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SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS
ECON1203/ECON2292 (ARTS)
BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC STATISTICS
FINAL EXAMINATION
SESSION 2, 2010
60 marks.
There are FIVE questions in this examination; each starts on a fresh page.
Answer ALL five questions; start each answer on a fresh page.
All questions carry equal marks.
The value of each sub-question is indicated in brackets.
On the front of your answer book, write the number of each question you have attempted.
Statistical tables and useful formulae are attached to this examination paper.
Non-programmable electronic calculators may be used.
The examination paper may be retained by the candidate.
Answers must be written in black or blue ink. Pencils may be used only for drawing,
sketching or graphical work.
Show the working steps in your answers.
Page 1 of 13
Question 1
(a) A commonly used discrete probability distribution in statistical analysis is the
binomial distribution.
(i)
(ii)
Derive the mean and variance for the special case of a Bernoulli random
variable with parameters n=1 and p. [2 marks]
(iii)
(b) Suppose now that a sample of size 10 is taken from a large shipment of the items
under examination in (a)(iii) above, of which 10% are, in truth, defective.
(i)
Explain why the binomial model is now likely to work well. [1 mark]
(ii)
(iii)
Question 2
The Australian Bureau of Statistics has collected data on the part-time employment
patterns of full-time students in Australia and has found the hours worked to be well
approximated by a normal distribution with a mean of 15 hours.
(a) What would the key features of the distribution of hours worked have been that
led the ABS to believe that a normal model would be appropriate? [1 mark]
(b) If 10% of students work more than 25 hours per week, what is the standard
deviation of the number of hours worked by students? [2 marks]
(c) What is the probability that a student chosen at random works between 5 and 25
hours per week? [1 mark]
(d) Suppose that student asks all the members of his/her tutorial group in BES how
many hours they work and that there are 25 members of the group. Stating
carefully any assumptions you make, what is the probability that the average
number of hours worked is between 5 and 25? [2 marks]
(e) A researcher believes that female students may work less hours on average than
male ones. Accordingly, she selects 36 female students at random and finds the
average number of hours worked to be 13.5 to see if the belief is substantiated.
Using the population standard deviation evaluated in part (b), conduct the test at a
suitable significance level and explain what the Type I and Type II errors are in
the context of this example. [4 marks]
(f) Explain whether it is necessary to assume the distribution of hours worked is
normal when conducting the test of part (e) and discuss briefly the effect it would
have on the test procedure if the standard deviation of the population (as
determined in part (b)) were not known and had to be estimated from the sample
in part (e). [2 marks]
Question 3
(a) Explain the difference between a point estimator of a population parameter and an
interval estimator. [2 marks]
(b) The Human Resources Department (HRD) of a large hotel chain with hotels
worldwide is interested in analyzing the career paths of its general managers.
Accordingly, it sent a simple random sample of questionnaires to 160 such
managers and received 114 replies. The average time these 114 general managers
had spent with the chain was 10.88 years with a sample standard deviation of 3.20
years. Use this information to set up a 99% confidence interval for the mean
number of years general managers have spent with the chain. Comment carefully
on the sampling method used by the HRD to collect the sample data. [3 marks]
(c) Outline two ways in which the width of a confidence interval can be changed.
How many general managers should the HRD have sought to interview if it
wished to have a 95% confidence interval that was half the width of the answer
you obtained in part (b)? [3 marks]
(d) Discuss briefly whether it would be reasonable to assume that employment
duration of general managers is a normally distributed random variable. If you are
told the lower quartile employment span from the data was 8.85 years and the
sample median was 10.95 years, how does this influence your attitude to the
reasonableness or otherwise of such a normal assumption? [2 marks]
(e) Set up a 95% confidence interval for the population variance for the problem of
part (b) and explain why it is not symmetrical about the sample value. [2 marks]
Question 4
(a) You have been supplied with observations on a pair of variables (X,Y) and are
interested in modelling the relationship between them. Explain what the
covariance between the two variables measures and why the slope coefficient in
the simple regression of Y on X will have the same sign as the covariance.
[2 marks]
(b) Consider the simple linear regression model
Yi 0 1 X i i , i 1, n .
What assumptions are usually made about the error terms in this model and why
are they needed? [2 marks]
(c) The following summary output (Table 1) is from a regression equation estimated
using Microsoft Excel. The data consists of figures on deforestation (%
deforestation rate per year) as the dependent variable (Y) and population density
measured as inhabitants per hectare as the regressor variable (X) for 70 tropical
countries. The model is the simple regression model of part (b).
0.436
70
t Stat
A
7.228
P-value
B
0.000
Question 5
(a)
(b)
Black et al. in their book Australian Business Statistics (2nd ed., 2010) have a
multiple regression example where they regress sale price of houses (in thousands
of dollars), Y, on the total square metres of the house, X, and the age of the house
in years, Z. Table 2 provides the regression output produced by Excel for a sample
of 23 house sales
Table 2: Excel output from multiple regression model
Regression Statistics
R Square
0.741102
Adjusted R
Square
0.715212
Standard
Error
119.6039
Observations
23
Intercept
Square
metres
Age (years)
Coefficients
573.5
Standard
Error
100.072
t Stat
5.731
P-value
0.000013
1.772
-6.663
0.315
2.280
5.633
-2.923
0.000016
0.008418
(a)
(b)
(c)
Test the null hypothesis that Age (years) has no effect on selling price.
