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Nombre d'observation
Dfinition de la matrice X
(Xt*X)-1
(Xt*Y)
Y
5.464272
5.521289
5.517868
5.554376
5.554897
5.612298
5.658489
5.673426
5.704574
5.732061
5.754923
5.795668
5.827124
5.872244
5.888213
5.906818
Resum
Analyse de la variance
RAPPORT DTAILL
Statistiques de la rgression
Coefficient de dtermination m
Coefficient de dtermination
Coefficient de dtermination
Erreur-type
Observations
ANALYSE DE VARIANCE
Rgression
Rsidus
Total
Constante
Variable X 1
Variable X 2
+e
Y
5.4643
5.5213
5.5179
5.5544
5.5549
5.6123
5.6585
5.6734
5.7046
5.7321
5.7549
5.7957
5.8271
5.8722
5.8882
5.9068
N
Moyenne
Variances Empiriques
Variance
Ecart Type
16
Y
5.689908755
Y
0.0192921328
0.1388961224
X
4.7809405778
4.7919775114
4.8181334807
4.9537838454
4.990516444
5.0094593946
5.0250476701
5.0504570948
5.0784640683
5.1229331007
5.1621340806
5.2107357558
5.2845953961
5.3569145813
5.3544484393
5.3699705767
Xt
4.7809405778
6.8349806111
1
(Xt*X)-1
34.0726534995
-109.0792915094
584.5845613464
(Xt*Y)
463.3487024349
632.630203765
91.0385400803
et Covariance
^Var*(Xt*X)-1
^a1
^a2
^a0
0.3903918416
1.1080896564
-3.9938689612
^Y
Y - ^Y
0.017929
0.035327
0.006537
0.005872
0.063549
0.023623
0.001012
0.008464
0.005296
0.001616
0.002485
0.004842
0.006164
0.002460
0.011003
0.024087
5.446343
5.485962
5.511331
5.560248
5.618447
5.635922
5.657477
5.681890
5.699279
5.730445
5.752438
5.790827
5.833288
5.874704
5.877210
5.882731
^Var
^EcartType
0.0005478
0.0234052842
0.0186652493
-0.0597544354
0.3202397077
16
nts Estims
Valeur de t telle que P(|t|>t) = 5%
Valeurs
0.3903918416
1.1080896564
-3.9938689612
^a1
^a2
^a0
Coefficient de determination
Coefficient de determination multiple
Coefficient de determination ajust
Statistique F
Probabilit
0.9769287584
0.9883970652
Source de variation
Regression
Residus
Total
atistiques de la rgression
0.9883970652
0.9769287585
0.9733793367
0.0234052842
16
Degr de libert
13
15
0.0071214953
0.3086741249
Coefficients
-3.9938689607
0.3903918416
1.108089656
Erreur-type
2.4472920504
0.1366208232
0.4489410028
X1
X2
4.7809
6.8350
4.7920
6.8668
4.8181
6.8805
4.9538
6.8769
4.9905
6.9165
5.0095
6.9256
5.0250
6.9395
5.0505
6.9526
5.0785
6.9584
5.1229
6.9709
5.1621
6.9769
5.2107
6.9944
5.2846
7.0067
5.3569
7.0186
5.3544
7.0218
5.3700
7.0213
X1
5.0850320011
X2
6.9476532554
X1
0.0360623794
0.1899009726
X2
0.0033397167
0.0577902821
6.8349806111
6.866846741
6.8805261876
6.8768809319
6.9164607679
6.9255573188
6.9395186267
6.9525975671
6.9584231366
6.9708820494
6.9769190219
6.9944401111
7.0067383104
7.0186353575
7.0217655987
7.021279749
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
4.7919775114
6.866846741
1
4.8181334807
6.8805261876
1
-109.0792915094
367.9177202488
-2001.4930588282
584.5845613467
-2001.4930588285
10933.1110640623
(Y - ^Y)
0.000321
0.001248
0.000043
0.000034
0.004039
