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OCTOBER 2013
"I hereby declare that the dissertation submitted for the degree M Tech: Quantity
Surveying, at Tshwane University of Technology, is my own original work and has
not previously been submitted to any other institution of higher education. I further
declare that all sources cited or quoted are indicated and acknowledged by means of
a comprehensive list of references
T.G Monyane
Dedication
Firstly, this dissertation is dedicated to the ALMIGHTY GOD, who gave me the
strength and courage to accomplish the goals for this phase of my academic
development.
Secondly, I dedicate this dissertation to my loving wife, Tumi, for her support and my
son, Lesedi, for too often asking me what I was doing while working on this
dissertation at home.
Thirdly, I dedicate this dissertation to my late parents, may their souls rest in peace,
I know they were watching me all this time and giving me guidance when I was not
looking, as well as to my late brother, Mokes.
My surviving brothers, George and Michael, we were always a cohesive family no
matter what.
Acknowledgements
The success of this research endeavour is anchored in the support of the Central
University of Technology, FS. I am deeply grateful for the attributes of the academic
environment provided by the Institution and the resources given to me during my
studies. Most importantly, I am indebted to Dr Fidelis Abumere Emuze, you have
been outstanding and your mentorship and advisory support has made it possible. In
addition I would also want to thank my Supervisors Prof Talukhaba and James
Okumbe for your guidance.
I further wish to express my gratitude to the following people for their advice and
support:
Professor Alfred Ngowi, for his advice and support at the commencement of this
work;
Mrs Erica Greyling for her guidance and endless advice, you are like a mother to
me;
Dr Ayodeji Aiyetan for always pushing me and asking endless questions about
my progress, and
I must also mention the support I received from individuals who were prepared to fill
out the questionnaires to make this possible. And not forgetting the contribution by
The Association of South African Quantity Surveyors (ASAQS) FS Chapter, for
granting me the opportunity to distribute the questionnaires during their meetings.
The FS Institute of Architects, who also allowed me to distribute the questionnaires.
I also wish to express my appreciation for the support and guidance of the
Ramanamane family, especially my cousin Sampo; she has been the rock of my
family for years now.
ABSTRACT
Aim: To identify the major cost overrun factors in the construction sector of the Free
State Province of South Africa and the effective remedial cost control measures,
generate and recommend possible solutions.
The primary objective: to identify the major causes of cost overrun in the construction
sector of the Free State Province of South Africa and the related effective remedial
cost control measures.
Recommendations: The practical implications of this study are that the stakeholders
of the Free State construction industry need to take careful account of the factors
that influence cost overrun in each stage of the life cycle of the projects that they
undertake.
Table of Contents
CHAPTER ONE ..................................................................................................................................... 9
1.1
Introduction ............................................................................................................................ 9
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
1.11
Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 17
2.2.
2.3.
2.4.
2.5.
2.6.
2.7.
2.8.
2.9.
Summary ............................................................................................................................... 36
Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 37
3.2.
3.3.
3.4.
3.5.
Questionnaire Design............................................................................................................ 42
3.6.
3.7.
3.8.
3.9.
3.10.
3.11.
Conclusion ......................................................................................................................... 49
Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 51
4.2.
4.3.
Responses to Questionnaires................................................................................................ 52
4.4.
4.5.
Please indicate the length of your experience in the Construction Industry? ................... 53
4.7.
4.7.
Causes of Cost Overrun that are Prevalent in Public Sector Projects in the FS Province? ... 59
4.8.
4.9. Does the Frequency of Cost Overrun Constitute a Performance Problem for the
Construction Industry? ..................................................................................................................... 60
4.10.
Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 67
5.2.
5.9.
5.4.
General Conclusions.............................................................................................................. 69
5.5.
5.6.
Recommendations ................................................................................................................ 71
7
5.7.
6.
REFERENCES ....................................................................................................................... 73
APPENDIX 1 ............................................................................................................................... 79
APPENDIX 2 ............................................................................................................................... 80
CHAPTER ONE
THE PROBLEM AND ITS SETTING
1.1 Introduction
(Chimwaso, 2001) discovered that one of the challenges facing the construction
industry in developing countries is the chronic problem of construction cost overruns.
Therefore, the result of the contract sum cannot always be regarded as a firm price.
Even where the work is ordered based on fixed price, measurements related to
provisional work, adjustment of prime cost and provisional sums and variation orders
will still occur (Chimwaso, 2001). The costs arising from these unforeseen
circumstances are a sure cause for the adjustment of the contract sum.
Consequently, the initial tender price is not what is finally paid, due to the many
factors that influence cost overruns. It goes without saying that this results in poor
cost performance of construction projects, leaving many clients unsatisfied.
In construction, however, it is difficult to talk about actual construction cost: the
money the client pays the contractor for carrying out the work, until the project is
completed and the final account agreed upon. For this reason, the anticipated final
construction cost is always referred to as the projected or estimated final account
(Chimwaso, 2001). The public construction industry has been experiencing
exorbitant budget cost expenditure (cost overruns), where in extreme cases some
development projects have had to be put on hold, deferred to future development
plan periods due to insufficient funds caused by money being diverted to complete
long delayed running projects; and thus; distracting the whole long term government
development plans.
Anecdotal evidence and empirical findings have shown that the construction industry
in South Africa is not free from cost overruns which are, usually, loosely blamed on
lack of cost control (Chimwaso 2001). However, this is said to stem from a poor
definition of cost control that focuses only on monitoring of costs and recording of
data. According to Flybjerg (2003) cost are underestimated in almost 90% of the
projects, and that on average actual cost are 28% higher than estimated costs. Due
to this phenomena of lack of forecasting, Flybjerg (2009) further suggests that this
can be attributed to three underlying reasons: 1) delusions or honest mistakes; 2)
deception or strategic manipulation of information or processes; 3) bad luck. This
9
study attempts to evaluate the cost performance of public projects in the Free State
Province and sets out to identify and rank the factors that influence cost overruns.
The research findings are presented together with empirical data from completed
public projects. This study is of significance in that it raises the level of awareness
among professional and gives the design team a sense of preparedness from the
inception of the project.
The treatise is organised as follows: firstly, a literature review on the problem of cost
overruns is presented, followed by the identification of the factors that influence
these overruns. The objectives of the study, the method of data collection and the
structure of the questionnaires are then described. This is followed by the
presentation of the findings. The factors that influence cost overruns are then ranked
in order of significance. Finally, summaries, conclusions and recommendations are
presented in the light of the primary and secondary data pertaining to the study.
1.2 Research Problem Statement
The Construction Industry (CI) plays an important role in the development of a
country through the delivery of projects and other related activities that generate
income for individuals and firms. This contribution is deemed to be greatly enhanced
when project delivery is on target in terms of stated performance parameters.
However, this is generally considered not to be the case, either nationally or
internationally. However projects will be successful if major factors that contribute to
cost overrun are identified and examined beforehand, so professionals can learn
from historical data. Furthermore it is essential for the identified major causes to look
at cost control measures that the professionals in the construction industry can apply
to minimise the reoccurrence of these construction cost overrun. It will benefit the
industry to identify those that are common in the public sector since literature has
indicated that they are severe in public sectors in the developing countries. To better
understand the level of the occurrence of cost overrun professionals should indicate
their awareness of the frequency of occurrence of the overrun in the public sector
projects. The literature is dense with examples of performance related problems that
incur cost overruns in construction. In essence, the assumed problem statement for
this study states that public sector construction projects are prone to and experience
cost overruns that propagate a mirage of problems in the Free State Province of
10
South Africa. To resolve this problem, five questions were formulated to act as
springboard for the empirical work. The questions include:
What are the major causes of construction cost overruns and what are the
effective remedial measures to be applied in South African construction industry?
Which causes of cost overruns are prevalent in public sector projects in the Free
State province of South Africa?
How frequently do public sector projects in the Free State Province experience
cost overruns?
Does the frequency of cost overruns constitute a performance problem for the
construction industry in the Free State Province?
What interventions can best be deployed in order to stem the tide of cost
overruns in South African construction, especially in the Free State Province?