What is the minimum significance level that would lead you to reject this
hypothesis? [2 marks]
(d)
Does it make sense to say that because the larger coefficient (in absolute
terms) on the regressors in the fitted model is that for Age (years), then
this is the more important predictor? If not, why not? [2 marks]
(e)
Consider a 10 year old house that has a total of 220 square metres. What
do you predict its selling price to be? [1 mark]
(f)
USEFUL FORMULAE
Sample Mean:
1 n
X Xi
n i 1
Population Variance: 2
1 N
( X i ) 2
N i 1
Sample Variance:
s2
Population Mean:
1 n
( X i X )2
n 1 i 1
1 N
Xi
N i 1
P( A B) P( A) P( B) P( A B)
Standardizing transformations:
(X )
(X )
/ n
(X )
s/ n
n 1s 2
2
X z
X t
s
,n 1
2
X t
s
,n 1
2
p z
n
p q
n
X z
p p z
2 / 2,n 1
, known
unknown
(n 1)s 2
p q
, where q 1 p
n
(n 1)s 2
12 / 2,n 1
(o i e i ) 2
,
ei
i 1
K
Independence Test:
i 1 j 1
(o ij eij ) 2
eij
df = K-1
df = (K-1)(H-1)
s XY
s X sY
( X
( X
X )(Yi Y )
X )2
(Y
Y )2
s XY X i X Yi Y
; 0 Y 1 X
2
s X2
Xi X
Forecast Intervals:
( X p X )2
1
n Xi X 2
Yp t , s e
( X p X )2
1
1
n Xi X 2
Yp t , s e
se
for Yp
where n 2 and
for E(YpXp)
i 1
( n 2)
regression.
Distribution of 0 and 1 :
n ( X i X )2
0 N 0 , e
2
i
and
e2
.
1 N 1,
( X X )2
i
Table 1:
Binomial Probability: P(X = k)
p
n
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
0
1
2
0.9025
0.8100
0.7225
0.6400
0.5625
0.4900
0.4225
0.3600
0.3025
0.2500
0.2025
0.1600
0.1225
0.0900
0.0625
0.0400
0.0225
0.0100
0.0025
0.0950
0.1800
0.2550
0.3200
0.3750
0.4200
0.4550
0.4800
0.4950
0.5000
0.4950
0.4800
0.4550
0.4200
0.3750
0.3200
0.2550
0.1800
0.0950
0.0025
0.0100
0.0225
0.0400
0.0625
0.0900
0.1225
0.1600
0.2025
0.2500
0.3025
0.3600
0.4225
0.4900
0.5625
0.6400
0.7225
0.8100
0.9025
0
1
2
3
0.8574
0.7290
0.6141
0.5120
0.4219
0.3430
0.2746
0.2160
0.1664
0.1250
0.0911
0.0640
0.0429
0.0270
0.0156
0.0080
0.0034
0.0010
0.0001
0.1354
0.2430
0.3251
0.3840
0.4219
0.4410
0.4436
0.4320
0.4084
0.3750
0.3341
0.2880
0.2389
0.1890
0.1406
0.0960
0.0574
0.0270
0.0071
0.0071
0.0270
0.0574
0.0960
0.1406
0.1890
0.2389
0.2880
0.3341
0.3750
0.4084
0.4320
0.4436
0.4410
0.4219
0.3840
0.3251
0.2430
0.1354
0.0001
0.0010
0.0034
0.0080
0.0156
0.0270
0.0429
0.0640
0.0911
0.1250
0.1664
0.2160
0.2746
0.3430
0.4219
0.5120
0.6141
0.7290
0.8574
0
1
2
3
4
0.8145
0.6561
0.5220
0.4096
0.3164
0.2401
0.1785
0.1296
0.0915
0.0625
0.0410
0.0256
0.0150
0.0081
0.0039
0.0016
0.0005
0.0001
0.0000
0.1715
0.2916
0.3685
0.4096
0.4219
0.4116
0.3845
0.3456
0.2995
0.2500
0.2005
0.1536
0.1115
0.0756
0.0469
0.0256
0.0115
0.0036
0.0005
0.0135
0.0486
0.0975
0.1536
0.2109
0.2646
0.3105
0.3456
0.3675
0.3750
0.3675
0.3456
0.3105
0.2646
0.2109
0.1536
0.0975
0.0486
0.0135
0.0005
0.0036
0.0115
0.0256
0.0469
0.0756
0.1115
0.1536
0.2005
0.2500
0.2995
0.3456
0.3845
0.4116
0.4219
0.4096
0.3685
0.2916
0.1715
0.0000
0.0001
0.0005
0.0016
0.0039
0.0081
0.0150
0.0256
0.0410
0.0625
0.0915
0.1296
0.1785
0.2401
0.3164
0.4096
0.5220
0.6561
0.8145
0
1
2
3
4
5
0.7738
0.5905
0.4437
0.3277
0.2373
0.1681
0.1160
0.0778
0.0503
0.0313
0.0185
0.0102
0.0053
0.0024
0.0010
0.0003
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.2036
0.3281
0.3915
0.4096
0.3955
0.3602
0.3124
0.2592
0.2059
0.1563
0.1128
0.0768
0.0488
0.0284
0.0146
0.0064
0.0022
0.0004
0.0000
0.0214
0.0729
0.1382
0.2048
0.2637
0.3087
0.3364
0.3456
0.3369
0.3125
0.2757
0.2304
0.1811
0.1323
0.0879
0.0512
0.0244
0.0081
0.0011
0.0011
0.0081
0.0244
0.0512
0.0879
0.1323
0.1811
0.2304
0.2757
0.3125
0.3369
0.3456
0.3364
0.3087
0.2637
0.2048
0.1382
0.0729
0.0214
0.0000
0.0005
0.0022
0.0064
0.0146
0.0284
0.0488
0.0768
0.1128
0.1563
0.2059
