Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Subsea2011
February9 10,2011
PresentationSummary
QuestOffshore
Recentactivityandtrends
Forecastactivity
Contractorsperspective
Forward-Looking Statements
Statements in this presentation regarding Quest Offshore Resources or its management's intentions, beliefs or expectations,
or that otherwise speak to future events, are "forward-looking statements. Future results and developments discussed in
these statements may be affected by numerous factors and risks, such as the accuracy of the assumptions that underlie the
statements, the success of the oil and gas exploration and production industry, drilling results, uncertainties in interpreting
market data, changes in laws and regulations, the ability to respond to challenges in international markets, including
changes in currency exchange rates, political or economic conditions, trade and regulatory matters, general economic
conditions, and other factors and risks. Actual results and developments may differ materially from those expressed or
implied in this presentation.
=COPYRIGHT NOTICE=
This publication may not be distributed, reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form, or by any means,
electronic, mechanical, photocopier, recording or otherwise, in whole or in part, without the prior written permission of Quest
Offshore Resources Inc., Houston.
Careful attention should also be paid by bona fide subscribers to their license agreement with Quest Offshore Resources
Inc., Houston, in terms of forwarding this publication. Any queries or questions in this respect can e-mailed to:
corp@questoffshore.com.
2011 Quest Offshore Resources Inc.
TheMission
Toprovidemarketexpertise,strategicanalysis,marketing
communicationandconsultancyservicestothedeepwateroiland
gasmarketsglobally
Capabilities
Adedicatedteamofsectorspecialiststhatfocusonqualitativeand
quantitativedatatoidentifyglobalmarketopportunitiesfor
deepwatertechnologies
Coverage
Worldwidedeepwaterbasins ExplorationthroughSURFand
Marineinstallationsegments
ProductPortfolio
OverallScope:
Tracking800explorationprospects 150currentlyactive
Followingover2,500deepwaterprojects almosthalfareforecastprojects
Drilling
SubseaProductionEquipment
Umbilicals
Risers
Flowlines
SubseaProcessing&Power
MarineConstructionVessels
FloatingProductionSystems
GlobalShipyardCapacity
RegionalReports
WeeklyandMonthlyJournals
Conferences
Promotionopportunities
GoM
Brazil
AsiaPacific
Exhibitions,wallmaps,atlases
OurClients
Contractors
Drilling
Downholeservices,completions,
chemicals,ROV
Engineering
Conceptualdesign,FEED,detailed
engineering
Flowassurance
OperationsandMaintenance
Lifeoffieldextension
Installationcontractors
Pipelay&SURF,heavylift,
Servicescontractors
FPSOOperators
Manufacturers
Subseatrees
Controls
Pumps
Pipelinesandcoatings
Umbilicals
Cables
Operators
Financialservices,bankingandinsurance
Classificationbodies
Diving,ROV
Survey
Whyfocusonsubsea?
Maturing
Enabler
Economics
Future
Opportunity
RecentActivity
OilPricevs ExpenditureonSubseaDevelopments
US$MM
9000
Oil
140
8000
Expenditure
120
7000
6000
5000
80
US$
100
4000
60
3000
40
2000
20
1000
0
2004200520062007
200820092010
RecentActivity
ExpenditurebyRegion
US$MM
$9,000
$8,000
Africa/Medit.
NorthAmerica
NWECS/Arctic
$7,000
$6,000
AsiaPacific/MiddleEast
SouthAmerica
$5,000
$4,000
$3,000
$2,000
$1,000
$0
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
RecentActivity
OilPricevs DevelopmentType
US$
OilPrice
90
SubseaTiebacks
140
80
StandaloneDevelopments
70
120
60
100
50
80
40
60
30
40
20
20
0
NoofDevelopments
160
10
20002001200220032004
2005
2006
2007
2008
20092010
10
EnergyConsumption(mboe/d)
400
350
300
250
NonOECD
200
OECD
150
100
50
2029
2027
2025
2023
2021
2019
2017
2015
2013
2011
2009
2007
2005
2003
2001
1999
1997
1995
Source:IEAWorldEnergyOutlook2009
2011 Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.
