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Abstract: A grey hop, skip, and jump (GHSJ) approach is developed and applied to the area of municipal solid waste
management planning. The method improves upon existing modelling to generate alternative approaches by allowing
uncertain information to be effectively communicated into the optimization process and resulting solutions. Feasible
decision alternatives can be generated through interpretation of the GHSJ solutions, which are capable of reflecting
potential system condition variations caused by the existence of input uncertainties. Results from a hypothetical case
study indicate that useful solutions for the expansion planning of waste management facilities can be generated. The
decision alternatives obtained from the GHSJ solutions may be interpreted and analyzed to internalize
environmental-economic tradeoffs, which may be of interest to solid waste decision makers faced with difficult and
controversial choices.
Key words: grey programming, modelling to generate alternatives, hop-skip-jump approach, waste management
planning, uncertainty, public sector decision making.
Resume : Une approche dite de triple saut de zones incertaines (GHSJ) est dCveloppte et appliquCe au domaine de
planification de gestion de dCchets municipaux. La mtthode amtliore les rnodkles existant pour gtntrer des approches
alternatives en permettant i des informations incertaines d'Ctre communiquCes efficacement dans le processus
d'optimisation et les solutions rtsultantes. Les alternatives de dtcisions faisables peuvent Ctre gCnCrCes B travers
l'interprttation des solutions de la GHSJ, qui sont capables de refltter les conditions de variations potentielles du
systkme causCes par l'existence des incertitudes introduites. Des risultats d'un cas hypothttique d'Ctude indiquent que
des solutions utiles pour la planification d'expansion des amtnagements de gestion de dtchets peuvent Ctre gCnCrCes. Les
alternatives de dCcision obtenues des solutions de la GHSJ peuvent &tre interprCtCes et analysies pour assimiler les
compromis environnementaux et Cconorniques, qui peuvent Ctre inttressants pour les dtcideurs de gestion de dCchets
solides confrontCs avec des choix difficiles et controversCs.
Mots elks : programmation d'incertitudes, modtlisation pour gCnCrer des alternatives, approche de triple saut,
1. Introduction
The planning of municipal solid waste management systems
to satisfy increasing waste disposal and treatment demands
is often subject to a variety of impact factors. Therefore,
optimization may b e useful for reflecting the effects of these
factors and generating optimal solutions. However, due to
the presence of uncertainty and many nonquantifiable factors
relating to environmental and economic objectives, and the
possibility that public opposition may eliminate the optimal
Received October 12, 1995.
Revised manuscript accepted June 6, 1996.
G.H. Huang. Faculty of Engineering, University of Regina,
Regina, SK S4S OA2, Canada.
B.W. Baetz. Department of Civil Engineering, McMaster
University, Hamilton, ON L8S 4L7, Canada.
G.G. Patry. Faculty of Engineering, University of Ottawa,
ON KIN 6N5, Canada.
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Huber (1979) used a reverse heuristic to find close-tooptimal solutions for maximal covering location problems.
Falkenhausen (1979) employed a heuristic evolution strategy
to generate alternative solutions for a regional wastewater
treatment system planning problem. Chang et al. (1980) developed a random technique for generating decision alternatives
by maximizing the sum of several randomly selected decision
variables. Brill et al. (1981) applied the HSJ method to a multiobjective linear programming problem to generate alternatives
for a hypothetical land use planning problem. Chang et al.
(1982) discussed an approach named branch and boundlscreen
(BBS) for obtaining good and different alternatives by first
generating many solutions efficiently and then applying a
screening process to determine the alternatives. More recently,
Baetz et al. (1990) developed an MGA approach for dynamic
programming-based planning problems and applied it to solid
waste management planning.
The major deficiency with the existing MGA approaches
is that they are based on deterministic mathematical programming models, which may not be able to effectively communicate uncertain information into the optimization framework.
Therefore, a grey hop, skip, and jump (GHSJ) approach is
developed in this paper to mitigate this problem. The GHSJ
approach can directly communicate uncertainty into the optimization process and the resulting solutions, such that optimal
and close-to-optimal solutions for the decision variables and
the objective function value can be obtained (Huang et al.
