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Note: To understand the Stocks Update, first read Bos Ebook, My Maid Invests in the Stock Market.
Click here www.TrulyRichClub.com to download now.
August 2015
Volume 6, No. 15
Stocks Update
Page 1 of 8
Stocks Update
Volume 6, No. 15
August 2015
Page 2 of 9
Right now, our market is undergoing a correction that was originally brought about by disappointing 1st
quarter corporate earnings and GDP growth. Another reason for the market correction is that foreign funds are
flowing out of our country, Thailand, and Indonesia and going to countries in North Asia. Furthermore, the concerns
of a possible Greek default also contributed to negative sentiment causing the sideways movement of our market.
Now, the attractiveness of North Asian markets and the possibility of a Greek default are no longer concerns.
However, the short-term outlook for the stock market remains cautious. This was seen in the deterioration of
earnings outlook of listed companies affirmed by the decrease of the 2015 end Earnings Per Share (EPS) growth of
the PSEi from 15 percent to 4 percent. For this reason, COL Research reduced their 2015 end PSEi target from 8,300
to just 7,950. In addition, threats outside the country remain, particularly the sell-off of Thailand and Indonesian
stock markets (which are considered our countrys peers in the region) and the upcoming Fed rate hike in the US.
All these developments should manage growth expectations for our market.
Nonetheless, we believe that the markets weakness is only temporary. At the moment, the Philippines is
still one of the best fundamental long-term stories in the world. To prove this, the countrys economic growth
of more than 6 percent is seen to be faster than the average economic growth of developed (2.5 percent) and
developing (5.5 percent) nations globally in the last few years. Government spending is also picking up coming
from a disappointing start during the 1st quarter of the year. Government spending is up by around 9 percent for
April and May. Finally, we continue to have strong current account position with about 4.4 percent of GDP because
of the resilience of OFW remittances and the continuous growth of the BPO sector. This makes the Philippines more
resilient to sharp interest rate hikes or weakness in our currency.
Globally, liquidity conditions remain favorable for stocks as the US is the only country expected to raise
interest rates soon while Europe, Japan, and China continue to increase liquidity.
Currently, there are no indications that we are entering a bear market in spite of the ongoing weakness of the
market. However, in spite of the deterioration in outlook compared to earlier this year, there are still industries that
enjoy favorable near-term outlook. These are airlines, banks, properties, and power.
With all these developments and factors, we recommend for investors to remain invested and continue
buying our SAM stocks that are below their Buy Below Price.
Stocks Update
Volume 6, No. 15
August 2015
Page 3 of 9
to distributors. Although URC does not foresee this move of Nestle as sustainable, the companys business could
take a hit in the short-term. Also, URC said that although it has not adjusted prices in response to the competition,
it expects to spend more on advertising and promotion in the 2nd half of this year.
Another challenge for URC in the short-term is weakness in its sales particularly in the Visayas and Mindanao
areas. This weakness of its coffee segment along with the softness being experienced in Vis-Min might hurt URCs
ability to meet revenue forecasts for the whole year of 2015.
Given these challenges of URC in the near term and its elevated valuations, it is projected that it might be
difficult for the stock to outperform the market in the next few months. Thats why we came out with the Hold for
URC recently. However, we still believe in the long-term growth of this company. So stay tuned when you can buy
URC again when it goes below its Buy Below Price of P200.00. For now, you may continue to buy the SAM Stocks
that are under its Buy Below Price.
Happy investing!
P.S. If you would like to hear me live, I conduct free seminars every Friday at the COL Financial Training Center
teaching the basics of long-term investing in the Stock Market. You may sign-up for these seminars at www.
colfinancial.com.
I also give powerful talks on various engaging and practical topics every Sunday, 9:00 AM at Feast ATC in
Cinema 2 of Alabang Town Center. Come by. Its for free!
Here are our SAM Tables for (as of August 5, 2015 closing).
