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Brown, Assistant
Director,
(203) 535-6203
Tim Malloy, Assistant Director
(203) 645-8043
Rubenstein Associates, Inc.,
Public Relations
Pat
(212) 843-8026
FORSmith
RELEASE:
AUGUST 20, 2015
1. (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for President were being held
today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz,
Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich,
George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, and
Scott Walker, for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
FL
OH
PA
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
Walker
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA
17%
11
1
7
7
4
1
3
4
11
21
4
1
8
5%
6
1
7
5
3
27
2
7
2
21
2
11
6%
13
2
5
7
2
1
3
5
10
4
24
5
1
2
9
2. (If Registered Republican) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not
support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz,
Fiorina, Gilmore, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum,
Trump, or Walker? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were
allowed)
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
FL
OH
PA
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
Walker
No/No one
DK/NA
17%
5
16
5
4
7
10
8
9
6
11
17
8
7
9
29
5
23
9
12%
5
15
6
4
7
11
7
4
7
8
16
8
5
8
31
5
25
10
22%
5
18
7
5
8
11
8
6
7
8
14
8
6
9
36
6
23
7
3. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today,
and the candidates were Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton,
Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
FL
OH
PA
Biden
Chafee
Clinton
O'Malley
Sanders
Webb
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA
11%
48
1
15
1
2
6
17
14%
47
17
1
3
6
12
17%
45
1
19
1
2
3
12
4. (If Registered Democrat) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not
support for the Democratic nomination for president: Biden, Chafee, Clinton, O'Malley,
Sanders, or Webb? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were
allowed)
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
FL
OH
PA
Biden
Chafee
Clinton
O'Malley
Sanders
Webb
No/No one
DK/NA
12%
11
14
11
11
10
42
23
9%
8
14
8
7
7
51
18
9%
9
15
9
8
9
50
20
5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Clinton
Bush
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
38%
49
2
7
3
41%
39
4
10
6
40%
43
3
9
4
6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Clinton
Rubio
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
39%
51
2
5
3
40%
42
3
7
8
40%
47
2
5
6
7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Clinton
Trump
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
41%
43
3
9
4
43%
38
4
10
6
45%
40
4
9
3
8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden
the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Biden
Bush
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
38%
51
2
6
3
42%
39
3
9
6
42%
43
2
7
6
9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden
the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Biden
Rubio
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
42%
48
2
4
3
42%
41
2
7
8
41%
44
3
6
7
10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Biden
Trump
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
45%
42
2
7
4
48%
38
3
7
4
48%
40
2
7
3
11. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Sanders
Bush
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
35%
54
2
6
3
36%
42
4
9
10
36%
44
3
8
9
12. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie
Sanders the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Sanders
Rubio
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
36%
52
2
5
6
34%
42
2
8
13
33%
45
3
6
12
13. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie
Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Sanders
Trump
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
41%
45
2
7
5
42%
40
3
7
7
44%
41
4
6
6
14. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary
Clinton the Democrat, Jeb Bush the Republican, and Donald Trump running as an independent,
for whom would you vote?
Clinton
Bush
Trump
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
37%
36
19
1
3
3
37%
27
23
2
5
6
37%
29
24
1
4
4
Fiorina
Carson
Rubio
Kasich
Bush
Huckabee
Biden
Walker
Cruz
Sanders
Jindal
Chafee
Gilmore
Webb
Pataki
O'Malley
Santorum
Perry
Paul
Trump
Christie
Clinton
Graham
Rubio
Bush
Huckabee
Carson
Fiorina
Walker
Kasich
Cruz
Jindal
Perry
Trump
Santorum
Christie
Paul
Pataki
Gilmore
Graham
FLORIDA REPUBLICANS...............
Hvn't
Fav
Unfav hrdEn REF
NetFav
87
8
4
1
79
81
15
4
66
70
13
17
1
57
61
5
34
56
57
5
37
52
59
10
31
49
48
4
48
44
56
14
29
1
42
45
11
43
1
34
56
22
21
1
34
55
30
12
3
25
45
21
33
24
52
30
16
2
22
38
33
27
1
5
18
17
64
1
6
6
88
0
26
29
43
2
-3
Biden
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Chafee
Webb
FLORIDA DEMOCRATS...............
Hvn't
Fav
Unfav hrdEn REF
NetFav
80
10
9
70
80
15
4
1
65
51
7
41
1
44
11
6
81
1
5
10
9
81
1
1
10
17
73
-7
Kasich
Carson
Rubio
Fiorina
Sanders
Biden
Jindal
Huckabee
Bush
Gilmore
Webb
Walker
Cruz
Chafee
Pataki
O'Malley
Santorum
Christie
Paul
Clinton
Perry
Trump
Graham
Rubio
Kasich
Carson
Huckabee
Bush
Cruz
Fiorina
Walker
Jindal
Santorum
Trump
Perry
Christie
Pataki
Gilmore
Paul
Graham
OHIO REPUBLICANS...................
Hvn't
Fav
Unfav hrdEn REF
NetFav
74
5
21
69
76
14
10
62
65
4
31
61
70
13
16
1
57
67
17
14
2
50
50
12
37
1
38
43
8
49
35
47
13
40
34
37
9
54
28
38
16
44
1
22
53
33
11
3
20
40
23
34
2
17
44
30
25
1
14
11
17
71
-6
3
11
85
1
-8
28
45
25
2
-17
13
32
53
1
-19
Biden
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Chafee
Webb
OHIO DEMOCRATS...................
