200
mbd
19 API, 0.1S, 5 TAN
ChevronTexaco
Other HACs becoming available in the next few years
Roncador (2003/2004)
Offshore Brazil
Expected start-up not yet known
17.8 API, 0.63S, 1.48 TAN
Dahlia (2005)
Angola Block 17
Expected start up 2H 2005 @ 200
mbd
22.6 API, 0.48S, 1.6 TAN
Rosalita (2007)
Angola Block 17
Expected start up 4Q 2007 @ 50
mbd
22 API, 0.5S. 1.5 TAN
Grane (2004)
Norwegian North Sea
Expected start-up end 2003 @
120 mbd rising to 200 mbd in
2005
19 API, 0.9S, 2.1 TAN
27
ChevronTexaco
Summary
There is a sizeable and increasing global supply
of HACs
6.3 million Bbls per day - 2002
8.1 million Bbls per day - 2005
9.2 million Bbls per day - 2010
There is limited ability or willingness by refiners
to run HACs
Most HACs not refined in local regions come to
North America.
TAN although the industry standard measure is
very misleading
28
ChevronTexaco
HAC
HAC
ChevronTexaco
Run it?
"A"
19.4
1.3
"H"
27.3
2.9
"K"
19.0
0.7
"S"
23.8
4.0
"U"
31.3
1.4
"G"
22.2
3.0
0.1
0.2
1.0
2.8
6.6
17.5
15.4
26.9
29.6
2.9
5.7
8.4
8.2
8.1
13.9
11.0
14.8
27.0
0.2
0.6
5.2
5.0
8.9
16.1
16.3
23.0
24.6
1.7
7.0
9.6
7.2
7.4
12.8
11.9
17.7
24.7
1.8
5.5
10.2
8.8
9.6
15.6
14.2
17.0
17.3
0.6
3.0
8.1
6.8
6.8
12.9
12.9
20.2
28.8
HAC
ChevronTexaco
"A"
19.4
1.3
"H"
27.3
2.9
"K"
19.0
0.7
"S"
23.8
4.0
"U"
31.3
1.4
"G"
22.2
3.0
Acid Number
1.4
0.3
2.1
0.3
0.1
0.3
0.1
0.2
1.0
2.8
6.6
17.5
15.4
26.9
29.6
2.9
5.7
8.4
8.2
8.1
13.9
11.0
14.8
27.0
0.2
0.6
5.2
5.0
8.9
16.1
16.3
23.0
24.6
1.7
7.0
9.6
7.2
7.4
12.8
11.9
17.7
24.7
1.8
5.5
10.2
8.8
9.6
15.6
14.2
17.0
17.3
0.6
3.0
8.1
6.8
6.8
12.9
12.9
20.2
28.8
Run it?
HAC
ChevronTexaco
"A"
19.4
1.3
"H"
27.3
2.9
"K"
19.0
0.7
"S"
23.8
4.0
"U"
31.3
1.4
"G"
22.2
3.0
Acid Number
1.4
0.3
2.1
0.3
0.1
0.3
0.1
0.2
1.0
2.8
6.6
17.5
15.4
26.9
29.6
2.9
5.7
8.4
8.2
8.1
13.9
11.0
14.8
27.0
0.2
0.6
5.2
5.0
8.9
16.1
16.3
23.0
24.6
1.7
7.0
9.6
7.2
7.4
12.8
11.9
17.7
24.7
1.8
5.5
10.2
8.8
9.6
15.6
14.2
17.0
17.3
0.6
3.0
8.1
6.8
6.8
12.9
12.9
20.2
28.8
no way!
yes
no way!
yes
yes
yes
Run it?
HAC
ChevronTexaco
Recap...
