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Executive summary
The Central Examination Board (CEB) has now completed its fourth cycle of
overseeing first sit assessments in the three knowledge areas of the Bar Professional
Training Course (BPTC).
The confirmed post-scale outcomes of the 2014/2015 first sit centralised assessments
following review of cohort performance by the CEB are as follows:
Professional
Ethics
Number of
Candidates
Passing MCQ
Passing SAQ
Passing Overall
Criminal
Litigation,
Evidence and
Sentencing
Number of
Candidates
Passing MCQ
Passing SAQ
Passing Overall
Civil Litigation,
Evidence and
Sentencing
Number of
Candidates
Passing MCQ
Passing SAQ
Passing Overall
2015 First
Sit *
2014 First
Sit *
2013 First
Sit *
2012 First
Sit *
Change
2014 to
2015
1572
1649
1722
1591
-77
91.5%
58.0%
56.7%
81.0%
65.6%
59.6%
94.3%
89.5%
86.4%
92.6%
88.5%
84.9%
10.5%
-7.6%
-2.9%
1483
1586
1719
1569
-103
83.3%
64.2%
62.5%
84.1%
78.2%
72.8%
88.9%
69.9%
68.2%
88.7%
77.8%
74.7%
-0.8%
-14.0%
-10.3%
1595
1663
1768
1568
-68
71.3%
65.0%
58.0%
68.6%
67.8%
57.4%
73.2%
61.5%
56.2%
83.7%
73.5%
68.0%
2.7%
-2.8%
0.6%
(*Although the first sit assessment, a number of candidates will have undertaken the
assessments on a deferred or referred basis.)
The first sit all-Provider post scale pass rates for 2014/15 present a mixed picture
when compared with the previous year. Professional Ethics MCQ all-Provider pass
rates and Civil Litigation MCQ all-Provider pass rates are up compared to 2013/14,
2
but all other MCQ and SAQ all-Provider pass rates are down. In terms of combined
pass rates (MCQ and SAQ) for the three knowledge areas, all-Provider pass rates are
largely unchanged on the previous year in Professional Ethics and Civil Litigation, but
are noticeably lower in respect of Criminal Litigation. A more detailed analysis is
contained in the main report.
A number of general points should be borne in mind when considering the results data:
Knowledge area assessment pass rates in the above table indicate the
aggregated percentage of candidates passing an assessment across all
Provider institutions.
All data set out in the body of the report has been presented so as to preserve
the anonymity of Provider institutions.
There is no pre-scale data for 2010/11 as this was pre-CEB and all knowledge
area assessments were set and marked by individual Provider institutions.
Where Provider trend analysis data is used in this Report it will only include
Providers who have had cohorts across all four assessment cycles. This
impacts on trend analysis data for Kaplan (last full intake in 2013/14) and BPP
Manchester where the BPTC was offered for the first time in 2013/14. Where
such data is excluded the commentary on the data table will note this.
1. Context
1.1 The 2010/11 academic year saw the first round of assessments under the BPTC
regime (replacing the BVC) in the wake of the Wood Report (July 2008). For 2010/11
all Providers were required to assess candidates in Professional Ethics, Civil Litigation,
Remedies & Evidence, and Criminal Litigation, Evidence & Sentencing (often referred
to as the knowledge areas) by means of MCQs and SAQs. Together these three
modules represent 25% of the BPTC (i.e. 30 credits out of 120). For 2010/11 the
knowledge area assessments were set and marked by the Providers. Centralising
these assessments was a key recommendation of the Wood Report, and the Central
Examinations Board (CEB) was established to oversee this change on behalf of the
Bar Standards Board (BSB). 2011/12 was the first year of operation for the system of
centralised examinations for the knowledge areas on the BPTC. No changes were
made to the format of assessment, but the setting of the assessments was undertaken
independently of the Providers by a team of CEB examiners appointed by the BSB.
1.2 In each knowledge area candidates are required to attempt a multiple choice
question (MCQ) test, and a short answer question (SAQ) test. In the Civil and
Criminal papers the MCQ comprises 40 questions and the SAQ 5 questions. In
Professional Ethics the MCQ comprises 20 questions and the SAQ 3 questions. All
questions are compulsory and the pass mark in each paper is 60%. The marks for the
MCQ and SAQ papers are combined to provide a candidate with an overall mark in
each of the knowledge areas. Candidates have to achieve the pass mark of 60% in
both elements of assessment, there being no scope for the aggregation of marks
below 60% between MCQ and SAQ scores to achieve the minimum 60% pass mark
overall.
3
1.3 The assessment process is overseen by the CEB whose members are appointed
by the BSB. The CEB comprises a Chair, teams of examiners (a Chief Examiner and
two Assistant Examiners for each knowledge area), an independent observer, an
independent psychometrician and senior staff from the BSB. The Chair and the
examiners contribute a mix of both academic and practitioner experience.
1.4 From the academic year 2011/12 onwards the CEB has had responsibility for
setting the knowledge area assessments and confirming the knowledge area cohort
marks for each of the Provider institutions. In confirming marks for cohorts of
candidates the CEB is concerned to ensure that a consistent measure of achievement
has been applied across all Providers, and that proper account has been taken of any
relevant factors that may have had a bearing on the performance of a cohort of
candidates. As a result the CEB has the discretion to scale cohort marks (upwards or
downwards) if it feels there are issues relating to all candidates, or a statistically
relevant sub-cohort of candidates, that justify such intervention. In confirming the
marks for MCQ and SAQ papers the CEB does not address the combined effect of the
marks in terms of whether or not a candidate has passed a knowledge area overall,
or where a candidate falls in terms of grade boundaries.
1.5 Once the CEB has confirmed the MCQ and SAQ marks for each cohort of
candidates at each Provider the marks are distributed to the Providers where they feed
into the individual BPTC student profiles considered at the Provider award and
progression examination boards. It is at the Provider examination boards that issues
relating to individual candidates such as extenuating circumstances or academic
misconduct are considered.
1.6 For 2014/15 there were 8 Provider institutions offering the BPTC across 11
centres:
BPP Manchester came on stream as an assessment centre for the first time in
2013/14, and Kaplan recruited its last intake in 2013/14 (although it had a very small
number of referred and deferred candidates in the 2014/15 first sit cohort).
Provider cohort results contained in the report have been anonymised. Providers are
identified by numbers in the graphs of cohort performance featured in this report, and
the allocation to a Provider of a number will vary from one graph to another depending
on the baseline adopted for the comparison Provider cohort performance.
2.3 All examinations had a two oclock start time. In any case where a Provider
identified candidates as having special assessment arrangements necessitating a
start time earlier than that of the main cohort, the relevant candidates were not allowed
to leave their assessment area until the commencement of the main cohort
assessment, and secure delivery and collection arrangements were put in place for all
examination materials.
2.4 In exceptional circumstances candidates can be allowed to attempt the
assessments at locations overseas. The onus is placed on the Provider institution to
ensure that a secure assessment centre is available in these cases, and the BSB
requires the start time of the examination at the overseas centre to be the same (or
5
knowledge areas, with a requirement to flag any issues that should be considered by
the CEB as possible grounds for intervention in determining the marks to be confirmed.
4. How the CEB reviewed the results
4.1 Two sub-boards were constituted to review the results in each of the three
knowledge areas, one to look at MCQ results and one to look at SAQ results. Each
sub-board was chaired by the CEB Chair, and attended by the relevant knowledge
area examiners, and an independent psychometrician.
4.2 At each sub-board the pre-scale MCQ and SAQ results for the current, and
previous first sit rounds were noted, in particular the aggregated all Provider pass
rate (i.e. the percentage of candidates passing across all Providers combined), and
the pass rates at each Provider.
