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If Filipino private importers cannot import enough 805,200 tons of rice as predicted, it is highly possible
that NFA would be assigned to import 250,000 tons out of 805,200 tons.Analysts believe that with the
current balance of power, Vietnam and Thailand would have to join a duel to obtain the right to sell rice
to the Philippines. Myanmar will unlikely be able to compete with Vietnam and Thailand in prices.
http://english.vietnamnet.vn/fms/business/138316/vietnam-joins-race-to-sell-rice-to-philippines.html
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The weather bureau has warned that El Nio conditions could become stronger starting October and peak
by November or December when the sea surface temperature in the tropical Pacific will become much
hotter than average. Philstar.com/File
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The weather bureau has warned that El Nio conditions could become stronger starting October and peak
by November or December when the sea surface temperature in the tropical Pacific will become much
hotter than average.Sen. Grace Poe said the impacts of climate change are putting a bigger burden on the
governments resources as extreme weather events continue to create a new demographic of poor
Filipinos.Poe said at least 12 million Filipinos are at risk for the hazards brought about by storms and
floods, the second biggest population of at-risk people in the Asia Pacific region.
From 1998 to 2009, the country has lost at least $24 billion in GDP value due to the impact of climate
change, the senator said, citing a report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.Extreme
weather conditions destroy not just peoples homes but also their sources of food and livelihood. With
every storm that passes, more people are displaced, more people go hungry, more lose their livelihood,
Poe said.Climate change just keeps creating a new set of poor Filipinos, so we have to mitigate its
impact, she added.
http://www.philstar.com/headlines/2015/08/17/1488983/government-urged-help-farmers-affected-elnino#sthash.AOjT0hL3.dpuf
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CROP SUB-SECTOR
Output of the crops sub-sector -- which accounted for 49.8% of total production -- dropped by 3.05% in
the second quarter, compared to the 5.87% growth recorded in 2014s comparable three months.Last
semester
saw
this
sub-sector
slip
by
0.54%.
The intense heat that prevailed during the period pulled down production of palay and corn by 2.88%
and 15.76%, respectively, the PSA-BAS said.The hot weather condition, however, enhanced the
performance of other crops: pineapple, mango, abaca, mongo, camote, cassava, cabbage and garlic.
PALAY AND CORN
The PSA-BAS last Wednesday reported that actual production of palay -- or unmilled rice -- fell 2.9% to
3.96 million metric tons (MT) last quarter from 4.07 million MT in 2014s comparable three months.The
second-quarter harvest led to a 0.7% contraction to 8.32 million MT last semester from 8.38 million MT
in 2014s comparable six months.Corn production, meanwhile, fell 15.8% to 1.01 million MT last quarter
from 1.20 million MT the past year, causing last semesters output of this grain to drop 2.8% to 3.38
million MT from 3.48 million MT year on year.The PSA-BAS had said in that earlier report that
probable production of both staples this semester similarly may suffer.Unrealized plantings of palay
for the third-quarter harvest due to the late onset of the rainy season and insufficient supply of irrigation
water may bring down the second semester output, it explained, adding that probable corn output is also
expected
to
be
lower.
As a result, total output for the entire 2015 may decline by 0.6% for palay and 1.6% for corn.In particular,
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Last quarter saw two other sub-sectors -- livestock and poultry -- improve production.Contributing
16.24% to total farm output was livestock, which registered a 5.2% growth from only 0.68% the past
year. This was driven primarily by the 5.6% increase in hog production. Other livestock segments, save
for carabao, also improved output. Second-quarter growth spurred this sub-sector to expand by 4.25% last
semester.The poultry sub-sector -- which had a 15.18% share -- produced 4.71% more, a significant
improvement from only 0.12% as all components increased output. Chicken boosted the subsectors
performance in the second quarter of the year by posting a 5.08% growth in production, the report read.
For the first half, this sub-sector grew 5.03%.