Costs are a key parameter of the projects success or failures for any client
wishing to commence with a project;
Public sector projects are mainly undertaken for social reasons where the
public will be the ones using the assets rather than for profit;
Public sector projects tend to experience more cost overruns than private ones
due to the fact that they are not built for profit.
Cost consultants are always involved in construction projects and therefore are
in the best position to contribute to minimising the recurrence of cost overrun.
1.10
Structure of Dissertation
Chapter one presents the background of the study in the form of a statement of the
problem, research questions, aim and objectives, scope of the study, assumptions of
the study and its significance. Chapter two addresses the review of the related
literature, whilst Chapter three identifies the research method employed. Chapter
four relays the participants perceptions concerning the problems identified on the
survey and Chapter 5 presents the summary, conclusions and recommendations
15
that were deduced from the research project. The covering letter, questionnaire and
list of abbreviations are located in the appendices.
16
CHAPTER TWO
THE REVIEW OF THE RELATED LITERATURE
2.1.
Introduction
Project success depends on five outcomes of project management. For any project
manager to lay claim to a successful project, it has to be constructed within the
expected duration of the project, within budget, with the right quality and in the right
environment and needs to be achieved safely.
A degree of change can be, and to a certain extent should be, expected in
construction, as it is difficult for clients to visualise the end product that they procure.
Cost overrun is also known as change orders (Zawawi, Azman, Shamil and Kamar,
2010). As mentioned, percentage cost overrun is defined as the deviation from the
amount agreed, as per the contract sum divided by the agreed, original amount of
the contract:
Cost overrun = Final Contract Amount Original Contract Amount
Original Contract Amount
17
However, most forms of rework (with the exception of that caused by weather) are
preventable (Endut et al., 2005). An analysis conducted by Koushki et al. (2005) has
shown that public and private sector projects exhibit similar patterns of cost
overruns. They go on to reveal that the three main causes in order of frequency,
severity, and impact are contractor-related problems, material-related problems and
owners financial constraints. This research further found that cost overrun is in
mainly influenced by project complexity, characteristics of the client or their
representative and payment modality. In addition, the research reveals that cost
overruns appear to be greatly influenced by both procurement and non-procurement
related factors.
There are a number of factors, about which several research studies have been
conducted to investigate the causes and extent of overruns, which may influence
cost. In research conducted by Ramabodu and Verster (2010) to establish whether
construction cost overrun is seen as a problem in the Free State Province, all the
respondents considered cost overruns as a problem that needs to be addressed.
Furthermore, their research divided the factors on cost overruns into three categories
i.e. very critical factors, moderately critical factors and less critical factors. And of
those categories, five factors were considered to be very critical: firstly changes in
scope of work on site by the client seemed to be the one with the most influence
according to the respondents, but cannot be seen as controllable by the design team
and is thus not seen as cost overrun related to budget items and must be equated
for through an approval process driven by the client body. Incomplete design at the
time of tender, contractual claims and lack of cost planning and monitoring were
cited to be major causes.
Based on a sample of 258 projects, Flyvbjerg et al. (2003) found that:
Nine out of 10 transport infrastructure projects fall victim to cost escalation (n = 258).
For rail, average cost escalation is 45% (n = 58, SD = 38). For fixed links (bridges
and tunnels), average cost escalation is 34% (n =33, SD =62). For roads, average
cost escalation is 20% (n= 167, SD = 30). Cost escalation exists across 20 nations
and five continents and appears to be a global phenomenon (n = 258).
18
For consultants, changes in design and duration of contract are equally the
most influential cost factors.
Contractors consider local laws and regulations to be the most influential cost
factor, followed by project planning and scheduling.
Developers regard on-site disputes as the most influential cost factor followed
by work experience.
As previously mentioned Memon, Rahman, Abdullah and Azis (2010) observed that
cash flow and financial difficulties faced by contractors, contractor's poor site
management and supervision, inadequate contractor experience, shortage of site
workers and incorrect planning and scheduling by contractors were significant
19
suggest that bad weather and scope changes alongside delayed payments are
major factors that bring about cost overruns in Zambian road construction projects.
Nega (2008) affirmed in his study that parties blamed each other for encountered
cost project escalations in the Ethiopian construction industry. Nega (2008) then
suggests that it was important to identify the stakeholders who are responsible for
causing cost overruns in public building construction projects in order to evolve
corrective measures. Nega (2008) reported that there were claims made by clients
concerning issues related to design, specifications and contract documentation.
Table 2.1 indicates causes and corresponding, responsible parties, for cost overruns
according to the literature (Nega, 2008).
Table 1: Causes of cost overrun
Responsible party
planning
3
Consultant
Consultant
materials)
7
change orders
8
Consultants
Responsible party
11
Inappropriate/inexperienced contractor
21
contractor
12
and conditions
13
Client
Consultant
construction
16
Consultant
17
Contractors bankruptcy
Contractor
18
Cost underestimation
19
end users
20
local market
21
Consultant
Consultants
23
risk
24
Consultant
25
Consultant &contractor
26
Contractor
27
28
Supplementary/additional agreement
29
contract
30
Client
32
Client
33
22
contract time)
35
undertaken to assume
36
Consultant
administration
37
Government
policies
38
contractor
39
Others
archaeological interest
Source: Nega (2008)
Danso and Anti (2012), in their study of factors influencing the time and cost
overruns in Ghana telecom construction projects, identified 14 major factors. These
factors were listed as:
Price fluctuations;
Lack of cost planning / monitoring during pre and post contract stages;
Additional works.
23
Yusuf, Abidin and Bambang (2008) emphasised the notion that many construction
firms in Indonesia seem to be placing a greater focus on project cost rather than
concentrating on other factors that might reduce these costs. The implication of their
research findings is that that these construction firms tend to neglect time and
quality, which are also important targets needing to be taken into consideration. For
these reasons, Yusuf et al. (2008) contend that in developing countries such as
Indonesia, many construction project failures occur as a result of poor monitoring
and control; lack of documentation on project lessons learned; by their not being
adaptive to information technology development as well as delays and mistakes in
decision making. Therefore by virtue of being more concentrated on project cost at
the expense of other key project considerations, cost overruns are often manifested
in Indonesia. Yusuf et al. (2008) illustrate their assertion by mentioning the causes of
project material cost overruns in terms of 58 events and 57 causes, furthermore with
regard to their analysis; they identified the sources of risks that cause most events
on material cost overruns as purchasing and material usage. Eight events that
exercise the most influence on such cost overruns, which are related to purchasing,
are:
Change order changes and excess materials, which are mainly due to
materials that are not purchased in accordance with specifications and
requirements;
Delay in material procurement, which is mostly caused by shortages in the
market, changes in materials sources that are related to project location,
delay in payment, and delay in purchasing;
Delay in project works execution, which is largely due to the same factors;
Increased procurement cost which is mostly caused by a supply shortage in
the market, and
Delay in delivery of materials to project site, which is most commonly due to
poor strategy in selecting sellers.
24
It is notable that the cost overruns indicators that are influenced by the eight events
mentioned are purchasing costs, storage costs, and excess material cost. In another
study undertaken by Enhassi, Arain and Al-Raee (2010), they rated the top ten most
important causes of variation orders in construction projects in Gaza Strip. These,
according to survey respondents, included: the lack of construction materials and
equipment spare parts due to closure and siege; changes in design by the
consultant; the consultant's lack of knowledge of available materials and equipment;
errors and omissions in the design; conflicts between contract documents; owner's
financial problems; lack of coordination among parties involved in the project;
international consultant using inadequate specification to be followed in local
conditions; internal political problems, and change in specifications by owner. The
lack of materials and spare parts of equipment because of closure is the most
important cause of variation in orders in construction projects in Gaza Strip.
