Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Cuprinsul crii:
Chapter 1
Introduction in investments theory and practice for sustainable development
1.1 The concept of investment
1.1.1 Investments definition
1.1.2 The concept of efficiency and effectiveness of investments
1.1.3 Investments for sustainable development and the new economy
1.2 Investing in product eco-design
1.3 Investing in sustainable production. The evolution of the sustainable production
concept
1.3.1 Technical and economical demands for investing in production systems
1.3.2 Good examples of sustainable development models. The Dutch approach
1.4 Review the literature
1.5 The aim of the investment course on sustainable development bases
1.6 Summary and recapitulation
Chapter 2
Measures to support investments in sustainable production
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Technical measures
2.2.1 Technical-time measures
2.2.2 Utilization
2.3 Technical
2.3.1 Technical efficiency
2.3.2 Real machine capability
2.3.3 Technical Productivity
2.4 The Transformation Factor
2.5 Economical measures
2.5.1 Productivity as an economic measure
2.5.2 The value of technology
2.6 Ecological measures
2.6.1 Measures for ecosystems and land use
2.6.2 Measures for assessment of forests and pastures levels
2.6.3 Measures that take into account the biological diversity
2.6.4 Measures for water resources assessment
2.6.5 Atmosphere pollution and its effects on climate changes
2.6.6 Raw materials and energy resources
2.7 Technical-Economical measures
2.7.1 Quality as a technical-economical measure
2.7.2 Quality as a technical-economical-ecological measure
2.7.3 Flexibility as a technical-economical measure
2.8 Complex measures
2.8.1 The Transformation Factor as a complex technical, economical and ecological
measure
2.8.2 The economical assessment of the investment in production processes by using the
Transformation Factor
2.8.3 The ecological assessment of the investment in production processes by using the
transformation factor
2.9 The technological-economical-ecological measures: The Sustainability Factor
2.10 Benchmarking values for Sustainable Production Systems of different industries
2.11 Conclusions
Chapter 3
Investments in sustainable products, the life-cycle approach
3.1 The life-cycle assessment for products and processes; a technical, economical,
ecological overview
3.2 Life-Cycle Technical Analyses (LCTA)
3.2.1 Life-Cycle Technical Analyses (LCTA) for products
3.2.2 Life-Cycle Technical Analyses for production processes
file:///D|/Master/ASE/cursuri/05/Investments%20and%20risks%20for%20sustainable%20development.htm (2 of 5)29.12.2007 18:42:11
9.5 Conclusions
9.6 Themes for students
Chapter 10
Instruments to assist decision making for investment projects
10.1 Introduction
10.2 The CSB graph
10.3 Computer Expert System for CSB
10.4 Conclusions
10.5 Bibliography
Chapter 11
Investments in research and development (R&D) projects for sustainable development
11.1 The importance of investments in research and development projects
11.2 Indicators for feasibility analyses in research and development activities
Annex 1 Union policy on environment and sustainable investments
Annex 2 Factors used in investment projects
Annex 3 Indicators
Bibliography
Cuprinsul studiilor de caz:
Chapter 12
Study case for sustainable investment project selection
Dedication
I dedicate this book to Professor Ph.D. Ion Vasilescu and also to the Academy of
Economic Studies of Bucharest, to Magister Professor Ph.D. Peter SCHMID from
University of Technology Eindhoven (The Netherlands), to Professor
Ph.D. Fernando BRANCO from Instituto Superior Tcnico, Lisbon, Portugal.
Acknowledgement
The book was published with the support of the Academy of Economic Studies of
Bucharest and with the information and knowledge acquired during my doctoral
stages in the Netherlands (at TUE in 1995).
I want to thank to the institutions that supported my grants which made possible the
concepting and the publishing of this book.
I thank to:
The Academy of Economic Studies of Bucharest, Romania
NUFFIC (The Dutch Organization for University International Relationships)
An important support also came from the CNCIS Programme Celula de infovideo-comunicare pentru nvmntul la distan (director lector dr Cristian
Silviu BNACU) and Sinergetica sistemelor tehnico-economice, (director prof.
univ. Ion VASILESCU).
The author
Bucharest
24.06.2004
Chapter 1
Introduction in investments
theory and practice
for sustainable development
investments with the sustainable eco-development concept and the new economy
based on the information society concept. That means to care about future and to
adapt to the change and to make the investments sustainable. This is not a fashion,
it is a reality that already is present in well developed countries. The European
developed countries, as the Netherlands, Sweden, Germany, Great Britain, France,
Norway, Danmark, Finland, Austria, Belgium, Portugal, Spain, etc. or other great
economic powers as USA, Canada, Japan, Australia, or transition economies as
China, Russia, Romania etc. are investing in their own economies on sustainable
development basis and putting the foundation for a new economy based on
information technology.
The non-classical approach, based on sustainable investments and new economy, is
necessary for Romania on its access to European Union economic integration.
1.1.2 The concept of efficiency and effectiveness of investments
The efficiency as a word is well known, too. It is coming from the latin word
efficere that means to do well what are you doing, at time and with optimum
consume of resources either human, material or financial. If we deal with the
economic efficiency of investments that means to put in balance efforts (financial,
human, technical etc.) with effects (gains as turnover, profit, production, services,
products, impact on enviroment etc.). For example, an investment in a building is
efficient if the time of completing and the return on investment(ROI) is fullfiled at
the desired time without any timedelays and resources overconsumptions.
e=
EFFECTS
1 where e = efficiency coefficient
EFFORTS
Materialproduction
Fabrication of
end-products
Selling &
Distribution
Wasteprocessing
Use
INPUT
OUTPUT
Waste
& Emissions
Raw materials
& Energy
Reuse after
end-product
life cycle phase
Product and production belongs to each other and are coupled on the technology:
product-technology-production. Innovations are obtained by new technological
opportunities while demand is dictated by the market.
Because of the given relation, the choice of the technology is very important, not
only technically but also economically, ecologically and socially.
This is summarised in table 1.1 which gives a product / technology matrix, divided
to the aspect: known, new, unknown.
Table 1.1 Product / Technology matrix
technology
product
known
known
new
unknown
new
unknown
2
product
development
4
product
development
production
process
development
research
Manufacturing a known product with a known technology (section 1) does not give
risks but the lowest profit rates.
Production of new products, which means products which have not been
manufactured before, is more difficult. If these new products are manufactured by
means of a known technology the risks can be overseen. Examples can be found in
the automotive industry and all other branches of industry where product
innovation is applied. Mostly it concerns product redesign and not a totally new
product. In order to improve the efficiency of production process, new technologies
are used to manufacture a known product. This strategy is applied to reduce the
costs (less energy, less waste, less labour, less pollution). Besides, the effectivity
can be improved by means of a higher product quality. For instance, an industrial
automation results in a better quality because of a better process control.
Manufacturing of new products by a new technology will give high risks. An
example is the manufacturing of mega-chips.
To arrive at a sustainable product, mostly the product has to be redesigned, as this
phase depicts the material usage and environmental load during the entire life
cycle. The technology is known as a sustainable production requires a continuos
improvement of efficiency and effectivity.
For a company, the reduction of materials and energy by applying sustainable
production techniques may result in decreasing production costs and indirect costs
as a consequence of the avoidance of a polluting production and low quality
products and processes. Furthermore, the company will be more competitive
because the market will demand for sustainable products in future.
In the next sections, known technologies are described to arrive at a sustainable
product design and a sustainable production. Furthermore, ways are given to
introduce the sustainable production concept in the industry. But before the
introduction, the market demand for sustainable products and the society demand
for a sustainable production is indicated.
1.2 Investing in product eco-design
The product design is important for all activities in the chain in order to create an
integral chain control with respect to a sustainable development.
Almost all limitations are the result of the product design.
A product eco-design can be defined by:
- the development of products where, in the design decisions, an integral chain
control is weighted equally compared to more traditional quantities, like
economics, quality, functionality, aesthetics, ergonomics, innovation, and
image, in such a way, that the potential influence of the products upon the
environment and the material and energy sources is reduced significantly
(derived from the definition of an environmental friendly design by Brezet et
al., 1994).
To create a sustainable investment, the choice of the materials and the way the
product structure has been composed, are very important.
Therefore the following activities should have a high priority for the product ecodesign:
minimal usage of virgin materials,
minimal energy consumption during the production and usage periods,
usage of materials which can be recovered easily,
eco-design with easy to divide materials,
easily disassembled or dismantled oriented product design,
eco-design so that parts and the product have long life cycles.
The aim is to have the requirements with respect to sustainability from the
beginning of the design phase, using concurrent engineering and concurrent
economics: a systematic eco-design of products and the processes needed for their
production, where all elements of the product life cycle are considered by a
multidisciplinary designers team, from the concept until the disposal phase,
including quality, costs, planning, productibility, users demand, maintenance and
environmental requirements (Constance, 1992).
New views like the environmental requirements can be handled systematically in
the design phase, e.g. by applying QFD (Quality Function Deployment) to translate
the market demands into a design of a green product.
1.3 Investing in sustainable production. The evolution of sustainable production
concept
The purpose of production, at least idealistically, is to enrich society through the
production of functionally desirable, aesthetically pleasing, environmentally safe,
economically affordable, highly reliable, top-quality products.
These noble objectives are often conflicting for economic reasons.
Since the first use of machine tools there has been a gradual trend towards making
machines more efficient by combining operations and by transferring more skill to
machines.
Technical development has made it possible to attain high productivity rates which
are essential for any society willing to enjoy high living standards.
Until the sixties, all that was produced, was sold, because of the seller's market.
Although the price was important to increase the market share, the pressure to the
prices was not extremely as the profits in that time show.
However, as the seller could choose more and more between various producers, the
price became an important weapon.
In the past, it was tried to obtain an efficient organisation in order to have a higher
production output. But now the price pressure requires an efficient organisation in
order to reduce the cost price. To be competitive, management focused on
reorganisations and transferring the production to low wages countries.
At the beginning of the seventies, the buyer became aware of the quality of the
product. As a part of the industry, and especially in Japan, offered products with a
high quality for low relatively low prices, together with efficiency, quality became
an important aspect to stay competitive.
At the end of the seventies, the seller's market changed into a buyer's market.
Therefore the battle for the attention of the buyer became more difficult. Especially
Japanese firms increased their product assortment and shortened the life time of a
product. The buyer liked the choice he could make now and showed this in buying
this kind of products.
So, besides being efficient and producing with a high quality, product assortment,
delivery time and the look of a product became very important.
This all resulted in a tremendous time pressure: companies had to introduce faster
new products to the market, so that the development times has to be reduced, while
the products had to be delivered faster. So the company had to be flexible too.
To fulfil the requirements, the companies have introduced cost awareness, quality
programms and techniques to become more flexible. This should be handled as a
continuos process of improving. The cost awareness implies that e.g. material
waste is avoided, the quality programm state care that defect products are avoided
while flexibility results in avoiding of time waste. This all means that at the end of
the continuos improvements, a state of sustainable internal production is obtained.
It is obvious, that these improvement processes are related directly to the design of
the products.
On the shop floor, the improvements in costs, quality and flexibility can be
measured by using the Transformation Factor (de Ron, 1994). This factor reflects
the deviation of the production system from the ideal situation. It is related directly
to the activities of the shop floor as it is expressed in terms which are familiar to
the shop floor and the operational departments. Furthermore, the transformation
factor should be clear to management as well as relevant.
Maskell (1989), suggests that new performance measures should be introduced
beacause the known measures can not be used satisfactorily. He mentions some
characteristics for these measures which are fulfilled by the transformation factor.
Production system
Input
Consumer demand
Material
Money
Energy
Human resources
Education
Process
Design
Production
Management
Output
Consumer goods
Capital goods
Satisfaction and quality
Cost effectiveness
types of products resulting from other types of technologies; in the mean time
the technical facilities (machinery, equipment etc.) could be used in remodelling
the process (in a sustainable way) for other (sustainable) end-products with
other segment market destination.
Reconfiguration Strategy: characterises the situation in which it gives a market
demand for the product at affordable price, but the product doesn't fulfil the
sustainability requirements, or the technological chain is not sustainable itself
and there are not enough investment funds to finance the total replacing with a
new one;
Total Replacing Strategy: characterises the situation in which already exists a
market demand for the products, and because these are not sustainable, and the
technology to produce them is not sustainable as well but there are enough
money to buy another to fulfil the sustainability requirements.
In figure 1.3 are presented the alternative strategies.
SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTION
SYSTEMS
TOTAL EXCLUDING
RECONVERTING
RECONFIGURATION
REPLACING
EXISTING PRODUCTION
PROCESS SYSTEMS
This strategies could be used with success, especially in the Middle and Eastern
European Countries in the process of integration in the European Union, because of
the characteristic conditions of the transient period from centralised state economy
to market economy that made possible deep transformations in the economies of
these countries. The economic transient period is characterised by the transfer of
the property of production systems from state owned to the private and public
owners.
Managerial and technical changes are taking place in the production systems in
order to adapt to market demands.
The situation is different from case to case and it requests an adequate analyse
because the production systems of Middle and Eastern Europe have specific
different problems (some have to be improved, other to be replaced, other to
disappear- depending on the requested level of technological quality and on the
usage degree).
The overused and old equipment and technologies which are still running couldn't
be replace "over the night", because of the lack of investment funds, and socioeconomical aspects, therefore a new type of strategy of renewal is requested to
combine self-improvement and technology modernisation. That means that selfadaptability, experience and creativity of the people employed in firms to become
important resources for self development on a sustainable way.
The factors which have to be considered are:
1) Training and education at all levels to stimulate and encourage quality in
working processes;
2) Flexible organisation;
3) Creativity stimulation;
4) Private initiative stimulation (state laws and firm's policy levels);
4) Industrial property (patents, brands, design, author's rights and obligations for
individuals and firms);
5) New sources of (local, foreign) investments based on mutual advantage;
6) Partnership with much-experienced firms (local or foreign) based on mutual
advantage;
7) Environmental moral behaviour stimulation based on the assumption that the
end products are personal but the environment belongs to all not just to present
but also for the future generation (future generation responsibility behaviour);
8) Encouraging the traditional local experience (if is feasible);
9) Encouraging the use / reuse of local materials and energy.
1.3.2 Good examples of sustainable development models. The Dutch approach
Following the Brundtland Report (1987), the DutchNational Environmental Policy
Plan' was adopted by the government and the parliament (in 1989). In the plan
three elements are central:
1) Integrated chain control: closing the raw material cycles.
2) Energy reduction: energy saving, increase of the energy efficency and using
durable energy sources.
3) Quality improvement: in order to increase the material life time.
The objectives are a large reduction of emissions and energy consumption, and the
use of non-renewable raw materials by means of material recovery.
On the short-term, the environmental mess should be cleaned up as soon as
possible, requesting for new environmental technologies with specific aims and
functions. A number of such technologies to reduce emissions to water and air
already exists or could be developed in the short-term.
On the medium-term, it is expected that within 5-15 years most end-of-pipe and
curative technologies have been installed, and that products will be redesigned in
an environmental - friendly way. The technological developments go on, and it is
expected that new technologies, new products, new processes will be developed in
the mean time, which, however, may create new sources of environmental
pollution.
Thus a second objective for the technology policy is to influence the development
of new technologies in such a way that new technologies products, and processes
do not create new environmental problems,but reduce further the impact of older
technologies.
One of the problems to be solved is how to influence technological development in
such a way that adverse affects do not occur in the future. This is a well-known
question for technology assessment.
New concepts like ' Comprehensive Life Cycle management ' which reefers to the
management techniques (towards use of energy, leakage losses, organisation,
finance and logistics) and ' Life Cycle Assesment', (the Comprehensive Life Cycle
Management and Life Cycle Assesment - LCA, technical methodes that analyse,
quantify and take measures about the environmental consequences of a product on
a scientific and systematic basis through it's entire life-cycle: from extraction of
raw materials, production, use, disposal and the transportation between those
phases)(B. Mazijn,1992), the ' Cascade ' (the concept of using the potential
properties of a product or resource in various subsequant stages) (Hans van
Weenen, 1992) and new type of exploration, the so called 'Environment-Oriented
Technology exploration' ( a scientific way of research made to show how to
explore the environment while taking environmental objectives as a focal point)
(P.J. Vergragt, L.Jansen 1992), are investigated in order to be applied in practice.
The short-term and the medium-term investigations and instruments take the
present situation as a starting point, so the present policies seem to be evolutionary
that means they continue to adapt incrementally improving most of the present
technology. Thus paradigm shifts and fundamentally changes in technological
systems do not appear in this type of policy making.
The long-term Dutch strategy for environmental policy settled in 1990 by the
Dutch Commission for Long-Term Environmental Policy proposes ten radical
changes from a radical change in recognition to a radical change in dialogue.
They put the bases for the"Sustainable Technological Development programm (STD)" that present the sustainability criteria for the year 2040. STD establish that:
"Technology can never be more than a tool, an instrument among others; the type
of technology that will be developed is very much dependent on the structural and
cultural conditions that prevail in society". The programm underlines the fact that
the core of the problem is not to consider the technology as a major part for the
solution of environmental problems or propagating technology as a "panacea", but
the most important is that the potential of technology should be exploited to a
maximum.
STD, states also that the eco-capacity of the earth has already been exceeded and
taking into account that the global population will grow by a factor 2-3 in the next
50 years, the eco-capacity of the earth will be exceeded by a factor of 10-50 if the
efficiency of the technology with respect to the environment remains roughly the
same. Therefore to fulfil the future needs of humans new technologies are
necessary and they are not to be developed earlier than 50 years from now. As the
time is pressing we have to start it now.
To investigate new developments can be used the backcasting method, where a
picture of a most likely future situation is created as a starting point, to think about
the (technical) means which are necessary to reach this state.
Several steps have to be followed:
1) Creating a social support for the challenge to technology developers.
2) Problem of definitions for the development of new technologies i.e
transportation, housing etc, as well as the level of systems (transportation
systems, housing system, etc), as well as the level of products (vehicles, houses)
or utilities (motor, component parts of the houses, heating installations for
housing, energy, materials etc.).
3) Problem chosen for being elaborated.
4) Creating demonstration projects (to set examples in housing, transportation,
food/, clothing and recreation, generally known having a large social impact) in
which a new approach or technology will be developed that must lead to a
communicative design which means a design that fulfils, not just its functions,
but also, sustainability and easy communicability to other technology
developers and the public.
5) Setting the social conditions in which sustainable technology function.
6) Techno-economical feasibility study of sustainable technologies.
7) The people gain trust in technology.
BACKCASTING
Look backwards from the future and work ahead
2040
1990
Culture
Technology
Construction
Transportation
Manufacturing
Agriculture
Supply
Shelter
Movement
Clothing
Feeding
Structure
Less energy
Close
materials
cycles
Avoid Environmental Risk
Demand
Activities
Needs
Demand for technology to fulfil needs
at many fold Environmental Efficency
Fig 1.4 The model of the Dutch Programme" Sustainable Technological Development
(STD)" (adapted from Design for Environment 1992)
Jeroen C.J.M. van den Bergh (1991) presented a "study that deals with long term,
dynamic models that offer insight into global and regional dimensions of
Sustainable Economic Development (SD). The book consists of three parts. First,
the conceptual background of the study is outlined, thereby emphasizing economic
and regional development, ecological processes, and ethical concern for
environment and future generations. In the second part these elements are
integrated in dynamic models of development. A general material balance, multisectorial model is designed for linking development with natural environment. It is
based on a description of two-way economic-environmental interactions.
Subsequently, this model is extended to represent an open system by taking crossboundary flows and external influences into account. In the third part, an attempt is
made to operationalize SD models in two case studies (for the Netherlands and
Greece)".
The Dutch Committeee for Long Term Environmental Policy (1991), by the book
"Towards a sustainable future" exemplifies the search for a new social order, an
order in which the economic development and environmental protection are
considered interdependent. The four main elements of this search are: (1) signs of
hope, towards a sustainable future, (2) transformations which are needed to reach
this future, (3) philosophical and methodological reflections; and (4) the necessary
changes in the basic institutions of society. The central conclusion is that is
important to establish a green strategy aimed at sustainability. As the committee
states, " There is no certainty and no statistical probability for a sustainable future,
but at least there is a chance".
The US National Academy of Engineering (1989) published a study called
"Technology and Environment" dealing with concepts as " paradox of technology"
meaning it can be both the source of environmental damage and our best hope for
repairing such damage today and avoiding it in the future(J.H.Ausubel,
R.A.Frosch, R.Herman), "industrial ecology as an industrial metabolism"
examining the totality or pattern of relations between economic activity and the
environment (Robert U. Ayres, R.A. Frosch and Gallopoulos, 1989) and the
"dematerialization" characterising the decline over time in weight of the materials
used in industrial end products, or in the "embedded energy" of the products with
the effect that less material could translate into smaller quantities of waste
generating both production and consumption.
In his doctoral thesis, H.J.M.de Vries (1989) "Sustainable Resource Use, an
enquiry into modelling and planning" make a brief analyse of the concepts of
sustainability and the sustainable development. He gives a formal definition of the
modelling relation of the resource dynamics and make study cases from ecology,
economy and social sciences using optimal control theory, catastrophe theory and
non-linear dynamics.
In "Sustainable Development", Michael Redclift (1989) argues that "if the work of
the World Commision on Environment and Development (Brundtland Commission
1987) is to be taken seriously we need to redirect the development process itself, to
give greater emphasis to indigenous knowledge and experience and to take
effective political action on behalf of the environment".
In Economics, Growth and Sustainable Environments (D.Collard, D.Pearce,
D.Ulph 1990) the sustainability user cost concept is introduced. They show that
sustainability could imply the use of environmental services at rates which can hold
over very long time periods and, in theory, indefinitely, but put the question of the
quality of the survival.
1.5 The aim of the investment course on sustainable development bases
The aim of the investment course is to underline the importance of [re]designing or
choosing the adequate technology of the future, the ways to reach to sustainability
level in industrial production systems in the specific transient-economic conditions
of Romania, taking as an example, housing industry investments.
It is assumed the idea that developing sustainable systems in Romania, housing
industry could be an exemple model, one has to start from the existing conditions
(cultural, social, technical, economical) and using creativity and innovation to give
a new value to the work taking into account quality, flexibility and continuos
improvement of the production systems. Production development could solve
social-economical problems as unemployment or inflation.
It is necessary to underline the difference between the concept of growth and the
concept of development. "Growth and development are not the same thing. Growth
can take place with or without development, and development can take place with
or without growth. Growth is an increase in size or number and occurs in
organisms without choice. Development is a process in which an individual (firm,
society, nation) increases his [her] ability and desires and those of others. It is an
increase in capacity and potential, not an increase in attainment. It is more a matter
of motivation, knowledge, understanding, and wisdom than it is of wealth. It has
less to do with how much one has than with how much one can do with whatever
one has. Development is the potentiality for improvement, not the actual
improvement of the quality of life or the standards of living".(R.L.Ackoff 1981).
This mention have to be made for understanding the fact that the way of reaching
to sustainability in industry of Romania ( housing industry, for example), is not
necessary the growth but is necessary the sustainable development. The rise not in
size but in quality.
I've mentioned that in order to avoid the confusion which existed during centralised
economy period when growth means development and vice-versa.
Therefore the sustainable industrial development of Romanian economy could be
realized with existing economical and technical means but using more efficient the
resources involved ( human resources, technology and money).
.
Romanian firms could become more economical and technical feasible, more
competitive, if, following an appropriate strategy of inducing sustainability in their
production process and technologies develop themselves.
This could have benefit results for the whole Romanian economy, because it is well
known that the industrial production influences all other economic branches, as
constructions, agriculture, production of industrial and domestic goods,
transportation, energy, trade etc.
1.6 Summary and recapitulation
Investments are a present spending for a future gain either profit or other benefits
(ecological, social, technical, skils etc.) as were mentioned before.
As a conclusion we relate the investments with the future in all that it concerns.
Therefore, well use a new approach different from the classic one in which only
the economic profit prevails as a basic indicator. The new approach is to relate
investments with the sustainable eco-development concept and the new economy
based on information society concept.
Sustainable Development is a development that meets the needs of the present
without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs
(Brundtland,1987).
For future investments purposes, to arrive at a sustainable eco-product, mostly the
product has to be redesigned as this phase depicts the material usage and
environmental load during the entire life cycle. The technology is known as a
sustainable production requires a continuos improvement of efficiency and
effectiveness.
Technology alone will not give sustainable development:
Conditions for technology development will have to be changed.
Cultural & structural changes will be necessary to support sustainable
technology.
Environmental efficiency of technology will have to increase factor 20.
Illustrative processes to illustrate potentialities of technology.
Practical assignments
Answer the following questions.
1. What means investments?
2. What means efficient investments?
3. Could you exemplify an efficient investment ?
4. What is the sense of the sustainable development concept ?
5. Which is the relationship between investments, development, sustainability,
production and services.
References and homework documentary readings
1. Read the Sustainable Development of Romania Strategy 2000-2020.
2. Read the AGENDA 21 Document of Rio 92 Conference for Development and
environment.
3. Read the law of Environment nr 137/ 1995.
4. Read the laws for stimulate investments.
5. Identify a problem from the real world concerning the necessity of sustainable
investments.
6. Write a report or article for students magazine concerning these aspects.
7. Exemplify the applying knowledge aquired at this course in everyday life.
8. Make a proposal for a sustainable investment for a company in Romania.
Chapter 2
Introduction
Technical measures
Technical-time measures
Utilisation
Technical
Technical efficiency
Real machine capability
Technical Productivity
The Transformation Factor
Economical measures
Productivity as an economic measure
The value of technology
Ecological measures
Measures for ecosystems and land use
Measures for assessment of forests and pastures levels
Measures that take into account the biological diversity
Measures for water resources assessment
Atmosphere pollution and its effects on climate changes
Raw materials and energy resources
Technical-Economical measures
Quality as a technical-economical measure
Quality as a technical-economical-ecological measure
Flexibility as a technical-economical measure
Complex measures
The Transformation Factor as a complex technical, economical and
ecological measure
The economical assessment of the investment in production
processes by using the Transformation Factor
The ecological assessment of the investment in production processes
by using the transformation factor
The
technological-economical-ecological
measures:
The
Sustainability Factor
Benchmarking values for Sustainable Production Systems of
different industries
Conclusions
2.1 Introduction
In Chapter 1 it was mentioned that each branch of activities must become
sustainable at its turn to reach to the level of General Sustainability of an Economy.
Production plays an important role in this process.
The need for a sustainable production is obvious in many activities.
Therefore, appropriate measures to evaluate production systems, in actual
economical and environmental circumstances, are necessary.
Traditionally, measures to evaluate the performance of production systems have
been classified in technical measures and economical measures. These
performance measures are used in the evaluation of production systems. Also the
use of ecological (environmental) measures is proposed.
In some cases, these measures can't cover the evaluations especially concerning
new demands of society as: environment preservation, quality products, energy and
raw materials savings, flexibility according to market demand. Therefore, new
classes of measures as technical-economical measures, technical-ecological
measures, economical-ecological measures and technical-economicalecological measures are demanded in order to assess properly the complex
problem of sustainability. The Transformation Factor (Ad de Ron, 1994) seems to
be a sollution in a multi-disciplinary assessment of sustainable production systems.
In this chapter, the possibility of applying such measures is taken into
consideration.
2.2 Technical measures
The technical measures which describe the performance of production systems are
related with factors such as: time, effectiveness, utilization, efficiency and
capability.
2.2.1 Technical-time measures
Refering to periods that occurs during operations: these are:
- the considered period (the time interval that the production system is observed);
- the available period (the sum of various time intervals established by technical,
legal and industrial regulations);
- the operational period (the part from available period characterised by planned
or previously known interruptions);
- the production period (the sum of remaining time intervals from the operational
period, considering machinery starting, stopping, cleaning etc.);
- the effective production period (the sum of all time intervals during which
production really occurs).
(2.1)
Technical effectiveness
The effectiveness of the i-th machine could be expressed (de Ron 1994) as:
Ei =
where Ei
Qst,i
Qme,i
Qrm,i
Qor,i
Qrj,i
(2.2)
As the relation 2-2 underlines, the effectiveness of the i-th machine depends of the
production loss due to various downtimes. The shorting till eliminating the
downtimes will influence positively the production volume. Meanwhile, the
production rate should be known and constant.
2.2.2 Utilisation
The utilisation Ui of the i-th machine given by Florentin and Omachonu (1989,
1991), and analysed by de Ron (1994), is presented under the following form:
Ui =
Te,i
Tae,i
(2.3)
where Te,i
= effective production period,
Tae,i = apparent effective production period.
The performance of machine number "i" is defined by the authors (Florentin,
Omachanu, De Ron) as being:
P = i Ui
where
Tae,i
Tp,i
(2.4)
(2.5)
Pmpc =
1 N
1 N
1 N T
Pi = ( i Ui ) = ( e,i )
N i =1
N i =1
N i =1 Tp,i
(2.6)
This relation (2.6) underlines the fact that the machine performance represents the
fraction of the production period during which effective production occurs. It has
the disadvantage that the disqualified products are not represented, nor the impact
of the production over environment.
2.3 Technical
2.3.1 Technical efficiency
Two types of measures characterise the machine performance (after Wilts, 1993):
the operational efficiency (OE) and the production efficiency (PE), as follows:
OE =
Te
To
(2.7)
PE =
Te
Tp
(2.8)
MCE =
where: Ts
N
To,n
Tw
Tm
Ts + N To,n
Ts + N To + Tq + Tw + Tm
(2.9)
= set-up time
= number of parts
= operation time per part
= wait time
= movement time of the materials during fabrication process
PCE =
where: Ts
To,n
Tw
Tm
Ts
Ts + To,n + Tw + Tm
(2.10)
= set-up time
= operation time per part
= wait time
= movement time of the construction machinery from one place to
another
The difference between the 'on flow' production process which characterize mass
production of comodities and 'in situ' construction works which characterize the
building industry, rely on the fact that if on 'on flow' industrial processes the
machinery are fixed and the materials (to be processed)are in movement, for the
construction works the machinery are in movement and the materials are fixed.
Could be underlined the fact, that, the building industry has both 'on flow'
production processes (to make the component parts of the houses), and 'in situ'
works to prepare the place and assemble the component parts in order to construct
the building.
In the specific case of housing production, as the cyclic (for component parts
production) and non-cyclic processes (for in-situ building works), are coexistent,
the 'Total Manufacturing (Production) Efficiency' will be represented by the sum
between (2-9) and (2-10).
(2.11)
Qrmc = Qrs E =
where
Te
(Qst Qr,st )
Tst
To Tcs Te
=
represents the time ratio,
To
To
(2.12)
(2.13)
and,
To
Tcs
and
Te
Qrs
Qrs =
and
To Qst
Tst
(2.14)
The disadvantage of this mesure is that, is not very specific according to defined
standard quantities, and therefore the possibilities of applying it are limited.
2.3.3 Technical Productivity
In the technical literature, one can find definitions and assumptions about
productivity, which shows different points of view, related to specific domains as
technical and economical fields.
In general, the productivity is expresed by a ratio between two factors from which,
one is time.
In the case of technical productivity, the ratio is between quantity of work and the
time to succed it as it shows the relation of Bardescu, Zafiu and Bnacu (1982,
1984, 1992):
where Qw
Tc
i =1
j =1
Pteh =
Qw
Tc
Pteh =
Qw
60 Tc
Pteh =
Qw
3600 Tc
ki k j
n
i =1
j =1
i = 1...n j = 1...m
ki k j
n
i =1
j =1
ki k j
(2.15)
Tc = tk = t1 + t2 + t3 + + tr ,
(2.16)
k =1
= k1 k2 k3 kn
(2.17)
i =1
= k1 k2 k3 km
(2.18)
j =1
PROCESS
material
flow
product
flow
-manufacturing,
-assembling
OUTPUT
-qualified products
-disqualified products,
-waste,
-emissions
Figure 2.1 A model for considered production systems (adapted from de Ron, 1994)
Therefore, considering M (t) as the mass accumulated in the system, Fm,in the
material input flow and Fm, out (t) the product output flow, and using the well
known equation from physics, relation (2.19),
dM (t )
= Fm ,in (t ) Fm.out (t )
dt
(2.19),
(2.20)
dM (t ) = [F
m , in
(t ) F m , q (t ) F m , d (t )]dt
(2.21)
(2.22),
De Ron (1994) consider that, in a long term, a stable system can not have any
inventory accumulation. Therefore, he considers the period T as being so large that
the storage term can be neglected (a structural or long-term storage is not
considered). So, the equation (2.22) becomes:
T
F m , q (t )dt = F m , in dt
F (t )dt
m ,d
(2.23)
If we take into account the effective production period Te, equation (2.23)
becomes:
T
Te
F (t )dt = F
m ,q
Te
m ,in
dt Fm ,d (t )dt
(2.24)
De Ron (1994) starts with the assumption of an ideal situation, that all the input
flow is transformed completely into qualified products during the considered
period T, so,
T
F (t )dt
m ,in
0
T T
lim
F (t )dt
= lim [1 + (t )] = 1
(2.25)
m , qm
where:
T
(2.26)
Te
Te
F
m, q T = Fm, qm Te Fm, d Te
(2.28)
By this equation, de Ron (1994) proved that, the maximum output flow of qualified
products, the otput flow of disqualified products and the effective production
period are independent variables.
