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CIMA 2010-2011
REPORT
From:
5Wings
Team member
Team leader:
Team member 1:
Team member 2:
Team member 3:
Substitute member (if applicable):
School of Management
CONTENTS
1. Introduction ............................................................................................................... 3
2. Terms of reference.................................................................................................... 3
3. Prioritization of the key issues................................................................................... 4
4. Analyses ................................................................................................................... 5
5. Recommendations .................................................................................................. 11
6. Conclusion .............................................................................................................. 16
APPENDIX
. SWOT Analysis........................................................................................................ 17
. PEST Analysis ......................................................................................................... 18
. Michael Porter's 5 Forces Model ............................................................................. 19
. Lost Profit of the Distributors Strike......................................................................... 20
. NPV for Expansion of Jewellery Range ................................................................... 21
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1. INTRODUCTION
CeeCee is a listed high street retailer of fashion clothing. It has been operating for more
than 20 years. It applies the "fast fashion" business model which means exclusivity and
fast turnaround, and its logistics runs well by taking advantage of its advanced and
improved IT systems. In addition, the financial results of CeeCee are quite satisfactory.
In the current market which has grown rapidly, the competition is becoming increasingly
fierce and the retailers are facing great challenges. Currently, CeeCee is facing some
urgent issues from different aspects that will affect the whole operation of the company.
Thus, the board would like to conduct detailed analyses about these issues and make
appropriate decisions.
2. TERMS OF REFERENCE
As independent consultants and qualified members of CIMA, we have first made
scenario analysis in both financial and non-financial aspects regarding the five issues of
CeeCee and then given our recommendations on the strategic future direction for
CeeCee.
To get a better understanding of CeeCees internal and external constraints, we have
used the SWOT analysis (Appendix ), PEST analysis (Appendix ) and Michael
Porter's 5 Forces Model (Appendix
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4. ANALYSES
1) DISTRIBUTORS STRIKE
CeeCee has been caught in a serious logistics crisis as a result of its sole distributors
strike. The strike is caused by the terrible labor-capital relationship of its distributor. And
it brings serious problems to CeeCee.
First and foremost, the strike will significantly affect the normal profit of CeeCee. Under
the strike, products cannot be delivered to the shops, which will decrease the sales,
including the on-line sales. According to our calculation, CeeCee will suffer a lost sales
up to 314,856,163.The amount is approximately 10% of CeeCees 2010 sales forecast
and it results in a lost profit of 189,228,554. (Appendix
.)
Besides, the supply shortage will hurt CeeCees customer loyalty. As we all know, in the
fast fashion industry, the products can be easily substituted. If CeeCee cannot provide
its products in time, the customers will turn to its competitors and this will inevitably
decrease its market share.
Therefore, the most urgent thing is to get enough distribution capacity in the following
ten weeks. CeeCee can try to negotiate with the current distributor to get as much
support as possible and at the same time contract with other distributors for short term
outsourcing. In the long run, CeeCee should broaden its distribution channels and
increase the number of its distributors in case that similar logistics crisis happens again.
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2) IT FAILURE
CeeCee has been involved in an IT failure (programming error) which causes a loss of
6,000,000 in CeeCee's online sales since it sent lots of goods to its customers without
receiving payments. Thus, CeeCee must try to collect those unpaid cash from its
customers immediately as much as possible. There are two methods to do this:
(1) By an outside agency: 14 per customer and a success fee of 5% of the amounts
recovered would be charged; 60% of these customers would be collected.
NPV1 = 6,000,000*60 %*( 1-5%) - 14*50,000 = 2,720,000
(2) By CeeCee finance department: only 45% of the money would be recovered by its
already overstretched staff.
NPV2= 6,000,000*45% = 2,700,000
From the calculation results we can see that CeeCee can collect 20,000 more by
employing an outside agency. What's more, the ordinary operations of CeeCee will be
affected if the overstretched staffs are designated to collect the money. Therefore, we
suggest that CeeCee should employ an outside agency to collect the money.
Another problem is that both CeeCee and the outsourced IT supplier persist that it is not
their fault. Thus CeeCee should identify who is responsible for it and ask for
compensation if possible.
After making up the loss, it is necessary to look into this IT failure to prevent similar
problems happening again. Since CeeCee's "fast fashion" business model relies heavily
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From the numbers above, we can see that although the NPV is positive, it is quite a
small amount compared to CeeCees current total profit.
After the calculation, we take detailed analyses and summarize them in the below chart:
It is known that the expansion requires large amount of present space and in this way it
will influence the existing operation greatly. The main focus of the brand CeeCee is for
clothing, and this ideology cannot be violated, otherwise the company will get into big
trouble. The company should consider the expansion on the premise of not hurting the
existing business.
Therefore, even though the new jewellery range may bring CeeCee some profits and
benefits, we recommend that the project should be abandoned in the current trend.
