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200
May 1985
Highlights
Trading of options on agricultural commodity futures began on an
experimental basis in October 1984.
In this
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page
List of Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .. ..
. ..... .
List of Examples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . ..
List of Figures
ii
.
ii
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 1i
1
1
2
3
4
4
5
5
6
8
Application of Options by Merchants ................
.............. 8
Long Cash . . . . . . . . . . . ........
9
Long Cash/Long Puts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
10
Long Cash/Short Calls . ............... . . ..
11
Summary of Long Cash Position ................. ..
. . 11
Short Cash .............. .... . . . . . . .. ..
.. 13
Short Cash/Long Calls .............. . . .
14
.
.
................
Puts
Short Cash/Short
.
15
.
.
.............
..
Position
Summary of Short Cash
17
.
.........
.
Prices
Ceiling
and
Floor
Forward Contracts with
17
.
Forward Contracts with Floor Prices . .............
19
.
.
............
Prices
Forward Contracts with Ceiling
.
21
.
Summary of Forward Contracts . ...............
.22
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.
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.
.
Quantity Risk ................
. .. .. . 22
Overnight Transactions . ..............
.. 25
Summary of Quantity Risk . .............. . . .
26
.
Selected Decisions to be Made in the Use of Options . ........
Terminating Option Positions . ............... . . 26
In-the-Money Vs. Out-of-the-Money Options . ............ 27
27
.
Long Cash/Long Puts . ............... . ..., ....
Short Cash/Long Calls . ......... .... . . . . . . .. 30
31
. . .. . . ..
Summary of Options .. . ..............
. . .
Pricing of Commodity Options . ...............
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Concept . .
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Length of Time . .
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Market Volatility
. . . . . .
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Interest Rates .........
........
.
Price
Strike
and
Relationships Between Market
. ........
Black/Scholes Pricing Model . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . .
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Delta Factor . . . . . . . . . .
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Recent Premiums . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Summary
. ....................
Selected Bibliography
. ......
..
33
33
33
34
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36
..
. . 36
38
41
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. . 41
43
44
List of Tables
Table
No.
Pag
. . . ............
. ....
31
37
37
.. ... . .
.... .34
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36
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38
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40
42
List of Examples
Example
No.
Page
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12
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16
18
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- ii
. . 20
23
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24
Commodity Options:
Introduction
History
Commodity options have had a history of adversity and diversity.
Grain options began trading on the Chicago Board of Trade as early as the
Civil War. Shortly after their introduction, however, the Board of Trade
tried to cease trading because of perceived abuses. The state of Illinois
banned option trading both on and off exchanges, but trading continued
despite this statutory ban. Further restrictions came in 1887 when the
Board of Trade found it necessary to restrict option trading by its
members. Agricultural options were then alternately traded and banned
between 1887 and 1936. In 1936, Congress banned the trading of
agricultural options completely with the Commodity Exchange Act of 1936.
A number of factors caused the 1936 ban, including the following:
options were not being used for traditional risk-shifting purposes, small
traders "lured" into options markets to speculate usually lost money, large
traders could use options to cause artificial price movements, terms and
conditions of options were not standardized, and congestion near the close
of the market could occur because many options were good for less than a
day (Horner and Moriority 1983). A specific case occurred in the early
1930s when options were blamed for the excessive price movements in wheat,
which led to the collapse of the Chicago Board of Trade's wheat market in
1933. Trouble continued to occur in the late 1960s and early 1970s when
gold options were being sold fraudulently.
The problems all seemed to stem from the lack of one specific
governing body. After the gold incident, the Commodity Futures Trading
Commission (CFTC) was given full control of all commodity futures and
options trading. The commission has worked to develop regulations for
exchange-traded options, and in September 1981 the CFTC approved a threeyear pilot program including options trading in gold, treasury bonds, and
sugar. Following this, the Futures Trading Act of 1982 lifted the 1936 ban
on agricultural options. The result was development of an experimental
three-year program of organized trading in selected agricultural options
which was introduced in October 1984.
*Satrom and Chan are graduate research assistants and Wilson is
associate professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, North Dakota
State University, Fargo.
- 2
Agricultural options provide a risk management alternative for most
participants in the agricultural marketing chain. This report examines the
salient features of agricultural options as applied to merchandisers (i.e.,
elevators, domestic merchants, and exporters) and producers. Topics
discussed include simple mechanics of options, specific applications,
discussion of selected option details, and option pricing. The treatment
is not exhaustive and additional references are listed at the end of the
text. Definitions for the unique terminology are listed below and used
throughout the text.
Definitions
An option is a contingent contract between two parties to buy or sell
a particular "underlying" commodity under specific conditions. Additional
basic definitions and relationships associated with agricultural options
follow:
Call Option - An option which gives the buyer the right, but not the
obligation, to purchase (go "long") the underlying
futures contract at the strike or exercise price on or
before the expiration date.
Put Option
- An option which gives the buyer the right, but not the
obligation, to sell (go "short") the underlying futures
contract at the strike or exercise price on or before
the expiration date.
Premium
Strike or
Exercise
Price
- 3Out-of-theMoney
- A call (put) is out-of-the-money if its strike price is
above (below) the current price of the underlying
futures contract. The option, call or put, has no
intrinsic value.