The superscript ^ indicates the average value, defined by :
1 T
Fm ,q = lim Fm,q (t )dt
T T
(2.29)
E=
F
F
m, qm Fm, d
m, q
=
Fm,qm
Fm,qm
where E (0,1)
(2.30)
The equation (2.30) underlines the fact that the fraction of disqualified products
influences the effectiveness, so the effectiveness can be used as a measure for the
quality of production systems.
By using the effectiveness, the transformation factor TF could be obtained:
T
(t ) dt
(t ) dt
m,q
TF =
= E
0
T
m , qm
Te
T
(2.31)
or
TF = E
(2.32)
where is the ratio between the average effective production period and the
considered period T:
T
e
T
(2.33)
The transformation factor is related directly to the activities of the shop floor as is
expressed in terms which are familiar to the shop floor and the operational
departments: the effective production period, that means the period that production
really occurs and the effectiveness, the percentage of qualified products.
The transformation factor is a new performance measure, directly related with the
production strategy from quality-flexibility-recyclability point of view.
We could consider it as a measure of sustainability of the production systems.
The area of application of the transformation factor theory could be enlarged, due
mainly to its interdisciplinary character (technology-economy, technologyenvironment, economy-ecology, technology-economy-ecology). The way of
application will be presented further in this study.
2.5 Economical measures
The economical measures which describe the performance of production systems
are related with factors as: costs, profits, economical productivity, economical
efficiency.
2.5.1 Productivity as an economic measure
The Organization for European Economic Co-operation (O.E.E.C 1950) defined
productivity as the quotient obtained by dividing output (number, quantity of
products) by one of the factors of production (capital, labour, machinery systems
and equipments, raw materials and energy) with consideration to production-costs
and labour-time costs.
Craig and Harris (1973) define the economic productivity as being the ratio
Pec =
where: Pec
C1
Cc
Cr
Cm
Rt
Rt
C1 + Cc + Cr + Cm
(2.34)
= total productivity
= labour costs during a considered period
= capital costs during a considered period
= raw material and purchased parts costs during a considered
period
= other miscellaneous goods and services costs during a considered
period
= total output during the considered period
If total productivity index is less-equal than 1.0 the firm breaks even. A total
productivity index larger than 1.0 means that the company is making a profit.
If profit is included in the output it means that a productivity index using this
output is not an independent measure, because profit directly influences
productivity, which means that activities which are not a result of production may
increase or reduce the productivity.
The main disadvantages of using productivity as an economic measure (in the
actual form) are related to the leak of concordance between productivity and other
factors as quality, flexibility or environment preservation.
Few tempts has been carried out by Craig and Harris (1973), and developed by Son
(1987), following the issues:
- productivity measures must be improved to properly account for the
characteristics of flexible manufacturing systems and to predict and estimate
future manufacturing activities,
- quality and flexibility should be considered in measuring overall manufacturing
performance,
- relationship between productivity, quality and flexibility need to be examined,
- current capital budgeting procedures need to be expanded to incorporate the
benefits of improved quality, flexibility and productivity achieved from
investments in new manufacturing technologies.
Therefore, the ideea of finding new integral performance measures, which are able
to take into consideration the technical assessment with economical audit was
advanced by Son (1987).
Son (1987) showed that factors as productivity, quality and flexibility must be
interrelated each other in a single measure.
Productivity
Labour
Capital
Material
Overhead
Quality
Process
Product
Flexibility
Equipment
Product
Process
Market, consumer, demand
Figure 2.2 The integral performance measure combines the total productivity,
the total quality and the total flexibility (adapted from De Ron, 1994)
means and how could be applied into practice. It means in fact the permanent need
of the society for improved products towards quality.
The measure for quality indicates the degree of perfection in making products.
The quality products are characterized by long-lasting use in various conditions
(in daily use, climate/weather changing conditions etc.), without a complicated
maintenance, with a proper design according to the customers taste, and having a
environmental friendly behaviour (easy recyclable and reusing).The quality
products are made by quality materials, that means that the embedded raw
materials, processed materials and energy, are used with maximum efficiency.
Sons (1987) defines the product quality as the degree of excellence of finished
products, expressed in terms of failure costs that indicate loss due to failure or
finished products to meet quality standards by both the company and its customers:
QP =
Rt
Cf
(2.35)
QS =
Rt
Cp
(2.36)
the adequate machinery and equipments (with a good technical condition and
following the quality production standards and regulations requirements),
the quality control systems during all production stages (measurement control
devices and methodes),
the quality informatic systems (accurate data bases, expert systems, software,
hardware support) for production processes,
the quality communications systems to provide fast and accurate connections
with suppliers and customers (telematics technologies could become a viable
sollution in the perspective future).
An observation has to be made:
Son (1987) shows (as it was previously presented), that are two different types of
quality measures: process quality and product quality.
Therefore, he defines the total quality QT for the considered period as:
1
1
1
=
+
QT QS QP
or
QT =
Rt
Cp + C f
(2.37)
We say that, in fact, are four different types of quality measures to be considered:
process quality, product quality, environment-friendly product quality and
environment-friendly process quality.
2.7.2 Quality as a technical-economical-ecological measure
The environment-friendly product and process quality represent the ability of
the product and production processes to be well-recepted by the environment.
The items as: recycling-ability (recyclability) and reuse-ability (reuseability) of the
products must be considered as key factors of quality. According to the new legal
regulations towards environment preservation, the producers have the obligation to
receive from the customers the products made by them (after the life-cycle of the
products expired) and recycle them. Therefore, the costs of recycling of the
products must be included in the initial design costs of the products. The costs of
recycling influence the level of quality too, because the standards of quality must
be achieved without affecting the environment. So, the quality of the design for
both product and technology, become crucial for the quality of the product and also
for the quality of the process.
The environment-friendly product quality is the degree of a product to be reused
(parts of it), or recycled, expressed in terms of recycling costs and environment
preservation costs, to meet all quality standards for customer, company and
environment care.
QPenv =
where: QPenv
Rt
Cenv
Cdis
Crec
Cire
Rlt
Cdis + Crec + Cire + Cenv
(2.38)
Cire = c pi + Cm
i =1
(2.39)
and
n
pi
= c p1 + c p2 + c p3 + + c pn
i =1
(2.40)
where:
cpi
i
Cm
QSenv =
Rt
Ciat + Crat + Cenvp + Crql
(2.41)
where:
QSenv = environment-friendly process quality
Rt
= total output in money-value during the life time period of
industrial facilities,
Crat
= Costs of replacing of actual technologies with non polluting
ones (environmental-friendly ones),
n, m , o
n, m , o
n, m , o
n, m , o
i =1
j =1
k =1
i, j , k =1
i, j , k =1
i, j , k =1
i , j , k =1
k w i, j , k
ksi, j,k
kai, j,k
ei , j , k
(2.42)
where:
n
iat
i =1
jat
j =1
o
kat
k =1
n, m , o
i , j , k , =1
wi, j,k
n, m , o
i , j , k , =1
si, j,k
n, m , o
i , j , k , =1
ai, j,k
n, m , o
ei, j,k
For example, if the water sewing system of a plant has water leaks, let's say 25 %
(0.25), and the system is considered not to have water leaks at value 100 % (1.00),
then kwi1 (coefficient for degree of affection of the installation 1, for example),
will be:
kwi1 =1- 1/4 =3/4 . Results kwi1 = 0.75
As a conclusion, we should underline the ideea that quality of the product should
means both superior technical characteristics of it and environment-friendly
behaviour. Also the process, as a main polluting agent, could reach to a quality
level (reflected especially in benefits from indirect costs shortage, which usually
were not considered), only by taking technical and organizational measures.These
measures are proposed to be applicable in order to isolate and eliminate polluting
factors and to promote pollution free production technologies. But, as things can't
be changed over the night, a strategy to link the quality of processes and products
to environmental present and future demands is necessary.
Therefore, starting from the reality of the moment, the strategy can take into
consideration the next two situations:
- the present situation in which the existent products and production processes
must be adapted to the present and future needs of the customer, producer and
environment, in order to fulfil existent and future legal environmental
regulations and quality technical standards,
- the future situation in which the products and processes, without compromising
their quality technical performance will be designed from now on, in order to
respect legal environmental regulations frame in the field of quality preservation
of environment.
2.7.3 Flexibility as a technical-economical measure
Son (1987) defines four different types of flexibility: equipment flexibility, product
flexibility, process flexibility and demand flexibility.
We think that there are in fact five types of flexibility: product flexibility, process
flexibility, machinery flexibility, demand flexibility and environmental flexibility.
Equipment flexibility is measured by Son (1987) in terms of idle costs-the
opportunity costs for machine under utilisation, meaning the opportunity for the
machine to add value to raw materials:
FM =
Rt
Ci
where:
FM = the machine flexibility
Ci = the idle costs of the machine during the considered period
( 2.43)
Fs =
Rt
Cw
(2.44)
where:
FS= process flexibility
Cw= the waiting costs during the considered period
The demand flexibility is measured by Son in terms of inventory costs with the
formula:
FD =
Rt
Cj
(2.45)
where:
FD = demand flexibility
Cj = inventory costs
The total flexibility is given by Son as follows:
or
1
1
1
1
1
=
+
+
+
FT FM FS FP FD
(2.46)
Rt
Cw + Ci + Cs + C j
(2.47)
FT =
1
1
1
1
=
+
+
IMP PT QT FT
(2.48)
or
IMP =
Rt
C1 + Cr + Cc + Cm + C p + C f + Ci + Cw + Cs + C j
(2.49)
1
IMP
=
PT 1 + PT + PT
FT QT
(2.50)
1
IMP
=
FT 1 + FT + FT
PT QT
1
IMP
=
QT
QT
QT 1 +
+
PT FT
(2.51)
(2.52)
This shows that, even the derivatives are positive, which implies that if PT
increases, so does IMP, the supposition that productivity, quality and flexibility
have a reducing influence upon performance is wrong.
The conclusion is that using actual type of measures, the estimations could have a
certain degree of inaccuracy leading to wrong investment decisions in new
technologies.
Therefore, dynamic measures, capables of estimating the production systems in
their continously action and interaction with the environment, are required.
2.8 Complex measures
In this chapter was presented the Transformation Factor as a technical measure for
industrial processes. It proved to be a new measure capable of estimating the
dynamism and the complexity of the production systems taking into account new
issues as demanded environmental behaviour of the processes.
The complexity of such problems as the equilibrum product-process-market-natural
environment is asking for measures capable to be quite adaptive and flexible,
because, as we know, the processes are dynamic (not static as it was considered on
an idealistic way for theoretical definitions).
Therefore, a sollution is to enlarge the area of aplication of the Transformation
Factor as a dynamic measure, because all the processes and systems either
technical, economical and ecological (environmental) are dynamic, all the time in
continously change and movement.
(t )dt
(t )dt
mq
TFteh =
= E
0
T
mqm
Te
T
(2.53)
where:
TFteh = Transformation Factor to characterize technical aspects of the
process systems,
TFteh = f ( time);
T
= effective average time,
e
T
= time of process cycle (life cycle time in case of products),
E
= Economic Efficiency,
dt
= time variation (diferential)
It is obvious, that time as an independent variable, can establish a system of
references for the evaluation of the technical efficiency of production systems. In
this way, the Transformation Factor can be used as a complex measure of the
qualified flow of material used in a production process during a settled period of
time.
2.8.2 The economical assessment of the investment in production processes by
using the Transformation Factor
From the economical assessment point of view, is somehow much complex to
establish a relationship between the qualified flow of materials used in production
( p)dp
( p )dp
mq
TFeconomic =
= Ee
0
C
mq m
Pe
P
(2.54)
where:
TFeconomic = Transformation Factor to characterize economic aspects of
the process systems,
TFeconomic = f (price, costs), where price = f (market demand, resource
availability), and resource availability = f (time: exausting
time, lifecycle time)
Ee
= economic efficiency, show the capacity of making profit,
Dp
= price variation (diferential),
Pe
= effective average price,
P
= price related profit.
If someone asks, how could be measured the quality of the products, the answer
rely on: durability (function of time measured by experimental tests), market
demand continuity (function of the time the product is desirable), flexibility
(product-including design-required time to be technically adapted to new tastes of
the customer), recyclability (necessary time to be recycled), reusability of the most
component parts (depending of the lifecycle time).
This assumptions suppose that quality is, in fact, function of different amounts of
time, related to the full life cycle (of the product toward human consumer and
environment).
The conclusion is that a real quality product is a sustainable product.
Q
mq
TFeco log ic =
(q ) dq
= Eec
0
Q
mqm
(q )dq
Q e
Q
(2.55)
where:
TFecologic = Transformation Factor to characterize Ecologic aspects of
process systems,
TFecologic = f (quality of process and product), quality = f (lifecycle of the
product, time of full recovery, time of full absorbance by
environment)
Eec
= ecologic efficiency of process and product
Q
e
Q
Dq
We call the ratio Qe/Q the Reconversion Factor to caracterize the capability of the
products to be easy recyclable and the capability of process to be easy reconverted
(demolished, changed, modernized) to fulfil the environmental regulation. As it
was mentioned in 2.5.2 the proposed concept of quality must be related with the
capability of products and processes to face the environmental demands.
So, the Reconversion Factor is given by the following relation:
Qe
Q
(2.56)
(2.57)
0
T
0
C
TC
00
TC
00
Te
P
E economic e
T
P
(2.58)
The time ratio and the price ratio (from 2.58) could give informations about the
productivity and of the capability of making profit of the selected process system.
Results that the general relation for technical-economical (dynamic) assessment of
production processes is given by the relation:
(2.59)
0
T
0
Q
TQ
00
TQ
00
(2.60)
resulting:
(2.61)
and
- The Aggregation Transformation Factor economic ecologic as being:
0
C
0
Q
CQ
00
CQ
00
(2.62)
resulting:
Pe
Q
E eco log ic e
P
Q
(2.63)
in which the ratio Pe/P shows of the process systems of making profit in the
conditions of quality (the ratio Qe/Q) according to quality definition for products
and processes.
From equation 2.63 results
(2.64)
SF =
0
C
0
Q
mqm
T CQ
mq
0 0 0
T CQ
mqm
0 0 0
(2.65)
From this equation results that>
SF = E techno log ic
Te
P
Q
E economic e E eco log ic e
T
P
Q
(2.66)
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
PRODUCTIVITY
0.5
INDEX (P)
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.6
0.4
0.2
RECONVERSION
CAPABILITY:
RECYCLABILITY,
REUSABILITY,
FLEXIBILITY.
0.8
EFFECTIVENESS (E)
A: mass production, high productivity, one product, low quality, low reconversion
capability,
B: mass production, high productivity, one product, high quality, high reconversion
capability,
C: mass production, low productivity, various products, medium quality, medium
reconversion capability,
D: mass production, low productivity, various products, low quality, high
reconversion capability.
The areas A, B, C, D indicate different investment production circumstances.
For example the industries situated in area A, have a high productivity because
which make one product (make means less stoppages caused by set-ups), but the
quality of the product is low (the price of the product is low) and the reconversion
capability is also low because of the product's inability for dismatling and recycling
processes. The end-product is characterized by non-reusable components due to
low quality of materials and finishing.
The industries situated in area B are characterized by a high productivity and a high
quality of the product, with a high reconversion capability. The product is
characterized by aspects as: easy dismatling, recyclable component materials,
reusable component parts (where necesary) and flexibility in design, according to
the customer's demand. Although, in actual production circumstances, the costs of
such products is still high because of the initial costs of the recycling strategy's
implementation. The problems are related with the new requested design for
products in concordance with the environment preservation demand imposed by
legislation. The new (environmental) product design could impose to the
production firm the development of an appropiate strategy meaning investments in
new types of production and recycling machinery, the aquisition of adequate
component materials, either raw or processed.
The industries situated in area C are characterized by a variety of products with an
average quality, but the productivity to obtain these products is low (many
stoppages and interruptions caused by changing of products, inappropriate tools
and machinery usage, low qualification of the personnel). The using of
non-adequate component materials and a complicated design which don't allow an
easy disassembling and dismatling, give a low reconversion capability to the
products.
Many actual production systems are situated in D area, characterized by the
production of various products, getting a low productivity due to many set-ups and
stoppages. The quality of the products is low to medium and getting a low
reconversion capability (a complicated design using a large variety of heavy
recyclable materials).
In the future, the costs of such products is expected to rise, because of the new
environmental laws and regulations, which will make compulsory the recycling of
the products. In this way, the producers will be forced to find sollutions
(themselves or in conjunction with other specialised firms) to recycle its products.
The purpose toward the improvements of the actual production systems to satisfy
the ecological demand for clean products and technologies, challenge the producers
to find ways to reach from D, C and A areas in B area. Using this instrument, the
producers will notice their position on the market, will estimate their performance,
not just technical and economical, but also ecological. Benchmarking values for
different industries could be given.
2.11 Conclusions
In this chapter, the analytic measures for the evaluation of the sustainability state of
the production systems are presented.
The clasical technical measures are: time measures, effectiveness, utilisation,
operational and production efficiency, real machine capability, machine
performance, technical productivity and the Transformation Factor introduced by
de Ron (1994).
The economical measures which describe the performance of production systems
are related with factors as: costs, profits, economical productivity, economical
efficiency.
The ecological measures over the ecological impact of the production include
measures as 'current and natural primary production', change in land use (in %),
jobs per hectare, land production (anual production and value of products produced
related to land-use production surfaces), measures of emissions and changes in use
intensity (net emissions species used and years of use), impact of land use
(production emissions relationship in specific cases from urban/rural areas, using
as an indicator 'equivalent people using fossil fuels').
These measures can't cover full evaluations of the impact of the production
technologies over environment, especially concerning environment preservation
without affecting the quality for products, energy and raw materials saving,
product's flexibility in design according to customer's taste. Therefore, new classes
of measures as technical-economical measures, technical-ecological measures,
economical-ecological measures and technical-economical-ecological measures
are demanded in order to assess properly the complex problem of sustainability.
Quality assessment is important, both for product and technology, but taking into
account the environmental requirements. Product quality is obtained by process
quality. Son (1987) defines process quality as the ability of processes to make
qualified products with a small prevention costs. The environmetal preservation
requires a new type of standards of assesing quality for products and processes.
The environment-friendly product quality is the degree of product to be reused
(parts of it) or recycled, expressed in terms of recycling costs and environment
preservation costs, to meet both quality standards for customer, company and
environment care.
The environment-friendly process quality represents the capacity of the process
to make qualified products, taking into account the production process impact over
environment, during the life-time period of industrial facilities (buildings, plants,
deposits, machinery, equipments), considering, depending on the case, the existent
technologies or the future alternatives to the existent technologies:
The method of aggregation for the Transformation Factor in different contexts
(technical, economical, ecological) is useful to obtain new complex measures as
the Reconversion Factor and the Sustainability Factor.
The ratio Qe/Q is the Reconversion Factor which caracterize the capability of the
products to be easy recyclable and the capability of process to be easy reconverted
(demolished, changed, modernized) to fulfil the environmental regulation.
The Sustainability based Transformation Factor could use the benchmarking
techniques in order to ilustrate the evollution/development/regression of production
systems taking into account the technical, economical and ecological aspects.
The mathematical relation which exprime the Sustainability Factor is ilustrated in a
3D benchmarking system, which allows the assessment of the position of the
production firm.
By following comparisons between various products obtained by different
production systems, strategic decisions (both macroeconomics and
microeconomics) related with the most adequate design of the products and
production system to reach to the Sustainability state are easy to implement.
Chapter 3
Investments in sustainable
products, the life-cycle approach
Motto: Think in an environmental way before
investing and you will have a future
The life-cycle assessment for products and processes; a technical,
economical, ecological overview
Life-Cycle Technical Analyses (LCTA)
Life-Cycle Technical Analyses (LCTA) for products
Life-Cycle Technical Analyses for production processes
Methodology of assessment of life cycle process
normative
evaluation
steady state relative:
life-cycle
mutual
analysis
"product"
comparisons
dynamic life- relative:
cycle
mutual
analysis
scenarios
comparisons
dynamic life- absolute:
cycle
scenarios
analysis
comparisons
with an
normative
level
energy level
material level
service level
Moll identified six stages in the life cycle of products related to services and the
energy and materials resources:
1. The supply stage, where the material and energy production is the relevant
parameter and the ratio of the actual production to a sustainable production level
(the yield index) in the case of a renewable resource or the ratio of actual
production to the resource base (the reserve index) in the case of the exhaustible
resources;
2. At the demand stage, the consumption of goods and services is the relevant
parameter. It is related to the growth, maintain, decline and substitution of the
product's demand on the market;
3. The usage stage is determined by the economic lifetime of the products
concerned, taking into account the energy and materials for maintenance and
spare parts for repairing;
4. The waste stage concerns the collection and treatment of disposed substances
5. The secondary supply stage concerns the production of the materials derived
from waste flows;
6. The environmental stage, concerns the transport and diffusion of substances
disposed from the production system/human, through the environmental
compartments.
LCA = LTA i , j
i =1 j =1
(3.1)
where:
LCA = Life-cycle assessment of products,
LTA = Life-time assessment of products and processes, i = activity, j = process of
evolution of the product from "cradle to grave"
Let's consider that, for making a product, two distinctive sources of energy are
available: primary embedded energy (from conventional sources-coal, fuel, gas,
hydropower) and secondary embedded energy (resulted from waste processing).
A mathematical relationship dealing with the embedded energy is expressed as it
follows:
LTA E = LTA initE + LTA recE ,
(3.3)
in which LTA E
(3.4)
LTA reusedCP means the life-time assessment of the reused component parts and
includes the assessment of the necessary required time-amount of energy to make
the reusing technical feasible.
The life time of the product (itself) is referring to its usage period. Let's note
LTA P the life-time of the product during the usage period, from the date of
acquisition to the date of recycling. We have to consider the fact that the product
could have a physical usage period characterised by the loose in technical
performance or functionality and/or a moral usage period influenced by
technologies improvement and evolution (i.e. the case of computer industry, home
appliances industry, automotive industry).
n
So, LTA product = PUP k i MUP , where PUP is physical usage period and k are
i =1
the coefficients to characterise the moral usage period impact ( to quantify changes
in market demand due to technological/technical improvement, human taste/
behaviour, environmental pressure).
For example, in the eightees, a computer was designed to last for ten years, but
because of the average 30 % technological improvement rate / year, many models
became obsolete after three-four years, despite the fact there were functional from
the usage period point of view.
We also make the assumption that is important to consider specific LTA for
services. That includes LTA for logistics (storing, transporting), maintenance &
repairing and distribution.
A mathematical model is presented, as follows:
LTAServices = LTALogistics + LTAMa int anance&Re pairing + LTADistribution = LTAStocking + LTAtransporting + LTAMa int anance&Re pairing + LTADistribution
(3.5)
It is important to short
en
the time related with storing/transporting of the products. This could be done using
the logistics systems (storing and transportation), on every stage of the life cycle of
the product. If we classify the logistics systems into:
- high efficient (short time for storing, short time for transporting),
The "cycle" concept means a close loop. In reality, the LCA of products is an open
loop, regarding the amount of discarded materials that could not be reconverted
and are spread into environment.
Therefore, the future technologies, following the Design for Environment
principles (DFE), must reach the level in which the Nature itself participates at the
reconversion of wastes, in a constructive way.
The examples in Nature are numerous (i.e reef barriers). Although, some attempts
have already been done, by using wastes from industries to make new construction
materials, but the problem is related with the toxicity degree of some resulted
wastes, that even by reprocessing are human/environmental harmful.
Therefore, any LCA must take into account the estimated environmental absorption
time. I propose the term EALTA to define the Environmental-Absorption LifeTime Assessment for wastes resulted from discarded products that could not been
succeeded to be reused or recycled with actual technologies.
The technical LCA for products is presented as it follows:
As we've noticed, the methodology of technical LCA for products has 9 steps:
1. Raw materials and energy which includes the phases extracting, stocking,
transporting, processing,
2. Conceptual product which includes the phases: design, transporting processed
materials, stocking processed materials, manufacturing component parts,
stocking component parts, transporting component parts, distributing
component parts, remanufacturing component parts, assembling, stocking
(factory deposits)
3. Usage product: which includes the phases: transporting, distributing products,
customer usage, maintenance & repairing,
4. Discarded product that has the phases discarded products, stocking discarded
product, disassembling, dismantling discarded product,, separation of parts and
materials function of their reusability and reciclability,
5. Reconversion product that has the phases: the reusing of reliable component
parts, dismantling/shredding non-reliable component parts, reusing recuperated
recycled materials, reused parts stocking/transporting/distributing to industries
(reverse manufacturing), potential waste materials to be used as construction
materials separating/stocking/transporting, potential waste materials to be used
as secondary resources of energy stocking/transporting/distributing, nonrecycling waste material stocking/transporting.
6. Secondary materials & energy reusing (includes processing / reprocessing)
7. Waste residual materials to be processed and used in building industry as
constructions materials
8. Remnant waste . Residual wastes eliminated with actual technologies (that must
be revised, because they are themselves an irreversible source of pollution with
impresivisible consequences as: landfill works (ground-water affected),
underground stocking, incineration techniques (air and ozone layer affected),
deep ocean disposal (planetary ocean affected), cosmos disposal (space
affected).
9. Nature involved processes (that has to be developed): New technologies to
reconvert wastes into raw materials and energy resources by using the natural
environment system-mechanism of recycling (eco-bionic technologies).
As a conclusion regarding Life Cycle Technical Assessment of the product, we
should underline the existing fundamental contradiction between the technical
performance related usage time of a product made with primary materials and
components and the technical performance made partially (or totally) with
secondary materials and components.
The expression "primary materials and components" is referring to those materials
(raw or processed) and components, which are used for the first time in a process to
make products. The expression "secondary materials and components" is referring
to the reused materials and components resulted from discarded products recycling
technologies.
Therefore, a product consisting of new materials and components (of high quality),
will have a better performance related usage time comparing with products that
embeds secondary raw materials and components.
However, because of the fact that this solution has economical and ecological
advantages (low prices, limited pollution) it is expected that the production of
hybrid products embedding both new and reused components to be developed in all
industrial branches.
The initial life cycle of a product could be extended by reusing component parts
and materials. The problem is to find the optimum time of reusing, otherwise the
performance of the product will not be effective. The Environmental time-response
to wastes assimilation is important, and new processes to involve the Nature in
clean recycling are demanded.
Therefore, applying the proposed mathematical model:
n m
LCA = LTA i , j = LTA Materials + LTA Energy + LTA CP + LTA P + LTA Services + LTA DP + EALTA
i =1 j=1
(3.6)
a complete technical analyse of LCA for products could be done.
3.2.2 Life-Cycle Technical Analyses for production processes
We usually call " production process" the way of modifying the initial parameters
(physical, chemical, structural, dimensional) of materials using industrial assets
(installations, machinery, equipment, tools, control devices etc. located in specific
destined buildings) and using specific methods and techniques in order to obtain an
end-product on an industrial way.
Therefore, the LCTA for production processes must be considered as an instrument
of analysing the state of machinery, installations, equipment, tools etc. used in the
evolution in progress of the products, stage by stage, from the technical
performance related time of usage point of view.
n m
LCA process = LTA buildings,instalations ,machinery,equipments, tools = LTA RM &Eprocess + LTA Aprocess + LTA DAprocess
i =1 j=1
(3.7)
in which LCAprocess means the Life Cycle Assessment of the process, LTAbuildings,
means the life-time assessment of buildings, installations,
instalations, machinery, tools
machinery, tools and other equipment used in the process.
LTA RM&Eprocess means the lifetime analyse of machinery, installations etc. that are
used to extract, transport, stock, process and deliver converted raw materials into
LTA DAprocess means the life-time assessment of discarded assets used in the
process.
After productive life-time expiring, the assets (i.e. machinery are
dismantled/disassembled, the buildings are demolished/disassembled) are
following a recycling phase, by which, old components became new components
(reusing parts), for new assets (machinery, buildings, etc.), and resulted materials
from shredding become a new source of materials, either for the same (similar)
products or other products.
It is indubitable that the quality of such products is lower than the originals because
of the fact that the materials suffer a process of ageing-dematerialization caused by
the induced state of physical/chemical/structural stress as a result of their using.
For practical reasons, if we consider every asset (machinery, installations,
equipment, buildings), involved in the process as being an end-product of an
industry with its own life-time and we apply the theory developed at 3.1 for
products, it will be simple to have a close interrelationship between the life-time of
the products following its life cycle (from cradle to grave) and the life-time of
assets that make products (and their life-cycle).
It may seem difficult and probably a non-sense to do this, but the reason is, if we
want to change the processes in order to fulfill the environmental demand and also
to have a flexibility in production this kind of analyse is necessary.
Figure 3.2 Process inventory and the technical life cycle assessment of assets used
in the process
I define "the System Life Cycle" the life cycle of the system consisted of product
and process, each one being analysed separately, but the results of the analyses to
be assessed in a comparative way.
Many analyses regarding the life cycle of some products have already been done
(automobiles, refrigerators, telephones, TV sets, computers, food-margarine,
houses etc.), but the life cycle of specific processes to make those products havent
still been analysed, because of their complexity.
The question is: What shall we do with a process system (with its assets) which is
surpassed, overused, non-productive, or polluting? The examples are many:
abandoned facilities in Europe (i.e. France, Great Britain, Italy), USA etc. as a
consequence of technical, economical and ecological changes.
Lately, the production technologies (processes) have become complicated from the
point of view of the materials and composite materials used in making (industrial)
assets. Their recyclability is indubitably much more difficult than simple goods
recovery.
But, as we know from an old Chinese proverb, the longest journey starts with a
single step; applying the methods of LCA used previously to products (i.e.
automobiles), to every asset used in each stage of the process to make products, a
reliable answer could be done.
3.3 Methodology of assessment of life cycle process
We propose a methodology of assessment of process life cycle as follows:
A
1.
2.
3.
Branch identification
Industry
Energy
Constructions and Public works,
B
1.
2.
3.
4.
5
C
1.
2.
3.
5.
D
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
E
1.
2.
Machining operations
Drilling,
Milling,
4.
3
4
5.
Turning,
Blanking,
Others
F.
1.
2.
Logistics assessment
Storing (type of deposits, mechanised, non-mechanised),
Transporting (type of means: auto, railway, naval, aero)
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
H
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
I.
1.
2.
J.
1.
2.
L.
1.
2.
M. Sources of energy
- conventional:
1. Hydraulic power,
2. Coal
3.
4.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
N.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Fuel
Nuclear,
- non-conventional
Wind
Sun,
Hydrogen,
Waves
Others
Short term measures for assets improvement.
Replacing polluting / non-productive machinery (assets)
Replacing components of machinery considered to be polluting or large
consumers of materials / energy
Substitution of materials in the design of components considered to be
polluting or energy consumers,
Substitution of the energy sources considered to be polluting or non-efficient,
Quality control at all stages of the process
Chapter 4
The product life cycle costing a tool for feasible eco-products investments
Models
raw materials
acquisition costs
material
processing costs
energy
acquisition costs
production
(manufacturing
& assembly)
costs
logistics costs
usage & service
costs
discarding costs
recycling
(disassembly,
dismantling,
recycling) costs
improvement
costs for reused
components
disposal costs
environmental
costs
societal costs
cost of capital
research costs for
improving actual
products and
processes
research costs for
Design For
Environment of
new products and
processes
cost of patents
Traditional
Accounting
Cost Model
Cohan's
Model
Alting's
Model
Banacu's
Model
of the product/technology for producer and/or consumer, and indirect costs (related
with the value impact on environment and human society).
Other authors (Bailey 1991) identify four levels of costs related to Life Cycle Costs
Analysis:
1. Usual Capital and Operating costs, including buildings, equipment, materials,
labour, energy,
2. Hidden Regulatory Costs - costs for notification, reporting, permitting, testing,
training,
3. Contingent Liability Costs - can include penalties and legal claims, awards,
personal injuries.
4. Less tangible costs - by reducing pollution, the company can save costs.
The model presented by Bailey (1991) has the disadvantage of not making a clear
distinction between the costs of the company (investment costs, process costs,
logistics costs, marketing costs) and the product's costs (usage, maintenance,
repairing, recyclability) during product's life cycle, and, therefore, he didn't notice
important items as: needed costs for improvement of the product to be recyclable
in an appropriate way (the ability of the product to be remanufactured secondary
reusing of main component parts).
The Life Cycle Economical Assessment means also the financial flows analyses.
There are three financial flows:
Investment flow, characterise the capital investment into: Project Design of
product/process, acquisition of patents, assets acquisition/improvement
acquisition of raw materials and energy, materials processing, production,
manufacturing, marketing, maintenance/repairing, discarding/recycling,
environmental preservation, research toward environment. The continuity of
investments flows depends on the capacity of the company to have a
equilibrated balance sheet and to fulfil the environmental regulations.
Profit flows depend on the capacity of the company to have a clear vision of the
future concerning market demand for products and respecting at the same time
the environmental issues.
There are two categories of profits:
1. Direct Profit (DP), obtained as a result of product's commercial value on the
market.
Selling value of the product
(4.1)
Direct Profit =
>1
Investment Costs to develop the product
The Direct Profit (DP) depends on the ability of the company to be successfully on
the market from the point of view of selling its products (services).
The product life cycle costing a tool for feasible eco-products investments
The selling value of the products = the total costs + taxes + company's profit.
The Investment Costs to develop the product means capital costs + design costs +
(raw) materials & energy costs + process costs + marketing costs.
