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Interviews Conducted:
October 10-12, 2015
Questions 13 and 16-28 are for release after 10:00 A.M. ET Tuesday, October 13, 2015.
Questions 1-12, 14-15 and 29-45 are held for future release.
Methodology
The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and
Shaw & Company Research (R). The poll was conducted by telephone with live interviewers
October 10-12, 2015 among a random national sample of 1,004 registered voters (RV). Results
based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage
points.
Landline and cell phone telephone numbers were randomly selected for inclusion in the survey
using a probability proportionate to size method, which means that phone numbers for each state
are proportional to the number of voters in each state.
Results are of registered voters, unless otherwise noted.
Results from Fox News polls before February 2011 were conducted by Opinion Dynamics Corp.
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Joe Biden
Martin OMalley
Jim Webb
Larry Lessig
Lincoln Chafee
Andrew Cuomo
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Dont know)
10-12
Oct 15
N=353
45%
25
19
1
*
*
N/A
1
4
5
20-22
Sep 15
N=381
44%
30
18
2
1
*
N/A
*
2
3
11-13
Aug 15
N=401
49%
30
10
1
1
N/A
N/A
1
3
4
30 Jul-2
Aug 15
N=499
51%
22
13
1
1
N/A
1
N/A
1
3
6
13-15
Jul 15
N=382
59%
19
8
1
1
N/A
1
N/A
1
4
5
21-23
Jun 15
N=375
61%
15
11
1
2
N/A
3
1
2
5
31 May9-12
19-21
2 Jun 15
May 15
Apr 15
N=395
N=370
N=388
Hillary Clinton
57%
63%
62%
Bernie Sanders
11
6
4
Joe Biden
8
6
9
Elizabeth Warren
7
13
12
Martin OMalley
4
1
Jim Webb
2
2
Andrew Cuomo
1
2
3
Lincoln Chafee
1
(Other)
1
1
(None of the above)
2
2
4
(Dont know)
6
6
5
May 2015 and earlier: results include Elizabeth Warren
29-31
Mar 15
N=397
61%
3
12
11
2
1
3
N/A
1
3
3
25-27
7-9
20-22
13-15
Jan 15
Dec 14
Jul 14
Apr 14
N=390
N=409
N=438
N=395
Hillary Clinton
55%
62%
64%
69%
Joe Biden
17
10
12
14
Elizabeth Warren
12
12
9
6
Andrew Cuomo
4
2
5
2
Bernie Sanders
3
3
N/A
N/A
Martin OMalley
2
1
1
1
Jim Webb
1
1
N/A
N/A
(Other)
(None of the above)
2
5
4
4
(Dont know)
3
5
4
3
January 2015 and earlier: results among self-identified Democrats
14-16
Dec 13
N=412
68%
12
7
4
N/A
1
N/A
1
2
6
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Joe Biden
Martin OMalley
Jim Webb
Larry Lessig
Lincoln Chafee
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Dont know)
First choice
45%
25
19
1
*
*
1
4
5
Second choice
24%
15
31
2
3
1
2
2
9
10
Without Biden
54%
28
N/A
2
1
*
1
1
6
7
[RESUME ALL]
If the 2016 presidential election were held today
[SPLIT SAMPLE NEXT 9 QUESTIONS. Q18-26, 4%] [RANDOMIZE ORDER]
18.-26. How would you vote if the candidates were: [IF DONT KNOW] Well, which way do
you lean? [ROTATE NAMES]
Clinton vs.
Fiorina
Bush
Trump
Carson
(Dont
know)
8
2
3
5
Dem.
Edge
-3
-4
-5
-11
Biden vs.
Trump
Bush
Fiorina
Carson
Rubio
(Dont
know)
3
4
6
5
7
Dem.
