Employers and citizens voting with their feet

The city of Dallas is not participating in its fair share of area growth

Collin County

Dallas County

Denton County

0%

400,000

334,480

66%
61%

53%

268,310
229,000

300,000

City of Dallas

35%

200,000

100,000

10%

50,105

5%
0%

Population Added (2000-2012)

Source:

u.s.

Population

Growth (2000-2012)

Census Bureau

Level of Poverty in Dallas vs. Other Large American Cities

Dallas residents rank only behind Detroit, Philadelphia and Memphis

1. Detroit

38.3%

8.3%

705,848

2. Philadelphia

26.8%

7%

1,483,115

3. Memphis

26.7%

8.8%

631,734

4. Dallas

23.9%

5.6%

1,187,486
2000-2012

Almost 1 in 4 residents
live in poverty

Growth in the total

population of Dallas

41%

Grtlwth in the poor

po pulati'on in Dall as

The company we keep

Of 20 largest U.S.cities, Dallas trails only Detroit and Memphis in % of its children living in poverty.

Detroit

Philadelphia

Dallas

Almost 4 in 10
Dallas children live
in poverty

75%
60%

Memphis

59%

45%

380/0

37%

30%

Detroit

105,000

59%

Memphis

71,000

44%

Dallas

118,000

38%

Philadelphia

127,000

37%

15%
0%

Pet. of Children Living in Poverty

Source:

u.s.

Census Bureau, KIDS COUNT Data Center - Casey Foundation.

Poverty in Dallas County no longer isolated to certain communities

Each dot on map represents 20 individuals below federal poverty level
1980

2010

'" ......
.. p

Plano

Ih:

'ito.
rton

r:

''\'

f" . n.

H spr:rl(~

Middle Class Parents Voting With Their Feet in Significant Numbers

25,200 Non-Ecan. Disadvantaged Students Exiting 0150 Since 2000

II

Ecan. Disadvantaged

Nan-Ecan. Disadvantaged

175,000
160,47,)t.1::...-__-......--.---~__...

...J-'1~

------__.

150,000
125,000
100,000
75,000
50,000
2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

School Year Ending May

Source: Texas Education Agency Academic Excellence Indicator System

2010

2012

Black Parents Also Voting With Their Feet in Significant Numbers

~22, 700 Black Students Exiting Dallas ISO Since 2000
African American

Hispanic

White

Other

Total Student Decline of

1 % Since 2000

175000
,

160~,47~7

~{-

1~58~,680

150,000
125,000
100,000
75,000
50,000
25,000

o
2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

School Year Ending May

Source: Texas Education Agency Academic Excellence Indicator System

2010

2012

Black Families Inside DISD Voting With Their Feet in Significant Numbers
Substantial Enrollment Declines Across Predominantly Afr. Am. High Schools

African American

Hispanic

White

Carter H.S. Enrollment (Down 668 or

41 %)

1,800 1,649 Students

1,500
1,200
1,021 Students
900
600
300
0
2012
2000

981 Students

2014

Lincoln H.S. Enrollment (Down 586, or

53 oAt)

1,200 1,102 Students

1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2000

516 Students

2012

2014

Justin Kimball H.S. Enrollment (Down

233, or 15%)

Madison H.S. Enrollment (Down 267, or

370/0)

900
750
600
450
300
150

Other

1 ,600 1,565 Students

1,298 Students 1.332 Students

721 Students

1,200
529 Students

454 Students

800
400

o
2000

2012

2014

Source: Texas Education Agency Academic Excellence Indicator System

2000

2012

2014

Black Families Previously Residing Inside DISD Voting With Their Feet
;ubstantial Black Enrollment Increases (~12, 000 Students) in Surrounding Area District.