Fisheries, which accounted for 18.79%, produced 1.53% less last quarter, although this performance was
marginally better than the 1.59% decline a year ago. Affected by the intense heat during the quarter and
posting reductions were milkfish, tilapia, round scad and skipjack. This sub-sector produced 2.12% less
than a year ago last semester.Farmgate prices -- particularly for crops, livestock and poultry -- fell 4.86%
last quarter, leading to a 4.14% drop last semester.
www.bworldonline.com/content.php?section=TopStory...el...
CROWLEY, La. (AP) - LSU agriculture experts estimate that the yield from this year's rice
harvest in south Louisiana will be down 10 to 15 percent from last year.A news release on the
rice crop from the LSU AgCenter says the harvest is just getting under way in north Louisiana
but hot, dry weather could affect grain quality in that part of the state.Steve Linscombe, director
of the LSU AgCenter Rice Research Station and Dustin Harrell, an AgCenter rice specialist, both
listed heavy rainfall from March until May, and frequent overcast skies as major reasons for
lower yields.
Linscombe said less sunshine made for fewer and smaller grains per plant. Harrell said excess
rainfall meant farmers were unable to make fertilizer applications on time. Disease was also a
factor in lower yields.Copyright 2015 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material
may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
http://www.ksla.com/story/29797033/clouds-and-rain-make-for-lower-rice-yields-in-louisiana
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Nagpur, Aug 17 Gram prices firmed up again in Nagpur Agriculture Produce and
Marketing Committee (APMC) here on increased festival season demand from local traders amid
weak arrival from producing belts. Upward trend on NCDEX, notable hike in Madhya Pradesh
gram prices and repeated enquiries from South-based traders also pushed up prices, according to
sources.
*
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According to the Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation, there are currently around 15 million acres of rice
farmland, 1 million of which was damaged by recent floods. Between 200 and 300 thousand acres have
been rendered useless; those areas require urgent attention and timely plantations. Similarly, 1.2 million
acres of farmlands for other crops were flooded, though 890,544 acres of that land has resurfaced so far.
Among those resurfaced lands, a total of 641,222 acres were damaged, with 407,924 acres totally
destroyed and only 3,648 acres maintaining the capacity to be reused.
The Myanmar Rice Federation (MRF) announced last week that the export would be suspended until midSeptember. Myanmar plans to export four million tonnes of rice by 2020 but the actual annual rice export
has reached only 1.3 million tonnes over the past years.State-media Global New Light of Myanmar
reported that yesterday, local authorities in Kawlin Township, Sagaing Region, helped local farmers
regrow rice on 745 acres of farmlands with seeding machines and tractors. Aside from causing over 100
fatalities, Cyclone Komen also affected nearly one million people.According to the World Bank, rice
accounts for 25 per cent of the consumption of richer households and 50 per cent of the consumption of
poorer households.
Paddy accounts for 30 per cent of total planted area and 40 per cent of gross agricultural output. It is
estimated to account for 13 per cent of the countrys GDP. In a related development, residents of Matupi
Township, Chin State, are reportedly facing food shortage as the city has been cut off from the plains
region of Myanmar for about 20 days.The recent heavy downpours have caused landslides in the region,
causing people to leave their homes. As of July 23, the incessant rains damaged sections of roads and
swept away bridges in the south of Chin State. Bus lines services from Pakokku to Matupi stopped until
August 10.
Currently, no trucks can reach Matupi. Rice, edible oil and salt are in short supply here. The distance
between Matupi and Pakokku is about 30 miles by foot. We have to go there by foot or by motorcycle,
which could take us about three days to go there. We can go to Pakokku by car via Mindat. It may take
about one month to complete the restoration of the damaged road, said Sali Napolyan, a resident of
Matupi. The 88 Generation (Peace and Open Society) is seeking possible ways to send rice to Matupi as
road access is blocked. The road linking Pakokku and Matupi is about 200 miles long. Normally, bus fare
for the Pakokku-Matupi trip is 15,000 kyats. Landslides along the Pakokku-Matupi road are common in
the rainy season. But due to Cyclone Komen, the situation is more severe this year.
http://www.asianewsnet.net/Myanmar-may-resume-rice-export-in-November--79552.html
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An aerial view of a part of Sittwe city at Sittwe, Rakhine state, Myanmar, August 5, 2015.