Intrinsic
Value
Time or
Extrinsic
Value
Expiration
Date
Breakeven
Level
-4With the use of options, losses in the cash market are offset by
gains in the option market but gains in the cash market are not negated by
losses in the futures or options. There are four basic positions in option
trading: buying puts, buying calls, selling puts, and selling calls. It
should be noted that puts do not offset calls and vice versa; each is a
separate type of option. Each option position depends on the user's cash
position along with other factors specific to each merchant. A long option
position involves limited risk and potentially large returns. Conversely,
a short option position, or selling options, entails potentially large
risks and limited returns.
Buying Puts
A hedger with a long cash position can establish a floor price and be
able to take advantage of a price rise by having a long put position. The
only cost involved is the premium paid by the purchaser to the seller at
the time the transaction is initiated. The following example will help
illustrate this. A long cash grain position is taken at a futures price
which would realize a small profit. The merchant or producer is optimistic
about prices in the future, yet he would like to lock in this price as a
floor, resulting in a small profit over operating costs. The appropriate
action in the option market would be to buy puts. This allows the merchandiser to lock in a floor price equal to the strike price minus the premium.
The basic idea behind this plan is that if prices decline further, the
option may be exercised to obtain the floor price. Exercising the put
options involves assuming a short futures position at the strike price when
their actual value is less than the strike price. The difference between
the two prices minus the premium would be the net profit. Alternatively,
if the underlying futures price rises, the puts will not be exercised; the
effective price will be the higher cash price minus the premium.
Buying Calls
A long call position allows a hedger to establish a ceiling price
while being able to benefit from a price decline. A short cash grain position can be protected by purchasing call options. Once again, the only
cost incurred is the premium. A number of different scenarios can be developed to illustrate a short cash position; in some cases price risk will be
prevalent and in others quantity risk may be apparent. Specific examples
of each will be given later. An illustration of a short cash position will
demonstrate the simple mechanics of a long call position.
For instance, a merchandiser (or processor) who has sold cash grain
for future delivery but does not have the physical commodity on hand is
subject to the risk of a price increase before actually buying or pricing
the grain. The merchant could hedge in the futures market but would not
be able to benefit if prices declined. Purchasing calls would lock in a
ceiling price equal to the strike price, plus, if prices increased, the
merchant would be able to realize the ceiling price by exercising the call
option. This would entail assuming a long futures position at the strike
price when actual value is greater; the difference between the two prices
- 5less the premium will be the net profit. Conversely, if prices fell, the
calls would not be exercised; the effective purchase price would be the
cash price plus the premium.
Selling Puts
Long option contracts are analogous to buying price insurance, with
the cost of the insurance being the premium. Selling option contracts can
then be thought of as selling or writing price insurance. The option
writer, or seller, receives a premium in return for issuing the insurance.
Consequently, the option seller may be able to augment his income by the
amount of the premium. However, the seller must also be prepared to face
margin requirements and the possibility of a mandatory futures position if
prices move against him.
A merchant with a short cash or forward position could sell puts with
the intention of increasing income by the amount of the premium. This
alternative is attractive only if price expectations are bullish or
neutral, because if prices decline, the futures position may be assumed at
a loss. This is the negative aspect of selling puts. The level of gain
from such a strategy is fixed while the amount of loss is unlimited. The
primary decision criteria for selling puts is the premium value, or the
maximum amount that can be added to income.
The basic mechanics of selling puts to increase income are relatively
easy to understand. The merchant begins with a short cash position as
mentioned earlier. He is bullish about the future and feels that premiums
are high enough to support selling put options. The merchandiser receives
the premium right away, but he must also comply with margin requirements.
If prices go up sufficiently, the puts are not exercised by the buyer, and
the merchant gains the premium. If prices go down, the options.may be
exercised, and the merchant will be assigned a long futures position at the
strike price.
In addition to augmenting income, selling of puts can be used to
acquire commodity futures at a price below the current market price. This
will occur if the put is exercised by the buyer; the put writer is then
obligated to acquire a long futures position. The effective price paid for
the futures will be the put strike price less the premium received. This
type of strategy may be beneficial to a merchant, such as a grain
processor whose product price is fixed and who wants to protect his profit
margin. Selling puts offsets an increase in grain prices by the amount of
the premium and at the same time establishes a floor price for the purchase
of the grain should prices decline. It should be noted that if prices do
decline and the puts are exercised, the put writer can immediately offset
his long futures position by selling futures for the same delivery month.
Selling Calls
The fourth basic option position is selling calls. This strategy may
be used by a commercial merchant or producer who has a long cash position.
- 6 -
- 7-
TABLE 1.
Cash Position
Long Cash
Sell Futures
Buy Puts
(Inventory
or Forward
Purchase)
- requires margin
- protects against price
decrease
- cannot benefit from price
increase
increase
- must pay premium
- no margin
Sell Calls
- increase income by
amount of premium
- requires margin
- unlimited risk of price
decrease
- possibility of having
short futures if
exercised
Short Cash
Buys Futures
- requires margin
- protects against price
increase
- cannot benefit from price
decrease
Buy Calls
- locks in ceiling price
- benefit from price
decrease
- must pay premium
- no margin
Sell Puts
- increase income by
amount of premium
- requires margin
- unlimited risk of price
increase
- possibility of having
- 10 -
Setting:
September 3, 1984
Buy 20,000 Bushels
December Futures
Duluth Basis
December 380 Put
@410
380?
30O
8?
450?
-410
Net Result
+ 329
442?
380?
-410
+ 30
Net Result
8
8
402?