African American

Hispanic

White

DeSoto ISO Enrollment (Up 2,113, or

31 %)
9,000
7,500
6,000
4,500
3,000
1,500

8,884 Students
6,771 Students

Other

Lancaster ISO Enroll ment (Up 2,383, or

57%)

8,000

6,536 Students

6,000
4,153 Students

4,000

. . . . .r,. .'~~.<'t"'.~

2,000

3,529

2,766

o
2013

2000

2000

13,238 Students
10,287 Students

9,000
6,750

8,000

2013

Cedar Hill ISO Enrollment (Up 2,070, or

34 % )

Duncanville ISD Enrollment (Up 2,951, or

290/0)
12,000

8,243 Students
6,173 Students

4,500

4,000

;><

5,433

2,250

2,405

o
2000

2013

Source: Texas Education Agency Academic Excellence Indicator System

2000

2013

County Zip Codes with Highest Population of TX Prison Inmates

High Correlation with Areas Anchored by High Schools Reflecting
Abysmally Low College Readiness Rates
.

Last Zip No. of

Code Inmates

Annual $
Cost to
State
(Millions)

%HH
Income
Under
$25K

# Grads

% Grads

High
School

College

College

Ready

Ready

SOC

1%

1%

1%

75216

681

$28.1

41.4%

75217

465

$19.1

32.3%

75215

374

$16.3

57.8%

75241

321

$14.2

33.5%

Smith

1%

75228

260

$13.2

28.6%

Adams

3%

75212

280

$11.2

48.3%

Pinkston

1%

75211

260

$11.1

31.1%

Molina

0%

75232

198

$10.9

23.3%

Carter

3%

75224

131

$7.0

30.7%

SOC
Carter

75203

132

$6.0

49.3%

Adamson

3,102

Samuell
Spruce
Lincoln
Madison

~...

I"-----~

Texas Prison Popul~tion Cou~t Per}nmaie's Last ~iP Code ..

r ...-.,:
. _.. '
. '. DaUas ~ounty
: . ....
, r '-':

DISD High Schools Serving 1-..'

Zip Code and No.lPct.
I
College Ready in 2010
\_

. _.J__ ......,.

'''.j!

_.

-_.'

,....

Included Above

1%

$137.1

27

1%

(Avg. Cost = $44,OOO/lnmate)

(vs. 947 Students Failing to Graduate and 2,276 Students Graduating Not College Ready)

.,----.

'

...

".

Sources: Justice Atlas of Sentencing and Correction (the higher the intensity of red, the higher percentage of inmates per 1,000 adults within that zip code).
TEA AEIS Data for 2011 - Failed to Graduate and No.lPct. of Graduates With College Entrance Exam Score Deemed College-Ready by SAT/ACT in 2010

STANO
for children
q

'" -;-' '--r'

O
----

;-."

fTOp:U.S. Income;
r'
~

-O'uintile

1.\...lI;t <~r..

,.;

~ ~;k l

2nd Income
Ouintile
~.

r.

3rd Income

Q~iintile

.: ,j

4th Income
Qulintile
Lowest Income
Ouiintile

jV

Graduation and College Readiness Rates for DISD High Schools

Increased Graduation Percentages But No Increase in Readiness
o

DISD 4-Year Graduation Rate

'0 Pet. of DISD Students Taking SATI ACT Scoring College Ready

21% Gain in Graduation Rates with ZERO Increase in College Readiness Rates
.---------------------------------------------GQ%

90%

83%

80%

tJ)
+01

68%

70/c

Vo

(1)

"C

~
+01

tn

60%

.....

. 50%

.....
0

(1)
C)

40%

co

+01

(1)

30%

(1)

0- 20%

1 %

11%

10%

10%

11%

10%

O%f_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _r
'08

'09

'10

'11

'12

Source: Texas Education Agency Academic Excellence Indicator System (defines College Ready SAT and ACT as 1100 and 24, respectively).
http://ritter.tea.state.tx.us/perfreportlaeis/

'13

/I

College Readiness Rates for Select DISD High Schools with High AA %
argest African American Populations Not Being Prepared for Next Leve

Students Taking SAT/ACT But Not Achieving College Ready Score

Students Not Taking SAT/ACT
Students Achieving ColI~ Ready Score on SAT/ACT

Only 99 out of 8, 118 Graduates (1.2%) College Ready Over Last Eight
Years With Neglible Growth

Source: Texas Education Agency Academic Excellence Indicator System (defines College Ready SAT and ACT as 1070 and 24, respectively).
http://ritter.tea.state.tx.us/perfreportlaeis/

1;2.