4) CELEBRITY MARKETING
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Juliette Lespere, as CeeCee's director of sales and marketing, has been trying to
introduce a number of changes to the way in which CeeCee markets itself. Currently,
she has proposed that CeeCee contract with Kool, a well-known and popular European
singer of rock music. Kools agent has proposed a choice of payment method:
(1) A fixed payment of 50,000 with a bonus of 150,000 if incremental sales reach 2
million
(2) A royalty of 5% of all incremental sales revenue
The payments based on incremental sales between 1,200,000 and 2,000,000 under
the two methods are presented as below: ( 000)
250
200
payment
200
150
100
50
70
90
80
50 60
50
1200
1400
1600
1800
incremental sales
50
100
Method 1
Method 2
50
0
2000
The payment pattern based on the level of incremental sales under the two methods are
presented as below: ( 000)
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250
payments
200
Method 1
Method 1
Method 2
150
100
50
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
incremental sales
From the graph we can see that there are two break-even sale values: 1million and
4million.
5) CSR
CeeCee has been informed by a local Asian agent that a substantial number of the
Asian suppliers have been using child labor to manufacture garments for CeeCee.
Though the agent didnt think CeeCee could do much of the issue but as it is so
common. But if CeeCee take no measure on it, it will influence CeeCees reputation and
as Asia is a new market for CeeCee, if it failed at the beginning stages, the expansion
plan will also be affected. Even worse, other suppliers might also violate their code of
conduct just as the Asian suppliers do. If this continues, CeeCee will be under lawsuit
and hard to manage its suppliers. It also violates the CSR strategy of CeeCee.
Besides, CeeCee needs to be more responsible for the product quality that its suppliers
offered. In modern society, the possibility of using unhealthy material increases and
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people are paying more attention to this problem. Environmental protection can be an
everlasting issue that CeeCee need to consider as it is both social friendly end
corporate friendly. If CeeCee carries its CSR successfully, it will benefit the society and
in turn increase its image as well as cost reduction.
Lastly, CeeCee should be responsible for its employees make sure that it exercises its
corporate social responsibility and its employees will be more devoted to the company.
5. RECOMMENDATIONS
1
DISTRIBUTORS STRIKE
According to our previous analyses, CeeCee has to recover its distribution capacity
timely, effectively and economically and maintain it in the long term.
Helping the distributor recover its capacity is the most economical method as costs of
finding other distributors in such a short time can be avoided. But this may take a longer
period.
It is easier to outsource to other distributors as the third-party logistics is adequate in
Europe. However, the quality of services varies significantly between different
distributors.
Therefore, we recommend that CeeCee help the current distributor serve and repair the
vehicles, rent well-performed vehicles and negotiate with the union to get workers back
to work. At the same time, CeeCee can look for qualified distributors to ensure
temporary capacity in time.
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Moreover, in the long run, CeeCee has to prevent the similar crisis happening again. In
this case the crisis is caused by the heavy reliance on the sole distributor. Therefore,
CeeCee can diversify its distribution channels and outsource the work to different
qualified distributors so that unexpected risks can be dispersed. In addition, CeeCee
should build up its own distribution team to ensure normal operation.
IT FAILURE
Risk
All
outsourced
Partial
outsourced
None
outsourced
Cost
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As the graph shows, considering the tradeoff between risk and cost, we recommend
that CeeCee should amend its outsourcing policy to retain its core design work and
outsource some update work to qualified IT companies.
CeeCee should also take measures to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of its
internal control system. On one hand, CeeCee could establish a series of policies to
make sure that every design and update work of the IT system be carefully inspected to
detect errors in time. On the other hand, CeeCee financial department should compare
the figures for sales made and the amount of cash received regularly and frequently to
identify how many orders are unpaid. CeeCee should also set up similar internal control
policies over its every functional region throughout its supply chain to enhance the
efficiency and effectiveness of its regular operations.
After the analyses we come to the conclusion that CeeCee should reject the expansion
project under its current operating condition.
However, other than the jewellery expansion, in the brand stretching campaign, we think
that CeeCee should pay more attention on the diversification of its products which face
a variety of needs. For example, we suggest that it should separate its home furnishing,
accessories, menswear, and children's clothing as independent brands. Statistics show
that the ranges of home furnishing and clothing accessories generate high gross
margins both average more than 70%, therefore, under this diversification CeeCee can
achieve more successful management and development.
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In addition to the brand diversification, CeeCee should at the same time expand its shop
ranges. CeeCee is always increasing its shop ranges and at the end of 2008 it has
already had 610 shops across European countries. However, this is quite a small
number compared to its competitors. It will limit the market share and CeeCee cannot
authentically succeed. Therefore, also considering the weak economy in Europe, we
recommend further expansion to other regions such as Asia and North America.