- 11
Once again, the ITM, ATM, or OTM calls can be sold, but it is
assumed that ATM calls are used. In this case, the seller receives
the premium at the time of the sale. The return is limited to this
premium while potential losses are unlimited. Margin money is also
required to cover a potential futures position. A short call position does not offer the seller many alternatives in regard to a price
increase or decrease. The only choice is between holding the call
position with the results determined by the actions of the buyer or
buying the calls back before they are exercised or expire. If the
underlying futures price increases, the buyer may exercise the calls,
in which case the seller will be given a short futures position or
the seller can offset the calls before they are exercised to ensure
staying out of the futures market. However, the seller must remember
that if he offsets the options, he will have to pay a premium. If
the opposite occurs where futures prices decrease, the buyer will
most likely not exercise the calls because the price move is
favorable. The seller can then buy the options back any time before
expiration if desired, or he could simply let them expire without
liquidating. Example 2 illustrates the mechanics of this type of
transaction when the options are offset.
It is evident from this example that the greatest possible net return
is limited to the premium earned from the call sale, which in this
case is 8 cents. Furthermore, the seller's risk is theoretically
unlimited. When the futures price did decline and the calls were
offset, the premium paid was equal to zero because the option had no
intrinsic or extrinsic value left. However, in Part A where the
futures price increased, the options gained intrinsic value and thus
resulted in the 40-cent premium paid for offsetting the calls.
Therefore, selling call options with the intention of later
liquidating this position is risky and is beneficial only when
futures prices remain relatively stable or increase.
Summary of Long Cash Position
A merchant or producer with a long cash position has two option
alternatives: to buy puts to lock in a floor price, or to sell calls to
supplement current income. An important difference between the two choices
is the risk levels involved. Buying puts is preferable to traditional
hedging if futures prices increase because the gain in cash prices is not
offset by losses in the futures. A long put position results in limited
risk and unlimited profit potential, while a short call position is characterized by a return limited to the premium and risk that is theoretically
unlimited. Thus, in most hedging applications, buying puts will be more
advantageous than selling calls.
Short Cash
Another typical position of grain merchants, processors, and to a
lesser extent producers, is to be short cash grain. If a futures market
is used as a hedge, the purchase price is locked in so long as the basis is
- 12 -
EXAMPLE 2.
Setting:
September 3, 1984
Buy 20,000 Bushels
December Futures
@410
380?
Basis
December 380 Call
30%
8?
450?
-410
+ 8
- 40
Net Result
8?
418?
380?
-410
Net Result
- 22?
388?
- 13 -
- 14 -
EXAMPLE 3.
Setting:
@410
380?
Basis
December 380 Call
30%
8?
8?
418?
410o
-380
Net Result
+ 22%
388?
- 15 -
so that the options will not be exercised, but yet retain some
intrinsic value. Furthermore, the results will vary depending on
whether the merchant sells ITM, ATM, or OTM puts; however, ATM puts
will be assumed sold. Selling puts will produce a limited return
equal to the premium while the risk potential will be unlimited. In
addition, the merchant will be required to have margin money
available.
Overall, a short put position has virtually the same fundamental
characteristics as a short call position. The seller can only choose
between liquidating his position before the puts are exercised or
waiting for the buyer's actions. If the underlying futures price
increases, the buyer would likely let the options expire because he
wants the highest possible price. The seller then can decide.whether
buying the puts back or letting them expire will result in higher
returns. If the futures price decreases, the buyer would probably
exercise the puts, resulting in the seller's assuming a long futures
position at the strike price. However, the seller could also buy the
puts back before they are exercised to alleviate entering the futures
market. The procedures and outcomes involved in a short cash/short
put position when the futures price increases and decreases are
illustrated in Example 4. The option position will be offset in both
instances to insure consistency with previous examples.
Part B of Example 4 shows that a positive return occurs when the
underlying futures price decreases, and this return is equal to the
premium of 8 cents. The merchant paid 30 cents to buy the puts back
because of the gain in intrinsic value. In contrast, the cost of
liquidating the short put position in Part A was risky because the
option had no intrinsic or extrinsic value remaining. It is obvious
that the reason the net result was negative in Part A was because of
the greater cash purchase price. However, if options had not been
used at all, the net result would have been -40 cents. Conversely,
the outcome in Part B was positive because of the smaller cash price.
Thus, a merchant selling put options with the intention of later
buying them back accepts a theoretically unlimited amount of risk,
while the return is limited to the premium. The premium can only be
realized if the futures price remains relatively stable or decreases,
however.
Summary of Short Cash Position
The last two examples have shown that a merchant or producer with a
short cash position has two basic option strategies to choose from,
depending on his objectives. If his main objective is to lock in a ceiling
price on the purchase of the grain, call options should be bought. This
tactic also permits the merchant to benefit from a decline in grain prices.
Buying call options is preferable to traditional hedging, i.e., buying
futures, if futures prices subsequently decline.
If the main goal is to augment current income or margins, and prices
are expected to be relatively neutral or slightly bearish, put options
- 16 -
EXAMPLE 4.
Setting:
September 3, 1984
Sell 20,000 Bushels
December Futures
@410
380?
Basis
December 380 Call
30%
8?
- 32%
442?
410?
-380
8
- 30
Net Result
Effective Purchase Price
8?
402?