In the South African construction context, Baloyi and Bekker (2010) identify the
causes of cost overrun related to the stadia built or refurbished for the 2010 FIFA
World Cup. The top ten causes in order of importance included:
Project complexity;
Manpower shortage
Potty, Irdus and Ramanathan (2011) make several interesting points regarding time
delay and cost overruns in their study of multiple design and build projects. While the
owner and consultants of these multiple bridge construction projects in Malaysia
perceive that the project was completed within time and within budget, the contractor
had to bear the risk of both these factors because design and build projects transfer
it to the contractor. Therefore, they will both agree on the projects success. On the
25
other hand the contractor is heavily overloaded with delays and severe cost overruns
of the projects since he is responsible for managing the contract and bearing all the
risks involved. Potty et al. (2011: 4) also conducted several case studies as part of a
study that made use of opinion surveys for data collection. Insights from the cases
and the opinion survey are detailed below:
Contractors opinions
The contractors reported that projects were delayed and the reasons for cost
overruns include but are not limited to:
The widespread project location that caused logistics related challenges while
transferring resources to the site at the time of requirement.
The delay in land and property acquisition obstructed and prevented progress
in the construction work.
Inclement weather due to the change in weather patterns. The unstable river
which swells when the catchment receives rainfall. This cannot be predicted
at the project site location.
26
Consultants opinions
Design data unavailable when required causing changes to the design at the
time of construction.
Rework due to lack of quality caused by rushed work. It was also due to
failure of soil compaction for roads.
Cash flow problems faced by contractor due to delayed payment from the
client.
Owners opinions
The owners reports on cost and time overruns are summarised as follows:
Less quality and rework having to be done by contractor due to rushing work.
As mentioned above, Potty et al. (2011) garnered the opinions of the three parties
included and carried out case studies to further clarify the findings of the research.
The findings regarding the cases studies are listed below:
Case study 1:
The project was delivered on time, within budget, in the opinion of the owner and the
consultant. However, the contractor was obliged to bear the risk of the cost overrun
beyond the budget. The contractor had to deal with this situation due to the frequent
changes in the design, even when the work was in progress. Typically, the kind of
cost overrun is not considered in D&B contracts in which the owner has transferred
their risk to the contractor through the contract.
Case studies 2 & 3:
The same finding applies to these projects. The cost overrun in this project occurred
partially due to the work variation requested by the owner.
Case study 4:
The project suffered delay due to inclement weather, which caused damage to the
completed post-tension beams. This event resulted in a 75% rework of the
completed construction work being required and subsequently caused a delay of the
project completion date. In this case, the contractor was not the main cause for delay
as it was due to external factors. This type of delay is known as non-compensated,
excusable delays.
Case study 5:
The project suffered delay due to obstacles on site. Such obstacles pertained to
property encroachment and public utilities. The project could not progress until the
government authorities took appropriate action for acquisition and compensation.
This procedure took too long and resulted in a delay of the project commencement
date, which in turn caused a setback in the completion of the project. Therefore, the
contractor is not considered responsible for the delay in this project. This type of
28
The management of costs in a project is a common thread running through the entire
life of a project. The feasibility of a project depends on its cost and financial viability
and the project is not complete until the last payments and paperwork have been
completed. Caruthers et al. (2008) state that the management of costs begins with
the financial feasibility study, progresses through all the costs that are required to
purchase all the resources needed by the project, through to using cost control to
ensure that all work that is done is properly completed. Kimmons (1990,,cited in
Caruthers et al., 2008:161) states that at any stage during the project, the total
predicted cost consists of the defined elements, the contingency, the escalation, and
the scope creep (or job growth). Any cost forecast needs to make allowances for all
of these, although it is imperative that scope creep must stay out of these forecasts,
which should be based on a particular project scope. The cost implications of scope
creep need to be very rigorously controlled by way of formal variation orders
(Caruthers et al., 2008).
29
Research conducted by Azis, Memon, Rahman, Latif and Nagapan (2012) focused
on the objective of assessing the level of effectiveness of various cost management
techniques implemented in large construction projects in South Malaysia. The results
of the study show that the most effective technique of cost management was cash
flow forecasting, tender budgeting / estimating, and an elemental cost plan.
As mentioned, Caruthers et al. (2008) however describe a cost estimate as an
approximation. Therefore, cost estimations require the utmost accuracy in order for
clients to ensure that they have sufficient funds to execute the projects without
delays due to underestimations (Kaliba et al., 2010).
2.4.
Oosthuizen et al. (1998), cited in Dibonwa (2008) describe project cost control as a
process of gathering, analysing, comparing and monitoring the costs of a project and
reporting the results continuously during the development cycle of a project. Keong
(2010) in turn elaborated on the fact that cost control requires searching out the
whys of both positive and negative variances. Cost control must be thoroughly
integrated with the other control processes: scope change control, schedule control
and quality control. The control system for construction costs should include the
purposes in the following terms (Keong, 2010):
To provide data to assist in the valuation of those variations that will arise during
the course of the work.
Ensuring that all appropriate changes are accurately recorded in the cost
baseline.
30
2.5.
Market conditions
Inflation
Delay in payment
Tax increases
Insurance costs
Government policy.
Bari, Ahmad, Jaapar, Yusuff, and Ismail (2012), in their study of factors influencing
construction costs of Industrialised Building Systems in Malaysia, indicated that
factors related to project / IBS Characteristics, economics and market conditions
and contractors attributes are common factors that may influence the construction
costs of IBS projects. Moreover, most of the factors grouped in project / IBS
characteristics were regarded as important, based on the analysed data. These are
repeatability and standardisation; repeated use of design, mould and construction
techniques; fast track construction; economies of scale and comprehensiveness of
IBS principles in the design.
2.7.
Flyvbjerg et al.s (2009) study provides a clear indication of the severity of cost
overruns in large infrastructure projects by deducing that over-budgeting and
overtime occur repeatedly. Furthermore, explanations of project underperformance
in terms of optimum bias and strategic misrepresentation lead to high failure rates for
projects as a consequence of flawed decision-making ( Flyvbjerg et al., 2009).
However, Love (2011) argues that simply assuming that strategic misrepresentation
and optimum bias are overarching actions which lead to the unsuccessful delivery of
social infrastructure projects is misleading, considering the complex array of
conditions and variables that interact with one another during the procurement of a
project. He goes on to say that understanding the conditions that result in design
errors is necessary to reduce their incidence within projects. More importantly,
focusing solely on addressing such actions may mask the underlying conditions that
continually contribute to the adoption of opportunistic project and managerial
practices. An examination of a social infrastructure case presented by the same
author reveals that errors contributed to a great deal of dissonance between project
32
of
requirements,
definition
of
works,
timeliness,
government
costs to inflate due to the additional work that the contractor is required to carry out.
As referred to earlier, Mahamid (2013) conducted an investigation into the effects of
projects physical characteristics on the cost deviation of 74 road constructions in
Palestine. In the analysis of cost under-estimation based on the projects category,
the study showed that small projects have the highest average of cost underestimations of 24.9% while large projects have the largest average of 15.9%. In the
analysis of cost overestimation in road construction, based on a projects category,
the large projects have the highest average of cost over the estimation of 8.2%,
while medium projects have the smallest average of 2.2%. In the analysis of cost
deviation in road construction based on a projects category, it was shown that small
projects have the highest cost deviation of 24.9%, while large projects have the
smallest average of 12.3% on average. Overall, this indicates that the average of
cost deviation in 74 road construction projects is 16.7%, ranging from 20.3% to 56%.
In conclusion, the statistical analyses of cost deviation of 74 road construction
projects indicated that 10% of the projects suffered from cost deviation.
ILL-Park and Dopoulou (2012) conducted research into causes of cost overruns of
35 transport infrastructure projects in Asia. The cost overruns reported in the study
ranged from a minimum of 2.3% to a maximum of 98.2% of the original contract sum.
The mean rate of cost overrun for the 35 projects examined was 28.6% signifying
that on average additional funds exceeding one quarter of the original contract sum
were needed to complete these projects. Results from the survey questionnaire
indicated that awarding contracts to the lowest bidder is the most significant and
frequently occurring cause of cost overrun in transport infrastructure in Asia. The
survey also revealed that 64% of the respondents confirmed that they encountered
cost overruns mainly in lump sum contracts, in contrast to 33% who reported cost
overruns primarily in measurement and 3% in cost reimbursement contracts.
2.8.
Costs are considered to be the most crucial factor that contributes to the success of
a project, and in reality are the only factors on which everything hinges, and are the
most critical factor in the decision on whether a project commences or is shelved.
