Classical economist: economy move towards equilibrium at full
capacity and employment
Keynesian : C + I + G + (X M ) = AD. Equilibrium achieved when value of current production equals planned aggregate expenditures. Inherently unstable as prone to booms and busts. Changes in demand magnified by multiplier cause wild swings in economy. Monetariests: fluctuations in money supply cause fluctuations in real economic output and major cause of inflation is excessive growth in money supply. Supply of money in country: M1 : Cash in circulation, checking accounts (demand deposits), travelers checks , M2 : all M1, money market mutual funds, depts. In savings accounts, time dept of less than 100k Monetary base = bank reserves + money in circulation Interest rates: O/C of money. When I/R decreases, ppl more willing to hold money and when ir increase, ppl less willing to hold money. Quantity theory of money: MV = PY. Long run, Y and velocity dont change and an increase in money supply will lead to increase in price level. Neutrality of money: In LR, real variables wont change. Inflation: demand pull AD increase more than AS/ cost-push AS decrease due to increase in cost of pdtn. Phillips curve: inverse relationship between unemployment and inflation Nominal interest rates is the net result of inflation borrowers increase demand for funds since they want to borrow now compared to future and lenders reduce demand for funds as i/R too low to compensate for inflation risk. Auto stabilisers: budget deficits increase ( decrease) in recessions (booms): corporate profits: progressive income taxes, unemployment insurance program Open-end funds sell at nav ( current market value of ASSETS liabilities ) / no of shares outstanding. NAV usually below current market price because current value of funds assets higher than historical financial statements used in NAV calculation. plus any shareholder fees fund impose, cant be sold at secondary market whereas closed-end fund sells only at secondary market, price determined by supply and demand forces. Investment strategies: Style value, look for stocks incoorctly priced given assets and earnings low p/e ratios, pay higher
dividends/ growth focus on issuers future earnings potential, id
stocks offering potential for growing earnings at above-average rates. Sector strategy Index strategy: passive investing, lower mgt expense Global: diversified portfolio from any country throughout the globe Stable value: short term fixed income securities and guaranteed investment contracts issued by insurance coys Dollar-cost averaging: investor commits to invest a fixed dollar amt on a regular basis. Value averaging ETF are open end companies mirroring composition of standard indexes. Trade on a secondary market, redeemable in very large blocks. ETF are certificates that grant owenerhsip over part of a basket of individual stocks, trade at px that closely match underlying assets and unwind when investors no longer want them. Low fees compared to mutual funds, trade throughout the dayprices updated, dividends reinvested immediately. MAY be illiquid if light trading Real estate calculation: Cost approach: replacement cost of building and land Sales comparison: compare with similar real estates, may not have one that can be compared with Income approach: perpetuity discount trype of model. Net income/ market req rate of return. Discounted after-tax cash flow approach Formative stage financing: Angel investing idea stage to trans idea into biz plan and assess market potential Seed stage supports pdt dev/mkting efforts like research, first stage VC invest Early stage: move into operation but before commercial production and sales Later stage: before ipo aft commercial production and sales Mezzanine stage: IPO Exit strategies for private equity: Trade sale: sale of coy to strategic buyer like a competitor IPO: portfolio coy selling its shares including some or all of those held by pte equity firms to public investors as to have potential for highest price, mgt approval, publicity for pte equity firm but high trans costs, long lead time , high disclosure req Recapitalization: PEF maintains control. i/r lowPEF releverage and pay iself a div, prelude to later exit Secondary sales: sale to another pte equity firn/other invesots Liquidation/write-off
Exhibit 13.Basic Forms of Real Estate Investments and
Examples Debt
Equity
Priva te
Mortgages Construction lending
Direct ownership of real estate. Ownership c
ownership, joint ventures, real estate limite other commingled funds.
Publi c
Mortgage-backed securities (residential and commercial) Collateralized mortgage obligations
Shares in real estate corporations
Shares of real estate investment trusts
Limit order: instructions to a broker/exchange to obtain best price
immed avail when filling order but in no event accept px higher than a specified limit when buying or accept a price lower than a specified price when selling Stop loss order: trader has a specified stop price condition