- 17 -
- 18 -
__
September 3, 1984
December Futures
3809
Basis (Terminal Market)
309
Trans. and Handling
509
December 380 Put
89
A. Derivation of conventional forward contract price: Hedge by
selling December futures
Calculation:
December futures
3809
Basis
+30
Trans. and handling -50
Producer Price
3609
B. Derivation of forward contract prices with price floor: Buy put
options
Calculation:
Strike Price
380O
Basis
30
-50
Trans. and handling
-8
Less put premium
Producer Price
3529
1. If December futures increase to 420% by November 1
a) Option will not be exercised but will be offset
b) Derivation of producer price:
December futures
4209
30
Basis
-50
Trans. and handling
-8
Less option premium
(Sept. 3)
0
Plus option value
(Nov. 1)
Producer Price
392%
2. If December futures decrease to 350' by November 1
a) Option can be exercise, or offset
b) Derivation of producer price:
3509
December futures
30
Basis
-50
handling
and
Trans.
Less option premium
(Sept. 3)
Plus option premium
(Nov. 1)
Producer Price
- 8
30
352?
- 19 -
- 20 -
September 3, 1984
December Futures
3809
Basis (Terminal Market)
30O
Trans. and Handling
50O
December 380 Put
8%
A. Derivation of conventional forward contract price: Hedge by
buying December futures
Calculation:
December futures
380O
Basis
+30
Trans. and handling +50
Offer Price
460%
B. Derivation of forward prices with price ceiling: Buy call options
Calculation:
Strike price
3809
Basis
30
Trans. and handling
+50
+ 8
Less put premium
Offer Price
468
1. If December futures increase to 420% by November 1
a) Option can be exercised or offset
b) Derivation of importer price:
December futures
420%
Basis
30
+50
Trans. and handling
+8
Plus option premium
(Sept. 3)
-40
Less option value
(Nov. 1)
Effective Purchase
468
Price
2. If December futures decrease to 350 by November 1
a) Option will not be exercised, but is offset
b) Derivation of importer price:
December futures
3509
Basis
30
Trans. and handling
Plus option premium
(Sept. 3)
Less option premium
(Nov. 1)
Effective Purchase
Price
+50
+ 8
0
438B
- 21 -
- 22
Quantity Risk
Another viable use of options is to hedge against quantity risk.
Many merchants make cash transactions after the futures exchanges have
closed and when the exact quantity is unknown. Consequently, there is risk
between the cash transaction price and the next day's price when the hedge
is placed. A solution to this problem would be to buy options. Another
type of quantity risk is characterized by a grain merchant's having tendered an offer to sell grain overseas but not knowing for several days
whether the offer will be accepted. During this time the price of the commodity could move up or down. If the exporter had hedged in the futures
market by purchasing futures and the offer was rejected after the price of
the commodity had fallen, the merchant would be subject to a loss in the
futures market. By purchasing call options instead, the exporter would
have ensured that if the offer was rejected, his loss would be limited to
the premium. Producers are also exposed to quantity risk in preharvest
hedging. Indeed, perhaps one of the hindrances detracting producer use of
futures for hedging is quantity or yield risk. As an alternative, producers could use options as a hedge, which in some cases is more approriate
when quantity risk exists.
The examples below illustrate the mechanics of the use of options
where quantity risk exists and are referred to as "Overnight Transactions."
Overnight Transactions
Example 7 demonstrates the mechanics of an overnight transaction.
The main feature of this example is a merchant's making an offer,
which remains valid for five days, to sell grain at $4.10 per bushel.
To hedge this tender, the merchant buys at-the-money call options at
a premium of 8 cents. The merchant does this because he wants to
establish a ceiling price so that if the offer is accepted and prices
rise, he can still profit. Likewise, he wants to limit his losses if
the offer is rejected and prices fall. Whether the offer is accepted
or rejected, however, the returns will depend on the movement of the
underlying futures price. Scenarios are then given for offers that
are accepted and rejected.
Part A of Example 7 illustrates that if the offer is accepted, the
merchant effectively has a short cash/long call position. Therefore,
the returns realized when the underlying futures price increases and
decreases can be calculated using the same mechanics as in previous
short cash/long call examples.
Part B shows the effects of a futures price increase and decrease
when the offer is rejected. It is apparent that the greatest return
will occur if the futures price increases. When the underlying
futures price increased, the merchant could either exercise or offset
the calls. It is assumed they are offset. The net return is simply
calculated by subtracting the premium initially paid from the premium
received upon liquidation. The intrinsic value of the premium appreciated over the five days because the futures price increased, thus
causing a positive net return.
- 23 -
September 3, 1984
Offer to sell @410% and offer remains valid for 5 days
380%
December Futures
30%
Basis
December 380 Call
8%
Buy Call
A. Offer Accepted
1. Calculate returns as in Example 3 (i.e., Short Cash/Long
Call)
B. Offer Rejected
1. December futures increased to 400O
a) Calculation of returns
- 8
Premium paid (9/3)
20
Premium received (9/7)
Net Result
12W
2. December futures decreased to 350O
a) Will not exercise option, but are offset
b) Calculation of returns
Premium paid (9/3)
- 8
0
Premium received (9/7)
- 8%
Net Result
When the futures price decreased, the merchant could let the options
expire or liquidate them; the latter was chosen here. No premium was
realized on the sale of the calls because the adverse price move
depleted the intrinsic and extrinsic values. Consequently, the net
return was negative, equalling the initial cost of the calls.
