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UNIVERSITI TUNKU ABDUL RAHMAN
ACADEMIC YEAR 2015 / 2016
TEST 1
UDBB1243 BIOSTATISTICS / UDPG1643 ANCILLARY STATISTICS /
UDDD1244 BIOSTATISTICS AND BASIC EPIDEMIOLOGY
9 JULY 2015

TIME: 8.15 AM 9.45 AM


BACHELOR OF SCIENCE (HONS) BIOTECHNOLOGY
BACHELOR OF SCIENCE (HONS) MICROBIOLOGY
BACHELOR OF SCIENCE (HONS) BIOMEDICAL SCIENCE

Instruction to Candidates:
There are total of SIX (6) questions.
You are to answer ALL questions.
Marks allocated for each part of the questions are indicated in brackets.
The total marks for this paper is 100 marks.

Marking Scheme

Questions

Marks

1
2
3
4
5
6
Total
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2
UDBB1243 BIOSTATISTICS / UDPG1643 ANCILLARY STATISTICS /
UDDD1244 BIOSTATISTICS AND BASIC EPIDEMIOLOGY
Q1.

The following table lists the number of strikeouts per game (K / game) for each of the
30 Major League baseball teams during the 2010 regular season. Note that Florida
Marlins are now Miami Marlins.
Team
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
Colorado Rockies
Detroit Tigers
Florida Marlins
Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
(a)
(b)

K / game
9.44
7.04
6.52
7.04
7.63
5.69
7.52
7.31
7.86
7.08
8.49
6.33
5.59
6.60
7.31

Team
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
New York Mets
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners
St. Louis Cardinals
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
Washington Nationals

K / game
7.51
5.97
6.76
7.01
6.55
6.57
7.45
7.30
6.78
7.31
6.34
7.98
6.09
7.19
7.53

Construct a frequency distribution table. Take 5.50 as the lower boundary of


the first class and 0.8 as the width of each class.
(10 marks)
Prepare the relative frequency and percentage distribution columns for the
frequency distribution table of part a.
(10 marks)
[Total : 20 marks]

Solution:

(5 marks)

30
(5 marks)

1
(5 marks)

100
(5 marks)

This question paper consists of 6 questions on 10 printed pages.

3
UDBB1243 BIOSTATISTICS / UDPG1643 ANCILLARY STATISTICS /
UDDD1244 BIOSTATISTICS AND BASIC EPIDEMIOLOGY
Q2.

(a)

The test scores for a large statistics class have an unknown distribution with a
mean of 70 and a standard deviation of 10.
(i)
Find k so that at least 50% of the scores are within k standard
deviations of the mean.
(3 marks)
(ii)
Find k so that at most 10% of the scores are more than k standard
deviations above the mean.
(4 marks)

(b)

Environmental Department of Perak monitors the air quality of the state every
year. The quality indices for 30 randomly selected weeks in year 2014 were
listed as follows:
20 25 78 75 65 50 45 30 21 32 33 40 35 85 71
65 64 57 59 40 33 21 20 22 22 34 35 21 20 19
(i)
Estimate the average and standard deviation of the air quality index.
(6 marks)
(ii)
Comment on the symmetry of the data by using appropriate values.
(7 marks)
[Total : 20 marks]

Solution:
70 , 10
(a)
1
1 2 0.50 (1 mark)
(i)
k
1
0.50 (1 mark)
k2
k2 2
k 1.414 (1 mark)
(ii)

1
0.90 (2 marks)
k2

1
0.10 (1 mark)
k2
k 3.162 (1 mark)

(b)

(i)

(2 marks)

(4 marks)

This question paper consists of 6 questions on 10 printed pages.

4
UDBB1243 BIOSTATISTICS / UDPG1643 ANCILLARY STATISTICS /
UDDD1244 BIOSTATISTICS AND BASIC EPIDEMIOLOGY
(ii)

(1 mark)

(1 mark)
(1 mark)

0.9867

(3 marks)

(1 mark)

Q3.

(a)

A small country bought oil from three different sources in one week, as shown
in the following table.
Source
Mexico
Kuwait
Spot Market

Barrels Purchased
1000
200
100

Price per Barrel ($)


95
92
99

Find the mean price per barrel for all the barrels of oil purchased in that week.
(5 marks)
(b)

On a 300-mile auto trip, Lisa averaged 52 miles per hour (mph) for the first
100 miles, 65 mph for the second 100 miles and 58 mph for the last 100 miles.
(i)
How long did the 300-mile trip take?
(5 marks)
(ii)
Could you find Lisas average speed for the 300-mile trip by
calculating (52 + 65 + 58) / 3? If not, find the correct average speed for
the trip.
(5 marks)

(c)

Jeffrey is serving on a six-person jury for a personal-injury lawsuit. All six


jurors want to award damages to the plaintiff but cannot agree on the amount
of the award. The jurors have decided that each of them will suggest an
amount that he or she thinks should be awarded; then they will use the mean
of these six numbers as the award to recommend to the plaintiff. Jeffrey thinks
the plaintiff should receive $20,000, but he thinks the mean of the other five
jurors recommendations will be about $12,000. He decides to suggest an
inflated amount so that the mean for all six jurors is $20,000. What amount
would Jeffrey have to suggest?
(5 marks)
[Total : 20 marks]

This question paper consists of 6 questions on 10 printed pages.

5
UDBB1243 BIOSTATISTICS / UDPG1643 ANCILLARY STATISTICS /
UDDD1244 BIOSTATISTICS AND BASIC EPIDEMIOLOGY
Solution:
(a)

(3 marks)
(2 mark)

(b)

(i)

(3 marks)
(1 mark)
(1 mark)

(ii)
(2 marks)

(3 marks)

(c)

(3 marks)
(1 mark)
(1 mark)

This question paper consists of 6 questions on 10 printed pages.

