Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Probability
(Dr.S.Rajalingam)
Lecture 1
Introduction to Basic Probability
Sample Spaces and Events
Learning Objectives:
At the end of the lecture student should be able to:
May 15
May 15
Probability
If
May 15
Definitions
Random Process: Any process whose possible results are
known but actual results cannot be predicted with certainty
in advance.
Outcome : Each possible result for a random process.
Experiment: Process by which an observation
measurement is obtained (yield outcomes)
or
E3 = {3}
E4 = {4}
E2 = {2}
E5 = {5}
E6 = {6}
Example 2
S = { working, fail }
Example 3:
Message 3
Message 2
Message 1
n
y
n
n
y
n
y
n
y
n
y
n
Definitions
The union of events A and B, denoted by A U B and read A
or B is the event consisting of all outcomes that are either
in A or in B or in both events.
The intersection of A and B, denoted by A B and read A
and B, is the event consisting of all outcomes that are in
both A and B.
The complement of event A, A, is the event of all outcomes
in the sample space S that are not contained in event A.
May 15
10
Venn Diagram
May 15
11
Venn Diagram
May 15
12
Venn Diagram
13
May 15
Example 4 (Question)
c) A
d) A U B U A U C
e) (A U C)
f) A B C
g) B C
h) A U (B C)
14
Example 4 (Question)
Solution (i)
S = nonnegative integers from 0 to the largest integer that
can be displayed by the scale, or
S = {0, 1, 2, 3, }
15
Solution (ii)
Let X represent weight.
A = the event that X > 11 or {12,13,14,..}
B = the event that X 15 or
{0,1, 2, 3, .....15}
or
a) A U B = S
b) A B = { X: 11 < X 15 }
or {12, 13, 14, 15}
c) A = { X: X 11}
{0, 1, 2, , 11}
d) A U B U A U C = S
16
A = {12,13,14,..}
B = {0,1, 2, 3, .....15}
C = {8, 9, 10, 11}
e) A C = {8, 9 ,10, 11, 12,,13, } or { X: X 8}
Therefore (A C) = {0, 1, 2, , 7}
or
{ X: X < 8 }
f) A B C = {A B} C
= {12, 13,14, 15} {8, 9, 10, 11} =
17
A =
B =
C =
{12,13,14,..}
{0,1, 2, 3, .....15}
{8, 9, 10, 11}
g) B = { X: X > 15}.
Therefore, B C would be the empty set or
h) B C = { X: 8 X <12} or {8, 9, 10, 11}
Therefore A (B C) = {X: X 8}
or {8, 9, 10, }
18
END
May 15
19
10