REUTERS/SOE ZEYA TUN
Farmers in flood-hit Myanmar face a scramble to replant damaged paddy fields in the next two weeks to
avoid food shortages, and aid efforts in some of the country's hardest hit areas remain a challenge, the
United Nations said on Saturday.More than 1.3 million people have been critically affected and at least
106 people have died since heavy monsoon rains coupled with a cyclone last month caused floods across
the country, according to the government.Water has receded in many areas, allowing farmers to assess the
damage to their crops and also to seed stocks as the end of planting season nears.
"If farmers aren't able to get rice seeds and plant in the next two weeks the window for the next season is
pretty much over," said Pierre Peron, spokesman for the U.N. Office for the Coordination of
Humanitarian Affairs(OCHA) in Myanmar."If they are not able to replant they will miss out completely
on this season and the impact on food security will be much larger than if we can provide them with
support to replant."Myanmar is a rice exporter, but has halted exports to stabilize prices.The U.N. and
NGOs have supplied emergency food assistance to 386,000 people impacted by the floods, OCHA said in
its latest situation report on the flooding.
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India's foodgrain production is estimated to have declined 4.66 per cent to 252.68 million
tonnes (MT) in 201415 crop year due to poor monsoon and unseasonal rains in
February-March.
The country had registered a record foodgrain production of 265.04
MT in 201314 crop year (JulyJune). Wheat, rice, coarse cereals
and pulses are part of the foodgrain basket."Total foodgrain
production in the country is estimated at 252.68 MT, which is lower
by 12.36 MT than the last year's record foodgrain production of
265.04 MT," an official statement said.While releasing the fourth
advance estimates for 2014 15, the Agriculture Ministry today said
the production of most of the crops fell because of a bad monsoon in 2014 and unseasonal
rains/hailstorms during February-March 2015, which affected kharif (summersown) and rabi
(wintersown) crops.
Rice production is estimated to have fallen to 104.80 million tonnes (MT) in 201415 against
the record output of 106.65 MT in the previous year.Wheat output is estimated to have declined
to 88.94 MT in 201415 as against a record 95.85 MT achieved in the previous year.The
Ministry has revised downwards the production of wheat, pulses and oilseeds from its earlier
estimates released on May 13. Wheat output was then pegged at 90.78 MT, pulses at 17.38 MT
and oilseeds at 27.38 MT."It may be noted that production of kharif crops during 2014-15
suffered due to bad monsoon. Unseasonal rains and hailstorm during February-March 2015 had a
significant impact on production of rabi crops."As a result of setback in kharif as well as rabi
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India had received 12 per cent deficient rains from the South-West monsoon in 2014.As per the
fourth estimate, production of coarse cereals is estimated to have declined to 41.75 MT in 201415 from 43.29 MT in the year-ago period.Pulses and oilseeds production in the country, which is
dependent on imports for lentils and edible oils, is also estimated to have dropped to 17.20 MT
and 26.68 MT, respectively, in 2014-15.In the previous year, pulses output stood at 19.25 MT
and that of oilseeds at 32.74 MT.Cotton production is estimated to have declined marginally to
35.48 million bales (of 170 kgs each) from 35.80 million bales while jute and mesta output too
fell to 11.45 million bales (of 180 kg each) from 11.69 million bales in the period under the
review.Sugarcane output is estimated to have risen to 359.33 MT from 352.21 MT in the said
period.The government releases four advance estimates followed by a final estimate of foodgrain
production.
http://www.deccanherald.com/content/495681/indias-foodgrain-output-fell-466.html
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+1
Data from market analysts Kantar Worldpanel showed that value sales of rice and noodles were
up 5.3per cent to 504.9 million in the year to April 2015
But the study shows that pouched rice has become the bestselling format in the market
overtaking plain packaged rice for the first time as Brits look for convenient carbs.It says that
volume sales of pouched rice have grown by a sixth year-on-year -- to 45 milion kg --while value
is up 10per cent to 171.9 million.Plain packaged rice is up 2.7per cent to 161.8 million with
volumes up 2.2per cent to 99.4 million kg.The Grocer said: 'The growth of pouches has come on
the back of continued new product development fuelled by shoppers' growing appetite for
wholegrain rice products.
