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TO:

FROM:
Date:
RE:

National Republican Congressional Committee


Brock McCleary, President
September 21, 2015
Key Poll Findings New York Congressional District 24 Survey

Electoral Environment
Almost two-thirds of voters in New Yorks 24th Congressional District say things in the country are on the wrong
track (27% right direction, 64% wrong track). A Republican candidate and a Democratic candidate are tied on the
generic ballot for Congress (40-40%, 8% someone else, 12% not sure). The majority of voters in the district have
an unfavorable view of Hillary Clinton (45% favorable, 51% unfavorable). Her image is weaker among
Independents (34%/58%).
Candidate Images
Republican incumbent John Katko is viewed favorably by a majority of voters in the district (55% favorable, 22%
unfavorable). His image demonstrates considerable strength among Independents (52%/23%) and Moderates
(59%/17%). Katko is also viewed positively by a majority of both women (56%/19%) and men (54%/24%).
Democratic challenger Eric Kingson is unknown to 76% of the electorate (9%/15%).
Congressional Ballot Test
Q: If the election for Congress were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for: Republican
John Katko or Democrat Eric Kingson?
NY-24 Ballot Test
% of Vote
John Katko
51%
Eric Kingson
28%
Undecided
21%
Katko Job Approval
Q: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Katko is handling his job as Congressman?
Katko Job Approval
%
Strongly approve
25%
Somewhat approve
34%
Somewhat disapprove
12%
Strongly disapprove
6%
Not sure
22%
Majorities of Independents (58% approve, 20% disapprove) and Moderates (59%/23%) also approve of Katkos job
performance.
Katko Reelect
A 42% plurality of voters feels that John Katko has done enough to deserve reelection (27% someone new).
Both women (39%/25%) and men (46%/29%) believe Katko deserves reelection.
Katko Seen-Read-Heard and Information Flow
Almost half of the electorate has seen, read or heard something recently about John Katko (46%) and 63% say
what they have heard gave them a more favorable opinion of him. Katkos information flow is a strong net
positive among Independents (51%/14%) and Moderates (60%/21%).
121 State Street
Harrisburg, PA 17101

HarperPolling.com

info@HarperPolling.com

METHODOLOGY:
The sample size for the survey is 456 likely voters in New York Congressional District 24 and the margin of error is +/-4.55%. Cell phone
interviews were conducted using live operators and land line interviews were conducted using Interactive Voice Response (IVR). The survey
was conducted September 12-16, 2015 by Harper Polling. The demographic profile of the survey sample is as follows: Female 53%, Male
47%; Republican 33%, Conservative 7%, Democrat 35%, Working families 3%, Independent/Other Party 22%; White 81%, Something else
19%. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.

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