CELEBRITY MARKETING
We do not recommend the celebrity marketing strategy, since the probability of sales
exceeding 2million resulting from this strategy is only about 0.1, which is extremely low
compared with CeeCees total sales revenue of 2,700million in 2009.
However, since the fast fashion industry is facing a current phase of homogenous
competition, in which the industry is nearly saturated, it is essential to focus more on the
brand/image investment in order to differentiate CeeCee from its competitors. We think
the branding benefit outweighs the cost of a more variant advertising and marketing
strategy. Thus, CeeCee should properly increase its marketing budget. And the specific
advertising campaign recommendations are as follows.
To start with, CeeCee should have more traditional advertisements on TV, magazines
and billboards which are the main access to fashion for CeeCees core customers. In
addition, since design quality is a crucial factor in the fashion industry, CeeCee can
contract with noted fashion designers/celebrities to create exclusive designer clothing.
These contracted designers/celebrities can also take part in marketing campaigns such
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as CeeCee fashion week, new store opening ceremony and photo shots advertising.
Last but not least, CeeCee should also concentrate more on online advertising, due to
an obvious trend of online shopping. Cooperation with major online shops can help a lot
in promotion.
To conclude, CeeCee should make more effort in launching a variety of marketing and
advertising campaign based on the cost-benefit principle.
CSR
The crisis is mostly due to the lack of attention from CeeCee, unethical behavior of
suppliers and the lack of self-protecting awareness of the employees.
CeeCee can be more cautious when prequalify and audit the suppliers as it has already
been informed by the Asian agent of the problem. It can increase its frequency of
auditing the suppliers to two or three times a year, especially in the Asian Market. And
CeeCee can form a special team for it. Then CeeCee can promote legal education
among the employees as well as cooperate with the local labor union.
Then in order to make sure that every garment is under the quality restriction, CeeCee
can use chemical and laundry test to inspect on the final product.
As with the environmental protection area, CeeCee has already done a great job in
most areas like emission reduction in waste recycling, transportation and etc. Further
improvement can be used in R&D for new environmental friendly material like organic
cotton.
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CeeCee also need to keep improving employees skills by delivering training for them
including safety problem so as to guarantee employees working environment.
6. CONCLUSION
According to our analyses and recommendations, we suggest that CeeCee should
tackle its current problems and seek for future development in different aspects.
Short-term
Distributors strike
IT failure
Expansion of jewellery
range
Celebrity marketing
CSR
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Long-term
Diversify
distribution
channels
Outsource the work to
different
qualified
distributors
Build
up
the
own
distribution team
Amend its outsourcing
policy
Improve the efficiency and
effectiveness of its internal
control system
Diversify its product range
Expand its shop ranges
Expand to other regions
Increase the marketing
budget
Diversify its advertising and
marketing strategy
and enhance the suppliers
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APPENDIX
S
. SWOT
ANALYSIS
WO
Increase distributor
number and set up
its own logistics team
Diversify its
marketing strategy
ST
Weak economic
climate
Suppliers violation of
code of conduct
Homogeneous
products
Fierce competition
from value retailer
Sole-dependence on
one distributor
Low market share
Simple marketing
strategy
SO
CIMA
WT
Enhance
image/brand
marketing
Accelerate the shop
expansion
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. PEST ANALYSIS
POLITICAL
Policies issued by key European
ECONOMIC
Wider adoption of fast fashion
business model
protection standards
desire
under discussion.
SOCIAL
Transformation to M-structure
TECHNOLOGICAL
Huge cost to develop and maintain
the IT system
households)
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HIGH
ENTRANTS
MEDIUM
SUPPLIERS
LOW
BUYERS
HIGH
SUBSTITUTES
MEDIUM
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2,985,000,000*7/365*(10%+20%+30%+40%+50%+60%+70%+80%+90%+100%)
= 314,856,162.5
Since gross margin will be the same as 2008 level of 60.1% and most other costs are
fixed in the short term, therefore:
Lost profit
= 60.1%*314,856,162.5
= 189, 228, 553. 7
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Glass display
Opportunity cost
Changes in NWC
ICF
NPV(per)
NPV(total)
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-15,000.00
0.00
-901.50 -3,906.50 -3,906.50 -3,906.50 -3,906.50
0.00 ########
0.00
0.00
-6,000.00 #######
-21,000.00 ####### -3,906.50 -3,906.50 -3,906.50 6,093.50
Sales
Gross margin(95%)
Operating costs
Depreciation
EBT
Tax(30%)
Net income
OCF
Total cash flow
DCF(12%)
6,000
5,700
-2,500
-3,000
200
60
140
3,140
26,000
24,700
-1,000
-3,000
20,700
6,210
14,490
17,490
26,000
24,700
-1,000
-3,000
20,700
6,210
14,490
17,490
26,000
24,700
-1,000
-3,000
20,700
6,210
14,490
17,490
26,000
24,700
-1,000
-3,000
20,700
6,210
14,490
17,490
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