4.3 Other key sources of information available to the sub-boards included:
4.4 On the basis of the above evidence, and as advised by the independent
psychometrician, the CEB sub-boards formulated a series of proposals, where
required, for the scaling of cohort marks to be considered at the final CEB meeting.
The CEB recognises that there are a multiplicity of approaches to cohort scaling and
operates within the general principles set out in the scaling protocol adopted following
consultation with the Providers. Amongst the options open to the CEB are:
4.5 The final CEB Board meeting for the 2014/15 first sit examinations, held on 26
June 2015, considered the recommendations of the sub-boards in respect of the
knowledge area MCQ and SAQ cohort marks. The meeting was attended by the
relevant examiners, key BSB officers, an independent psychometrician and an
independent observer. The function of the final CEB board is to test the
recommendations of the sub-boards, consider whether further sampling of SAQs may
be necessary, and to confirm the MCQ/SAQ cohort marks subject to any outstanding
QA issues related to on-going sampling. Once cohort marks are confirmed by the CEB
they cannot subsequently be altered by Provider institutions. The process for
challenging marks confirmed by the CEB is outlined in section 16 (below).
5. 2014/15 first sit results in Professional Ethics: MCQs
5.1 MCQ pre-scale first sit pass rates all Providers 2011/12 to 2014/15
Professional Ethics
MCQ pre-scale All-Provider pass
rate
2014/15
2013/14
2012/13
2011/12
91.5%
81.0%
86.4%
92.6%
The pre-scale all-Provider pass rate for Professional Ethics MCQ is significantly up on
2013/14 showing a rise in excess of 10%, the highest performance level since the
2011/12 first sits.
Pass rate %
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
1
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
This table indicates the range of pre-scale pass rates for the Professional Ethics MCQs
across all Providers, showing no MCQs with a pre-scale pass rate of below 40%
(compared with 3 in 2013/14).
5.3 Final exam board review of the Professional Ethics MCQ results
Question
MCQ 4
MCQ 9
Intervention
applied
No
intervention
No
intervention
CEB rationale
48.4% all-Provider pass rate, very good discrimination
between candidates. The feedback from Providers was
considered and the Board agreed no further action was
required.
The Board decided there was no reason for intervention.
40.5% all-Provider pass rate, with strong discrimination.
It was noted that 6 Provider cohorts had pass rates
below 40% for this MCQ. The Provider feedback was
considered and addressed by the Chief Examiner, who
explained that the question covered the ethical
principles according to the Code, rather than what the
Providers noted to be common practice. The feedback
from Providers did not give grounds for intervention as
students have not gained the experience in the field to
enable them to be aware of these practices. The Board
agreed that distractor A worked well.
The Board decided there was no reason for intervention.
9
No
intervention
MCQ 16
The Final Exam Board noted the careful consideration of the statistical data, the written
feedback from Providers, and the written feedback from the external examiners that
had taken place at the Professional Ethics MCQ exam board, and the
recommendations therefrom. The comments from the Chief Examiner for Professional
Ethics regarding the impact of the new handbook on the setting of MCQs were noted.
Having considered this evidence and the deliberations of the MCQ Board the Final
Board determined that no interventions were justified.
5.4 MCQ post-scale first sit pass rates all Providers 2011/12 to 2014/15
Professional Ethics
MCQ post-scale All-Provider pass
rate
2014/15
2013/14
2012/13
2011/12
91.5%
81.0%
94.3%
92.6%
Given the absence of intervention, the post-scale MCQ first sit pass rate for 2014/15
remains at 91.5%. As indicated above, this is a noticeably higher figure compared
with the post-scale MCQ rates for the previous year, but in line with 2012/13 and
2011/12.
5.5 MCQ first sit pass rates across all Providers 2014/15
Pass rate %
95
90
85
80
75
70
1
Provider
10
10
11
Providers are ranged in order of pass rates (high to low) according to their
performance. Hence Provider 1 had the highest pass rate at 98%, Provider 11 the
lowest at just under 79%, a range of 18% between top and bottom.
5.6 MCQ post-scale first sit pass rates by Provider 2011/12 to 2014/15
Pass rate %
10
Provider
MCQ 2011/12 post-scale
Providers are ranked 1 to 10 based on their 2011/12 post-scale first sit Professional
Ethics MCQ pass rates, showing how their 2012/13, 2013/14 and 2014/15 pass rates
compare. Hence Provider 1 achieved a pass rate of over 98% in 2011/12, over 96%
in 2012/13, dropped to 80% in 2013/14, and recovered with a pass rate of 95% in
2014/15. Provider 7 was the only Provider to record a lower cohort pass rate for
2014/15 compared to 2013/14. Provider 10 recorded a notable 20% increase in pass
rates compared to 2013/14. Provider 5 has the best 4-year average pass rate at over
93%, whilst the weakest, on average, over the same period is Provider 7 with an
average pass rate just under 88%. Note that results for the BPP Manchester cohort
are not reflected in this table as there is no data pre 2013/14 and results for Kaplan
have been excluded, as their last intake was in 2013/14.
6. 2014/15 first sit results in Professional Ethics: SAQs
6.1 SAQ pre-scale first sit pass rates all Providers 2011/12 to 2014/15
Professional Ethics
SAQ pre-scale All-Provider pass
rate
2014/15
2013/14
2012/13
2011/12
58.0%
65.6%
86.7%
88.5%
11
6.2 SAQ pre-scale first sit histogram question by question (showing sub-parts)
Pass rate %
This table indicates the range of pre-scale pass rates for the Professional Ethics SAQs
across all Providers, clearly showing the relatively poor cohort performance in respect
of SAQ2. Compared to 2013/14, where three out of eleven SAQ sub-elements
reported a pre-scale pass rate of below 40%, the 2014/15 SAQ paper shows only one
sub-element out of six with a pass rate below 40%. Sub-element SAQ2(b) clearly
presented a significant challenge to candidates as it is something of an outlier with an
all-Provider pass rate of 30%, resulting in an all-Provider pass rate for SAQ2 as a
whole of just over 50%, but this is not of itself remarkable. SAQ 1 in the 2013/14 first
sit produced a pre-scale pass rate of less than 40% overall and was not regarded by
the examination boards as warranting any further intervention.
6.3 Final exam board review of the Professional Ethics SAQ results
Question
SAQ 1 (a)
Intervention
applied
No
intervention
CEB rationale
SAQ1(a) had 6 marks available and the all-Provider pass
rate for the component was 49.0%. The Board
considered the comments from Providers and noted one
comment suggesting the word unregistered should be
given a mark. The Chief Examiner explained that this was
incorrect and should not warrant an additional mark. The
Board also noted comments suggesting an extra mark
should be awarded for candidates stating the 2 core
duties rather than only 1. The Board agreed only one
mark was required for this question.
The Chief Examiner confirmed that the question was
written in a very clear way. The range of performances
across the question suggested good candidates did well
12
Question
Intervention
applied
CEB rationale
and the question had good discrimination. All comments
from Providers were considered and the Board agreed
that no further action or interventions were required.
The Board decided that there was no reason for
intervention.
SAQ 1 (b)
No
intervention
SAQ 2 (a)
SAQ 2 (b)
No
intervention
No
intervention
SAQ 3 (a)
No
intervention
Question
Intervention
applied
CEB rationale
some comments from Providers had been reflected in the
amendments to the final marking scheme.
The Board decided that there was no reason for
intervention.
SAQ 3 (b)
No
intervention
There were no other global or generic issues relating to the SAQ assessment.
