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Anderson Robbins Research (D) / Shaw & Company Research (R)

N = 1,004 registered voters (497 landline, 507 cell phone)

Interviews Conducted:
October 10-12, 2015

Questions 13 and 16-28 are for release after 10:00 A.M. ET Tuesday, October 13, 2015.
Questions 1-12, 14-15 and 29-45 are held for future release.

Methodology
The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and
Shaw & Company Research (R). The poll was conducted by telephone with live interviewers
October 10-12, 2015 among a random national sample of 1,004 registered voters (RV). Results
based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage
points.
Landline and cell phone telephone numbers were randomly selected for inclusion in the survey
using a probability proportionate to size method, which means that phone numbers for each state
are proportional to the number of voters in each state.
Results are of registered voters, unless otherwise noted.
Results from Fox News polls before February 2011 were conducted by Opinion Dynamics Corp.

Questions 1-12 are held for future release.


Moving on
13. In the presidential [primary election / caucus] in [state] next year, are you more likely to
vote in the Democratic or Republican [ primary election / caucus] for president, or are you
unlikely to participate in either?
Republican
(Other /
Democratic
primary/caucus primary/caucus Neither Dont know)
10-12 Oct 15
35%
40
14
11
Self-identified Democrats
79%
3
10
8
Self-identified Republicans
3%
84
6
7
Self-identified Independents
16%
26
38
20
*Breakout among self-identified D/R/I based on party identification question below Q45

Questions 14-15 are held for future release.


[Q16-Q17 IF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY IN Q13, N=353]
16. Im going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Democratic nomination. Please
tell me which one you would like to see as the Democratic presidential nominee. [IF NOT
SURE, ASK: Well, if you had to decide today, which one would you choose?]
[RANDOMIZE LIST] [AMONG Q13 LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS]

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Joe Biden
Martin OMalley
Jim Webb
Larry Lessig
Lincoln Chafee
Andrew Cuomo
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Dont know)

10-12
Oct 15
N=353
45%
25
19
1
*
*
N/A
1
4
5

20-22
Sep 15
N=381
44%
30
18
2
1
*
N/A
*
2
3

11-13
Aug 15
N=401
49%
30
10
1
1
N/A
N/A
1
3
4

30 Jul-2
Aug 15
N=499
51%
22
13
1
1
N/A
1
N/A
1
3
6

13-15
Jul 15
N=382
59%
19
8
1
1
N/A
1
N/A
1
4
5

21-23
Jun 15
N=375
61%
15
11
1
2
N/A
3
1
2
5

31 May9-12
19-21
2 Jun 15
May 15
Apr 15
N=395
N=370
N=388
Hillary Clinton
57%
63%
62%
Bernie Sanders
11
6
4
Joe Biden
8
6
9
Elizabeth Warren
7
13
12
Martin OMalley
4
1
Jim Webb
2
2
Andrew Cuomo
1
2
3
Lincoln Chafee
1
(Other)
1
1
(None of the above)
2
2
4
(Dont know)
6
6
5
May 2015 and earlier: results include Elizabeth Warren

29-31
Mar 15
N=397
61%
3
12
11
2
1
3
N/A
1
3
3

25-27
7-9
20-22
13-15
Jan 15
Dec 14
Jul 14
Apr 14
N=390
N=409
N=438
N=395
Hillary Clinton
55%
62%
64%
69%
Joe Biden
17
10
12
14
Elizabeth Warren
12
12
9
6
Andrew Cuomo
4
2
5
2
Bernie Sanders
3
3
N/A
N/A
Martin OMalley
2
1
1
1
Jim Webb
1
1
N/A
N/A
(Other)
(None of the above)
2
5
4
4
(Dont know)
3
5
4
3
January 2015 and earlier: results among self-identified Democrats

14-16
Dec 13
N=412
68%
12
7
4
N/A
1
N/A
1
2
6

[SKIP AND CODE AS DONT KNOW IF DONT KNOW IN Q16]


17. And which Democrat would be your second choice? [IF NOT SURE, ASK: Well, if you
had to decide today, which one would you choose?]
[ONLY READ LIST IF REQUESTED. READ IN SAME ORDER AS Q16. DO NOT
ACCEPT CHOICE FROM Q16.]