Edge
+13
+5
+4
+4
+1
10-12 Oct 15
PAST TREND
11-13 Aug 15
21-23 Jun 15*
9-12 May 15
10-12 Oct 15
PAST TREND
20-22 Sep 15
11-13 Aug 15
21-23 Jun 15*
Democrat
Hillary
Clinton
39%
Republican
Carly
Fiorina
42
47%
45%
49%
40
39
37
Democrat
Hillary
Clinton
40%
Republican
Donald
Trump
45
46%
47%
51%
42
42
34
6
6
6
5
7
6
7
7
9
2
3
3
10-12 Oct 15
11-13 Aug 15
21-23 Jun 15*
9-12 May 15
19-21 Apr 15
29-31 Mar 15
25-27 Jan 15
7-9 Dec 14
20-22 Jul 14
13-15 Apr 14
2-4 Mar 14
16-18 May 06**
16-17 Dec 04**
Democrat
Hillary
Clinton
40%
42%
43%
44%
45%
45%
48%
49%
52%
51%
51%
Clinton
51%
46%
Republican
Jeb
Bush
44
44
43
45
41
45
43
42
39
42
38
Bush
35
35
**Wording: Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 election were held today and
the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Jeb Bush, for whom would you vote?
Democrat
Hillary
Clinton
39%
46%
48%
Republican
Ben
Carson
50
41
42
10-12 Oct 15
Democrat
Joe Biden
50%
Republican
Donald
Trump
37
10-12 Oct 15
Democrat
Joe Biden
46%
Republican
Jeb Bush
41
10-12 Oct 15
Democrat
Joe Biden
46%
10-12 Oct 15
Democrat
Joe Biden
46%
10-12 Oct 15
Democrat
Joe Biden
44%
10-12 Oct 15
21-23 Jun 15*
9-12 May 15
Republican
Carly Fiorina (Other) (Wouldnt vote) (Dont know)
42
3
4
6
Republican
Ben Carson
42
Republican
Marco Rubio (Other) (Wouldnt vote) (Dont know)
43
2
4
7
27.
Lets say [ROTATE STATEMENTS] (the Democratic ticket is Joe Biden for president
and Elizabeth Warren for vice president), and (the Republican ticket is Donald Trump
for president and Carly Fiorina for vice president) -- if you were voting today, how
would you vote? [IF DONT KNOW] Well, which way do you lean?
BidenTrumpWarren
(Wouldnt vote) (Dont know)
Fiorina
10-12 Oct 15
48%
42
6
4
28.
Lets say [ROTATE STATEMENTS] (the Democratic ticket is Joe Biden for president
and Elizabeth Warren for vice president) and (the Republican ticket is Jeb Bush for
president and Marco Rubio for vice president) -- if you were voting today, how would
you vote? [IF DONT KNOW] Well, which way do you lean?
BidenBushWarren
Rubio
(Wouldnt vote) (Dont know)
10-12 Oct 15
45%
43
7
5
13. In the presidential <primary election/caucus> in <State> next year, are you more likely to vote in the
Democratic or Republican <primary election/caucus> for president, or are you unlikely to participate in either?
Democratic Primary/
caucus
Republican Primary/
caucus
Neither
(Other/Don't know)
Democratic Primary/
caucus
Republican Primary/
caucus
Neither
(Other/Don't know)
Total
35%
Dem
79%
Rep
3%
Ind
16%
Men
30%
Women
39%
White
28%
Black
68%
College
Degree
38%
No
Degree
33%
40%
3%
84%
26%
45%
35%
48%
4%
37%
42%
14%
11%
10%
8%
6%
7%
38%
20%
15%
10%
14%
12%
14%
10%
16%
13%
15%
9%
13%
12%
Total
35%
Under
Age 35
31%
35-54
35%
55+
38%
65+
35%
Under
$50k
37%
$50k+
36%
Lib
65%
Cons
18%
Tea
Party
10%
40%
34%
46%
38%
36%
31%
45%
10%
61%
74%
14%
11%
22%
13%
10%
9%
12%
11%
14%
15%
16%
16%
11%
8%
15%
10%
12%
9%
12%
4%
16. [DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS] I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Democratic
nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Democratic presidential nominee.
Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
Larry Lessig
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)
Total
19%
45%
1%
25%
*%
*%
1%
4%
5%
Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
Larry Lessig
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)
Total
19%
45%
1%
25%
*%
*%
1%
4%
5%
Men
18%
39%
2%
28%
*%
1%
3%
2%
7%
Women
19%
49%
22%
*%
*%
6%
4%
Under
Age 45
21%
38%
29%
1%
2%
4%
5%
White
18%
41%
1%
29%
*%
1%
*%
5%
5%
45+
17%
49%
1%
21%
*%
1%
5%
5%
NonWhite
19%
50%
1%
18%
*%
2%
4%
6%
Under
$50k
14%
49%
24%
*%
5%
7%
College
Degree
14%
51%
1%
25%
*%
1%
2%
3%
3%
$50k+
21%
45%
1%
25%
*%
1%
1%
4%
2%
No
Degree
23%
40%
*%
24%
1%
5%
7%
Lib
19%
44%
1%
29%
*%
1%
1%
3%
2%
Dem
19%
48%
1%
23%
*%
1%
4%
5%
17. [DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS] And which Democrat would be your second choice?
Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
Larry Lessig
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)
Total
31%
2%
24%
2%
15%
3%
1%
2%
9%
10%
Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
Larry Lessig
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)
Total
31%
2%
24%
2%
15%
3%
1%
2%
9%
10%
Men
28%
5%
22%
4%
15%
*%
1%
2%
9%
14%
Women
33%
1%
25%
1%
16%
5%
2%
2%
8%
8%
Under
Age 45
27%
3%
23%
2%
17%
4%
2%
2%
10%
9%
White
29%
3%
28%
1%
17%
3%
1%
1%
9%
9%
45+
33%
2%
24%
2%
15%
3%
1%
3%
8%
11%
NonWhite
34%
2%
17%
4%
13%
4%
2%
5%
8%
12%
Under
$50k
39%
2%
21%
4%
8%
3%
*%
2%
10%
11%
College
Degree
32%
2%
23%
2%
19%
3%
1%
1%
9%
7%
$50k+
28%
3%
24%
1%
22%
3%
2%
3%
8%
6%
No
Degree
30%
2%
24%
2%
13%
4%
2%
3%
8%
12%
Lib
30%
2%
25%
3%
20%
4%
2%
2%
3%
8%
Dem
33%
2%
23%
2%
16%
3%
1%
2%
8%
10%
18. [HALF SAMPLE] How would you vote if the candidates were:
Total
40%
45%
4%
7%
3%
Total
40%
45%
4%
7%
3%
Dem
81%
11%
3%
4%
1%
Rep
4%
83%
2%
8%
2%
Under
Age 35
43%
40%
6%
9%
2%
Men
32%
52%
5%
7%
3%
Women
48%
39%
3%
8%
2%
35-54
39%
48%
5%
5%
3%
55+
40%
46%
2%
8%
3%
White
34%
51%
4%
9%
3%
Under
$50k
40%
46%
4%
7%
3%
NonWhite
64%
26%
6%
2%
2%
College
Degree
48%
35%
4%
11%
3%
$50k+
43%
44%
4%
6%
2%
Lib
72%
17%
3%
6%
2%
No
Degree
36%
52%
4%
6%
3%
Cons
21%
64%
5%
7%
2%
19. [HALF SAMPLE] How would you vote if the candidates were:
Total
50%
37%
2%
7%
3%
Total
50%
37%
2%
7%
3%
Dem
86%
8%
2%
2%
2%
Rep
16%
71%
2%
9%
2%
Under
Age 35
58%
34%
1%
5%
1%
Men
42%
43%
1%
10%
4%
Women
58%
32%
2%
5%
3%
35-54
42%
40%
1%
10%
6%
55+
51%
37%