6.4 SAQ post-scale first sit pass rates all Providers 2011/12 to 2014/15
Professional Ethics
SAQ all-Provider pass rate
2014/15
2013/14
2012/13
2011/12
58.0%
65.6%
86.7%
88.5%
Given the absence of intervention, the post-scale SAQ first sit all-Provider pass rate
for 2013/14 remains at 58%, 7.6% down on the previous year. The Final examination
board endorsed the recommendations of the SAQ Board.
6.5 SAQ pre and post-scale first sit pass rates across all Providers 2014/15
14
Pass rate %
80
70
60
50
SAQ 2014/15 Pass rate
40
30
1
10
11
Provider
Providers are ranged in order of pass rates (high to low) according to their
performance. Hence Provider 1 had the highest pass rate at 81.6%, Provider 11 the
lowest at just under 37%. There is clearly a very significant range in the performance
for Provider cohorts across this assessment (44% between best and worst), but this
is largely consistent with 2013/14 where the range was 39%, and suggests that the
assessment is discriminating effectively between weak and strong cohorts. The
biggest difference between the 2013/14 and 2014/15 cohort data sets is that in
2014/15 there are three very weak cohorts compared to the rest as the table below
indicates.
Cohort pass rate
range
80%+
70% to 79%
60% to 69%
50% to 59%
40% to 49%
Below 40%
2014/15
(11 Providers)
2013/14
(12 Providers)
1
2
3
1
2
2
2
3
3
4
0
0
This suggests that performance at the higher end has held up and that the weaker
cohorts in 2014/15 have been significantly weaker than in 2013/14.
6.6 SAQ first sit pass rate by Provider 2011/12 to 2014/15
15
Pass rate %
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
1
10
Provider
Providers are ranked 1 to 10 based on their 2011/12 post-scale first sit Professional
Ethics SAQ pass rates, showing how their 2012/13, 2013/14 and 2014/15 pass rates
compare. Hence Provider 1 achieved a pass rate of 95.5% in 2011/12, 92.4% in
2012/13, and 71% in both 2013/14 and 2014/15. Provider 2, by contrast, has seen a
very worrying year-on-year decline in cohort performance from 93% in 20111/12, to
83% in 2012/13, 59% in 2013/14 dropping even further to 37% in 2014/15. Three
Providers recorded cohort pass rates for the Professional Ethics SAQs that were
higher than their 2013/14 pass rates Provider 2 recorded the biggest decline in pass
rates from 2013/14, a drop of over 22%. Provider 1 has the best 4-year average pass
rate at over 81%, whilst the weakest, on average, over the same period is Provider 7
with an average pass rate just over 65%. Note that results for that BPP Manchester
cohort are not reflected in this table as there is no data pre 2013/14, and results for
Kaplan have been excluded, as their last intake was in 2013/14
16
6.7 MCQ and SAQ first sit post-scale pass rates by Provider 2014/15 high to low
Pass rate %
80
70
60
50
MCQ 2014/15 post-scale
40
30
1
10
11
Provider
This table compares 2014/15 Professional Ethics MCQ and SAQ all-Provider postscale pass rates. The order of Providers is determined by the Providers combined
post scale pass rate for the MCQ and SAQs taken together (i.e. the percentage of
candidates at the Provider pass both sections). The data shows that cohorts typically
perform better in the MCQ element compared to the SAQ element. As in previous
years there is some evidence to suggest that the gap in pass rates between the two
forms of assessment tends to widen where cohorts are weaker overall (this is very
much the case with Providers 9 to 11).
17
7. 2014/15 first sit in Professional Ethics: combined MCQ and SAQ post-scale
results
7.1 Combined MCQ and SAQ all-Provider first sit post-scale pass rates and grade
boundary distribution 2014/15
Professional Ethics First Sit 2014/15
Combined (MCQ and SAQ) All Provider post-scale results
Total number sat (All Providers)
Pass Combined
Fail Combined
1572
892
680
%
56.7%
43.3%
139
557
196
680
8.8%
35.4%
12.5%
43.3%
It should be noted that the CEB does not review, adjust or confirm the combined pass
rate for any of the three knowledge areas. The combined results are simply the product
of the relevant confirmed MCQ and SAQ marks which may, or may not, have been
subject to adjustment by the CEB at an earlier stage. No further scaling is applied once
MCQ and SAQ marks are combined to produce the pass rate for a knowledge area as
a whole. Hence the overall knowledge area marks for cohorts and individual
candidates, including grade boundaries, lie where they fall.
7.2 Combined MCQ and SAQ first sit pre and post-scale pass rates by Provider high
to low
Pass rate %
80
70
60
50
Combined 2013/14 pass rate
40
30
1
Provider
18
10
11
Providers are ranged in order of pass rates (high to low). Cohort performance in the
SAQ element of the assessment largely drives the outcome of the combined cohort
result, hence this performance profile is very similar to the SAQ table at 6.5.
7.3 Combined MCQ and SAQ first sit pass rates all Providers 2011/12 to 2014/15
Professional Ethics
Combined post-scale All-Provider pass
rate
2014/15
2013/14
2012/13
2011/12
56.7%
65.6%
86.4%
85.0%
100.0
80.0
60.0
40.0
20.0
0.0
1
10
11
Provider
Not Competent
Competent
Very Competent
Outstanding
19
7.5 Combined MCQ and SAQ all-Provider first sit post-scale pass rates trend
analysis 2011/12 to 2014/15
Pass rate %
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
1
10
Provider
% Pass 2011/12
% Pass 2012/13
% Pass 2013/14
% Pass 2014/15
Providers are ranked 1 to 11 based on their 2011/12 post-scale first sit combined
Professional Ethics pass rate, showing how their 2012/13, 2013/14 and 2014/15 pass
rates compare. Hence Provider 1 achieved a 92% pass rate in 2011/12, 83% in
2012/13. 54.7% in 2013/14, and 41.7% in 2014/15 and, along with Providers 4 and 8
records a drop in combined pass rates year on year across all 4 cycles of first sit
assessments in Professional Ethics. Five Providers show a decline in their combined
pass rate compared to 2013/14 (Provider 8 showing the largest drop at over 18%),
whilst 5 Providers improve their combined pass rates (Provider 3 up 8%). Provider 3
has the best 4-year average pass rate at over 78%, whilst the weakest, on average,
over the same period is Provider 4 with an average pass rate just over 63%. Note that
results for that BPP Manchester cohort are not reflected in this table as there is no
data pre 2013/14, and results for Kaplan have been excluded, as their last intake was
in 2013/14.
20
7.6 All-Provider first sit post-scale grade boundaries trend analysis 2011/12 to
2014/15
% students
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
Outstanding
Very Competent
Competent
Not Competent
Grade category
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
2014/15
2013/14
2012/13
2011/12
80.4%
74.6%
85.3%
86.8%
A 6% rise in the pre-scale MCQ all-Provider pass rate compared to the previous
year.
21
Pass rate %
11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39
This table indicates the range of pre-scale pass rates for the Criminal Litigation MCQs
across all Providers, showing 2 MCQs with a pre-scale pass rate of below 40%
(compared to 3 in 2013/14 first sit).
8.3 Final exam board review of the Criminal Litigation MCQ results
Question
MCQ 2
Intervention
applied
No
intervention
CEB rationale
32.1% all-Provider pass rate with high discrimination.
The Board noted the relatively low pass rate and the lack
of comments from Providers and External Examiners. It
was agreed this was a harder question but one that was
appropriate for the paper.
The Board decided there was no reason for intervention.
MCQ 9
No
intervention
MCQ 13
MCQ 16
MCQ 33
MCQ 39
No
intervention
No
intervention
Remove
question 39
from the
paper.