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Joe Biden
Martin OMalley
Jim Webb
Larry Lessig
Lincoln Chafee
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Dont know)

First choice
45%
25
19
1
*
*
1
4
5

Second choice
24%
15
31
2
3
1
2
2
9
10

Without Biden
54%
28
N/A
2
1
*
1
1
6
7

[RESUME ALL]
If the 2016 presidential election were held today
[SPLIT SAMPLE NEXT 9 QUESTIONS. Q18-26, 4%] [RANDOMIZE ORDER]
18.-26. How would you vote if the candidates were: [IF DONT KNOW] Well, which way do
you lean? [ROTATE NAMES]

Clinton vs.
Fiorina
Bush
Trump
Carson

Summary Chart Among Registered Voters


(Wouldnt
Clinton
Republican (Other)
vote)
39%
42
3
7
40%
44
4
9
40%
45
4
7
39%
50
1
4

(Dont
know)
8
2
3
5

Dem.
Edge
-3
-4
-5
-11

Biden vs.
Trump
Bush
Fiorina
Carson
Rubio

Summary Chart Among Registered Voters


(Wouldnt
Biden
Republican (Other)
vote)
50%
37
2
7
46%
41
2
7
46%
42
3
4
46%
42
3
4
44%
43
2
4

(Dont
know)
3
4
6
5
7

Dem.
Edge
+13
+5
+4
+4
+1

10-12 Oct 15
PAST TREND
11-13 Aug 15
21-23 Jun 15*
9-12 May 15

10-12 Oct 15
PAST TREND
20-22 Sep 15
11-13 Aug 15
21-23 Jun 15*

Democrat
Hillary
Clinton
39%

Republican
Carly
Fiorina
42

47%
45%
49%

40
39
37

Democrat
Hillary
Clinton
40%

Republican
Donald
Trump
45

46%
47%
51%

42
42
34

(Other) (Wouldnt vote) (Dont know)


3
7
8
1
3
2

6
6
6

5
7
6

(Other) (Wouldnt vote) (Dont know)


4
7
3
3
2
3

7
7
9

2
3
3

10-12 Oct 15
11-13 Aug 15
21-23 Jun 15*
9-12 May 15
19-21 Apr 15
29-31 Mar 15
25-27 Jan 15
7-9 Dec 14
20-22 Jul 14
13-15 Apr 14
2-4 Mar 14
16-18 May 06**
16-17 Dec 04**

Democrat
Hillary
Clinton
40%
42%
43%
44%
45%
45%
48%
49%
52%
51%
51%
Clinton
51%
46%

Republican
Jeb
Bush
44
44
43
45
41
45
43
42
39
42
38
Bush
35
35

(Other) (Wouldnt vote) (Dont know)


4
9
2
3
8
3
3
5
6
2
5
4
2
6
6
1
6
3
2
4
3
1
3
4
1
4
3
1
3
3
3
4
4
(Other / Dont know)
15
19

**Wording: Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 election were held today and
the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Jeb Bush, for whom would you vote?

Democrat
Hillary
Clinton
39%
46%
48%

Republican
Ben
Carson
50
41
42

(Other) (Wouldnt vote) (Dont know)


1
4
5
2
4
7
2
4
5

10-12 Oct 15

Democrat
Joe Biden
50%

Republican
Donald
Trump
37

(Other) (Wouldnt vote) (Dont know)


2
7
3

10-12 Oct 15

Democrat
Joe Biden
46%

Republican
Jeb Bush
41

(Other) (Wouldnt vote) (Dont know)


2
7
4

10-12 Oct 15

Democrat
Joe Biden
46%

10-12 Oct 15

Democrat
Joe Biden
46%

10-12 Oct 15

Democrat
Joe Biden
44%

10-12 Oct 15
21-23 Jun 15*
9-12 May 15

Republican
Carly Fiorina (Other) (Wouldnt vote) (Dont know)
42
3
4
6
Republican
Ben Carson
42

(Other) (Wouldnt vote) (Dont know)


3
4
5

Republican
Marco Rubio (Other) (Wouldnt vote) (Dont know)
43
2
4
7

*June 2015: results among a split sample, 4%

27.

Lets say [ROTATE STATEMENTS] (the Democratic ticket is Joe Biden for president
and Elizabeth Warren for vice president), and (the Republican ticket is Donald Trump
for president and Carly Fiorina for vice president) -- if you were voting today, how
would you vote? [IF DONT KNOW] Well, which way do you lean?
BidenTrumpWarren
(Wouldnt vote) (Dont know)
Fiorina
10-12 Oct 15
48%
42
6
4

28.