'Last September, Uncle Ben's introduced pouched wholegrain versions of four of its flavours
which owner Mars said was in response to wholegrain rice sales growing by 82per cent over
three years.'At the same time, number two brand Tilda rolled out a Brown Basmati & Quinoa
pouch and followed this with Brown Basmati & Wild Rice in March. In April, Uncle Ben's
introduced a range of five Rice & Grains products made with wholegrain rice, quinoa and other
grains.'Tilda head of marketing Anna Beheshti told the magazine: 'Wholegrain rice is a key
category driver as consumers' dietary needs are becoming more complex.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3200374/Rice-noodle-sales-surge-Soaring-demand-Asian-style-cuisine-means-Britons-eaten-extra-9-000-tonsrice-past-year.html#ixzz3ivbwMAf7
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State
August 16,
2014
August 9,
2015
August 16,
2015
2010-2014
average
Percent
Arkansas
80
76
88
86
California
85
79
80
55
Louisiana
98
96
98
98
Mississippi
91
88
95
90
Missouri
77
70
78
72
Texas
97
95
97
97
Six States
86
81
88
82
Rice E-Newletter
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Month
Price
Net Change
September 2015
$11.995
+ $0.175
November 2015
$12.275
+ $0.180
January 2016
$12.570
+ $0.180
March 2016
$12.775
+ $0.150
May 2016
$13.005
+ $0.140
July 2016
$13.005
+ $0.140
September 2016
$11.950
+ $0.065
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U.S. farmers and their commodity organizations see improving relations with Cuba as a golden
opportunity to increase sales of their crops and ag products to a country that literally is located at
their back door.But those groups may be, in fact, missing the boat because of a lack of
understanding about actual conditions in Cuba. Increased trade would do more than provide another
market for U.S. ag; it could be a means of insuring the Cuban people get enough to eat.
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According to government rules, each person of a certain age in Cuba is supposed to receive 7 pounds
of rice per month. All Cubans have a ration book, which allows them to buy a certain amount of rice,
beans, oil, sugar, salt and some other products they need on a daily basis at subsidized prices.Until
about 2003 or 2004 that ration amount was 5 pounds per person, says Terry Harris, senior vice
president for marketing and risk management at Riceland Foods in Stuttgart, Ark. It was actually
raised to 7 pounds in 2004, but rice is still not always available for the people of Cuba.
Harris, a speaker for the University of Arkansas Division of Aricultures Aug. 13 Food and
Agribusiness Webinar titled Rice Marketing with a Cuban Flavor, has been traveling to Cuba for
Riceland Foods since 1999.He negotiated the first shipment of U.S. rice that went to Cuba after
Congress relaxed trade restrictions under the embargo put in place by President Kennedy in 1962.
The sale was concluded the day before Thanksgiving in 2001, and the first vessel arrived in Havana
in February 2002.
http://deltafarmpress.com/rice/lifting-obstacles-rice-sales-could-improve-cuban-diets
Rice E-Newletter
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If one scans through agro-policy profiles of various governments across the globe, they are
generally irrational, full of rhetoric for political agenda and lack pragmatism. Thus, trading
entities fear increased risks from governments than odd developments in the market triggered
by supply-demand mismatch, weather, speculation or going wrong on trading positions.A few
illustrations support the assertion in the foreign trade policies of some governments. The Indian
government is talking about 4 million tonnes of sugar exports via barter trade. Prime destinations
of Indian sugar include Sudan, Somalia, Sri Lanka, Tanzania, the UAE, Iran, Ethiopia, etc.
Barter with whom and in what time-frame? Is it practical to structure barter in a highly volatile
commodity and in such countries?