Six-Year Higher Ed Graduation Rates for DISD H.S. Graduates

Much Higher Dropout Rates in Higher Ed, Due in Part to Low College Readiness
Six Year Higher Ed Graduation Rates by Magnet High School for Class of 2004
Six Year Higher Ed Graduation Rates by Comprehensive High School for Class of 2004

54%

51%

44%
40%

37%

24%

21%

21%

20%

19%

18%
0

c::

1;,

.!!

:cftl

.!!

.91

:.

tE

>

~
.

c::

CIl

'S

ai

,.:

c::

~
0

CJ

.1:.
c::

CIl

ir

(,)

CIl

en

8
J?
i

.~

..E
0

:5

II)

;f i
E

(,)

11%

11%

ic::

11%

~
0

::J

ftl

as

CJ)

.,

'tJ
~

CIl

Cll

.;'r Mag"'!ets (9% of senior class) have

stronger higher ed grad rates with 31 %

~1.tt~L~~~Y ~A~~~~~~~~~e_~

...

9%

8
.EIl
i

CIl

en

10%

9%

1,;

c::

0:

9%

en

8%

ftl

..!!

S
Z

8%

Cll

c::
~

8%

~
E

(I)

7%

7%

::J

41(

cl

5%

:::

i
0

IE

5%

cJ

Dallas County Educational Continuum Highlights Long Term Impact of

Failure to Universally Create a Strong Early Academic Foundation
100f<,

40%

K Read y1

3rd

8 th

Reading 2

Science2

Algebra 12

College
Read y3

HS Grad %

.. .
-

l)Texas Education A.gency ITAPR) and Commit! Partner Districts (districts providina Kir>deraarten Readiness data include: Coppell ISO, Dallas ISO, Grand Prairie ISO,
, I;lghiand Park ISO, Irving ISO, Lancaster lSD, Richardson ISO, and Uplift Ed). 2) Atillevement levels represent percentage of stUdents achieving Level 2 Recommended standard
(3rd thruAlgebra 1) on 2013 STAAR exams, the pace most aligned with being on track tor college. 3) Source: Texas Education Agency (TAPR). Per TEA. SAT/ACT college readiness
equivalent to 1100 on SAT Reading/Math subject tests or 24 on ACT. Minimum 100 graduates

J~

Dallas County is well behind other major urban counties in public pre-K
enrollment, substantially impacting K Readiness levels
- Harris County

.j...I

Travis County

Bexar County

Tarrant County - Dallas Cou nty

400/0-

~Q)

0..0
.j...Icn

U.-

Q..
U)

w
Ul
30%

_.

lU...,
.j...IC
CQ)

OJ'U

EB

=(/)

~o
w .

200/0 _.,

~~
I

OJ

L.

Q..

10%-

..0
::J

Q..

00/0 Source: Texas Academic Performance Reporting system for 2013. Actual Pre-K enrollment compared to estimate of eligible 3- and 4-year olds (derived by
multiplying 1st grade enrollment by free and reduced student population % for each campus in the respective county, and doubling the result for 3yr and 4yr old
cohort)

The Ceiling of Kindergarten Readiness

You Can't Remediate Yourself to Success; You Have

to Invest Early

Area Districts with

Low Economically Disadvantaged
Population 50%)

Area Districts with

Medium Economically Disadvantaged
Population (50%-70%)

Area Districts with

High Economically Disadvantaged
Population (>70%)

% achieving Level 2 Recommended in 3fd/4 th

% achieving Level 2 Recommended in 3fC1J4lh

% achieving Level 2 Recommended in 3rciJ4lh

100%

Note: width of columns proportional

to student enrollment

88%
80%

67%
60%

63%
55%

40%

,...