3%
7%
2%
White
42%
45%
1%
9%
3%
Under
$50k
57%
34%
1%
5%
2%
NonWhite
73%
17%
4%
3%
3%
College
Degree
53%
36%
2%
4%
4%
$50k+
48%
39%
2%
8%
2%
Lib
80%
14%
1%
3%
2%
No
Degree
48%
39%
1%
10%
2%
Cons
29%
56%
2%
9%
4%
20. [HALF SAMPLE] How would you vote if the candidates were:
Total
39%
50%
1%
4%
5%
Total
39%
50%
1%
4%
5%
Dem
80%
11%
1%
3%
6%
Rep
5%
88%
1%
3%
3%
Under
Age 35
37%
48%
3%
7%
5%
Men
33%
57%
1%
6%
3%
Women
45%
44%
1%
3%
7%
35-54
38%
52%
1%
3%
6%
55+
42%
50%
3%
5%
White
32%
59%
1%
4%
4%
Under
$50k
39%
52%
*%
4%
5%
NonWhite
61%
26%
2%
3%
8%
College
Degree
40%
46%
2%
4%
8%
$50k+
41%
49%
1%
3%
5%
Lib
70%
17%
2%
5%
5%
No
Degree
39%
53%
*%
4%
4%
Cons
19%
74%
*%
3%
3%
21. [HALF SAMPLE] How would you vote if the candidates were:
Total
46%
42%
3%
4%
5%
Total
46%
42%
3%
4%
5%
Dem
83%
8%
2%
2%
6%
Rep
9%
82%
3%
4%
2%
Under
Age 35
48%
38%
7%
2%
5%
Men
43%
47%
3%
5%
2%
Women
49%
37%
4%
3%
7%
35-54
37%
53%
3%
3%
3%
55+
51%
36%
2%
5%
6%
White
39%
50%
4%
3%
4%
Under
$50k
53%
33%
3%
4%
7%
NonWhite
69%
16%
3%
6%
6%
College
Degree
52%
39%
3%
3%
3%
$50k+
43%
47%
4%
2%
3%
Lib
77%
13%
5%
3%
2%
No
Degree
42%
44%
4%
4%
6%
Cons
26%
63%
2%
4%
5%
22. [HALF SAMPLE] How would you vote if the candidates were:
Total
40%
44%
4%
9%
2%
Total
40%
44%
4%
9%
2%
Dem
78%
13%
2%
5%
3%
Rep
4%
82%
2%
11%
1%
Under
Age 35
38%
40%
7%
13%
2%
Men
32%
49%
6%
12%
*%
Women
47%
40%
3%
7%
4%
35-54
39%
46%
4%
9%
2%
55+
43%
46%
2%
7%
2%
White
33%
51%
4%
10%
2%
Under
$50k
39%
44%
5%
11%
1%
NonWhite
65%
20%
5%
8%
2%
College
Degree
49%
37%
3%
7%
4%
$50k+
43%
44%
3%
8%
1%
Lib
73%
17%
2%
6%
2%
No
Degree
35%
48%
5%
11%
1%
Cons
21%
62%
6%
10%
1%
23. [HALF SAMPLE] How would you vote if the candidates were:
Total
46%
41%
2%
7%
4%
Total
46%
41%
2%
7%
4%
Dem
87%
8%
1%
1%
3%
Rep
10%
78%
*%
9%
3%
Under
Age 35
45%
43%
1%
4%
7%
Men
43%
43%
1%
10%
3%
Women
49%
38%
2%
5%
5%
35-54
41%
44%
2%
10%
3%
55+
50%
36%
2%
8%
4%
White
37%
48%
1%
8%
5%
Under
$50k
53%
38%
2%
3%
5%
NonWhite
69%
21%
2%
5%
4%
College
Degree
47%
39%
3%
8%
4%
$50k+
44%
43%
1%
8%
4%
Lib
78%
15%
2%
4%
2%
No
Degree
45%
42%
1%
7%
5%
Cons
25%
59%
1%
10%
4%
24. [HALF SAMPLE] How would you vote if the candidates were:
Total
39%
42%
3%
7%
8%
Total
39%
42%
3%
7%
8%
Dem
80%
6%
1%
6%
7%
Rep
5%
82%
1%
7%
5%
Under
Age 35
37%
37%
4%
11%
11%
Men
33%
47%
3%
8%
9%
Women
45%
38%
2%
7%
8%
35-54
38%
43%
4%
5%
10%
55+
42%
46%
*%
7%
5%
White
28%
52%
3%
9%
9%
Under
$50k