There were no other global or generic issues relating to the MCQ assessment
23
8.4 MCQ post-scale first sit pass rates all Providers 2011/12 to 2014/15
Criminal Litigation
2014/15
2013/14
2012/13
2011/12
83.3%
84.1%
88.9%
88.7%
The post-scale MCQ first sit pass rate for 2014/15 of 83.3% shows the impact of the
CEB intervention in raising the pre-scale pass rate of 80.4% by 2.9. The trend data for
Criminal Litigation MCQ national pass rates over these three cycles of first sit
assessments indicates a broadly consistent pattern of all-Provider cohort performance
within a 6% range.
8.5 MCQ pre and post-scale first sit pass rates across all Providers 2014/15
Pass rate %
90
85
80
75
70
MCQ 2014/15 post-scale
65
60
1
10
11
Provider
The graph shows the effect of the interventions in respect of MCQs 33 & 39 across all
Providers. Providers are ranged in order of pass rates (high to low) according to their
2014/15 first sit pre-scale cohort performance. Hence Provider 1 had the highest pass
rate both before and after CEB intervention. Generally the intervention favoured the
weaker cohorts, particularly Provider 10, showing an uplift of 10%. The effect of the
intervention on the range of pass rates across Providers shows a compression from
25% pre scale to 19% post-scale.
24
8.6 MCQ post-scale first sit pass rate by Provider 2011/12 to 2014/15
Pass rate %
90.0
85.0
80.0
75.0
70.0
1
10
Provider
Providers are ranked 1 to 11 based on their 2011/12 post-scale first sit Criminal
Litigation MCQ pass rate, showing how their 2012/13, 2013/14 and 2014/15 pass rates
compare. Hence Provider 1 achieved a 93% pass rate in 2011/12, 89% in 2012/13.
89% in 2013/14, and 82% in 2014/15. Six Providers record a lower cohort pass rate
for 2014/15 compared to 2013/14. Provider 2 has the best 4-year average pass rate
at over 90%, whilst the weakest, on average, over the same period is Provider 10 with
an average pass rate just over 81%. Note that results for that BPP Manchester cohort
are not reflected in this table as there is no data pre 2013/14, and results for Kaplan
have been excluded as their last intake was in 2013/14.
9. 2014/15 first sit results in Criminal Litigation: SAQs
9.1 SAQ pre-scale all Provider first sit pass rate 2011/12 to 2014/15
Criminal Litigation
SAQ pre-scale All-Provider pass
rate
2014/15
2013/14
2012/13
2011/12
64.2%
75.7%
54.5%
73.9%
Data for 2014/15 shows an 11.5% drop in pre-scale all-Provider pass rates compared
to 2013/14 but sitting in the middle of the range for the 4 year cycle as a whole.
25
9.2 SAQ pre-scale first sit histogram question by question (showing sub-parts)
Pass rate %
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
This table indicates the range of pre-scale pass rates for the Criminal Litigation SAQs
across all Providers, with a relatively strong cohort performance in respect of all the
SAQs, with only one sub-element, SAQ2(c) recording an all-Provider pass rate below
40% (compared to 4 in the 2013/14 SAQ first sits).
9.3 Final exam board review of the Criminal Litigation SAQ results
Question
SAQ 2(c)
Intervention
applied
No intervention
CEB rationale
SAQ2(c) had 2 marks available and the allProvider pass rate for the component was 19.8%.
There were no comments from Providers regarding
this question. The Board considered the relatively
low pass rate and considered how many
candidates only scored 1 mark. The Independent
Psychometrician confirmed the percentage of
candidates scoring 0 was 27%, candidates scoring
1 mark was 54% and scoring 2 marks was 20%.
The Board noted that the sampling of scripts
suggested that it was the second point that
candidates did not pass and felt it was a harder
question. The Board considered the operation of
the marking scheme, in particular the fact that
candidates only capable of securing 1 mark out of
2 would not be achieving the 60% rate required to
pass the paper as a whole. The Board considered
the options for crediting an extra mark or removing
the marks for the question, but concluded that the
assessment had performed as it would have
26
SAQ4(c)
No intervention
2014/15
2013/14
2012/13
2011/12
64.2%
78.2%
69.9%
77.8%
With no interventions in respect of the Criminal Litigation SAQ assessments the allProvider pass rate remains unchanged at 64.2%, 14% down on the previous round
of first sit assessments, and the lowest level recorded across the four cycles of first
sit assessment.
9.5 SAQ first sit pass rates across all Providers 2014/15
Pass rate %
85
75
65
SAQ 2014/15 Pass rate
55
45
1
Provider
27
10
11
The graph shows the range of performance across all 11 Providers in respect of the
Criminal Litigation SAQ assessment. As noted above, there were no interventions
sanctioned by the examination boards, hence there is no pre and post scale
comparison. There is a 36% range between the top performing cohort at Provider 1
and the weakest at Provider 11, an increase on the 27% post-scale range reported in
2103/14. The data for 2014/15 suggests a challenging assessment that the Criminal
Litigation SAQ discriminated effectively across a range of cohort ability.
9.6 SAQ first sit pass rate by Provider 2011/12 to 2014/15
Pass rate %
90
80
70
60
SAQ 2011/12 post-scale
SAQ 2012/13 post-scale
SAQ 2013/14 post-scale
SAQ 2014/15 post-scale
50
40
1
10
Provider
Providers are ranked 1 to 10 based on their 2011/12 post-scale first sit Criminal
Litigation SAQ pass rates, showing how their 2012/13, 2013/14 and 2014/15 pass
rates compare. Hence Provider 1 achieved a pass rate of 91.1% in 2011/12, 89% in
2012/13, and 92.9% in 2013/14 and 80.8% in 2014/15. Provider 2, by contrast, has
seen a very worrying year-on-year decline in cohort performance from 90% in
20111/12, to 59.3% in 2014/15. None of the Providers reported in this graph recorded
cohort pass rates for the Criminal Litigation SAQs that were higher than their 2013/14
pass rates. Provider 10 recorded the biggest decline in pass rates from 2013/14, a
drop of over 28.7%. Provider 1 has the best 4-year average pass rate at over 88%,
whilst the weakest, on average, over the same period is Provider 7 with an average
pass rate just over 67%. Note that results for that BPP Manchester cohort are not
reflected in this table as there is no data pre 2013/14, and results for Kaplan have
been excluded, as their last intake was in 2013/14.
28
9.7 MCQ and SAQ first sit post-scale pass rates by Provider 2014/15
Pass rate %
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
MCQ 2014/15 post-scale
50.0
40.0
1
10
11
Provider
This table compares 2014/15 Criminal Litigation MCQ and SAQ all-Provider post-scale
pass rates. The order of Providers is determined by the Providers combined post
scale pass rate for the MCQ and SAQs taken together (i.e. the percentage of
candidates at the Provider passing both sections). The data shows that cohorts
typically perform better in the MCQ element compared to the SAQ element (no cohort
performs better in the SAQ element). As in previous years there is some evidence to
suggest that the gap in pass rates between the two forms of assessment tends to
widen where cohorts are weaker overall (this is very much the case with Provider 11,
where the differential is over 34%).
10. 2014/15 first sit post-scale results in Criminal Litigation: combined MCQ
and SAQ results
10.1 Combined MCQ and SAQ all Provider first sit post-scale pass rates and grade
boundary distribution
Criminal Litigation First Sit 2014/15
Combined (MCQ and SAQ) All Provider post-scale results
Total number sat (All Providers)
Pass Combined
Fail Combined
1483
927
556
62.5%
37.5%
259
498
170
556
17.5%
33.6%
11.5%
37.5%
29
It should be noted that the CEB does not review, adjust or confirm the combined pass
rate for any of the three knowledge areas. The combined results are simply the product
of the relevant confirmed MCQ and SAQ marks which may, or may not, have been
subject to adjustment by the CEB at an earlier stage. No further scaling is applied once
MCQ and SAQ marks are combined to produce the pass rates for a knowledge area
as a whole. Hence the combined knowledge area marks for cohorts and individual
candidates, including grade boundaries, lie where they fall.