20%

0%-----,- - Kindergarten
Readiness

3rd Grade
Reading

4th Grade
Math

College
Ready per
SAT/ACT

Total district enrollment of -19,000 students

Kindergarten 3rd Grade

Readiness
Reading

4th Grade
Math

College
Ready per
SAT/ACT

Total district enrollment of -137,000 students

Kindergarten
Readiness

3rd Grade
Reading

4th Grade MathGollege Ready

per SATIACT

Total district enrollment of -276,000 students

Source: Texas Education Agency (TAPR) and Commit! Partner Districts (Note that Kindergarten Readiness data is only included in the analysis for those districts that
provided it, namely: Coppell ISO, Dallas ISO, Grand Prairie ISO, Highland Park ISO, Irving ISO, Lancaster ISO, and Richardson ISD)_ College Ready per SAT/ACT.

17

The Critical Challenge of Teacher Trai ning

Another Game Changer for our Community

Significant Ga ps Between Teachers Certified by Schools of

Higher Ed and New Teachers Needed
State of Texas Teacher Supply and Demand, 2009-2013
25,000

New K-12
Teachers
Hi red by
Texas Public
Schools

20,000
15,000

Texas K-12
Teachers
Certified by
Higher Ed

10,000
5,000

Gap

2009

2010

2011

11,344

7,953

9,069

2012

2013

4,115 11,543

Note: Each column represents the teachers finishing certification the previous year, e.g. Sept 200B-Aug 2009, and the new teachers hired to begin the following year,
e.g. school year 2009-2010.
Source: State Board Educator Certification httQs,!lsecyre sbec state tx ys/RR0rts/prodmts/rot edu tcbr prod eRupts asp?wjdth-1440&hejght-900; AEIS and TEA
TAPR staff data, 2008-2013.

Teaching Gap Currently Filled Primarily Via Alternative

Certification Providers Reflecting Significant Quality Issues
Pct. of teachers certified by
alternative certification
programs graded A thru F
2013-2014

Alternative Certification
Higher Ed Post-Baccalaureate
Higher Ed Baccalaureate
100%

75%

II
1

520/0 520/0 530/0

40%

441.

50%

I
7%
50%
': 'SOlO
II

70l
70,

'

5%
50/0:

70/0

87%_25%

0%

, 41 % 41

m
0

co
0

C\J

0
T"I

0
0
C\J

400/0

T"""
T"""
I

0
T"""

53%

51 %

45%

..q-

C\J

C")

T"I
T"T"-

T"I

C\J

C")

T"-

T"-

0
C\J

0
C\J

0
C\J

T"I

Rated C

Rated D

Rated F

ZERO teachers certified

from alt. cert. programs
graded
"A" or "B"

Source: State Boa rd Ed ucator Certification

httns -{/seclJre she' state tx us/Reports/
d t /
National Council of Teacher Quality ratirigrgf ~g ra~~~s~dlilt
tchr, prop
cq!!ots asp/Width 1440&height 900,
__ a ernatlve
~ertJTICaLiOn orovlders :n the state 0" Texas.

Range of 3rd Grade Math Achievement By Level of Campus Poverty

Consistently Large Gaps Among Schools with Similar Demographics
3 rd Grade Math Achievement, Final Recommended
100%

....,-.-------------------- - -------- --------- .. -

90%
80%
70%
60%
50%

20%
10%

00/0

13%

________..1_ ~h.
..J.-

0% to
10%

Low

-----

11% to
20%

12%

100/0

51% to
60%

61% to
70%

21 % to
30%

31% to
40%

41% to
50%

81% to
90%

Pct. Of Campus Economically Disadvantaged

91% to
100%

-~-----------------------~~

Source: Texas Education Agency (TAPR), 2014. 413 public elementary schools across Dallas County,

~246,OOO

students.