0.2592
0.3124
0.3602
0.3955
0.4096
0.3915
0.3281
0.2036
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0003
0.0010
0.0024
0.0053
0.0102
0.0185
0.0313
0.0503
0.0778
0.1160
0.1681
0.2373
0.3277
0.4437
0.5905
0.7738
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0.7351
0.5314
0.3771
0.2621
0.1780
0.1176
0.0754
0.0467
0.0277
0.0156
0.0083
0.0041
0.0018
0.0007
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.2321
0.3543
0.3993
0.3932
0.3560
0.3025
0.2437
0.1866
0.1359
0.0938
0.0609
0.0369
0.0205
0.0102
0.0044
0.0015
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0305
0.0984
0.1762
0.2458
0.2966
0.3241
0.3280
0.3110
0.2780
0.2344
0.1861
0.1382
0.0951
0.0595
0.0330
0.0154
0.0055
0.0012
0.0001
0.0021
0.0146
0.0415
0.0819
0.1318
0.1852
0.2355
0.2765
0.3032
0.3125
0.3032
0.2765
0.2355
0.1852
0.1318
0.0819
0.0415
0.0146
0.0021
0.0001
0.0012
0.0055
0.0154
0.0330
0.0595
0.0951
0.1382
0.1861
0.2344
0.2780
0.3110
0.3280
0.3241
0.2966
0.2458
0.1762
0.0984
0.0305
0.0000
0.0001
0.0004
0.0015
0.0044
0.0102
0.0205
0.0369
0.0609
0.0937
0.1359
0.1866
0.2437
0.3025
0.3560
0.3932
0.3993
0.3543
0.2321
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0007
0.0018
0.0041
0.0083
0.0156
0.0277
0.0467
0.0754
0.1176
0.1780
0.2621
0.3771
0.5314
0.7351
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0.6983
0.4783
0.3206
0.2097
0.1335
0.0824
0.0490
0.0280
0.0152
0.0078
0.0037
0.0016
0.0006
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.2573
0.3720
0.3960
0.3670
0.3115
0.2471
0.1848
0.1306
0.0872
0.0547
0.0320
0.0172
0.0084
0.0036
0.0013
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0406
0.1240
0.2097
0.2753
0.3115
0.3177
0.2985
0.2613
0.2140
0.1641
0.1172
0.0774
0.0466
0.0250
0.0115
0.0043
0.0012
0.0002
0.0000
0.0036
0.0230
0.0617
0.1147
0.1730
0.2269
0.2679
0.2903
0.2918
0.2734
0.2388
0.1935
0.1442
0.0972
0.0577
0.0287
0.0109
0.0026
0.0002
0.0002
0.0026
0.0109
0.0287
0.0577
0.0972
0.1442
0.1935
0.2388
0.2734
0.2918
0.2903
0.2679
0.2269
0.1730
0.1147
0.0617
0.0230
0.0036
0.0000
0.0002
0.0012
0.0043
0.0115
0.0250
0.0466
0.0774
0.1172
0.1641
0.2140
0.2613
0.2985
0.3177
0.3115
0.2753
0.2097
0.1240
0.0406
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0004
0.0013
0.0036
0.0084
0.0172
0.0320
0.0547
0.0872
0.1306
0.1848
0.2471
0.3115
0.3670
0.3960
0.3720
0.2573
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0006
0.0016
0.0037
0.0078
0.0152
0.0280
0.0490
0.0824
0.1335
0.2097
0.3206
0.4783
0.6983
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0.6634
0.4305
0.2725
0.1678
0.1001
0.0576
0.0319
0.0168
0.0084
0.0039
0.0017
0.0007
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.2793
0.3826
0.3847
0.3355
0.2670
0.1977
0.1373
0.0896
0.0548
0.0313
0.0164
0.0079
0.0033
0.0012
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0515
0.1488
0.2376
0.2936
0.3115
0.2965
0.2587
0.2090
0.1569
0.1094
0.0703
0.0413
0.0217
0.0100
0.0038
0.0011
0.0002
0.0000
0.0000
0.0054
0.0331
0.0839
0.1468
0.2076
0.2541
0.2786
0.2787
0.2568
0.2188
0.1719
0.1239
0.0808
0.0467
0.0231
0.0092
0.0026
0.0004
0.0000
0.0004
0.0046
0.0185
0.0459
0.0865
0.1361
0.1875
0.2322
0.2627
0.2734
0.2627
0.2322
0.1875
0.1361
0.0865
0.0459
0.0185
0.0046
0.0004
0.0000
0.0004
0.0026
0.0092
0.0231
0.0467
0.0808
0.1239
0.1719
0.2188
0.2568
0.2787
0.2786
0.2541
0.2076
0.1468
0.0839
0.0331
0.0054
0.0000
0.0000
0.0002
0.0011
0.0038
0.0100
0.0217
0.0413
0.0703
0.1094
0.1569
0.2090
0.2587
0.2965
0.3115
0.2936
0.2376
0.1488
0.0515
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0004
0.0012
0.0033
0.0079
0.0164
0.0313
0.0548
0.0896
0.1373
0.1977
0.2670
0.3355
0.3847