10.2 Combined MCQ and SAQ first sit pre and post-scale pass rates by Provider
2014/15
Pass rate %
80
70
60
Combined 2014/15 pre scale
50
10
11
Provider
The graph shows the effect of the interventions in respect of the MCQs (there were no
SAQ interventions) across all Providers. Providers are ranged in order of combined
pre-scale pass rates (high to low). Hence Provider 1 had both the highest pre-scale
and post-scale pass rates. Given the very limited level of intervention this year there
is very little difference in the pre and post scale result profiles.
10.3 Combined MCQ and SAQ post-scale first sit pass rates all Providers 2011/12
to 2014/15
Criminal Litigation
Combined post-scale All-Provider pass
rate
2014/15
2013/14
2012/13
2011/12
62.5%
72.8%
68.2%
74.7%
The combined all-Provider pass rate is 14% down on the previous round of first sit
assessments, and is the lowest level recorded across the four cycles of first sit
assessment.
30
100.0
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
1
10
11
Provider
Not Competent
Competent
Very Competent
Oustanding
Providers are ranked according to their 2014/15 post-scale first sit pass rates in
Criminal Litigation. Hence Provider 1 has the highest percentage of Outstanding
candidates and lowest percentage of Not Competent. The distribution of Not
Competent candidates follows the profile of declining cohort pass rates fairly closely,
whilst the distribution of Outstanding candidates across Providers 2 to 9 seems less
closely related to overall cohort performance. For example, Provider 10 is fifth best in
terms of the number of Outstanding candidates in its cohort.
10.5 Combined MCQ and SAQ all-Provider first sit post-scale pass rates trend
analysis 2011/12 to 2014/15
% Pass 2011/12
%Pass 2012/13
% Pass 2013/14
% Pass 2014/15
Pass rate %
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
1
Provider
31
10
Providers are ranked 1 to 11 based on their 2011/12 post-scale first sit combined
Criminal Litigation pass rate, showing how their 2012/13, 2013/14 and 2014/15 pass
rates compare. Hence Provider 1 achieved an 89% pass rate in 2011/12, 86% in
2012/13. 87% in 2013/14, and 76% in 2014/15. Provider 8 was the only Provider to
record a higher combined pass rate for 2014/15 as against 2013/14 (1.2%), with
Provider 9 showing a significant decline of over 28%. Provider 1 has the best 4-year
average pass rate at over 84%, whilst the weakest, on average, over the same period
is Provider 10 with an average pass rate just over 56%. Note that results for that BPP
Manchester cohort are not reflected in this table as there is no data pre 2013/14, and
results for Kaplan have been excluded, as their last intake was in 2013/14.
10.6 All-Provider first sit post-scale grade boundaries trend analysis 2011/12 to
2014/15
Pass rate %
2011/12
40.00
2012/13
35.00
2013/14
30.00
2014/15
25.00
20.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
Outstanding
Very Competent
Competent
Not Competent
Provider
The three-year trend analysis shows a continued decline in the Very Competent with
a corresponding increase in Not Competent, but little change in the other categories.
11. 2014/15 first sit results in Civil Litigation: MCQs
11.1 MCQ pre-scale first sit pass rates all Providers 2011/12 to 2014/15
Civil Litigation
MCQ pre-scale All-Provider pass
rate
2014/15
2013/14
2012/13
2011/12
63.6%
60.9%
46.3%
67.8%
Pass rate %
11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39
This table indicates the range of pre-scale pass rates for the Civil Litigation MCQs
across all Providers, showing four MCQs with a pre-scale pass rate of below 40%,
(there were seven in 2013/14) compared with two in the 2014/15 Criminal MCQ
assessment.
11.3 Final exam board review of the Civil Litigation MCQ results
Question
MCQ4
MCQ5
Intervention
applied
No
intervention
Remove the
question from
the
assessment
CEB rationale
MCQ 04 43.1 % all-Provider pass rate, and strong
discrimination. The Board considered the comments
from Providers and External Examiners, discussing the
point raised regarding the syllabus coverage of the
question. The Board consulted the syllabus and agreed
it was covered. It was recognised that this was a
challenging question, however it was noted that there
should be a mixture of difficult questions in the paper.
The Board decided there was no reason for intervention.
MCQ 05 - 39.9% all-Provider pass rate, and very good
discrimination. It was noted that although the correct
answer for the question was D, more candidates chose
answer C. The Board considered if distractor C might
also potentially be correct.
The Chief Examiner
highlighted that there was a small technical inaccuracy
with distractor C, however it was agreed that this might
not be the reason why candidates chose C as the correct
answer. The Board discussed at length the options
available, noting that in principle the rule for technically
deficient questions should apply i.e. remove the
question. Part of the rationale for removing an entire
question was that, because of the defect in the question,
33
Question
Intervention
applied
CEB rationale
there was no correct answer, hence no candidate lost
anything by virtue of its removal. To the extent it could
be argued that there was a correct answer the statistics
strongly indicated that those choosing it may well have
been guessing (i.e. weak correlation with strong
candidate scores).
MCQ 8
MCQ 17
MCQ 20
No
intervention
No
intervention
Disregard the
question
Question
Intervention
applied
CEB rationale
choosing it may well have been guessing (i.e. weak
correlation with strong candidate scores)
MCQ 34
MCQ 35
There were no other global or generic issues relating to the MCQ assessment
11.4 MCQ post-scale first sit pass rates all Providers 2011/12 to 2014/15
Civil Litigation
2014/15
2013/14
2012/13
2011/12
71.3%
68.6%
73.2%
83.7%
The post-scale MCQ first sit pass rate for 2014/15 of 71.3% shows the impact of the
CEB intervention in raising the pre-scale pass rate of 63.6% by 7.7%, in effect a 12.1%
increase as a proportion of the pre-scale pass rate.
35
11.5 MCQ pre and post-scale first sit pass rates all Providers 2014/15
Pass rate %
100
80
60
MCQ 2014/15 pre-scale
MCQ 2014/15 post-scale
40
1
Provider
10
11
The graph shows the combined effect of the interventions in respect of MCQs 5, 20,
34 and 35 across all Providers. Providers are ranged in order of pass rates (high to
low) according to their pre-scale cohort performance. Hence Provider 1 had the
highest pre- and post-scale pass rate. The interventions had a differential impact
across the Providers in the sense that it was not connected with the level of cohort
performance. Hence, Provider 1 benefited the most (13.3%), followed by Provider 8
(13%), and Provider 2 the least (3.9%).
11.6 MCQ post-scale first sit pass rate by Provider 2011/12 to 2014/15
Pass rates %
80.0
75.0
70.0
65.0
MCQ 2011/12 post-scale
MCQ 2012/13 post-scale
MCQ 2013/14 post-scale
MCQ 2014/15 post-scale
60.0
55.0
50.0
10
Provider
Providers are ranked 1 to 11 based on their 2011/12 post-scale first sit Civil Litigation
MCQ pass rate, showing how their 2012/13, 2013/14 and 2014/15 pass rates
compare. Hence Provider 1 achieved an 86.5% pass rate in 2011/12, 76% in 2012/13.
67% in 2013/14, and 62.8% in 2014/15. Note Provider 1 has a year-on-year decline
across all four first sit cycles (the only Provider reported here for whom this is the
case). Four Providers record a lower cohort pass rate for 2014/15 compared to
36
2014/15
2013/14
2012/13
2011/12
49.0%
52.7%
52.1%
61.4%
The Civil Litigation all-Provider SAQ pre-scale pass rate drops marginally by 3% from
the previous 2 rounds of assessment, and is 15% lower than the corresponding prescale Criminal Litigation SAQ figure.