11
OperatorActivity
ExplorationbyOperatorCategory(2004~2013+)
200
1800
OperatorCount
1639
1600
ExplorationTargets
NoofOperators
160
1400
140
1200
120
1000
100
182
Nooftargets
180
800
80
721
714
600
60
400
40
20
7
IOCs/Majors
200
27
0
NOCs
Independents
12
OperatorActivity
20MostActiveOperators
200
180
Undrilled(322)
160
Drilled(1164)
Nooftargets
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
13
OperatorActivity
DiscoveriesbyRegion
70
2004
2005
60
2006
2007
NoofDiscoveries
50
2008
2009
2010
40
30
20
10
0
AfricaMed
AsiaPacific
NorthAmerica
SouthAmerica
NWECS/Arctic
14
ForecastActivity
ForecastOilPricevs SubseaCapex
US$
16000
14000
US$MM
120
OilPrice
Expenditure
100
12000
80
10000
60
8000
6000
40
4000
20
2000
0
20092010
2011
2012
20132014
15
ForecastActivity
ForecastSubseaCapexbyRegion
US$MM
$18,000
Africa/Medit.
$16,000
SouthAmerica
$14,000
AsiaPacific/MiddleEast
NorthAmerica
$12,000
NWECS/Arctic
$10,000
$8,000
$6,000
$4,000
$2,000
$0
2011e
2012e
2013e
2014e
2015e
16
ForecastActivity
Forecastprojectsbytreecount
100
45
2011
90
2012
35
2013
30
2014
80
NoofProjects
NoofProjects
40
25
20
15
10
70
26+Trees
60
1125Trees
50
610Trees
40
35Trees
30
12Trees
20
10
0
12Trees 35Trees
610
Trees
1125
Trees
26+
Trees
2011
2012
2013
2014
17
ForecastActivity
AverageNumberofYearsBetweenDiscoveryandSanction
AsiaPacific&MiddleEast
SouthAmerica
NorthAmerica
Africa&Mediterranean
NWECS/Arctic
0
2
SubseaTieback
6
Years
StandaloneProject
10
12
18
ContractorsPerspective
Capabilitiesandlimitations
Pipelay
Method
Linepipeorreeled
Max.Pipediameter
Waterdepth
Locationofassetsandsupport
Geotechnicalinvestigations
Sampling
Drilling
Waterdepth
Locationofassetsandsupport
Survey
Sensors
Towed,autonomous,ROVdeployed
Combinedwithgeotechnical
Waterdepth
Locationofassetsandsupport
Diving
Mechanicaltieins
IRM
Waterdepth
Locationofassetsandsupport
19
ContractorsPerspective
AtwhichstageofthedevelopmentcanIparticipate?
TypicalOperatorsFieldDevelopmentProcess
Appraise
/Define
Concept
Select
FEED
Execute&
Construct
Operate
COP
QuestProjectStatus
Prospect
Construction
Discovery
Flowing
Appraisal
Conceptual
Suspended
FEED
Decommissioned
20
ContractorsPerspective
Prospects,DiscoveriesandAppraisals
Opportunities
Filterdata
SearchCriteria
Rigsitesurveys
Geotechnicalinvestigation
Drillingservices
Rigpositioning
ROVsupport
Engineering(Conceptual)
Waterdepth
GeographicLocation
Lookahead
Engineering(FEED)
1501m+
100
151 1500m
NoofProspects
80
<150m
60
40
20
Longlookahead
1/3rd ofprospectsexpectedtobe
developedafter2016
AsiaPac
SAM
NAM
Af/Med
NWE/A
21
ContractorsPerspective
Concept,FEED
Opportunities
Engineering(FEED)
Survey
Geotech
SPU
FPSO
Construction
Filterdata
SearchCriteria
Waterdepth
GeographicLocation
Lookahead
Divertieins
Survey
Precommissioning
1501m+
50
151 1500m
<150m
NoofProspects
40
30
20
10
Timelineshorteningasprojects
firmup
Lessthan10%willbedeveloped
after2016
AsiaPac
SAM
NAM
Af/Med
NWE/A
22
ContractorsPerspective
Pending/Construction
Opportunities
Installation
FPSO
ConstructionSupport
Divertieins
Survey
Precommissioning
Filterdata
SearchCriteria
Waterdepth
GeographicLocation
1501m+
40
151 1500m
<150m
NoofProspects
30
20
10
Theseprojectsalmostcertaintogo
ahead
Onlyoneisscheduledforpost2016
AsiaPac
SAM
NAM
Af/Med
NWE/A
23
ContractorsPerspective
Otherindicators
Subseatrees
Leadingindustryindicator
Longleaditem
Sizeofthedevelopment
Samecanapplyto:
FPSOs
Pipe
Umbilicals
OtherSPUcomponents
24
ContractorsPerspective
Allprospects
Opportunities
Survey&Positioning
SPS
Subseainstallation
Treesonwire
ROVintervention
Divertieins
Diverlesstieins
Filterdata
SearchCriteria
NoofProjects
NoofSubseaTrees
180 Type&noofTiebacks
160
NoofProjects
2000
FPSOTieback
1800
P/ForManifoldTieback
140
#SSTrees
NWECS/Arc.