2. The Indirect Profit (IP), obtained as a result of product's environmental value.
Indirect Profit =
(4.2)
The Indirect Profit (IP), depends on the ability of the company to low its Eco- taxes
levels, due to the state institutions by an Environmental Friendly behaviour. That
means to develop product/processes with as more as possible material/energy
reconversion capabilities, to minimise its energy and primary materials
consumption, to encourage its employees toward an environmental behaviour.
We need to corelate our investments in products with the environmental
regulations (i.e. national and EU regulations and directives towards recycling).
Therefore, The re-usage, reconversion value of the product means the value of
components materials and energy resulted by dismantling/disassembling/recycling
of products.
The total costs to preserve environment/product are affecting the company in an
indirect way, by the level of Eco-Taxes which have to be paid. The total costs to
preserve the environment include costs with repairing the environmental damages
caused by industries, developing research focusing recycling for products,
"greening" actual industries, developing technologies to preserve the environment,
education of the people for an environmental behaviour.
If a company from Romania wants to survive economically in the future
competiton in EU, should adapt its management and technologies, by encouraging
the reusing of secondary materials and components resulted from discarded
materials, and to invest in research toward environmental preservation.
The costs of Environmental Preservation are never too high because it means the
costs of Eco-System Survival on this planet, therefore the Indirect Profit for a
Company is its right to exist.
Eco-Taxes flows are a stimulating instrument imposed by the state organisms to
encourage both people (product users) and companies (producers) to have an
environmental-efficient behaviour. Investing in Environment preservation
means, in fact, investing in future.
The Life Cycle Economical Assessment lay-out scheme is presented in the figure
4.1.
The product life cycle costing a tool for feasible eco-products investments
2.
4.
5.
A reliable way of assessment starts with a systemic approach (figure. 4.1), in which
three main interactive systems, separated by imaginary boundaries are identified:
- product system's life cycle
- process system's life cycle,
- environmental system (echo-system)
The product system's life cycle impact on environment is done by the polluting
emissions to water, air, soil during its stages: raw material extracting, processing,
product manufacturing, product storing/transporting, product maintaining, product
discarding.
The product life cycle costing a tool for feasible eco-products investments
(4.3)
resource
and
depletion (kg yr 1 ) =
Guinee shows that for raw material extraction, an equivalent abiotic or biotic
resource is consumed. Therefore, he proposes the relationships:
1
equivalent abiotic use(u ref ) = ADPresource (u ref u res ) extraction res (u res )
resource
(4.5)
and
1
equivalent biotic use (u ref ) = BDPres (u ref u res ) extraction res (u res )
resource
(4.6)
(4.7)
and
BDP= biotic depletion potential, given by the relationship
(4.8)
The definition of the ADP contains the production instead of the deaccumulation
rate, as abiotic resources are assumed to have zero regeneration.
The up mentioned relationships allow a feasibility analyse of raw materials
(resources) needed to make products, considering not only the extract quantity, but
also the equivalent consumed energy (gas, fuel etc.) to extract the products.
Stage 2 Raw materials processing; secondary materials reprocessing. The
polluting emissions that could be identified at this stage are noxious, leakage of
solid, liquid, gas, materials during technological process, caused by:
old or overused assets (machinery, installations, equipment), which allows
leaks of materials, steam, noxes during the technological process,
bad conception design of the process,
the absence of environmental safe control systems and anti-polluting equipment,
low-qualified personnel.
Most of the pollution emissions are during the transporting/storing phases
(especially bulk materials), or of thermal processes.
The measures of limiting/avoiding the pollution are mainly technical (overused
machinery replacement, filter systems adding, control of materials at all stages of
the processes).
In the case of new investments for developing the processes, an environmental risk
analyse is demanded.
Stage 3 Product manufacturing/assembling. The principal causes of pollution
caused in a production process are related with the level of technology used in the
process, degree of usage of assets (machinery, installations etc.), type of materials
to be processed/re-processed, type of energy resource used (coal, gas, fuel, electric,
hydrogen), irresponsible behaviour of some employees, inadequate storing/
transporting of (bulk, liquid, gas) materials.
The product life cycle costing a tool for feasible eco-products investments
4.
5.
6.
7.
the checking of product's utility/demand on the market, taking into account the
environmental aspects, and its substitution possibilities,
the checking of product/process design, following the environmental
regulations and standards,
the introduction of quality control measurements (process parameters,
environment parameters) system-devices for every stage in the technical
chain,
the checking and adding (where are missing), of environmental safety
equipment and installations in the process chain (i.e. filters for noxious, liquid
separators, energy preservers, recovery loops). Informatics systems are
considered to make part of the process, for their utility/power of fast data
analysing and transmitting.
the checking and repairing/replacement of damaged water/heating supply
systems,
the replacement of overused / high consumption system machinery,
the (re)qualification/education of the labour toward environmental behaviour.
Measures as: material stimulation/penalties are considered as part of
environmental human-behaviour management.
Stage 5 Discarded Product : After its usage life time ends, the product becomes a
discarded product, so it starts a reverse process with the phases: dismantling,
disassembling, separating reusable parts, extracting toxic substances/materials,
shredding the remaining parts, separating reusable materials and wastes.
The reusable parts and materials become "secondary" component parts and
materials for other products life cycles.
The wastes are also separated into "useful" wastes (will be used as energy resource)
for other processes, and "useless" wastes (could be toxic or non-toxic) that will be
"hidden" into the environment.
The complexity of the recycling technologies depends of the complexity of the
material structure of the product, and of the structure of the product itself.
Composite materials were a technical solution in the seventies and eighties, when
substitution of materials and energy were considered to be environmental
problems, but their recyclability came to become a problem in the nineties, because
the actual shredding techniques could separate ferrous materials from non-ferrous
materials but can't separate different sorts of plastics/ceramics embedded in the
same material by physical or chemical processes.
A great attention must be paid to the fact that some recycling technologies have a
backside effect. For example, the incineration of waste is itself a source of air
pollution; the waste land filling could affect the quality of the ground water. A
solution is to find means and ways, following the Nature model-bionic
technologies to reconvert the wastes in materials and energy resources.
4.3 Product life-cycle human social impact assessment
Usually, the life-cycle of products is regarded in technical literature as dealing with
the technical aspects (usage life-times, reconversion life-time, technical
performance/usage life-times, utility, functionality, maintainability, flexible design
etc.), economical aspects (costs, financial flows etc.), ecological aspects (impact
degree on environment, re-usability, recyclability, energy consumption decreasing/
substituting etc.).
But the Life-Cycle Assessment of products and processes must also take into
consideration social factors as: number of jobs created/disappeared related with the
life-cycle of the products/processes (from raw materials & energy extraction stage
to re conversion of products), quality of life related with the amount of disposal
waste/cycle stage, number of houses (shelters) that could be built from waste
recycled materials, education/qualification for environment, ageing people's needs
The product life cycle costing a tool for feasible eco-products investments
related with their power of consumption, health-care costs and optimum life cycle
of the products/processes.
4.4 Conclusions
The life cycle assessment of products and processes is an important part of any
feasibility study that deals with sustainable production concepts implemention in
existing industries.
Chapter 4 The life-cycle assessment for product differ of technical, economical,
ecological overviewFour distinctive analyses either for products and/or processes
are possible:
1) Life-Cycle Technical Analyses (LCTA)
2) Life-Cycle Economical Assessment (LCEcA) deals with the costs related time
aspects of the product in its life cycle from raw materials stage to reuse/
recycled discarded product and the costs of manufacturing/remanufacturing,
3) Life-Cycle Environmental Assessment (LCEnvA) deals with the degree of
impact related time aspects of the product and its production technology on
environment and the available time to remove the consequences,
4) Life-Cycle Social Analyses (LCSocA) deals with the social related time
consequences of products and technologies appearing, evolution, changing,
reconverting and disappearing .
The life-cycle technical assessment is a sum of reliable life-time usage of products
and processes (times of the products to be manufactured/assembled/recycled).
We distinguish different LTAs for each stage of product's development, from
design, raw materials and energy till the final product in its last phase of
reconversion/re-manufacturing.
It is important to find solutions in which the environment to be used as a clean
(natural) process to assimilate and transform the wastes according to human need
for energy or material resources.
The System Life Cycle is the life cycle of the system consisting of product and
process, each one being analysed separately, but the results of the analyses to be
assessed in a comparative way.
Many analyses regarding the life cycle of some products have already been done
(automobiles, refrigerators, telephones, TV sets, computers, food-margarine,
houses etc.), but the life cycle of specific processes to make that products were not
still been analysed, because of their complexity. As a general conclusion, the idea
is to interrelate the life cycle of the product with the life cycle of the process,
considering the assets also as products.
There are many abandoned facilities in Europe (i.e. France, Great Britain, Italy),
USA etc. as a consequence of technical, economical and ecological changes. What
shall we do with these assets ?
Chapter 5
INVESTMENTS
IN SUSTAINABLE
PRODUCTION FOR HOUSING;
DESIGNING
THE METHODOLOGY
FOR IMPLEMENTATION
Introduction
Sustainable industrial production for housing; The concepts and
definitions
Market influences on housing industry
The house as a product
Processes for housing; needed conditions for sustainability
Production management for housing
Actors of the housing industry
Building a methodology for Sustainable Housing Production
The background
The life-cycle analyse for housing
The recycling-housing technologies between demolishing and
deconstructing
The feasibility analyse of production processes for housing
Conclusions
5.1 Introduction
It is a fact that the Sustainable Production Concepts is already applied in some
industries as automotive manufacturing industry, home appliance manufacturing
industry (the "green" refrigerators, the "green" telephone, the "green TV sets),
industry
automobiles
manufacturing
home-appliances
product
- automobiles
- engines
(lubricants)
- refrigerators
industry
- washing
machines
- TV sets,
VCRs
- telephone
birotics
-laser printers
appliances
-computers
packaging
buildings &
architecture
food industry
construction
industry
(proposal)
health
-buildings,
energy aspects
-margarine
prod.
-sustainable
production for
housing
-medical
devices
reported cases
- AUDI-VW
(Germany),
-General Motors
(USA)
ICOMIABelgium
- Philips (The
Netherlands),
- Whirlpool
- PA Consulting
Group /
Cambridge
Laboratory (UK)
- Philips (The
Netherlands)
AT&T (USA)
assessor (year)
C. Tritsch (1993)
- Dow Plastics
Europe
- DEC (Germany)
O.Walkhoff (1992)
- TCW (The
Netherlands),
- Green Design
Associates
(USA)
- TUE (The
Netherlands)
- UTCB & ASE
(Romania)
- Technical
University
Berlin
R.L.Kimisch (1994)
P.van Donkelaar
(1992)
De Ron & K.Penev
(1994, 1995)
Giulio Ceppi (1992)
P. Seeney (1992)
De Ron (1995)
Sekutowski (1994)
R.Steinhilper (1992)
W.Sermon (1992)
P.C.F.Bekker (1980,
1991)
A.Derman (1992)
De Ron (1994)
Guinee (1995)
De Ron (1996),
P. Schmid (1996)
C. Banacu (!996),
T. Simonsohn (1992)
Industry
Product
Housing
House
automotive
automobile
homeappliances
refrigerators,
5-8 years
washing
machines, TV
sets, VCRs etc.
computers,
3-5 years
printers, copiers,
fax machines
officeappliances
10 years
Component
Materials
concrete, glass,
wood, plastics,
metals, ceramics,
composite
materials resulted /
non resulted from
waste processing,
adhesives (organic
and non-organic)
metals, plastic,
glass, ceramics,
composite
materials
plastic, composite
materials, metals
plastic, composite
materials, metals
Recyclability of
the
products
using present
technologies
minimum to
medium
25 %
medium to
maximum
75 % to 90 %
(source BMW)
90 % / 35 kg
(source:
K.Penev & de
Ron)
85 %
As it could be seen in the table 5.2., the recyclability in the housing industry is still
low . The main reason: technical, economical and social reluctance.
5.2 Sustainable Industrial Production for Housing;
The concepts and definitions
In the housing industry, the interest concerning environmental aspects appeared
since the seventies, following the world energy crise. At that time, it concerned
much the energy consumption for housing as an ready-made product, the ways to
improve the isolations for not loosing heat, the ways to limit and to decrease the
electric, fuel, coal, wood, consumption. New solutions as energy produced with
solar cells, wind mills, waste processing were considered.
In the eighties, the amount of residual wastes resulted from construction sector
itself and from other industries, together with problems as the exhausting of some
categories of raw materials (i.e. aggregates), imposed the waste materials as an
alternative construction materials. But the interest of the market was limited
because of the technical , economical and social causes.
The technical problems were: the lack of technologies to recycle the wastes,
problems regarding waste transportation and disposal (waste logistics), high costs
for implementing of the recycling methods, presence of sulphur in the composition
of many wastes that affect the durability of construction materials (i.e. concrete),
absence of standards and technical regulations based on the performance tests
(very common procedures for traditional materials in building industry).
The economical problems were related with the fact that the building materials
from wastes were not economically competitive with those resulted from primary
raw materials, or the necessary markets have not existed near the wastes disposal
areas. Although, as the price of primary materials is rising in the construction
sector due to the resource exhausting, and because of the fact that the technologies
of converting wastes into usable materials are rapidly advancing, the substitution of
traditional materials with secondary materials resulted from wastes will grow up in
application.
The social problems were related with the reluctance pressure of the contractors
not to use such materials which could impose changing in traditional technologies,
methods and labour skills of the employees. That means investments in adequate
technologies, qualification of labour, other logistics. Other problems are related
with the lack of standards to settle the quality of such products, a strong argument
for which the contractors don't accept the changing. However, the new
environmental legislative measures (i.e. Eco-Taxes) have stimulated the contractors
to take into consideration the substitution options.
In the nineties, the research toward housing recyclability starts to reorient toward a
new approach: The Sustainable Production Housing System (Banacu, de Ron,
Schmid-1996).
It became obvious that it is non-economic and non-ecological to consider the house
alone. To solve the problems of its recyclability and full integration into
environment, the concept of house must be linked to the concept of production for
housing. Therefore, two concepts are proposed: The Sustainable Housing Industrial
Production and The Sustainable House.
The concept of "Sustainable Housing Industrial Production (S.H.I.P)" is
defined as being the ensemble of methods, techniques, instruments, means and
ways to produce the components, parts and materials for housing, in such a way to
be economically feasible, environmental friendly, qualitative and flexible in using.
The purpose of the Sustainable Housing Industrial Production (S.H.I.P) is to
improve the existing housing technologies by using environmental friendly
materials and machinery, and to build the Sustainable House of the future
according to the newest Design for Environment (DFE) requirements.
The Sustainable Housing Industrial Production (S.H.I.P) must be:
1. Easy to implement: to be adapted to the local technological , social, economical
conditions;
2. Socially accepted by the construction firms management and employees;
3. Environmental friendly: the plant processes and the technologies used have to
be: low polluting or even not at all. The dust emissions and noise caused by the
processes have to be reduced at minimum. The soil should not be affected by
any kind of pollution (leakage of polluting agents of any kind: liquid, solid,
gas). The technologies used in plant production processes for housing must
provide recycling capabilities for process disposals. Therefore, "on flow"
systems for recycling and reusing of waste materials must be considered as an
integral part of the technology. Using environmental safety systems at all
production stages, the amount of emissions disposal will be under permanent
control. Another required feature of a sustainable process is to allow easy
maintenance of assets used for production purposes;
4. Flexible to the technological market's evolution. Characteristics as: easy
mounting, maintaining, dismantling of process machinery and equipment, in
order to allow fast replacing of updated machinery with new ones;
5. Economically Feasible (to be economic affordable by the investors and to
provide low costs for maintenance of the assets);
6. Energy saver. To provide low consumes of energy during the processes stages.
To have the capability of saving the energy (i.e. electric, coal, gas, steam,
hydropower), to limit the energy wastes;
7. Raw materials & energy saver: Low quantity, raw construction materials (e.g.
gravel, sand) or low quantity processed materials (e.g. cement, additives,
polymers, metals etc.) has to be used during the production processes;
8. Low quantity water consumer. The industrial water has to be recycled and
reused in plants processes as long as possible;
9. Quality process: That means that the quality has to be considered at all stages of
the production, starting with extraction/processing stage of raw materials &
energy, continuing with processing of materials (primary and secondary),
fabrication of component parts for houses and finishing with quality recycling
process. In order to transform the quality control into a continuing analytic
process, new quality control measurement systems are requested to be included
at all process stages;
10. Secondary materials and parts consumer: The new sustainable production
systems for constructions must have the capability to use secondary materials
and reused components resulted from demolished/dismantled buildings. The
amount of non usable debris must be limited.
The concept of "Sustainable House" means a house with the following
characteristics:
1. To be Environmental friendly : to protect the environment, and to be resistant at
the environmental changes (that means low pollution impact over environment,
weather change/earthquake resistant, maximum recyclability of component
parts and materials),
2. To have adaptive-flexible design (To allow the "building at customer's
taste /needs" house,); to be consisted of "easy to make" component parts, by
using affordable technical, economical, ecological technologies, to allow easy
assembling and easy disassembling (deconstructing, dismantling ) of component
parts for secondary reuse purposes; to allow easy recycling of materials.
3. To be energy saving: that means to be assembled (build) with low consumption
of energy and to do not allow the loose of energy (e.g. thermical, electrical etc.)
during it's usage lifetime.
4. To be a quality product: to assure the quality level of living for the people who
lives in; to be durable (long lasting); to fulfil the quality level for easy
environmental integration.
5. To provide easy maintenance: the component parts must be easy to clean (with
non aggressive polluting agents), the paints has to be non aggressive for the
people or for the environment.
6. Price / Quality effectiveness: to have the best ratio price-quality.
7. Safety: to provide safety against major natural disasters (e.g. earthquakes, river
overflows, fire, storms and others), or accidents (electric shortcuts, fire, etc.).
TELEMATICS MARKET
(TELECOMUNIACATIONS AND INFORMATICS)
Figure 5.1 The interactions between the housing market and the "convergent products
for housing" market.
Immovable parts: the frames for doors and windows (industrial fabricated),
insulation materials, carpentry, cover tiles),
Partial movable parts: the furnishings (doors, windows) steam/water/gas
heating systems (pumps, boilers, pipes, heaters), electric systems (transformers,
controls, cables, lamps), water supply system ( consisted of pumps, boilers,
pipes)
Movable parts : are home-appliances systems, refrigeration systems (probably
in the near future the refrigerators will be included in the house's wall to avoid
the waste of energy and to allow the shorting of CFC), air conditioning systems,
safety systems (against fire, self inundation, intrusions etc.),"domotics"-or
telematics for housing (systems that allows the info-tele-comunications
connections).
As we could observe, each one of the component parts of the house are the result of
a specific industrial production process.
The main difference between a house and other goods is the way that the
production process looks like. For example, to produce automobiles, the production
process uses fixed machinery (assembly lines) situated in a plant.
To produce houses, the production process for housing will use both fixed
machinery (production lines situated in plants), and mobile machinery (i.e.
excavators, bulldozers, cranes, concrete pumps etc. situated "in situ" (the place
where the house will be made).
That characteristic is important to be underlined in order to design the appropriate
recycling technologies for housing.
The component parts of the sustainable house must have the following nine
attributes:
1) Sustainable design to allow "flexible housing on customer's taste demand",
2) Easy to fabricate,
3) Affordable constitutive materials (preference for local materials),
4) To allow easy and safe storing and transporting,
5) Low energy consumption and low costs maintenance,
6) Easy to assemble "in situ" works,
7) Easy to disassemble (dismantling) instead demolishing,
8) Reusability (the quality of being reusable for few houses life cycles),
9) Recyclability (the quality of being recyclable at the highest percentage with
lowest costs, energy, manpower and equipment).
There must be in key with the objectives of the project established by design.
Energy and capital support represent the issues which makes the system working.
There are important parts of input.
The Process is represented by:
The design / production of the component parts of the house,
The design / production of machinery to fabricate the component parts of the
house,
Design of the technology to put together (to assembly, build) the component
parts of the house,
Management (organisational and technical),
The Output is represented by the product: the house and followed by recycling.
A general model of the housing production system is presented in figure 5.2.
PROCESS
OUTPUT
Design/production
of component parts of the house
Investment capital
Primary
flow of
capital,
materials,
energy
The house
Secondary
flow of
capital.
material,
energy
Human Resources
Organizational Management
Quality of life
Cost effectiveness
Energy
Deconstructing, dismastling
Reusing
The main advantage for recycling processes from housing industry, comparing
with the other industries, is the fact that many types of machinery and equipment
are similar or almost the same with the machinery used in the production processes
for housing, and use, more or less, the same vehicles for transportation. For
example: shredders, belt-conveyors, and sieves are both used in processing the raw
material and the recycled materials.
This advantage is useful for the producers of construction machinery and
equipment, to reconvert their production to fulfil the new segment from the market:
machinery for recycling.
It is known that the world recession from the last years affected the production of
construction machinery, that's why the need for recycle machinery is a new
production opportunity.
The advantage is also for contractors which could [re]convert existent machinery
(i.e. from raw material processing), which doesn't work at full capacity, into
machinery for recycling the wastes (from housing industry or for other industries).
5.6 Production management for housing
Management is the way by which using "planning, organization, control, direction
and leadership make the company productive and profitable" (Ad de Ron 1994).
Management, "is the control of a purposeful system by a part of that system".
(Ackoff 1981). It involves three functions: (1) identification of actual and potential
problems-threats and opportunities, (2) decision making and (3) maintenance and
improvement of performance under changing and unchanging conditions".
(Ackoff 1981).
Management involves two aspects: (1) organizational referring to the people
employed to the construction firm and (2) technological referring to the way that
construction machinery systems are coordinated, synchronized and arranged in the
production process to give maximum output with minimum costs and energy. It
could be taken into consideration a third aspect (3), ecological management,
reflecting the ways (both organizational and technical) by which a construction
firm has a correct attitude towards environment preservation and protection.
5.6.1 Actors of the housing industry
We could use the term "Actor of Construction Production Process" for defining the
enterprise (firm) involved in housing production/recycling activities.
The complexity of the life cycle of the house imposes, in one way or the other, the
involvement of different specialized firms/companies:
The companies/firms which works in the housing industry are specialized as
follows:
Architecture & Design Constancy for Housing, for elaborating the design of the
house, the urban/rural planning;
Real Estate Agencies, which deals with the Marketing & Trading activities
related housing (as a ready-made product);
The Extraction and procession materials used in construction (primary
materials: i.e. sand, gravel, stone, basalt, marble), or processing secondary
materials, wood, metal and polymer products normally used in constructions;
The Fabrication of materials for construction i.e. cement plants, concrete
batching plants, asphalt batching plants;
The Fabrication of component materials (i.e. bricks, tiles, roof-tiles, mosaic)building material factories;
The Fabrication of component parts of the house (prefabricate factories,
furnishing factories, water installations for housing factories, electric
installations for housing factories, heating installations for housing factories,
The Construction Companies/firms (specialized on building works for new
houses (buildings), maintenance and repairing works of old (existing) buildings
and constructions, installations-water, electric, heating assembling or repairing
works;
The Demolishing Companies/firms (specialized in demolition works for
existing constructions);
The Recycling Companies/firms (specialized in recovering, dismantling,
disassembling, shredding, separating parts and wastes resulted from
demolishing). These companies are expected to appear and develop in the
construction branch, as it happened in other industries (automobiles, homeappliances etc.).
The various "actors" in the production process for housing, have each one his part
of responsibility in designing and producing/maintaining, recovering
environmental friendly housing products or trading such products.
5.7 Building a methodology for Sustainable Housing Production
As it was mentioned in chapter 1, the aim of this research is to define the measures
and to establish a methodology to be used as an instrument of assessment of the
present situation, for [re]designing the adequate sustainable production systems for
housing.
SUSTAINABLE TECHNOLOGY
FOR DECONSTRUCTING
(DISMATLING, REUSING AND RECYCLING)
SUSTAINABLE TECHNOLOGY
FOR CONSTRUCTING
(BUILDING, ASSEMBLING)
ADEQUATE METHODES
, EQUIPMENTS AND MACHINERY
ADEQUATE MANAGEMENT
METHODESAND TECHNIQUES
ADEQUATE SELECTIVE AQUISITION FOR
CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY, EQUIPMENTS
AND QUALITY CONTROL DEVICES FOR
"IN SITU"CONSTRUCTION WORKS
SUSTAINABLE INDUSTRIAL
PRODUCTION FOR BUILDING
MATERIALS
Figure 5.3 Sustainable industrial production for sustainable housing. The systemic
approach.
SP 1- Sustainable production stage 1 for construction materials;
SP 2- Sustainable production stage 2 for component parts of the house,
SP 3- Sustainable production stage 3 for assembling (constructing in situ technologies) of
component parts;
D
Demolishing, deconstructing, dismantling of the house, reusing and recycling of the
component parts.
Sustainable building materials production stage 1 (SP 1) means the level of the
sustainable technological chain dealing with an adequate selection of the
[local]construction materials, in conformity with the projected sustainable house's
demands, and for the construction materials that need processing i.e. cement,
technical measures to reduce till total avoidance the level of the pollution have to
be [re]considered.
Adequate design of the industrial production processes of construction (building
materials) means organizational and technological measures from the point of view
of sustainability of the processes.
The plants have to be close as possible to the sources of raw materials (i.e. calcar
for cement plant processes), to provide cheap transportation systems (i.e. railways,
water transportation). On flow process systems have to be [re]designed in the way
of rising the productivity by shorting the 'waste times', improving the energy saving
systems by replacing updated machinery with low consumption ones.
The using of appropriate insulation materials at water-steam-gas transfer pipes and
the introducing of new energy saving systems (i.e. industrial water recyclers or
heat-water-steam recovery systems) could avoid the waste of energy and eliminate
the pollution threat. Filters and dust avoidance systems have to be added at the
existing cement plants in order to reduce the environmental dust pollution.
The sewing water systems of the building materials factories have to be analyzed
and checked to replace the inappropriate pipes or inadequate pumps for reducing
the water-wastes or the pollution of the environmental.
The water recirculating systems have to be reconsidered or replaced.
Sustainable production for component parts of the house stage 2 (SP 2) links the
adequate design of the component parts of the house to the "tools" (technology and
equipment) to produce the components parts of the house. Adequate design means
the shape of component parts of the house, related to physical material structure of
that and the appropriate technology to fabricate it.
By Sustainable Technologies for constructions (building, assembling) stage 3
(SP 3), means the ways by which the management planning and construction
machinery for " in situ" works are organized with the main purpose of "sustainable
house building".
The technology have to take into consideration those tools and construction
machinery adapted to the volume of works (little, medium or large).
The main characteristic has to be "the mobility" of the construction machinery and
their availability to be organized into "technically synchronized construction
machinery systems".
"Technically synchronized construction machinery systems" means a system of
machinery that allows proportional interconnections between various types of
machinery used in the process (i.e. volume of excavating soil-excavators) related
with the volume of transporting soil (dump trucks), compacting soil (compactors)
or quantity of the concrete produced (concrete batching plants or in situ concrete
mixers) related to quantity of transportation and put it into works concrete
(concrete truck mixers and concrete pumps), quantity of component [house's] parts
transported (by trucks), related with stored quantity (in mechanized warehouses),
and assembled (by cranes or other elevating system machinery) to fulfill a building
technological process without waste times.
All these construction machinery must be as well "sustainable" products of the
relevant industry that means being economic (from the point of view of the costs
and energy), quality ergonomic, ecological, flexible (to various demands of the
building technology demands).
The degree of complexity of such machinery has to be functional from the point of
view of the degree of complexity of the works.
Therefore, for low volumes construction works, flexible and multifunctional small
size machinery has to be preferred (i.e. mini excavators, mini dumpers, mini cranes
etc.) instead of medium or large machinery.
For medium construction works, multi-functional medium range construction
machinery has to be preferred (excavators with charge loading attachable
equipment, concrete mixer trucks with mounted placing boom, middle size
concrete mixer installations for "in situ " concrete works).
For large construction works, specialized construction machinery has to be
considered. (i.e. excavators, dump trucks, concrete batching plants, cranes etc.)
But for all types of works, "in situ" building materials recycling systems must be
added.
Following the concept " fast erecting [n.a. of the "on customer's" demand house] /
fast deconstructing [dismantling] (when the life-cycle of the house expired), a
conceptual sustainable deconstructing technology for housing (stage D) is
requested. There must be the same philosophy (of course, adapted to the specific of
constructions) as it is in nowadays automotive industry.
Therefore, the component parts of the house, the fittings used in assembling
processes have to be conceived in such a manner to allow this demand: fast and
easy assembling / fast and easy deconstructing.
A life-cycle analyse both for the specific component parts (of the house) and for
the house (as a ready-made product), is required in order to classify, select and
identify the component parts [of the house] that could be reused or recycled.
5.7.2 The life-cycle analyse for housing
The general definitions about Life Cycle Analyses were presented in chapter 4.
As it was mentioned in the chapter 4, the life-cycle analyse for housing
(house+process), consists of a technical part, an economical part and an ecological
part.
The Life Cycle Technical Assessment for Housing (LCTAH) is dealing with
technical characteristics: performance related time (process productivity),
consumption related time (i.e. embedded energy, materials), durability,
functionality, maintainability, usability.
The Life Cycle Economical Assessment for Housing (LCEAH) is dealing with the
costs and profits during the life cycle of a house.
The Life Cycle Ecological Assessment for Housing (LCEcAH) is dealing with the
effects on environment caused by housing (product and activities) during the house
life cycle.
A simplified model could be illustrated using the Euler Graph. (figure 5.4)
The Euler Graph could be used in the finding of the optimum ratio energy, material
embedded and energy, material lost during all the stages.
Considering the fact that a certain amount of energy and of materials is
continuously needed through the whole life cycle, at each stage, and not all this
energy and materials are properly used (because of the deficiencies in management,
process design, technology, activities synchronisation, maintenance, labour
qualification or motivation) will result the real amount of used energy and
materials. If at every stage of the cycle is used the transformation factor method of
the assessment (Chapter 3), results the optimisation of the life cycle design of
housing (product resulted from process).
For example, let's consider the first activity (0-1) as being the raw material
extraction/obtaining. The raw materials usually used in constructions are related
with the material, product or process for which they will be used:
- sand, gravel, rocks to make concrete, limestone to make cement, sand to make
glass, wood to make timber or sawnwood etc. Usually, the extraction/obtaining
processes (activities) of raw materials, are energy consumer: fuel consumption
of exploitation machinery used as excavators, tractors, dumpers, trucks,
sawnwood cutters, electric energy for exploitation activities etc. In many cases
the machinery doesn't works in the prescribed parameters (technical,
economical or ecological). If they are overused or non appropriate for the job
(too large or too small) or if the qualification of the employed labour is too low,
that will have a negative influence on the productivity of the works. This will
be considered the "lost amount" non-embedded energy and materials. Also the
ecological impact of machinery on environment is negative (direct effectpollution) and negative (indirect effect-over consumption of energy). To avoid
this, an inventory assessment with the real state of machinery is necessary.
Probably, in the future, due to Eco-Taxes, many contractors will be forced to
pay attention to the state of machinery, their consumption of energy and their
pollution level. The purpose is to minimise the difference ("embedded-win""non embedded-lost") materials and energy.
The second activity (1-2), material processing characterises the materials industry
from construction sector. For example: cement industry, plastics industry, glass
industry, ferro-metal industry, aluminium industry, sawnwood industry etc. At this
stage, each process is organized "on flow".
The machinery and installations are situated in fixed positions in plants. The
processes are characterised by technological phases as: milling, heating, sieving,
compressing, crushing, moulding etc. In this sort of phases a certain quantity of
energy/materials is lost because of factors related with the state of machinery
(overused, updated), design of the installations (old fashion design), or of the nonecological initial design of the process itself.
The environment could be affected (directly and indirectly) by non-controlled
polluting emissions. The most known polluting and non-efficient technologies in
constructions are the cement production and the plasters production.
Figure 5.4 The housing life cycle using the Euler Graph.
Depending of the type, size, structure and location of the house, three methods of
demolishing are usually used:
mechanical impact (big metal ball carried on excavator/crane based machinery),
mechanical pull-on ( bulldozers),
remote controlled implosion/explosion.
The methods present the advantage of being fast, but presents the disadvantage that
a large quantity of debris is resulting, most of it being non-economic and
technically impossible (with actual technologies), to be recycled.
However, the debris is loaded and transported either to a recycling plant to be
recycled or is used in land filling works.
At actual level of technology, it is difficult to speak about the recycling by full
dismantling technologies in the construction industry of Romania, following some
reasons as:
the absence of recycling (dismantling) companies on the construction market,
the buildings (most of them) are built following the old techniques (masonry,
concrete reinforced panels etc.) and therefore, have a rigid structure which
doesn't allow the application of dismantling/disassembling technologies.
However, some categories of existing houses are compatible with the recycling by
dismantling technologies. For example: wood panel houses (solution mainly
applied in USA and Canada). In the case of reinforced panel houses the solution is
technically (at this moment) difficult to be applied, because even when the house is
dismantled/disassembled there are not facilities to reprocess them.
One solution is to [re]convert the actual prefabricated factories (which are not
working at their full production capacity), into recycling for constructions
companies. In fact, the re-process is the key in the recycling industry for reinforced
panels concrete housing (common solution in Romania).