1995). Thus, decision alternatives can be generated by adjusting different combinations of the decision variable values
within their solution intervals according to projected applicable
conditions, which will reflect potential system condition variations caused by the existence of input uncertainties.
The purpose of this paper is to develop the GHSJ approach
and apply it to a hypothetical case study of municipal solid
waste management planning. The results will be interpreted
and analyzed to show the potential applicability of the developed methodology to waste management planning and other
types of public sector decision making problems.
X+ = {x:
[x;, x;]
[2.3]
xi = {x:
[x-,
x$]
rJ
JJ
Vi}
'v'i, j }
xi E
('$3')
XF E {(SZ~}IJ'XI~
subject to
[2.6]
x;~pt
[ ~ j , xTOpt],
~~'
xTOpt> x j O p tand V j
subject to
Huang et al.
Fig. 1. Graphical depiction of a grey mathematical programming problem and its solution.
-------
constraint [2 8b]
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constrarnt [2 8c]
0
I
x2
subject to
(ii) Minimize
subject to
Fig. 2. Modelling process for the grey hop, skip, and jump
(GHSJ) approach.
I uncertain ~arametersI
e
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Facility 2
implicit knowledge
,* * ,U W E Facility 1
interest groups:
Minimize
subject to
- - - -,
Municipality 1
municipal solid waste
residue from waste-to-energy (VVTE) facility
Huang et al
Time period
Symbol
k = l
k = 2
,,
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Symbol
k = 3
k = l
k = 2
[250, 3001
[475, 5251
[375, 4251
to the landfill
[13.3, 17.71
t11.6, 15.41
[14.0, 18.71
($It)
[14.6, 19.51
[12.8, 16.91
[15.4,20.6]
WTE facility
t10.6, 14.11
[11.1, 14.71
[9.7, 12.81
1 ($It)
[11.7, 15.51
[12.2, 16.21
[10.6, 14.01
WTE facility
[13.3, 17.71
[14.1, 18.81
[4.6, 6.21
2 ($It)
[14.6, 19.51
[15.5, 20.71
[5.1, 6.81
[50, 801
[65, 951
[65, 851
subject to
3
[31b]
k'
C C L,[X',~+
j=l k = ~
C x&FE]
i=2
k'
In the municipal solid waste management system under consideration, grey decision variables include two categories:
continuous and binary. The continuous variables represent
"municipality
facility" waste flows over the time horizon,
and the binary variables represent facility expansion decisions.
The objective is to achieve optimal planning for facility
expansion and relevant municipal solid waste flow allocation
with minimum system cost. The constraints include all relationships between the decision variables and the waste generation and management conditions. A grey integer programming
(GIP) model can be formulated as follows:
Minimize
<
C ALC*y: + LC*;
k t = 1, 2, 3
k= l
i = 2 , 3 and k'
1, 2, 3
[3.le]
C
Ill=
z:,,~ 5 1;
= 2,
3 and V k
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[3. lg]
xSk r 0;
V i, j , k
(nonnegativity constraints)
= integer;
= integer;
Vk
= 2,
3 and V m , k
= TRL
ilk
C$
= TR$
= 2,
3 and V j , k
FE is the residue flow rate from the WTE facility to the landfill (% of incoming mass to the WTE facility); FLC: is the
capital cost of landfill expansion in period k ($); FT: is the
landfill" waste
transportation cost for "WTE facility i
flow during period k , i = 2 , 3 ($It); FTC,,,,k is the capital
cost of expanding WTE facility i by option m in period k ,
i = 2, 3 ($); Lk is the length of time period k (d); LC* is
the existing landfill capacity (t); OP$ is the operating cost of
facility i during period k ($It); RE: is the revenue from the
WTE facilities during period k ($It); TC! is the existing
capacity of WTE facility i, i = 2, 3 (tld); TR& is the transportation cost for waste flow from municipality j to facility i
during period k ($It); WG$ is the waste generation rate in
municipality j during period k (tld); ALC is the amount of
capacity expansion for the landfill (t); and ATC,,,,,, is the
amount of capacity expansion (option m) for WTE facility i
at the start of period k , i = 2, 3 (tld).