Range of 3rd Grade Reading Achievement By Level of Campus Poverty

Consistently Large Gaps Among Schools with Similar Demographics
3 rd Gra de Re ad in 9 Ach ievem ent, Fi naI Reco m m e nrd~eijdiiiiiiiiiiiii:;;::-r.;W~;;:"r.:iiiiiiiiiii;;:1
100% ~- 9'5070-'- - -----. --- -- -----'-'--- - -- ._- --- --- --- - -

90%

86/c' - - - .
o

830/0

80%
70%
51%

50%

40%
30%

... - - --

20%

-- - ._.- .-.-

37 %
30%

29%
21 0/0

10 %
0 0/0

.- - --

15%

.-

0% to
10%

Low

11% to
20%

21% to
30%

10%

81% to
90%

91% to
100%

.- ---'-_- 4 Va ----

- -

-+----- ----~---- -. --- ~-- -- - - -

31% to
40%

41% to
50%

51% to
60%

61% to
70%

71% to
80%

Pct. of Campus Economically Disadvantaged

---------------"

Source: Texas Education Agency (TAPR), 2014. 413 public elementary schools across Dallas County,

~'246,OOO

students.

Relation of 3rd Grade Reading Achievement (Eco. Disadvantaged Students Only) to

Level of Teacher Experience on the Campus
Huge Disparities in Achievement Among Campuses with Same Levels of Experience

....c:

100%

11\

CII

"C

....
ex:

80%

u.

-j
I

!
j

....oc:

CII

E
CII
>
.!
.c:
u

60%

boO

:s
IU

40% -,

<II

ex:
CII

"C

IU
...

c;I

"E

20%

_I

<t

c:

A.

:c
I-

.J
B )

L-/

60%
Achievement
Gap

Dallas County Schools

Dallas ISD Schools

Q.

0% +------ ----- ' - - r - - - -- .-------.-----------------, -. - - - - ------,.-.--20

15
10
5
o
Campus Average Teacher Experience (years)

25

Relation of 3 rd Grade Math Achievement (Eco. Disadvantaged Students Only) to Level

of Teacher Experience on the Campus
Huge Disparities in Achievement Among Campuses with Same Levels of Experience
100%

....'"c

CI.l

"C

....:::J

80%

ff:

I,

.E

60%

>
.s::.
u
CI.l

"'

-j

I
I

<C

.s::.
....

II.

40% -1

CI.l

"C

C'
"C
II.

:E

20%

i
"1
,

I-

Q.

Dallas County Schools

Dallas ISO Schools

0% +-----.---------.--.-..-.-------.---:----.-.---------.--.~.----15
10
o
5
Campus Average Teacher Experience (years)

,--_._-------,

20

25

Statewide Percentile Ranking of Each Harrison District 2 Campus

School Year Prior to Mike Miles Assuming Superintendency (2005-06)

Wildflower
Irwin Elem.

100
90

Stratton
Carmel

Harrison
Panorama

Centennial
Turman

Fox Meadow
Mtn. Vista

. Giberson
Monterey

Only 5 of 22 campuses ranked above the 50th

percenti Ie statewide; 8 ranked in the bottom 20 0/0

80
70
60
50

50th
Percentile

40

30
20
10

o
2005-06 School Year
Note: Mike Miles became superintendent in 2006-07 and left following the 2011-12 school year to become superintendent of
DISD. Similar to DISD, a new principal evaluation was implemented in Year 1 of his six year tenure, with six principals replaced
in first year (-25%). Teacher evaluation and compensation system developed in Year 3 and implemented in Year 4, continuing
to present.
Source: schooldigger.com Home>Colorado>Colorado Springs>Harrison School District No.2

Change in Campus Ranking Seven Years Later (2012-13)

Tremendous Gains With 18 of 22 Campuses Increasing in Statewide Relative Ranking
-Wildflower
Irwin Elem.

Stratton

Harrison

Carmel

Panorama

- Centennial
Turman

Fox Meadow
Mtn. Vista

. 'Giberson
Monterey

40
30

20
10

o
-10

-20
-30

-40

Change in Campus State Percentile Ranking Seven Years Later (2012-13)