0.000558
0.000001
0.000072
0.000028
0.000003
0.000006
0.000023
0.000038
0.000006
0.000121
0.000580
0.007121
-0.0597544354
0.201548024
-1.0964325685
^Y-Ybar
0.243566
0.203947
0.178578
0.129660
0.071462
0.053987
0.032431
0.008019
0.009370
0.040536
0.062529
0.100918
0.143379
0.184795
0.187301
0.192822
0.3202397077
-1.0964325685
5.9892383803
2.1603686565
^
0.1366208232
0.4489410028
2.4472920505
t
2.8574841842
2.4682300114
-1.631954372
Fth
Moyennes des Carrs
0.1508
0.0005
0.0206
Degrs de liebrt
2
13
15
F
275.2360301914
0.0005478073
Statistique t
-1.6319543718
2.8574841844
2.4682300113
Probabilit
0.1266643425
0.0134623998
0.0282285655
a0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
4.9537838454
6.8768809319
1
4.990516444
6.9164607679
1
(^Y-Ybar)
0.059324
0.041594
0.031890
0.016812
0.005107
0.002915
0.001052
0.000064
0.000088
0.001643
0.003910
0.010184
0.020558
0.034149
0.035082
0.037180
0.301553
Y-Ybar
0.225637
0.168620
0.172041
0.135532
0.135012
0.077610
0.031419
0.016483
0.014666
0.042152
0.065014
0.105759
0.137216
0.182335
0.198304
0.216909
P
Limite inferieur 95%
0.0134623998
0.0952404973
0.0282285655
0.1382115854
0.1266643425
-9.2809220003
19.4189038394
F0
275.2360301852
Valeur critique de F
2.29066340393608E-011
P-value
2.2907E-11
l et travail.
(Y-Ybar)
0.050912
0.028433
0.029598
0.018369
0.018228
0.006023
0.000987
0.000272
0.000215
0.001777
0.004227
0.011185
0.018828
0.033246
0.039324
0.047050
0.308674
infrieureLimite
pour seuil
suprieure
de confiance
pour seuil
= 95,0%
de confiance = 95,0%
-9.2809219997 1.293184
0.0952404973 0.685543
0.1382115853 2.077968
95,0%
5.3699706
7.0212797
1
Annes
Revenu national
brut disponible
(MDH
Formation brute
population Active
du capital fixe
occupe Nationale
(MDH)
1995
291253.8
60386.6
6838811.1496028
1996
332115.5
61940.9
7359473.4176942
1997
329509.4
65786
7594972.1833966
1998
358407
89905
7531490.4877977
1999
358836.9
97840
8250129.5430482
2000
409542
102202
8424755.7524989
2001
455501
105937
8699987.4620828
2002
471439
112320
8965975.8982296
2003
506494
119802
9087054.5796804
2004
539586
132719
9351516.6066926
2005
568752
145256
9482416.3862797
2006
624695
162456
9872794.8126927
2007
671621
192573
10156365.240041
2008
745150
227465
10438434.188555
2009
773059
226177
10513942.528349
2010
806897
234407
10502187.047524
RAPPORT DTAILL
Statistiques de la rgression
Coefficient d
0.9883970652
Coefficient d
0.9769287585
Coefficient d
0.9733793367
Erreur-type
0.0234052842
Observations
16
ANALYSE DE VARIANCE
Degr de libert Somme des carrs Moyenne des carrs
Rgression
2
0.3015526296
0.1507763148
Rsidus
13
0.0071214953
0.0005478073
Total
15
0.3086741249
Constante
Coefficients
-3.9938689607
Erreur-type
2.4472920504
Statistique t
-1.6319543718
Variable X 1
Variable X 2
0.3903918416
1.1080896563
0.1366208232
0.4489410028
2.8574841844
2.4682300113
log10(RNBD)
5.4643
5.5213
5.5179