Azhar, Farooqui and Ahmed (2008) confirmed that a majority of cost overrun factors
(88%) lie in the medium severity impact range in the Pakistani study that they
34
undertook. The research also brought to light that large firms experienced 40% of
cost overruns.
Azhar et al. (2008) pointed out that the leading factor of cost overruns related to the
business and regulatory environment, which encourages corner costs and unsound
construction methods, is the prevailing practice of Pakistan Government to
implement its lowest bid price method. This method contains inbuilt problems and
does not produce the best value for money. Problems encountered with this method
were that the actual bid price was 50% of the estimated price.
Ali and Kamaruzzan (2010) concluded that cost performance of construction projects
in Malaysia is a critical issue in that country and the recurrence of this problem
indicated a need for research to clarify what should be done to mitigate the said
problem. Danso and Antwi (2012) highlighted that the development infrastructure
segment in Ghana is associated with many issues related to poor quality, lack of
safety concerns and project delays due to insufficient project planning and control.
The issues that were raised concerned the telecoms infrastructure projects which
proved very costly to the clients in the same industry, including raising concerns of
clients losing confidence in consultants, added investment risks, inability to deliver
value to clients and the lack of investment in telecoms projects.
Farooqui, Hussain, Umer and Lodi (2012) confirmed that the factors affecting costs
in Pakistan are the most crucial criteria for assessing the success of a project. In
their study, they have reached the following conclusions: Poor project management
drawn from (management factors) is the key factor affecting the construction costs;
this shows that the project manager and his/her teams are in urgent need of
improving the performance graph as far as the construction industry of Pakistan is
concerned. Delay in the involvement of the contractor in the design stage (design
factor) is the second most important factor affecting the construction cost; which
reveals just how critically this area needs the attention of the authorities. Poor
performance of work (management factor) is the third most crucial factor
with
definite potential for affecting the construction cost. The top three location factors
are: political unrest in the area, followed by remote
location
and
unforeseen
ground conditions. The top three design factors are: delay in the involvement of
contractor during design stage followed by buildability / constructability and
35
incomplete drawings. The top three management factors are poor project
management followed by
The above findings make the situation evident that the professional behaviour of the
people concerned to the construction industry is highly demanded.
2.9.
Summary
The literature reviewed extensively covers the problem of cost overrun and proves
that it is a problem in developing countries. More importantly, literature on problems
of cost overrun in the context of South African projects has been examined. Recent
literature has also revealed that professionals in the construction industry at large
see this problem recurring more and more frequently; (see Cantarelli et al. 2012);
Love et al. (2012); Ijigah et al. (2012).
36
CHAPTER THREE
METHODOLOGY
3.1.
Introduction
The literature review explored and provided sources which articulated methods for
the data collection, analysis and exposition, with respect to the objectives of the
research.
The following section affords a general description of the research strategy adopted
for this dissertation as well as a rationale for the methodology. Research may be
defined as a systematic process of collecting, analysing and interpreting data carried
out by researchers to be able to relate their studies to the scientific community
(Leedy and Ormond, 2010: 2).
The key topics in this chapter are: research method, data collection, sample size,
questionnaire design and data analysis.
3.2.
37
This province lies in the central part of South Africa, with the Kingdom of Lesotho
snuggling in the hollow of its bean-like shape. Bloemfontein, the capital of the Free
State, is also the judicial capital of South Africa. It is nicknamed the City of roses,
but is also known as Mangaung, the Place of the cheetahs by Sesotho speakers.
Mangaung is now the name of the Local Metro Municipality, which includes
Bloemfontein and a number of surrounding towns. The city has a well-established
judicial, institutional and administrative infrastructure.
The road network density of the province is the third highest in the country. The large
national road which forms the artery between Gauteng and the Western and
Eastern Cape, passes through the middle of the Free State Province.
The socio-economic difficulties faced by the province remain a daunting challenge
for provincial government. The issues of unemployment, poverty and disease remain
stubbornly high and seem to overshadow the strides it has made as a province. The
38
rapid rate of urbanisation also seems to put strain on the work that has been
achieved, with regard to provision of houses. This rate not only has a negative
impact on housing but also has implications for basic service delivery. National
Government has clearly indicated that education and health are the key priorities and
there is thus a need for provincial government to secure optimal funding for the two.
The Free State government also acknowledges the two key priorities, reflected in the
allocation awarded to the abovementioned priorities; the two are allocated close to
70% of the provincial budget (DOF, FS 2012).
The provincial infrastructure remains crucial for the economic growth of the province;
construction and proper maintenance of road infrastructure is at the centre of
ensuring prosperity for the Free State. The geographical centrality of the province
needs to be economically exploited for the benefit of its population; thus there is a
greater need to ensure that the road and rail infrastructure is of international
standard and is capable of attracting required investments (DOF, FS 2012).
Investing in infrastructure is greatly emphasised by the province, precisely because
of its labour intensive nature and thus its potential to create job opportunities. The
core components of an efficient, competitive and responsive infrastructure network
include:
Roads;
Water;
Electricity;
Infrastructure spending for the province is an estimated amount of R2, 578 billion in
the 2013/2014 financial year (DOF, FS 2012). With that amount of money spent in a
single financial year it is imperative that most of it is used in such a way as to provide
value for money from the provinces point of view. Bearing the objective of this study
in mind, if we were to say that for example 10%-20% of that expenditure went
entirely on cost overrun, it would mean that the province has actually not done
justice to its people in terms of what it has promised them. For instance, how many
houses could have been built for the communities as a result of spending that much
on cost overrun alone?
39
3.3.
Research Method
Comprehensive literature review was conducted and used as secondary data. Once
the literature review was done, the research design was formulated by addressing
the research problem, and sub-problems. Research questions were formulated to
answer the research problems and objectives were also addressed to answer the
research questions.
consultant QS who are executing projects in the FS province. Following this, the
questionnaire designed was distributed to a sample according to the criteria defined
in the sample determination.
The research strategy used in this study is descriptive in nature. A quantitative
approach was used to gather factual data and to study relationships between facts
and how such facts and relationships relate to theories and past empirical findings.
This method was used in order to understand the perception of QS professionals in
the Free State province of South Africa. The factors perceived to be influencing cost
overruns at construction projects in the province form the nexus of the survey.
The strategy followed in this research commenced with problem identification, done
through an unstructured literature review after which the research design was
formulated. The research included the above literature review in which the costs of
overruns were reviewed. In addition, a pilot study was undertaken prior to conducting
the main survey. The purpose of the said study was to test and ensure that the
questionnaire questions were clear and would be answered in a manner that would
achieve the target of the study. The questionnaire was modified based on the results
of the pilot study and was then distributed for the main survey. The questionnaire
was used to collect the required data in order to achieve the research objective.
3.4.
Data collection
The primary data used in this research were obtained from various hard copy and
online sources. Journal articles, conference papers, books, government reports, and
previous theses were reviewed. The search for information was undertaken in the
Central University of Technology, Free State (CUT) library and computer
laboratories. The primary data used in the study were acquired through the
40
An email was sent using the questionnaire to the members of the sample frame
with an accompanying introductory letter on the 8th of February, 2013.
Due to the low response rate, another email reminder was sent to the members
who did not return the questionnaire by 4th April 2013.
Owing to the low response rate even after reminders, questionnaires were
additionally handed out during the ASAQS Chapter Meeting held on the 17th of
April, 2013.
3.5.
Questionnaire Design
3.6.
The Population
Registered QS operating in the FS province were the main source of the primary
data for this particular study. The professionals have valid registration according to
the FS Chapter of the ASAQS. The studied population consisted of the professional
QS that have executed public building construction projects in this Province.
42
3.7.
