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ALMAZ ANTEY
CONCERN
RESULTS OF
Full-scale Real-life Experiment to Analyze
Causes of MH17 Aircraft Crash
Moscow 2015
MAIN DAMAGES :
1. Cockpit, primarily the left side
LEGEND
INTENSITY OF STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO AIRCRAFT:
3. Cockpit internals
SEVERE DAMAGES
4. Left wing
MODERATE DAMAGES
5. Left engine
6. Left section of the stabilizer and empennage (tail fin)
STA 212.5
STA 212.5
RICOCHET
STA 196.5
STA 212.5
BEHIND
STA 212.5
IN FRONT
STA 212.5
STA 212.5
View from
above
STA 228.5
FWD
Side view
STA 228.5
FWD
228.5
LEGEND
228.5
6
Side view
STA 236.5
Hole form
DIAMOND
23
A
T
S
6.5
(HIGH INTENSITY)
FWD
~ 13 mm
STA
23
7
Side view
6.5
STA 236.5
FWD
Alignment of the entry hole with the hole the main frame STA 236.5 clearly illustrates the
submunition
Fragment location in the 17body
236.5
LEGEND
236.5
A
STA
276
.5
CLA
STA 276.5
CLA
26
STA
5.5
STA 287.5
STA 276.5
STA
5
254.
STA 265.5
STA 254.5
STA 246
STA 236.5
46
STA 2
.5
STA 236
STA 236.5
309.5
287.5
236.5
STA 196.5 204.5
204.5
212.5
STA 212.5
STA 228,5
246.5
332.5
STA 246 276.5
BREAKUP OF MAIN
FRAMES
10
A
LEFT VIEW
REAR VIEW
RIGHT VIEW
STA 212.5
STA 204.5
LEFT SIDE OF
COCKPIT FLOOR
FWD
FWD
LEGEND
212.5
FWD
FWD
11
12
Rear view
~ 14 mm
13
FRONT VIEW
FRONT VIEW
1
~ 14 mm
REAR VIEW
Hole Form
DIAMOND ~ 14 mm
(HIGH INTENSITY)
REAR VIEW
~ 14 mm
REAR VIEW
STA 212,5
14
STA 228,5
Real-life Experiment
SIMULATION
15
16
, /
, /
900
1 500
800
1 400
700
1 300
600
1 200
500
-54
-57
-59 -58 -55
-62
-60
-64 -62
-66
-64
1 100
400
1 000
300
900
200
800
100
700
-68
-70
-71
-74
600
-75
-100
500
-77
-200
-79
- 88
400
-300
-81
300
-400
-92
-66
-68
-70
71
73
-76
-77
75
77
-80
79
-900
-300
-400
-1 100
-500
-1 200
-600
-1 300
-700
-1 400
-800
-1 500
-900
-2 400
-2 200
-2 000
-1 800
-1 600
-1 400
-1 200
-1 000
-800
-600
-400
-200
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
2 000
2 200
2 400
72
74
76
78
80
8283
86
87 87
-93
-95
- 95
88
89
91
93
93
95
-200
-1 000
-5
54
57
55
60
58
62
60
64
62
64
66
67
68
69
70
-72
-74
-91
-92
-94
-92
-100
-800
38 40
43
47
42
49
44 47
51
49
53
-87 -88
-89
-91
-90
-700
38
-87
-88
100
-600
- 42
-83-83
200
-500
-42
-50 -47 -46-44
-52
-50 -47
-52
91
95
90
92
93
95
-1 000
-2 400
-2 200
-2 000
-1 800
-1 600
-1 400
-1 200
-1 000
-800
-600
-400
-200
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
2 000
2 200
, /
1 600
1 500
1 400
NDP EDP
1 300
1 200
-57
-60
-62 -61 -58
-64
-63
-66 -65
-68
-67
-70
-68
-70
-72
-73 -72
-74
-75
-77 -76
1 100
1 000
900
800
700
600
500
-80
-82
300
74
76
78
76
78
80
8383
87
-93
-91
-93
-95
88 88
-94
-95
- 95
88
90
92
94
95
98
-300
96
97
92
94
91
93
-400
-500
-600
-700
52
55
53
58
56
60
58
