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IDC OPINION
Datacenters are, and always have been, investments that evolve as the industry
changes, new technologies emerge, and application needs change. However, today,
datacenter managers are facing a daunting future that may not include any
meaningful expansion of their datacenters in terms of floor space, yet their existing
datacenter assets may need dramatic modernization in preparation for tomorrow's
computing models. In detail:
The same evolving technologies that are at the forefront of today's conversation
will potentially bring dramatic change to today's datacenters. Just a few of these
technologies include the broader concept of cloud computing hosted by thirdparty service providers, the eventual movement to a platform-as-a-service
(PaaS) compute model, and the need for a fully virtualized dynamic datacenter
that can federate with external resources on an as-needed basis, creating new
challenges to network and storage infrastructure, and the related impact on the
system infrastructure software layers.
Today's datacenters continue to have a diverse infrastructure in use. It is not
uncommon to have at least three, and potentially four (or more), architectures in
use. Those architectures would include Windows on x86, Linux on x86, and Unix
on RISC or EPIC. It is not so unusual to also find mainframe-class systems or
older-generation distributed systems like IBM i, HP OpenVMS, or Unisys
ClearPath systems in use. Linux may be in use aboard architectures other than
x86, including POWER and IBM z.
For most datacenters, the path toward tomorrow's compute paradigm mandates
some investment and frequently significant investment in standardization
and consolidation as well as a more robust adoption of enterprise virtualization
software, along with cloud system software to extend that virtualized
infrastructure into a true private cloud environment. Realistically, before a
customer can truly utilize a private cloud, organizations must standardize and
minimize the variability in their existing environment.
Linux has emerged as one of the key elements to a modernization program for a
datacenter. The role Linux plays is one of cross-architecture standardization to a
single operating system (OS) as well as a target platform for migrated workloads
from Unix and other operating systems.
SITUATION OVERVIEW
The computer industry has a history of reinventing itself, and it's not done yet.
One of the trends that we have seen time and again in the computer industry
which is actually not surprising if you have ever read Clayton Christensen's landmark
book The Innovator's Dilemma is that new technologies come along and present
disruptive change to the incumbent players and products. New products typically win
on the basis of low price at a vastly lower level of functionality when competing
against the previously dominant products. Over time, these new low-cost solutions
move upmarket, driving incumbent players even further upmarket.
History also shows that every 1020 years, a fundamental architectural shift takes
place for compute infrastructure. These shifts have often manifested themselves as a
competitive solution that at first appears to be vastly inferior across multiple
metrics, but that initial inferiority comes with desirable attributes that the market may
find to be unavailable, or unaffordable, from the incumbent platforms.
Over time, the competitive platforms improve and evolve, although not necessarily
into an exact replacement for the previous solution. Indeed, these platforms end up
inventing new paradigms, and they can be quick to embrace new ways to solve old
problems, which over time allows these new platforms to differentiate themselves in
multiple dimensions and eventually brings far greater functionality than the solution
they followed to market.
At the same time, in the computer industry, it is rare for new solutions to fully
eradicate the need for previous solutions. Indeed, if new entrants were to
methodically chase down incumbents, it would reduce the agility and innovation in the
new entrants and sentence them to early obsolescence. Instead, each new
technology tends to both supplant and supplement existing solutions. There are
parallels for this type of replacement/improvement cycle it is not unlike how radio
supplanted and competed with newspapers and how television subsequently
supplanted and over time competed more and more directly with radio.
IDC segments modern computing into three separate paradigms:
1st Platform: The 1st Platform is mainframe- and host-centric computing; user
access is through fixed-function terminals. The 1st Platform dates back to the
dawn of commercial information technology systems, emerging in the 1960s. As
will always be the case, the emergence of subsequent platforms has not totally
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Figure 1 provides a graphical depiction of the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd Platform waves.
FIGURE 1
The 1st, 2nd, and 3rd Platforms
Trillions of Things
Billions
of users
Millions
of
Intelligent industry solutions
CIOs
Apps
LOBs
Enterprises
SMBs
SPs
Consumers
Emerging
markets
Hundreds
of millions
of users
3rd Platform
Mobile broadband
Big data/analytics
Social business
Cloud services
Services
Information
Content
Experiences
2nd Platform
LAN/Internet
Tens of
thousands
of apps
Client/server
PC
Millions
of users
1st Platform
Thousands
of apps
Mainframe Terminal
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Datacenter Modernization
While datacenter modernization is a key step to a move to embrace the 3rd Platform, the
reality is that datacenter modernization is an activity that has been going on for almost as
long as datacenters have been in use. The precise activities that are being completed as
part of a datacenter modernization project have changed over the years, and today's
activities are heavily focused around consolidation and standardization. Datacenter
modernization may include some or all of the following activities:
Hardware standardization. In recent years, we have seen many organizations
working toward standardizing their hardware on x86 servers in either rack-optimized
or blade configurations. The belief among many organizations is that x86 offers
good price/performance attributes. Availability and scalability of x86 servers trailed
competitive offerings in the past, but today, Intel, AMD, and server OEMs are
making good progress in closing the gap with competitive platforms. While we do
not expect that x86-based solutions will ever fully match RISC- and EPIC-based
systems in terms of scale and availability, customers are finding that with the right
hardware architectural design and the right system software stack, they can achieve
suitable levels of reliability and availability to meet the majority of their needs.