Equation [3. la] implies that the objective is to minimize
system cost which is related to the benefits and costs of
different waste management activities and capital costs for
related facility expansions. Constraints [3. lb] and [3. lc] stipu-
late that the upper limit for waste treatment and disposal in
any time stage is determined by both the existing and expanded
capacities for the landfill and WTE facilities. This dynamic
nature is related to economic development, population increase,
and environmental management activities. Constraint [3. Id]
states waste disposal demand for the three municipalities.
Constraint [3. le] requires that only one WTE facility expansion may occur for any given time period, and constraint
[3.lf ] stipulates that the landfill can only be expanded once
for the entire planning time horizon. Constraints [3.lg] to
[3. li] define technical relationships for the decision variables.
The detailed solution algorithm for the above GIP model
is provided by Huang et al. (1995). Generally, interactive
relationships between objective and constraints, between decision variables and parameters, and between different decision
variables are analyzed and quantitatively presented. Submodels
corresponding to the upper and lower bounds of the objective
function value are formulated based on the interactive relationships. Grey solutions are then generated through interpretation of solutions from the two submodels.
The solutions for the grey binary variables have four possible representations ([0, 01, [ I , 11, [O, 11, and [ l , 01). These
variables represent the related grey decisions that reflect
potential system condition variations caused by the input
uncertainties. For example, if an incinerator has two options
for capacity expansion in a given time period: 500 or 600 t/d
capacity (assuming that only one expansion is allowed in the
period, and the option of 600 tld has a higher capital cost
than that of 500 t/d), let the 500 t/d option correspond to a
binary variable x,, and the 600 t/d option correspond to
another binary variable x2. When both x , and x2 are deterministic variables, we will have one of the following three
possible solutions: (i) no expansion (xl = 0 and 12 = 0);
(ii) expanding by 500 t/d (xl = 1 andx2 = 0); o r (iii) expanding by 600 tld (x, = 0 and x2 = 1). Thus, the solutions
are deterministic and cannot effectively reflect the effects of
uncertainties.
In comparison, when x, and x2 are grey binary variables,
we have x l = x: and x2 = x$. Assume that the objective is
to minimize f * , and that x; and x; correspond to f - . Thus
we will have one of the following six possible solutions
(through formulating the related constraints):
(i) no expansion (x; = 0 , x; = 0; and x: = 0, x: = 0);
j = 1,
(ii) expanding by 500 t/d (x; = 1, x; = 0 ; and x
x: = 0);
(iii) expanding by 600 t/d (x; = 0, x; = 1; and x: = 0,
x; = 1);
(iv) expanding by [O, 5001 t/d (x; = 0, x; = 0; and x: =
1, x; = 0);
(v) expanding by [O, 6001 t/d (x; = 0, x; = 0; and x: =
0 , x; = 1);
(vi) expanding by [500, 6001 tld (x; = 1, x; = 0; and
x: = 0, x; = 1).
The solutions in (i) to (iii) are the same as those when x ,
and x2 are deterministic. However, the grey solutions in (iv)
to (vi) reflect potential system condition variations caused by
the existence of input uncertainties. The lower bound expansion values (and thus lower capital costs) correspond to advantageous system conditions (e.g., conditions when recycling,
reduction, and reuse (3R) initiatives are effective in controll-
Huang et al
Table 3 (concluded).