Sizeable and increasing supply of HAC
Limited ability or willingness to run HAC
Solutions are available to the HAC
problem
Metallurgy
Corrosion inhibition
ChevronTexaco
HAC
ChevronTexaco
HAC
HAC
ChevronTexaco
Alba Valuation
Assume Urals base slate
Substitute 20% for Alba
Both priced basis Rotterdam - no freight element
HAC
ChevronTexaco
Alba Valuation
2.00
Alba (NWE)
1.00
Alba deals
0.00
-1.00
-2.00
-3.00
-4.00
-5.00
-6.00
-7.00
-8.00
-9.00
Jan-00
Apr-00
Jul-00
Oct-00
Jan-01
Apr-01
Jul-01
Oct-01
Jan-02
Apr-02
HAC
ChevronTexaco
-1
-2
-3
Alba acid discount Average
1.297
-4
Jan-00
Apr-00
Jul-00
Oct-00
Jan-01
Apr-01
Jul-01
Oct-01
Jan-02
Apr-02
HAC
ChevronTexaco
Captain Valuation
Same method used as for Alba
Assume Urals base slate
Substitute 20% for Captain
Both priced basis Rotterdam - no freight element
HAC
ChevronTexaco
Captain Valuation
2.00
1.00
0.00
-1.00
-2.00
-3.00
-4.00
-5.00
-6.00
Captain (NWE)
-7.00
Captain deals
-8.00
-9.00
Jan-00
Apr-00
Jul-00
Oct-00
Jan-01
Apr-01
Jul-01
Oct-01
Jan-02
Apr-02
HAC
ChevronTexaco
-1
-2
Captain acid discount Average
0.594
-3
Jan-00
Apr-00
Jul-00
Oct-00
Jan-01
Apr-01
Jul-01
Oct-01
Jan-02
Apr-02
ChevronTexaco
Kuito Valuation
4%
18%
7%
2%
21%
20% Kuito substitution:
2%
26%
HAC
Cross Africa
Far East
Med
Middle East
NW Europe
So. America
USAC
USGC
HAC
ChevronTexaco
Kuito Valuation
2.00
Kuito (Max)
1.00
Kuito deals
0.00
-1.00
-2.00
-3.00
-4.00
-5.00
-6.00
-7.00
-8.00
-9.00
Jan-00
Apr-00
Jul-00
Oct-00
Jan-01
Apr-01
Jul-01
Oct-01
Jan-02
Apr-02
HAC
ChevronTexaco
Kuito Valuation
2.00
1.00
0.00
-1.00
-2.00
Kuito (NWE)
Kuito (Med)
-3.00
Kuito (USGC)
Kuito (USEC)
-4.00
Kuito deals
-5.00
-6.00
-7.00
-8.00
-9.00
Jan-00
Apr-00
Jul-00
Oct-00
Jan-01
Apr-01
Jul-01
Oct-01
Jan-02
Apr-02
HAC
ChevronTexaco
-1
-2
-3
-4
Kuito acid discount Average
1.89
-5
-6
Jan-00
Apr-00
Jul-00
Oct-00
Jan-01
Apr-01
Jul-01
Oct-01
Jan-02
Apr-02
ChevronTexaco
HAC
HAC
ChevronTexaco
Acid Discount $
OPEC boosts
Output
30
OPEC Production
Very weak demand,
29
very mild winter.
28
-1
27
US Inventories
at 10 yr low
Iraqi exports
rising,
further
OPEC cut.
-2
Increased
Marlim
production
-3
-4
01-Jan-00
10-Apr-00
Bombing of
USS Cole
19-Jul-00
26
September 11
Attacks, Jet
demand
plummets
25
27-Oct-00
04-Feb-01
24
15-May-01
23-Aug-01
01-Dec-01
11-Mar-02
ChevronTexaco
HAC
ChevronTexaco
HAC
Alba
Dtd-5.00 to -2.00
Captain Dtd-5.00 to -1.50
Gryphon Dtd-2.50 to -1.50
Troll
Dtd-1.50 to +0.75
Heidrun Dtd-2.50 to -0.50
Kuito
Dtd-5.50 to -2.00
Ceiba Dtd-5.00 to -2.50
Lokele Dtd-4.40 to -3.20
Marlim WTI-5.50 to -2.50
HAC
ChevronTexaco
In conclusion
High Acid crudes may offer value
relative to other grades
Cost of mitigation is relatively low