Hvn't
Fav
Unfav hrdEn REF
NetFav
79
10
11
1
69
77
11
10
2
66
52
5
43
1
47
7
7
85
0
6
7
87
1
-1
6
12
80
2
-6
10
Rubio
Carson
Kasich
Fiorina
Biden
Jindal
Walker
Huckabee
Sanders
Bush
Cruz
Chafee
Gilmore
Webb
Santorum
O'Malley
Pataki
Christie
Paul
Clinton
Graham
Perry
Trump
Rubio
Carson
Cruz
Bush
Jindal
Santorum
Kasich
Fiorina
Huckabee
Walker
Trump
Perry
Christie
Paul
Graham
Gilmore
Pataki
Biden
Clinton
Sanders
Chafee
O'Malley
Webb
11
15. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about her?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
37%
55
7
1
36%
54
8
2
38%
55
5
2
16. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
36%
50
12
2
32%
54
11
3
34%
55
9
2
17. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard
enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
53%
39
7
1
39%
43
17
2
41%
43
14
2
18. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
38%
17
44
-
35%
13
51
1
35%
16
49
1
19. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
32%
47
20
1
27%
43
29
1
34%
50
16
1
12
20. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard
enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
31%
32
36
1
25%
33
41
1
29%
32
38
1
21. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about her?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
34%
11
54
-
24%
13
62
1
28%
16
57
-
22. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jim Gilmore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
5%
9
86
-
3%
8
88
1
2%
7
90
1
23. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
14%
38
45
3
8%
35
57
1
13%
31
55
1
24. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
41%
33
25
1
33%
37
29
1
36%
37
26
1
13
25. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
22%
26
51
-
17%
19
63
1
22%
22
56
-
26. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
28%
11
60
1
55%
27
17
1
28%
13
58
-
27. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
12%
20
68
-
7%
16
76
1
11%
22
66
1
28. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
27%
41
31
1
22%
38
38
2
27%
43
29
1
29. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
28%
39
32
1
18%
38
43
1
21%
41
38
-
14
30. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
52%
35
12
1
40%
21
37
1
46%
22
32
-
31. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
24%
35
40
1
19%
35
45
1
34%
42
24
1
32. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
28%
27
43
2
21%
28
51
-
26%
26
48
1
33. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
44%
43
12
1
45%
42
11
2
46%
43
10
1
34. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Lincoln Chafee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
7%
11
81
1
2%
10
87
-
6%
10
83
-
15
35. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Martin O'Malley favorable, unfavorable or haven't
you heard enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
6%
16
77
1
4%
13
83
-
9%
18
72
1
36. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
28%
31
41
-
30%
26
43
1
28%
29
43
1
37. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jim Webb favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard
enough about him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
FL
OH
PA
7%
12
80
-
4%
9
86
1
8%
14
77
-
38. Thinking about the recent Republican presidential primary debate on Fox News between
Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Huckabee, Kasich, Paul, Rubio, Trump and Walker; which
candidate do you think did the best job, or won, the debate?
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Huckabee
Kasich
Paul
Rubio
Trump
Walker
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
7%
8
2
3
3
7
2
15
14
1
37
3%
7
1
2
2
20
1
7
16
1
40
5%
6
3
3
3
10
2
10
17
1
41
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
60%
40
1
58%
41
1
56%
41
2
16
46. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
32%
64
4
34%
60
6
32%
63
5
47. Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
39%
53
8
37%
53
10
40%
53
7
48. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden is honest and trustworthy or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
52%
40
8
59%
33
8
61%
31
8
49. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
64%
28
8
54%
35
11
54%
36
10
50. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
40%
23
37
38%
20
42
40%
23
37
51. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
58%
30
12
45%
24
31
49%
23
28
52. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
52%
46
2
53%
43
4
56%
42
17
53. Would you say that - Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
61%
35
4
61%
36
3
65%
33
2
54. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden has strong leadership qualities or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
46%
48
6
51%
42
7
50%
42
7
55. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
72%
22
6
58%
33
9
61%
29
10
56. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has strong leadership qualities or
not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
34%
29
37
31%
28
41
38%
26
35
57. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or
not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
56%
32
12
47%
24
29
47%
23
30
58. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
42%
55
3
43%
52
5
43%
53
4
18
59. Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
38%
55
6
33%
59
8
36%
60
4
60. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden cares about the needs and problems of
people like you or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
49%
42
9
56%
37
8
60%
34
7
61. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of
people like you or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
61%
34
5
47%
43
10
49%
41
10
62. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders cares about the needs and problems
of people like you or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
40%
28
31
38%
24
38
42%
25
33
63. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of
people like you or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
56%
33
11
43%
29
28
46%
30
24
64. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has the right kind of temperament and personality
to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
45%
51
4
49%
47
4
51%
44
4
19
65. Would you say that - Donald Trump has the right kind of temperament and personality to
handle an international crisis as President, or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
29%
64
7
28%
65
7
30%
65
5
66. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden has the right kind of temperament and
personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
49%
45
6
53%
40
7
57%
36
7
67. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush has the right kind of temperament and
personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
70%
23
7
57%
32
11
61%
29
10
68. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has the right kind of temperament
and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
32%
30
38
29%
30
41
30%
30
40
69. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio has the right kind of temperament and
personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
Yes
No
DK/NA
FL
OH
PA
55%
32
13
40%
27
32
45%
23
32
20