The same type of logic can be applied to a merchant who has made an
offer to buy grain, such as an elevator over a weekend. The only
difference will be that the merchant will hedge against quantity risk
- 24
A. Offer Accepted
1. Calculate returns as in Example 1 (i.e., Long Cash/Long Put)
B. Offer Rejected
1. December futures increased to 400%
a) Options may be left to expire, but are offset
b) Calculation of returns
Premium paid (8/31)
0
-
10
2(
- 25 -
- 26
risk exists for producers, it would be more appropriate to use options than
to use futures. The point is that it is generally cheaper to reduce risk
with the use of options than using futures when quantity risk exists. A
quantitative analysis of this is fairly extensive and is not presented
here.
Selected Decisions to be Made in the Use of Options
Users of agricultural options have a number of decisions that must be
made before or during the life of the option. The factors affecting these
decisions and the various end results must be understood in order to maximize the benefits from options. This section covers two separate choices
that have to.be made within the aforementioned time frame. There are many
more situations that may arise requiring additional decisions; however,
these are the most obvious and occur in all instances: (1)terminating an
option position and (2) use of in-the-money or out-of-the-money options.
Terminating Option Positions
Buyers of options have three basic choices that have to be made
during the life of the contract: exercise the option, offset the option,
or let the option expire. The direction that prices move over the life of
the contract will affect this decision. The alternatives for terminating a
long option position depend on price movements and are as follows:
Long Option
Contract
Prices Increase
Prices Decrease
Put
Let Expire
or Offset
Exercise or
Offset
Call
Exercise or
Offset
Let Expire
or Offset
The choice between letting the option expire and offsetting the option
is relatively easy. There is no chance of realizing any kind of monetary
gain directly from the option if it is left to expire. When it is sold
back to offset the position, there is the possibility the option will have
some remaining value reflected in the premium. This then could be gained
and used to partially cover the original premium cost. However, it should
be noted that there will likely be some commission costs associated with
offsetting the option. The choice between offsetting the option or letting
it expire depends on commission charges and premium values.
The choice between exercising and offsetting the option is not as
straightforward. The merchant must understand the differences between
exercising and offsetting options so he will know what consequence to
- 27 -
expect. Once again, offsetting will result in a possible premium gain and
no subsequent futures position. However, exercising will lead to a
specific position in the futures market at the designated strike price.
With this also comes the responsibilities of a futures position, such as
margins and commission costs. The futures position can be offset
immediately and a gain realized, or it can be held until-the cash position
is liquidated. The primary decision criteria in this case is whether or
not the merchant wants a position in the futures market. If he needs a
futures position (i.e., if he still has a cash position) the option should
be exercised; if not, the option should be liquidated.
Trends in the underlying futures price also play a role in determining whether options should be offset or exercized (for further information, see Klemme 1984). For example, in a market with a weak basis, and
a futures which has been increasing but may be reaching a peak, a trader
with a long cash/long put position would want to liquidate the option position and sell futures. The hedge has been transferred from an option to a
futures position. Likewise, there would be an incentive to liquidate a
short cash/long call position if futures have been falling but are showing
signs of turning.
In-the-Money Vs. Out-of-the-Money Options
An important consideration when purchasing options is whether to buy
in-the-money (ITM) or out-of-the-money (OTM) options. To review some terminology, an ITM put (call) is one whose strike price is higher (lower)
than the current futures market level, and an OTM put (call) is one whose
strike price is lower (higher) than the current futures market level. ITM
options have a.higher premium than OTM options, and the decision depends on
the level of risk exposure which is acceptable. One way to address this
problem is to look at the risk exposure for different strike prices under
long and short cash situations and compare possible net returns when the
futures price increases and decreases. The examples demonstrate that ITM
options provide greater protection from adverse price changes, but less
windfall gains from favorable price moves. On the other hand, OTM options
provide less protection from adverse price moves but generate greater
profits from favorable price moves.
Long Cash/Long Puts
The decision for a trader with a long cash/long put position is
whether to buy ITM puts to insure a higher selling price but pay a
larger premium, or to buy OTM puts which lock in a lower selling
price but at a smaller premium. A table can be constructed to
illustrate the risk exposure, or potential loss, at various strike
prices.
- 28 -
EXAMPLE 9.1.
Setting:
RISK EXPOSURE FOR DIFFERENT STRIKE PRICES WHEN LONG CASH/LONG PUTS
September 3, 1984
Dec. Futures
380%
Long Cash Based on Dec. Futures @ 380O
Buy Puts
Strike
Price
Out-of-Money
Out-of-Money
At-the-Money
In-the-Money
In-the-Money
Premium*
Net Minimum
Sales Price
for Futures
(0)
-(M)
()
350
370
380
390
410
.7
4.4
8.5
14.3
30.1
349.3
365.6
371.5
375.7
379.9
December
Futures on
Purchase
Maximum
Loss
Potential
( )
(%/Bushel)
380
380
380
380
380
30.7
14.4
8.5
4.3
0.1
*Derived using values for December futures and results from the Black/Scholes
Model.
**Derived as the difference between the Dec. futures at which long cash was taken
(380) and minimum sales price.
It is apparent that buying ITM puts results in a smaller risk exposure than purchasing OTM puts. Further, the deeper ITM the put is,
the smaller the risk exposure or potential loss. The calculations
used to arrive at the risk exposure, or the maximum loss potential,
are relatively easy to understand. Subtracting the premium from the
strike price results in the net minimum sales price for futures, or
the effective floor price that is locked in. The risk exposure is
then found by subtracting the floor price from the underlying
(December) futures price. The buyer should make sure that the option
strike price selected does not set a floor so low that too much of
his original margin (profit) is being risked. For example, an elevator operator would likely not use an option in which the potential
loss exceeds his margin.