63
61
63
65
65
67
67
69
70
72
72
74
-81
-200
-16
-88 -89
-90
-92
-92
-100
33 36
40
43
38
46
40 43
49
46
50
-87
-89
-91
33
- 46
-84
-84
200
100
-46
-78
-79
-79
400
- 89
-800
-2 600
-2 400
-2 200
-2 000
-1 800
-1 600
-1 400
-1 200
-1 000
-800
-400
-200
200
400
600
LEGEND
SCALPEL FORMATION SECTOR
DIRECTION OF SCALPEL REAR FRONT
SET-OFF POINT
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
2 000
2 200
2 400
Simulated Results:
17
9381
0
14
X, km
6
10
Y
16
QHOR
Z
QVER
X
QHOR= 72
18
+ 6
- 6
20
22
10
Z, km
938
14
15
10
X, km
16
15
18
20
20
Z, km
5 km
22
Z, km
X, km
4
10
Simulation Results:
18
9381
938
Y
Y
X, km
QHOR
14
QVER
QHOR
10
Z
QVER
X
16
18
QHOR= 74.58
QHOR= 73.03
20
QVER= 10,49
V9M38M1 ~ 685 m/s
22
Z, km
XL= 7,780
QVER= 20.89
ZL= 17,850
Simulation Results:
Concern VKO Almaz-Anteys Scenario
Damages :
1. Left wing
- a minimum of 4 submunitions
2. Left engine
- a minimum of 22 submunitions
19
Simulation Results:
Launch from Snezhnoe Scenario
Damages :
1. Left wing
- 0 submunition
2. Left engine
- 0 submunition
20
Simulation Results
Launch from Snezhnoe Scenario
21
STAGE 1: 9N314M
Experiments Objectives:
Confirm the submunition trajectory path
Confirm the mechanical (penetrating) impact of submunitions
Run a comparative analysis of damages and submunitions
22
Experiment. Stage 1
23
24
10,000 frames/s
T 0.445 ms
T + 12.055 ms
T + 2.183 ms
10,000 frames/s
T + 59.855 ms
1: Aluminum 2.0 mm
2: Solid foam 260.0 mm
3: Boards 750.0 mm
I-BEAM
13138.2mm
7.91 g
7. 63 g
Collected fragments
7.73 g
6.58 g
6.84 g
6.27 g
6.86 g
5.23 g
6.79 g
5.90 g
DIAMOND
8x8x5 mm
1.88 g
2.01 g
DIAMOND
6x6x8.2 mm
1.82 g 1.76 g 1.85 g 1.73 g 1.59 g 1.87 g
25
26
9N314M
27
6.53 g
8.10
+ 0,6
-
0.1
7.51 g
7.37 g
7.91 g
7.73 g
6.02 g
4.53 g
G
7.91 g
2.35
+ 0.15
- 0.15
2.06 g
1.93 g
2.19 g
1.89 g
2.01 g
1.77 g
1.85 g
2.05 g
1.89 g
2.10
+ 0.01
- 0.17
BODY FRAGMENTS
1.82 g
1.85 g
1.73 g
1.59 g
1.87 g
6.35 g
A
1.76 g
1.27 g
1.07 g
2.44 g
1.93 g + 0.52 g
3.62 g
2.31 g
2.34 g
16.05 g
1.59 g
0.74 g
0.57 g
9N314M
28
9N314M
29
Obstacle No. 2
Obstacle No. 5
Obstacle No. 4
C
TARGET
30
17
TARGET
17
TARGET
17
TARGET
17
TARGET
17
TARGET
17
Damage Assessment
1.0
1.1
31
1.1
1.3
1.5
1.3
1.0
1.5
Experiments Resuls
32
top view
33
STAGE 2: 938M1
Experiments Objectives:
Assess the damages the full-size aircraft by submunitions
Confirm the mechanical (penetrating) impact of submunitions
Run a comparative analysis of damages and submunitions
34
V9381= 0 m/s
VB777= 0 m/s
35
"
36
"
Fragment of the program code that includes the addition of the projected velocity vectors of low-intensity
submunitions of a surface-to-air missile and aircraft
for (int i = 0; i < size; ++i)
{
V.push_back(Point((LightSplintersInitialPositionType1VectorAfterTurn[i].x + time *