STOCK
Current Price
Target Price
AC
794.00
762.60
877.00
Stop buying
CEB
97.00
124.80
156.00
Continue Buying
13.70
Stop Buying
as per Bro. Bo
10.96
Action to Take
EEI
9.85
FGEN
26.75
28.80
36.00
Continue Buying
FLI
2.00
1.94
2.42
Stop buying
GTCAP
1,429.00
1,278.26
1470.00
Stop Buying
LRI
9.99
12.68
15.85
Stop Buying
as per Bro. Bo
MEG
4.85
4.69
5.86
Stop Buying
SMPH
22.00
20.52
23.60
Stop Buying
URC
200.00
200.00
230.00
Stop Buying
as per Bro. Bo
Stocks Update
Volume 6, No. 15
August 2015
Page 4 of 9
STOCK
SYMBO
DATE
BOUGHT
PRICE
BOUGHT
PRICE TODAY
ESTIMATED
RETURN
BUY BELOW
TARGET PRICE
PRICE
EXPECTED
GROWTH
AC
Jul-13
603.50
794.00
31.57%
654.80
753.00
24.77%
Aug-13
598.50
794.00
32.66%
602.40
753.00
25.81%
Sep-13
580.00
794.00
36.90%
602.40
753.00
29.83%
Oct-13
601.50
794.00
32.00%
602.40
753.00
25.19%
Nov-13
569.50
794.00
39.42%
602.40
753.00
32.22%
Dec-13
555.00
794.00
43.06%
602.40
753.00
35.68%
Jan-14
525.00
794.00
51.24%
599.13
689.00
31.24%
Feb-14
538.50
794.00
47.45%
599.13
689.00
27.95%
Mar-14
574.00
794.00
38.33%
599.13
689.00
20.03%
Apr-14
590.00
794.00
34.58%
599.13
689.00
16.78%
Aug-14
704.00
794.00
12.78%
709.00
816.00
15.91%
Oct-14
688.00
794.00
15.41%
709.00
816.00
18.60%
Nov-14
690.00
794.00
15.07%
709.00
816.00
18.26%
Dec-14
689.00
794.00
15.24%
709.00
816.00
18.43%
Feb-15
730.00
794.00
8.77%
743.48
855.00
17.12%
Mar-15
732.00
794.00
8.47%
743.48
855.00
16.80%
Apr-15
800.00
794.00
-0.75%
762.61
877.00
9.63%
Jun-15
772.50
794.00
2.78%
762.61
877.00
13.53%
TOTAL
25.83%
CEB
Nov-14
76.70
90.40
17.86%
78.26
90.00
17.34%
Dec-14
85.00
90.40
6.35%
130.43
150.00
76.47%
Jan-15
94.70
90.40
-4.54%
124.80
156.00
64.73%
Feb-15
92.30
90.40
-2.06%
124.80
156.00
69.01%
Mar-15
88.50
90.40
2.15%
124.80
156.00
76.27%
Apr-15
84.40
90.40
7.11%
124.80
156.00
84.83%
May-15
84.30
90.40
7.24%
124.80
156.00
85.05%
Jun-15
83.65
90.40
8.07%
124.80
156.00
86.49%
Jul-15
90.40
90.40
0.00%
124.80
156.00
72.57%
Aug-15
97.00
97.00
0.00%
124.80
156.00
60.82%
TOTAL
4.22%
Legend:
n Continue Buying
Stocks Update
Volume 6, No. 15
n Stop Buying
August 2015
Page 5 of 9
STOCK
SYMBO
DATE
BOUGHT
PRICE
BOUGHT
PRICE TODAY
ESTIMATED
RETURN
BUY BELOW
TARGET PRICE
PRICE
EXPECTED
GROWTH
EEI
Oct-13
9.57
9.85
2.93%
10.40
13.00
35.84%
Nov-13
9.88
9.85
-0.30%
10.40
13.00
31.58%
Dec-13
9.70
9.85
1.55%
10.40
13.00
34.02%
Jan-14
10.04
9.85
-1.89%
11.04
12.70
26.49%
Feb-14
10.00
9.85
-1.50%
11.04
12.70
27.00%
Mar-14
11.00
9.85
-10.45%
11.04
12.70
15.45%
Jun-14
10.62
9.85
-7.25%
11.04
12.70
19.59%
Jul-14
11.00
9.85
-10.45%
11.30
13.00
18.18%
Aug-14
11.24