Software standardization. Customers are realizing that software complexity
leads to higher costs. The best way to reduce complexity is to reduce the
variability of software installations. It is difficult if not impossible to reduce
the number of software stacks to 23 combinations, but for many organizations
where there may be dozens, if not hundreds, of combinations of infrastructure
software stacks in use, even reducing that matrix down to 10 or 15 combinations
represents a massive achievement. Organizations that are able to further
standardize for at least some layers of their software stack are likely to see
incremental benefits that pay back in meaningful ways.
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FUTURE OUTLOOK
One of the key trends over the past decade has been the continued growth of Linux
server operating environment (SOE) subscriptions and deployments. Linux emerged
in the 1990s and was initially avoided by many datacenter managers, but today, Linux
has already become a key technology deployed in enterprise datacenters as well as
in service provider datacenters. Customers are finding measurable business value
from deploying Linux as one of their primary SOEs. IDC's primary research on
operating environments finds that Linux has become one of two operating systems
that will serve as the basis for most of the 3rd Platform deployments in the future.
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Globalization of Corporate IT
But there is another driver, the IT manager adds. "Three or four years ago, we got a
new CIO. At the time, the way IT operated was not global. We might have plant IT
people doing their own thing and we have 300 plants around the world. We might
have salespeople and different business units doing their own thing. There has been
a big focus over the past three to five years to globalize IT."
Another driver was the plan to do a global SAP implementation. The company has
two main datacenters in the Midwest. Those datacenters are about a mile apart and
are run as active-active configurations, synchronized over dedicated fiber that the
company ran between the sites. The company standardized on blade servers four
years ago and has been rolling out new deployments on that architecture. The two
datacenters are used for mirroring, clustering, and replication and are currently
provisioned to run at about 50% utilization. The datacenter includes HP hardware,
NetApp and EMC storage, and Cisco switch technology. Today, there are about
2,000 employees around the world using the SAP system.
In parallel with the move to the blade architecture, the company implemented a
virtualization strategy, and now, it is about 70% virtualized, accounting for 300 physical
servers of the company's overall inventory. Today, the company has three primary
operating systems in use, with the most heavily used products being Red Hat Enterprise
Linux and Windows Server 2008.
The company's modernization efforts have heavily landed on Red Hat Enterprise
Linux. Where Linux accounted for about 50 servers four years ago, today, the
company is at 1,400 Red Hat Enterprise Linux servers, including both virtual and
physical instances thanks in part to the SAP rollout. In the corporate datacenter,
the company has just under 5,000 virtual and physical servers in use, while globally,
the number expands to a total of 8,000 servers. "In general, we try and stay fairly
current operating systemwise," says the IT manager.
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Anything beyond two years is pure speculation." Storage is a little more predictable, if
not robust, with growth running at about 5060% year over year.
CHALLENGES/OPPORTUNITIES
Datacenter modernization is a logical goal to pursue, but logic and practical realities
are not always one and the same. Challenges and opportunities associated with
datacenter modernization include:
Standardization requires change. The end game of a standardized software
stack, running on a standardized virtual machine, offers lower capex and opex
costs. However, there is cost associated with migrating to a standardized
infrastructure. There is opportunity for customers in that there is a payback
associated with an investment in infrastructure improvement and modernization.
A modernized infrastructure is more compatible with public cloud. When
going to a service provider for an IaaS or a PaaS solution, the more modern and
standard that a company's IT is, the easier (and less expensive) it will be to move
to a public offering. While not every organization is in a rush to move to public
cloud infrastructure, having the technology in place to do so when the time
comes can be an advantage.
It is about more than the OS. Standardization and modernization apply to the
hardware, virtualization infrastructure, and operating system. But modernization
can go well beyond those basic infrastructure layers. Modernization means
deploying modern application frameworks, management tools, and cloud system
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CONCLUSION
IT modernization extends the capabilities and boundaries that a platform can support.
But it also extends the flexibility and applicability of a platform's future use scenarios.
IDC believes that as the industry evolves, progressive customers will modernize and,
in the process, standardize their IT infrastructures.
A modern IT infrastructure is better aligned with cloud computing and is more able to
move to a PaaS or an IaaS deployment scenario, when and if an organization wants
to move there. Modern IT infrastructure is more likely to support key technologies
such as datacenter-to-cloud VPN connectivity, directory federation, and storage
migration.
For most datacenters, the path toward tomorrow's compute paradigm mandates some
investment and frequently significant investment in standardization and
consolidation as well as a more robust adoption of enterprise virtualization software,
along with cloud system software to extend that virtualized infrastructure into a true
private cloud environment.
Linux has emerged as one of the key elements to a modernization program for a
datacenter. The role Linux plays is one of cross-architecture standardization to a
single operating system as well as a target platform for migrated workloads from Unix
and other operating systems. Organizations that have aging infrastructures need to
be considering the necessity and urgency of IT modernization.
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Copyright 2013 IDC. Reproduction without written permission is completely forbidden.
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