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Contents
Executive Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 03
Sizing and Seizing $770 Billion in New Money. . . . . . . . . . 05
Dispersed, Dynamic and Competitive. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Strategies for Success. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Executive Summary
One hundred million new ASEAN consumers will add $770 billion in new
spending to the economy over the next few years. Those consumers are
choosing brands and products right now and their loyalty could last a lifetime.
Companies that act fast will elevate growth and lock in a sustainable advantage.
ASEAN by 2020
$3
TRILLION
USD ECONOMY
6th
LARGEST ECONOMY
WORLDWIDE
580
+50%
2.3
x2
A once-in-a-lifetime
opportunity to win loyalty
in new growth areas.
60 million
NEW CONSUMERS
MILLION PEOPLE
LIVING IN CITIES
37 million
NEWLY AFFLUENT
TRILLION USD ANNUAL
CONSUMER SPENDING
MOVING TO HIGHER-INCOME
TIERS AND EXPANDING ACCESS
TO PREMIUM PRODUCT CATEGORIES.
CONSUMER SPENDING TO
DOUBLE BY END DECADE
Sources: Accenture analysis based on data from Euromonitor International 2013 and Global Insights 2013
84%
$1236
$2271
ASEAN
6.9%
7.5%
8.6%
$375
$363
7.6%
14.0%
6.1%
$822
$481
$290
$210
$188
$246
$161
$110
$86
Indonesia
2012
Thailand
2020F
Philippines
Malaysia
CAGR
Vietnam
$176
Singapore
54%
$146
$226
Total
10%
10%
8%
9%
7%
6%
9%
$95
$60
$50
$30
$27
$18
Packaged Food
2012
Tobacco
2017F
Soft Drinks
CAGR
$23
$15
Beauty &
Personal Care
$14
$19
Alcoholic Drinks
$5
$7
Home Care
$3
$5
Consuming class
Segment
Avg annual
income (USD)
Affluent
> $50,000
Upper mass
$15,000 - $50,000
Mass
$5,000 - $15,000
Common Mass
$3,500 - $5,000
Population
(million)
2.7
4.4
1.7
12 10 22
59
36
42
14 56
116
Total
Potential additional
spending pool (USD billion)
2012
Source: Accenture analysis based on data from Euromonitor International, 2013.
95
61
177
New
consumers (M)*
Upgrading
consumers (M)*
Change
63%
11
82%
23
24
61%
37
33%
60
37
53%
278
493
1. New consumers
2. New affluence
Increasing wealth across ASEAN is creating
the newly affluent consumer segment.
As stated earlier, an estimated 40 million
people will move to higher income tiers
by 2020, which will enhance their ability
to purchase premium products.
These consumers have high expectations for
product quality and convenience. They are
also highly diverse, with different preferences.
One example is the value seeker consumer
who earns between $5,000 and $15,000, and
aims to better themselves and their families
through education and skilled jobs. While
they tend to spend conservatively, these
consumers also want affordable luxuries.
Even within the middle class tier, subgroupings are quickly evolving. For example,
across the region there are growing pools of
wealthy retirees, urban dwellers that desire
more convenience and lifestyle products
that fit their fast-paced work and leisure
lives, as well as young working adults
with a taste for high-quality and trendy
products. All these segments will need to
be understood and specifically catered to
with targeted products and campaigns.
10
11
Expectation
Promise
Evaluate
sid
Reality
Delivery
Co
Purcha
se
er
cov
Dis
er
se
12
13
14
Invest in relationships
The key to faster growth is to take a more
collaborative approach with a broad and
deep network of partners. This network will
allow companies to extend their reach in both
traditional and modern trade outlets, improve
their demand planning with greater visibility,
and minimize risk when entering new markets.
Improving accessibility to markets and product
availability will require that companies invest
in joint strategies with key distributors.
In Vietnam, the Japanese retailer AEON is
partnering with the local retailers Fivimart and
Citimart to sell its private brand of foods and
daily necessities under the Topvalu label. The
partnership will result in product availability
in more than 40 retail outlets in Vietnam.24
One goal of the strategy will be to coordinate
demand forecasting in partnership with
distributors to ensure product availability in
traditional trade. Strategies such as having
joint incentives will align execution so
that products get to the right place the
proverbial last mile at the right time.
More importantly, with 75% of spend going
through the close to 5 million mom and
pop operators across ASEAN, effective
management of traditional trade distribution
15
16
Conclusion
The ASEAN region is growing faster than any other market,
and represents a $770 billion per year prize for growthseeking companies. CPG companies will need to move
quickly to seize the enormous business opportunities
arising from the nearly 100 million new and more affluent
consumers who will inject more disposable income in the
regions economy every year. Winning their loyalty demands
fast execution of a clear plan while having the flexibility to
contend with the regions enormous diversity, fragmented
geography, and rapidly changing consumer behaviour.
All firms will face competition that is
intensifying by the quarter; both MNCs and
local companies will need to continually
invest in the right strategies, capabilities
and mindsets to expand their presence and
consumer engagement in the region.
As discussed, a preliminary roadmap
for CPG companies includes:
Taking action to gain customer insights and
contact that will enhance the customer
reach, experience and loyalty, thereby
locking them in before competitors
Ensuring the availability at every fingertip
and the smooth flow of goods through
the supply chain, increasingly by using
salesforce automation tools and logistics
optimization with an extensive network
of supply and distribution partners,
Adopting an operating model that effectively
balances regional efficiency with local agility
and insight through data and analytics.
17
References
1 In this report, our analysis of ASEAN
focuses on its top 6 economies: Indonesia,
Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore,
Thailand and Vietnam.
2 All dollar figures in this report are in US
dollars.
3 Accenture analysis based on data from
Global Insights 2013.
4 Accenture analysis based on Euromonitor
International 2013
5 Ibid
6 Accenture analysis on data from BPS
Indonesia Statistics 2013. Commodity
goods as defined by BPS are classified
into food and non-food categories and
include cereals, fish, vegetables, oil and
fats, prepared food, tobacco, housing,
education, health and durables.
7 Thailands Grand Infrastructure Ambitions,
Credit Suisse, August 2013.
https://www.credit-suisse.com/sg/en/newsand-expertise/news/economy.article.html/
article/pwp/news-and-expertise/2013/08/
en/thailand-s-grand-infrastructureambitions.html.
8 DOST pushes for more Next Wave Cities,
Philippine News Agency, January 2014.
http://www.interaksyon.com/
business/79374/dost-pushes-for-morenext-wave-cities-in-support-of-bpoindustry DOST pushes for more Next Wave
Cities
9 Accenture analysis based on data from
Euromonitor International 2013.
10 From serving to driving Indonesias growth,
R.J. Lino, President Director, PT. Pelabuhan
Indonesia II, September 2014
http://supplychainindonesia.com/new/wpcontent/files/From_Serving_to_Driving_
Indonesias_Growth_-_R.J.Lino.pdf
11 Global Consumer Pulse Research,
Accenture, 2013
http://www.accenture.com/us-en/Pages/
insight-digital-customer-play-to-winsummary.aspx
12 Facebook Statistics by Country, Social
bakers, 2014.
About Accenture
14-5640