Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Beneath Social Contract 1.0 was a simple bargain: citizens give up some
rights to a large institution in exchange for security and stability; with John
Locke’s “right to revolt” offering an escape in the case of fundamental
dissatisfaction.
www.socialcontract2.com
This bargain will stay with us, but it is no longer enough to explain a complex
world. It assumes a top-down, hierarchical society with relatively few
centers of power. In the era of Social Contract 1.0, almost all communication
was one-to-many: first pamphlets and newspapers, then radio, then
television. Politicians, businesses, and clergy spent much more time selling
and telling than they did listening. Citizens voted with their feet or their
money; they either bought or did not buy products or ideologies. These were
blunt instruments of feedback, well-suited to a world of relatively few
powerful institutions.
But the last few decades have seen sea change upon sea change: rapid
technology growth and shifting demographics have transformed the world,
creating many interdependent nodes of power. This polynodal world is the
shifting ground beneath our feet. This grand change has brought an old
question into stark relief: which institution is responsible for what? It seems
clear that we cannot rely on banks to maintain economic stability or
newspapers to provide political accountability. But who will? To answer
such immense questions, we first must understand the forces that affect all
institutions and all organizations.
Low cost of information. Every day it gets cheaper to gather, copy, share,
and access information. People can be more informed with less effort.
Consumers have instant access to everything from comparative user reviews
to supply chain data. Citizens compare voting records or corporate pollution
levels. Political leaders can honestly go beyond Gross National Product and
speak of Gross National Happiness: the click of a button reveals a country’s
or company’s carbon emissions, employment numbers, or health outcomes.
www.socialcontract2.com
drops in cost qualitatively shift the character
and potential of community—as seen from organize all of the
Wikipedia to the 2008 Iranian election world’s information.
protests. While this new collaboration is
built upon technological change, such tools • Education will
do not get socially interesting, as the author increasingly move
Clay Shirky says, until they get online. How many non-
technologically boring. elite colleges and
universities can charge
Collaboration is rising not just among
individuals; it is also rising among $30,000 a year in tuition
organizations. An entire infrastructure of when most of MIT’s
associations binds together the interests of curriculum is now
organizations in the political sphere, and available for free
now more than ever, individual association through its
members have more power to shape and
OpenCourseWare
engage the association, rather than
responding to top-down directives. Cross- program?
organizational collaboration is expanding not
• Other powerful but
just within individual categories of
institutions, but also across categories— poorly-understood
whether the World Economic Forum or the institutions like hedge
shifting coalitions that drove and hindered funds and private
US health care reform. foundations will be
dragged from the
Low barriers to entry. A.J. Leibling said
“Freedom of the press is guaranteed only to shadows by new forms of
those who own one.” There is no need to transparency and face
explain how that is no longer true. (What inevitable scrutiny,
better sign that things are changing than criticism, and regulation.
the fact that truisms are no longer true?)
Nowadays, anyone can put up a website and enter the going-viral
sweepstakes. Barriers to entry are also dropping for non-virtual enterprises
as well. An ever-stronger infrastructure for outsourcing leads to modular
supply chains: there’s no need to build a factory when you can find a
Chinese production facility for your product within a few minutes on
3
www.alibaba.com.
New institutions not only can enter easily—they can quickly rise to compete
with existing organizations in both the physical and virtual worlds: in politics,
business, and culture. Harvard strategist Michael Porter has outlined in
detail how the competitive dynamics of an industry are fundamentally
determined by its barriers to entry. As those barrier fade, industries—and
communities, and political discourse—can and will be re-imagined. But low
barriers to entry and the ease of collaboration also create a tragedy of the
attention commons. With every new entrant it becomes harder to rise above
the ever-increasing din.
www.socialcontract2.com
Rising expectations of a new accountability class. Thousands upon
thousands of people are now employed full-time to hold other institutions
accountable. In addition to time-tested mechanisms like lawsuits, boycotts,
ratings, and advertising, this new “accountability class” also has the
emerging power of new tools like shareholder resolutions, viral marketing
campaigns, user reviews, and coordinated global civil disobedience.
Technology has also empowered an even bigger group of amateur
campaigners, activist investors, whistle-blowers, and bloggers. Big Brother
has been replaced by thousands of observant and trigger-happy cousins.
While many members of the new accountability class are activists with social
and environmental goals, the category is far wider and more complex.
Private equity firms and hedge funds engage in “activist” interventions with
no goal but profit. Politics has long had opposition research, but it has
become its own industry, one enabled and accelerated by easy access to
information. User reviews have decentralized the critic and made everyone
a member of the consumer accountability class.
--
These new structural forces both concentrate and devolve power. They
accelerate change and multiply both threats and opportunities. In the face
of this change, all organizations will remain subject to organizational inertia.