12.2 SAQ pre-scale 2014/15 first sit histogram question by question (showing subparts)
Pass rate %
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
This table indicates the range of pre-scale pass rates for the Civil Litigation SAQs
across all Providers, clearly showing the relatively poor cohort performance in respect
of SAQ 1(d), SAQ 2(c), SAQ 3 (a) and (b), SAQ4 (b) and (c), although there is no SAQ
where the overall pass rate dips below 40%. In total 6 SAQ sub-elements record an
all-Provider pass rate below 40%, compared with 8 for the 2013/14 first sit cycle of the
same assessment.
37
12.3 Final exam board review of the Civil Litigation SAQ results
Question Intervention applied
SAQ1d
SAQ1
SAQ2c
SAQ2d
CEB rationale
SAQ1(d) had 3 marks available and the allProvider pass rate for the component was
21.4%. The Board noted the low pass rates at
all Providers. The Provider comments were
considered. The Board agreed the question and
answers were technically correct but felt that the
mark scheme was not sufficiently flexible - there
should have been 1 mark instead of half mark
Credit 0.5 mark where there is
available in 1(d) (i) as it was a key point in the
headroom to do so
answer. As a consequence, the Board
recommended all candidates to be awarded an
additional 0.5 where there was headroom to do
so.
The Board decided to award an additional 0.5
mark to all candidates where there was
headroom to do so for 1(d).
SAQ 1 award additional 0.5 mark for SAQ1 as
a whole (due to generic narrowness of the mark
Credit 0.5 mark where there is
scheme).
headroom to do so
SAQ2(c) had 3 marks available and an allProvider pass rate of 21.9%. The Board
considered the relatively low pass mark for all
Providers for this question, with 4 Providers
achieving pass rates below 11%. The Board
agreed they were happy that the question had
appropriate syllabus coverage and the answer
was technically correct. In relation to 2(c)
however, the Board agreed to award all
Credit 0.5 mark where there is
candidates 1 additional mark where there was
headroom to do so
headroom to do so with reference to the
narrowness of the mark scheme in relation to
the second bullet point on mark scheme,
including reliability affected by situation re:
Henrys wife.
The Board decided an additional 1 mark would
be award to all candidates in relation to 2c,
where there was headroom to do so.
SAQ2(d) had 2 marks available and an allCredit 0.5 mark where there is Provider pass rate of 44.9%. The Board noted
headroom to do so
the weaker pass rates throughout the question.
The mark scheme was comprised entirely of half
38
SAQ2
SAQ3a
SAQ3b
SAQ3e
SAQ4a
SAQ4b
No intervention
SAQ4c
No intervention
The Board decided that there was no reason for
intervention.
There were no other global or generic issues relating to the SAQ assessment.
12.4 SAQ post-scale first sit pass rates all-Providers 2011/12 to 2014/15
Civil Litigation
SAQ post-scale All-Provider pass
rate
2014/15
2013/14
2012/13
2011/12
65.0%
67.8%
61.5%
73.5%
The post-scale SAQ first sit pass rate for 2014/15 of 65% shows the impact of the CEB
intervention in raising the pre-scale pass rate of 49% by 16%, in effect a 32% increase
as a proportion of the pre-scale pass rate.
40
12.5 SAQ pre and post-scale first sit pass rates across all Providers 2014/15
Pass rate %
75
65
55
45
SAQ 2014/15 pre-scale
35
10
11
Provider
The graph shows the effect of the nine SAQ interventions detailed above at 12.3.
Providers are ranged in order of pass rates (high to low) pre-scale. Hence Provider 1
had both the highest pre-scale SAQ pass rate, but Providers 9 to 11 benefitted more
from the effects of the interventions with pass rates for their cohorts rising by
approximately 20%. Scaling had only a modest effect on the range of pass rates
across Providers. It was 40% pre-scale and 35% post-scale.
12.6 SAQ first sit pass rate by Provider 2011/12 to 2014/15
% pass 2011/12
% pass 2012/13
80
Pass rate %
% pass 2013/14
% pass 2014/15
70
60
50
40
30
1
Provider
41
10
Providers are ranked 1 to 10 based on their 2011/12 post-scale first sit Civil Litigation
SAQ pass rates, showing how their 2012/13, 2013/14 and 2014/15 pass rates
compare. Hence Provider 1 achieved a pass rate of 81% in 2011/12, 53.7% in
2012/13, and 74.6% in 2013/14 and 77.2% in 2014/15. Provider 2, by contrast, has
seen a very worrying year-on-year decline in cohort performance from 90% in
20111/12, to 59.3% in 2014/15. Four Providers reported in this graph recorded cohort
pass rates for the Civil Litigation SAQs that were higher than their 2013/14 pass rates,
with Provider 6 showing a 13% rise. Provider 5 recorded the biggest decline in pass
rates from 2013/14, a drop of over 24%. Provider 1 has the best 4-year average pass
rate at over 71%, whilst the weakest, on average, over the same period is Provider 10
with an average pass rate just over 47%. Note that results for the BPP Manchester
cohort are not reflected in this table as there is no data pre 2013/14, and results for
Kaplan have been excluded, as their last intake was in 2013/14.
12.7 MCQ and SAQ first sit post-scale pass rates by Provider 2014/15 high to low
Pass rate %
80
70
60
MCQ 2014/15 post-scale
50
40
1
10
11
Provider
This table compares 2014/15 Civil Litigation MCQ and SAQ all-Provider post-scale
pass rates. The order of Providers is determined by a Providers combined post-scale
pass rate for the MCQ and SAQs taken together (i.e. the percentage of candidates at
the Provider passing both sections). The data shows Provider 1 with the strongest
performances in both MCQs and SAQs. Provider 2 is the only Provider to have a
higher pass rate for the SAQ assessments compared with the MCQs (0.2% higher).
Elsewhere the pattern is for a much stronger showing by cohorts in the MCQs, notably
for Providers 5 and 6 where it is 17% and 13% respectively. In general the pattern of
SAQ performance tracks that for MCQs albeit at a lower level of pass rate.
42
13. 2014/15 first sit post-scale results in Civil Litigation etc.: combined MCQ and
SAQ results
13.1 Combined MCQ and SAQ all Provider first sit post-scale pass rates and grade
boundary distribution 2014/15
1595
925
670
58.0%
42.0%
13.0%
31.6%
13.4%
42.0%
It should be noted that the CEB does not review, adjust or confirm the combined pass
rate for any of the three knowledge areas. The combined results are simply the product
of the relevant confirmed MCQ and SAQ marks, which may or may not have been
subject to adjustment by the CEB at an earlier stage. No further scaling is applied once
MCQ and SAQ marks are combined to produce the pass rates for a knowledge area
as a whole. Hence the combined knowledge area marks for cohorts and individual
candidates, including grade boundaries, lie where they fall.
13.2 Combined MCQ and SAQ first sit pre and post-scale pass rates by Provider
2014/15
100
80
60
40
20
1
Provider
43
10
11
The graph shows the combined effect of the interventions in respect of both the MCQs
and SAQs across all Providers. Providers are ranged in order of pre-scale combined
pass rates (high to low). Hence Provider 1 had the highest pre-scale and post-scale
pass rates. The intervention typically resulted in an 15% uplift, but, somewhat counterintuitively, the greatest impact was on Provider 1 where the increase was 20%), with
the result that the interventions actually increased the range between the strongest
and weakest cohort pass rates from 37% pre-scale to 43% post-scale
13.3 Combined MCQ and SAQ post-scale first sit pass rates all Providers 2011/12
to 2014/15
Civil Litigation
2014/15
2013/14
2012/13
2011/12
58.0%
57.4%
56.2%
68.0%
The post-scale combined first sit pass rate for 2014/15 of 58% is largely in line with
the 2012/13 outcome for first sit candidates, 4% below that for Criminal Litigation
2014/15.
