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Strategic Planning
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2.1
In Chapter 1 we saw what the company network is, here it will be drawn. The objective
of this stage is to describe all agents that have functions in the network, from the first
suppliers to the final consumers, for a general view of the main industries and
organizations that act together with the focus company of the plan.
The process is made by inserting the agents that have negotiation functions (suppliers,
manufacturers, industries, wholesalers, retailers and others) in the product flow pattern.
The functions (like shipping, for example) and the facilitator companies should not be in
the drawing, for they do not buy products, they only do negotiations related to service
rendering (funding, in the case of banks; insurance, in the case of insurance companies;
shipping, in the case of shipping companies, etc.). Figure 2.1 again shows the focal
Figure 2.1 shows a company that is inserted in a complex system, made of vari ous
agents, with distinct characteristics. The fundamental point of the external analysis is to
understand, and when possible, try to predict changes generated by the agents or external
variables to the company, whether from the immediate environment (suppliers,
competition, distributors and clients) or from the macro environment (Political and Legal,
Economical and Natural, Social and Cultural, and Technological).
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i n f or m ati on f or ?
W h er e do t h ey f i t i n
t h e p lan n i n g?
H ow t o see an d
u n d er st an d t h e
i n f or m ati on n eeds
w i th i n th e
com pan y?
To antecipate
changes
I n t h e i n t er n al an d
ext er n al an alysi s
Ask through an
internal research:
To make better
decisions
To redirect
To prevent
To improve
To plan
Chapter 2:
STEP / end consumers
/ intermediary
consumers
(organizational /
industrial)
Chapter 3:
internal (company) /
competitor
The existing
information
The decision made
What information the
company needs and
wants?
W h i ch
i n f or m ati on i s
r el evan t t o t h e
com pan y?
W h er e/ H ow t o get
t h e i n for m at i on ?
1. Internal
Registries
Distributors: resale
2. Intelligence
Salesman: reports
3. Research
Consumers: research
I NTERN AL :
Sales
Employees
Suppliers
Costs
Companies
Human resources
Competitors
Production
Updating
Shareholders
To innovate
New Sources
EX TERNAL
STEP
Market
websites
Consumers
Periodicity
Competitors
Government
To renew
Advisors Committee,
advisors board:
Advice/ orientation
Clients
Government
In this step it is important that the team involved in the planning process is engaged
in the raising of information about the history, size and tendencies in the market the
company acts in. The activity of forecasting the demand is among the main administrative
tasks, and is the basis of executive planning. I t supplies information to the production area
concerning purchase volumes, funding and application of the necessary resources in the
predicted levels of activity, number of people necessary in the organization, and so forth.
Demand forecast for the Sales area is fundamental in almost every decision. The definition
of territories, evaluation of salespeople, setting of quotas, choosing representatives or hired
salespeople, among many other decisions; have in the sales forecasting a fundamental
piece of information to be regarded.
It is important to comment on the distinction between potential sales, which refers to
the total sales in the sector, and sales forecast, which is what the company hopes to achieve
out of this total, considering the environment and its program, as shown in Table 2.1.
Table 2.1 Market evolution.
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07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
Amounts ($)
Volumes (quant.)
Average price
Sales per Company
Company M arket Share
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In case the company has a large geographical coverage it needs to have an idea of what
is the market size it disputes in each of its products in the acting regions. This way the
market data by region can also be evaluated, according to Table 2.2.
Table 2.2 Market evolution by region
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07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
Region A
Region B
Region C
Region D
Region E
Tot al
Finally, the total sales forecast by product can be set up through the forecast of
different sales teams, or inversely, the total sales goal of a certain product is allocated by
the different teams. The philosophy of the construction of the demand will depend on the
demand forecasting policy used by the company.
Speaking exclusively of demand forecasting, it is generally done by the marketing
department together with the sales department (when these so happen to be segregated,
otherwise the marketing department simply does this), even though the production
department or product managers can also do this. As it regards a study of future sales, and
marketing is responsible for sales, then ideally marketing must be the area responsible for
demand forecasting.