9.85
-12.37%
11.30
13.00
15.66%
Oct-14
11.10
9.85
-11.26%
11.30
13.00
17.12%
Nov-14
11.18
9.85
-11.90%
11.30
13.00
16.28%
Dec-14
10.70
9.85
-7.94%
11.91
13.70
28.04%
Jan-15
10.80
9.85
-8.80%
11.91
13.70
26.85%
Feb-15
9.99
9.85
-1.40%
10.96
13.70
37.14%
TOTAL
-5.79%
FGEN
Feb-15
29.00
26.75
-7.76%
32.43
37.30
28.62%
Mar-15
30.50
26.75
-12.30%
32.43
37.30
22.30%
Apr-15
29.40
26.75
-9.01%
31.30
36.00
22.45%
May-15
27.55
26.75
-2.90%
31.30
36.00
30.67%
Jun-15
25.30
26.75
5.73%
28.80
36.00
42.29%
Jul-15
26.00
26.75
2.88%
28.80
36.00
38.46%
Aug-15
26.75
26.75
0.00%
28.80
36.00
34.58%
TOTAL
-3.34%
Legend:
n Continue Buying
Stocks Update
Volume 6, No. 15
n Stop Buying
August 2015
Page 6 of 9
STOCK
SYMBO
DATE
BOUGHT
PRICE
BOUGHT
PRICE TODAY
ESTIMATED
RETURN
BUY BELOW
TARGET PRICE
PRICE
EXPECTED
GROWTH
FLI
Jun-15
1.84
2.00
8.70%
1.94
2.42
31.52%
TOTAL
8.70%
LRI
Jun-13
11.50
9.99
-13.13%
12.68
15.85
37.83%
Jul-13
11.00
9.99
-9.18%
12.68
15.85
44.09%
Aug-13
10.50
9.99
-4.86%
12.68
15.85
50.95%
Sep-13
9.72
9.99
2.78%
12.68
15.85
63.07%
Oct-13
9.10
9.99
9.78%
12.68
15.85
74.18%
Nov-13
9.25
9.99
8.00%
12.68
15.85
71.35%
Dec-13
8.82
9.99
13.27%
12.68
15.85
79.71%
Jan-14
8.71
9.99
14.70%
13.78
15.85
81.97%
Feb-14
9.00
9.99
11.00%
13.78
15.85
76.11%
Mar-14
8.99
9.99
11.12%
13.78
15.85
76.31%
Apr-14
9.24
9.99
8.12%
13.78
15.85
71.54%
May-14
9.97
9.99
0.20%
13.78
15.85
58.98%
Jun-14
9.59
9.99
4.17%
13.78
15.85
65.28%
Jul-14
9.95
9.99
0.40%
13.78
15.85
59.30%
Aug-14
9.85
9.99
1.42%
13.78
15.85
60.91%
Sep-14
9.87
9.99
1.22%
13.78
15.85
60.59%
Oct-14
9.49
9.99
5.27%
13.78
15.85
67.02%
Nov-14
9.50
9.99
5.16%
13.78
15.85
66.84%
Dec-14
9.40
9.99
6.28%
13.78
15.85
68.62%
Jan-15
10.04
9.99
-0.50%
13.78
15.85
57.87%
Feb-15
9.74
9.99
2.57%
12.68
15.85
62.73%
TOTAL
3.70%
MEG
May-13
4.23
4.85
14.66%
4.16
4.78
13.00%
Jun-13
3.67
4.85
32.15%
4.16
4.78
30.25%
Jul-13
3.15
4.85
53.97%
4.16
4.78
51.75%
Aug-13
3.40
4.85
42.65%
3.89
4.87
43.24%
Sep-13
3.21
4.85
51.09%
3.89
4.87
51.71%
Oct-13
3.64
4.85
33.24%
3.89
4.87
33.79%
Nov-13
3.58
4.85
35.47%
3.89
4.87
36.03%
Dec-13
3.23
4.85
50.15%
3.89
4.87
50.77%
Jan-14
3.36
4.85
44.35%
3.95
4.54
35.12%
Feb-14
3.78
4.85
28.31%
4.70
5.48
44.97%
Apr-14
4.43
4.85
9.48%
4.70
5.48
23.70%
May-14
4.65
4.85
4.30%
4.70
5.48
17.85%
Jun-14
4.51
4.85
7.54%
4.70
5.48
21.51%
Jul-14
4.47
4.85
8.50%
4.70
5.48
22.60%
Aug-14
4.26
4.85
13.85%
4.58
5.73
34.51%
Sep-14
4.30
4.85
12.79%
4.98
5.73
33.26%
Feb-15
5.09
4.85
-4.72%
5.10
5.86
15.13%
Jun-15
4.71
4.85
2.97%
4.69
5.86
24.42%
TOTAL
24.49%
Stocks Update
Volume 6, No. 15
August 2015