Quantity Surveyors play a vital role in cost management of a project. They manage
all expenses relating to civil and building construction projects, from the initial
calculations to the final account figures. Their main purpose is to minimise the costs
of projects and ensure value for money. According to the JBCC principal agreement,
a principal agent is the one issuing an interim payment valuation certificate to the
client for payment to the contractor. On most of the projects in FS province the QS
seldom acts as the principal agent, as that role is usually held by the architects;
however, that does not absolve the QS from performing his or her cost management
duties on the project. In addition, the Project Manager has a responsibility to see that
the project is completed inter alia, within budget and relies on the expertise of the QS
to assist him/her to reach that goal. Thus, based on the objective of identifying
factors that influence cost overrun, QSs are central to the operation and are
therefore in a good position to assess the impact of any deviations from the planned
project, especially those which have cost implications for the projects. To highlight
the reasons for the chosen population the duties of the Quantity Surveyors key role
in the construction projects are hereby stated as follows according the ASAQS: The
quantity surveyor emerged in England at the beginning of the nineteenth century,
43
although the firm Henry Cooper and Sons of Reading was established as early as
1785. Prior to the first usage of the term quantity surveyor in 1859, the terms
measurer, custom surveyor or surveyor were used. According to (ASAQS)
Association of South African Quantity Surveyors the services that are generally
offered by the quantity surveyor are:
Estimating and cost advice
Estimates and cost advice during all stages of the development of a project are
essential if the correct decisions with full awareness of their financial implications
are to be made.
Cost planning
Clients want to know that they are receiving value for money, not only with regard
to the capital cost but also in respect of the running and maintenance cost of a
project.
building
should
meet
the
functional
dimensional
and
technological
44
The choice of an appropriate form of contract for any given project will depend on
the nature of the project, the circumstances under which the work is to be carried
out and the particular needs of the client.
Quantity surveyors, in collaboration with architects are able to advise their clients
on the most advantageous procurement methods available, including: Contracts
incorporating bills of quantities, provisional bills of quantities and schedules of
rates.
Negotiated, lump-sum, managed and cost plus contracts, Package deals, turnkey
offers, etc. While Bills of Quantities are generally regarded as the most
economical and best method of obtaining a competitive price, the alternative
methods and types of tender documentation available need to be carefully
examined in consultation with the quantity surveyor, architect, etc. before a final
decision is made
In addition there will be other services such as: Financial control over contracts,
Valuation of work in progress, Cash flow budgets Final account in respect of the
contract.
The quantity surveyor's duty is essentially one of cost control. They measure and
value work in progress, determine the value of variations ordered by the architect or
engineer and ensure that a fair and equitable settlement of the cost of the project is
reached in accordance with the contract conditions. In conjunction with the architect
and other consultants the quantity surveyor will ensure that the financial provisions of
the
contract
are
properly
interpreted
and
applied.
in
any
court
or
arbitration
on
building
disputes.
Other services include: Material list and values, Quantity surveying services in
respect of civil, mechanical, and electrical work, Property economics, Project
management, Fast track construction, Remuneration.
45
3.9.
Dibonwa (2008) carried out a study identifying causes and remedies for cost
overruns in Botswana. The research was performed using a survey questionnaire
and multiple case studies of identified projects. A questionnaire on 81 causes was
divided into project cycles:
factors for the implementation phase and 14 factors for the completion phase.
Furthermore, it dealt with 60 remedial measures, also divided into project cycles: 15
remedial measures for the inception and planning stage, 32 remedial measures for
the implementation stage and 13 remedial measures for the completion stage. Three
data analysis methods: (1) the Relative Importance Index (RII), (2) the rank
agreement factor and (3) the Kendalls coefficient of correlation were used. The first
two methods were a build-up to the Kendalls coefficient of correlation, which
provides a conclusive summary of ordinal, ranked cost overrun causal factors and
effective cost control measures.
Enhassi et al. (2010) also conducted an investigation that analysed the causes of
variation orders in construction projects in the Gaza Strip. A questionnaire was
developed to assess the perceptions of clients, consultants and contractors on the
relative importance of these causes. Through open ended questions the respondents
were asked to highlight their recommendations about any other factors which might
cause variation orders. The respondents were also requested to identify
recommended controls for minimising such orders. A five point Likert scale, ranging
from1 to 5 was adopted to analyse the importance of causes of variation orders. To
ensure validity of the questionnaire, two statistical tests were applied. The first is a
criterion-related validity test (Spearman test), which measures the correlation
coefficient between each item in one group and the whole group. From this test, the
correlation coefficient for each item of the group factors and the total of the field is
calculated.
Olawale and Sun (2010) conducted a study on cost and time control of construction
projects in the UK using a quantitative and a qualitative approach. A questionnaire
survey and semi-structured interviews were conducted as the data collection
methods of the study. The RII was used to analyse the survey results. Ramabodu
and Verster (2010) identified factors that contribute to cost overruns in the FS
46
Province of South Africa using a questionnaire survey and also conducted personal
interviews for data collection.
Mahamid and Bruland (2011) utilised a questionnaire to examine 51 causes
identified from their literature review and discussions with a number of parties
involved in the construction industry. These causes were classified into 5 groups,
according to the sources of cost overrun: financial factors, factors related to
construction parties, factors related to construction items, environmental factors and
political factors. They developed the questionnaire so as to identify the impact level
of the identified causes from the consultants point of view. The impact level was
categorised on a five-point scale as follows: very high, high, moderate, little and very
little (on a 1 to 5 point scale). The collected data were analysed through calculation
of factors of importance index.
In addition, Doloi (2011) used the soft system methodology (SSM) employed for
problem analysis, based on an accurate identification of problems and thoughtful
articulation of the current industry situations, for insight to the consistent cost
overruns in major projects. The study also carried out interviews with selected
professionals. Amusans (2011) study dealt with factors affecting cost performance in
Nigerian construction sites. Collection of the primary data took place with the aid of a
structured questionnaire designed on a Likert Scale of 1 to 4 rating scale, using the
severity index in determining the extent of severity of the factors discovered. Very
relevant was rated 5, relevant 4, just relevant 3, irrelevant 2 while very irrelevant
was rated as 1.
Baloyi and Bekker (2011), investigated the causes of construction cost and time
overrun pertaining to the 2010 Soccer World Cup stadia in South Africa. The survey
was conducted by means of a questionnaire of carefully described factors. To
analyse and rank the results, the RII was used. RII = W / (A N), (0 index 1),
where W = weight given to each factor by the respondents, and ranges from 1 to 5
(where 1 is never and 5 is always), A is the highest weight (5 in this case) and
N = total number of respondents.
Ejaz and Ali (2011) did an assessment of delays and cost overrun during
construction projects in Pakistan, carrying out the study by means of a questionnaire.
The questionnaire was arranged in an order of priority scale: 1 = very low (less than
47
cost overrun, effects of overrun, and effective remedies of minimising overrun. There
are three steps used in analysing the data: calculating the RII, ranking of factors in
each project cycle based on RII, and determining the degree of correlation on
ranking the factors between the two groups.
The rank agreement factors for every cost overrun cause and remedy were
calculated by each professional, according to the way they ranked the causes and
remedies. Cost overrun causes rank agreements and effective cost control remedial
measures are provided in tables, in chapter four, for all three project phases.
The data collection and method of analysis used in this research were values of
Spearmans rank correlation. Values in the range 0 1.0 indicate good
agreement, whereas values near 1 or in the range 0 -1.0 imply disagreement
on the factors ranked by professionals.
Reliability tests are conducted to check the stability and consistency of data. The test
carried out in this research was the Cronbach Alpha that is widely accepted, in which
data are considered low level when the Cronbach Alpha score is less than 0.3, which
is indicative of the fact that data are not reliable and therefore cannot be accepted.
Reliability is high level when the Cronbach Alpha is more than 0.7, where it indicates
that the inner consistency of the indices table is at a high level and can be readily
accepted (Memon et al., 2010).
3.11. Conclusion
This chapter focused on the fundamental research concepts relating to the
methodology adopted in the study because its objective was to outline the
methodology used. The research strategy adopted was used to justify the selection
of various methods and techniques of research. Firstly, a brief introduction and
background to the Free State province was provided. Secondly, the research
processes were described and discussed. In particular, the survey method based on
the questionnaire as a data collecting method, as the main strategy adopted for the
investigation, was discussed. The method of analysis of data was clearly articulated,
as was the way in which the test for reliability of data was carried out. The steps that
relate to the survey method were then described: the questionnaire design, the
research design, the population, sample size determination, role of QS as the main
49
50
CHAPTER FOUR
FINDINGS AND DISCUSSION
4.1 Introduction
In this chapter, the findings of the research on causal factors of cost overrun and
remedies in the FS province are presented and discussed together with an analysis
of the data collected. The main statistic calculated in the analysis is the mean. The
presentation of the data is by means of graphs, pie charts and tables. The
information relating to the background of the QS, their length of working experience
in the Industry, the response rate to questionnaires and responses are provided first.