At heart, organizations are little more than bundles of routines and rules, and
routines and rules are sticky. They get codified by habit and language. But
occasionally—like right now—the ground shifts so much that old ways of
doing business (and politics and culture) face a fundamental challenge.
4
Section II: The Polynodal World
www.socialcontract2.com
primacy is threatened in every realm of global relations. The EU has—in a
miracle inconceivable 60 years ago—settled into a role as a diverse but
coherent center of power. The BRIC nations—Brazil, Russia, India, China—
compose half the world’s population, control immense natural resources, and
increasingly project economic, political, and cultural power. Japan remains a
mighty economy, despite its lost decade. A tier of mid-level powers—
Indonesia, Canada, South Africa, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Mexico, Australia,
South Korea—have stepped into critical roles in the global discourse.
Top-down global institutions like the United Nations, the World Bank, and the
International Monetary Fund wield great power, but too often find their
operations clogged and inflexible. They are often limited by the difficulty that
their national representatives have in reaching consensus. In their place,
more adaptable and diffuse global networks that dynamically bring
5
together much more diverse stakeholders are filling the gap. The World
Economic Forum has become a critical locus of power and decision-making—
and draws its strength from the fact that its participants come from all
sectors. While UN-sponsored multinational climate talks stall, the $8 trillion
Investors Network on Climate Risk organizes massive flows of capital to
tackle climate change and the $1.1 billion ClimateWorks Foundation
facilitates carbon-reduction efforts around the world. The list goes on: the $3
billion Global Fund for AIDS, Malaria, and Tuberculosis is the dominant player
in confronting infectious disease; Transparency International has become a
key platform in the battle to improve governance; the Forest Stewardship
Council has worked across business, government, and civil society to
transform the multi-billion dollar market for forest products.
www.socialcontract2.com
The existence of so many centers of power changes the rules of engagement
for all institutions. First, the entry of every new power center reduces the
relative power of existing institutions. Second, it complicates
governance by bringing in more and different mechanisms of
accountability. Third, this destabilizing context complicates strategy—
compromising business models and threatening decades-old assumptions.
We have inexorably moved from a few independent centers of power to
countless interdependent centers of power.
What is a leader to do? Proliferating power centers, new entrants, and the
growing accountability class all complicate governance and strategy. We
cannot predict the consequences of such a shift in the world order. But, we
can posit the behaviors that are more likely to succeed in this wild and
dynamic polynodal world. These behaviors increase the likelihood of
surviving—and thriving—for two reasons. First, these behaviors help
maintain legitimacy. With the rise of the accountability class and multi-
dimensional accountability, institutions will face attacks on their very right to
exist without these behaviors. Ask any bank after the Great Recession; they
will explain. Second, these behaviors enhance flexibility, adaptability and
thus organizational resilience. In a complex and changing context,
organizations’ very structure must facilitate constant interface with the
outside world. Ask any newspaper after Craigslist; they will explain.
6
information. Collaboration requires that organizations understand what
other organizations are doing.
There will continue to be good reasons for institutions to not share some
types of information (military intelligence, patient data, certain competitive
secrets). But in most cases there is no good reason not to share.
Transparency may have started as a moral imperative, but it has in many
cases become a practical aid to results. Porous strategies facilitate
collaboration and increase legitimacy—and can attract consumers, voters,
and stakeholders. The maxim says “what gets measured gets managed”; it
is even more powerful when what gets managed gets shared. Bottom line: if
institutions expect the benefits of access to others’ information, they must
www.socialcontract2.com
provide access to their own.
www.socialcontract2.com
Collaboration may be formal partnerships, or simply learning from the
successes or failures of other institutions. In a changing context, institutions
experiment. Universities use tools from business to monetize intellectual
property from faculty research. Nonprofits increasingly look to earned-
income strategies to increase their social or environmental impact—with a
universe of microfinance, social enterprise, and program-related investing
offering a new set of tools for both bleeding hearts and Wall Street. The
business world trumpets techniques of intrinsic employee motivation
pioneered by nonprofits. Institutions will not survive without drawing lessons
from others.
--
This is the implicit, emerging bargain of Social Contract 2.0: institutions will
survive and thrive if and only if they engage in the above four behaviors.
Those that do will have the legitimacy, flexibility, and resilience. Those that
do not will burn out or fade away.
The great issues of the 21st century demand humanity’s full attention and
effort. While the transition to Social Contract 2.0 is and will continue to be
painful, these four behaviors offer us a shared path forward.
Things may fall apart, but Social Contract 2.0 is not mere anarchy loosed
upon the world. Our social order rises to match the challenges of our time.