Page 7 of 9
STOCK
SYMBO
DATE
BOUGHT
PRICE
BOUGHT
PRICE TODAY
ESTIMATED
RETURN
SMPH
Oct-13
16.90
22.00
30.18%
17.20
21.50
27.22%
Nov-13
16.40
22.00
34.15%
17.20
21.50
31.10%
Dec-13
15.10
22.00
45.70%
17.20
21.50
42.38%
Jan-14
14.68
22.00
49.86%
16.73
19.41
32.22%
Feb-14
14.70
22.00
49.66%
16.73
19.41
32.04%
Mar-14
14.90
22.00
47.65%
16.73
19.41
30.27%
Apr-14
14.90
22.00
47.65%
16.80
19.41
30.27%
May-14
16.34
22.00
34.64%
16.80
19.41
18.79%
Jun-14
16.18
22.00
35.97%
16.80
19.41
19.96%
Jul-14
16.52
22.00
33.17%
16.80
19.41
17.49%
Aug-14
15.40
22.00
42.86%
17.60
20.30
31.82%
Sep-14
16.64
22.00
32.21%
17.60
20.30
22.00%
Oct-14
16.50
22.00
33.33%
17.60
20.30
23.03%
Nov-14
17.48
22.00
25.86%
17.60
20.30
16.13%
Dec-14
16.98
22.00
29.56%
17.60
20.30
19.55%
Jan-15
17.44
22.00
26.15%
17.60
20.30
16.40%
Feb-15
18.92
22.00
16.28%
20.52
23.60
24.74%
Mar-15
19.66
22.00
11.90%
20.52
23.60
20.04%
Apr-15
20.45
22.00
7.58%
20.52
23.60
15.40%
May-15
19.64
22.00
12.02%
20.52
23.60
20.16%
Jun-15
18.90
22.00
16.40%
20.52
23.60
24.87%
TOTAL
31.56%
URC
Jun-15
180.00
200.00
11.11%
200.00
230.00
27.78%
TOTAL
11.11%
Legend:
n Continue Buying
BUY BELOW
TARGET PRICE
PRICE
EXPECTED
GROWTH
n Stop Buying
Mike Vias is an Investment Trainer of COL Financial Group, Inc. He is a Certified Securities Representative
and Certified Investment Solicitor.
Stocks Update
Volume 6, No. 15
August 2015
Page 8 of 9
STOCKS
STOCK
SYMBOL
TIME
RECOMMENDED
ESTIMATED
TIME
HELD
PRICE
RANGE
ESTIMATED
RETURN
D&L Industries
DNL
14 Months
P6.45 to P10.00
44%
PLDT
TEL
10 Months
P2,902.00 to P3,260.00
16%
Banco De Oro
BDO
16 Months
P89.60 to P93.00
24%
STOCK
SYMBOL
TIME
RECOMMENDED
ESTIMATED
TIME HELD
PRICE
RANGE
ESTIMATED
RETURN
Ayala Land
ALI
9 Months
P15.09 to P21.65
35%
Nickel Asia
NIKL
2 Months
P23.75 to P26.20
10.32%
Bank of The
Philippine Islands
BPI
10 Months
P68.45 to P91.00
34.29%
Ayala Corporation
AC
2 Months
P440.00 to P520.00
17.65%
SM Prime Holdings
SMPH
10 Months
P12.48 to P17.00
27.75%
Alliance Global
AGI
1 Month
P17.54 to P20.50
16.88%
Meralco
MER
3 Months
P268.00 to P377.00
28.05%
First Phlippine
Holdings
FPH
25 Months
P63.18 to P95.20
32.92%
JG Summit Holdings
JGS
18 Months
P25.75 to P43.50
39.96%
D&L Industries
DNL
14 Months
P6.45 to P10.00
44%
PLDT
TEL
10 Months
P2,902.00 to
P3,260.00
16%
Banco De Oro
BDO
16 Months
P89.60 to P93.00
24%
(Disclaimer: Past performance doesnt guarantee that youll have the exact same results in the future. After all, your
earnings all depend on the markets performance.)
Stocks Update
Volume 6, No. 15
August 2015
Page 9 of 9