As mentioned, questionnaires were used in the collection of the data. A five-point
Likert scale adjoined by Unsure, ranging from Never to Always options for causes
of cost overrun, was employed. Additionally, a five-point Likert scale adjoined by
Unsure and ranging from Not very effective to Very effective was utilised to
measure the perceptions of QS consultants within the building construction industry
in the Free State Province. Tables 4.1 to 4.6 indicate the perceptions of respondents,
relative to causes and remedies, on the three project life cycle stages: Design,
Construction and Completion phases, in terms of percentage responses to a scale of
1 to 5, and a mean score (MS) ranging between 1.00 and 5.00. MSs were calculated
for each statement to enable an interpretation of the percentages relative to each
point on the response scale. Given that there are five points on the scale, and that 5
1 = 4, the ranges were determined by dividing 4 by 5 which equates to 0.8.
Consequently, the ranges and their definitions are as follows:
> 4.20 5.00 represents a range between a near major to a major / major cause/
remedy;
> 3.40 4.20 one between a moderate cause to a near major / near major cause/
remedy;
> 2.60 3.40 one between a near minor to a moderate cause / moderate
cause/remedy;
> 1.80 2.60 one between a minor to a near minor cause / near minor
cause/remedy, and
As shown in Figure 4.1, the respondents had balanced years of experience in the
construction industry. There were 6 respondents with experience ranging from 0 5
years. Furthermore, there were 23 respondents with experience ranging from 5 10
years and 15 respondents with experience above 10 years. As shown, 14% of the
respondents organisations have been in existence for less than 5 years. In addition,
52% of these organisations have been in existence for between 5 and 10 years while
14% of these have been in existence for over 10 years.
40
30
% of existence
20
10
0
0 - 5yrs
5 - 10yrs Over 10yrs
Figure 4.1: Years in existence of the organisation
Years in existence
4.3.
Responses to Questionnaires
Figure 4.2 shows that among the 62 distributed questionnaires, 44 were returned
after 8 weeks of initial distribution. Furthermore, no reasons were provided for the 18
questionnaires that were not returned. However, during visits to offices of people
who had not returned questionnaires, 10 respondents indicated reasons for nonresponse such as: they did not have time to fill in the questionnaires; they forgot to
fill it in; they had misplaced it.
52
4.4.
In Figure 4.3, 11% of the respondents were directors of their respective consulting
QS firms; while 89% of the respondents were QS working for consulting firms
operating in the FS province.
Industry?
From Figure 4.4, the years of experience of the respondents who filled out the
questionnaires may be observed. 18% of the respondents had a maximum of 5
53
Table 4.1 depicts the respondents rating of the causes of cost overrun during the
design phase of the project life cycle. It is notable that all causes in the category
have MSs > 1.80 5.00, which indicates that respondents identify the causes as
falling between minor causes and major causes.
Table 4.1 indicates inadequate planning as the most critical cause of cost overrun in
the province. This finding is supported in the work of Nega (2008), Ramabodu and
Verster (2010), and Ameh (2010). It clearly shows that professionals are rushing to
have the projects started without giving themselves enough time to prepare properly.
What the table further displays is that professionals are not working together at the
time when documents are being prepared for tendering. This reveals that the most
important stage of the project, adequate planning is not allocated the requisite time
for preparation which may prevent a lot of unnecessary expenses later, when the
project has commenced. Following this, the next cause identified is that of an
54
Mean
Rank
Inadequate planning
4.00
3.70
3.70
3.60
3.50
3.50
3.40
Ignoring items with abnormal rates during tender evaluation, especially items
with provisional quantities
3.40
3.20
55
Cause
Mean
Rank
3.00
2.90
2.80
2.70
10
2.70
10
2.50
11
Table 4.2 presents the respondents rating of the causes of cost overrun in the
construction phase of the project life cycle. It is notable that all causes in the
category have MSs > 1.80 5.00, which indicates that the causes may be deemed
to be more of a major factor than minor.
Table 4.2 indicates that the most critical cause of cost overrun in the construction
phase is additional work requested by client. The earlier research work done by
Azhar et al. (2008), Dibonwa (2008), Kaliba et al. (2009) and Ameh (2010) confirms
this case. The professionals have no total control over what the client wants; if he
was involved during the design stage it could have been managed. As a result, their
approach has to be reactive to the problem as it arises as they are never allowed
enough time to prepare for handling such problems. The lack of preparation in the
design phase exerts a major influence on how the professionals will be able to
handle causes of cost overrun appearing in the construction phase.
The following factor is that of the contractors unstable financial background, a
finding substantiated in previous studies by Long Lee Hoai (2008); and Memon et al.
(2010). Sometimes contractors are awarded tenders but do not have the cash to
finance the project, nor do they qualify for a bank loan since the tendering system
does not guarantee sustainable income. This in turn delays a project due to a
shortage of materials on-site. Although this cause will not lead to the client bearing
the costs, in the end the delay will have cost implications if the client delays payment
to the contractor. This contractor will be doing the job at the pace of the cash flow of
the current project. Finally, the respondents nominated the least likely cause as site /
56
poor soil conditions. The site investigation or geotechnical report is seldom carried
out on public sector projects, except on mega projects. This cause makes a
significant contribution to causing cost overruns, especially on unstable ground.
Table 4.2: Causes of cost overrun Construction phase[a]
Cause
Mean
Rank
4.70
4.10
3.90
3.70
3.50
3.50
3.50
3.50
3.50
3.40
3.40
3.30
3.30
3.20
3.20
3.10
Inadequate review
3.10
3.10
3.00
10
3.00
10
2.90
11
Labour unrest
2.90
11
2.90
11
2.8
12
57
Cause
Mean
Rank
Weather conditions
2.80
12
2.80
12
2.70
13
2.60
14
2.60
14
2.30
15
Table 4.3 depicts the respondents ratings of the causes of cost overrun during the
completion phase of the project life cycle. It is notable that all causes in the category
have MSs > 1.80 5.00, which indicate that the causes are significant in this context.
It is noteworthy that the most important cause of cost overrun indicated in Table 4.3
is late contract instruction after practical completion. Ramabodu and Verster (2010)
support this view in their earlier findings. Issuing a late contract instruction at this
stage of the project indicates lack of proper planning during the design stage. After
practical completion, it is anticipated that the client will take possession of the site.
Thus if there are contract instructions still being issued once the site is in possession
of the client, it is a sure indicator of extra expense to the client, when the job is
supposed to have
workmanship; a view supported by the earlier work of Long Lee Hoai (2008), Ameh
(2010) and Memon et al. (2010). It is highly unlikely that the late contract instruction
will be due to a list of snags provided by the contractor. Once the principal agent has
issued the certificate of practical completion, then the building is ready for the client
to occupy, with the only outstanding work being that of the snag list which does not
have cost implications for the client. The least frequent cause in the completion
phase is errors in the bills of quantities. It could be that certain items were undermeasured so that, if they are expensive items, they could cause a major increase to
the contract sum. The respondents deemed this the least contributor as QSs often
over-measure the project to create contingencies in case the project requires more
funds.
58
Mean
Rank
4.50
Poor workmanship
4.30
3.80
3.50
Design failures
3.30
3.20
Artificial disasters
2.10
2.00
4.7. Causes of Cost Overrun that are Prevalent in Public Sector Projects in
the FS Province?
The question posed to respondents required them to mention any cost overrun
based on their experience, which they felt was prevalent in the public sector projects
in the FS province. There were several causes mentioned by the respondents but
the commonest one was additional work requested by the client, followed by
inadequate planning during the design stage. The third most prevalent factor
mentioned was that of low bidding by contractors and the fourth was the inability of
engineers to do proper soil tests. This cause was as a result of most projects being
carried out without proper soil investigation, which could therefore cause a variation
order. The fifth most prevalent cause was extension of time with cost claims. The
main reason for extension of time was because of unpredictable weather conditions,
causing delays to the projects, with cost to the client. It is evident from the above
factors that if proper planning is implemented and proper time allocated in all the
projects, then cost overrun will be kept to a minimum in all the projects executed in
the FS province.