Re-process for prefabricated panels implies ways by which the reinforced concrete
panels are following the reverse way from product to secondary materials and
parts.
For example: a reinforced concrete panel means, in terms of materials, embedded
energy and processes: cement, sand, gravel, additives, water, reinforcing rebars
lattice etc., which are moulded together (thermal process), follows a solidification
stage, and becomes a product.
Reversing the process, the same reinforced concrete panel could become materials
(secondary). The technical problem is related with the matter "how" should we
PRODUCTION OF
BUILDING MATERIALS
COMPONENTS PARTS
OF THE HOUSE
COVER;
-tils,
-metal sheets
DECONSTRUCTING
(DISMASTLING)
-bricks
FRAMES
REUSING
HOUSE
PRODUCTION OF INSULATION
MATERIAL ELEMENTS
ASSEMBLING
Prelucrated materials:
-Cement,
-Aditives,
-Polymers
-Composite materials
CONCRETE PRODUCTION
RECYCLYING
PRODUCTION OF PREFAB.ELEMENTS
PANELS
PRODUCTION OF ELECTRIC
AND HEATING EQUIPMENTS
The recycling-housing
deconstructing
technologies
between
demolishing
and
Cavity wall
density 150 Material
kg/ m2
1.Non-load
bearing
- Exterior
-Interior
Load
Bearing
Plaster
interior
Plaster
exterior
Lowest
Cost / m2 Energy
content
Initial
(finished
CE=
7.000kcal
wall)
Cost / m2
=29.3 MJ
Euro 65
-58
-50
-70
-60
24.5
96
16
2
-6
-60
-50
-40
1.5
24.5
9
6
16
-40
euro.50
-6
-40
Total
Euro
/m2
12
-32
1.5
28.8
10.8
16.2
44.0
-6
- 58
Lime-sand mortar
-65
0.6
Total
Euro
m2
-15
Cement-sand mortar
-18
0.6
-18
96
16
96/
Table 5.3 Comparision between different types of walls (adapted after Bekker)
The table shows that the cheapest solution for both load-bearing and non-load
bearing walls regarding embedded energy consumption is using the concrete
blocks.
The cheapest solution for facings are metal profiles manufactured from steel,
galvanized and painted. A facing made from concrete bricks has a lower energy
content. If the life time of concrete bricks were two times longer than that of
protected steel profiles, the energy content of both constructions in relation to
service time would be equal. The recycling ratio of steel profiles is almost one, and
of concrete bricks zero. However, the pollution, emission and process water
consumption of steel are higher than in a case of concrete bricks.
The application of reinforced concrete panels is the worst solution from the point
of view of energy consumption during the fabrication stage (of panels), from the
point of view of thermal comfort during lifetime using and from the point of view
of recyclability, but it has the advantage of applying the industrial production
concepts in constructions. The method allows fast erecting of the house in a short
time comparing with the concrete (masonry) solution..
Therefore, combining the advantages of both methods, and trying to eliminate the
disadvantages, we propose as a possible technical solution in housing production, a
technology to make panels from bricks. Some attempts have already been made in
Australia (Panel Brick Technology). The concept of "fast erecting" / "fast
dismantling" could be applied with success in housing industry and what is
important, the recyclability of the house could increase substantially, by using
similar methods with those used in automobile or home-appliances industries.
5.9 The feasibility analyse of production processes for housing
The large varieties of component parts of a house impose various types of
industrial production. Each one of industrial production has its own specific
management type.
Therefore, the manner of approaching technical/managerial aspects depends on the
end-product type technology. In order to adapt the actual production systems from
housing industry to reach the sustainability state requirements, a
technical/managerial assessment is necessary. By this assessment, are identified the
causes/effects that can influence, in one way or the other the production system
from housing industry. The analyse will be focusing on:
1) Present situation (managerial and technological) assessment regarding:
A. Producer's identification:
- Firm
- Size of the firm
- Location
- Market
- Production
14 economic evaluation,
15 quality evaluation,
16 flexibility evaluation,
17 environmental evaluation,
18 selection of feasible options.
Assess result: List of feasible options
Implementation and Continuation
19 prepare implementation plan
20 implement feasible options,
21 monitor progress
22 sustain progress
Assess result: Sustainable Production (n.a. for housing)
The five steps assessment procedure, containing planning and organisation, preassessment, assessment, feasibility study, implementation and continuation, gives
companies a tool to determine their actual situation with respect to a sustainable
production and to set their goals (de Ron 1996).
Applying this methodology in Housing Industry, the interested construction firms
could adapt fast to the new laws and regulations concerning Environment (i.e. The
Netherlands has introduced Eco-Tax).
5.10 Conclusions
The sustainable house requires a sustainable production for housing. That means
that all technological parts of the technological chains must be improved. The
systemic approach house-production for housing allows the solving of the complex
problem of recycling housing. Following the experience in recycling that has been
developed in other industries (automobiles, home-appliances etc.), a solution for
recycling housing is possible. But that means to adapt to construction field, the
concepts of industrial production, usually used in other industries. That means the
concept "fast assembling/fast disassembling" for easy recycling.
Considering the house a system-component made from parts (each one being a
result of a production process of various industries), the recycling stage become
technically feasible.
The wall is considered the essential part of the house (besides structure), which
could impose the choosing of the housing-recycling technology. Traditionally, it is
made by bricks (limestone, concrete etc.). The solution offers a good flexibility in
the design of the house but does not offer a good recyclability. Other solutions are
regarding new composite materials resulted from industrial wastes, which are
proposed to substitute traditional materials (limestone, concrete). At the moment,
the practical sphere of application of these materials is still limited because of the
contractors reluctance.
Another solution is represented by panel assembling techniques.
The reinforced concrete panels, despite the advantages of being produced on an
industrial way and of permitting easy assembling, presents many disadvantages as:
they are high energy consumers, the thermal transmitance factor is high, they are
difficult to be recycled, and doesn't allow a flexibility in design of the house,
according to customer demand.
The wooden panels (already used on a large scale in USA and Canada), are a
solution, but they require also large quantities of wood or substitutive materials.
The wood (some species), presents the advantage of having a high regenerative
power, but this requires also time.
However, the present experience in the field is resuming to demolishing
techniques, the recovery factor is low. Important quantities of debris resulted from
housing demolishing are land filled. The solution is temporary and could transform
itself in a source of land-ground water pollution. The dismantling/disassembling
techniques are possible if the design of the house allow it, and if the process was
designed in such a way to permit re-manufacturing. Therefore, new concepts as
sustainable house and sustainable production for housing are welcome.
The "Housing Sustainability Dilemma", could have a solution, if the manner of
approaching is systemic: sustainable technology for housing together with
sustainable housing.
To apply in practice, both at microeconomic level (the firm level) and
macroeconomic level (economy of country) the concepts of sustainable production
for housing, a methodology to assess the feasibility of implementation the
sustainable production concepts for housing is proposed. It results that the
macroeconomic benefit and microeconomic profit are related each other through
the environmental aspects. It is obvious that the environmental aspects are as
important, or even more, then technical or economical aspects.
Chapter 6
Types of investments
for sustainable development
Introduction
Project investments
Project definition
The necessity of programs and project investments
The programmes
Programme classification
The programmes system approach
Projects
The project system
Project documentation sub-system
The project investments result sub-system
Tipology and structure of project investment
The project management of investments
The project scope
The project objectives
Field criteria
Cost criteria
Time criteria
Quality criteria
The marketing mix of investment projects
The project as a product
The projects market
Project price
Promotion and publicity for projects
Conclusions
6.1 Introduction
As weve mentioned in the chapter 1, investment is a concept with a broad
definition. Usually it is related with the capacity of something to produce benefit in
the sense of profit or others. But what are the forms we meet investments in
everyday life?
Environmental projects
Intellectual property
projects
SMEs projects
Infrastructure projects
Informatics projects
Agricultural development
projects
Figure 6.1 Types of projects
Policies
Strategies (1,2,3)
Financial sources (efforts)
Programmes (1,2,3,)
Projects (1,2,3)
Effects (profit, other benefits as
social, environmental, economic
benefits that sustain
developmen etc.)
On policies bases, one or more strategies are established with proposed objectives
to be achieved at defined times and the allocated resources. A good example is the
Integration Strategy of European Union for the new members for which the period
of time was established as 1 may 2005 for the admission of new member states as
Cech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Baltic States Estonia, Lituania, Latvia, Cyprus,
Malta, Slovenia, Slovakia) and in 2007 Romnia and Bulgaria. To achieve the
objectives for integration important financial resources were allocated. To facilitate
the pre-adheration process and the integration process, many programmes were
established. This programmes are either general or specific. For instance, we could
mention general programmes as Phare which consists of different specific
components as for education: Socrates, Erasmus, Leonardo, Minerva, for research
and development (R&D) framework programme 5 and 6 (FP 5, FP 6), for
agriculture SAPARD, for transportation ISPA, for SMEs etc.
Concluding that each programme consists of two or more projects we have a broad
view about what the programmes mean.
6.8 Projects
Projects means the way, we could say the vehicle through which human, financial,
materials, technological resources are organized in a specific manner to achieve
objectives in a field of activity , with characteristics, cost and time restrictions,
following a standard life cycle and beneficial changes defined by quantitative and
qualitative objectives1. The projects could be also parts of the programmes or
research and analyse directions of programmes.
6.8.1 The project system
A systemic approach of projects make understandable the project process, project
life cycle, project stages. For example, in the figure 6.3 the project system is
presented.
PROJECT
PROPOSAL
THE PROJECT
DOCUMENTATION
THE PROJECT
RESULT
by a project offerer a programme which assure the financing could exist one or
more project appliers. In the case the offerer conditions are fulfilled by more
appliers a bidding competition will be organized. The elected project will have to
prove that it is the most financial feasible, or the project that will fulfill the ofertant
requirements. For certain types of projects as those with public financing or from
structural funds received from European Union, selection stages process and
bidding procedure are required. The project applications will not be confound with
the project agreed to be financed.
One or more
solving
variants
PROBLEM
TO BE
SOLVED OR
NECESSITY
Offerer
Project proposal
Problem
solving
One or more
sollutions
Project
contractors
100%
finish
testing
control
extension
realization
contracting
planning
ideea
feasibility
STAGE 1- project
definition
Phases:
- necesity- scope
- project ideea
- conceptualization
- project filling
- feasibility study
- project strategies
- approvals
Phases:
- planning resources
- cost establishing
- base project
- contracts and terms
- detailed planning
Phases:
- internal financial
control
- external financial
control
- project extension
Figure 6.5 Project life cycle, stages, phases (adaptated by the author CSB after the
model PMBOK-Project management for success in teaching and learning)
As we note from figure 6.5, the project life cycle could be divided in four principal
stages:
1. project definition,
2. project planning,
3. project execution and
4. project checking
each one with some phases.
6.8.3 The project investments result sub-system
The result of an investment project represents the materialization of the object of
the project. For instance, any construction needs a complex project that implies
(sub) projects of the component parts of the building. As well as the documentation
project the investment project has its own project life cycle with stages as follows:
1. project launch,
2. feasibility studies and approvals,
3. project execution (the building itself),
4. project start-up,
5. project object using (investment exploitation),
6. pay back period, project amortization,
Any project investment contain three main parts from which two are on a graphic
support, a module with notes and data, one module with drawings, plans, sketches,
and one on a magnetic support (virtual data bases, plans and drawings on virtual
environment.
A project consists also of legal, technical, economical, financial and environmental
and in the case of public investments social-human analyses.
A model of the structure of the project investment is presented in the followings,
figure 6.6:
PROJECT STRUCTURE
WRITTEN
DOCUMENTATION
MODULE
(description, calculus,
tabels, analyses, prefeasibility studies,
feasibility studies, valuation
reports contractes, etc.)
TECHNICAL
DATA
Charateristics,
novelty, technical
realizability
tehnique, quality,
fiability
DRAWINGS
(sketches, drawings, plans
etc.)
LEGAL DATA
Ownership rights,
full or partial, work
relationship,
Legislation for
work, working
contracts,
commercial
contracts, industrial
property etc.
ECONOMIC
DATA
Value,costs,
income, profit,
amortization,
management
organization etc.
VIRTUAL PART
(data bases,
drawings, written
parts on magnetic
support- cd-s,
optical disks etc)
EVIRONMENTAL
DATA
Impact studies,
Level of pollution,
laboratory tests and
measurementsrecycl
ability, ecoeficiency
FIELD
COST
TIME
QUALITY
The way of reaching the objectives depends on the clarity and coherence of
formulating project scope and objectives and on the project team behaviour
concerning organizational aspects, professional attitude, comunication between
team members, levels of authority, motivation, personal implication of project
managers, of financing conditions, complying with contractual terms etc.
6.10.3 Field criteria
Historically, the Project Management concept appeared in the 1960s as a
consequence of NASA space programmes development in the USA. The
foundation of planning graphic instruments as GANTT3 or PERT4 graphs/charts
and their application in practice together with MBO (Management by Objectives)
techniques had a major importance in developping Project Investment Management
in a science on its own base.
Beside space research and conquest applications, other fields of expertise have
developed their project investment management techniques. We can mention
constructions, industry, agriculture, transportations, trade, tourism, IT project
management and the list could be extended with new developments.
The first step in developing a project is the aqurate identification of the application
field (research, education, industry, constructions etc.)
We should mention, if the project is a green field project that means the proposed
investment project will start with a new construction on a land that is first time
used for this purpose or a development project meaning that on an existing capacity
or building, improvements and modernization works are made.
As a consequence, we should note that it is important to make the connections
between the field of applications of the project investment, on its own
specifications and it is the practical way to do it in terms of project management
team, activity planning, evaluations and control of results.
6.10.4 Cost criteria
At the beggining of any project, a cost forecasting balanced by estimated benefits is
required.
Obviously, the general trend is to forecast minimum costs to maximum benefits,
but in practice is better to consider feasible costs to feasible benefits. Therefore a
report of optimum is required between efforts and effects. For example, if the
3
4
Chart GANTT invented by Henry L. Gantt. This chart is also named horizontal bar chart.
PERTs Chart (English acronym for Programme Evaluation Review Technique) project planning
is done with the activities displayed by arrows and nodes.
The time schedule is possible now in a modern way by using specilized software as
Microsoft Project Management or Primavera. These programms puts in a friendly
way graphic instruments for project and activity planning as GANTT, PERT,
resource histograms, costs reports, workforce reports, technology using reports etc.
Time criterion is also important in corelation with investments fund risisng, activity
completting, quality assurance, human and technical capital efficient and effective
using. Therefore this criterion has to be linked with other criteria as field, costs,
quality.
6.10.6 Quality criteria
The concept of project quality is a complex one because it embadded three distinct
elements as:
1. The quality of project proposal, the quality of feasibility studiy, the quality
of the team that make the project documentation and feasibility study.
2. The quality of the project as a plan and the project design team.
3. The quality of the result of the project (product, service other forms of
investments as tangibles or intangibles (brand name, patents, industrial
design etc.).
In many situations project quality is assesed according with International standards
as ISO 9000 series for quality management and products, ISO 14000 series
standards for environmental management, ISO 19000 series for both (quality and
environment), project management standards, national or european technical
standards as romanian STAS, EU standards etc.
The quality factor for projects is a definitory element at the most feasible project
selection but it must also be linked with the other factors as field, cost, time.
In the project management process for investments the quality assesement is made,
on course, of the project at the level of intermediate activities or final activities.
Appreciation factors could be considered as: contractual time respecting,
minimizing costs, project financing, feasibility of the project, viability of the
project, product and project sustainability, customer satisfaction etc.
6.11 The marketing mix of investment projects
The marketing mix concept introduced by Phillip Kotler is based on the 4P
Product, Place, Price, Promotion/ Publicity. In the field of investment projects, this
concept is present too. As a specific characteristic for marketing mix of
investments we should note that we have in fact two objects to analyse:
1. The marketing of the project design
2. The marketing for the object of the project, either a bulding or construction
works or a product for domestic or industrial use or service.
We have to observ that the second is included in the first as any project contain a
marketing analyse. In some cases we could consider that the marketing projects are
themselves investment projects because, for example, if the promotion or publicity
is made professionaly the succes of the projected product is assured. The marketing
projects have the same characteristic criteria of any project. That means it also has
a scope (purpose), objectives, costs, time and quality.
For each of the 4P of the investment project marketing mix- product, place, price,
promotion there are specific policies, strategies, tactics. Each one of them will be
mentioned in the projects and will have a proper analyse.
Policies for
PROJECT MARKETING
MIX 4 P
Product
Place
Strategies for
Price
Tactics for
Promotion/Publicity
Figure 6.8 The marketing mix of investment projects (adapted by C.S. Bnacu 2004
after P. Kotler)
compete with other universities. Obviouslly, all the appliers will be from the
educational system.
If the competitors for a specialized project from construction field are competing,
they will bid or compete in the limits of their specialization and competence.
Builders will compete builders, Road contractors will compete other road
contractors, installation specialists will compete other installation specialists.
The taking of projects is directly in the case of private financing or in an open
bidding for the projects with public budget financing.
The project offerers are called also contractors and could be international
organizations as European Comission, USAID, UNO, UNIDO, NATO etc.),
national (Romanian Government ministries etc.), public or private organizations,
etc.
The aplliers for projects are called contratee and could be
institutions, NGOs, legal pearsons qulified in the field.
universities, r&d
The financial instituions are banks, investment funds or in some cases foundations.
6.11.3 Project price
The price of the project could be of two types: forecasted price and effective price.
The forecasted price is based on the forecasted discounted costs at which could be
taken into consideration costs that represents the risk marge of the project
entrepreneur.
The effective cost is based on direct and indirect costs to make the projects and
adding profit after completing the project.
6.11.4 Promotion and publicity for projects
Promotion and publicity process of projects means media advertising (newspapers,
journals, radio, tv, INTERNET).
The promotion campagne will include the deadline for application of proposals
with the specification of objectives, costs, time scheduling and resouces.
Succesfully investment project application in the bidding process will agree to
settle contracts for financial support. These contracts will be established between
contractors and financial institutions, between contrators and contractees, between
finacial institutions and insurance companies etc. In these contracts time, quality
and costs clauses are compulsory to be mentioned.
In the situation that the investment project has a public funding base, the process of
promotion consists of:
- project offering,
- open bidding,
- aquisitions for project.
6.12 Conclusions
Investments could be: project investment and capital investment.
A project is a part of a programme and it means a way to achieve proposed
objectives following a succession of activities with the main scope to materialize a
corporal (tangible) or non corporal (intangible) investment in uncertainty and risks
condition.
To define a project we need to solve a problem starting with projecting objectives,
allocate resources, budget formation, time scheduling.
The five steps of a project are: planning, organization, implementation, control and
evaluation. Programmes are complex projects and could be international, national,
regional, organizations, level.
Chapter 7
to find the influence of physical and moral depreciation of assets used in the
project,
to find the optimal time using of investment
The time to elaborate the investment project design and documentation, the time to
complete the feasibility study and the construction works or acquisitions of
technology are starting phases of any investment project.
During the project elaboration phase the invested capital funds are minimum.
(2-7%) from the project value, but on the time of making the project the funds
embedded are greater and are related with the project evolution process.
There are three types of financial funds allocation for projects:
1. investment rising funds on project advancing process-(the mathematical
representation is a parabol y= a+ bt+ ct2);
2. investment rising funds on line project advancing process the investment funds
are constant during the time (mathematical representation y= a+bt )
3. the investment funds are allocated in a decreasing way on the project progress in
time, the investments are lesser and lesser (the mathematical representation is a
hyperbola y= kt / a+t ) a, b, c= are the function coefficients,
investiments
III
II
I
time
Invested sum
1
2
3
...
h
...
d-1
d
1 leu or 1 euro
1+a
(1+a)2
(1+a)h-1
(1+a)h-1a
(1+a)h-1+(1+a)h-1a = (1+a)h
(1+a)d-2
(1+a)d-1
(1+a)d-2a
(1+a)d-1a
Analysing the data from the table it results that an invested sum today will be over
the h years (1+a)h
The expression (1+a)h is called the compounding factor or fructification factor of
the invested capital and it is noted with fc with the condition (fc>1)
On the opposite, if a monetary unit (1 leu or 1 euro or 1 $) invested at the present
moment will become (1+a)h over the h years the present value of a monetary unit
will be in the year h 1/ (1+a)h that we note with fd and it is called the discounting
factor (z<1).
We note with y = x (1+a)h the total sum accumulated over the h years with x the
present invested sum expressed in lei or euro and with a the actualization or
discounting ratio.
1
(1 + a ) h
and also
The present investement = Past investement (1 + a ) h
The present investement
Past investement =
(1 + a ) h
(7.2)
P p ta =
h =1
we note
S=
h =1
(1 + a ) h
Ph
(7.3)
(1 + a ) h
S p = a1
1 qn
1 q
(7.4)
ta
= Ph
(1 + a ) D 1
a (1 + a ) D
(7.5)
Nota Bene The discounting factors are found in special tabels called discounted
tabels (see annexes).
If we make an investment calculation and consider future moments (for example
the moment when the investment object will be out of use) the total profit will be
calculated with the formula:
D 1
Pta = Ph f d
v
(7.6)
h =o
s=
(1 + a ) D 1
a
(7.8)
D 1
Pta = Ph (1 + a ) = 1 + (1 + a ) + (1 + a ) 2 +...+(1 + a ) D 1
v
Pta = Ph
v
(7.9)
(1 + a ) D 1
a
D
d
g
m
f
p
time
In the previous figure (7.2) g means the project design, documentation and
feasibility study time, d means the investment project object build up, f means the
payback period and D the total useful investment object time.
To use properly the discounting technique a certain methodology based on seven
steps for calculations is useful:
1. By first, we establish the indicator that we should calculate in a basic static
form.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
(1 + a ) 1 and
1
=
h
h =1 (1 + a )
a (1 + a ) D
D
z=
(7.10)
(1 + a )D 1
z' = (1 + a ) =
D1
h =0
a
7. The seventh, well make the economic analyse and we give a suitable
interpretation for results,
Pna Pta
=
1
I ta
I ta
I ta
Ph
P P
g
d
1
1
1
I
I
=
I
h h
h h
h h
h =1 (1 + a )
h = g +1 (1 + a )
h =1 (1 + a )
I ta =
m
(7.11)
Pta =
m
g+d +D
h =1
g+d
g+d +D
1
1
1
P
I
=
I
h h
h h
h h
(1 + a )
h =1 (1 + a )
h = g + d +1 (1 + a )
(7.12)
Ra =
m
g +d + D
Ra =
m
(1 + a )
g + d +1
g +d
(1 + a )
h = g +1
Pta
I ta m
(7.13)
Ph
1
or Ra =
m
(1 + a ) D 1
(1 + a ) g + d
a (1 + a ) D
g+d
Ih
h = g +1
(1 + a ) h
Ph
1
(7.14)
Ih
I ta =
m
g + d + Ta m
h = g + d +1
(1 + a ) h
Ph
(7.15)
Making the assumption that the profit is either constant on the analysed period or it
is considered to be the medium profit on a forecasted period (particular case for
calculations),
I ta = Ph
(1 + a )
(1 + a ) T
g+d
a (1 + a )
1
T ma
(7.16)
(1 + a ) T
Ph
Ph a I ta (1 + a )
m
g+d
(7.17)
Ta =
m
log Ph log Ph a I ta m (1 + a )
g+d
log(1 + a )
(7.18)
n=
f
T
P P
Figure 7.4 Discounting at the investment object start up at the moment (n)
Pna Pta
=
1
I ta I ta
I ta
;
Ph
I n ta + Cn ta
=
qhD
Total discounted investment at the moment n (Itan) will be calculated using the next
formula:
d
1
n
(7.19)
I ta =
I
h h
h =1 (1 + a )
In the same way, we will find the total discounted profit at the moment n (Ptan) as
follows:
Pta =
n
d+D
(1 + a ) h
h =1
Ph
(7.20)
During the execution period of the investment project object, there is no profit for
the case that the project couldnt be divided in sub-projects that allows partial startups. For this case the mathematical relation to determine the total profit is:
Pta =
n
d+D
h =1
(1 + a )
P
h h
h =1
(1 + a )
P =
h h
h = d +1
(1 + a ) h
Ph
(7.21)
(1 + a ) 1
1
d
(1 + a )
a (1 + a ) D
D
Pta = Ph
n
(7.22)
Another important investment indicator is the net present value of investment ratio
that we will calculate for the moment n (Ran). The mathematical expression is:
Ra
Pta n
= n 1
I ta
(7.23)
(1 + a ) 1
1
d
(1 + a )
a (1 + a ) D
1
d
1
I
h h
h =1 (1 + a )
D
Ph
Ra =
n
(7.24)
The discounted payback period at the moment n (Tan) is obtained like in the
previous case (moment m for discounting) equalizing the discounted investments
with discounted profits as follows:
I ta =
n
I ta = Ph
n
d +T na
1
P
h h
h = d +1 (1 + a )
(1 + a )
(1 + a ) T
n
a
1
d
(7.25)
a (1 + a ) T
(7.26)
Ta =
n
log Ph log Ph I ta (1 + a ) d a
n
log(1 + a )
(7.27)
The discounted total cost of investment at the moment n is given by the next
formula:
K ta = I ta + Cta
n
(7.28)
where
d
1
I
h h
h =1 (1 + a )
I ta =
n
(7.29)
and
Cta =
d+D
h =1
(1 + a ) h
Ch
(7.30)
Cta =
n
d+D
1+ a
h =1
C
h h
h =1
(1 + a )
C =
h h
h = d =1
(1 + a )
C = Ch
h h
(1 + a ) d
(1 + a ) D 1
a (1 + a ) D
(7.31)
So in the end we have:
d
d+D
1
1
1
I
I +
+
=
C
h h
h h
h h
h =1 (1 + a )
h =1 (1 + a )
h =1 (1 + a )
d
K ta = I ta + Cta =
n
Ch
(1 + a ) d
(1 + a ) D 1
(7.32)
a (1 + a ) D
Specific discounted total investment costs kan are established with the following
mathematical ratio:
I ta + C ta
n
ka =
n
d+D
qh
h = d +1
(7.33)
or if we report total investment cost to the annual turnover ATh and annual total
spendings TSh well obtain:
(1 + a ) 1
1
d
(1 + a ) a (1 + a )D
=
1
ATh
D
d (1 + a ) 1
(1 + a )
D
a (1 + a )
D
TSh
ka
(7.34)
Pna Pta
=
1
I ta I ta
I ta
;
Ph
d 1
h
(1 + a ) I h I t
p p = h =0
It
Like in the previous cases we will use the investment geometric diagram to
understand and visualize the relationship between project life cycle and investment
calculations.
f
T
P P
Figure 7.5 Discounting at the start up moment (p) for investment project object
I ta = (1 + a ) h I h
p
(7.35)
h =0
1
P
h h
h =1 (1 + a )
D
Pta =
p
(7.36)
Pta = Ph
p
(1 + a )D 1
D
a (1 + a )
(7.37)
The total net present value of investment ratio (Ra) for the moment p is given by
the next formula:
d 1
h
(1 + a ) I h
I ta
h =0
= p 1 =
1
D
(
Pta
1+ a) 1
Ph
D
a (1 + a )
p
Ra
(7.38)
I ta
(1 + a ) 1
1
=
P = Ph
h h
D
h =1 (1 + a )
a (1 + a )
D
T pa
T=
log Ph log Ph a I ta
log(1 + a )
(7.39)
(7.40)
The profit loose (Pp) caused by risky investments can be calculated with the next
formula:
d 1
Pp = I ta I t = (1 + a ) I h I t
p
h =0
(7.41)
h
(1 + a ) I h I t
p p = h =0
It
(7.42)
- If we relate the profit loose with the production/ services capacity unithat we note
with (pp), well have:
d 1
h
(1 + a ) I h I t
p 'p = h = 0
q ht
(7.43)
- If we relate the profit loose with the forecasted turnover (FT) that we note with
(pp), well have:
d 1
h
(1 + a ) I h I t
p p = h =0
FTt
(7.44)
u=
T
I
P1
Figure 7.5 Discounting for the payback period-for the moment (u)
The discounted total investments at the moment u (Itau) are represented by the
following equation:
d + f 1
I ta = (1 + a ) h I h
u
(7.45)
h =0
d + f 1
f 1
d + f 1
h =0
h =0
h =f
I ta = (1 + a ) h I h (1 + a ) h I h = (1 + a ) h I h
u
(7.46)
The total discounted profit for the moment u (Ptau) contain the split profit (P1) and
(P2) related with the time moment we have as reference:
Pta = P1 + P2
u
(7.47)
P1 = (1 + a ) h Ph
(7.48)
h =0
D f
P2 =
h =1
f 1
1
P
(1 + a )h h
(7.49)
1
(1 + a )f 1 (1 + a ) D f 1
P
=
P
h
h h
h =1 (1 + a )
a
a (1 + a ) D f
Df
P u ta = (1 + a ) Ph +
h
h =0
(7.50)
The net present value of investment ratio for the moment u (Rau) is:
u
Ra =
u
Ra =
Ph
Pta
1
u
I ta
(7.51)
(1 + a )f 1 (1 + a ) D f 1
a
a (1 + a ) D f
d + f 1
h
(1 + a ) I h
(7.52)
h =f
I ta = Ph (1 + a )
u
Ta =
u
I ta
(1 + a )Ta 1
a (1 + a )Ta
(7.53)
log Ph (1 + a ) f log Ph (1 + a ) f aI f ta
log(1 + a )
(1 + a )f 1 (1 + a )T a f 1
= Ph
u
a
a (1 + a )T a f
(7.55)
(7.54)
v=0
I
P
Figure 7.6 Discounting at the end of project investment object using at moment (v)
D 1
d + D 1
h =o
h =0
h =D
I ta = (1 + a ) h I h (1 + a ) h I h = (1 + a ) h I h
v
(7.56)
Ptu = (1 + a ) h Ph = Ph (1 + a ) s = Ph (1 + a )
v
h =0
(1 + a ) D 1
(7.57)
a (1 + a ) D
or
Pta = Ph
v
(1 + a ) D 1
a
(7.58)
Ra =
v
Pta
1
v
I ta
(7.59)
Ph (1 + a )
D
Ra =
v
(1 + a ) D 1
a (1 + a ) D
d + D 1
h
(1 + a ) I h
(7.60)
h =D
I ta =
p
D 1
h =DT va
Tva
1
h
h =1 (1 + a )
(1 + a ) h Ph = Ph (1 + a ) D
(7.61)
Chapter 8
In this period, national and EU programmes are developing as Phare, Sapard, Ispa,
Socrates, Cost, Ceres etc.
The investment funds are used for:
The rehabilitation, modernization and development of the economic
infrastructure in industry, agriculture, constructions, transportations, health
and education;
Technology and know-how transfer for ITC, plants, machinery and
instalallations that are of high technical performace, non-polluting, ecoefficient technologies in EU and international standards of quality;
The development of SMEs;
The restructuring and privatization of the companies that were state owned;
The build-up of new facilities with private or public destination;
The positive economic effects of using rationally, efficient and effective the
investments funds borrowed from the international financial organizations are:
As a consequence we could say that it is very important that the borrowed funds
from national and international organizations to be used properly and effective in
order to have an important positive role in one economic development, either at
microeconomic level or macroeconomic one.
When an organization asked for funds for investment projects the bank requested a
business plan or feasibility studies in order to minimize the risk of improper usage
of the borrowed funds.
Vt = V p + Vi + Dc + Ca Cvr ( Cad + Di + Ce + Cc )
where:
Vt = Total income
Vp = Income from capital placements
Vi = Income from loans
Dc = Interests from comissions;
Ca = Comissions from aranjaments;
Cvr = Comissions for special reserve;
Cad = Administrative spendings,
(8.1)
We have also to note that according the IBRD methodology for feasibility studies,
both the economic analyse and the financial analyse are made with the goal to find
the optimum variant of investment project after analysing more variants on a
comparative basis.
B. EBRD or the European Bank for Reconstruction and Developement is an
international financial organism established in 1991 with the role to support
economic and financial assistance to the Central and Eastern states in their
transition to market economy.
The loans from EBRD are mainly used to finance the development of the private
sector especially for SMEs but also for public investments project as infrastructure
development.
The feasibility studies according to the IBRD and EBRD methodologies Studies
have the content as follows:
introduction,
project history,
legal framework,
sector and subsector,
economic agent (the applying company),
marketing analyse
technical and technological analyse,
environmental impact analyse for investment project as well as for resulted
product or service,
economic analyse including the cost of impact,
financial analyse with references to forecasted costs and financial sources
(owned or borrowed) for future activity,
sensitivity analyse,
risk analyse.
Behrens W., Hawrenek P.M. Manual for the preparation of industrial feasibility studies 1991,
ONUDI - Vienna
Placement studies.
Environmental impact studies (especially at the investment projects at chemical
plants, facilities and installations, paper plants, petroleum refinary, foundry
plants, nuclear plants, hydro-electrical and thermical plants).
Studies Economies of scale evaluation studies to determine the best size for a
plant, factory etc. which have to be the most economic after taking into
consideration the costs of investments, costs of production, prices of
technologies etc.
Studies for selection of machinery, installations and equipments that include
technical characteristcs, bids, contracting, supplying, aquisitions or leasing etc.
8.3.2 Pre-feasibility studies
In the pre-investment stage is necessary to make a pre-feasibility study which have
a similar structure with the feasibility study except for the more general
informations contained in the study.