0.3826
0.2793
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0007
0.0017
0.0039
0.0084
0.0168
0.0319
0.0576
0.1001
0.1678
0.2725
0.4305
0.6634
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0.6302
0.3874
0.2316
0.1342
0.0751
0.0404
0.0207
0.0101
0.0046
0.0020
0.0008
0.0003
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.2985
0.3874
0.3679
0.3020
0.2253
0.1556
0.1004
0.0605
0.0339
0.0176
0.0083
0.0035
0.0013
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0629
0.1722
0.2597
0.3020
0.3003
0.2668
0.2162
0.1612
0.1110
0.0703
0.0407
0.0212
0.0098
0.0039
0.0012
0.0003
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0077
0.0446
0.1069
0.1762
0.2336
0.2668
0.2716
0.2508
0.2119
0.1641
0.1160
0.0743
0.0424
0.0210
0.0087
0.0028
0.0006
0.0001
0.0000
0.0006
0.0074
0.0283
0.0661
0.1168
0.1715
0.2194
0.2508
0.2600
0.2461
0.2128
0.1672
0.1181
0.0735
0.0389
0.0165
0.0050
0.0008
0.0000
0.0000
0.0008
0.0050
0.0165
0.0389
0.0735
0.1181
0.1672
0.2128
0.2461
0.2600
0.2508
0.2194
0.1715
0.1168
0.0661
0.0283
0.0074
0.0006
0.0000
0.0001
0.0006
0.0028
0.0087
0.0210
0.0424
0.0743
0.1160
0.1641
0.2119
0.2508
0.2716
0.2668
0.2336
0.1762
0.1069
0.0446
0.0077
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0003
0.0012
0.0039
0.0098
0.0212
0.0407
0.0703
0.1110
0.1612
0.2162
0.2668
0.3003
0.3020
0.2597
0.1722
0.0629
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0004
0.0013
0.0035
0.0083
0.0176
0.0339
0.0605
0.1004
0.1556
0.2253
0.3020
0.3679
0.3874
0.2985
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0003
0.0008
0.0020
0.0046
0.0101
0.0207
0.0404
0.0751
0.1342
0.2316
0.3874
0.6302
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0.5987
0.3487
0.1969
0.1074
0.0563
0.0282
0.0135
0.0060
0.0025
0.0010
0.0003
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.3151
0.3874
0.3474
0.2684
0.1877
0.1211
0.0725
0.0403
0.0207
0.0098
0.0042
0.0016
0.0005
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0746
0.1937
0.2759
0.3020
0.2816
0.2335
0.1757
0.1209
0.0763
0.0439
0.0229
0.0106
0.0043
0.0014
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0105
0.0574
0.1298
0.2013
0.2503
0.2668
0.2522
0.2150
0.1665
0.1172
0.0746
0.0425
0.0212
0.0090
0.0031
0.0008
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0010
0.0112
0.0401
0.0881
0.1460
0.2001
0.2377
0.2508
0.2384
0.2051
0.1596
0.1115
0.0689
0.0368
0.0162
0.0055
0.0012
0.0001
0.0000
0.0001
0.0015
0.0085
0.0264
0.0584
0.1029
0.1536
0.2007
0.2340
0.2461
0.2340
0.2007
0.1536
0.1029
0.0584
0.0264
0.0085
0.0015
0.0001
0.0000
0.0001
0.0012
0.0055
0.0162
0.0368
0.0689
0.1115
0.1596
0.2051
0.2384
0.2508
0.2377
0.2001
0.1460
0.0881
0.0401
0.0112
0.0010
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0008
0.0031
0.0090
0.0212
0.0425
0.0746
0.1172
0.1665
0.2150
0.2522
0.2668
0.2503
0.2013
0.1298
0.0574
0.0105
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0004
0.0014
0.0043
0.0106
0.0229
0.0439
0.0763
0.1209
0.1757
0.2335
0.2816
0.3020
0.2759
0.1937
0.0746
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0005
0.0016
0.0042
0.0098
0.0207
0.0403
0.0725
0.1211
0.1877
0.2684
0.3474
0.3874
0.3151
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0003
0.0010
0.0025
0.0060
0.0135
0.0282
0.0563
0.1074
0.1969
0.3487
0.5987
10
Table 2:
k 0.05
0
1
0.9025
0.8100
0.7225
0.6400
0.5625
0.4900
0.4225
0.3600
0.3025
0.2500
0.2025
0.1600
0.1225
0.0900
0.0625
0.0400
0.0225
0.0100
0.0025
0.9975
0.9900
0.9775
0.9600
0.9375
0.9100
0.8775
0.8400
0.7975
0.7500
0.6975
0.6400
0.5775
0.5100
0.4375
0.3600
0.2775
0.1900
0.0975
0
1
2
0.8574
0.7290
0.6141
0.5120
0.4219
0.3430
0.2746
0.2160