13.4 First sit 2014/15 post-scale grade boundaries by Provider
10
11
Provider
Not Competent
Competent
Very Competent
Oustanding
Providers are ranked according to their combined 2014/15 post-scale first sit pass
rates in Civil Litigation. Hence Provider 1 has the highest post-scale first sit pass rate
but not the highest percentage of Outstanding candidates (see Provider 2 with
22.3%). The distribution of Not Competent candidates does however follow the order
of Providers in the above chart.
44
13.5 Combined MCQ and SAQ first sit post-scale pass rates trend analysis 2011/12
to 2014/15
Pass rate %
%pass 2011/12
75.0
% pass 2012/13
70.0
% pass 2013/14
65.0
% pass 2014/15
60.0
55.0
50.0
45.0
40.0
35.0
1
10
Provider
Providers are ranked 1 to 11 based on their 2011/12 post-scale first sit combined Civil
Litigation pass rate, showing how their 2012/13, 2013/14 and 2014/15 pass rates
compare. Hence Provider 1 achieved a 71% pass rate in 2011/12, 50% in 2012/13,
47% in 2013/14, and 54% in 2014/15. Five Providers recorded a higher combined
pass rate for 2014/15 as against 2013/14 (Provider 6 up by over 10%), whilst Provider
8 recorded the sharpest decline at over 13%. Provider 9 is the only Provider to record
a year-on-year decline in combined pass rates across all 4 cycles of first sit
assessment. Provider 2 has the best 4-year average pass rate at over 64%, whilst the
weakest, on average, over the same period is Provider 10 with an average pass rate
just over 45%. Note that results for the BPP Manchester cohort are not reflected in this
table as there is no data pre 2013/14, and results for Kaplan have been excluded, as
their last intake was in 2013/14.
45
13.6 All-Provider first sit post-scale grade boundaries trend analysis 2011/12 to
2014/15
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
% students
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
Outstanding
Very Competent
Competent
Not Competent
Category
The four-year trend analysis shows a slight recovery in the level of Outstanding
classifications with a corresponding drop in the Competent grouping.
14 First sit modes of assessment and subject areas 2014/15
14.1 MCQ first sit post-scale pass rates for 3 CEB areas 2014/15 compared
Pass rate %
90
80
70
Ethics MCQ 2014/15 post scale
60
50
1
10
11
Provider
This graph compares the post-scale first sit MCQ pass rates for the three knowledge
areas across all Providers 2014/15. Providers are ranked according to the average of
their post-scale MCQ pass rates across the three knowledge areas. Hence Provider 1
had the highest average cohort pass rate across all three MCQ assessments and
Provider 11 the lowest average across all three. All Providers recorded their highest
46
MCQ pass rates in respect of Professional Ethics and all recorded their lowest MCQ
pass rates in respect of Civil Litigation. The gap between a Providers pass rate in
Professional Ethics and its pass rate in Civil Litigation tends to be more marked in
respect of the weaker cohorts. For Provider 1 the gap is 9%, whilst for Providers 8 and
10 the gap is over 33%. Provider 2 slightly bucks this trend with a surprisingly poor
showing in Civil Litigation where the pass rate is 28% below that for Professional
Ethics. Provider 1 has an average MCQ pass rate of over 93%, compared with 69.8%
for Provider 11 showing a 23% range between the strongest MCQ Provider
performance and the weakest.
14.2 SAQ first sit post-scale pass rates for 3 CEB areas 2014/15 compared
Pass rate %
70
60
50
40
30
20
1
Provider
10
11
This graph compares the post-scale first sit SAQ pass rates for the three knowledge
areas across all Providers 2014/15. Providers are ranked according to the average of
their post-scale SAQ pass rates across the three knowledge areas. Hence Provider 1
had the highest average cohort pass rate across all three SAQ assessments and
Provider 11 the lowest average across all three. Unlike the MCQ data reported at 14.1
there is a more complex picture in terms of Provider performance in respect of the
SAQ assessments. For three Providers their strongest cohort performance was in
respect of the Professional Ethics SAQ, for five it was in respect of the Criminal
Litigation SAQ and for three the Civil Litigation SAQ. In terms of weakest SAQ
performance, for five Providers this was in respect of Professional Ethics, for two it
was in respect of Criminal Litigation, and for four it was in respect of Civil Litigation.
It is also instructive to look at the average SAQ pass rate in the two litigation modules
for each Provider and compare this with the Providers pass rate in respect of the
Professional Ethics SAQ. Provider 1s average pass rate across the SAQs in the two
litigation modules is 85.4%, compared with a Professional Ethics SAQ pass rate of
81.6%, hence a 3.8% negative variance in respect of the Professional Ethics SAQ.
Across all 11 Providers, applying the same methodology, there is an average negative
variance of 5.3% between the average of their litigation module SAQ pass rates and
47
their pass rates for the Professional Ethics SAQ. Significantly, however, there are
three Providers where the negative variance is very much higher: Provider 7 (-24.4%);
Provider 8 (-24.7%) and Provider 10 (-21.7%). If these three outlier Providers are
removed from the equation, the remaining eight Providers actually record a positive
variance of 1.5% in respect of their pass rate in Professional Ethics SAQ compared
with the average of their litigation module SAQ pass rates, suggesting the overall
picture is being skewed by a very poor Professional Ethics SAQ cohort performance
at three Providers. Again the range between a Providers best SAQ pass rate and their
worst is typically 15%. For Providers 7, 8 and 10 the range is between 22% and 26%
because of their poor performance in the Professional Ethics SAQs. In terms of the
range of Provider cohort performance in SAQs as a whole it is striking that there is a
34% gap between the average SAQ pass rate for Provider 1 and that for Provider 11.
14.3 Combined MCQ and SAQ 2014/15 first sit post-scale pass rates for 3 CEB areas
2014/15 compared
90
Pass rate %
80
70
60
50
40
30
1
10
11
Provider
This graph compares the post-scale first sit combined pass rates for the three
knowledge areas across all Providers for 2014/15. Providers are ranked according to
the average of their post-scale combined pass rates across the three knowledge
areas. Hence Provider 1 had the highest average pass rate across the three combined
assessments, with pass rates of around 82% for all three modules (the best cohort
across all three). By contrast Provider 11 has an average combined pass rate across
the three modules of 44.8%, some 37% below that of Provider 1. The graph shows a
reasonably clear trend of declining pass rates from Provider 1 to Provider 11, but the
significantly poor performances by Providers 7, 8 and 10 in respect of Professional
Ethics (effectively the SAQ element) is apparent from the graphs, as is the fact that
Providers 4, 6 and 9 recorded their highest combined pass rates in respect of
Professional Ethics.
48
14.4 Comparison of Provider first sit post-scale pass rates by type of assessment
2014/15
Pass rate %
80
70
60
Ethics MCQ 2014/15 post scale
Ethics SAQ 2014/15 post scale
Crime MCQ 2014/15 post scale
Crime SAQ 2014/15 post scale
Civil MCQ 2014/15 post scale
Civil SAQ 2014/15 post scale
50
40
30
20
1
10
11
Provider
This graph compares the post-scale first sit MCQ and SAQ pass rates for the three
knowledge areas across all Providers 2014/15. Providers are ranked according to the
average of their post-scale combined pass rates across the three knowledge areas.