6
UDBB1243 BIOSTATISTICS / UDPG1643 ANCILLARY STATISTICS /
UDDD1244 BIOSTATISTICS AND BASIC EPIDEMIOLOGY
Q4.

(a)

A furniture store sells living room chairs which are available in 5 styles, 10
types of fabrics and 8 colors. In how many ways can a customer buy a living
room chair?
(1 mark)

(b)

A quiz consists of 6 multiple choice questions, each with five choices. In how
many ways can a student mark the answers to all the questions by marking all
of them incorrectly?
(1 mark)

(c)

A shopper wants to visit three of five department stores and wants to decide
which stores she will visit first, second and third. She will not visit the same
store twice. In how many ways can she select the three stores?
(2 marks)

(d)

Suppose you are to choose a basketball team (five players) from eight
available athletes. How many ways can you choose a team composed of two
guards, two forwards and a centre? (Assume each position was distinct.)
(2 marks)
[Total : 6 marks]

Solution:
(a)
No. of ways = 5 10 8 = 400 (1 mark)
(b)

No. of ways = 4 4 4 4 4 4 46 4096 (1 mark)

(c)

No. of ways = 5C3 3 2 1 60 or 5 P3 60 (2 marks)

(d)

No. of ways = C2 C2 C1 1680 or


8

P5
1680 (2 marks)
2!2!

This question paper consists of 6 questions on 10 printed pages.

7
UDBB1243 BIOSTATISTICS / UDPG1643 ANCILLARY STATISTICS /
UDDD1244 BIOSTATISTICS AND BASIC EPIDEMIOLOGY
Q5. (a)

Suppose the events A and B are mutually exclusive and complementary events,
such that P A 0.75 and P B 0.25 . Consider another event C such that
P C A 0.3 and P C B 0.5 . Find:

(b)

(i)

P AC ,

(3 marks)

(ii)

P B C and

(2 marks)

(iii)

P C .

(4 marks)

If P D 0.9 and P E 0.8 , show that P D E 0.7 .

(5 marks)
[Total : 14 marks]

Solution:
(a)
P A B 0 , P A 0.75 , P B 0.25
(i)

P C A 0.3
P C A
0.3 (1 mark)
P A
P C A 0.3 0.75 (1 mark)
P A C 0.225 (1 mark)

(ii)

P C B 0.5

P C B
0.5
P B
P C B 0.5 0.25 (1 mark)
P B C 0.125 (1 mark)
0.3

(iii)
0.75

C
0.25

0.5

(1 mark)

P C P A P C A P B P C B (1 mark)
P AC PB C
0.225 0.125 (1 mark)
0.35 (1 mark)
(b)

0 P D E 1 (1 mark)

P D P E P D E 1 (1 mark)
0.9 0.8 P D E 1 (1 mark)
P D E 1 0.9 0.8 (1 mark)
P D E 0.7 (1 mark)

This question paper consists of 6 questions on 10 printed pages.

8
UDBB1243 BIOSTATISTICS / UDPG1643 ANCILLARY STATISTICS /
UDDD1244 BIOSTATISTICS AND BASIC EPIDEMIOLOGY
Q6.

(a)

The probability that a certain door is locked is 0.6. The key to the door is one
of five unidentified keys hanging on a key rack. You randomly select two keys
before approaching the door. What is the probability that you can open the
door without returning for another key?
(10 marks)

(b)

A laboratory blood test is 95% effective in detecting a certain disease when


the disease is, in fact, present. However, the test also yields a false positive
result for 1% of the healthy person. If 0.5% of the population actually has the
disease, what is the probability a person has the disease given that the test
result is positive.
(10 marks)
[Total : 20 marks]
Solution:
(a)
Let L = the door is locked
K = the key to unlock the door

1
5
0.6
0.4

4
5

1
4

3
4

K
(3 marks)

P open door P L P L K P L K K (3 marks)

(b)

1
4 1
0.4 0.6 0.6 (3 marks)
5
5 4
0.64 (1 mark)
Let D = the event that the tested person has the disease.
E = the event that the test result is positive.

0.95
0.005

0.995

Given P E D 0.95 (1 mark)

P E D 0.01 (1 mark)

D
0.01

P D 0.005 (1 mark)

D
E

P D E (1 mark)

PD E
(2 mark)
PE
P D .P E D

P D . P E D P D .P E D
0.005 0.95

0.005 0.95 0.995 0.01

(3 marks)

95
(1 mark)
294

This question paper consists of 6 questions on 10 printed pages.

9
UDBB1243 BIOSTATISTICS / UDPG1643 ANCILLARY STATISTICS /
UDDD1244 BIOSTATISTICS AND BASIC EPIDEMIOLOGY
Appendix
Some Useful Formula

L lower boundary od median class


N= Total number of data
F
Cumulative frequency before median class
f = frequency of median class C= Median class size

!
(1-)100% CI for

(1-)100% CI for

(1-)100% CI for

(1-)100% CI for p

2
1

2
2

(1-)100% CI for 1-2


1

(1-)100% CI for

This question paper consists of 6 questions on 10 printed pages.

10
UDBB1243 BIOSTATISTICS / UDPG1643 ANCILLARY STATISTICS /
UDDD1244 BIOSTATISTICS AND BASIC EPIDEMIOLOGY

1
1

2
2

(1-)100% CI for

This question paper consists of 6 questions on 10 printed pages.

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