The pre-feasibility studies contains eight parts:
1. The strategy and scope of the project
2. The market and the marketing concept
3. Materials and raw materials
4. Placement, place and environment
5. Engineering and technology
6. Organization and unexpected costs
7. Human resources
8. Implementation scheme and budget
8.3.3 Feasibility studies
The feasibility studies are complex technical- economical- environmental studies to
justify an investment project.
The term feasibility is coming from english language and means that is worth
investing in something for an expected benefit (profit or others).
Usually at the making of a feasibility study participates a team with professionals
from various domains: economics, marketing, accounting, law, engineering,
sociology, environmentalists etc. as the complexity of the project required this. It is
not necessary to make a feasibility study for any investment.
For small investments, the banks ask for a business plan which have a simplified
structure comparing with the feasibility study and in which the accent is put on the
economic, financial and risk analyses.
The banks ask for feasibility studies for a large project investment, especially in the
public sector for infrastructure works, big capacities of production which require a
very aqurate analyse.
Usually feasibility analyses are oriented to bidding systems for project investments.
The structure of the feasibilty studies are similar with the structure of prefeasibility studies but more detailed. This time, the estimations must bring a
prooved aquracy and to take very seriously into consideration the economic
analyse, the financial analyse, the risk analyse and the impact assessment.
In the componence of a feasibility studies there are nine parts:
1. The company background, the need of the project, placement of the investment
object
2. The marketing analyse, customers, competition, supplying policy
3. Engineering and technology
4. Organization, management
5. Economic analyse and Financial analyse
6. Sensitivity analyse
7. Environmental analyse
8. Risk analyse
9. Project implementation and evaluation
8.3.4 The evaluation report
The setting up of the evaluation report take place after the feasibility study was
accomplished together with its main objective, the verification of the investment
funds correct using and effective allocation according to the written contracts
between parts (the bank and investors or contractors).
On the other hand, a feasible location analyse is performed in order to determine if
the investment object is correctly placed.
For example, if an industrial objective has access to communications ways, raw
material supplying, if the produced products have a market, if there are enough
customers etc.
8.4 Economic and financial analyses for the feasibility studies and bussiness
plans
The economic and financial analyses are important elements to determine the
feasibility of an investment project either at a microeconomic level or at
macroeconomic one.
Usually, the economic analyse have the functions of:
companys valuation in order to prove the capacity of the firm to make the
project and to payback the loans borrowed from the bank for investment set up;
to analyse the costs of investment project. For this reason, the costs are
separated on costs centers. The forecasted costs are also taking into
consideration in order to find the total cost of the project.
To establish the return of the project by analysing some economical and financial
indicators as IBRD indicators: gross income, total spendings, benefice-cost,
discounted cash flow, Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR),
Bruno Test, breakeven point.
At all those up mentioned, from the sustainability point of view, we could add also
the evaluation function of the cost of the environmental impact for which we take
into account the sustainability indicators.
As methods of work, the Cost Benefit Analyse (CBA) and the Life Cyde Costing
are useful in dealing with the investments projects from the Sustainable
Development perspective.
A systemic approach for the economic analyse in investment projects evaluation
takes into account6:
1) The economic analyse of the investment project based on comparassions with
similar or alternative variants of projects from the total eco-efficiency
perspective (profit+ environmental and social benefit).
2) The establishing of the planning horizon of the investment projects activities and
split it up in times easy to control and monitoring at fixed dates.
3) The estimation of the cash flow profile for each variant of project.
4) The establishing of minimum rate of return.
5) The establishing of criteria (economical, environmental, technological or human
social) for accepting or rejecting a project proposal.
6) The Sensitivity analyse.
7) The Risk and uncertainity analyse.
8) The acceptance or rejecting the project proposal based on benchmarked scores.
Hendrickson C. Tung A. Project management for constructions, Prentice hall, New Jersey 1989
USA
3. Cash-flow
The cash-flow is an important indicator in the economical and financial analyse for
feasibility studies or bussiness plans. It could be based on historical data but
usually it is based on forecasted data. Curently, it shows the gain or loose by using
efficient or non-efficient of the investment funds. Keeping in mind the reference
moment for analyse, the cash-flow is discounted so the method is called also The
Discounted Cash Flow or (DCF).
The relationship for calculations is:
CFh = Vh (C h + I h )
(8.3)
where:
CFh
= the annual cash-flow
Vh
= the income in year h
Ch and Ih = costs and investments in the year h
From the sustainable developement perspective and by transforming the present
companies into eco-companies that perform eco-efficient activities the relationship
for cash-flow calculations could become :
)]
(8.4)
where:
CFeco h = eco cash-flow
Vh
= the income in year h (because of production or exploitation)
Ch si Ih = costs and investments in the year h
Vheco = the income in year h (because of ecologizing production or exploitation)
Checo = the costs to reduce pollution (at the project or company level) and the
diminishing the consumption of non-regenerative material and energy
resources and recycling activities stimulation.
Iheco
= company eco-investments to prevent pollution and promote design for
environment for products and packaging and /or to develop ecotechnologies and alternative sources for energy.
It is true that for a restructuring and transition economy as Romanias it seemed to
be a luxury to invest in environmental technologies, but measures have to be taken
and starting with BAT Principle (Best available technology) and gradually
developing or aquiring eco-efficiency technologies the present situation is going to
be changed to eco-efficiency. A good model is given by advanced countries that
reached high standards in eco-technologies in Europe like the Netherlands,
Sweden, Germany, France, Britain or USA, Canada and Japan.
NPV =
d +D
h =1
I h + C h d + D Vh I h C h
=
h
(1 + a ) h
h =1 (1 + a )
h =1
d +D
Vh
(1 + a)
(8.5)
where:
NPV= Net Present Value,
Vh = the income gained in the year h
Ih = annual investment
Ch = annual spendings (annual cost)
a
= discounting coefficient
The condition for a project investment to be accepted and financing by a bank is
that NPV>0. This indicator is important to express the capacity of the investment
project to bring profit on its whole life cycle.
This indicator is not an efficiency economic indicator since the comparision
between efforts and effects it is not assured.
5. The benefice- cost ratio is an indicator that well find within the next formula:
d +D
R=
Income
=
Cost
Vh
(1 + a)
h =1
d +D
I h + Ch
h
h =1 (1 + a )
(8.6)
Nota Bene The relationship (5) is used especially to private investments where
principal criterion is to obtain profit.
This relationship is not used for public investment projects where the benefit is
other than profit (i.e. environmental, social etc.). Therefore, for public investments,
other analyse to be performed is called the Cost Benefit Analyse (CBA).
In this case the most favorable ratio is given by the next relationship:
R=
(8.7)
NPV = 0
d +D
Vh
(1 + a)
h =1
d +D
I h + Ch
(1 + a)
h =1
(8.8)
Vh I h C h
=0
(1 + a ) h
h =1
d +D
NPV (+)
NPV (+ ) + NPV ()
(8.9)
NPV
NPV(+)
amax
IRR
Discounting rate a
amin
NPV (-)
Figure 8.1 IRR diagram
Rna =
I h + Ch
(1 + a )
h =1
V * h ( C * h + I * h )
(1 + a ) h
h =1
d +D
(8.10)
Where Ih and Ch are annual investments and annual costs expressed in ROL and
V*h, I*h and C*h are the incomes and production or exploitation expressed in foreign
currrency.
8. The Breakeven point (BP), is also an indicator which shows the business level in
production or services became feasible.
The Breakeven diagram
PROFIT
75
Breakeven
point
BP
50
Variable costs
Cv
25
Looses
Fixed costs
Breakeven
step
Pe
Economic
contribution
100
Cf
0
25
Unfeasible production
50
Production
100 (%)
75
Feasible production
y
Unfeasible production( x)
=
100
Variable cos ts
100
Annual TurnoverAT
(8.11)
Unfeasible production( x) =
Cf
100
AT Cv
(8.12)
where:
CF = Fixed Costs (amortizations, general fixed costs, Taxes, WATT, salaries etc.)
CV = Variable costs (raw materials, energy etc.)
AT = Annual Turnover.
If the approach for project investment feasibility is made from the sustainability
point of view, the breakeven point we will find on a Paveto type diagramme in a
three dimensional representation as it shows in figure 8.3:
Incomes
and costs
ECO- PROFIT
An
Tu
PROFIT
100
90
80
Cv
70
60
50
Cvec
LOOSES
ENV.LOOSES
40
X'
30
20
Cfec
10
classical
breakeven
Cf
Pro
Pareto curve
Pareto
optimum
0
Environmental
friendly production
and business
In this case,
X' =
Cfec
100
Pmec Cvec
(8.13)
where:
Cfec = Fixed costs to ecologize production (business): Eco-taxes, Ecological
Tradable Permits (ETP), eco-qualification and specialization of employees.
Cvec = Variable costs to ecologize production (DFE-Design For Environment
products, eco-equipments aquisitions and of new apparatus to ecologize
the existence production processes, costs with recycling technologies,
costs with environmental rehabilitation etc.)
Pmec = Annual turnover based on eco-profit from the sustainable production by
lowering the costs with differentiated eco-tax to the pollution levels,
incomes from trading the pollution rights, incomes from trading the
recyclied wastes, income from energy costs economy by using low energy
consumption technologies.
The optimum point will be find in a Pareto Diagramme, therefore the real point of
sustainable production will be:
SPx =
( )
X2 + X'
(8.14)
8.7 Conclusions
Romania is now on its way to European Integration, therefore investments are quite
important.
Usually the application for project investments credits requires a specific
documentation as business plans or feasibility studies depending on the size and
importance of the investment and the amount of money requested.
Business plans and feasibility studies are made according to methodologies
imposed by the financial institutions and they have a structure that consists of a
company presentation and history, project utility and scope, other sources of
finance, management and organization, a marketing analyse, a technical analyse, a
legal analyse, an economic and financial analyse, an impact assessement analyse, a
sensitivity analyse and a risk and uncertainity analyse.
The investment projects are compared in order to determine the most feasible one.
To find the best alternative of a project investment, international and national
organisations use economic and financial indicators as, turnover, total cost,
cash-flow, Net Present Value (NPV, benefice cost ratio, Internal Rate of Return
(IRR), Bruno Test, Breakeven point.
As the environmental problems as: pollution, resource diminishing and depleting,
ozone layer diminishing and climate change, etc. became a matter of concern for
the entire society, the European States and the developed states have taken hard
measures against the companies lacking in eco-civic behaviour. Therefore, we must
to consider the feasibility of projects from both profitability and eco-civic
behaviour which in certain situation could become sources for profit too.
8.8 Themes to be solved by the students
1.
2.
3.
4.
Chapter 9
minimize it. To minimize risk a good system of information of the factors that
could affect the investment object is needed.
The methodologies of Romanian Banks (B.R.D, B.C.R, Bancpost, Raiffeisen etc.)
and international (I.B.R.D, E.B.R.D, U.N.I.D.O) or the Romanian legislation
(Ordinance 792/13 N/1994 of M.L.P.A.T) underline the necessity of making
provision funds to minimize the risk of investments.
As a consequence, the using of the analysis of risk and uncertainty in the
elaboration phase of feasibility studies is quite useful as the execution of any
investment project implies several categories of risk (economical and financial,
technological, environmental, human error, geographical, political, social etc.).
A classification of risks shows that the investment project risks could be:
- systematic - the result of investment project could be affected by factors that
affect also other economic activities as the modification of the interest rate,
inflation with direct influence in prices changing, changes in demands on the
internal and external markets for certain products and services, climate change,
earthquake, floods, raw material and energy resource depletion, new restrictions
from laws changes, new eco-efficient and cheaper technologies that makes
existent technologies to be morally obsolete,
- non-systematic - the result of investment project may be affected by the
management of the company or by the project management team, a non adequate
policy and strategy of the company, time delaying in project activities, overcosts,
overpays etc.
Levels of risk. In management and economic books concerning risks it is
mentioned that there are three levels of risk: low, medium and high, as well as five
categories of risk (very low, low, medium, high, very high). The categories of risk
are:
Very low risk (5-7%) for example the risk of governmental bond acquisitions,
Low risk (10 %) investments in making known products from food industry,
Medium risk (15%) investments in developing the range of existent products
(passing from Pentium 4 to Pentium 5 microprocessors),
High risk (20-25 %) the launch of a new product on the market (i.e a new type
of car),
Very high risk (over 25-35 %) research and development activities for new
products or fundamental research, new inventions.
We could establish a relationship between the level of risk and an economical
product life cycle. Although, it is known that a product has an economical life
cycle with the following phases: launch the new product, product growth, maturity,
decline, renewing, abandon.
Market
demand
Level
of risk
maturity
Product
marketing
costs/ incomes
from sellings
renewing
New product
Known
product
decline
growth
launch
abandon
time
optimum
time
Figure 9.1 The economical life cycle of product and the risk level
The connection between the product life cycle and the level of risk is good to be
known when taking a decision concerning an investment project for a new product.
It is true that the influence of the risk could be minimized when exists proper
product policies, product strategies and product tactics in what may concern the 4 P
(product, place-market, price, promotion and publicity).The influence of new
technologies appearance with higher quality, cheaper and energy efficient is a high
risk for obsolete technologies. Many times, due to the fast advance of science and
technology and innovations (revolutionary inventions) breakthroughs, this puts on
risks companies that are not adapting fast. The new products will hurry the decline
of the old technologies and products.
9.2 Economic criteria to analyse uncertainty and risks for investment projects
The analysis for uncertainty and risk is based on methods used in statistic analysis
of data concerning the evolution of indicators as incomes, costs, cash-flows etc.
There are also used forecasting analyses, marketing analysis, games theory etc.
The range of criterias (some of them) to analyse uncertainty and risks for projects
is consisted of:
Bayes-Laplace criteria,
Maximin criteria,
Maximax criteria,
Hurwicz criteria,
regretes minimax criteria.
The Bayes - Laplace criteria is based on the supposition that the probability for
equalizing the level of demand for certain products or services, that are offered by
different project investment, that have diverse production capacities, implies a
different demand.
For example, suppose that we have four types of investment projects for production
plants of different capacities, for which existing four levels of demand, each one
being able to bring a profit Pi (i=1..4)
Project
investment of:
Capacity q1
Capacity q2
Capacity q3
Capacity q4
Product 1
P1
200
180
10
80
Product 2
P2
180
270
210
100
Product 3
P3
160
250
400
300
Product 4
P4
150
200
380
450
Table 9.1 The investment project selection using Bayes Laplace criteria.
We suppose that the probability of demand for each type of product is 50%.
The Net Present Value (NPV) for each project investment in production capacities
will be obtained by multiplying the probability coefficient (in our case 50% or 0,5)
with the product capacity for each product. In this way well have:
q1 P1= (0,5 x 200) + (0,5 x 180) + (0,5 x 160) + (0,5 x 150) = 345
q2 P2= (0,5 x 180) + (0,5 x 270) + (0,5 x 250) + (0,5 x 200) = 450
q3 P3= (0,5 x 10) + (0,5 x 210) + (0,5 x 100) + (0,5 x 180) = 250
q4 P4= (0,5 x 80) + (0,5 x 100) + (0,5 x 300) + (0,5 x 450) = 415
According to the Bayes-Laplace criteria, the project investment no. 2 will obtain
the highest profit, so the variant 2 seemes to be the most advantageous.
The Maximin criteria (maxim gain at minimum risk) starts with the pessimistic
assumption that the investor will choose to have a minimum sure gain instead a big
one, but uncertain. Therefore, the investor will choose those projects that brings a
maximum sure income at a minimum production capacity.
From table 9.2, will result that product 1 will fulfill the restrictive condition by the
maximin criteria and the product capacity q2.
Project investment in plant
capacity
q1
q2
q3
q4
Table 9.2 The selection of project investment variant using minimax criteria
brings maximum profit at maximum risk. From the table 9.3 will result:
Project investment in plant capacity
q1
q2
q3
q4
Table 9.3 The selection of project investments variant using maximax criteria
Analyzing the data from table 9.3 will result that the variant q4 will be the best.
Hurwicz criteria
The investment project selection using Hurwicz minimax criteria is based on the
relationship between maximin criteria and minimax criteria based on the
assumption that the investor is not either optimistic or pessimistic.
This criteria use the score methods from the best or worse variants of investment
projects.
The score method is to give certain scores (usually from 0 to 1) to variants of
investment projects, function of investors attitude. For example, if the investor
choose investments with minimum risk (has risk aversion) is considered a prudent
investor. In this case, the investor will use a higher score (c= 0,75-0,85) for variants
of investment projects that brings a minimum certain profit and the rest for variants
of investment projects with maximum uncertain profit.
Applying the Hurwicz criteria to the selection of the four types of investment
projects, well chooses those variants of projects which brings maximum profit
both in maximum risk conditions for which c=0,25-0,35 or minimum risk
conditions for which c=0,65-0,75.
Project
investment
in plant
capacity
Maximum
profit
Score
(risk
25%)
1
q1
q2
q3
q4
2
200
270
400
450
3
0,25
0,25
0,25
0,25
Maximum
profit
at
maximum
risk
(2x3)
4
50
65
100
112,5
Minimum
Profit
Score
(risk
75%)
Minimum
profit at
minimum
risk
(5x6)
Profit at
optimum
risk
(4+7)
5
150
180
10
80
6
0,75
0,75
0,75
0,75
7
112,5
135
7,5
60
8
162,5
200
100,5
172,5
Table 9.4 The selection of variants of project investment using Hurwicz criteria
The advantage of this method comparing to the previous methods is based on the
fact that the structure of business (production) is taking into consideration at the
selection for the best variant of investment project.
Regretes minimax criteria
Is the method which take into consideration the losses from costs based on
deficient decisions. It is assumed that the investor will have regrets in choosing a
variant of project considered to be disadvantageous. The regret or the cost of
opportunity of incorect decision is given by the difference between the present
profit and the maximum profit which should have been obtained for the
corespondent level of demand. For this, the matrix of regrets is establishing
following the methodology presented below:
Step 1. The maximum forecasted profit is taken for each product. For example, for
product 1, maximum profit is 200 at project investment q1 (see table 9.5)
Step 2. For the same product, the maximum profit is compared with the variants of
investment projects for production capacities taking into account that, from
the maximum value of profit/product or profit/product range are extracted
the profit forecasted values as in the next example:
200-200=0
200-180=20
200-10= 190
200-80 =120
The same for other products
Step 3. The matrix of regrets is filling up:
Project
investment in
plant capacity
q1
q2
q3
q4
Product 1
P1
Product 2
P2
Product 3
P3
Product 4
P4
0
20
190
120
90
0
60
170
240
150
0
100
300
250
70
0
Table 9.5 The matrix of minimax regretes for selection of variants projects of
investments
Step 4. The maximum regret will be obtained for each capacity of production.
Project investment in plant capacity
q1
q2
q3
q4
Maximum
regret
300
250
190
170
Step 5 and conclusions: Analysing the data from table 9.6 will result that the
variant 4 is the best as the project investment maximum
regret is optimum for minimum profit (the project
investment in plant capacity q4).
9.3 Sensitivity analysis
This type of analysis, as the name shows, establishes the level of sensitivity of a
future investment project to random modifications that could appear during the
project life cycle.
The sensitivity analysis consists in making estimations of the costs modifications
for investment projects, due to negative influences considered as critical variables
as inflation, interest rates changes, currency ratio modifications etc. and finding of
the minimum influence point in costs. The principal analytic indicators are
Financial Internal Rate of Return (FIRR), Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Project
Time for Completing, Net Present Value (NPV), Forecasted Selling Price (FPS),
Annual Turnover (AT), Breakeven Point (BP).
9.4 Forecasting methods for investment projects
The economic forecasting represents the process of anticipation of economic
processes in the future taking into account historic data.
The main methods in economic forecasting are:
comparation method,
extrapolation method (the future projection of economic process function of
its previous evolution),
reflexive method by using some coefficients which characterize the trend in
evolution of the investigated case,
normative method by establishing of resource consumption normes;
explorative method based on mathematical functions as Cobb-Douglas
production function, based on the existence of some dependent variables and
one or more independent variables.
Q
in which Q = production modification on market
I
S = ( y i Yi ) 2 = min im
(9.1)
t =1
As it is well known, the minimum of a function is given by the roots of the first
derivative that comply with the conditions:
S
S
S
= 0;
= 0; ...;
=0
a 1
a n
a 0
(9.2)
- Step 5: The writing down of the mathematical form of the forecasting function;
- Step 6: The calculation of the dependent variable based on the considered function
and the testing of the forecasted mathematical function; The calculus of
statistical indicators;
- Step 7: The forecasting of dependent variable based on elected function and the
required capital for investment with the production function established
earlier.
Economic forecasting functions
The mathematical functions for economic forecasting contain four categories:
- polynomial and power functions that are used when the dependent and
independent variable have variable evolutions;
The mathematical representation is:
n
y = at x t
(9.3)
t=0
y = a 0 + a1 x
y = a 0 + a1 x + a 2 x 2
parabola (slope)
(9.4)
(9.5)
y = ax
(9.6)
power function
in which y = dependent variable, x = independent variable, at = proportion
coefficients
- exponential functions that are used in the case when the dependent variable has
fast growing comparing to independent variables:
y = ab x
(9.7)
b
y = a + bx
or
(9.8)
- logarithmic functions that are used in the moment when the evolution of analysed
investments is fast growing or fast decreasing:
y = a log b x
(9.9)
or
y = a + b log e x
(9.10)
- logistical and homographic functions are used at the project investments that have
as main objective reaching to the top or lowest levels and have contradictory
evolutions (fast ascending and fast descending). This functions have the
following mathematical representations:
y=
ax + b
k
b
; y=
; y=a+
bx
cx + d
c+x
1 + ae
(9.11)
9.5 Conclusions
In any investment project, risk and uncertainty are inevitable. Therefore, proper
risk and uncertainty analyses are necessary. In these types of analyses, we assess
the risk level following five classes of risk (very low, low, medium, high and very
high). Some economic criterias are used in risk assessment such as: BayesLaplace, Maximum, Maximax, Horwicz and regrets minimax.
To show the capacity of the investment project to face random modifications,
sensitivity analyses are required, in which indicators such as FIRR, DCF, NPV,
FSPAT, BP are used.
The main forecasting methods are: comparation, extrapolation, reflexive,
normative, explorative.
9.6 Themes for students
- Define risk and uncertainty.
- Observe and analyse the risk and uncertainty to an investment project in an
environmental field.
- Build a DCF for a company with 120.000 annual turnover.
Chapter 10
Introduction
The CSB graph
Computer Expert System for CSB
Conclusions
Bibliography
10.1 Introductions
The growing awareness and the need to reduce the environmental impact of
products, processes and activities in the building industry, found in LCA (Life
Cycle Assessment) one important managerial tool in assisting the strategic
planning and decision making. LCA is considered to be a support tool to
implement Environmental Management System (EMS) and Life Cycle Thinking
(LCT) in the companies. This trend is also in the building industry.
The success of LCA implementation in the (building) companies depends on how
the information regarding four important factors as economical, technical,
environmental, human-social are received and understand by the top management.
If the way of presenting the data is concise, time-efficient and interrelate the four
factors, the work efficiency of the building company management is improving and
the time from decisions till practical application is shortened.
10.2 The CSB graph
The new information technologies e.g. computers and specialized programs used
by the building companies, allows the fast synthesis and the aggregation of
different various data covering the four factors (economical, technical,
environmental, human-social) which usually the top management are using into
decision making processes.
Therefore, it is a need for an instrument capable to aggregate data from the four
factors and to relate these data to product life cycle at the level of the stage for
which the building company is specialized. CSB graph is presented in the fig. 10.1:
EV 1
EV 2
HIGH
LEVEL
EI 10
EI 9 EI 8
EI 7
EV 3
ECONOMIC
VALUATION
EI 6 ENVIRONMENTAL
IMPACT
EI 5
EV 4
EV 5
EI 4
EI 3
EV 6
EI 2
EV 7
EI 1
TV 1
IH 6
IH 5
TV 2
TECHNICAL
VALUATION
TV 3
IH 4
TV 4
TV 5
IH 3
IH 2
TV 6
BEST
PRACTICE
FIRM
EI 1
EI 2
EI 3
EI 4
EI 5
EI 6
EI 7
EI 8
EI 9
EI10
EV 1
EV 2
EV 3
EV 4
EV 5
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT
RESOURCE DEPLETION
Depletion of non-renewable resources
Depletion of renewable resources
Land use
POLLUTION
Global warming
Ozone depletion
Photochemical oxidant formation
Acidification
Eutrophication
Waste
Ecotoxicity
ECONOMIC VALUATION
Product value
Product / Project cost
Product / Project benefit
Depreciation
Profit
TV 7
EV 6
EV 7
TV 1
TV 2
TV 3
TV 4
TV 5
TV 6
TV 7
IH 1
IH 2
IH 3
IH 4
IH 5
IH 6
MEDIUM
LEVEL
IMPACT ON
HUMAN
(INDIVIDUALS
AND
SOCIETY)
IH 1
LOW
LEVEL
Value added
Material Stocks level
TECHNICAL VALUATION
Productivity
Efficiency
Effectiveness
Quality
Flexibility (Rate of change)
Energy consumption
Complexity degree
IMPACT ON HUMAN
Health
Social
Cultural
Political ( Legislation e.g. Eco-Tax)
Customer satisfaction
Empowerment and innovation
Figure 10.1 The CSB (Circular Synergic Benchmark)1 graph adapted after Balm
(1992)
1
CSB graph was developed by Cristian Silviu Banacu in 1996 at Chalmers University of Technology
under the supervision of professor dr. Sten Bengtsson
This instrument puts in one sight view information obtained from different
departments within the building companies: management, human resources,
marketing, technology, environment, production, legal, accounting, purchasing,
business development, distribution, communication.
It is considered that a eco-product must be:
Economically profitable,
Environmental friendly,
Technologically feasible,
Socially acceptable.
Therefore, the CSB graph has four quadrants correspondent to the four aspects that
concern a building company in relation with the product life cycle. These are:
1. Economic: the reason of being of any company is to obtain profit, to minimize
the production costs, to have a better public image, to straighten its position on
the market. Costs, profits, depreciation of machinery are factors that influence
the decision making of the building companies. Putting into a single chart these
factors together with the environmental impact of the product at different stages
of its life cycle and considering the technical and social aspects of production,
the building company management will have a complete image of the feasibility
of the product.
2. Environmental: reflects the need of the company to adapt its production to the
new environmental requirements. The environmental data for PLCC are
obtained from LCA of the product. However, a formal modification will be
made in the sense that the LCA data will concern the stage of the product life
cycle, according to the building companys profile. For example, if the field of
activity of the building company are the building works, reparations for
buildings or building property management (real estate management), LCA that
will be made, will be specific to this segment of the building life cycle. That
means that the stage product in use will be analysed separately of the whole
life cycle, but following the LCA procedures (goal definitions, inventory,
impact assessment, improvement assessment).
The analyses concern more indoor climate, energy consumption over the
building usage, waste separation at source, CO emissions during construction
works etc.)
3. Technical: reflects the need of the building companies to improve its efficiency
and productivity in order to minimize the energy consumption together with the
emissions of wastes and noxious; to improve the quality of products through
quality of activities and processes; to let room for innovation.
4. Social human needs: reflects the interest of the building company into
motivating its employees for an environmental behaviour. The Learning
organization is transforming into an environmental educational organization;
Employees learn to have an environmental behaviour either by qualification
courses for environment performed by the company or by the nature of job e.g.
selective demolition, materials and building component parts recovery-recyclereuse. The social aspect of environmental qualification resides on the fact that
the employees will continue to have an environmental attitude also in their
private life, which is good for entire society. Other aspects are related to the
policy of the building companies to create jobs especially in new segments as
recycling, re-manufacturing of materials and products resulted from demolition.
The CSB has axes in each quadrant. The number of axes depends on the number of
issues that the building company management wants to have information about.
The chart has three levels:
minimum (low),
medium,
high.
The chart is aiming to present the trend (resulted from analysis) for a specific
aspect of the product during its life cycle, and not to give numerical data.
Therefore, it was understood that the results obtained are from different numeric
analyses (economical, technical, environmental, social). However, it must exists
the possibility that the data were easy verifiable. Therefore, the building company
could provide a system of measures as is presented in the table 10.1.
The CSB graph is characteristic to the type of Management through objectives and
therefore, a Best Practice Company is considered to be as a system of reference.
The Best Practice Company is the company which is the most experienced in the
field, obtaining maximum profit and having a good technological development, but
in the same time, is having good results concerning Environmental issues (energy
consumption, pollution, depletion minimising).
If there is not other competitor, with better results, the building company could
consider its own goals as a level of reference.
For different products with the same characteristics, it is possible that if we use a
proper weighing, we find the best alternative.
EI 4
Depletion of non-renewable
resources
Depletion of renewable resources
Land use
POLLUTION
Global warming
EI 5
Ozone depletion
EI 6
EI 7
EI 8
EI 9
EI10
EV 1
EV 2
EV 3
EV 4
Ecotoxicity
ECONOMIC VALUATION
Product value
Product / Project cost
Product / Project Company benefit
Depreciation
EV 5
EV 6
EV 7
Profit
Value added
Material Stocks level
TV 1
TV 2
TV 3
TV 4
TECHNICAL VALUATION
Productivity
Efficiency
Effectiveness
Quality
TV 5
TV 6
TV 7
Complexity degree
IMPACT ON HUMAN
Health
Social
Cultural
Political ( Legislation e.g. Eco-Tax)
Customer satisfaction
Empowerment and innovation
EI 2
EI 3
IH 1
IH 2
IH 3
IH 4
IH 5
IH 6
MATERIALS;
EMMISIONS
MEASURES
kg. Metter or MJ energy from fossil fuels
MJ energy from hydropower
km2 crop land or km2 forest
CO2, CO
Table 10.1 System of measures for CSB graph (Circular Synergic Benchmark
concepted by C.S. Bnacu)
Scale (percentage)
Low Level Medium Level High Level
RESOURCE DEPLETION
Depletion of non-renewable
resources
EI 2 Depletion of renewable resources
EI 3 Land use
POLLUTION
EI 4 Global warming
EI 5 Ozone depletion
EI 6 Photochemical oxidant formation
EI 7 Acidification
EI 8 Eutrophication
EI 9 Waste
EI10 Ecotoxicity
ECONOMIC VALUATION
EI 1
0.15
0.5
0
50
100
1= small 50 = medium 100 = large
0.5
0.5
0.25
0.10
0.5
0.05
0.020
0.020
0.05
0.05
50 = medium
50 = medium
50 = medium
50 = medium
50 = medium
50 = medium
50 = medium
100 = large
100 = large
100 = large
100 = large
100 = large
100 = large
100 = large
EV 1 Product value
EV 2 Product / Project cost
EV 3 Product / Project Company
benefit
EV 4 Depreciation of machinery
EV 5 Profit
EV 6 Value added
EV 7 Material Stocks level
TECHNICAL ASSESSMENT
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.25
0.15
0.20
TV 1
TV 2
TV 3
TV 4
TV 5
TV 6
TV 7
Productivity
0.10
1 = poor 50 = good
100=excellent
Efficiency
0.45
1 = poor 50 = good
100=excellent
Effectiveness
0.10
1 = poor 50 = good
100=excellent
Quality
0.25
1 = poor 50 = good
100=excellent
Flexibility (Rate of change)
0.05
1 = poor 50 = good
100=excellent
Energy consumption
0.10
1= small 50 = medium 100 = large
Complexity degree
0.05
1= small 50 = medium 100 = large
IMPACT ON HUMAN
IH 1 Health
0.45
1= small 50 = medium 100 = large
IH 2 Social
0.10
1= small 50 = medium 100 = large
IH 3 Cultural
0.5
1= small 50 = medium 100 = large
IH 4 Political (Legislation e.g.
0.25
1= small 50 = medium 100 = large
Eco-Tax)
IH 5 Customer satisfaction
0.10
1 = poor 50 = good 100 = excellent
IH 6 Empowerment and innovation
0.10
1= small 50 = medium 100 = large
Table 10.2 A model of weighing system for CSB graph
Method of calculation:
The method of calculation is similar when comparing the results of two
companies that make a product with the same characteristics, or when comparing
two or more products, projects or processes alternatives that the company has to
decide about.
Positional value = weight x scale (%)
(10.1)
It is considered that the scale of the homologue axe from the CSB is from 1 to 10.
For example: Depletion of non-renewable resource for a certain material:
Company A: 0.5 x 50 = 2.5
Company B: 0.5 x 49 = 2.45
The analysis follows for all the items presented in the CSB weighing table.
The comparative results are presented in the CSB.
10.3 Computer Expert System for CSB
CSB can increase in utility by developing a computer program (fig.10.2).
In this way, the information from different data bases of the company concerning
product, processes/activities and projects can be easily aggregated in one-sight
chart.
The information could be easily updated according to the modifications that can
occur at one period of time in relation with the product, project, process/activity,
from different aspects: economical, technical, environmental, social.
In this way, the Top Management of a building company can analyse just in time
the best alternative of products, project investments, or to choose the suitable
technologies for its production purposes.
Data from the producers of various building components, materials and machinery
will be available for the building companies. By simply actualising the data bases
of the company, the management of the building company can quickly establish the
best decisions to be taken regarding suppliers, qualification of personnel, investing
in new technologies.
Increase profit
Decrase impact
impact
Decrease
Economic Data
Accounting Dept..