40%
41%
2%
7%
9%
NonWhite
70%
16%
3%
4%
7%
College
Degree
45%
40%
3%
7%
5%
$50k+
42%
44%
2%
7%
5%
Lib
70%
13%
3%
7%
7%
No
Degree
35%
44%
3%
8%
10%
Cons
20%
65%
2%
7%
6%
Total
46%
42%
3%
4%
6%
Total
46%
42%
3%
4%
6%
Dem
85%
8%
1%
1%
5%
Rep
9%
78%
2%
5%
6%
Under
Age 35
48%
38%
4%
5%
5%
Men
41%
46%
3%
5%
5%
Women
50%
38%
3%
2%
7%
35-54
40%
49%
3%
3%
6%
55+
49%
39%
2%
4%
6%
White
39%
48%
3%
4%
6%
Under
$50k
54%
30%
2%
3%
10%
NonWhite
68%
22%
3%
3%
4%
College
Degree
52%
39%
2%
3%
4%
$50k+
44%
47%
3%
3%
3%
Lib
78%
16%
4%
1%
1%
No
Degree
42%
44%
4%
4%
7%
Cons
25%
59%
3%
3%
10%
26. [HALF SAMPLE] How would you vote if the candidates were:
Total
44%
43%
2%
4%
7%
Total
44%
43%
2%
4%
7%
Dem
86%
5%
1%
2%
5%
Rep
9%
84%
1%
3%
4%
Under
Age 35
41%
41%
2%
7%
9%
Men
36%
49%
3%
6%
6%
Women
51%
38%
1%
2%
7%
35-54
46%
41%
5%
2%
6%
55+
45%
46%
4%
5%
NonWhite
68%
18%
2%
3%
9%
White
36%
52%
2%
4%
6%
Under
$50k
43%
42%
3%
3%
9%
College
Degree
47%
45%
2%
4%
2%
$50k+
48%
44%
1%
4%
4%
Lib
74%
14%
2%
5%
5%
No
Degree
42%
42%
2%
4%
9%
Cons
25%
65%
2%
3%
5%
27. Lets say the Democratic ticket is Joe Biden for president and Elizabeth Warren for vice president, and the
Republican ticket is Donald Trump for president and Carly Fiorina for vice president -- if you were voting
today, how would you vote?
Total
48%
Dem
86%
Rep
12%
Ind
49%
Men
39%
Women
56%
White
40%
Black
82%
College
Degree
54%
No
Degree
44%
42%
8%
81%
33%
48%
37%
50%
10%
38%
45%
6%
4%
3%
3%
3%
4%
13%
5%
7%
5%
4%
3%
6%
4%
5%
4%
5%
3%
6%
5%
Total
48%
Under
Age 35
52%
35-54
45%
55+
48%
65+
45%
Under
$50k
50%
$50k+
49%
Lib
81%
Cons
27%
Tea
Party
13%
42%
37%
47%
42%
40%
39%
44%
15%
63%
81%
6%
4%
6%
5%
5%
3%
6%
5%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
2%
3%
2%
6%
4%
4%
2%
28. Lets say the Democratic ticket is Joe Biden for president and Elizabeth Warren for vice president and the
Republican ticket is Jeb Bush for president and Marco Rubio for vice president -- if you were voting today, how
would you vote?
Total
45%
Dem
82%
Rep
9%
Ind
42%
Men
39%
Women
50%
White
38%
Black
76%
College
Degree
51%
No
Degree
40%
43%
9%
82%
31%
46%
39%
50%
10%
41%
44%
7%
5%
4%
4%
5%
4%
16%
11%
11%
4%
4%
6%
7%
5%
7%
6%
5%
3%
8%
7%
Total
45%
Under
Age 35
46%
35-54
41%
55+
47%
65+
45%
Under
$50k
46%
$50k+
46%
Lib
81%
Cons
23%
Tea
Party
10%
43%
38%
47%
42%
42%
40%
45%
11%
65%
80%
7%
5%
8%
8%
8%
4%
6%
5%
6%
7%
7%
7%
5%
3%
4%
4%
8%
4%
7%
3%