Вы находитесь на странице: 1из 10

THE EVOLUTION OF LTE TO 5G

Global mobile Suppliers Association GSA


Joe Barrett
President GSA
joe.barrett@gsacom.com
www.gsacom.com

2015 Global mobile Suppliers Association

GLOBAL mobile SUPPLIERS ASSOCIATION


Promoting the Mobile Broadband Technology Roadmap

Evolution to LTE Report

From the telecoms industry and


adjacent markets

Updated Quarterly
Short technology reports
VoLTE, HD Voice, LTE Broadcast etc.

Device Database (GAMBoD)


Tracks Commercial Availability of LTE
devices
Tracks Device capability
Frequency, data rate, form factor etc.

GSA Executive 5G Vision


New report from GSA Executive
Committee

2015 Global mobile Suppliers Association

68,000 registered site users

Over 1 million GSA reports


downloaded over 5 years
Information papers, graphics,
Members and guest contributions

24,000 Social Media


Connections
LinkedIn, Twitter, Facebook
Technology discussion groups

NEW GSA WEB SITE

Launching in July
Easier to find reports
Faster downloads
New topics

LTE Broadcast
Small Cells
Cellular IoT & M2M
5G

New GSA Exec Report


5G Vision

Spectrum
2015 Global mobile Suppliers Association

MOBILE BROADBAND DRIVERS


Video killed the radio star

The migration from Voice centric to


Data centric networks is accelerating
55% growth in data traffic 2014-21051

Total&global&monthly&data&and&voice&
traf4ic&from&Q2&2010&to&Q1&20151&

Millennial Generation dont talk as


much as we did2
Voice traffic forecast to grow 19% to
20203
Data traffic forecast to grow over 340%
to 20203

9.2 billion subscriptions predicted by


20201
2015 Global mobile Suppliers Association

1"#Source#Ericsson#Mobility#Report#June#2015#
2"#Business#Insider#UK#
3"#GSA#EsAmate#based#on#Ericsson#Mobility#Report# 4

LTE IS THE FOUNDATION OF 5G

Rel$10'

Rel$11'

Rel$12'

Rel$13'

Rel$14'

Rel$15'

Rel$16'

LTE$Advanced'(4G)'
4G+'(Name'to'be'Agreed)'
'5G'
2010'

2012'

10x'Peak'Rate''1.3x'Cell'Edge'
Carrier'AggregaIon'
High'Order'MIMO'
Co$Channel'CoMP&ICIC'

2015 Global mobile Suppliers Association

2014'

2016'
30x'Capacity''10x'Cell$edge'
Hotspot'and'small'cells'
MulI$stream'aggregaIon'
3D'Beam'forming'
MulI$RAT'OperaIon'

2018'

2020'

1Gbps'Cell'Edge'
800x'Energy'eciency'
1000x'Capacity'
<'1ms'Latency'

Source#GSA#

MARKET & TECHNOLOGY UPDATE


MOBILE BROADBAND MARKET STATUS

th
is
or
ty

s
E
s,
ly
00

e
5
1
4
5
6
9

LTE Market Status


GSAs Evolution to LTE report APRIL 9, 2015

646 operators investing in LTE in 181 countries

607 operator commitments in 176 countries


39 pre-commitment trials in 5 more countries

393 commercially launched LTE networks


in 138 countries
(

incl. 54 LTE TDD (TD-LTE) launched in 34 countries

GSA forecasts 460 commercially launched


LTE networks by end 2015
2,919 LTE user devices announced
3,253 LTE user
devices
(April
2015) announced

Source: Status of the Ecosystem report 19 June 2015

497 million LTE subscriptions globally: Q4 2014


GSA www.gsacom.com

LTE subscriptions growth globally exceeded 3G in both Q3 and Q4 2014

LTE is the fastest developing mobile system


2015 Global mobile Suppliers Association
technology ever

3,253 LTE User Devices

LTE device frequency bands

GSA monitors and researches worldwide mobile


broadband developments and publishes facts,
statistics and trends. Over 400 LTE networks are
commercially launched globally (GSA: Evolution to
LTE report). GSA forecasts this figure will rise to
460 networks by end 2015. There were 635 million
LTE subscriptions globally by March 31, 2015.