(LightSplintersVelocityType1VectorAfterTurn[i].x + MissileVelocityArray.x + PlaneVelocityArray.x)),
(LightSplintersInitialPositionType1VectorAfterTurn[i].y + time * (LightSplintersVelocityType1VectorAfterTurn[i].y +
MissileVelocityArray.y + PlaneVelocityArray.y)), (LightSplintersInitialPositionType1VectorAfterTurn[i].z + time *
(LightSplintersVelocityType1VectorAfterTurn[i].z + MissileVelocityArray.z + PlaneVelocityArray.z))));
}
V9M38M1
VB777= 0 m/s
37
38
39
Static Position
(Missile Velocity 0 m/s),
Aircraft Velocity 0 m/s)
Dynamic Position
(Missile Velocity 600 m/S,
Aircraft Velocity 252 m/s)
COLLISION PARAMETERS
Y
QVER
QHOR
Z
X
QVER
QHOR= 17
QVER= 7
V9M38M1 ~ 600 m/s
VAIRCRAFT = 252 m/s
QHOR
40
QHOR= 17
QVER= 7
V9M381 ~ 600 m/s
VAIRCRAFT ~ 252 m/s
ADJUSTMENT
CORRECTIONS
QHOR= + 16.5
QVER= + 9.5
41
QHOR= 17
QVER= 7
V9M381 ~ 600 m/s
VAIRCRAFT ~ 252 m/s
ADJUSTMENT
CORRECTIONS
QHOR= + 16.5
QVER= + 9.5
42
QHOR= 17
QVER= 7
V9M381 ~ 600 m/s
VAIRCRAFT ~ 252 m/s
ADJUSTMENT
CORRECTIONS
QHOR= + 16.5
QVER= + 9.5
43
Distribution of sub-munitions
Dynamic Position
(Missile Velocity 600 m/s,
Aircraft Velocity 252 m/s)
Static Position
(Missile Velocity 0 m/s,
Aircraft Velocity 0 m/s)
44
45
PLACEMENT ON CRADLE
1,000*
VERTICAL PLANE
- 250 (X381)
QVER= 16.5
1,273
MC
(Y381)
+ 7,000**
1,500
190
+ 500**
"Y0" EARTH
381 = 342.6 kg
(with exhausted engines)
X0
X8 m
46
PLACEMENT ON CRADLE
HORIZONTAL PLANE
X0
- 250 (X381)
- 3,350
Z0
(Z381)
MC
QHOR= 33.5
381 = 342.6 kg
(with exhausted engines)
BAY CENTER 2 (ALIGNMENT POINT)
PRODUCT MASS CENTER
"0" OF TARGET (CROSSING OF CENTER LINE AND
OBJECT'S NOSE PART)
* - all in mm
47
QVER= 16.5
Y381
+7,000
6,080
+ 500
X381
+ 500
- 250
9381
QVER
QHOR
Z381 - 3,350
QHOR= 33.5
QHOR= 33.5
QVER= 16.5
Warheaf 9N314M
48
49
Target No. 2
(left engine)
50
51
52
53
54
Target No. 2
(left engine)
Target No. 1
(nose part)
Experiment: Stage 2
55
Damage Analysis
56
57
Damages
58
Damage Analysis
59
Damage Analysis
60
Damage Analysis
61
A
B
Damage Analysis
Roof structural member (complete with the main frame)
of the cockpit behind the left glass panel
Fragment No. 1
Fragment No. 3
62
Fragment No. 2
Fragment No. 4
Damage Analysis
63
Fragment No. 5
64
Damage Analysis
Open-end hole in the stringers
65
Damages to Superstructure
Stimulation Results
QHOR= 17
QVER= 7
V9M381 ~ 600 m/s
66
Damage Analysis
67
Damage Analysis
68
Port Side
Before the experiment
69
Missile Fragments
70
Missile Fragments
71
Simulation
Simulation
results
72
Submunitions
73
TOP VIEW
74
SIDE VIEW
Pre-armed Submunitions
75
Experiment: Stage 1
Experiment: Stage 2
Frame Submunitions
Retrieved from the traps of the shield target
. 1
76
Experiment : Stage 2
77