Example 9.2 demonstrates the calculation of net returns for ITM and
OTM puts under conditions of rising and falling futures prices.
Part A shows the effects on net returns of an increase in the futures
price from $3.80 to $4.00 at various strike prices. The options are
assumed to be offset rather than left to expire; therefore, a premium
is included in calculating the net returns. The greatest return
under this scenario occurred with an OTM put (16.2 cents). This is
due to the favorable cash price move coupled with the relatively low
- 29 -
EXAMPLE 9.2.
Setting:
September 3, 1984
Buy cash wheat based on Dec. futures of 380?
Buy Puts
Sale
Option
Sale Price
Purchase
Net
Price
Cost
of Option
Price
Returns
(-- .-----. - ---------------------)
OTM 370P:
ATM 380P:
400
400
- 4
- 8
+ .2
+1.4
-380
-380
=
=
ITM 390%:
400
-14
+2.7
-380
16.2
13.4
8.7
Net
Returns
Purchase
Option
Sale Price
Sale
Price
Cost
of Option
Price
(----------~------------)
360
360
360
- 4
- 8
-14
+11.4
+20.6
+30.0
-380
-380
-380
=
=
=
-12.6
- 7.4
- 4.0
- 30 -
EXAMPLE 10.1. RISK EXPOSURE FOR DIFFERENT STRIKE PRICES WHEN SHORT
CASH/LONG CALLS
Setting:
September 3, 1984
Dec. Futures
Short Cash Based on Dec. Futures
Buy Calls
In-the-Money
In-the-Money
Strike
Price
(9)
350
370
At-the-Money
Out-of-Money
Out-of-Money
380
390
410
Premium*
(U/Bushel)
30.0
14.0
8.4
4.5
0.9
380%
@3809
December
Net Maximum
Futures on
Purchase Price
Sales
for Futures
(- - - - - - - - - - - -)
380.0
380
380
384.0
388.4
394.5
410.9
380
380
380
Maximum
Potential
Loss
(f/Bushel)
0
4.0
8.4
14.5
30.9
*Derived using current values for Dec. futures and Black/Scholes Model.
**Derived as the difference between the Dec. futures at which sort cash was
taken (380) and maximum purchase price.
- 31 -
The net returns for ITM and OTM calls when futures prices increase
associated with OTM calls is supported by this example. Part A
illustrates that a 20-cent rise in the futures price resulted in the
largest net return, 4 cents, when ITM calls were purchased. The
explanation for this is that the premium from the ITM call sale
increased more in proportion to the OTM call sale.- The greatest loss
occurs with OTM calls.
The returns in Part B are exactly the opposite, where the largest
gains, 15.5 cents, were realized with OTM calls. The futures price
had declined from $3.80 to $3.60 and the options were eventually
liquidated, although no premium was earned from the sale of the OTM
calls because the futures price move discounted the remaining option
value. The reason for this large return was the relatively small
option cost, 4.5 cents, in comparison to 14 cents for ITM calls. At
the same time, the premium received from the ITM call sale was not
large enough to bring the net cost closer to that of the OTM call.
Example 10.2 demonstrates a conclusion similar to that of the previous example: buying OTM calls results in both the largest possible
return and the greatest potential loss, depending on the move of the
underlying futures price.
Summary of Options
The thrust of this section has been to demonstrate the impacts of
purchasing options with different strike prices as a hedge. The cheaper
out-of-the-money options are obviously preferrable so long as prices do not
move adversely. In-the-money option premiums are greater but offer greater
protection in the case of an adverse price move. In general, use of inthe-money options results in the least loss potential and the least potential for windfall gain, depending on subsequent movement in futures prices.
Likewise, use of out-of-the-money options results in the greatest potential
for windfall gains and the greatest potential loss, again depending on subsequent movement in futures prices. Table 2 summarizes these results.
in Futures
ITM
OTM
Increase
Least Return
Greatest Return
Least Loss
Greatest Loss
Decrease
Least Loss
Greatest Loss
Least Return
Greatest Return
ITM
OTM
- 32 -
EXAMPLE 10.2
Setting:
September 3, 1984
Sell cash wheat based on December futures @380
Buy Calls
Nov. 1, Calls Liquidated, Cash Bought and
No Change in Basis
A. Dec. Futures increased to 400? on Nov. 1
1. Options can be exercised, or offset
2. Calculation of returns using different strike prices
Strike Price
ITM 370P:
Option
Sale
Cost
Price
(.--.-----------+380
-14.0
Components of Return
Sale Price Purchase
Price
of Option
--.---+30.0
Net
Returns
)...)
-400
- 7.1
-11.8
ATM 380P:
+380
- 8.4
+21.3
-400
OTM 3909:
+380
- 4.5
+12.7
-400
4.0
Option
Cost
Price
(----------
Sale Price
Net
Purchase
Returns
Price
of Option
-- --------------------------
ITM 370P:
+380
-14.0
+1.4
-360
7.4
ATM 380%:
OTM 390:
+380
+380
- 8.4
- 4.5
+0
+0
-360
-360
=
=
11.6
15.5
- 33 -
Intrinsic value represents the amount that the option is currently in-themoney. For example, if the futures price for December wheat was 3809 at
Minneapolis and the call option's strike price was 350, the intrinsic value
of the option would be 30.