LTE networks are commercially operating in over 20


bands (see chart Spectrum used in LTE
networks (FDD and TDD deployments) via the
link on http://www.gsacom.com

LTE USER DEVICES

1,132 devices support CAT-4 max 150Mbps


3,253 LTE user devices including frequency and
operator variants are announced by 305 suppliers
according to GSAs research. 1,364 new devices
have been announced since July 2014 i.e. 72%
growth. The number of suppliers grew 81% in the
same period (July 2014 = 168 suppliers).

The table below confirms the bands that are most


supported by the devices ecosystem. Note that
several devices are multiband and/or multimode.
LTE FDD
1800 MHz band 3
2600 MHz band 7
2100 MHz band 1
800 MHz band 20
AWS band 4
800/1800/2600 tri-band
850 MHz band 5
900 MHz band 8
700 MHz bands 12 or 17
1900 MHz band 2
700 MHz band 13
1900 MHz band 25
APT700 band 28
700 MHz band 12

1,543 devices
1,381 devices
1,185 devices
812 devices
727 devices
739 devices
684 devices
668 devices
650 devices
535 devices
457 devices
194 devices
139 devices
106 devices

LTE TDD
2300 MHz band 40
2600 MHz band 38
1900 MHz band 39
2600 MHz band 41
3500 MHz band 42/43

869 devices
752 devices
630 devices
625 devices
32 devices

3,253 LTE user devices - form factors


June 2015 GSA Global mobile Suppliers Association

The smartphone is the largest LTE device


category. 1,783 smartphones including operator and
frequency variants are announced, giving an
improved 54.8% share of all LTE device types. LTE
tablets and personal hotspots are also fast-growing.

LTE-Advanced is taking hold

June 2015 GSA Global mobile Suppliers Association


Note 1: Manufacturers have not declared operating frequencies

or fallback modes for some products


1,132 devices support Cat 4 (max
150 Mbps downlink)

Note 2: Certain products are carrier or country specific and are


therefore not available in all markets

= 35% of all LTE devices

LTE / 3G fallback support

AND a 63% increase since Feb 2015

90% of all LTE devices can operate on a 3G


technology, with breakdown as follows:

Includes 108 Cat 6 terminals (151 300 Mbps max downlink)

2,327 LTE devices can operate on either

612 LTE devices support EV-DO


569 LTE devices support TD-SCDMA

HSPA, HSPA+ or DC-HSPA+ networks


AND a 4x increase since
Feb
2015
1,383 LTE devices support DC-HSPA+

2015 Global mobile Suppliers Association

90% of all LTE devices can


operate on a 3G technology
(2,327 on HSPA systems)

98.5% of LTE phones are multimode/3G capable


43.7% of LTE phones support DC-HSPA+

219 VoLTE capable devices


including 198 smartphones have
been announced
1,210 LTE TDD devices
i.e. 37.2% of all LTE devices
Source GSA: Status of the LTE Ecosystem report 19 June 2015
7

PROGRESS TO 5G
Data rates and Spectrum

Performance targets for 4.5G (Naming to be agreed by 3GPP)


More capacity

Lower latency

> 1 Gbps

10 ms

Massive
connections

100K per cell

More spectrum will be needed for 5G


WRC15 is considering spectrum allocation below 6GHz
WRC19 will consider spectrum allocation above 6GHz
Re-farming existing spectrum to 5G will likely be needed

The Mobile Broadband user experience is increasing year on year


VoLTE and VoWiFi will increase in usage
2015 Global mobile Suppliers Association

CONCLUSIONS

LTE is now mainstream


460 networks anticipate by end of 2015
1.46 billion LTE subscriptions by end 2016

LTE-Advanced is being deployed rapidly

Due to competitive and commercial pressures


Carrier Aggregation higher data rates
HD-Voice/VoLTE for high quality audio over IP
LTE Broadcast for more efficient DL delivery

LTE expanding technology reach


LTE in Unlicensed bands
LTE small cells for enterprise and home use cases

User Experience is becoming 5G like


GSA Executive Committee 5G Vision report due end of 2015
2015 Global mobile Suppliers Association

Global mobile Suppliers Association

Promoting the Mobile Broadband Technology Roadmap

2015 Global mobile Suppliers Association

10