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generated by the environment and also minimize the negative impacts of the
threats.
Table 2.3 shows the main influence factors, in each of the 4 large groups that are part
of the macro environment, that must be considered at the time of the environmental
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Table 2.3 The STEP structure for the macro environment audit.
Pol i t i cal an d l egal f act or s
Soci al an d cu l t u r al f act or s
demographics;
life styles;
legislative structure;
social mobility;
education levels;
antitrust policies;
consumerism;
behavior pattern;
labor legislation;
races/ ethnicity;
time scarcity;
pressure groups;
population aging;
person individuality;
packaging restrictions;
convenience;
tariff barriers;
leisure;
tributary polices;
wealth distribution;
attitudes at work;
others.
family size;
attitudes;
others.
Econ om i cal an d n at ur al f act or s
business life cycle;
interest rate;
exchange rate;
credit lines;
inflation rate;
investment levels;
unemployment;
energy costs;
types of financial institutions;
growth tendencies (GNP);
nature and basis of domestic and international competition;
commercial blocks;
education level;
economic integration;
supplier concentration;
buyer concentration;
energy availability;
restrictions of environmental raw-materials (water, air,
among others);
research programs;
life cycle of used equipment;
improvements in the equipment;
sales through mail; telephone, Internet;
scanners, computerized stocks and delivery;
electronic data interchange (EDI);
genetic modification;
satellites;
digitalization;
cellular telephones;
others.
tourism expenditure;
others.
Sou r ces: Author, based on Gilligan and Wilson (2003); Johnson and Scholes (1998); Stern et al.
(1996); Rosenbloom (1999); Berman (1996); Achrol and Stern (1988) and projects.
Just the identification of macro environment factors that affect the organization is not
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enough to create strategies. During the planning, the team involved needs to transform
collected information into practical actions. For the model proposed in this book, the
transformation of collected information into actions takes place when filling out Table 2.4.
Table 2.4 Drivers of change and actions that must be implemented.
Pol i t i cal / L egal
List
Impacts/
Opportunities
List
Company
Actions
Econ om i cal / N at u r al
List
Impacts/
Opportunities
List
Company
Actions
Soci al / Cu l t u r al
List
Impacts/
Opportunities
List
Company
Actions
List
Company
Actions
2.4
In this section the sectoral analysis will be discussed, according to the model proposed
by Porter (1980). According to this author, there are five basic competitive forces that
the threat of new entrants (competitors) in the sector;
the rivalry intensity among existing competitors;
the threat of substitute products;
the buyers bargaining power;
the suppliers
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T
H
R
E
A
T
S
O
P
P
O
R
T
U
N
I
T
I
E
S
and and
Projects
ListActions
the projects
actions
for the company based on the
STEP Analysis
Figure 2.2 Pr oject and action consolidation based on the STEP analysis.
The threat of new entrants (competitors) is a constant concern for companies. I f a
certain industry is yielding excessive profitability for the participating companies, naturally
new companies will be attracted to this business. Unless entry barriers are established, the
Wright et al. (2000) and Grant (2002) suggest some ways of establishing entry barriers:
demand economies of scale, product differentiation, demand for capital, high exit costs,
access to distribution channels and the retaliation that can be made by existing companies
in the market against the new entrant.
The price that consumers are willing to pay for a product depends, in part, on the
availability of substitute products. Starting from advantages in negotiations the bargaining
power of buyers in a sector can reduce the profitability of selling companies. For Wright et
al. (2000) the concentration of buyers, relevance of the acquired products in relation to the
total company cost, differentiation of products, costs of change, profit margin, possibility
of backwards vertical integration and availability of information are factors that influence
the bargaining
The analysis of the power determinants between a company and its suppliers is
analogous to the previous analysis. The key-issue in the relationship between the company
and its suppliers is the degree of difficulty the producers have to change suppliers. Wright
et al. (2000) suggest the suppliers have power in the following circumstances:
the supplying sector is dominated by few companies and is more concentrated than
the sector to which it sells;
there are no substitute products;
the sector that is buying is not an important client for the suppliers;
-in to its
costs;
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the suppli
market.