--
Symbol
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Symbol
Facility
Expansion
Period
Solution
yf opl
y: opt
Y: opt
zI:
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
1
1
1
1
2
3
0
0
0
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
2
2
2
1
2
3
0
0
0
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
3
3
3
1
2
3
1
1
0
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
4
4
4
1
2
3
0
0
0
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
1
1
1
1
2
3
0
0
0
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
2
2
2
1
2
3
11, 01
1
0
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
3
3
3
1
2
3
10, 11
0
0
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
4
4
1
2
3
0
0
0
z:12
op1
I:3'
opt
z:21
op1
~ $ 2 2opt
6 2 3 opt
3:'I
opl
z:z
opt
3:z
opt
'$41
opt
~ $ 4 2opt
~ f l opt
l
G I 2 opt
'$13
opt
z:2,
apt
z;22
opt
'f23
opt
'$31
opt
z:3?
opt
~ $ 3 3opt
,z:
opt
2:z
opt
z:43
opt
*,,,
x:,?
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
I opt
1
0
0
x
.r f321
~ $ 2
x$,
x:~,
x:~?
x;~,
Facility
Expansion
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
1
1
1
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
2
2
2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
3
3
3
Period
Solution
2
2
2
1
2
3
[263, 2711
[51, 721
[125, 1371
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
3
3
3
1
2
3
0
0
0
800 -1
10
15
Time (year)
(b)
800 -
S 700-
10
15
Time (year)
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
1
1
1
1
2
3
[200, 2381
122
150
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
2
2
2
1
2
3
87
[374, 4031
[350, 3631
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
3
3
3
2
3
0
0
1214
Table 4. Close-to-optimal solutions under different target constraints for the cost objective (tld).
- --
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Symbol
1I:'
opt
'$12
opt
'$13
opt
'$21
opt
~ $ 2 2opt
z:23
op1
';4I
opt
'i42
opt
'$3
op1
I: '
l opt
'fl2
opt
:I'3
opt
'$21
opt
2:'2
opt
'i23
opl
z:31
opt
3:'2
opt
z:33
.pi
~ f 4 opt
I
'$42
apt
4:'3
opt
x T I l op1
x T 1 2 opt
'?I3
opt
x T 2 1 opt
x T 2 2 op1
~ T 2 o3 p ~
'$31
opl
~ T 3 opt
2
x T 3 3 op1
~ $ l1 opt
x:12
op1
~ 1 1 opt
3
~ $ 2 1opt
x:22
apt
x;23
opt
~ : 3l opt
x:3?
opt
~ $ 3 3opt
~ f l opt
l
x:12
opt
:I3'
opt
Facility
Expansion
Period
Alternative 1.1
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
1
1
1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
1
1
1
1
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
2
2
2
1
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
3
3
3
1
2
3
[1,01
1
1
[ I , 01
1
1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
4
4
4
1
2
3
10, 11
0
0
10, 11
0
0
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
1
1
1
1
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
2
2
2
1
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
3
3
3
1
2
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
4
4
4
1
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
[O, 11
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
WTE
WTE
WTE
WTE
WTE
WTE
WTE
WTE
WTE
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
3
3
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
[200, 2501
122
125
[63, 751
366
359
10, 501
10, 501
10, 501
[200, 2381
[122, 1301
150
88
366
359
[O, 501
[O, 501
[O, 501
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
1
1
1
1
2
3
0
[103, 1111
[125, 1751
[O, 131
103
[loo, 1501
facility
facility
facility
facility
facility
facility
facility
facility
facility
Huang et at.
Table 4 (concluded).
Symbol
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x:,,
x:,~
x:,, opt
x : ~ ,opt
x : ~ , opt
x:,, opt
Facility
WTE
WTE
WTE
WTE
WTE
WTE
facility 2
facility 2
facility 2
facility 2
facility 2
facility 2
2
3
3
3
Alternative 1.3
[25, 751
10, 501
[O, 501
300
325
375
(alternative 1.3).