Environmental impact
data: Source LCA
BUILDING COMPANY
MANAGEMENT
Reduction
of costs by
efficient
using of
machinery
PLCC
Technical Data
Process, activity
environmental
atttude of the
attitude
employees,
innovation
Social data
empowerment and motivation for quality work
increase work efficiency stimulate innovation
Increase efficiency
Increase participation,
motivation
Figure 10.2 Computerized variant of CSB expert system for sustainable companies
10.4 Conclusions
The actual practice of implementing the Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) for
products, processes and activities in the companies from the building industry
made necessary the development of specific tools that could ease the tasks of the
Top Management.
One such tool is the Circular Synergic Benchmark (CSB), which puts together the
four categories of requirements for the products: economic profitability,
environmental friendly, technical effective, social acceptance.
CSB has the following advantages:
is easy readable and understandable,
2. Gheorghiu, A.
3. Keoleian, G.,
Menerey, D.
7. ***
Chapter 11
Investments in research
and development (R&D) projects
for sustainable development
NSR =
1 N =i l
NPsales
SR rev N =i j
(11.1)
where:
NPsales = sales revenue in year i from product developments commercialized in
year N;
Sales
= total sales revenue in year i.
b) Cost Savings Ratio (CSR): The ratio of savings in the cost of goods sold in year
i from process development or product changes adopted in years i-k to i-l to
average gross profits in year i, or:
CSR =
1 N =i l
CG savings
GP N =i k
(11.2)
where:
CGsavings = reduction in cost of goods sold in year i from process developments
or product changes adopted in year N:
GP
= average gross profit for business unit in year i.
c) R&D Yield: The gross profit (GP) contribution from the sale of new and
improved products (NP) and from the lower cost of goods from new and
improved processes or new formulations (CR).
where:
or
R & D Yield = NP + CR
(11.3)
NP = GP NSR
CR = GP CSR
(11.4)
(11.5)
(11.6)
R & D Re turn =
R & D Yield
R & D Effort
GP
(NSR + CSR )
Sales
=
RI
(11.7)
where:
R & D Effort = Annual expenditure on R&D,
and
RI = R & D Intensity =
R & D Effort
Sales
(11.8)
Most other useful financial measures can be derived from these four basic
measures. NSR is essentially the fraction of sales derived from new products, with
the time frame being chosen as appropiate for the company and/or industry.
Since technical effort is usually the source of cost savings from process
developments and for formula modifications, CSR is an attempt to capture that in a
reliable manner.
The Gross Profit Margin used in CSR represents the revenues minus cost of goods
sold, including product cost and direct manufacturing cost.
Later those costs can be reduced by technology development effort, and to the
extent they are contributions from R&D.
The time frame is important for proper use of these measures.
When i = current year or earlier, the measures are retrospective; when i = next year
or later, the measures are prospective. In these definitions, j and k are constants
which reflect the strategic emphasis and/or industry characteristics of the business
enterprise.
To utilize these measures, appropriate values must be selected for j and k and
operational definitions must be established for product development, process
development and R&D expenditures.
This should be straightforward in most firms.
2. Projected value of the R&D/Value Creation (VC), Portofolio Assessment
(PA)
a) Projected Sales Value
Fraction of future sales by year projected from projects in the R&D,
incorporating probability of attaining objective for each project.
b) Projected Income Value
Fraction of future net income (and/r return) by year projected from projects in
the R&D pipeline, incorporating NPV times probability of attaining objective
for each project.
particular, either the total size of the R&D effort or its distribution must be
questioned.
8. Distribution of technology investment/Portfolio Assessment (PA), Asset
Value of Technology (AVT)
Analysis of the fraction of the total R&D investment along various dimensions.
Each company should describe its portfolio of technical activities along dimensions
that are important to decision making and communication between stakeholders.
Some of the more common dimensions are:
A. Dimensions potentially of greater interest to the Cost Estimated of Outcome
(CEO) and to business management:
Categorization of reward vs. risk,
By product line or business unit,
For maintenance of current business, expansion of current business or
creation of new business,
Environmentally driven vs. non-environmental,
Distribution according to time of commercialization.
B. Dimensions potentially of greater interest to business management (and some of
CEOs):
For cost reduction, applications development or performance differentation,
For technical service, basic research, applied research, product development
and process development,
For current markets, markets new to the company or markets new to the
world,
For current technology, technology new to the company or technology new
to the world.
C. Dimensions potentially of greater interest to R&D management:
Distribution by project stage,
Distribution by technical discipline,
External R&D vs. Internal,
Base, key or pacing technology,
Core vs. new competencies.
This measurement area provides much texture for the analysis of how well a firm's
R&D program is protecting the technology investment and technical position of the
company. Important output from assessment of technology investment distribution
are the questions that the analysis causes to be asked regarding what distribution is
desired. This helps set the direction for modifying the R&D portfolio.
This metric should only be used if patents are considered especially valuable in the
industry and competitors follow a vigorous strategy of creating a patent "forest".
The number of high-quality patents is probably a more useful metric. Internal
assessment of value is one method of determining quality of the patenting activity,
which does not require the lag time of citations or sales development, and which
should relate to succes of the firm's strategy.
The metric should be kept for patents in the key technologies of greatest strategic
value and in the relevant pacing technologies. All patent metrics should be
benchmarked against competitors and compared to exploitation of the current
technology position.
22. Sales protected by proprietary position/Asset Value of Technology (AVT),
Practice of R&D Process to support Innovation (PRD)
a. % Patent Protected Sales
Percentage of sales protected by patents owned by the company
b. % Proprietary Sales
Percentage of sales protected by patents plus trade secrets and/or other exclusive
company know-how or arrangements.
Sales of products under patent is another means of assessing the value of the
patenting activity. Rigor is required to count only patents that truly protect the
sales, and not background patents. This assumes a strategy of first-filing in the
native country (of the patent) and ignores the potential for protection of sales by
longer-lived counterparts in other countries. The assumption is useful for tracking
the turnover of the patent portfolio.
The % Proprietary Sales metric allows inclusion of proprietary positions achieved
by means other than patents.
23. Peer evaluation/Asset Value of Technology (AVT), Practice of R&D
Process to support Innovation (PRD)
a. External
Numerical rating (interval rating scale) from 1 to 5 by a panel of external experts
on the merits of the firm's technology positioning and technology management
practices. Panel selections critical must be capable and objective. Could include
ANNEX 1
UNION POLICY
on ENVIRONMENT
and sustainable investments
THE INTEGRATION OF ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES INTO UNION
POLICIES
Current situation and prospects
Environment and employment
A strategy for integrating the environment into EU policies
Integrating the environment into Community energy policy
Approaches to sustainable agriculture
Integration of the environmental dimension in developing countries
Strategy for integrating the environment into the single market
Strategy for integrating the environment into industry
Strategy for integrating environmental considerations into the common
fisheries policy
Integrating the environmental dimension into sustainable development of
the urban environment
APPLICATION AND CONTROL OF COMMUNITY ENVIRONMENTAL
LAW
Freedom of access to information
Aarhus Convention on access to information, public participation and
access to justice in environmental matters
Implementation and enforcement of Community environmental law (19961997)
ENVIRONMENTAL INSTRUMENTS
Life: a financial instrument for the environment
Environmental Taxes and Charges in the Single Market
European Environment Agency
Eco-label
Community eco-management and audit scheme
Assessment of the effects of plans and programmes on the environment
Environmental inspections: minimum criteria
MANAGEMENT OF WASTE
Packaging and packaging waste
The landfill of waste
Waste disposal
Waste management statistics
Disposal of PCBs and PCTs
Disposal of spent batteries and accumulators
Disposal of waste oil
End-of-life vehicles
Competitiveness of the recycling industries
Supervision and control of transfrontier shipments of waste
Removal and disposal of disused offshore oil and gas installations
Use of sewage sludge in agriculture
Incineration
Waste incineration
Incineration of dangerous waste
Incineration plants
New incineration plants
Hazardous waste
Controlled management of hazardous waste
Supervision and control of the transfrontier shipment of hazardous
waste
Basel Convention on the control of transboundary movements of
hazardous waste
Radioactive waste and substances
Transfer of radioactive waste: supervision and control
Shipments of radioactive substances
Community plan of action 1980-1999
Present situation and prospects for radioactive waste management
Titanium dioxide
Disposal
Surveillance and monitoring
Programmes for the reduction of pollution
NOISE POLLUTION
Action against noise: Green Paper
Motor vehicles
Motorcycles
Household appliances
Lawnmowers
Emissions from construction plants
Annex
Tower cranes
Noise emission by equipment used outdoors
Subsonic civil jet aircraft
AIR POLLUTION
Motor vehicles
Petrol engines, diesel engines
Emission of gaseous pollutants from diesel engines
New limit standards for diesel engines
Sulphur content of certain liquid fuels
Petrol and diesel fuel quality
Gaseous pollutants emitted by mobile equipment other than road
vehicles
Gaseous pollutants emitted by agricultural or forestry tractors
CO2 emissions from new passenger cars
Fuel economy of new cars
Environmental problems caused by heavy goods vehicles
Industry
Pollution from large combustion plants
Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) resulting from the storage of
petrol
Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) resulting from certain
industrial activities in certain installations
Integrated pollution prevention and control
Biosphere
Management and quality of ambient-air
Sulphur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide and nitrogen oxides, particulates
and lead in the ambient air
National emission ceilings for certain atmspheric polluants
Exchange of information and data on ambient air quality
Nitrogen dioxide
Nitrogen emissions from civil subsonic jet aeroplanes
Ozone
Ozone-depleting substances
Substances which damage the ozone layer
Lead
Greenhouse gas emissions
Phaseout of CFCs in metered dose inhalers
Kyoto Protocol on climate change
Community post-Kyoto strategy
Transport and CO2
WATER POLLUTION
Community water protection and management policy
Water: Community action
Ecological quality of water
Helsinki Convention on transboundary watercourses and international
lakes
Drinking water
General provisions
New requirements
Surface freshwater: quality and control requirements
Surface fresh water: methods of measurement and analysis
Bathing water
Urban waste water treatment
Shellfish waters
Water suitable for fish-breeding
Marine pollution
Barcelona Convention on the protection of the Mediterranean Sea
Helsinki Convention on the protection of the Baltic Sea
Paris Convention on the protection of the marine environment of
the North-East Atlantic
Accidental marine pollution
Discharges of substances
Nitrates
Discharges of dangerous substances
Mercury
Other dangerous substances: protection of the aquatic environment
Other dangerous substances: protection of groundwater
PROTECTION OF NATURE AND BIODIVERSITY
Biodiversity
Bern Convention on the conservation of the European wildlife and
natural habitats
Natural habitats (Natura 2000)
Rio de Janeiro Convention on biological diversity
Fauna and flora
Endangered species of wild flora and fauna
Canberra Convention on conservation of Antarctic marine living
resources
Conservation of wild birds
Bonn Convention on the conservation of migratory species of wild
animals
The keeping of wild animals in zoos
Annex
INDUSTRIAL RISKS
Major accidents involving dangerous substances
Transboundary effects of industrial accidents
ENLARGEMENT
Accession strategies for the environment
Applicant countries and the Community acquis
To be admitted at 1 january 2004
Bulgaria
Romania
Admitted at 1 may 2004
Cyprus
Estonia
Hungary
Latvia
Lithuania
Malta
Poland
Czech Republic
Slovakia
Slovenia
Turkey
ENVIRONMENTAL INSTRUMENTS
Assessment of the effects of plans and programmes on the environment
1) OBJECTIVE
To supplement the existing system for assessing the environmental impact of
projects with measures to help assess, at the design stage, the environmental impact
of plans and programmes linked to town and country planning.
2) PROPOSAL
Proposal for a Council Directive on the assessment of the effects of certain
plans and programmes on the environment.
3) CONTENTS
1. Directive 85/337/EEC on the assessment of the effects of certain public and
private projects on the environment [Official Journal L 175, 5.7.1985] introduced a
system for the prior assessment, by the Member States, of the possible effects of
public and private projects on the environment. The scope of Directive 85/337/EEC
covers construction work or other installations or schemes and interventions in the
natural surroundings or landscape. The Directive put in place a consultation
procedure for projects which are likely to have a significant impact on the
environment of one or more of the other Member States.
2. The aim of this proposal for a Directive is to supplement the system for
assessing the environmental impact of projects, as laid down in Directive
85/337/EEC, by measures which apply during the preparation of plans and
programmes linked to town and country planning. The assessment and consultation
procedure provided for in the proposal for a Directive is similar to that laid down in
Directive 85/337/EEC.
3. The proposal applies to plans and programmes linked to town and country
planning (in sectors such as transport, energy, waste management, resource
management, industry, telecommunications and tourism) and to any significant
modifications of such plans and programmes which are drawn up and adopted by a
competent authority or which are drawn up by a competent authority with a view to
adoption by means of a legislative act, and which provide the framework for
subsequent consent for specific projects.
4. Prior to the adoption of a plan or programme or its submission to the legislative
process, the competent authority of the Member State concerned will be required to
carry out an environmental assessment and, after consulting the competent
environmental bodies, to prepare an environmental statement setting out:
the contents of the plan or programme and its main objectives;
Annex
Annex
Annex
7. The cost of disposal of waste must be borne by its holder, who will hand over his
waste to a collector or company and/or else by earlier holders or by the producer
who has generated the waste in accordance with the "polluter pays" principle.
8. The competent authorities appointed by the Member States in order to
implement the current measures shall draw up at least one management plan
governing, in particular, the types, quantities and origins of the wastes to be
upgraded or disposed of, the general technical requirements, all of the special
arrangements concerning specific wastes, and the appropriate locations and
installations for the disposal.
ENVIRONMENTAL INSTRUMENTS
Environmental Taxes and Charges in the Single Market
1) OBJECTIVE
To promote the use of fiscal instruments by Member States to increase the efficacy
of environmental policy and ensure that environmental taxes and charges are used
in accordance with Community legislation.
2) COMMUNITY MEASURE
Commission Communication of 26 March 1997 on environmental taxes and
charges in the Single Market.
3) CONTENTS
1. In addition to framework measures harmonised at Community level, the
implementation of an environmental policy also requires the provision of a number
of economic, technical or fiscal instruments.
2. The fifth Environmental Action Programme includes the broadening of the range
of environmental policy instruments as one of its key priorities. On several
occasions, the Commission has been invited to explore the potential of new
instruments, in particular of a fiscal nature.
3. Environmental taxes and charges can be a way of implementing the "polluter
pays" principle by inducing consumers and producers to adopt more
environmentally compatible behaviour.
4. The Commission has frequently encouraged the use of fiscal instruments by
Member States. In this Communication, the Commission presents the applicable
legal framework and sets out Member States' options and obligations in accordance
with the rules of the Single Market.
Annex
3. The eco-label is optional. It is awarded to product groups that have been defined
in a procedure involving major interest groups, the Commission and a committee
set up by the Regulation.
4. The specific ecological criteria applicable to each product groups are:
those described under 1;
Community requirements regarding safety, health and the environment;
the parameters listed in the indicative assessment matrix (Annex 1).
5. The period of validity for product groups is approximately three years. The
period of validity of a criterion shall not exceed the period of validity of the
product group to which it refers.
6. Applications for the award of a European eco-label:
manufacturers or importers apply to the competent body designated by the
Member State in which the product has been manufactured, first marketed
or imported from a non-member country;
the competent body assesses whether the product conforms to the criteria
of the eco-label;
if, after its evaluation, the competent body decides to award the label, it
notifies its decision to the Commission which in turn informs the other
Member States;
if no objections have been made within 30 days, the competent body may
award the label by concluding a contract with the applicant. If an objection
is raised, the decision on the proposed award is taken at Community level
by the Commission;
the label is awarded for a determined period of production which may not
exceed the duration of validity of the criteria.
7. Any product to which the eco-label is awarded is recognisable by the logo
representing a daisy which is affixed to it.
8. The awarding of a label in one Member State makes it valid throughout the
Community.
9. The cost of awarding the label is ECU 500. The use of the label is subject to the
payment of a fee by the user.
10. In the Official Journal of the European Communities, the Commission
publishes:
product groups and their corresponding ecological criteria and the duration
of their respective validity;
Annex
the list of products to which an eco-label has been awarded, the name of
the manufacturers or importers and the date when such labels expire;
the names and addresses of the competent bodies.
11. The Commission will examine before 1998 how this regulation is applied.
4) DEADLINE FOR IMPLEMENTATION OF THE LEGISLATION IN
THE MEMBER STATES
Not required.
5) DATE OF ENTRY INTO FORCE (if different from the above)
01.05.1992
6) REFERENCES
Official Journal L 99, 11.04.1992
7) FOLLOW-UP WORK
On 19 March 1997, the Commission presented a proposal for a regulation
establishing a revised Community Eco-label Award Scheme [COM(96)603 final Official Journal C 114, 12.04.1997 - 96/312COD].
This proposal aims to replace Regulation (EEC) No 880/92. It aims in particular to
extend the scope of Regulation (EEC) No 880/92, to specify the criteria for
awarding the eco-label and the requirements as regards the assessment of
conformity of the products.
Co-decision procedure
First reading: On 13 May 1998 Parliament approved the Commission proposal
subject to certain amendments [Official Journal C 167, 01.06.1998].
The Commission has accepted some of the amendments [COM(1999) 21 final,
Official Journal C 64, 06.03.1999]. On the 11 November 1999 the Council adopted
its common position, which is currently before the Parliament for a second reading.
8) COMMISSION IMPLEMENTING MEASURES
Decision 93/326/EEC - Official Journal L 129, 27.05.1993
Commission Decision of 13 May 1993 establishing guidelines for the fixing of
costs and fees in connection with the Community eco-label.
Decision 93/517/EEC - Official Journal L 243, 29.09.1993
Annex
ANNEX 2
FACTORS USED
IN INVESTMENT PROJECTS
FACTOR
COMPOUND FACTOR : shows what
becomes a present sum in the future
FUTURE VALUE OF UNIFORM SERIES
allows the calculation of the future value of a
constant sum in an annual deposit to a
preestablished interest.
SINKING FUND FACTOR is the opposite
to the Future Value of Uniform Series and
shows what sum is necessary to be
economized periodically (for a year) to
reach to a certain sum of money in the
future.
DISCOUNTING FACTOR shows which is
the present value of a future sum
ANUITY FACTOR shows which is the value
in present of an incremental annually sum
received or for debt (i.e royalties for patents
or trademarks, rents etc..)
RELATIONSHIP
f c = (1 + ra )
f can
ra
f ran =
ra
(1 + ra )h 1
fa =
1
(1 + ra )h
(1 + ra )h 1
(1 + ra )h ra or
h
1 (1 + ra )
=
f anu =
f anu
h
(
1 + ra ) 1
=
f rec
ra
h
(
1 + ra ) ra
=
(1 + ra )h 1 or
f rec =
ra
h
1 (1 + ra )
Annex 2
Annex 3
Indicators
Compound factors z=(1+ ra)h
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
ra=10 %
Monthly
compound
1
1.008333333
1.016736111
1.025208912
1.03375232
1.042366922
1.051053313
1.059812091
1.068643858
1.077549224
1.086528801
1.095583207
Trimestrial
Semestrial
Annual
1
1.008264838
1.016597983
1.025
1.033471459
1.042012932
1.050625
1.059308245
1.068063256
1.076890625
1.085790951
1.094764837
1
1.008164846
1.016396357
1.024695077
1.033061554
1.041496343
1.05
1.058573088
1.067216175
1.07592983
1.084714632
1.09357116
1
1.00797414
1.016011868
1.024113689
1.032280115
1.040511662
1.048808848
1.057172197
1.065602237
1.074099499
1.082664519
1.091297838
1.104713067
1.220390961
1.348181842
1.489354099
1.645308935
1.81759428
2.007920153
2.218175631
2.450447605
2.707041491
2.990504109
3.303648968
3.649584185
4.03174334
4.453919552
4.92030313
5.435523164
6.004693467
6.633463339
7.328073633
8.095418702
8.943114826
9.879575812
10.9140965
12.05694502
13.31946472
14.71418673
16.25495436
17.95706049
19.83739937
1.103812891
1.218402898
1.344888824
1.484505621
1.63861644
1.80872595
1.996495019
2.203756938
2.432535316
2.685063838
2.963808077
3.271489561
3.611112349
3.98599236
4.399789749
4.856544641
5.360716578
5.917228062
6.531512612
7.209567816
7.958013891
8.784158317
9.696067184
10.70264395
11.81371635
13.04013239
14.39386623
15.88813509
17.53752832
19.35814983
1.1025
1.21550625
1.340095641
1.477455444
1.628894627
1.795856326
1.979931599
2.182874588
2.406619234
2.653297705
2.92526072
3.225099944
3.555672688
3.920129138
4.321942375
4.764941469
5.253347969
5.791816136
6.38547729
7.039988712
7.761587555
8.55715028
9.434258183
10.40126965
11.46739979
12.64280826
13.93869611
15.36741246
16.94257224
18.67918589
1.1
1.21
1.331
1.4641
1.61051
1.771561
1.9487171
2.14358881
2.357947691
2.59374246
2.853116706
3.138428377
3.452271214
3.797498336
4.177248169
4.594972986
5.054470285
5.559917313
6.115909045
6.727499949
7.400249944
8.140274939
8.954302433
9.849732676
10.83470594
11.91817654
13.10999419
14.42099361
15.86309297
17.44940227
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Annex
ra= 11 %
Trimestrial
1
1.0090839
1.018250316
1.0275
1.036833707
1.0462522
1.05575625
1.065346634
1.075024136
1.084789547
1.094643666
1.104587299
Semestrial
1
1.008963394
1.01800713
1.027131929
1.036338517
1.045627628
1.055
1.064456381
1.073997522
1.083624185
1.093337136
1.103137147
Annual
1
1.008734594
1.017545481
1.026433327
1.035398805
1.044442593
1.053565375
1.062767841
1.072050686
1.081414614
1.090860331
1.100388553
1.114621259
1.242380552
1.384783775
1.543509436
1.720428431
1.917626105
2.137426824
2.382421379
2.655497517
2.959873987
3.299138471
3.677289878
4.098785475
4.568593428
5.092251361
5.675931625
6.326514056
7.051667065
7.859938025
8.76085402
9.765034141
10.88431465
12.13188851
13.52246085
15.07242234
16.80004237
18.72568438
20.87204591
23.2644261
25.93102392
1.113025
1.238824651
1.378842807
1.534686515
1.708144458
1.901207486
2.116091462
2.355262699
2.621466266
2.917757491
3.247537031
3.614589904
4.023128928
4.477843075
4.983951288
5.547262383
6.174241714
6.872085383
7.648802834
8.513308774
9.475525498
10.54649677
11.73851456
13.06526017
14.5419612
16.18556637
18.01494001
20.0510786
22.31735176
24.83977045
1.11
1.2321
1.367631
1.51807041
1.685058155
1.870414552
2.076160153
2.30453777
2.558036924
2.839420986
3.151757295
3.498450597
3.883280163
4.31044098
4.784589488
5.310894332
5.895092709
6.543552907
7.263343726
8.062311536
8.949165805
9.933574044
11.02626719
12.23915658
13.5854638
15.07986482
16.73864995
18.57990145
20.62369061
22.89229657
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
ra=12 %
Trimestrial
1
1.009901634
1.01990131
1.03
1.040198683
1.05049835
1.0609
1.071404644
1.0820133
1.092727
1.103546783
1.114473699
Semestrial
1
1.009758794
1.019612822
1.029563014
1.039610308
1.049755651
1.06
1.070344322
1.080789592
1.091336795
1.101986926
1.11274099
Annual
1
1.009488793
1.019067623
1.028737345
1.03849882
1.048352921
1.058300524
1.068342519
1.0784798
1.088713271
1.099043846
1.109472446
1.12550881
1.266770081
1.425760887
1.604706439
1.806111235
2.032794106
2.287927676
2.575082756
2.898278328
3.262037792
3.671452273
4.132251879
4.650885895
5.234613049
5.891603104
6.631051199
7.463306544
8.400017267
9.454293438
10.64089056
11.97641607
13.4795618
15.17136556
17.07550559
19.21863198
21.63073961
24.345588
27.40117378
30.84026249
34.71098714
1.1236
1.26247696
1.418519112
1.593848075
1.790847697
2.012196472
2.260903956
2.540351685
2.854339153
3.207135472
3.603537417
4.048934641
4.549382963
5.111686697
5.743491173
6.453386682
7.251025276
8.147252
9.154252347
10.28571794
11.55703267
12.98548191
14.59048748
16.39387173
18.42015427
20.69688534
23.25502037
26.12934089
29.35892742
32.98769085
1.12
1.2544
1.404928
1.57351936
1.762341683
1.973822685
2.210681407
2.475963176
2.773078757
3.105848208
3.478549993
3.895975993
4.363493112
4.887112285
5.473565759
6.13039365
6.866040888
7.689965795
8.61276169
9.646293093
10.80384826
12.10031006
13.55234726
15.17862893
17.00006441
19.04007214
21.32488079
23.88386649
26.74993047
29.95992212
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Annex
Discounting factor z =
1
for ra= 10 %
(1 + ra )h
Trimestrial
1
0.99180291
0.983673012
0.975609756
0.967612595
0.959680988
0.951814396
0.944012288
0.936274134
0.928599411
0.920987598
0.91343818
Semestrial
1
0.991901279
0.983868147
0.975900073
0.96799653
0.960156996
0.952380952
0.944667885
0.937017283
0.929428641
0.921901457
0.914435235
0.905950645
0.820746571
0.743555885
0.673624934
0.610270943
0.552875354
0.500877784
0.453770551
0.411093723
0.372430624
0.337403764
0.305671157
0.276922982
0.250878554
0.227283588
0.205907713
0.186542225
0.168998049
0.153103892
0.138704569
0.125659494
0.1138413
0.103134599
0.093434856
0.084647368
0.076686338
0.069474037
0.062940049
0.057020578
0.051657829
0.907029478
0.822702475
0.746215397
0.676839362
0.613913254
0.556837418
0.505067953
0.458111522
0.415520655
0.376889483
0.341849871
0.31006791
0.281240735
0.255093637
0.231377449
0.209866167
0.1903548
0.172657415
0.156605365
0.142045682
0.128839621
0.116861334
0.105996675
0.096142109
0.087203727
0.079096351
0.071742722
0.065072764
0.059022915
0.053535524
Annual Month n=
1
0
0.992089
1
0.98424
2
0.976454
3
0.968729
4
0.961066
5
0.953463
6
0.94592
7
0.938436
8
0.931012
9
0.923647
10
0.91634
11
Year h=
0.909091
1
0.826446
2
0.751315
3
0.683013
4
0.620921
5
0.564474
6
0.513158
7
0.466507
8
0.424098
9
0.385543
10
0.350494
11
0.318631
12
0.289664
13
0.263331
14
0.239392
15
0.217629
16
0.197845
17
0.179859
18
0.163508
19
0.148644
20
0.135131
21
0.122846
22
0.111678
23
0.101526
24
0.092296
25
0.083905
26
0.076278
27
0.069343
28
0.063039
29
0.057309
30
Discounting factors z =
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
1
for ra= 11 %
(1 + ra )h
Monthly
compound
1
0.990916598
0.981915704
0.972996569
0.96415845
0.955400611
0.946722323
0.938122863
0.929601516
0.921157571
0.912790327
0.904499085
Trimestrial
Semestrial
Annual
1
0.990997875
0.982076788
0.97323601
0.964474817
0.955792494
0.947188331
0.938661623
0.930211673
0.921837791
0.913539292
0.905315497
1
0.991116235
0.982311391
0.973584767
0.964935669
0.956363407
0.947867299
0.939446668
0.931100844
0.922829163
0.914630965
0.906505599
1
0.991341
0.982757
0.974247
0.965811
0.957449
0.949158
0.940939
0.932792
0.924715