0.1664
0.1250
0.0911
0.0640
0.0429
0.0270
0.0156
0.0080
0.0034
0.0010
0.0001
0.9928
0.9720
0.9393
0.8960
0.8438
0.7840
0.7183
0.6480
0.5748
0.5000
0.4253
0.3520
0.2818
0.2160
0.1563
0.1040
0.0607
0.0280
0.0072
0.9999
0.9990
0.9966
0.9920
0.9844
0.9730
0.9571
0.9360
0.9089
0.8750
0.8336
0.7840
0.7254
0.6570
0.5781
0.4880
0.3859
0.2710
0.1426
0
1
2
3
0.8145
0.6561
0.5220
0.4096
0.3164
0.2401
0.1785
0.1296
0.0915
0.0625
0.0410
0.0256
0.0150
0.0081
0.0039
0.0016
0.0005
0.0001
0.0000
0.9860
0.9477
0.8905
0.8192
0.7383
0.6517
0.5630
0.4752
0.3910
0.3125
0.2415
0.1792
0.1265
0.0837
0.0508
0.0272
0.0120
0.0037
0.0005
0.9995
0.9963
0.9880
0.9728
0.9492
0.9163
0.8735
0.8208
0.7585
0.6875
0.6090
0.5248
0.4370
0.3483
0.2617
0.1808
0.1095
0.0523
0.0140
1.0000
0.9999
0.9995
0.9984
0.9961
0.9919
0.9850
0.9744
0.9590
0.9375
0.9085
0.8704
0.8215
0.7599
0.6836
0.5904
0.4780
0.3439
0.1855
0
1
2
3
4
0.7738
0.5905
0.4437
0.3277
0.2373
0.1681
0.1160
0.0778
0.0503
0.0313
0.0185
0.0102
0.0053
0.0024
0.0010
0.0003
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.9774
0.9185
0.8352
0.7373
0.6328
0.5282
0.4284
0.3370
0.2562
0.1875
0.1312
0.0870
0.0540
0.0308
0.0156
0.0067
0.0022
0.0005
0.0000
0.9988
0.9914
0.9734
0.9421
0.8965
0.8369
0.7648
0.6826
0.5931
0.5000
0.4069
0.3174
0.2352
0.1631
0.1035
0.0579
0.0266
0.0086
0.0012
1.0000
0.9995
0.9978
0.9933
0.9844
0.9692
0.9460
0.9130
0.8688
0.8125
0.7438
0.6630
0.5716
0.4718
0.3672
0.2627
0.1648
0.0815
0.0226
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9997
0.9990
0.9976
0.9947
0.9898
0.9815
0.9688
0.9497
0.9222
0.8840
0.8319
0.7627
0.6723
0.5563
0.4095
0.2262
0
1
2
3
4
5
0.7351
0.5314
0.3771
0.2621
0.1780
0.1176
0.0754
0.0467
0.0277
0.0156
0.0083
0.0041
0.0018
0.0007
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9672
0.8857
0.7765
0.6554
0.5339
0.4202
0.3191
0.2333
0.1636
0.1094
0.0692
0.0410
0.0223
0.0109
0.0046
0.0016
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.9978
0.9842
0.9527
0.9011
0.8306
0.7443
0.6471
0.5443
0.4415
0.3438
0.2553
0.1792
0.1174
0.0705
0.0376
0.0170
0.0059
0.0013
0.0001
0.9999
0.9987
0.9941
0.9830
0.9624
0.9295
0.8826
0.8208
0.7447
0.6563
0.5585
0.4557
0.3529
0.2557
0.1694
0.0989
0.0473
0.0158
0.0022
1.0000
0.9999
0.9996
0.9984
0.9954
0.9891
0.9777
0.9590
0.9308
0.8906
0.8364
0.7667
0.6809
0.5798
0.4661
0.3446
0.2235
0.1143
0.0328
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9998
0.9993
0.9982
0.9959
0.9917
0.9844
0.9723
0.9533
0.9246
0.8824
0.8220
0.7379
0.6229
0.4686
0.2649
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0.6983
0.4783
0.3206
0.2097
0.1335
0.0824
0.0490
0.0280
0.0152
0.0078
0.0037
0.0016
0.0006
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9556
0.8503
0.7166
0.5767
0.4449
0.3294
0.2338
0.1586
0.1024
0.0625
0.0357
0.0188
0.0090
0.0038
0.0013
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.9962
0.9743
0.9262
0.8520
0.7564
0.6471
0.5323
0.4199
0.3164
0.2266
0.1529
0.0963
0.0556
0.0288
0.0129
0.0047
0.0012
0.0002
0.0000
0.9998
0.9973
0.9879
0.9667
0.9294
0.8740
0.8002
0.7102
0.6083
0.5000
0.3917
0.2898
0.1998
0.1260
0.0706
0.0333
0.0121
0.0027
0.0002
1.0000
0.9998
0.9988
0.9953
0.9871
0.9712
0.9444
0.9037
0.8471
0.7734
0.6836
0.5801
0.4677
0.3529
0.2436
0.1480
0.0738
0.0257
0.0038
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9996
0.9987
0.9962
0.9910
0.9812
0.9643
0.9375
0.8976
0.8414
0.7662
0.6706
0.5551
0.4233
0.2834
0.1497
0.0444
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9998
0.9994
0.9984
0.9963
0.9922
0.9848
0.9720
0.9510
0.9176
0.8665
0.7903
0.6794
0.5217
0.3017
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0.6634