Finally, the degree of rivalry among existing companies in the sector is the main
determining factor of the degree of competition and profitability in an industry. The
intensity of the competition between companies in an industry will depend on various
high fixed or inventory costs, the absence of differentiation or change costs, high exit
bar
will be presented in the next item of this chapter. Figure 2.3 attempts to show a summary
of the sectorial analysis.
It is suggested that, in this step of the planning process, an analysis for your company
be done, with data and information about its sector.
what is the internal and external relevant consumer information for marketing;
where is the relevant consumer information
It is of fundamental importance that companies focus on their consumers and remain
market oriented. There is a tendency that market driven companies can obtain better
returns on their investments, higher success level in the introduction of new products and
a high level of market performance.
In order to get this orientation then, we start from the analysis of the
decision process are the marketing incentives introduced by companies through product
characteristics, price, communication (promotion, advertising) and distribution strategy,
in addition to the environment incentives, which are the economical, technological,
political and cultural factors, plus the cultural, social, personal and psychological
characteristics of this buyer. These three factors influencing the purchase decision process
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Supplier Power
Are the factors that deter
Also, it is important to analyze the following issues:
Who are they? How many? Where are they
located?
What are their offers? What are their prices?
Quality products?
Th e t h r eat of n ew en t r an t s
Demand for capital
Economies of scale
Advantage of costs
Product differentiation
Access to distribution
channels
Legal Barriers
Retaliation
Network externalities
Expectation about future
competition
High brand value by
consumers
Com p et i t or s
Concentration
Many competitors
Competitors (diversity)
Potential for product differentiation
Overcapacity & barriers
Costs of businesses
Stagnation or decline of the industry
Prices and sales terms
Competition of the
Substitutes
Propensity of buyers
to replace
Prices and
performance of the
products
Substitutes products
availability
Bu yer s Pow er
price sensitivity
Bargain power
I ndustry concentration
Substitutes supplies availability
I ntegration among suppliers
Suppliers capacity to determine the
prices
Specific Investments
Marketing
Stimuli
(Controllable
variables)
Product
Price
Distribution
Communication
Sales Force
Other Stimuli
(Uncontrollable
variables)
Political factors
Social Factors
Cultural Factors
Economical
Factors
Technological
Factors
Buyer
Characteristics
(consumers)
Cultural
Social
Personal
Psychological
Purchase Decision
Process
Decisions of the
buyer
Recognition of the
problem
Search for information
Evaluation of alternatives
Purchase decision
After purchase behavior
Product choice
Brand Choice
Seller choice
Time of
purchase
Amount to
spend
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Table 2.5
STEP OF TH E
PROCESS
Recogni t i on of
the
Pu r ch ase
Necessi t y
Sear ch
f or
I n f or m at i on
W H I CH QUESTI ON S M UST
BE M ADE
The
company
should,
through research, identify
what the consumer values
(attributes)
and
be
competitive
in
these
attributes. Reposition in the
attributes
analyzed,
reposition
competitors,
change the weight in the
analysis.
Pu r ch ase
Deci si on
Post Pu r ch ase
Beh avi or
Sou r ce:
In this step of the planning, the team involved completes a table similar to Table 2.6 to
Table 2.6 can be made for each
type of client, in other words, distributor, wholesaler, retailer, final consumer.
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Table 2.6 Analyzing the purchase decision process of your clients/ consumers.
STEP OF TH E
D ESCRI B E W H AT
PU RCH A SE PROCESS TH E PR OCESS I S
LIKE
2.5.1 CON SU M ER S K I N GD OM
While analyzing the purchase decision process of consumers, it is relevant for the
companies to consider some changes that have happened in the marketing behavior of
companies over the past 30 years. First, the so called wild view of marketing, that
dominated the 70's, 80's and in some markets even the 90's. Then we had incredible
macro-environmental changes and a new era of consumer sovereignty emerged. Finally, by
the end of this section, there are some messages and opportunities for companies that
want to satisfy this very sophisticated consumer, full of choices and with very close
competing companies wanting to supply.