5.5544
5.5549
5.6123
5.6585
5.6734
5.7046
5.7321
5.7549
5.7957
5.8271
5.8722
5.8882
5.9068
log10(FBCF)
4.7809
4.7920
4.8181
4.9538
4.9905
5.0095
5.0250
5.0505
5.0785
5.1229
5.1621
5.2107
5.2846
5.3569
5.3544
5.3700
log10(PAON)
6.8350
6.8668
6.8805
6.8769
6.9165
6.9256
6.9395
6.9526
6.9584
6.9709
6.9769
6.9944
7.0067
7.0186
7.0218
7.0213
F
Valeur critique de F
275.2360301914 2.29066340E-011
Probabilit
Limite infrieure pour
Limite
seuil
suprieure
de confiance
Limite
pour=
infrieure
seuil
95%Limite
de confiance
pour
suprieure
seuil=de
95%
confiance
pour seuil =
de95,0%
confiance = 95,0
0.1266643425
-9.2809219997
1.2931840783
-9.280922 1.29318408
0.0134623998
0.0282285655
0.0952404973
0.1382115853
PAON
12000000
10000000
8000000
PAON
6000000
4000000
2000000
0
FBCF
250000
200000
150000
FBCF
100000
50000
0
5.6000
5.4000
5.2000
RNBD
5.0000
4.8000
4.6000
4.4000
5.4000
5.5000
5.6000
5.7000
FBCF
5.8000
5.9000
6.0000
4.8000
4.6000
4.4000
5.4000
5.5000
5.6000
5.7000
FBCF
5.8000
5.9000
6.0000
RNBD
PAON
900000
800000
700000
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
7.0500
7.0000
6.9500
6.9000
RNBD
FBCF
6.8500
6.8000
6.7500
6.7000
5.4000
5.5000
5.6000
5.7000
PAON
6.0000
5.8000
5.9000
6.0
6.0000
RNBD
+ 4.6251499282
5.7000
AON
5.8000
5.9000
6.0000
Annes
Revenu national
brut disponible
(MM$)
1995
1570
282
22844000
1996
1580
268
22964000
1997
1432
239
22882000
1998
1482
267
23130000
1999
1480
274
23390000
2000
1345
264
24021000
2001
1356
262
24386000
2002
1462
270
24634000
2003
1810
331
24678000
2004
2083
395
24777000
2005
2170
427
24949000
2006
2296
471
25118000
2007
2627
567
25553000
2008
2882
622
25899000
2009
2668
496
25660000
2010
2617
495
25710000
RAPPORT DTAILL
Statistiques de la rgression
Coefficient de dterminat
0.985734662
Coefficient de dtermina
0.9716728238
Coefficient de dtermina
0.9673147967
Erreur-type
0.0215493232
Observations
16
Fth =
ANALYSE DE VARIANCE
Degr de libert
Rgression
Rsidus
Total
Coefficients
Erreur-type
Statistique t
Constante
Variable X 1
Variable X 2
6.2516414405
0.9189398494
-0.7204878647
4.1206566573
0.0799176173
0.5815934409
1.517146892
11.4985891838
-1.2388170396
Tth=
2.1603686565
log10(RNBD)
3.1959
3.1987
3.1559
3.1708
3.1703
3.1287
3.1323
3.1649
3.2577
3.3187
3.3365
3.3610
3.4195
3.4597
3.4262
3.4178
log10(FBCF)
2.4502
2.4281
2.3784
2.4265
2.4378
2.4216
2.4183
2.4314
2.5198
2.5966
2.6304
2.6730
2.7536
2.7938
2.6955
2.6946
log10(PAON)
7.3588
7.3610
7.3595
7.3642
7.3690
7.3806
7.3871
7.3915
7.3923
7.3940
7.3971
7.4000
7.4074
7.4133
7.4093
7.4101
19.4189038401
F
Valeur critique de F
222.9616291989 8.69603632E-011
Probabilit
Limite infrieure pour
Limite
seuil
suprieure
de confiance
Limite
pour=infrieure
seuil
95%de
Limite
confiance
pour
suprieure
seuil
= de
95%
confiance
pour seuil =
de95,0%
confiance = 95,0
0.1531655317
3.48088482E-008
0.2373154402
-2.6504960461
0.7462883339
-1.9769441051