0.4305
0.2725
0.1678
0.1001
0.0576
0.0319
0.0168
0.0084
0.0039
0.0017
0.0007
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9428
0.8131
0.6572
0.5033
0.3671
0.2553
0.1691
0.1064
0.0632
0.0352
0.0181
0.0085
0.0036
0.0013
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9942
0.9619
0.8948
0.7969
0.6785
0.5518
0.4278
0.3154
0.2201
0.1445
0.0885
0.0498
0.0253
0.0113
0.0042
0.0012
0.0002
0.0000
0.0000
0.9996
0.9950
0.9786
0.9437
0.8862
0.8059
0.7064
0.5941
0.4770
0.3633
0.2604
0.1737
0.1061
0.0580
0.0273
0.0104
0.0029
0.0004
0.0000
1.0000
0.9996
0.9971
0.9896
0.9727
0.9420
0.8939
0.8263
0.7396
0.6367
0.5230
0.4059
0.2936
0.1941
0.1138
0.0563
0.0214
0.0050
0.0004
1.0000
1.0000
0.9998
0.9988
0.9958
0.9887
0.9747
0.9502
0.9115
0.8555
0.7799
0.6846
0.5722
0.4482
0.3215
0.2031
0.1052
0.0381
0.0058
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9996
0.9987
0.9964
0.9915
0.9819
0.9648
0.9368
0.8936
0.8309
0.7447
0.6329
0.4967
0.3428
0.1869
0.0572
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9998
0.9993
0.9983
0.9961
0.9916
0.9832
0.9681
0.9424
0.8999
0.8322
0.7275
0.5695
0.3366
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0.6302
0.3874
0.2316
0.1342
0.0751
0.0404
0.0207
0.0101
0.0046
0.0020
0.0008
0.0003
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9288
0.7748
0.5995
0.4362
0.3003
0.1960
0.1211
0.0705
0.0385
0.0195
0.0091
0.0038
0.0014
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9916
0.9470
0.8591
0.7382
0.6007
0.4628
0.3373
0.2318
0.1495
0.0898
0.0498
0.0250
0.0112
0.0043
0.0013
0.0003
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9994
0.9917
0.9661
0.9144
0.8343
0.7297
0.6089
0.4826
0.3614
0.2539
0.1658
0.0994
0.0536
0.0253
0.0100
0.0031
0.0006
0.0001
0.0000
1.0000
0.9991
0.9944
0.9804
0.9511
0.9012
0.8283
0.7334
0.6214
0.5000
0.3786
0.2666
0.1717
0.0988
0.0489
0.0196
0.0056
0.0009
0.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9994
0.9969
0.9900
0.9747
0.9464
0.9006
0.8342
0.7461
0.6386
0.5174
0.3911
0.2703
0.1657
0.0856
0.0339
0.0083
0.0006
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9997
0.9987
0.9957
0.9888
0.9750
0.9502
0.9102
0.8505
0.7682
0.6627
0.5372
0.3993
0.2618
0.1409
0.0530
0.0084
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9996
0.9986
0.9962
0.9909
0.9805
0.9615
0.9295
0.8789
0.8040
0.6997
0.5638
0.4005
0.2252
0.0712
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9997
0.9992
0.9980
0.9954
0.9899
0.9793
0.9596
0.9249
0.8658
0.7684
0.6126
0.3698
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0.5987
0.3487
0.1969
0.1074
0.0563
0.0282
0.0135
0.0060
0.0025
0.0010
0.0003
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9139
0.7361
0.5443
0.3758
0.2440
0.1493
0.0860
0.0464
0.0233
0.0107
0.0045
0.0017
0.0005
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9885
0.9298
0.8202
0.6778
0.5256
0.3828
0.2616
0.1673
0.0996
0.0547
0.0274
0.0123
0.0048
0.0016
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9990
0.9872
0.9500
0.8791
0.7759
0.6496
0.5138
0.3823
0.2660
0.1719
0.1020
0.0548
0.0260
0.0106
0.0035
0.0009
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.9999
0.9984
0.9901
0.9672
0.9219
0.8497
0.7515
0.6331
0.5044
0.3770
0.2616
0.1662
0.0949
0.0473
0.0197
0.0064
0.0014
0.0001
0.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9986
0.9936
0.9803
0.9527
0.9051
0.8338
0.7384
0.6230
0.4956
0.3669
0.2485
0.1503
0.0781
0.0328
0.0099
0.0016
0.0001
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9991
0.9965
0.9894
0.9740
0.9452
0.8980
0.8281
0.7340
0.6177
0.4862
0.3504
0.2241
0.1209
0.0500
0.0128
0.0010