0.916708
0.90877
0.896283156
0.803323496
0.720005319
0.64532864
0.57839719
0.518407659
0.464640053
0.416449053
0.373256272
0.334543309
0.299845533
0.268746501
0.240872962
0.215890379
0.19349891
0.173429814
0.155442221
0.139320244
0.124870388
0.111919226
0.100311317
0.089907344
0.080582438
0.072224682
0.064733766
0.058019784
0.052002155
0.046608656
0.041774553
0.037441828
0.897165734
0.804906354
0.722134399
0.647874238
0.581250566
0.521478091
0.467852274
0.419741029
0.376577268
0.337852221
0.303109436
0.271939399
0.243974711
0.21888575
0.196376795
0.176182531
0.15806493
0.141810439
0.127227466
0.114144123
0.102406196
0.09187533
0.082427398
0.073951037
0.066346336
0.059523659
0.053402588
0.047910972
0.042984082
0.038563845
0.898452416
0.807216743
0.725245833
0.651598871
0.585430579
0.525981518
0.472569366
0.424581088
0.381465904
0.342728963
0.307925665
0.276656558
0.248562753
0.223321805
0.200644016
0.180269101
0.161963209
0.145516236
0.130739414
0.117463142
0.105535044
0.094818215
0.085189654
0.076538851
0.068766515
0.061783442
0.055509483
0.049872629
0.044808184
0.040258021
0.900901
0.811622
0.731191
0.658731
0.593451
0.534641
0.481658
0.433926
0.390925
0.352184
0.317283
0.285841
0.257514
0.231995
0.209004
0.188292
0.169633
0.152822
0.137678
0.124034
0.111742
0.100669
0.090693
0.081705
0.073608
0.066314
0.059742
0.053822
0.048488
0.043683
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Annex
Discounting factors z =
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
1
for ra= 12 %
(1 + ra )h
Monthly
compound
1
0.99009901
0.980296049
0.970590148
0.960980344
0.951465688
0.942045235
0.932718055
0.923483222
0.914339824
0.905286955
0.896323718
Trimestrial
Semestrial
Annual
1
0.990195447
0.980487023
0.970873786
0.961354803
0.951929149
0.942595909
0.933354178
0.924203057
0.915141659
0.906169104
0.897284522
1
0.990335519
0.980764441
0.971285862
0.961898889
0.952602636
0.943396226
0.934278792
0.925249473
0.916307417
0.907451782
0.898681732
1
0.9906
0.981289
0.972065
0.962928
0.953877
0.944911
0.936029
0.927231
0.918515
0.909882
0.901329
0.887449225
0.787566127
0.69892495
0.620260405
0.550449616
0.488496085
0.433515472
0.38472297
0.341422102
0.30299478
0.268892482
0.238628425
0.211770611
0.187935665
0.16678336
0.148011764
0.131352925
0.116569052
0.103449114
0.091805837
0.081473018
0.072303167
0.06416539
0.056943525
0.050534487
0.044846792
0.039799251
0.035319814
0.031344542
0.027816689
0.888487048
0.789409234
0.70137988
0.623166939
0.553675754
0.491933736
0.437076753
0.388337034
0.345032425
0.306556841
0.272371782
0.241998801
0.2150128
0.191036088
0.16973309
0.150805652
0.133988869
0.119047374
0.10577205
0.093977097
0.083497433
0.074186388
0.065913645
0.05856342
0.05203284
0.046230504
0.041075204
0.036494787
0.032425146
0.028809322
0.88999644
0.792093663
0.70496054
0.627412371
0.558394777
0.496969364
0.442300964
0.393646284
0.350343791
0.311804727
0.277505097
0.246978548
0.219810029
0.195630143
0.174110131
0.154957397
0.137911531
0.122740772
0.10923885
0.097222188
0.086527401
0.077009079
0.068537806
0.060998403
0.054288362
0.048316449
0.043001467
0.038271153
0.03406119
0.030314338
0.892857
0.797194
0.71178
0.635518
0.567427
0.506631
0.452349
0.403883
0.36061
0.321973
0.287476
0.256675
0.229174
0.20462
0.182696
0.163122
0.145644
0.13004
0.116107
0.103667
0.09256
0.082643
0.073788
0.065882
0.058823
0.052521
0.046894
0.041869
0.037383
0.033378
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Discounting factors z =
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
1
for ra= 13 %
(1 + ra )h
Monthly
compound
1
0.98928277
0.978680399
0.968191656
0.957815323
0.947550196
0.937395083
0.927348804
0.917410194
0.907578098
0.897851374
0.888228895
Trimestrial
Semestrial
Annual
1
0.989395612
0.978903677
0.968523002
0.958252409
0.948090728
0.938036806
0.9280895
0.918247679
0.908510224
0.898876029
0.889343999
1
0.989559089
0.97922719
0.969003166
0.95888589
0.948874248
0.938967136
0.929163464
0.919462151
0.909862128
0.900362338
0.890961735
1
0.989867
0.979836
0.969908
0.960079
0.950351
0.940721
0.931188
0.921753
0.912412
0.903167
0.894015
0.878709541
0.772130458
0.678478401
0.596185444
0.523873838
0.46033294
0.404498947
0.355437084
0.312325957
0.274443799
0.241156384
0.211906416
0.18620419
0.163619398
0.143773926
0.126335521
0.111012227
0.097547503
0.085715922
0.075319399
0.066183874
0.058156402
0.051102585
0.044904329
0.039457862
0.034672
0.030466617
0.026771307
0.023524203
0.020670942
0.87991305
0.774246975
0.681270017
0.599458379
0.52747125
0.464128836
0.40839302
0.359350348
0.31619706
0.27822592
0.244814618
0.215415577
0.189546977
0.166784859
0.146756174
0.129132672
0.113625524
0.099980581
0.087974218
0.077409662
0.068113772
0.059934197
0.052736882
0.046403871
0.040831371
0.035928057
0.031613566
0.027817189
0.024476708
0.021537375
0.881659283
0.777323091
0.685334119
0.604231188
0.532726036
0.469682854
0.414100249
0.365095328
0.321889685
0.283797029
0.250212285
0.220601984
0.194495787
0.171479016
0.151186066
0.133294599
0.11752042
0.103612969
0.091351336
0.080540754
0.071009503
0.062606188
0.055197326
0.048665235
0.042906156
0.037828611
0.033351946
0.029405053
0.025925238
0.022857227
0.884956
0.783147
0.69305
0.613319
0.54276
0.480319
0.425061
0.37616
0.332885
0.294588
0.260698
0.230706
0.204165
0.180677
0.159891
0.141496
0.125218
0.110812
0.098064
0.086782
0.076798
0.067963
0.060144
0.053225
0.047102
0.041683
0.036888
0.032644
0.028889
0.025565
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Annex
Discounting factors z =
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
1
for ra= 14 %
(1 + ra )h
Monthly
compound
1
0.988467875
0.977068739
0.96580106
0.954663322
0.943654025
0.932771688
0.922014848
0.911382058
0.900871886
0.890482918
0.880213758
Trimestrial
Semestrial
Annual
1
0.988598355
0.977326707
0.966183575
0.955167493
0.944277012
0.9335107
0.922867143
0.912344939
0.901942706
0.891659075
0.881492695
1
0.988786899
0.977699532
0.966736489
0.955896375
0.945177813
0.934579439
0.924099906
0.913737881
0.903492046
0.893361099
0.883343751
1
0.98914
0.978399
0.967774
0.957264
0.946868
0.936586
0.926415
0.916354
0.906403
0.89656
0.886824
0.870063023
0.757009663
0.658646116
0.57306363
0.498601475
0.433814706
0.377446134
0.328401925
0.285730371
0.24860343
0.216300652
0.188195199
0.163741684
0.142465584
0.123954037
0.107847824
0.093834404
0.081641845
0.07103355
0.061803666
0.053773084
0.046785972
0.040706744
0.035417433
0.030815399
0.026811339
0.023327555
0.020296443
0.017659184
0.015364603
0.871442228
0.759411556
0.661783298
0.576705912
0.502565884
0.437957134
0.38165434
0.332589709
0.289832717
0.252572468
0.220102314
0.191806451
0.167148241
0.145660036
0.126934306
0.110615914
0.096395379
0.084003004
0.073203765
0.063792852
0.055591785
0.048445029
0.042217044
0.036789715
0.032060111
0.027938534
0.024346819
0.021216846
0.018489256
0.016112318
0.873438728
0.762895212
0.666342224
0.582009105
0.508349292
0.444011959
0.387817241
0.338734598
0.295863916
0.258419003
0.225713165
0.19714662
0.172195493
0.150402212
0.131367117
0.114741128
0.100219345
0.087535457
0.076456858
0.066780381
0.058328571
0.050946433
0.044498588
0.03886679
0.033947759
0.029651288
0.025898583
0.022620826
0.019757905
0.017257319
0.877193
0.769468
0.674972
0.59208
0.519369
0.455587
0.399637
0.350559
0.307508
0.269744
0.236617
0.207559
0.182069
0.15971
0.140096
0.122892
0.1078
0.094561
0.082948
0.072762
0.063826
0.055988
0.049112
0.043081
0.03779
0.033149
0.029078
0.025507
0.022375
0.019627
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Discounting factors z =
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
1
for ra= 15 %
(1 + ra )h
Monthly
compound
1
0.987654321
0.975461058
0.963418329
0.951524275
0.939777062
0.928174876
0.916715927
0.905398446
0.894220688
0.883180926
0.872277458
Trimestrial
Semestrial
Annual
1
0.987803661
0.975756073
0.963855422
0.952099914
0.940487781
0.929017274
0.917686665
0.906494247
0.895438336
0.884517267
0.873729395
1
0.988018908
0.976181363
0.964485644
0.952930053
0.941512911
0.930232558
0.919087356
0.908075686
0.897195948
0.886446561
0.875825964
1
0.988421
0.976976
0.965663
0.954481
0.943429
0.932505
0.921707
0.911034
0.900485
0.890058
0.879752
0.8615086
0.742197069
0.639409158
0.550856489
0.474567603
0.408844071
0.352222683
0.303442871
0.261418643
0.225214409
0.194024151
0.167153474
0.144004156
0.124060819
0.106879462
0.092077576
0.079325624
0.068339707
0.058875245
0.05072153
0.043697034
0.037645371
0.032431811
0.027940284
0.024070795
0.020737197
0.017865273
0.015391087
0.013259554
0.011423219
0.863073095
0.744895168
0.642898978
0.554868811
0.478892342
0.413319096
0.356724591
0.307879397
0.265722424
0.229337875
0.19793535
0.170832675
0.147441086
0.127252434
0.109828152
0.094789723
0.08181046
0.070608407
0.060940216
0.052595861
0.045394073
0.039178403
0.033813825
0.029183803
0.025187755
0.021738874
0.018762237
0.016193182
0.0139759
0.012062223
0.865332612
0.74880053
0.647961518
0.560702233
0.485193928
0.419854129
0.363313471
0.314386995
0.272049319
0.235413148
0.203710674
0.17627749
0.152538661
0.131996678
0.11422103
0.098839182
0.085528768
0.074010832
0.064043987
0.05541935
0.047956171
0.041498039
0.035909606
0.031073753
0.026889132
0.023268043
0.020134596
0.017423123
0.015076797
0.013046444
0.869565
0.756144
0.657516
0.571753
0.497177
0.432328
0.375937
0.326902
0.284262
0.247185
0.214943
0.186907
0.162528
0.141329
0.122894
0.106865
0.092926
0.080805
0.070265
0.0611
0.053131
0.046201
0.040174
0.034934
0.030378
0.026415
0.02297
0.019974
0.017369
0.015103
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Annex
(1 + ra )h 1 for r =5 %
a
(1 + ra )h ra
Trimestrial
0.330582283
0.659798509
0.987654321
1.314155342
1.639307169
1.963115379
2.285585523
2.60672313
2.926533707
3.245022738
3.562195684
Semestrial
0.164279145
0.3278836
0.490816134
0.653079508
0.81467647
0.975609756
1.135882093
1.295496195
1.454454765
1.612760496
1.770416068
Annual
0.081151853
0.161974425
0.242469052
0.322637064
0.402479787
0.481998541
0.56119464
0.640069394
0.718624106
0.796860075
0.874778595
3.878057983
7.568124294
11.07931197
14.42029227
17.59931613
20.62423451
23.50251778
26.24127418
28.84726737
31.32693316
33.68639536
35.93148091
38.06773431
40.10043128
42.03459179
43.87499247
45.6261784
47.29247431
48.87799533
50.38665706
51.82218532
53.18812531
54.48785037
55.72457031
56.90133936
58.02106368
59.08650855
60.1003052
61.06495733
61.98284725
1.927424152
3.761974208
5.508125362
7.170137167
8.752063931
10.2577646
11.69091217
13.05500266
14.35336363
15.58916229
16.76541324
17.88498583
18.95061114
19.96488866
20.93029259
21.84917796
22.72378628
23.55625107
24.34860304
25.10277505
25.82060683
26.50384945
27.15416962
27.77315371
28.36231168
28.92308072
29.45682876
29.96485784
30.44840722
30.90865649
0.952380952
1.859410431
2.723248029
3.545950504
4.329476671
5.075692067
5.786373397
6.463212759
7.107821676
7.721734929
8.306414218
8.863251636
9.393572987
9.89864094
10.37965804
10.83776956
11.27406625
11.6895869
12.08532086
12.46221034
12.82115271
13.16300258
13.48857388
13.79864179
14.09394457
14.3751853
14.64303362
14.89812726
15.14107358
15.37245103
Month n=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
f anu =
(1 + ra )h 1 for
(1 + ra )h ra
ra=6%
Trimestrial
0.330038409
0.658442938
0.985221675
1.310382669
1.633933929
1.955883424
2.276239083
2.595008797
2.912200417
3.227821756
3.541880588
Semestrial
0.16381173
0.326818432
0.489024061
0.650432555
0.811047831
0.970873786
1.129914301
1.288173235
1.445654428
1.602361704
1.758298865
Annual
0.080732871
0.161074675
0.241027305
0.320592647
0.399772577
0.478568961
0.556983657
0.635018515
0.712675375
0.789956066
0.866862412
3.854384648
7.48592508
10.90750521
14.13126405
17.16863879
20.03040537
22.72671671
25.26713874
27.66068431
29.9158452
32.04062223
34.04255365
35.92874185
37.70587863
39.38026889
40.95785298
42.44422783
43.84466677
45.16413826
46.40732349
47.57863301
48.68222237
49.72200686
50.70167541
51.62470367
52.49436634
53.31374879
54.08575801
54.81313293
55.49845411
1.913469696
3.717098403
5.417191444
7.01969219
8.530202837
9.954003994
11.29607314
12.56110203
13.75351308
14.87747486
15.93691664
16.93554212
17.87684242
18.76410823
19.60044135
20.38876553
21.13183668
21.8322525
22.49246159
23.11477197
23.7013592
24.25427392
24.77544907
25.26670664
25.72976401
26.16623999
26.57766047
26.96546373
27.33100549
27.67556367
0.943396226
1.833392666
2.673011949
3.465105613
4.212363786
4.917324326
5.58238144
6.209793811
6.801692274
7.360087051
7.886874577
8.38384394
8.852682963
9.294983927
9.712248988
10.10589527
10.47725969
10.82760348
11.15811649
11.46992122
11.76407662
12.04158172
12.30337898
12.55035753
12.78335616
13.00316619
13.21053414
13.40616428
13.59072102
13.76483115
Month n=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Annex
(1 + ra )h 1 for r =7 %
a
(1 + ra )h ra
Trimestrial
0.329496616
0.657093292
0.982800983
1.306630581
1.628592916
1.948698755
2.266958802
2.583383701
2.897984034
3.210770321
3.521753023
Semestrial
0.163347588
0.32576129
0.487246447
0.647808366
0.807452326
0.966183575
1.124007331
1.280928783
1.436953089
1.592085378
1.74633075
Annual
0.080319368
0.160187152
0.239605891
0.31857811
0.397106318
0.475193014
0.552840678
0.630051779
0.706828772
0.783174097
0.859090182
3.83094254
7.405052966
10.73954969
13.85049677
16.7528813
19.46068565
21.98695474
24.34385897
26.54275283
28.59422955
30.50817221
32.29380129
33.95971913
35.51395135
36.96398552
38.31680723
39.57893375
40.75644542
41.85501495
42.87993474
43.83614237
44.72824441
45.5605386
46.33703455
47.06147304
47.7373441
48.36790375
48.95618974
49.50503616
50.01708709
1.899694275
3.673079209
5.32855302
6.873955537
8.316605323
9.663334335
10.92052028
12.09411681
13.18968173
14.2124033
15.16712484
16.0583676
16.89035226
17.66701885
18.39204541
19.06886547
19.70068423
20.29049381
20.84108736
21.35507234
21.83488281
22.28279102
22.70091813
23.09124425
23.45561787
23.79576454
24.1132951
24.40971327
24.68642281
24.94473412
0.934579439
1.808018168
2.624316044
3.387211256
4.100197436
4.76653966
5.389289402
5.971298506
6.515232249
7.023581541
7.498674337
7.942686297
8.357650744
8.745467985
9.107914005
9.446648603
9.763222993
10.05908691
10.33559524
10.59401425
10.83552733
11.0612405
11.27218738
11.469334
11.65358318
11.82577867
11.98670904
12.13711125
12.27767407
12.40904118
Mouth n =
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
(1 + ra )h ra or f =
ra
rec
h
h
[1 + ra ] 1
1 (1 + ra )
for ra = 17
Monthly
Trimestrial Semestrial
Annual
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
1.014166667
0.51064991
0.342822062
0.25891644
0.208579708
0.175027419
0.15106624
0.133099504
0.119129061
0.107956023
0.09881746
3.084606919
1.553002163
1.0425
0.787273482
0.63415722
0.532096083
0.4592093
0.404556486
0.362059647
0.328071988
0.30027282
6.294129544
3.168459235
2.126633333
1.605768529
1.293288158
1.085
0.936250243
0.82471198
0.737981375
0.668616124
0.611880215
13.07850567
6.58203086
4.416662815
3.334071453
2.684590756
2.251665383
1.942485898
1.710647583
1.530370037
1.38618502
1.268249103
0.091204752
0.049442264
0.035652728
0.028855042
0.024852576
0.022246131
0.020435805
0.019121454
0.018136188
0.017379765
0.016788321
0.016319229
0.015942953
0.015638383
0.015390043
0.015186341
0.015018434
0.014879473
0.014764085
0.014668005
0.014587818
0.014520767
0.014464608
0.01441751
0.014377966
0.014344733
0.014316781
0.014293256
0.014273445
0.014256753
0.277115017
0.150064932
0.108103493
0.087410223
0.075219835
0.067276311
0.061754924
0.057742755
0.054732201
0.052418389
0.05060708
0.049168638
0.048013223
0.04707663
0.046311778
0.045683393
0.04516456
0.044734422
0.044376607
0.044078112
0.043828518
0.043619402
0.043443911
0.043296434
0.043172356
0.043067862
0.042979788
0.042905503
0.042842811
0.042789877
0.564616307
0.305287893
0.219607084
0.177330653
0.152407705
0.136152858
0.124842438
0.116613544
0.110430413
0.105670974
0.101938923
0.098969755
0.096580165
0.094639136
0.093050575
0.091742466
0.090659836
0.089760062
0.089009656
0.088382006
0.087855757
0.08741363
0.087041543
0.086727952
0.08646334
0.086239828
0.086050871
0.08589101
0.08575568
0.085641059
1.17
0.630829493
0.452573681
0.364533114
0.312563864
0.278614802
0.254947243
0.237689892
0.22469051
0.214656597
0.206764792
0.200465582
0.195378139
0.191230218
0.187822095
0.18500401
0.182661569
0.180705995
0.179067452
0.177690359
0.176530035
0.175550249
0.174721405
0.17401917
0.173423428
0.17291747
0.172487362
0.17212144
0.171809915
0.171544547
Month n=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Annual constant
1.094457025
0.593307169
0.42783273
0.346260508
0.298230909
0.266953574
0.245229658
0.229457449
0.217634255
0.208557182
0.201459851
0.195830753
0.191315434
0.187660593
0.184680515
0.182236088
0.180221206
0.178553681
0.177169024
0.176016066
0.175053821
0.174249199
0.173575298
0.17301012
0.17253559
0.172136791
0.17180137
0.171519067
0.171281334
0.171081041
Annex
(1 + ra )h ra or f =
ra
rec
h
h
[1 + ra ] 1
1 (1 + ra )
for ra = 18
Monthly
1.015
0.511277916
0.34338296
0.259444786
0.209089323
0.175525215
0.151556165
0.133584025
0.119609823
0.108434178
0.099293844
Trimestrial
3.089559847
1.556112454
1.045
0.789471278
0.636176046
0.533997555
0.461028627
0.406315671
0.36377336
0.329750496
0.30192359
Semestrial
6.311230205
3.178276683
2.134030651
1.611961486
1.298763061
1.09
0.940914283
0.829126898
0.742205061
0.672689099
0.615831949
Annual
Month n=
13.14042789
1
6.615524278
2
4.440694326
3
3.353382779
4
2.701078582
5
2.266278049
6
1.955765311
7
1.722932433
8
1.541886114
9
1.397090374
10
1.278658678
11
0.5684689
0.308668662
0.222919783
0.180674378
0.15582009
0.139650658
0.128433173
0.12029991
0.114212291
0.109546475
0.105904993
0.103022561
0.10071536
0.098852047
0.097336351
0.096096186
0.095076597
0.09423505
0.093538198
0.092959609
0.092478142
0.092076749
0.091741596
0.091461389
0.091226868
0.091030406
0.090865703
0.090727537
0.090611571
0.090514194
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
0.091679993
0.049924102
0.036152396
0.029375
0.025393427
0.022807791
0.021017838
0.019723214
0.018756888
0.01801852
0.017444179
0.016991195
0.016630009
0.016339503
0.01610421
0.015912557
0.015755729
0.015626914
0.015520782
0.015433115
0.015360549
0.015300377
0.015250411
0.01520887
0.015174299
0.015145505
0.015121506
0.015101491
0.015084792
0.015070854
0.278743648
0.151609653
0.109666189
0.089015369
0.076876144
0.06898703
0.063520805
0.059563196
0.05660578
0.054343147
0.052580706
0.051188582
0.050076792
0.049181052
0.048454256
0.047861149
0.047374873
0.046974652
0.046644219
0.046370694
0.046143786
0.045955215
0.045798271
0.045667488
0.045558392
0.04546731
0.045391212
0.045327596
0.045274387
0.045229864
1.18
0.638715596
0.459923861
0.371738671
0.319777842
0.285910129
0.262361999
0.245244359
0.232394824
0.222514641
0.214776386
0.208627809
0.203686207
0.199678058
0.196402783
0.193710084
0.191485271
0.189639457
0.188102839
0.186819981
0.185746433
0.184846258
0.1840902
0.183454297
0.182918826
0.182467478
0.182086719
0.181765285
0.181493769
0.181264306
Annual
constant
1.100159915
0.599089224
0.433828746
0.352499995
0.304721129
0.273693493
0.252214056
0.236678569
0.225082653
0.216222239
0.209330144
0.203894343
0.199560103
0.196074038
0.193250525
0.19095068
0.189068744
0.18752297
0.186249384
0.185197383
0.184326586
0.183604527
0.183004935
0.182506444
0.182091593
0.181746063
0.181458071
0.181217898
0.181017508
0.180850245
(1 + ra )h ra or
[1 + ra ]h 1
f rec =
ra
for ra = 19
h
1 (1 + ra )
Monthly
1.015833333
0.511906091
0.34394416
0.259973556
0.209599482
0.17602367
0.152046864
0.134069436
0.12009159
0.108913451
0.09977146
Trimestrial
3.094510174
1.559221931
1.0475
0.791669643
0.638195911
0.535900488
0.462849808
0.408077088
0.365489669
0.331431957
0.303577662
Semestrial
6.328309504
3.188084367
2.141422477
1.618151392
1.304236622
1.095
0.945579455
0.833543949
0.746431793
0.676765973
0.619788388
Annual Month n=
13.20219505
1
6.648941801
2
4.464677053
3
3.372659418
4
2.717540614
5
2.280871211
6
1.969030023
7
1.735206453
8
1.553394613
9
1.407990967
10
1.28906599
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
0.092156578
0.050408617
0.03665602
0.029900118
0.025940551
0.023376723
0.021608019
0.020333865
0.019387083
0.018667236
0.018110326
0.017673648
0.017327625
0.017051146
0.01682876
0.016648927
0.016502875
0.016383842
0.016286553
0.016206849
0.016141427
0.016087643
0.016043371
0.016006889
0.0159768
0.015951967
0.015931458
0.015914513
0.015900506
0.015888925
0.280375925
0.15316196
0.111240186
0.090635309
0.078550467
0.070718669
0.065310162
0.061409294
0.058506804
0.056296745
0.054584176
0.053239002
0.052171114
0.051316177
0.050627095
0.050068668
0.049614128
0.04924282
0.048938617
0.048688794
0.048483225
0.048313798
0.048173972
0.048058448
0.047962916
0.047883857
0.04781839
0.04776415
0.047719192
0.047681916
0.572326969
0.312063002
0.226253283
0.184045608
0.159266152
0.143187714
0.132068092
0.124034696
0.118046104
0.113476695
0.109927844
0.107133511
0.104909399
0.103123888
0.101680584
0.100507395
0.099549449
0.098764367
0.098119009
0.097587188
0.097148033
0.096784785
0.096483903
0.096234391
0.09602728
0.095855227
0.095712205
0.095593248
0.095494263
0.095411865
1.19
0.646621005
0.467307895
0.378990938
0.327050167
0.293274292
0.269854902
0.25288506
0.240192202
0.230471309
0.2228909
0.216896022
0.212102153
0.208234563
0.205091906
0.202523448
0.200414307
0.198675594
0.19723765
0.196045291
0.195054399
0.19422943
0.193541556
0.192967267
0.192487299
0.192085808
0.191749713
0.191468188
0.191232251
0.191034434
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Annual
constant
1.105878939
0.604903406
0.43987224
0.358801419
0.311286614
0.280520676
0.259296228
0.244006379
0.232644996
0.224006826
0.21732391
0.212083772
0.207931499
0.204613748
0.201945124
0.199787128
0.198034505
0.196606109
0.195438631
0.194482182
0.193697118
0.193051718
0.19252045
0.192082667
0.191721604
0.1914236
0.191177497
0.190974155
0.190806077
0.190667099
Annex
ra
for ra=16 %
(1 + ra )h 1
Monthly
1
0.496688742
0.328928133
0.245055186
0.194737303
0.161196951
0.137243758
0.11928254
0.105315971
0.094145654
0.085008976
Trimestrial
3.039651381
1.509891058
1
0.745076257
0.592139438
0.490196078
0.417391836
0.36279954
0.320348539
0.286396442
0.258625363
Semestrial
6.197007374
3.078631954
2.039230485
1.5195725
1.207811904
1
0.851587343
0.740299211
0.653760758
0.584547075
0.52793322
Annual
12.85642642
6.388460575
4.232581893
3.154724996
2.508076806
0.928476691
1.769191593
1.538351763
1.358846284
1.215274842
1.097837237
0.077397525
0.035629777
0.0218237
0.015006947
0.010984724
0.008358507
0.006528731
0.005195453
0.004191917
0.003417979
0.002809839
0.00232492
0.001933711
0.001615121
0.001353674
0.00113777
0.000958549
0.000809137
0.00068413
0.000579226
0.000490972
0.000416567
0.000353726
0.000300573
0.000255556
0.000217388
0.000184999
0.000157491
0.000134114
0.000114237
0.235490045
0.108527832
0.066552173
0.045819999
0.03358175
0.025586831
0.020012975
0.01594859
0.012886878
0.010523489
0.008664544
0.007180648
0.005982124
0.005004866
0.004201845
0.003537795
0.00298578
0.002524892
0.002138687
0.001814075
0.001540535
0.001309533
0.001114098
0.0009485
0.000808
0.000688662
0.000587203
0.000500876
0.000427374
0.000364755
0.480769231
0.221920804
0.136315386
0.094014761
0.069029489
0.052695017
0.041296853
0.032976872
0.026702096
0.021852209
0.018032068
0.014977962
0.012507127
0.010488906
0.008827433
0.007450813
0.00630411
0.005344674
0.004538936
0.003860162
0.003286841
0.002801516
0.002389908
0.002040266
0.001742858
0.00148959
0.0012737
0.001089518
0.000932275
0.000797949
1
0.462962963
0.285257873
0.197375069
0.145409382
0.11138987
0.087612677
0.07022426
0.057082487
0.046901083
0.038860751
0.032414733
0.02718411
0.022897973
0.019357522
0.016413616
0.013952249
0.011884853
0.010141656
0.008667032
0.007416169
0.006352635
0.005446582
0.004673386
0.004012615
0.003447227
0.002962942
0.002547753
0.002191525
0.001885683
Month
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
ra
for ra=17%
(1 + ra )h 1
Monthly
1
0.496483244
0.328655395
0.244749773
0.194413041
0.160860752
0.136899573
0.118932837
0.104962394
0.093789356
0.084650793
Trimestrial
3.042106919
1.510502163
1
0.744773482
0.59165722
0.489596083
0.4167093
0.362056486
0.319559647
0.285571988
0.25777282
Semestrial
6.209129544
3.083459235
2.041633333
1.520768529
1.208288158
1
0.851250243
0.73971198
0.652981375
0.583616124
0.526880215
Annual
12.90850567
6.41203086
4.246662815
3.164071453
2.514590756
0.924500327
1.772485898
1.540647583
1.360370037
1.21618502
1.098249103
0.077038085
0.035275597
0.021486061
0.014688376
0.010685909
0.008079464
0.006269138
0.004954787
0.003969521
0.003213099
0.002621654
0.002152563
0.001776286
0.001471716
0.001223376
0.001019674
0.000851767
0.000712807
0.000597419
0.000501339
0.000421152
0.0003541
0.000297941
0.000250843
0.000211299
0.000178066
0.000150114
0.000126589
0.000106778
9.00868E-05
0.234615017
0.107564932
0.065603493
0.044910223
0.032719835
0.024776311
0.019254924
0.015242755
0.012232201
0.009918389
0.00810708
0.006668638
0.005513223
0.00457663
0.003811778
0.003183393
0.00266456
0.002234422
0.001876607
0.001578112
0.001328518
0.001119402
0.000943911
0.000796434
0.000672356
0.000567862
0.000479788
0.000405503
0.000342811
0.000289877
0.479616307
0.220287893
0.134607084
0.092330653
0.067407705
0.051152858
0.039842438
0.031613544
0.025430413
0.020670974
0.016938923
0.013969755
0.011580165
0.009639136
0.008050575
0.006742466
0.005659836
0.004760062
0.004009656
0.003382006
0.002855757
0.00241363
0.002041543
0.001727952
0.00146334
0.001239828
0.001050871
0.00089101
0.00075568
0.000641059
1
0.460829493
0.282573681
0.194533114
0.142563864
0.108614802
0.084947243
0.067689892
0.05469051
0.044656597
0.036764792
0.030465582
0.025378139
0.021230218
0.017822095
0.01500401
0.012661569
0.010705995
0.009067452
0.007690359
0.006530035
0.005550249
0.004721405
0.00401917
0.003423428
0.00291747
0.002487362
0.00212144
0.001809915
0.001544547
Month
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Annex
ra
for ra=18 %
(1 + ra )h 1
Monthly
1
0.496277916
0.32838296
0.244444786
0.194089323
0.160525215
0.136556165
0.118584025
0.104609823
0.093434178
0.084293844
Trimestrial
3.044559847
1.511112454
1
0.744471278
0.591176046
0.488997555
0.416028627
0.361315671
0.31877336
0.284750496
0.25692359
Semestrial
6.221230205
3.088276683
2.044030651
1.521961486
1.208763061
1
0.850914283
0.739126898
0.652205061
0.582689099
0.525831949
Annual
12.96042789
6.435524278
4.260694326
3.173382779
2.521078582
0.920574618
1.775765311
1.542932433
1.361886114
1.217090374
1.098658678
0.076679993
0.034924102
0.021152396
0.014375
0.010393427
0.007807791
0.006017838
0.004723214
0.003756888
0.00301852
0.002444179
0.001991195
0.001630009
0.001339503
0.00110421
0.000912557
0.000755729
0.000626914
0.000520782
0.000433115
0.000360549
0.000300377
0.000250411
0.00020887
0.000174299
0.000145505
0.000121506
0.000101491
8.47923E-05
7.08537E-05
0.233743648
0.106609653
0.064666189
0.044015369
0.031876144
0.02398703
0.018520805
0.014563196
0.01160578
0.009343147
0.007580706
0.006188582
0.005076792
0.004181052
0.003454256
0.002861149
0.002374873
0.001974652
0.001644219
0.001370694
0.001143786
0.000955215
0.000798271
0.000667488
0.000558392
0.00046731
0.000391212
0.000327596
0.000274387
0.000229864
0.4784689
0.218668662
0.132919783
0.090674378
0.06582009
0.049650658
0.038433173
0.03029991
0.024212291
0.019546475
0.015904993
0.013022561
0.01071536
0.008852047
0.007336351
0.006096186
0.005076597
0.00423505
0.003538198
0.002959609
0.002478142
0.002076749
0.001741596
0.001461389
0.001226868
0.001030406
0.000865703
0.000727537
0.000611571
0.000514194
1
0.458715596
0.279923861
0.191738671
0.139777842
0.105910129
0.082361999
0.065244359
0.052394824
0.042514641
0.034776386
0.028627809
0.023686207
0.019678058
0.016402783
0.013710084
0.011485271
0.009639457
0.008102839
0.006819981
0.005746433
0.004846258
0.0040902
0.003454297
0.002918826
0.002467478
0.002086719
0.001765285
0.001493769
0.001264306
Month
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
ra
for ra=19 %
(1 + ra )h 1
Monthly
1
0.496072757
0.328110827
0.244140223
0.193766148
0.160190337
0.136213531
0.118236102
0.104258257
0.093080117
0.083938126
Trimestrial
3.047010174
1.511721931
1
0.744169643
0.590695911
0.488400488
0.415349808
0.360577088
0.317989669
0.283931957
0.256077662
Semestrial
6.233309504
3.093084367
2.046422477
1.523151392
1.209236622
1
0.850579455
0.738543949
0.651431793
0.581765973
0.524788388
Annual
13.01219505
6.458941801
4.274677053
3.182659418
2.527540614
0.916698497
1.779030023
1.545206453
1.363394613
1.217990967
1.09906599
0.076323245
0.034575284
0.020822687
0.014066785
0.010107218
0.00754339
0.005774686
0.004500532
0.00355375
0.002833902
0.002276993
0.001840314
0.001494292
0.001217812
0.000995427
0.000815594
0.000669542
0.000550509
0.000453219
0.000373515
0.000308093
0.00025431
0.000210037
0.000173556
0.000143467
0.000118633
9.81248E-05
8.11796E-05
6.7173E-05
5.55916E-05
0.232875925
0.10566196
0.063740186
0.043135309
0.031050467
0.023218669
0.017810162
0.013909294
0.011006804
0.008796745
0.007084176
0.005739002
0.004671114
0.003816177
0.003127095
0.002568668
0.002114128
0.00174282
0.001438617
0.001188794
0.000983225
0.000813798
0.000673972
0.000558448
0.000462916
0.000383857
0.00031839
0.00026415
0.000219192
0.000181916
0.477326969
0.217063002
0.131253283
0.089045608
0.064266152
0.048187714
0.037068092
0.029034696
0.023046104
0.018476695
0.014927844
0.012133511
0.009909399
0.008123888
0.006680584
0.005507395
0.004549449
0.003764367
0.003119009
0.002587188
0.002148033
0.001784785
0.001483903
0.001234391
0.00102728
0.000855227
0.000712205
0.000593248
0.000494263
0.000411865
1
0.456621005
0.277307895
0.188990938
0.137050167
0.103274292
0.079854902
0.06288506
0.050192202
0.040471309
0.0328909
0.026896022
0.022102153
0.018234563
0.015091906
0.012523448
0.010414307
0.008675594
