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1.1
National income is the value of all goods and services that are produced by an
economy in a year. It is a measure of a countrys economic performance.
1.2
2.1
2.2
Real terms. Expressing national income in real terms means measuring output
as if there had been no inflation, i.e. at constant prices. It means that value
has been adjusted to remove the inflation element. So an increase in real
national income means that there has been an increase in the quantity of goods
and services produced.
2.3
Method of adjustment
Real national income =
Nominal national income
Price index of base year
1
Price index of current year
Example
Year 1
Money value of national income
Index of prices
Year 2
10,000m
100
12,000m
105
Calculation:
10,000m
100
= 10,000m
1
100
12,000m
100
= 11,429m
Real national income for Year 2 =
1
105
Real national income for Year 1 =
3.1
The output method. This method adds the value of goods and services
produced by all firms in both the private and public sectors.
Care must be taken to avoid double counting, i.e. counting the same output
more than once, e.g. when the output of one firm, steel, becomes the input of
another, cars. Only the value added to each stage of production, i.e. the value
of work done by each producer, should be included.
3.2
The income method. The incomes earned by the owners of all resources used
in production are added up, i.e. the total amount of rent, wages, interest and
profit earned.
Transfer incomes such as pensions and benefits should not be included as
those who receive them are not involved in producing output.
3.3
(b)
to help government assess the state of the economy and plan future
policy
(c)
(d)
(e)
(a)
(b)
People deliberately hide what they earn or what they produce in order to
avoid tax or claim benefit this is known as the black economy.
(c)
(d)
(e)
(b)
(c)
(d)
(e)
(f)
(g)
(h)
Social costs are not taken into account, e.g. the output of cars is recorded
but their associated social costs of pollution and congestion are not.
(i)
Introduction
In its simplest form an economy consists of firms and households (a twosector economy). Households own factors of production which they provide to
firms. In return for land, labour, capital and enterprise to firms they receive
income in the form of rent, wages, interest and
profit. These incomes are spent in buying the output of goods and services
made by firms and this expenditure becomes incomes for firms which in turn
is used to pay incomes to households and so on. Thus a circular flow of
income is created. Therefore the total value of output should equal the total
expenditure on goods and services and should equal the total income of
households.
National output = National expenditure = National income.
2
Consumption
Income
An APC of 1 means that 100% of income is spent. An APC of 0.9 means that
90% of income is spent. People on low incomes are likely to have an APC of
1. As income rises, average propensity to consume tends to fall as consumers
increase the proportion of their income which they save. (Note that although
the proportion of income spent on consumption falls, the amount spent rises.)
It follows that if a consumer has an APC of 1 there is no saving, i.e. average
propensity to save (APS) = 0, and if APC = 0.9 then APS = 0.1.
APC + APS = 1
The marginal propensity to consume (MPC) is the proportion of any increase
in income which consumers would spend on consumption.
MPC =
Increase in Consumption
Increase in Income
A MPC of 0.8 means that 80% of any increase in income would be spent on
consumption. It follows that the marginal propensity to save (MPS) would be
0.2
MPC + MPS = 1
Injections
An injection is any spending in the economy which is not consumer spending.
Investment, export buying and government spending are injections into the
circular flow of national income. Note that their size is not determined by the
size of national income. Injections are said to be autonomous of national
income.
Leakages
A leakage is a withdrawal of funds from the circular flow of income between
firms and households. Savings, imports and taxation are leakages from the
circular flow of income. Note that the size of each depends on the size of
national income. Leakages are said to be a function of national income.
Savings (S)
These are the amount of money saved by individuals in a particular period of
time. The main determinant is the level of income the higher the level of
income, the greater the proportion of income saved.
The proportion of income saved is called the propensity to save.
At very low levels of income consumption is greater than income, and dissaving occurs, i.e. savings from a previous period are used, or the savings of
others are borrowed to finance spending. Other influences on savings are:
interest rates
habit and attitude to saving
extent of the precautionary motive.
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Taxation (T)
This is the amount of revenue collected by central and local government from
taxation. The amount of revenue collected depends on the level of income and
spending in the economy.
Actual national income may be less than the full employment level
Why is this? One suggestion was provided by J M Keynes in an attempt to
answer the massive unemployment of the 1930s when the economy had gone
into a slump. The basis of his theory was that national income may settle at an
equilibrium level which is below the full employment level.
4.1
The two-sector economy assumes that there is no government sector and that
the economy is closed, i.e. there is no foreign trade.
4.2
Diagram A: Equilibrium
Consumer
Spending
80b
10
Consumer
Spending
72b
11
Consumer
Spending
88b
12
Changes in equilibrium
5.1
5.2
The multiplier
6.1
Keynes also developed the idea of the multiplier. He suggested that if there
were any change in demand then national income would change by more. Any
change in any component of aggregate demand would have a multiplier effect
on national income. This can be explained by the investment multiplier.
6.2
6.3
(b)
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(c)
6.4
14
Change in savings
Change in income
1
1
Multiplier =
or
MPS
1 MPC
MPS =
If the MPS = 0.1, then the multiplier would be 10. National income would
increase by ten times the amount of the increase in investment of 100m to a
new equilibrium level of income which would be 1000m higher than before.
Savings would have increased by 100m which is equal to the increase in
investment.
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7.1
7.2
7.3
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7.4
(b)
(c)
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Introduction
While Keynesians believe that demand is the main determinant of national
income, in contrast, monetarists believe that it is aggregate supply. They
believe that national output is determined by the quantity of resources
available to an economy and their productivity. If resources are plentiful,
easily available and cheap then producers will put them to work and this will
create income for their owners which in turn will finance the demand for the
output produced.
Note the contrast in views:
Keynesians believe that demand creates supply, whereas
Monetarists believe that supply creates demand.
(b)
(c)
(d)
(e)
17
Business/Trade Cycles
1
Introduction
It has long been observed in economics that income and employment tend to
fluctuate regularly over time. These fluctuations are known as business cycles
or trade cycles. The figure below shows the various stages of a business cycle.
Time in years
2
Peak or boom
When the economy is in a boom, some or all of the following characteristics
are likely:
Recession
A recession is said to exist when there have been two successive quarters (3month periods) of negative growth of real GDP (i.e. falling real GDP).
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Slump
In a slump, economic activity is low compared with surrounding years.
Recovery
Income and output begin to increase and so does employment.
Consumption and investment begin to rise.
Inflationary pressures begin to mount as workers feel more confident about
demanding wage increases.
Import spending begins to rise.
Tax revenues start to rise and government spending on benefit starts to fall.
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