Sugar is largely traded amongst private parties based on criticality of international parities.
Induction of two governments, their official agencies, banks with escrow accounts, etc, to
facilitate barter in export process and involving non-sugar related private/public entitiesbe it of
pulses, edible oil, crude oil or any engineering projectis the best way to abort sugar export.
The talk (that cannot be walked) projects an illusion to farmers that the government is serious in
remedying the glut of sugar stocksthough trade fully understands the passivity of the policy.
The upgraded version of barter is called counter tradewhich in this case implies counter to
the trade and therefore is mere rhetoric.
Is the Indian action to impose 10% duty on wheat import in public interest? Flour millers in
South India are affected by destabilisation of a steady duty-free policy of last 7-8 years. The
government is attempting in vain to protect its turf for disposing of FCI-owned low quality wheat
at higher prices, while restricting import of good quality cheaper grain from abroad, thus
inducing inflationary pressures. The right way would be to discount its official prices at which
the low quality grain is tradeable, otherwise the short life of this grain will render it inedible for
human and feed consumption. All cost will be then sunk cost.
The Thai government, in 2011-12 and 2012-13, in order to generate political populism of
farmers, introduced procurement of paddy at $500/mt versus market price of $280-330/mt. Good
and bad paddy was procured not only from Thailand but even through illegal entry from
Cambodia, Myanmar and Vietnam. Thai traders lost their primacy in the worlds rice market due
to non-competitiveness. Today, the new Thai regime is struggling to dispose of 18 million tonnes
of accumulated rice, of which 6 million tonnes is unfit for human consumption and 10 million
tonnes require reprocessing. The estimate of unverified loss is about $16 billion.
Iran, though it prohibited import of Indian basmati rice in 2014-15, imported about 0.9 million
tonnes in the same yearbasmati rice is banned officially but select parties are given quotas and
licences to import from nominated Indian suppliers. This amounts to state-sponsored canalised
import via private importers. Official ban represents crony nexus between the powers that be.
China imports soy seeds (74 million tonnes), and corn (4-5 million tonnes) is imported from the
US, Argentina and Brazil. Such cargo is exposed to rejections by citing phyto or GM-related
issues, which rattle world markets. By such negative actions, Chinese buyers hammer down
world prices or enter into renegotiated contracts at lower values. Foreign suppliers sustain losses
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We ate 12 million tonnes of extra rice and noodles last year Photo: Alamy
By Saffron Alexander
12:57PM BST 17 Aug 2015
British demand for Japanese food is soaring, according to a new report.Research from market
analysts Kantar Worldpanel found that, in the past year, Brits ate an extra 12 million tonnes of
rice and noodles.Sales of rice and noodles were up 5.3 per cent, bringing sales up to 504.9
million tonnes and volume sales were up 6.5 per cent, meaning families spent an extra 24
million on products last year.The rise in sales is thought to be driven by authentic Japanese
brands, or companies who take cues from Japanese cuisine, such as Wagamama or
Itsu.Speaking to The Grocer, Itsu creative director Julian Metcalfe said: "From our
conversations with key buyers, it appears the rise of noodles is coming from the premium,
authentic sector."
Kantar Worldpanel added that the growth can also be attributed to an increase in shopping trips,
bigger baskets in store and the reduction of average prices of rice and noodles.
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The study also found that the volume sales of pouched rice have grown by a sixth, causing it to
overtake plain packaged rice for the first time as Brits opt for quicker, more convenient,
meals.
The Grocer said: "The growth of pouches has come on the back of continued new product
development fuelled by shoppers' growing appetite for wholegrain rice products. Last
September, Uncle Ben's introduced pouched wholegrain versions of four of its flavours which
owner Mars said was in response to wholegrain rice sales growing by 82per cent over three
years.
"At the same time, number two brand Tilda rolled out a Brown Basmati & Quinoa pouch and
followed this with Brown Basmati & Wild Rice in March. In April, Uncle Ben's introduced a
range of five Rice & Grains products made with wholegrain rice, quinoa and other grains.
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