0.00723765
0.006045291
0.005054399
0.00422943
0.003541556
0.002967267
0.002487299
0.002085808
0.001749713
0.001468188
0.001232251
0.001034434
Month
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Annex
ra
for ra=20 %
(1 + ra )h 1
Monthly
1
0.495867769
0.327838995
0.243836083
0.193443516
0.159856118
0.135871672
0.117889069
0.103907693
0.092727173
0.083583638
Trimestrial
3.049457911
1.512330599
1
0.743868574
0.590216813
0.487804878
0.414672839
0.359840728
0.317208565
0.283116357
0.255235021
Semestrial
6.245367587
3.097882352
2.048808848
1.524338268
1.209708849
1
0.850245752
0.737963119
0.650661551
0.580846717
0.523749498
Month
13.0638091
6.482284378
4.288611605
3.191901804
2.533977175
0.912870929
1.782280219
1.547469781
1.364895629
1.218886858
1.09947107
0.075967839
0.034229136
0.020496917
0.013763696
0.009827217
0.007286159
0.005539533
0.004286534
0.003359835
0.002658901
0.002119674
0.001699419
0.001368555
0.001105987
0.000896298
0.000727994
0.000592359
0.000482696
0.000393798
0.000321579
0.000262809
0.000214915
0.00017584
0.00014393
0.000117851
9.65247E-05
7.90757E-05
6.47932E-05
5.30986E-05
4.35202E-05
0.232011833
0.104721814
0.06282541
0.042269908
0.030242587
0.022470901
0.01712253
0.013280419
0.010434457
0.008278161
0.006616251
0.005318431
0.004294497
0.003480098
0.002828185
0.002303652
0.001879864
0.001536328
0.001257093
0.001029623
0.000843992
0.000692283
0.000568148
0.000466477
0.000383138
0.000314781
0.000258682
0.000212624
0.000174794
0.000143715
0.476190476
0.215470804
0.12960738
0.087444018
0.062745395
0.046763315
0.035746223
0.027816621
0.021930222
0.017459625
0.014005063
0.011299776
0.009159039
0.007451013
0.006079248
0.004971717
0.004073706
0.003343064
0.002746925
0.002259414
0.001859991
0.001532237
0.001262953
0.00104148
0.000859174
0.000709004
0.000585234
0.000483173
0.000398982
0.000329509
1
0.454545455
0.274725275
0.186289121
0.134379703
0.100705746
0.077423926
0.060609422
0.048079462
0.038522757
0.031103794
0.025264965
0.020620001
0.016893055
0.01388212
0.011436135
0.009440147
0.007805386
0.006462453
0.005356531
0.004443939
0.003689619
0.003065258
0.002547873
0.002118729
0.001762496
0.001466592
0.001220668
0.00101619
0.000846108
Month
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
(1 + ra )h 1
ra
Monthy
1
1
2.008333333
3.025069444
4.050278356
5.084030676
6.126397598
7.177450912
8.237263003
9.305906861
10.38345608
11.46998489
Trimestrial
0
0.330593504
0.66391931
1
1.338858342
1.680517293
2.025
2.372329801
2.722530225
3.075625
3.431638046
3.790593481
Semestrial
0
0.163296921
0.327927136
0.493901532
0.661231083
0.829926854
1
1.171461767
1.344323493
1.518596609
1.694292637
1.871423197
Annual
0
0.079741404
0.160118678
0.241136891
0.322801155
0.405116621
1.048808848
0.571721972
0.656022368
0.740994986
0.826645189
0.912978378
12.56556809
26.44691537
41.78182109
58.72249183
77.43707217
98.11131363
120.9504183
146.1810757
174.0537127
204.8449789
238.8604931
276.4378761
317.9501022
363.8092007
414.4703462
470.4363756
532.2627796
600.5632161
676.0156007
759.368836
851.4502442
953.1737792
1065.549097
1189.69158
1326.833403
1478.335767
1645.702407
1830.594523
2034.847258
2260.487925
4.152515625
8.7361159
13.79555297
19.38022483
25.54465761
32.34903798
39.85980075
48.15027751
57.30141263
67.40255354
78.55232308
90.85958243
104.4444939
119.4396944
135.99159
154.2617856
174.4286631
196.6891225
221.2605045
248.3827126
278.3205557
311.3663327
347.8426873
388.1057578
432.548654
481.6052958
535.7546493
595.5254037
661.501133
734.3259934
2.05
4.310125
6.801912813
9.549108876
12.57789254
15.91712652
19.59863199
23.65749177
28.13238467
33.0659541
38.5052144
44.50199887
51.11345376
58.40258277
66.4388475
75.29882937
85.06695938
95.83632272
107.7095458
120.7997742
135.2317511
151.1430056
168.6851637
188.0253929
209.3479957
232.8561653
258.7739222
287.3482492
318.8514448
353.5837179
1
2.1
3.31
4.641
6.1051
7.71561
9.487171
11.4358881
13.57947691
15.9374246
18.53116706
21.38428377
24.52271214
27.97498336
31.77248169
35.94972986
40.54470285
45.59917313
51.15909045
57.27499949
64.00249944
71.40274939
79.54302433
88.49732676
98.34705943
109.1817654
121.0999419
134.2099361
148.6309297
164.4940227
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Annex
(1 + ra )h 1
ra
Trimestrial
1
1
2.009166667
3.027584028
4.055336881
5.092510803
6.139192152
7.19546808
8.261426537
9.337156281
10.42274688
11.51828873
Semestrial
0
0.330323621
0.663647868
1
1.339407521
1.681898185
2.0275
2.376241227
2.728150385
3.08325625
3.441587861
3.803174521
Annual
0
0.162970799
0.327402369
0.493307804
0.660700315
0.82959323
1
1.171934193
1.345409499
1.520439733
1.697038832
1.875220858
12.62387304
26.70856598
42.42312319
59.95615067
79.51807969
101.3436924
125.6949395
152.8640847
183.1772117
216.9981385
254.7327836
296.8340379
343.8072003
396.2160425
454.6895748
519.9295963
592.7191171
673.9317566
764.5422282
865.6380381
978.4325375
1104.279485
1244.689295
1401.347165
1576.133301
1771.145485
1988.724252
2231.480981
2502.329236
2804.519736
4.168045797
8.813838252
13.99213729
19.76397948
26.1973975
33.36822199
41.36097542
50.26986831
60.19990972
71.26814499
83.60503532
97.35599556
112.6831082
129.7670337
148.8091404
170.0338773
193.6914202
220.0606205
249.4522918
282.2128735
318.7285142
359.4296237
404.7959457
455.3622126
511.7244487
574.5469952
644.5703412
722.6198513
809.6154945
906.582688
2.055
4.342266375
6.888051032
9.721573
12.87535379
16.38559065
20.29257203
24.64113999
29.48120483
34.86831801
40.86430965
47.53799825
54.96598051
63.23351045
72.43547797
82.67749787
94.07712207
106.7651888
120.8873242
136.6056141
154.1004636
173.5726685
195.2457194
219.3683668
246.2174764
276.1012067
309.3625456
346.3832473
387.5882139
433.4503717
Month n=
Month n=
0
0
0.079405398
1
0.159504371
2
0.240302975
3
0.321807322
4
0.404023577
5
1.053565375
6
0.570616735
7
0.655006239
8
0.740132851
9
0.826003009
10
0.912623209
11
Year h=
1
1
2.11
2
3.3421
3
4.709731
4
6.22780141
5
7.912859565
6
9.783274117
7
11.85943427
8
14.16397204
9
16.72200896
10
19.56142995
11
22.71318724
12
26.21163784
13
30.094918
14
34.40535898
15
39.18994847
16
44.50084281
17
50.39593551
18
56.93948842
19
64.20283215
20
72.26514368
21
81.21430949
22
91.14788353
23
102.1741507
24
114.4133073
25
127.9987711
26
143.0786359
27
159.8172859
28
178.3971873
29
199.0208779
30
(1 + ra )h 1
ra
Monthy
1
1
2.01
3.0301
4.060401
5.10100501
6.15201506
7.213535211
8.285670563
9.368527268
10.46221254
11.56683467
Trimestrial
0
0.330054468
0.663377015
1
1.339956102
1.683278326
2.03
2.380154785
2.733776675
3.0909
3.451559429
3.815789976
Semestrial
0
0.16264657
0.326880374
0.492716902
0.660171794
0.829260844
1
1.172405364
1.346493196
1.522279916
1.699782102
1.879016495
Annual
0
0.079073274
0.158896859
0.239477873
0.320823503
0.402941005
1.058300524
0.569520991
0.653998333
0.739277262
0.825365385
0.912270381
12.68250301
26.97346485
43.07687836
61.22260777
81.66966986
104.7099312
130.6722744
159.9272926
192.8925793
230.0386895
271.8958562
319.0615594
372.2090543
432.0969818
499.5801975
575.6219742
661.3077514
757.8606299
866.6588301
989.2553654
1127.40021
1283.065279
1458.472574
1656.125905
1878.846626
2129.813909
2412.610125
2731.27198
3090.348134
3494.964133
4.183627
8.892336046
14.19202956
20.1568813
26.87037449
34.42647022
42.93092252
52.50275852
63.27594427
75.40125973
89.04840911
104.408396
121.6961965
141.1537683
163.0534368
187.7017066
215.4435515
246.6672422
281.8097813
321.3630185
365.8805356
415.9853932
472.3788519
535.8501865
607.2877327
687.6913204
778.1862666
880.0391259
994.6754163
1123.699571
2.06
4.374616
6.975318538
9.897467909
13.18079494
16.8699412
21.01506593
25.67252808
30.90565255
36.7855912
43.39229028
50.81557735
59.15638272
68.52811162
79.05818622
90.88977803
104.1837546
119.1208667
135.9042058
154.7619656
175.9505446
199.7580319
226.5081246
256.5645288
290.3359046
328.2814224
370.9170062
418.8223482
472.6487904
533.1281809
1
2.12
3.3744
4.779328
6.35284736
8.115189043
10.08901173
12.29969314
14.77565631
17.54873507
20.65458328
24.13313327
28.02910926
32.39260238
37.27971466
42.75328042
48.88367407
55.74971496
63.43968075
72.05244244
81.69873554
92.5025838
104.6028939
118.1552411
133.3338701
150.3339345
169.3740066
190.6988874
214.5827539
241.3326843
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Annex
(1 + ra )h 1
ra
Monthy
1
1
2.010833333
3.032617361
4.065470716
5.109513315
6.164866376
7.231652429
8.30999533
9.400020279
10.50185383
11.61562392
Trimestrial
0
0.329786043
0.663106748
1
1.340504089
1.684657717
2.0325
2.384070472
2.739409093
3.09855625
3.461552763
3.828439889
Semestrial
0
0.162324215
0.326361125
0.4921288
0.659645503
0.828929686
1
1.172875289
1.347574598
1.524117172
1.702522461
1.882810116
Annual
0
0.078744957
0.158296013
0.238661421
0.319849518
0.401868724
1.063014581
0.568434585
0.652998518
0.738428119
0.824732249
0.911919862
12.74145984
27.241655
43.74334809
62.52281082
83.8944494
108.2160683
135.8948606
167.3942253
203.2415254
244.0369174
290.4633985
343.2982421
403.4260102
471.8533634
549.725914
638.3474059
739.2015423
853.9768255
984.5948258
1133.242353
1302.408067
1494.924144
1714.013694
1963.344717
2247.09152
2570.004599
2937.490172
3355.70069
3831.637843
4373.269783
4.199259328
8.971616471
14.39528548
20.55915476
27.56424382
35.5253589
44.57297456
54.85537196
66.54106909
79.82158259
94.91456649
112.0673794
131.5611383
153.7153261
178.8930272
207.5068785
240.0258317
276.9828392
318.9835886
366.7164292
420.9636536
482.6143182
552.6788146
632.3054281
722.7991576
825.6431029
942.522771
1075.3537
1226.312854
1397.874298
2.065
4.407174625
7.063727639
10.07685648
13.49442254
17.37071141
21.76729515
26.75401034
32.41006738
38.82530867
46.10163573
54.35462778
63.71537769
74.33257427
86.37486405
100.0335302
115.5255308
133.0969451
153.0268826
175.6319159
201.2711098
230.3517245
263.3356848
300.746917
343.179672
391.3079635
445.8962748
507.8117023
578.0377281
657.6898421
1
2.13
3.4069
4.849797
6.48027061
8.322705789
10.40465754
12.75726302
15.41570722
18.41974915
21.81431654
25.65017769
29.98470079
34.8827119
40.41746444
46.67173482
53.73906035
61.72513819
70.74940616
80.94682896
92.46991672
105.4910059
120.2048367
136.8314654
155.6195559
176.8500982
200.840611
227.9498904
258.5833762
293.1992151
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
(1 + ra )h 1
ra
Monthy
1
1
2.011666667
3.035136111
4.070546032
5.118035736
6.177746153
7.249819858
8.33440109
9.431635769
10.54167152
11.66465769
Trimestrial
0
0.329518341
0.662837065
1
1.341051483
1.686036362
2.035
2.387988285
2.745047635
3.106225
3.471567875
3.841124302
Semestrial
0
0.162003716
0.325844597
0.491543475
0.659121423
0.828599747
1
1.173343976
1.348653718
1.525951519
1.705259922
1.886601729
Annual
0
0.078420371
0.157701708
0.237853463
0.318885192
0.400806556
1.067707825
0.567357367
0.65200667
0.737585326
0.824103537
0.911571619
12.80074536
27.51318001
44.4227995
63.85773588
86.1951251
111.8684254
141.3758284
175.2899268
214.2688255
259.0689121
310.5595345
369.7398709
437.7583189
515.9347799
605.7862722
709.0563688
827.749031
964.1674964
1120.958972
1301.166005
1508.285522
1746.336688
2019.938898
2334.401417
2695.826407
3111.227338
3588.665088
4137.404359
4768.093467
5492.970967
4.214942875
9.05168677
14.60196164
20.97102971
28.27968181
36.66652821
46.29062734
57.33450247
70.00760318
84.55027775
101.2383313
120.3882566
142.3632363
167.580031
196.5168829
229.722586
267.8268941
311.552464
361.7285612
419.3067868
485.3791251
561.198653
648.2033051
748.0431445
862.6116567
994.0816595
1144.946512
1318.067399
1516.7276
1744.69475
2.07
4.439943
7.153290741
10.25980257
13.81644796
17.88845127
22.55048786
27.88805355
33.99903251
40.99549232
49.00573916
58.17667076
68.67647036
80.69769091
94.46078632
110.2181543
128.2587648
148.9134598
172.5610202
199.635112
230.6322397
266.1208513
306.7517626
353.270093
406.5289295
467.5049714
537.3164417
617.2435941
708.7521909
813.5203834
1
2.14
3.4396
4.921144
6.61010416
8.535518742
10.73049137
13.23276016
16.08534658
19.3372951
23.04451641
27.27074871
32.08865353
37.58106503
43.84241413
50.98035211
59.11760141
68.3940656
78.96923479
91.02492766
104.7684175
120.435996
138.2970354
158.6586204
181.8708272
208.332743
238.4993271
272.8892329
312.0937255
356.786847
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Annex
(1 + ra )h 1
ra
Monthy
1
1
2.0125
3.03765625
4.075626953
5.12657229
6.190654444
7.268037624
8.358888095
9.463374196
10.58166637
11.7139372
Trimestrial
0
0.32925136
0.662567962
1
1.341598286
1.687414261
2.0375
2.391908222
2.750692296
3.11390625
3.48160478
3.853843257
Semestrial
0
0.161685055
0.325330763
0.490960902
0.658599535
0.828271017
1
1.173811434
1.349730571
1.52778297
1.7079945
1.890391343
Annual
0
0.078099446
0.157113821
0.237053842
0.317930354
0.399754328
1.072380529
0.566289189
0.651022666
0.736748788
0.823479185
0.911225621
12.86036142
27.78808403
45.1155055
65.22838824
88.57450776
115.6736215
147.1290401
183.6410594
226.0225508
275.2170583
332.3198052
398.6020766
475.5395227
564.8450107
668.5067594
788.8326025
928.5013685
1090.62252
1278.805378
1497.239481
1750.787854
2045.095272
2386.713938
2783.249347
3243.529615
3777.802015
4397.961118
5117.813598
5953.385616
6923.279611
4.230677734
9.132554247
14.8121155
21.39274151
29.01738656
37.85168472
48.08754794
59.94733512
73.68868245
89.61010024
108.0574576
129.4314958
154.1965341
182.8905559
216.1368963
254.6577823
299.2900229
351.0031869
410.920666
480.3440779
560.781543
653.9804452
761.965392
887.0821955
1032.048832
1200.014485
1394.627959
1620.116941
1881.379844
2184.092215
2.075
4.472921875
7.244020342
10.44637101
14.1470875
18.42372799
23.36592066
29.07724206
35.67738785
43.30468134
52.11897237
62.30498744
74.07620112
87.67930991
103.3994025
121.5659345
142.5596331
166.820476
194.8569126
227.2565196
264.6983155
307.9669908
357.9693537
415.7533344
482.5299471
559.6986701
648.8767756
751.9332239
871.0278318
1008.656538
1
2.15
3.4725
4.993375
6.74238125
8.753738437
11.0667992
13.72681908
16.78584195
20.30371824
24.34927597
29.00166737
34.35191748
40.5047051
47.58041086
55.71747249
65.07509336
75.83635737
88.21181097
102.4435826
118.81012
137.631638
159.2763837
184.1678413
212.7930175
245.7119701
283.5687656
327.1040804
377.1696925
434.7451464
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
(1 + ra )h 1
ra
Monthy
1
1
2.013333333
3.040177778
4.080713481
5.135122995
6.203591301
7.286305852
8.383456597
9.495236018
10.62183916
11.76346369
Trimestrial
0
0.328985096
0.662299439
1
1.342144499
1.688791416
2.04
2.395830279
2.756343073
3.1216
3.49166349
3.866596796
Semestrial
0
0.161368212
0.3248196
0.490381057
0.658079822
0.827943487
1
1.174277669
1.350805168
1.529611541
1.710726208
1.894178966
Annual
0
0.077782112
0.156532233
0.23626241
0.316984841
0.398711873
1.077032961
0.565229907
0.650046384
0.735918412
0.822859131
0.910881838
12.92030987
28.06641183
45.82174487
66.63580331
91.03551621
119.6385871
153.1691319
192.4760104
238.5543162
292.5705686
355.8922438
430.1223946
517.1402328
619.1487034
738.7302546
878.9122151
1043.243434
1235.884123
1461.711177
1726.441638
2036.777427
2400.575011
2827.044294
3326.981781
3913.043898
4600.067404
5405.444997
6349.565632
7456.330682
8753.75903
4.246464
9.21422626
15.02580546
21.82453114
29.77807858
39.08260412
49.96758298
62.70146867
77.59831385
95.0255157
115.412877
139.263206
167.1647177
199.8055399
237.9906852
282.6619043
334.9209123
396.0565602
467.5766212
551.2449767
649.1251187
763.6310406
897.5867736
1054.296034
1237.623705
1452.091149
1702.987724
1996.501231
2339.870519
2741.56402
2.08
4.506112
7.335929037
10.63662763
14.48656247
18.97712646
24.2149203
30.32428304
37.45024374
45.7619643
55.45675516
66.76475922
79.95441515
95.33882983
113.2832111
134.2135374
158.6266701
187.102148
220.3159454
259.0565187
304.2435234
356.9496457
418.4260668
490.1321643
573.7701564
671.3255104
785.1140754
917.8370575
1072.645144
1253.213296
1
2.16
3.5056
5.066496
6.87713536
8.977477018
11.41387334
14.24009307
17.51850797
21.32146924
25.73290432
30.85016901
36.78619605
43.67198742
51.65950541
60.92502627
71.67303048
84.14071536
98.60322981
115.3797466
134.840506
157.414987
183.6013849
213.9776065
249.2140235
290.0882673
337.5023901
392.5027725
456.3032161
530.3117307
Month n=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year h=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Bibliography
1. AYRES, R.U.
2. BAUMOL,
OATES
3. BNACU, C.S.,
(coordonators
GHEORGHIU, A.,
DE RON, A.)
Feasibility Study
Methodology to Introduce
Sustainable Production in the Housing Industry of
Romania (Technische Universiteit Eindhoven)
research doctoral work TUE Eindhoven The
Netherlands
4. BNACU, C.S.,
(coordonators
GHEORGHIU, A.,
BENGTSSON, S.)
5. BNACU, C.S.,
(coordonatori
GHEORGHIU, A.,
BENGTSSON, S.,
BJORNSSON, H.)
6. BNACU, C.S.,
(coordonator
GHEORGHIU, A.)
7. BNACU, C.S.,
KARLSSON, R.
8. BNACU, C.S.
9. BRAN, P.
11. DAMODARAN, A.
14. * * *
15. * * *
16. CAMAOIU, C.
Evaluarea organizaiilor,
Economic, 2004
Bucureti,
Editura
Bibliography
Managementul serviciilor
Editura ASE, 2003
21. HNCU, D.
Managementul investiiilor
Mrgritar, 2000
The
Dutch
Programme
for
Sustainable
Technological Development, Conference Paper
1992, Nunspeet the Netherlands
27. * * *
World
Comission
on
Environment
and
Development 1987, New York, Our Common
Future, Oxford Press
28. * * *
29. * * *
30. * * *
www.investword.com
publice,
Bucureti,
Bucureti,
Editura
Chapter 12
STUDY CASE
FOR SUSTAINABLE
INVESTMENT PROJECT
SELECTION
Company history
The company Mediator CSB SA is a joint stock company founded on 1st of august
2000. The domain of activity is the production of different plastic products with
resources obtained from recycling waste. Presently, the company Mediator CSB SA
has 98 employees from which:
management 7,
direct workforce 60,
indirect workforce 20,
technical and administrative workers 10,
outside consultants 1.
The main activity indicators are:
Annual turnover: 320 mld. lei (1euro = 40000 lei)
Social Capital: 120 mld. lei
Assets: 100 mld. lei
Income / Assets 1000 lei / 1400 lei
Initial data
The profit rate is 50%, and the profit structure is:
For dividends: 20%,
Net investments: 50%,
Working capital 30%,
Amortization rate is 30%,
Depreciation rate is 8 %,
Acquisition rate is 7 %,
Net investment: 5 mld. lei,
I
d1=20%
i1=50%
c1=30%
v1=1400
II
d2=20%
i2=50%
c2=30%
v2=1600
III
d3=15%
i3=60%
c3=25%
v3=1200
Table 12.1
Variant I
Forecasting
year
CFh
Vh
Ph
Dh
INh
CCh
Ah
SFh
IBh
ITh
PFh
Inet h
CFh,
h-1
100,00
140,00
46,67
9,33
23,33
14,00
30,00
8,00
53,33
58,33
37,33
21,00
29,33
2
3
129,33
167,27
181,07
234,18
60,36
78,06
12,07
15,61
30,18
39,03
18,11
23,42
38,80
50,18
10,35
13,38
68,98
89,21
92,31
119,39
48,28
62,45
44,03
56,94
37,94
49,07
Table 12.2
Forecasting
year
CFh
Vh
Ph
Dh
INh
CCh
Ah
SFh
IBh
ITh
PFh
Inet h
CFh,
h-1
100,00
160,00
53,33
10,67
26,67
16,00
30,00
8,00
56,67
61,67
39,67
22,00
31,67
131,67
210,67
70,22
14,04
35,11
21,07
39,50
10,53
74,61
101,28
52,23
49,05
41,69
173,36
277,38
92,46
18,49
46,23
27,74
52,01
13,87
98,24
133,35
68,77
64,58
54,90
Dh
INh
CCh
Ah
SFh
IBh
ITh
PFh
Table 12.3
CFh
Vh
Ph
Inet h
CFh,
h-1
100,00
120,00
40,00
6,00
24,00
10,00
30,00
8,00
54,00
59,00
37,80
21,20
29,80
129,80
155,76
51,92
7,79
31,15
12,98
38,94
10,38
70,09
94,09
49,06
45,03
38,68
168,48
202,18
67,39
10,11
40,44
16,85
50,54
13,48
90,98
122,13
63,69
58,45
50,21
Table 12.4
Ph=Vh*p/1+p
Dh=di*Ph
INh=ii*Ph
CCh=ci*Ph
Ah=a*CFh
SFh=*CFh
IBh=INh+Ah
ITh=IBh+Ineth-1
PFh=*IBh
Ineth=ITh*PFh
CFh,h-1=PFh-SFh
where,
CFh
= Assets in year h;
Vh
= Incomes in year h;
Ph
= profit in year h;
Dh
= dividendes in year h;
INh
= Net investments in year h;
CCh
= Working Capital in year h;
Ah
= amortization in year h;
SFh
= assests that have been removed;
IBh
= Brut investments in year h;
ITh
= Total investments in year h;
PFh
= aquisitions in year h;
Ineth
= unfinished project investments in year h;
CFh,h-1 = the modification of capital assets from year h-1 to year h;
P
= profit rate:
Di
= dividends to profit ratio;
ii
= Investments to profit ratio;
ci
= Working Capital to profit ratio;
a
= amortization rate;
The analysis
Analysing the resulted data from table 1 we could say that the best variant is
variant II as the modification of capital assets is higher (31,67 in the first year,
41,69 in the second and 54,90 in the third) and the value of capital assets in the 3rd
year is 173,36 mld. lei.
The second selected isvariant II as the value of capital assets is 168,48 mld. lei, and
the last variant is variant III, where the capital assets is 167,27 mld. lei. As a result,
the order of project investments is: variant II, variant III and then variant I.
If we analyse the investments from the turnover point of view, the best variant is
the second because the income in the third year will be 277,38 mld. lei (in the year
1 was of 160 mld. lei, and in the second year was of 210,67 mld. lei). The second
proposed variant of investment is variant I as the income in the 3rd year is
234,18 mld. lei (in the first year the turnover was of 140 mld. lei, and in the second
year was 181,07 mld. lei). The third selected variant of investment project is
variant III where the income in the 3rd year is 202,18 mld. lei. Results that from
the point of view of forecasting, the project investments selection will be:
variant II, variant I and variant III.
From the forecasted profit perspective well note that the order of variants is
variant II, variant I and variant III. In the variant II, the profit rise from
53,33 mld. lei in year 1 to 70,22 mld. lei in year 2 and to 92,46 mld. lei in year 3. In
variant I, the profit rise from 46,67 in the first year to 60,36 in the second and to
78,06 in the third. In the variant III, the profit is 40 mld. lei in the year 1 and rise
from 51,92 mld. lei in year 2, reaching to 67,39 mld. lei in the third year.
Results that generally the second variant of project investment is the best.
The graphical reprezentation is presented in the next figures (figure 12.1):
100,00
profit
80,00
Series1
60,00
Series2
40,00
Series3
20,00
0,00
1
2
an
year
Graphic 12.1
Study case no 2
Hypotesis:
- The forecasting profit for the next three years is a medium profit;
- The income is also the forecasted medium turnover, over the next three years.
The problem
We have to find which is the optimum variant of projects starting taking into
account the following indicators:
No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Indicators
Production capacity
Annual turnover
Annual production costs
Annual profit
No. of employees
Management
Direct working employees
Variant
II
M.u.
units
mld. lei
mld. lei
mld. lei
No. of pers
No. of pers
No. of pers
21000
185,08
123,39
61,69
117
7
100
24000
216,01
144,01
72,00
90
7
83
III
18000
159,31
106,21
53,10
80
7
73
Table 12.5
No.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Indicator
Production capacity
Annual turnover
Annual costs
Annual profit
No of employees
Management
Direct workers
Investments
From which construction works
Specific investment- product based
Specific investment-value based
M.u.
pc
mld. lei
mld. lei
mld. lei
no pers
no pers
no pers
mld. lei
mld. lei
mld. lei/unit
lei invest/ 1 leu
production
Variant
II
III
21000
185,08
123,39
61,69
117
7
100
74
44,4
3,524
24000
216,01
144,01
72,00
90
7
83
80
48
3,333
18000
159,31
106,21
53,10
80
7
73
68
40,8
3,778
0,400
0,370
0,427
Indicatori
Payback
Economic efficiency ratio
M.u.
years
14
15
16
Costs recalculated
Product unit based
II
III
1,20
0,83
1,11
0,90
1,28
0,78
years
20
20
20
lei/f.u.
0,00605
0,00617
0,00609
17
lei/f.u.
0,0088
0,0090
0,0089
18
19
lei/f.u.
lei
1,5000
1,5000
1,5000
2541,761 2960,198 2192,162
20
lei
222
21
lei inv/lei ch
1,030
lei profit net/ 6,3315
1 leu invest
22
240
204
1,028
6,8355
1,032
5,9308
Table 12.6
Economic analysis
We note that if we relate the investment project with the production capacity the
ratio must be minimum. Therefore, the variant II is the optimum investment. That
means the lowest investment costs for more products (3,333 mil lei/unit), and
lowest investments for money spent with production (an effort of 0,370 lei for 1 leu
production capacity). This situation is characteristic to the mass production. Is not
the same case for luxury goods production.
If the main indicator for investment project selection is the payback period well
note that the feasible payback period is for variant II.
From the point of view of economic efficiency, the optimum variant is the
variant II (brings the highest profit to an invested monetary unit (i.e. 1 leu) and
followed by variant I and the last variant III.
In what it concern the Net Present Value of investment ratio, variant II is the most
efficient as it brings the highest return for 1 leu invested.
As a conclusion, the variant II is the feasible variant of investment project.
Study case no 3
The company Mediator CSB SA wants to develop its activity. Therefore, it analyses
three variants of proiects:
Variant
No.
1
2
3
4
Measures
Production capacity
Annual turnover
Production costs
Useful life
Project design and constructions
5
time
6
Investment costs
year 1
year 2
Table 12.7
Measure
unit
units
mld. lei
mld. lei
year
I
21000
185,08
123,39
20
II
24000
216,01
144,01
20
III
18000
159,31
106,21
20
year
mld. lei
mld. lei
mld. lei
2
74
44
30
2
80
48
32
2
68
41
27
Measures
Measure unit
I
mld. lei
59,2
II
III
64
54,4
Invested capital
0,24
0,24 0,24
Table 12.8
1. Invested capital
We determine the total invested capital with the formula:
Mi = Ih(d-h+1)/d, where
Ih = Investment in the year h;
d = time to perform the project design and feasibility studies;
h = the year of the analysis
M1 = 44(2-1+1)/2 + 30(2-2+1)/2 = 59,2 mld. lei
M2 = 48(2-1+1)/2 + 32(2-2+1)/2 = 64 mld. lei
M3 = 41(2-1+1)/2 + 27(2-2+1)/2 = 54,4 mld. lei
Analysing the variants of projects on invested capital base, the feasible variant is
the variant III and then I and II.
2. Opportunity costs of capital product unit based
Well use the relation:
It = Mi*a*d, where
It = total investment costs
a = discounting ratio = 15 %
It1 = 59,2*0,15*2 = 17,76 invested lei/product unit
It2 = 64*0,15*2 = 19,2 invested lei/product unit
It3 = 54,4*0,15*2 = 16,32 invested lei/product unit
Analysing the investment projects from this aspect, well observe that the variant II
will be also most feasible as it has the highest value (19,2).
= (Pact / Iact) 1
= Ih*1/(1+a)h
= Ph*1/(1+a)h=Ph*[1/(1+a)d]*{[(1+a)D-1]}/(1+a)d*a
= Discounted Net Present Value of Investment:
= Discounted profit
= Discounted investment
No.
1
Measure
Measure
unit
Variant
I
II
III
Discounted investment
From which:
mld.
60,99
65,94
56,05
year I
mld.
38,61
41,74
35,48
year II
mld.
22,38
24,20
20,57
Discounted profit
mld.
291,99
340,80
251,34
3,79
4,17
3,48
Table 12.9
Measure
Discounted investment
Variant
Measure
unit
II
III
mld. lei
81
87
74
Year 1
mld. lei
51,06
55,20
46,92
Year 2
mld. lei
30
32
27
386,16
450,70 332,40
3,79
4,17
From which:
2
3
Discounted profit
mld.
Discounted Net Present Value
of Investment:
Table 12.10
3,48
Measure
Measure
unit
Variant
mld. lei
I
1518,14
II
1641,24
III
1395,05
Year 1
mld. lei
961,03
1038,95
883,11
Year 2
mld.lei
557,12
602,29
511,95
Discounted profit
mld.lei
7268,18
8482,91
6256,19
3,79
4,17
3,48
Discounted investment
From which:
Table 12.11
Investments
a) IactI=44*21,645+30*18,821=1518,14 mld. Lei
IactII=48*21,645+32*18,821=1641,24 mld. lei
IactIII=41*21,645+27*18,821=1395,05 mld. lei
Profit
b) PactI=61,69*[(16,366-1)/0,15]=7268,18 mld. lei
PactII=72*[(16,366-1)/0,15]=8482,91 mld. lei
PactIII=53,10*[(16,366-1)/0,15]=6256,19 mld. lei
Discounted Net Present Value of Investment:
c) RactI=(7268,18/1518,14)-1=3,79
RactII=(8482,91/1641,24)-1=4,17
RactIII=(6256,19/1395,05)-1=3,48
Economic analysis
Analysing the upmentioned measures, well get the conclusion that the optimum
variant is variant II as the Discounted Net Present Value of Investment is 4,17
comparing with 3,79 in variant I and 3,48 in variant III.
2
3
4
5
6
7
Indicator
Investment costs
year 1
year 2
Annual turnover
Production costs
Investment object useful life
Forecasted incoms
Fixed costs
Variable costs
Measure
unit
mld. lei
mld. lei
mld. lei
mld. lei
mld. lei
year
mld. lei
mld. lei
mld. lei
II
III
74
44
30
220
123,39
20
185,08
24,15
99,24
80
48
32
210
144,01
20
216,01
23,80
120,21
68
41
27
190
106,21
20
159,31
19,89
86,32
Table 12.12
I
1041,25
644,94
1,614
396,31
86,37%
19,99
II
993,92
747,53
1,33
246,39
60,57%
26,51
III
899,26
558,76
1,609
340,5
82,45%
19,18
Table 12.13
Investment and
production costs
44
30
123,39
incomes
220
a=15%
0,87
0,76
4,73
Discounted
costs
38,26
22,68
584,00
Discounted
incomes
1041,25
644,94
1041,25
Table 12.14
Investment and
production costs
48
32
144,01
Incomes
210
a=15%
0,87
0,76
4,73
Discounted
costs
41,74
24,20
681,59
Discounted
incomes
993,92
747,53
993,92
Table 12.15
Discounted
costs
35,65
20,42
502,69
Discounted
incomes
899,26
558,76
899,26
Table 12.16
Year
1
2
years1-22
Total
Investment
and production Incomes a=85%
costs
44
0,54
30
0,29
123,39
220
0,34
Discounted Discounted
costs
incomes
23,78
8,77
42,41
74,96
75,62
75,62
Table 12.17
Investment and
production costs
44
30
123,39
Incomes
a=90%
0,53
0,28
220
0,31
Table 12.18
Discounted
costs
23,16
8,31
Discounte
d incomes
37,98
69,45
67,71
67,71
Year
1
2
years
3-22
Total
Investment and
production costs
48
32
144,01
Incomes
a=60%
0,63
0,39
210
0,65
Discounted
costs
30,00
12,50
Discounted
incomes
93,75
136,25
136,71
136,71
Discounted
costs
29,09
11,75
Discounted
incomes
81,38
122,22
118,66
118,66
Discounted
costs
22,16
7,89
Discounted
incomes
36,51
66,56
65,31
65,31
Discounted
costs
22,78
8,33
Discounted
incomes
0,00
0,00
40,98
72,09
73,30
73,30
Table 12.19
Investment and
production costs
48
32
144,01
Incomes
a=65%
0,61
0,37
210
0,57
Table 12.20
Investment and
production costs
41
27
106,21
Incomes
a=85%
0,54
0,29
190
0,34
Table 12.21
Investment and
production costs
41
27
106,21
Table 12.22
Incomes
a=80%
0,56
0,31
190
0,39