However, an option's premium typically exceeds
the amount of intrinsic value, which is represented by the extrinsic value.
Basically, the extrinsic value represents the possibility that, over time,
the option will trend into-the-money. Many factors affect the extrinsic
value of an option, including
1.
2.
3.
4.
= 380O
= 380O
= 10 percent
= 10 percent
- 34 -
TABLE 3.
Futures
Price
Days To
Maturity
Days
Market
Volatility
%
Interest
Rate
Call
Premium
Put
Premium
P/bu.
P/bu.
P/bu.
U/bu.
380
380
30
10
10
4.31
4.31
380
380
60
10
10
6.05
6.05
380
380
90
10
10
7.34
7.34
380
380
120
10
10
8.41
8.41
380
380
159
10
10
9.33
9.33
- 35 -
Premium
rate
reciation
- 36 -
Put
Futures
Strike
Days To
Market
Interest
Price
P/bu.
Price
N/bu.
Maturity
Days
Volatility
%
Rate
%
Premium
/bu.
Premium
%/bu.
380
380
90
10
3.67
3.67
380
380
90
10
10
7.34
7.34
380
380
90
15
10
11.01
11.01
380
380
90
20
10
14.68
14.68
380
380
90
25
10
18.35
18.35
- 37 -
Strike
Price
%/bu.
%/bu.
380
380
Days to
Maturity
Market
Volatility
Days
90
Interest
Rate
Premium
Call
Premium
P/bu.
/bu.
-Call
10
7.43
7.43
10
10
7.34
7.34
10
15
7.25
7.25
10
20
7.16
7.16
10
25
7.08
7.08
90
380
380
90
380
380
90
380
380
90
380
90
380
Strike
Price
/bu.
9/bu.
Delta
(call)
%
Put
Premium
9/bu.
Delta
(put)
%
Call
Premium
380
350
30.00
1.00
0.36
0.05
380
360
20.77
0.87
1.26
0.13
380
370
13.15
0.71
3.39
0.29
380
380
7.34
0.51
7.34
0.49
380
390
3.56
0.31
13.31
0.69
380
400
1.48
0.16
20.99
0.84
380
410
0.52
0.07
30.00
1.00
value from the premium, which for a 3700 strike is 3.150/bushel. To compare
this with the premium when the option is at-the-money, which reflects only
the extrinsic value of 7.349, one can see that the extrinsic value is higher
when it is at-the-money. The same logic can be applied to a put option.
- 38 -
TABLE 7. INTRINSIC AND EXTRINSIC VALUE FOR DIFFERENT STRIKE PRICES OF CALL
OPTION
Futures
Price
Strike
Price
?/bu.
U/bu.
380
360
90
10
10
20.77
20
0.77
380
370
90
10
10
13.15
10
3.15
380
380
90
10
10
7.34
7.34
390
90
10
10
3.56
10
400
90
10
10
1.48
20
380
380
Days to
Maturity
Market
Interest
Volatility Rate
Days
Call
Premium
U/bu.
Intrinsic Extrinsic
Value
Value
U/bu.
/bu.
[UN(dl) - EN(d 2 )]
d2 = E1n(U/E) - (sd2t)/2]/sd
C = call premium
U = underlying futures price
E = exercise price
r = short-term interest rate
t = term to option expiration (in years)
sd = market volatility (standard deviation of market returns on
annualized basis)
- 39 -
The option premiums for both puts and calls calculated by the
Value of normal cumulative probability distribution can be identified by using a table of normal probability distribution. For example, if
the value of d1 in N(d ) is positive, adding .5 to the table value will give
the value of normal cumulative probability distribution. If d1 is negative,
subtract the table value from .5.
- 40 -
TABLE 8.
Futures
Price
Strike
Price
Call
Premium
Delta
(call)
Put
Premium
Delta
(put)
7/bu.
/bu.
/bu.
U/bu.
370
340
30.00
1.00
0.31
0.04
370
350
20.66
0.87
1.15
0.13
370
360
12.98
0.72
3.22
0.28
370
370
7.15
0.51
7.15
0.49
370
380
3.39
0.30
13.15
0.70
.370
390
1.37
0.15
20.88
0.85
370
400
0.46
0.06
30.00
1.00
380
350
30.00
1.00
0.36
0.05
380
360
20.77
0.87
1.26
0.13
380
370
13.15
0.71
3.39
0.29
380
380
7.34
0.51
7.34
0.49
380
390
3.56
0.31
13.31
0.69
380
400
1.48
0.16
20.99
0.84
380
410
0.52
0.07
30.00
1.00
390
360
30.00
1.00
0.41
0.05
390
370
20.88
0.86
1.37
0.14
390
380
13.31
0.71
3.56
0.29
390
390
7.54
0.51
7.54
0.49
390
400
3.73
0.31
13.48
0.69
390
410
1.59
0.16
21.10
0.84
390
420
0.58
0.07
30.00
1.00
"
- 41 -
85)
TABLE 9. FUTURES AND OPTION PRICES:
FEBRUARY 1985.