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9996
0.9984
0.9952
0.9877
0.9726
0.9453
0.9004
0.8327
0.7384
0.6172
0.4744
0.3222
0.1798
0.0702
0.0115
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9995
0.9983
0.9955
0.9893
0.9767
0.9536
0.9140
0.8507
0.7560
0.6242
0.4557
0.2639
0.0861
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9997
0.9990
0.9975
0.9940
0.9865
0.9718
0.9437
0.8926
0.8031
0.6513
0.4013
10
10
z
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.6
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.0
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.8
3.9
0.0000
0.0040
0.0080
0.0120
0.0160
0.0199
0.0239
0.0279
0.0319
0.0359
0.0398
0.0438
0.0478
0.0517
0.0557
0.0596
0.0636
0.0675
0.0714
0.0753
0.0793
0.0832
0.0871
0.0910
0.0948
0.0987
0.1026
0.1064
0.1103
0.1141
0.1179
0.1217
0.1255
0.1293
0.1331
0.1368
0.1406
0.1443
0.1480
0.1517
0.1554
0.1591
0.1628
0.1664
0.1700
0.1736
0.1772
0.1808
0.1844
0.1879
0.1915
0.1950
0.1985
0.2019
0.2054
0.2088
0.2123
0.2157
0.2190
0.2224
0.2257
0.2291
0.2324
0.2357
0.2389
0.2422
0.2454
0.2486
0.2517
0.2549
0.2580
0.2611
0.2642
0.2673
0.2704
0.2734
0.2764
0.2794
0.2823
0.2852
0.2881
0.2910
0.2939
0.2967
0.2995
0.3023
0.3051
0.3078
0.3106
0.3133
0.3159
0.3186
0.3212
0.3238
0.3264
0.3289
0.3315
0.3340
0.3365
0.3389
0.3413
0.3438
0.3461
0.3485
0.3508
0.3531
0.3554
0.3577
0.3599
0.3621
0.3643
0.3665
0.3686
0.3708
0.3729
0.3749
0.3770
0.3790
0.3810
0.3830
0.3849
0.3869
0.3888
0.3907
0.3925
0.3944
0.3962
0.3980
0.3997
0.4015
0.4032
0.4049
0.4066
0.4082
0.4099
0.4115
0.4131
0.4147
0.4162
0.4177
0.4192
0.4207
0.4222
0.4236
0.4251
0.4265
0.4279
0.4292
0.4306
0.4319
0.4332
0.4345
0.4357
0.4370
0.4382
0.4394
0.4406
0.4418
0.4429
0.4441
0.4452
0.4463
0.4474
0.4484
0.4495
0.4505
0.4515
0.4525
0.4535
0.4545
0.4554
0.4564
0.4573
0.4582
0.4591
0.4599
0.4608
0.4616
0.4625
0.4633
0.4641
0.4649
0.4656
0.4664
0.4671
0.4678
0.4686
0.4693
0.4699
0.4706
0.4713
0.4719
0.4726
0.4732
0.4738
0.4744
0.4750
0.4756
0.4761
0.4767
0.4772
0.4778
0.4783
0.4788
0.4793
0.4798
0.4803
0.4808
0.4812
0.4817
0.4821
0.4826
0.4830
0.4834
0.4838
0.4842
0.4846
0.4850
0.4854
0.4857
0.4861
0.4864
0.4868
0.4871
0.4875
0.4878
0.4881
0.4884
0.4887
0.4890
0.4893
0.4896
0.4898
0.4901
0.4904
0.4906
0.4909
0.4911
0.4913
0.4916
0.4918
0.4920
0.4922
0.4925
0.4927
0.4929
0.4931
0.4932
0.4934
0.4936
0.4938
0.4940
0.4941
0.4943
0.4945
0.4946
0.4948
0.4949
0.4951
0.4952
0.4953
0.4955
0.4956
0.4957
0.4959
0.4960
0.4961
0.4962
0.4963
0.4964
0.4965
0.4966
0.4967
0.4968
0.4969
0.4970
0.4971
0.4972
0.4973
0.4974
0.4974
0.4975
0.4976
0.4977
0.4977
0.4978
0.4979
0.4979
0.4980
0.4981
0.4981
0.4982
0.4982
0.4983
0.4984
0.4984
0.4985
0.4985
0.4986
0.4986
0.4987
0.4987
0.4987
0.4988
0.4988
0.4989
0.4989
0.4989
0.4990
0.4990
0.4990
0.4991
0.4991
0.4991
0.4992
0.4992
0.4992
0.4992
0.4993
0.4993
0.4993
0.4993
0.4994
0.4994
0.4994
0.4994
0.4994
0.4995
0.4995
0.4995
0.4995
0.4995
0.4995
0.4996
0.4996
0.4996
0.4996
0.4996
0.4996
0.4997
0.4997
0.4997
0.4997
0.4997
0.4997
0.4997
0.4997
0.4997
0.4997
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.100
0.050
0.025
0.010
0.005
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
40
60
120
3.078
6.314
12.706
31.821
63.657
1.886
2.920
4.303
6.965
9.925
1.638
2.353
3.182
4.541
5.841
1.533
2.132
2.776
3.747
4.604
1.476
2.015
2.571
3.365
4.032
1.440
1.943
2.447
3.143
3.707
1.415
1.895
2.365
2.998
3.499
1.397
1.860
2.306
2.896
3.355
1.383
1.833
2.262
2.821
3.250
1.372
1.812
2.228
2.764
3.169
1.363
1.796
2.201
2.718
3.106
1.356
1.782
2.179
2.681
3.055
1.350
1.771
2.160
2.650
3.012
1.345