The era of the wild view of marketing finished in most industries, although in some of
them even today these "dinosaurs" are still present. This "wild view" used to see marketing
as the architect of pushing consumption, full of advertising, sales and aggressive selling.
New products were designed for sales, mass consumption and profit, with short term goals.
Marketing was seen as manipulative and companies had a narrow consumer orientation,
with lack of measurement and spreading problematic relationships. Most companies did
not listen at all to consumers. All organizational structure was designed for selling, short
term results and spot relationships.
At the end of the 80's and beginning of 90's, several environmental changes happened
in most of the countries and markets. I consider the most important as the widening of
markets and internationalization, the fast rate of technology change and progress, markets
deregulation, increase in global competition, with some markets having more offer than
demand.
Another bundle of important changes came from the information and communication
process, with technology, internet and World Wide Web, increasing the speed of sociocultural changes of consumers. We can also point the consumerist movement, growth of
ethics in citizens' behavior and emergence of societal marketing movement (inclusion) as
important changes in the last 20 years.
These changes took us to an era of consumer sovereignty, or an era of the consumer
taking over production chains, that were now redesigned towards the satisfaction of this
new king with a professional purchase behavior, new and growing expectations. This new
era made companies understand that consumers values his time, wants well being, nice
experiences and rewards and has the free choice in an individual way. For the bad
behaving companies we had the emergence of consumer's ONG s (bringing countervailing
power) and large public attention to consumer rights. The risks for companies increased in
an incredible basis with the fast communication process, discussion groups, Web based
complains and new media.
The sovereignty of consumers led companies that want to conquer markets and win
competition to a new strategic behavior. In essence, they need to be demand driven. This
behavior is based on paying attention and collecting information about the consumers (1),
competitors (2) and environment (3), to have a deep analysis and quick reaction of
environmental changes (4).
Companies switched to a long range approach valuing satisfaction and well being of
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5 - What are the risks in health or security related to the product? If it is a food or
beverage, for example, how is the health risk seen, and what is valued in terms of
certifications and other associations.
6 - What are the risks of payment (consumer finances)? Will consumer be able to pay,
how this question could be solved in order to facilitate, offering credit or other.
7 - What are the risks in not
employment and other values a consumer might have? Production processes, marketing
and others should be linked to what is valued by the buyer.
8 - What are the risks in reselling? We can imagine here the case of durable goods, that
are used and then sold (like cars, for instance).
9 - What are the risks in understanding? These risks are sometimes neglected. In most
of the industries, consumers want simple solutions, or products that are easy to use and to
understand.
10 - What are the risks in maintenance, services, or post -sales interactions? Costs
related to insurances, maintenance, the inputs needed, energy consumption and other
variables.
Successful consumer relationships nowadays focus on experiences. To be successful in
this equation means performing better than the competition in avoiding consumer risks
and delivering benefits.
This will bring a relationship with consumers, which tend to be loyal if we keep on
searching for a better value equation. I f the consumer perceives accommodation then will
be surprised with his new contract with a competitor. This is our risk.
I d eas of
Col l ect i ve
A ct i on s w i t h
i t s Ch an n el s
Action 1
Action 2
Action 5
Action 6
...
...
...
...
Starting from here, the executives will be able to place several actions in a hierarchy by
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level of importance. Later the possibility of joint implementation for each of these actions
and the interest of each of the companies in sharing these actions will be evaluated.
Relevant actions for the companies, capable of collective implementation and which do not
generate problems for individual company strategies, will have priority. Then, all these
action proposals will enter in Chapters 4 and 5, objectives and proposed strategies.
In Chapter 3, the third part of the DDSP method will be shown, the process of internal
analysis of the company. The internal analysis must be carried out simultaneously with the
external analysis, since both complement each other as a form of knowledge of the reality
in which the company is inserted. The information coming from the internal and external
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