Africa/Med
NAM
SAM
AsiaPacME
120
100
80
1600
AveTrees/
Project
4
12
5
25
7
1400
1200
1000
800
60
600
40
400
20
200
0
NWECS/Arc.
NAM
AsiaPacME
SAM
Afr/Med
25
ContractorsPerspective
OperatingDevelopments
Filterdata
SearchCriteria
Opportunities
IRM
Wellmaintenance
Operatingfields
Waterdepthandgeographiclocation
Pipelinelength,noofSStreesandFPSOs
1400
NumberofSSTrees&FPSOs
60,000
1200
2,000
50,000
1000
AsiaPacME
800
SAM
600
1,500
40,000
1,000
30,000
NAM
AfricaMed
400
NWECS/Arc.
200
0
500
20,000
44
60
49
57
99
10,000
0
SS
Developments
2011 Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.
Pipeline(km)
SSTrees
FPSOs
26
ContractorsPerspective
MarketStudy Lightinstallation/divingcontactor,AsiaPacificregion
Target
Short,smalldiametersubseatiebacks
SearchCriteria
Waterdepth(120m),Reeledpipe(max8od,20kmlength)
Outputs
9prospectsinAustralia,Cambodia,China,IndonesiaandVietnam
Installationdatesrangefrom2012to2016
3tiebackstoplatforms
6tiebackstoFPSOsincludingonenewbuild
Prospectiveclients:
Apache,Chevron,CNOOC,HuskyOil,PremierOil(2),PTTEP,Santos(2)andWoodside
Petroleum
Widenthesearch
250mwd
TwomoreprospectsinAustralia
2011 Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.
27
ContractorsPerspective
MarketStudy ROV/ROVSV contractor,Nigeria
Target
Subseainspection
Shell,Bonga
Criteria
Operatingfields,subseaproduction
Outputs
Operatorsofsubseafields
7(Addax,Afren,Chevron,Eni,ExxonMobil,Shell,Total)
WaterDepthRange
Operatingfields1460m(Chevron,Agbami)
Prospects 2,479(Shell,Bobo)
Pipelines
Exportlines 1,980km(including6landfalls)
InfieldLines 361km
WaterDepth 1200m
Exportlines 94km
InfieldLines 71km
Umbilicals71km
SubseaTrees 46
Manifolds 5
FPSO 1
Risers 15
SubseaEquipment
SubseaTrees 174
Manifolds 30
FloatingProduction&Storage
Offshore/deepwater 9
Inshore/terminals 9
28
ContractorsPerspective
Demandforlightconstructionvessels
Vesselsforumbilical,module,spoolandjumperinstallation
Potentialshortfallbasedoncurrentfleetsize
Expectedtobemadeupbynewbuildsbeingdeliveredtoglobalfleet
29
Supply&Demand
Demandforheavyconstructionvessels
Vesselsforflowline,exportlineandriserinstallation
Potentialshortfallbasedoncurrentfleetsize
Expectedtobemadeupbynewbuildsbeingdeliveredtoglobalfleet
30
ContractorsPerspective
Demandforsubseatrees
Mean caseindicatesproductioncapacitywillbefullyutilisedby2014
Highcaseindicatesthatproductioncapacitywillbeexceeded
Possiblescenario:Supplyofsubseatreescannotmeetfuturedemand
63%
25%
45%
31
Summary
MarketAssessment
Segment
Geographiclocation,waterdepth,etc
Scopeofwork Survey,constructionsupport,IRMetc.
Capabilitiesandlimitations e.g.waterdepthlimits
Identifyprospects
Client
Sizeandvalue
Schedule
Specificlocation
Forecast,PrioritiseandTarget
Becomeinformedandabletoapproachcustomerwithasolutionforhisrequirements
Analysecapacitytomeetfuturedemand
32
ThankYou
BillDonaldson
bill.donaldson@questoffshore.com
www.questoffshore.com
Savethedate...
Inpartnershipwith
33