Date
Minneapolis
Wheat
Chicago
Soybeans
11/07
11/14
11/21
11/28
12/05
32500
12/19
12/26
01/02
01/09
01/16
01/23
01/30
02/06
02/13
02/20
3.9275
3.8700
3.8425
3.7900
3.7400
3.6600
3.7200
3.7200
3.7300
3.6675
3.6850
3.6700
3.6950
3.6900
3.6650
3.6525
6.6675
6.5375
6.4400
6.3150
6.2700
6.1025
6.1675
6.1550
5.9525
6.0050
6.0625
6.1200
6.1650
6.1000
5.9175
5.9250
2.5000
4.2500
5.2500
6.5000
1.0000
13.5000
11.5000
11.0000
11.0000
14.0000
12.0000
11.0000
13.0000
11.0000
13.0000
15.0000
61.0000
51.0000
44.0000
32.0000
33.0000
18.0000
21.5000
19.5000
10.0000
11.2500
12.2500
14.2500
16.5000
13.2500
6.1250
4.8125
20.0000
24.0000
25.5000
27.0000
24.0000
31.0000
29.0000
27.0000
39.0000
36.0000
30.0000
27.0000
25.5000
27.5000
38.0000
37.5000
- 43 -
Summary
Options on agricultural commodity futures began trading in October
an experimental basis. Introduction of options can be viewed as an
on
1984
innovation or as a new technology for marketing. There are a multitude of
ways in which options can be used by merchants or producers--some as a
complement and others as a substitute for traditional hedging. Their primary advantage for hedging is their ability to lock in a floor or ceiling
price, allowing the merchant/producer to take advantage of favorable price
moves in the underlying commodity. The examples in this publication
demonstrate uses of options for long and short cash positions and forward
contracting, and the implications of using in-the-money versus out-of-themoney options. In addition, the components of option premiums were
discussed and followed by the development of a pricing model.
- 44
Selected Bibliography
This listing includes works referenced in the text as well as selected
works the reader may find useful for additional insight into commodity
options.
"Agricultural Commodity Options."
(no. 47-5): 15-16.
1983.
Barclay, William. 1983. How Much Will Option Premium be Theory and
Reality. Chicago: Economic Research, MidAmerica Commodity Exchange.
Belongia, Michael T. 1983. "Commodity Options: A New Risk Management Tool
for Agricultural Markets." Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
Black, Fisher, and Myron Scholes. 1973. "The Pricing of Options and
Corporate Liabilities." Journal of Political Economy 81 (May/June):
University of Chicago Press.
Bowe, James. 1982. "Cutting Risk with Commodity Options."
(December): 64-65.
Cargill Inventory Service.
1985.
Insight.
Chicago.
Commodities
March 11.
"Cotton Options - A New Risk Management Tool for the Producer, Merchant,
and Mill." 1983. CFTC AgReport 4 (no. 4): 8-10.
Dalton, James F., and Bailey, Fred. 1984. A Guide To: Options Strategies
for the Farm Business. Chicago: J. F. Dalton Associates.
Figlewski, Stephen, and Fitzgerald, M. Desmond. 1981. "The Price Behavior
of London Commodity Options." Review of Research and Futures Markets
(no. 1, May): 90-104.
Hauser, Robert J., and Andersen, Dane K. 1984. "Modifying Traditional
Option Pricing Formulae for Options on Soybean Futures." Paper presented at the 1984 AAEA Meeting, August 5-8 at Cornell University.
Horner, David L., and Moriority, Eugene. 1983. "The CFTC Options Pilot
Program: A Progress Report." Education Quarterly 3 (no. 3): 9-14.
Kenyon, David E. 1984. Farmer's Guide to Trading Agricultural Commodity
Options. Agricultural Information Bulletin No. 463. Washington, D.C.:
USDA, Economic Research Service.
- 45 -
Kenyon, David E. 1984. The Use of Futures Versus Put Options in Pricing
Corn Production in Virginia. Blacksburg: Virginia Polytechnic
Institute and State University, Department of Agricultural Economics,
August.
Klemme, Diana. 1984. "Ag Options, Missing Link in the Marketing Alternatives Chain?" Grain Storage and Handling (February): 26-33.
Klemme, Diana. 1984. "Ag Options 2, A Merchandising Tool for the Country
Elevator." Grain Storage and Handling (August): 39-45.
Labuszewski, John. '1983. "How to Produce Your Own Tables of Option
Premiums, Deltas." Futures 12 (no. 10, October): 106-8.
Labuszewski, John. 1983. "Volatility Key to Finding Fair Option's
Premium." Futures 12 (no. 9, September): 84.
Labuszewski, John W.., and Meisner, James F. 1984. "Diagonal Options Offer
Risk-Reward Alternatives." Futures 13 (no. 6, June): 87-92.
Mayer, Terry S. 1983. Commodity Options: A User's Guide to Speculation
and Hedging. New York: New York Institute of Finance.
Meisner, James F., and Labuszewski, John W. 1983. "How 'Worthless' Options
Can Wind Up 'In-the-Money'." Futures 12 (no. 2, November): 76-77.
"Minneapolis Grain Exchange/Hard Red Spring Wheat Options Contract."
Proposed Option Contract Terms. April.
Moriarty, Gene; Phillips, Susan; and Tosini, Paula. 1983. CFTC, "A
Comparison of Options and Futures in the Management of Portfolio Risk."
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Education Quarterly 2,
(no. 1): 5-11.
"Options One Year Later:
12 (no. 10, October):
1984.
1983.
Insight.
Futures
Chicago:
Sorkin, Jay. 1983. "In Options Two Longs Can Make a Write."
12 (no. 10, October): 110-12.
Futures