59
4.8.
Overrun?
According to the respondents, the frequency of cost overrun is 7.5 times out of 10.
This clearly shows that projects in the FS province are frequently experiencing cost
overruns. According to the results, when converted to percentages, 75% of the
respondents experienced cost overrun. Only 2.5% of the respondents responded
Very low on how frequently they experienced cost overruns here.
4.9.
60
Mean
Rank
4.70
4.60
4.50
4.40
61
Remedy
Mean
Rank
4.30
4.10
4.10
4.00
3.90
Resolving items with abnormal rates during tender evaluation, especially items
with provisional quantities
3.80
3.80
3.60
10
3.50
11
3.30
12
3.20
13
Table 4.5 presents the respondents ratings of the remedies for cost overrun in the
construction phase of the project life cycle. It is notable that all remedies in the
category have MSs > 1.00 5.00, which indicates that the remedies are rated as
being between minor and major remedies.
The remedy that is considered very effective is controlled owners requests. When
the project is taken from pillar to post, it creates a reactive approach to solving a
problem. Clients, as much as they are owners of the projects, do sometimes need to
be educated about their role in a project situation. Some clients are very controlling
and do not allow those professionals whom they have hired to take care of the
business of construction. While clients do have the right to be fully involved in their
own investments, the degree to which that happens needs to be clarified.
Following this remedy is the one described as minimum changes in owners brief.
This remedy is similar to the former, most effective one. The minimum changes also
entail education of the client. Clients can effectively bring about a balance and make
a positive contribution to the entire project. What is important here is that they should
be advised when they are requesting excessive changes to the projects. It is not
62
Mean
Rank
4.90
4.80
4.70
4.50
4.50
4.40
4.00
4.00
3.90
3.70
3.70
3.70
3.60
Adequate provision for contractual claims, such as, extension of time with cost
claims
3.60
3.60
3.60
3.60
3.50
10
63
3.40
11
3.40
11
3.40
11
Remedy
Mean
Rank
Adequate review
3.10
12
3.10
12
3.10
12
3.00
13
3.00
13
2.90
14
1.50
15
1.50
15
Table 4.6 presents the respondents ratings of the remedies for cost overrun during
the completion phase of the project life cycle. It is notable that all remedies are in the
category have MSs > 2.50 5.00, which indicates that the remedies are rated
between near minor remedies to major effects.
The most effective remedy is good workmanship. One of the aspects of project
success is completion to the right quality. Projects that are built to the right quality
are what everyone in the end is going to judge the performance of the project to. As
much as all the other attributes are also important to the project, its appearance after
completion is what will be the end results. This sums up the importance of quality
above other attributes.
Following this remedy is a method of timely dispute resolution. Sometimes
construction projects experience high levels of disagreement and conflicts may
ensue. There are healthy and unhealthy conflicts. Where money is involved conflict
could be manifested due to varying interests. The challenge here is that the
contractor is in the business of making money and sometimes may use underhand
tactics to do so. The work of the professionals is to make sure that the clients receive
the service they deserve and are given what they paid for. It must be said that
64
delaying of disputes might mean suspended work on site, which affects the project
negatively.
The least effective remedy, according to the respondents, is making provision for
artificial disasters. Disasters seldom occur in FS, but if they were to, they may result
in total destruction of the whole project. Although very rarely provided for, it is a very
important remedy to minimise what might have been a total disaster to the project.
Table 4.6: Remedy for cost overrun completion phase
Remedy
Mean
Rank
Good workmanship
4.50
4.30
4.20
3.80
3.00
Adequate designs
2.80
2.50
2.50
Table 4.7 clearly indicates a strong correlation between all stages of the project. It
may be stated that there was a strong correlation among respondents from all 3
phases of the causes of cost overrun and an increase in correlation among
respondents answers with the remedies for the same phases. The correlation score
was above 0.7; therefore the data was highly reliable and consistent. The correlation
scores of the design phase indicate these grew from 0.75 from respondents ratings
of the causes of cost overrun to 0.78 that pertains to remedies for cost overrun. In
the construction phase, there was a near perfect correlation among respondents.
The correlation score of the causes of cost overrun increased from 0.80 to 0.95 of
the remedies of cost control measures. This, as was previously indicated, showed a
near perfect correlation matrix score among respondents of the survey.
Table 4.7: Group correlation matrix and Cronbach alpha
65
Correlations
Project Phase
Causes
Cronbach Alpha
of Remedies for Causes of cost Remedies
cost overrun
cost overrun
overrun
for
cost
overrun
Design
.75
.78
.914
.943
Construction
.80
.95
.934
.955
Completion
.83
.89
.908
.897
66
CHAPTER FIVE
CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
5.1.
Introduction
This chapter discusses the research findings in fulfilment of the research objectives
and documents its contribution to original research. It also suggests areas for further
research. As presented in chapter 1 the aim of this research was to identify the major
cost overrun factors in the construction sector of the Free State Province of South
Africa and the effective remedial cost control measures, generate and recommend
possible solutions.
5.2.
that respondents rated controlled owners request as the most effective remedy of
cost overrun. This is followed by minimum changes in owners brief. At the
completion stage the most rated remedy of cost overrun is good workmanship by the
contractor. And then, timely resolving disputes, as the following most rated effective
remedy of cost of overrun.
5.9.
The conclusions provided are in respect of the primary objective of the study, which
is to identify causes of cost overrun and effective cost control measures of public
building projects in the Free State Province; the analysis has provided evidence
related to the topic.
Objectives:
Within the context of the study, the research project intended to:
a) Identify major causes of cost overruns in South African construction.
b) Identify the causes of cost overruns that are prevalent to public sector projects.
c) Estimate the rate of public sector projects that experience cost overruns in the
Free State province
d) Ascertain if the rate of cost overrun occurrence constitutes a performance problem
in the Free State Province.
e) Formulate recommendations aimed at solving the current and future cost related
challenges in the South African construction industry.
Some of these causes were already addressed in the literature review in Chapter
two. Based on the first objective, identifying the major causes of cost overrun in
South Africa, the study found that inadequate planning, additional work at owners
request and late contract instruction after practical completion were the major causes
of cost overrun at three different stages, design, construction and completion, of the
project cycle . The study also identified effective cost control measures which were
identified as: completed design at time of tender, controlled owners request and
good quality workmanship, respectively during these 3 different stages of the project.
68
Regarding the second objective, identifying the causes of cost overrun that are
prevalent to the public sector projects, the survey revealed that additional work
requested by client, inadequate planning and low bidding by contractors were the
causes here.
The third objective, to estimate the rate of public sector projects that experience cost
overruns in the FS province, was achieved because the survey indicated that 7.5 out
of ten projects fall in this category.
The fourth objective, to ascertain if the rate of cost overrun occurrence constitutes a
performance problem in the FS Province, was achieved since the survey showed
that 82% of the respondents answered Yes.
5.4.
General Conclusions
The South African construction industry is arguably the most advanced in subSaharan Africa. Therefore, performance related issues such as cost overrun need to
be evaluated and addressed so that spending on projects may be properly used for
the good of the country. The Department of Public Works is mostly in charge of the
spending on infrastructure projects in South Africa. The sooner government
improves utilisation of budgeted expenditure, the sooner such expenditure could
enhance the life of South African people. If departments are able to curb
overspending and start earning value for money on projects, then the country could
sustain itself for a long time without a high debt deficit. Government officials are
seldom worried about cost overrun, but only seem worried about reaching their
targets in terms of the cash-flow. Officials want to spend money they have budgeted
for as soon as possible so they can claim more in the next financial year. Because of
this mind-set, best value for money usage of budgets is not on their agenda, creating
a problem for the industry. On the other hand, when projects go over budget, client
representatives or the professional team revise their fees to the latest adjusted
contract amount, except the client. The contractor gains a little extra in positive
variation orders while consultants receive a little more from their fees because of the
increase in contract amounts. However, some variations are uncontrollable and
therefore cannot be avoided. The normal method of executing a project in the FS is
that consultants are appointed and the architect provides preliminary sketches for an
estimate to be provided by the QS. After this the consultants come together for a
69
discussion once the estimate has been calculated, and then transmitted to the
department for approval. After the approval it may occur that the job might not start
immediately as the government is still trying to secure the budget for the project.