The data shows a very strong performance from the Provider 1 cohort, achieving the
highest pass rate in each of the 6 assessments. This represents an average of 88%
of candidates at Provider 1 passing each paper, but it should be noted that this figure
drops to 81.9% (see 14.3 above) when the non-aggregation rule is applied whereby
candidates have to achieve a minimum of 60% in both the MCQ and SAQ elements
of the assessment to achieve a pass in the module overall. The poorest cohort
performances were concentrated amongst the lowest ranked Providers, with Providers
9, 10 and 11 accounting between them for the lowest pass rates recorded across all
six assessments (four of them at Provider 11). The absolute weakest performance
from any cohort in any assessment was delivered by Provider 10 in the Professional
Ethics SAQs where only 37% of candidates passed.
14.5 Post-scale 2014-15 first sit grade boundaries across the three knowledge areas
compared
Outstanding
Very Competent
Competent
Not Competent
Professional
Ethics
8.8%
35.4%
12.5%
43.3%
Criminal Litigation
Civil Litigation
17.5%
33.6%
11.5%
37.5%
13.0%
31.6%
13.4%
42.0%
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The data shows a remarkable level of consistency across all 3 modules in respect of
the Very Competent, Competent and Not Competent with a small gap between
the percentage of candidates achieving Outstanding in Professional Ethics
compared to the litigation modules. The 8.8% figure for Professional Ethics represents
a small increase from the 7.2% recorded in 2013/14, whilst the percentage achieving
Outstanding in Civil Litigation has almost doubled compared to 2013/14. The 10%
rise in candidates classified as Not Competent in Criminal Litigation is disappointing.
15. First sit modes of assessment and subject areas trends 2010/11 to 2014/15
15.1 Changes in all-Provider post-scale first sit knowledge area subject pass rates
2011/12 to 2014/15
Pass rate %
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
Ethics MCQ
Ethics SAQ
Criminal MCQ
Criminal SAQ
Civil MCQ
Civil SAQ
The 2014/15 first sit assessments in the BPTC knowledge areas represent the fourth
cycle of first sit assessments under the CEB processes. Hence it is now possible to
look across these four first sit assessment points to explore whether any discernible
data trends are emerging. This table shows how pass rates have changed across both
assessment modes in all three knowledge areas from the first sit in 2011/12 to the first
sit in 2014/15. Across the four cycles Professional Ethics MCQ has had the highest
average pass rate at 89.9%, with Criminal Litigation MCQs at 86.3%, and Professional
Ethics SAQs at 75.4%. Civil Litigation SAQs have the lowest four-year average at
67%. Across the four-year cycle Criminal Litigation MCQs have the narrowest range
of pass rates, all within a 5% band. Most modules record a 15% variance band with
Professional Ethics showing the widest range at 30% (but see comments at 14.2
regarding the impact of specific Provider cohort performance on the 2014/15 data).
Looking across each year the range between the lowest and highest all-Provider pass
rate across the six modules varies considerably. For the 2011/12 and 2013/14 cycles
the range was approximately 20%, for each of the remaining cycles it was 33%. There
is no knowledge area assessment displaying a four cycle year-on-year trend of rising
or declining pass rates.
50
20
% change
10
0
1
10
11
-10
-20
-30
Provider
This shows a mixed profile in terms of comparing Provider first sit pass rates for
2014/15 with 2013/14. In total, seven of the eleven Providers are able to demonstrate
an improvement in at least one knowledge areas cohort pass rate when compared to
2013/14. Provider 1 returns an excellent performance with significant improvements
in pass rates in all three modules, an average increase in pass rates of 18%. Three
Providers are able to record improvements in two module areas, with five of the
improved scores are in respect of Professional Ethics, and six in respect of Civil
Litigation. The biggest single increase in performance is by Provider 1 in respect of
Professional Ethics, with an improvement of 24.7%. The most significant reversal is
recorded by Provider 6 in respect of Criminal Litigation, where the decline is almost
29%. More generally, the decline across nine Providers in the performance in Criminal
Litigation is disappointing.
16. Post examination board issues
16.1 Administrative checks on data were conducted after the July 2015 final CEB
meeting as a further quality assurance process.
16.2 BPTC candidates seeking confirmation of their marks are required to comply with
the regulations and guidance available on the BSB website. In the first instance a
candidate is required to seek a clerical error check from the relevant Provider. As a
next step the candidate can seek an enhanced clerical error check from the BSB, for
which a fee is payable. If any errors are found in the computation or transcription of
marks, CEB Chairs action can be taken to confirm the rectification with consequent
endorsement at the relevant Provider institution.
16.3 The BSB has not put in place any process by which a candidate can ask for a
remark of an SAQ paper, and there is no provision for any BSB appeal process that
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allows any challenge to the exercise of academic judgement on the part of the CEB.
A candidate can submit a request for review of a CEB decision on the basis that the
CEB has acted irrationally or unfairly in confirming the cohort marks for the centrally
assessed examinations. An application for review must be made in the required form,
within stipulated time limits and a fee is payable. The BSB will filter applications and
refer those establishing an arguable case to the CEB Review Panel (an independent
panel appointed by the BSB). If the Review Panel finds that there is evidence that
warrants referral back to the CEB, it will give reasons for its decision and invite the
CEB to reconsider the decision in question. The guidance accompanying the
regulations makes clear to candidates who have failed examinations and are required
to take resits that an application for review should not be seen as an alternative to
attempting the resit examinations, as any determination of the CEB Review panel and,
in turn the CEB, is likely to be delivered after the time for resit examinations has
elapsed.
17. Quality enhancement and policy issues
17.1 Improved scrutiny of draft assessments resulted in a reduction in typographical
errors, which is to be welcomed. Feedback from Providers and External Examiners
on assessments after they have been attempted continues to be an enormously
important reference point for the subject boards, although Providers are encouraged
to be more specific where possible as generalised comments are very hard for the
boards to act on.
17.2 From time to time concerns are expressed relating to the perceived disparity
between the pass rates confirmed by the CEB in respect of the six assessments within
its jurisdiction. Candidates should be assured that cohort results are subject to
statistical analysis to ensure that the assessments are operating effectively, and that
both Provider and External Examiner feedback, particularly in relation to SAQ
assessments and marking schemes, is given very serious consideration. Details of
the CEB interventions set out in this report evidence that. It will also be apparent from
this report that, within a set of module results, a particular Provider cohort, or a number
of Provider cohorts, achieve disappointing results when compared with the wider
group. Whilst the CEB can intervene by way of scaling to compensate for any factor
outside the control of a Provider that might have impacted on the conduct of the
assessment at a Provider (for example disruption during an examination), the CEB
does not intervene to compensate for any factors related to the general delivery of a
module by a Provider (e.g. quality of tuition, coverage of syllabus etc.). Other factors
can also have an effect on pass rates from year to year including changes in the
syllabus and a change in the range of Providers themselves.
17.3 For the moment the CEB is continuing to recommend to the BSB that Providers
are not identified when details of cohort performance in the centralised examinations
are published. An immediate consideration is that there are 10 BPTC modules
representing 120 credits in total. Three of these modules are the centrally assessed
knowledge areas, representing 25% of the course (30 credits). The remaining seven
modules represent 75% of the BPTC final award (90 credits). It would be wrong,
therefore, to imply that the performance of any given Provider in relation to the
knowledge areas should be taken as a reliable proxy for the performance of that
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Provider in respect of the BPTC as a whole. The CEB preference is that identification
of Providers and pass rates should only occur when there is a statistically reliable trend
data that brings together Provider cohort performance in both the centrally assessed
knowledge areas and the locally assessed skills areas.
Professor Mike Molan
Chair of the Central Examinations Board
31 July 2015
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