Lets say [ROTATE STATEMENTS] (the Democratic ticket is Joe Biden for president
and Elizabeth Warren for vice president) and (the Republican ticket is Jeb Bush for
president and Marco Rubio for vice president) -- if you were voting today, how would
you vote? [IF DONT KNOW] Well, which way do you lean?
BidenBushWarren
Rubio
(Wouldnt vote) (Dont know)
10-12 Oct 15
45%
43
7
5

Questions 29-45 are held for future release.


POLITICAL IDENTIFICATION
When you think about politics, do you think of yourself as a Democrat or a Republican?
(Independent / (Dont know /
Democrat
Republican
Other)
Refused)
10-12 Oct 15
39%
40
18
3
RECENT TREND
20-22 Sep 15
40%
41
17
3
11-13 Aug 15
42%
38
17
3
30 Jul-2 Aug 15
41%
37
17
5
13-15 Jul 15
41%
37
20
2
21-23 Jun 15
42%
38
15
4
31 May-2 Jun 15
43%
37
18
2
9-12 May 15
41%
37
20
2
19-21 Apr 15
42%
38
17
3
29-31 Mar 15
41%
37
20
3
1-3 Mar 15
39%
39
17
4
8-10 Feb 15
43%
38
17
2
25-27 Jan 15
39%
39
19
3
11-13 Jan 15
38%
39
21
3
7-9 Dec 14
41%
39
18
2
25-27 Oct 14
43%
38
17
3
12-14 Oct 14
40%
38
18
4
28-30 Sep 14
40%
39
18
4

Fox News Poll -- Margin of Error for Subgroups


The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and
Shaw & Company Research (R). The poll was conducted by telephone with live interviewers
October 10-12, 2015 among a random national sample of 1,004 registered voters. Results based
on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points.
Results among the attached subgroups have larger sampling errors:
+/- 5%
Democrats:
+/- 5%
Republicans:
+/- 7%
Independents:
--+/- 4%
Men:
+/- 4%
Women:
--+/- 3.5%
White:
+/- 9.5%
Black:
--+/- 4%
College Degree:
+/- 4.5%
No College Degree:
--+/- 7%
Under Age 35:
+/- 6%
Age 35-54:
+/- 4%
Age 55+:
+/- 5.5%
Age 65+:
--+/- 5.5%
Income Under $50k:
+/- 4%
Income $50k+:
--+/- 5%
Liberal:
+/- 4%
Conservative:
--+/- 8%
Tea Party:
--+/- 5%
Dem Primary Voters:
+/- 5%
GOP Primary Voters:

13. In the presidential <primary election/caucus> in <State> next year, are you more likely to vote in the
Democratic or Republican <primary election/caucus> for president, or are you unlikely to participate in either?

Democratic Primary/
caucus
Republican Primary/
caucus
Neither
(Other/Don't know)

Democratic Primary/
caucus
Republican Primary/
caucus
Neither
(Other/Don't know)

Total
35%

Dem
79%

Rep
3%

Ind
16%

Men
30%

Women
39%

White
28%

Black
68%

College
Degree
38%

No
Degree
33%

40%

3%

84%

26%

45%

35%

48%

4%

37%

42%

14%
11%

10%
8%

6%
7%

38%
20%

15%
10%

14%
12%

14%
10%

16%
13%

15%
9%

13%
12%

Total
35%

Under
Age 35
31%

35-54
35%

55+
38%

65+
35%

Under
$50k
37%

$50k+
36%

Lib
65%

Cons
18%

Tea
Party
10%

40%

34%

46%

38%

36%

31%

45%

10%

61%

74%

14%
11%

22%
13%

10%
9%

12%
11%

14%
15%

16%
16%

11%
8%

15%
10%

12%
9%

12%
4%

16. [DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS] I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Democratic
nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Democratic presidential nominee.

Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
Larry Lessig
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)

Total
19%
45%
1%
25%
*%
*%
1%
4%
5%

Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
Larry Lessig
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)

Total
19%
45%
1%
25%
*%
*%
1%
4%
5%

Men
18%
39%
2%
28%
*%
1%
3%
2%
7%

Women
19%
49%
22%
*%
*%
6%
4%

Under
Age 45
21%
38%
29%
1%
2%
4%
5%

White
18%
41%
1%
29%
*%
1%
*%
5%
5%
45+
17%
49%
1%
21%
*%
1%
5%
5%

NonWhite
19%
50%
1%
18%
*%
2%
4%
6%
Under
$50k
14%
49%
24%
*%
5%
7%

College
Degree
14%
51%
1%
25%
*%
1%
2%
3%
3%
$50k+
21%
45%
1%
25%
*%
1%
1%
4%
2%

No
Degree
23%
40%
*%
24%
1%
5%
7%
Lib
19%
44%
1%
29%
*%
1%
1%
3%
2%

Dem
19%
48%
1%
23%
*%
1%
4%
5%

17. [DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS] And which Democrat would be your second choice?

Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
Larry Lessig
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)

Total
31%
2%
24%
2%
15%
3%
1%
2%
9%
10%

Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
Larry Lessig
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)

Total
31%
2%
24%
2%
15%
3%
1%
2%
9%
10%

Men
28%
5%
22%
4%
15%
*%
1%
2%
9%
14%

Women
33%
1%
25%
1%
16%
5%
2%
2%
8%
8%

Under
Age 45
27%
3%
23%
2%
17%
4%
2%
2%
10%
9%

White
29%
3%
28%
1%
17%
3%
1%
1%
9%
9%

45+
33%
2%
24%
2%
15%
3%
1%
3%
8%
11%

NonWhite
34%
2%
17%
4%
13%
4%
2%
5%
8%
12%
Under
$50k
39%
2%
21%
4%
8%
3%
*%
2%
10%
11%

College
Degree
32%
2%
23%
2%
19%
3%
1%
1%
9%
7%

$50k+
28%
3%
24%
1%
22%
3%
2%
3%
8%
6%

No
Degree
30%
2%
24%
2%
13%
4%
2%
3%
8%
12%

Lib
30%
2%
25%
3%
20%
4%
2%
2%
3%
8%

Dem
33%
2%
23%
2%
16%
3%
1%
2%
8%
10%

18. [HALF SAMPLE] How would you vote if the candidates were:

Democrat Hillary Clinton


Republican Donald Trump
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
40%
45%
4%
7%
3%

Democrat Hillary Clinton


Republican Donald Trump
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
40%
45%
4%
7%
3%

Dem
81%
11%
3%
4%
1%

Rep
4%
83%
2%
8%
2%

Under
Age 35
43%
40%
6%
9%
2%

Men
32%
52%
5%
7%
3%

Women
48%
39%
3%
8%
2%

35-54
39%
48%
5%
5%
3%

55+
40%
46%
2%
8%
3%

White
34%
51%
4%
9%
3%
Under
$50k
40%
46%
4%
7%
3%

NonWhite
64%
26%
6%
2%
2%

College
Degree
48%
35%
4%
11%
3%

$50k+
43%
44%
4%
6%
2%

Lib
72%
17%
3%
6%
2%

No
Degree
36%
52%
4%
6%
3%

Cons
21%
64%
5%
7%
2%

19. [HALF SAMPLE] How would you vote if the candidates were:

Democrat Joe Biden


Republican Donald Trump
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
50%
37%
2%
7%
3%

Democrat Joe Biden


Republican Donald Trump
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
50%
37%
2%
7%
3%

Dem
86%
8%
2%
2%
2%

Rep
16%
71%
2%
9%
2%

Under
Age 35
58%
34%
1%
5%
1%

Men
42%
43%
1%
10%
4%

Women
58%
32%
2%
5%
3%

35-54
42%
40%
1%
10%
6%

55+
51%
37%
3%
7%
2%

White
42%
45%
1%
9%
3%
Under
$50k
57%
34%
1%
5%
2%

NonWhite
73%
17%
4%
3%
3%

College
Degree
53%
36%
2%
4%
4%

$50k+
48%
39%
2%
8%
2%

Lib
80%
14%
1%
3%
2%

No
Degree
48%
39%
1%
10%
2%

Cons
29%
56%
2%
9%
4%

20. [HALF SAMPLE] How would you vote if the candidates were:

Democrat Hillary Clinton


Republican Ben Carson
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
39%
50%
1%
4%
5%

Democrat Hillary Clinton


Republican Ben Carson
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
39%
50%
1%
4%
5%