Sometimes the delay might take several months; such a case offers an opportunity
for revisions in estimates to be done. This takes place with minimal co-operation
from the officials who arrive later and then resume their planning, making immense
changes to the original scope, causing projects to undergo heavy cost overruns in
the process. Sometimes projects are rushed by the officials when they realise they
have to spend money quickly just to exhaust the budget before the next financial
year commences. Officials frequently take longer to resume infrastructure spending,
especially after the new financial year has just commenced, and that puts pressure
on them to spend the bulk of the budget when the financial is about to end
Identification of causes of cost overrun is a prerequisite to minimise or to avoid cost
overrun in the construction industry. The main objective of this research was to
identify the major causes and control measures related to cost overruns on public
sector projects in the Free State Province of South Africa. Agreements of the
respondents on the causes of cost overrun, i.e. between causes of cost overrun and
remedies, in three phases of the project cycle were also tested. The data gathered
from the survey were analysed using the mean score (MS) and Spearmans
correlation coefficient. The analysis of the results from the open-ended part of the
questionnaire was carried out using descriptive analysis.
5.5.
From the analysis of the results, the following conclusions were drawn:
Identifying the occurrences of cost overrun in public building projects in the Free
State projects is important before identifying its causes. Seventy-five percent
(75%) of the respondents said that they experienced cost overrun in the projects
they executed in the Free State.
From the results of this study, 54 causes of cost overrun were identified by the
71% of the sample group who responded. The major causes were also identified
by the study, based on the ranking of the rate of occurrence of the variables:
70
Results of the study also show 54 effective cost control measures. The most
effective cost control measures were completed designs at time of tender,
controlled owners requests and good workmanship.
The study revealed that 82% of the respondents agreed that cost overrun
constitutes a performance problem for the construction industry in the Free State.
From the correlation results, it is notable that the causes might be remedied by
the effective cost control measures suggested by the respondents.
5.6.
Recommendations
Based on the findings of the research, the following recommendations are proposed.
Continuous coordination and direct communication with the public officials, which
will eliminate the opportunity for the client to increase the scope if all his needs
are addressed in time, before going out to tender. This would help in eliminating
change orders or variations in contract documents.
It is further suggested that there is provision for flexibility in the designs of the
project so that they can be proactive towards imminent changes that may be
introduced by the client during construction.
5.7.
Further research
Although the study has identified the major cost overruns in the Free State as well as
the most effective cost control measures, a study data of the executed projects is
necessary to provide further evidence of the problem. The data gathered from the
desk study will further reinforce the findings of this research, because this study
could not address this section because of lack of data. The level of performance of
cost overrun will assist the professionals and the public officials to become aware of
how severe the problem of cost overrun in the FS Province is.
72
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78
APPENDIX 1
BLOEMFONTEIN CAMPUS
DEPARTMENT OF BUILT ENVIRONMENT
Tel . +27 (0)51 507 3649 Fax. +27 (0)51 507 3254
tmonyane@cut.ac.za
08 February 2013
Dear Madam / Sir
Re: Identifying causes of cost overruns and effective remedies of Public
construction projects in the FS Province of S.A
This survey is part of a research project aimed at meeting the requirements for an
M.tech in Quantity Surveying qualification at the Tshwane University of Technology
This study intends to, inter alia, determine the causes, effects, and remedies
associated with conflicts between built environment professions working together on
construction projects.
Kindly complete the accompanying questionnaire and return same to:
Department of Built Environment
Central University of Technology, FS
Private Bag X20539
Bloemfontein
9300
Please return either through the postal or let me know when I can pick it up at your
office or Email (preferred) tmonyane@cut.ac.za or per facsimile to: (086) 506 7643
on or before 08 March 2013.
Attention: Mr Godfrey Monyane
Should you have any queries please do not hesitate to contact Mr Godfrey Monyane
at 073 341 2646 or per e-mail at tmonyane@cut.ac.za
Please note that the confidentiality of your response is assured.
Thanking you in anticipation of your response.
Yours faithfully
79
APPENDIX 2
Mr Godfrey Monyane M.tech (Quantity Surveying
student),
Section A: General Information
Please indicate your response by making an X in the block of your choice
e.g
1. Please indicate the sector that your organisation belongs to among the under listed?
Private
Public
Both
2. Please indicate how long your organisation has been in existence?
0-5 years
5-10 years
>10 years
3. Please indicate the approximate number of employees in your organisation?
1 - 20
101 - 200
21 - 50
> 200
50 - 100
Director
Managing director
Construction / Project manager
Quantity
surveyor
Architect
Bsc Honours
Diploma
Masters
Bsc Degree
Doctorate
Bachelor of Technology
Other
80
1. Design Phase
Cause
Unsure
NeverAlways
1
2
3
4
5
Inadequate planning
Lack of co-ordination at design phase
Incomplete design at time of tender
Technical omissions at design stage
Ignoring items with abnormal rates
during tender evaluation, especially
items with provisional quantities
Some tendering manoeuvres by
contractors, such as frontloading of rates
Lack of experience of project location
Lack of experience of project type
Inadequate project preparation, planning
Lack of experience of technical
consultants
Procurement and non-related
procurement related factors
Increased costs to crash activity time
arising out of political pressure
Difference between actual geological
conditions and the original survey
Lack of pre-contract project
co-ordination
Pre-contract budget constraints
On a scale of 1 (never) to 5 (always), please indicate the extent to which each of the mentioned causes leads to
cost overruns at the construction phase in public sector projects in the Free State province (please note the
unsure option)?
2. Construction Phase
Cause
Unsure
Never...Always
1
2
3
4
5
Unsure
Never...Always
1
2
3
4
5
Cause
Re-measurement of provisional works
Logistics due to site location
81
On a scale of 1 (never) to 5 (always), please indicate the extent to which each of the mentioned causes leads to
cost overruns at the commissioning phase in public sector projects in the Free State province (please note the
unsure option)?
3. Completion Phase
Cause
Unsure
Never...Always
1
2
3
4
5
1. Artificial disasters
2. Design failures
3. Errors in the bills of quantities
4. Late contract instruction after
practical completion
5. Poor quality workmanship
6. Delay in resolving disputes
7. Delay in final account agreements
8. Works suspended due to safety
reasons
82
Based on your experience, please mention the causes of cost overruns that are prevalent in public sector projects
in the Free State province?
.................................................................................................................................................................
On a scale of 1 to 10, in your experience how frequently do projects in the Free State province experience cost
overruns? ..
With a Yes, No or Unsure, please indicate if the frequency of cost overruns constitute a performance problem
for the construction industry in the Free State province?
Yes
No
Unsure
4. Design Phase
Remedy
Unsure
83
5.
Construction Phase
Remedy
Unsure
Remedy
Adequate re-measurement of provisional
works
Adequate planning of logistics to site
location
Consistent cost reporting during
construction stage
Timely issuing of information to the
contractor during construction stage
Adequate provision for contractual claims,
such as, extension of time with cost claims
Timely Improvements to standard
drawings during construction stage
Timely decisions by the supervising team
in dealing with the contractors queries
resulting in delays
Minimum errors in the bills of quantities
Timely costing of variations and additional
works
Adequate provision for labour cost
increased due to environment restrictions
Adequate experience of local regulations
Proper project implementation
Timely supply of raw materials and
equipment by contractors
Timely decision making by government,
failure of specific coordinating
Provision labour unrest
Provision for monthly payments
Proper contractor management
26. Contingency for new information on
existing site conditions
27. Provision for change order owing to
legislative change or policy change
Controlled changes made due to
modifications by other organizations
Provisions for changes made by the
contractor
84
Completion Phase
Unsure
Remedy
Please record your details below to facilitate contacting you, in the event that a query should arise. Please note
that your information will be treated in the strictest confidence.
Tel: ___________________________________________________________________
E-mail:_________________________________________________________________
85