(a)
800 -1
Time (year)
% 300
g 200
I00
0
10
Time (year)
1216
Symbol
Y:
Y:
Y'
opt
opt
3 opt
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I:1'
opt
6 1 2 opt
:I3'
I*: '
opt
opt
z:22
opt
2:'3
opr
I:'
opr
;'32
opr
z:33
opt
'&I
opr
4:'2
opt
G 4 3 opt
'$1
l opt
2:12
opt
:I3'
opt
'$21
opt
2:22
opt
'$23
opt
3:'l
opt
'$32
opr
'$33
opr
'$41
opr
'$42
opt
'$43
opt
x:l
I opt
~ f l opt
2
x i 1 3 opt
x i 2 1 opt
x:22
opt
'?23
opt
'731
opt
~ ? 3 2opt
x i 3 3 opr
Facility
Expansion
1
1
1
1
2
3
0
0
0
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
2
2
2
1
2
3
0
0
1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
3
3
3
1
2
3
1
[I, 01
0
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
4
4
4
1
2
3
0
[o, 11
0
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
1
1
1
1
2
3
0
[I, 01
0
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
2
2
2
1
2
3
0
[o, 11
0
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
3
3
3
1
2
3
[1,01
0
1
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
4
4
4
1
2
3
[o, 11
0
0
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
opt
opt
x;33
opt
opr
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
~ $ 2 1opr
~ $ 2 2opr
x:23
'$13
opt
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
WTE facility 1
lx:
~ ; 1 3 opt
Alternative 3
1
1
1
2:x
l opr
x i 1 2 opt
Alternative 2
Landfill
Landfill
Landfill
WTE facility
WTE facility
WTE facility
WTE facility
WTE facility
WTE facility
WTE facility
WTE facility
WTE facility
x:l
Period
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Alternative 4
Huang et al.
Table 5 (concluded).
Symbol
Facility
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
WTE facility 2
433
WTE facility 2
System cost, f+ ($lo6)
xi2,opt
xi2?opt
xi2,
xi,, op,
xt3,
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O ~ I
Expansion
Period
2
2
2
3
3
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
Alternative 2
Alternative 3
[50,100]
0
[o, 501
[300, 3501
[325, 3751
[50, 1001
to, 471
[o, 501
[300, 3501
[325, 3751
25
0
0
[300, 3271
325
[375, 4251
[375, 3861
375
[405.1, 725.41
[405.1, 725.41
[405.1, 725.41
Alternative 4
'
4. Concluding remarks
A GHSJ approach has been applied to a hypothetical case
study of municipal solid waste management planning. The
method improves upon the existing HSJ approach by allowing
uncertain information, presented as interval numbers, to be
effectively communicated into the optimization process and
resulting solutions. Feasible decision alternatives can be generated through interpretation of the optimal and close-to-optimal
grey solutions (presented as stable intervals) according to
projected applicable system conditions. Results from the hypothetical case study indicate that potentially useful solutions
for the expansion planning of solid waste management facilities
have been generated. The decision alternatives obtained may
be interpreted and analyzed to internalize environmental and
economic tradeoffs, which may be of interest to public sector
decision makers faced with difficult and controversial choices.
Upper
bound
Lower
bound
Optimal solution
To landfill (tld)
To WTE facility 1 (tld)
To WTE facility 2 (tld)
To landfill (%)
To WTE facility 1 (%)
To WTE facility 2 ( % )
263
287
325
30.1
32.8
37.1
27 1
325
429
26.4
31.7
41.9
51
496
428
5.2
50.9
43.9
262
263
350
29.9
30.1
40.0
262
375
388
25.5
36.6
37.9
59
488
428
6.1
50.0
43.9
262
288
325
29.9
33.0
37.1
262
376
388
25.5
36.6
37.9
59
488
428
6.1
50.0
43.9
247
278
350
28.2
31.8
40.0
247
328
450
24.1
32.0
43.9
34
488
453
3.5
50.0
46.5
34
500
441
3.5
51.3
45.2
Alternative
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facility 1)
262
59
263
463
500
453
25.5
6.1
25.7
47.5
48.8
46.5
facility 2)
298
59
375
488
352
428
29.1
6.1
36.6
50.0
34.3
43.9
2
Upper
bound
k
Lower
bound
3
Upper
bound
Huang et al.
Acknowledgments
This research has been supported by the Natural Sciences and
Engineering Research Council of Canada. We are also grateful
to the anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments.
Can. J. Civ. Eng. Downloaded from www.nrcresearchpress.com by Renmin University of China on 06/04/13
For personal use only.
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