Dem
80%
11%
1%
3%
6%

Rep
5%
88%
1%
3%
3%

Under
Age 35
37%
48%
3%
7%
5%

Men
33%
57%
1%
6%
3%

Women
45%
44%
1%
3%
7%

35-54
38%
52%
1%
3%
6%

55+
42%
50%
3%
5%

White
32%
59%
1%
4%
4%
Under
$50k
39%
52%
*%
4%
5%

NonWhite
61%
26%
2%
3%
8%

College
Degree
40%
46%
2%
4%
8%

$50k+
41%
49%
1%
3%
5%

Lib
70%
17%
2%
5%
5%

No
Degree
39%
53%
*%
4%
4%

Cons
19%
74%
*%
3%
3%

21. [HALF SAMPLE] How would you vote if the candidates were:

Democrat Joe Biden


Republican Ben Carson
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
46%
42%
3%
4%
5%

Democrat Joe Biden


Republican Ben Carson
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
46%
42%
3%
4%
5%

Dem
83%
8%
2%
2%
6%

Rep
9%
82%
3%
4%
2%

Under
Age 35
48%
38%
7%
2%
5%

Men
43%
47%
3%
5%
2%

Women
49%
37%
4%
3%
7%

35-54
37%
53%
3%
3%
3%

55+
51%
36%
2%
5%
6%

White
39%
50%
4%
3%
4%
Under
$50k
53%
33%
3%
4%
7%

NonWhite
69%
16%
3%
6%
6%

College
Degree
52%
39%
3%
3%
3%

$50k+
43%
47%
4%
2%
3%

Lib
77%
13%
5%
3%
2%

No
Degree
42%
44%
4%
4%
6%

Cons
26%
63%
2%
4%
5%

22. [HALF SAMPLE] How would you vote if the candidates were:

Democrat Hillary Clinton


Republican Jeb Bush
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
40%
44%
4%
9%
2%

Democrat Hillary Clinton


Republican Jeb Bush
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
40%
44%
4%
9%
2%

Dem
78%
13%
2%
5%
3%

Rep
4%
82%
2%
11%
1%

Under
Age 35
38%
40%
7%
13%
2%

Men
32%
49%
6%
12%
*%

Women
47%
40%
3%
7%
4%

35-54
39%
46%
4%
9%
2%

55+
43%
46%
2%
7%
2%

White
33%
51%
4%
10%
2%
Under
$50k
39%
44%
5%
11%
1%

NonWhite
65%
20%
5%
8%
2%

College
Degree
49%
37%
3%
7%
4%

$50k+
43%
44%
3%
8%
1%

Lib
73%
17%
2%
6%
2%

No
Degree
35%
48%
5%
11%
1%

Cons
21%
62%
6%
10%
1%

23. [HALF SAMPLE] How would you vote if the candidates were:

Democrat Joe Biden


Republican Jeb Bush
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
46%
41%
2%
7%
4%

Democrat Joe Biden


Republican Jeb Bush
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
46%
41%
2%
7%
4%

Dem
87%
8%
1%
1%
3%

Rep
10%
78%
*%
9%
3%

Under
Age 35
45%
43%
1%
4%
7%

Men
43%
43%
1%
10%
3%

Women
49%
38%
2%
5%
5%

35-54
41%
44%
2%
10%
3%

55+
50%
36%
2%
8%
4%

White
37%
48%
1%
8%
5%
Under
$50k
53%
38%
2%
3%
5%

NonWhite
69%
21%
2%
5%
4%

College
Degree
47%
39%
3%
8%
4%

$50k+
44%
43%
1%
8%
4%

Lib
78%
15%
2%
4%
2%

No
Degree
45%
42%
1%
7%
5%

Cons
25%
59%
1%
10%
4%

24. [HALF SAMPLE] How would you vote if the candidates were:

Democrat Hillary Clinton


Republican Carly Fiorina
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
39%
42%
3%
7%
8%

Democrat Hillary Clinton


Republican Carly Fiorina
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
39%
42%
3%
7%
8%

25. [HALF SAMPLE]

Dem
80%
6%
1%
6%
7%

Rep
5%
82%
1%
7%
5%

Under
Age 35
37%
37%
4%
11%
11%

Men
33%
47%
3%
8%
9%

Women
45%
38%
2%
7%
8%

35-54
38%
43%
4%
5%
10%

55+
42%
46%
*%
7%
5%

White
28%
52%
3%
9%
9%
Under
$50k
40%
41%
2%
7%
9%

NonWhite
70%
16%
3%
4%
7%

College
Degree
45%
40%
3%
7%
5%

$50k+
42%
44%
2%
7%
5%

Lib
70%
13%
3%
7%
7%

No
Degree
35%
44%
3%
8%
10%

Cons
20%
65%
2%
7%
6%

How would you vote if the candidates were:

Democrat Joe Biden


Republican Carly Fiorina
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
46%
42%
3%
4%
6%

Democrat Joe Biden


Republican Carly Fiorina
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
46%
42%
3%
4%
6%

Dem
85%
8%
1%
1%
5%

Rep
9%
78%
2%
5%
6%

Under
Age 35
48%
38%
4%
5%
5%

Men
41%
46%
3%
5%
5%

Women
50%
38%
3%
2%
7%

35-54
40%
49%
3%
3%
6%

55+
49%
39%
2%
4%
6%

White
39%
48%
3%
4%
6%
Under
$50k
54%
30%
2%
3%
10%

NonWhite
68%
22%
3%
3%
4%

College
Degree
52%
39%
2%
3%
4%

$50k+
44%
47%
3%
3%
3%

Lib
78%
16%
4%
1%
1%

No
Degree
42%
44%
4%
4%
7%

Cons
25%
59%
3%
3%
10%

26. [HALF SAMPLE] How would you vote if the candidates were:

Democrat Joe Biden


Republican Marco Rubio
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
44%
43%
2%
4%
7%

Democrat Joe Biden


Republican Marco Rubio
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
44%
43%
2%
4%
7%

Dem
86%
5%
1%
2%
5%

Rep
9%
84%
1%
3%
4%

Under
Age 35
41%
41%
2%
7%
9%

Men
36%
49%
3%
6%
6%

Women
51%
38%
1%
2%
7%

35-54
46%
41%
5%
2%
6%

55+
45%
46%
4%
5%

NonWhite
68%
18%
2%
3%
9%

White
36%
52%
2%
4%
6%
Under
$50k
43%
42%
3%
3%
9%

College
Degree
47%
45%
2%
4%
2%

$50k+
48%
44%
1%
4%
4%

Lib
74%
14%
2%
5%
5%

No
Degree
42%
42%
2%
4%
9%

Cons
25%
65%
2%
3%
5%

27. Lets say the Democratic ticket is Joe Biden for president and Elizabeth Warren for vice president, and the
Republican ticket is Donald Trump for president and Carly Fiorina for vice president -- if you were voting
today, how would you vote?

Democrats Joe Biden and


Elizabeth Warren
Republicans Donald Trump
and Carly Fiorina
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Democrats Joe Biden and


Elizabeth Warren
Republicans Donald Trump
and Carly Fiorina
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
48%

Dem
86%

Rep
12%

Ind
49%

Men
39%

Women
56%

White
40%

Black
82%

College
Degree
54%

No
Degree
44%

42%

8%

81%

33%

48%

37%

50%

10%

38%

45%

6%
4%

3%
3%

3%
4%

13%
5%

7%
5%

4%
3%

6%
4%

5%
4%

5%
3%

6%
5%

Total
48%

Under
Age 35
52%

35-54
45%

55+
48%

65+
45%

Under
$50k
50%

$50k+
49%

Lib
81%

Cons
27%

Tea
Party
13%

42%

37%

47%

42%

40%

39%

44%

15%

63%

81%

6%
4%

6%
5%

5%
3%

6%
5%

8%
7%

6%
5%

4%
2%

3%
2%

6%
4%

4%
2%

28. Lets say the Democratic ticket is Joe Biden for president and Elizabeth Warren for vice president and the
Republican ticket is Jeb Bush for president and Marco Rubio for vice president -- if you were voting today, how
would you vote?

Democrats Joe Biden and


Elizabeth Warren
Republicans Jeb Bush and
Marco Rubio
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Democrats Joe Biden and


Elizabeth Warren
Republicans Jeb Bush and
Marco Rubio
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
45%

Dem
82%

Rep
9%

Ind
42%

Men
39%

Women
50%

White
38%

Black
76%

College
Degree
51%

No
Degree
40%

43%

9%

82%

31%

46%

39%

50%

10%

41%

44%

7%
5%

4%
4%

5%
4%

16%
11%

11%
4%

4%
6%

7%
5%

7%
6%

5%
3%

8%
7%

Total
45%

Under
Age 35
46%

35-54
41%

55+
47%

65+
45%

Under
$50k
46%

$50k+
46%

Lib
81%

Cons
23%

Tea
Party
10%

43%

38%

47%

42%

42%

40%

45%

11%

65%

80%

7%
5%

8%
8%

8%
4%

6%
5%

6%
7%

7%
7%

5%
3%

4%
4%

8%
4%

7%
3%