1.761
2.145
2.624
2.977
1.341
1.753
2.131
2.602
2.947
1.337
1.746
2.120
2.583
2.921
1.333
1.740
2.110
2.567
2.898
1.330
1.734
2.101
2.552
2.878
1.328
1.729
2.093
2.539
2.861
1.325
1.725
2.086
2.528
2.845
1.323
1.721
2.080
2.518
2.831
1.321
1.717
2.074
2.508
2.819
1.319
1.714
2.069
2.500
2.807
1.318
1.711
2.064
2.492
2.797
1.316
1.708
2.060
2.485
2.787
1.315
1.706
2.056
2.479
2.779
1.314
1.703
2.052
2.473
2.771
1.313
1.701
2.048
2.467
2.763
1.311
1.699
2.045
2.462
2.756
1.310
1.697
2.042
2.457
2.750
1.303
1.684
2.021
2.423
2.704
1.296
1.671
2.000
2.390
2.660
1.289
1.658
1.980
2.358
2.617
1.282
1.645
1.960
2.326
2.576
12
Chi2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0.995
0.99
0.975
0.95
0.9
0.1
0.05
0.025
0.01
0.005
3.93E-05
0.0002
0.0010
0.0039
0.0158
2.7055
3.8415
5.0239
6.6349
7.8794
0.0100
0.0201
0.0506
0.1026
0.2107
4.6052
5.9915
7.3778
9.2103
10.5966
0.0717
0.1148
0.2158
0.3518
0.5844
6.2514
7.8147
9.3484
11.3449
12.8382
0.2070
0.2971
0.4844
0.7107
1.0636
7.7794
9.4877
11.1433
13.2767
14.8603
0.4117
0.5543
0.8312
1.1455
1.6103
9.2364
11.0705
12.8325
15.0863
16.7496
0.6757
0.8721
1.2373
1.6354
2.2041
10.6446
12.5916
14.4494
16.8119
18.5476
0.9893
1.2390
1.6899
2.1673
2.8331
12.0170
14.0671
16.0128
18.4753
20.2777
1.3444
1.6465
2.1797
2.7326
3.4895
13.3616
15.5073
17.5345
20.0902
21.9550
1.7349
2.0879
2.7004
3.3251
4.1682
14.6837
16.9190
19.0228
21.6660
23.5894
2.1559
2.5582
3.2470
3.9403
4.8652
15.9872
18.3070
20.4832
23.2093
25.1882
2.6032
3.0535
3.8157
4.5748
5.5778
17.2750
19.6751
21.9200
24.7250
26.7568
3.0738
3.5706
4.4038
5.2260
6.3038
18.5493
21.0261
23.3367
26.2170
28.2995
3.5650
4.1069
5.0088
5.8919
7.0415
19.8119
22.3620
24.7356
27.6882
29.8195
4.0747
4.6604
5.6287
6.5706
7.7895
21.0641
23.6848
26.1189
29.1412
31.3193
4.6009
5.2293
6.2621
7.2609
8.5468
22.3071
24.9958
27.4884
30.5779
32.8013
5.1422
5.8122
6.9077
7.9616
9.3122
23.5418
26.2962
28.8454
31.9999
34.2672
5.6972
6.4078
7.5642
8.6718
10.0852
24.7690
27.5871
30.1910
33.4087
35.7185
6.2648
7.0149
8.2307
9.3905
10.8649
25.9894
28.8693
31.5264
34.8053
37.1565
6.8440
7.6327
8.9065
10.1170
11.6509
27.2036
30.1435
32.8523
36.1909
38.5823
7.4338
8.2604
9.5908
10.8508
12.4426
28.4120
31.4104
34.1696
37.5662
39.9968
8.0337
8.8972
10.2829
11.5913
13.2396
29.6151
32.6706
35.4789
38.9322
41.4011
8.6427
9.5425
10.9823
12.3380
14.0415
30.8133
33.9244
36.7807
40.2894
42.7957
9.2604
10.1957
11.6886
13.0905
14.8480
32.0069
35.1725
38.0756
41.6384
44.1813
9.8862
10.8564
12.4012
13.8484
15.6587
33.1962
36.4150
39.3641
42.9798
45.5585
10.5197
11.5240
13.1197
14.6114
16.4734
34.3816
37.6525
40.6465
44.3141
46.9279
11.1602
12.1981
13.8439
15.3792
17.2919
35.5632
38.8851
41.9232
45.6417
48.2899
11.8076
12.8785
14.5734
16.1514
18.1139
36.7412
40.1133
43.1945
46.9629
49.6449
12.4613
13.5647
15.3079
16.9279
18.9392
37.9159
41.3371
44.4608
48.2782
50.9934
13.1211
14.2565
16.0471
17.7084
19.7677
39.0875
42.5570
45.7223
49.5879
52.3356
13.7867
14.9535
16.7908
18.4927
20.5992
40.2560
43.7730
46.9792
50.8922
53.6720
20.7065
22.1643
24.4330
26.5093
29.0505
51.8051
55.7585
59.3417
63.6907
66.7660
27.9907
29.7067
32.3574
34.7643
37.6886
63.1671
67.5048
71.4202
76.1539
79.4900
35.5345
37.4849
40.4817
43.1880
46.4589
74.3970
79.0819
83.2977
88.3794
91.9517
43.2752
45.4417
48.7576
51.7393
55.3289
85.5270
90.5312
95.0232
100.4252
104.2149
51.1719
53.5401
57.1532
60.3915
64.2778
96.5782
101.8795
106.6286
112.3288
116.3211
59.1963
61.7541
65.6466
69.1260
73.2911
107.5650
113.1453
118.1359
124.1163
128.2989
67.3276
70.0649
74.2219
77.9295
82.3581
118.4980
124.3421
129.5612
135.8067
140.1695
13