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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Iowa
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

1555 Registered Voters


November 15-19, 2015

4.6%

1. Would you say things in this country today are...


Generally headed in the right direction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Off on the wrong track . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%

2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential caucus in Iowa?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .59%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential caucus?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Iowa Republican Presidential caucus
in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Lindsey Graham . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Bobby Jindal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
George Pataki . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%

5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Iowa Democratic Presidential caucus
in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .50%


Martin OMalley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1%

6. How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Enthusiastic about [Candidate Name] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57%


Supporting [Candidate Name] but with some reservations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Considering [Candidate Name] mainly because you dislike the other choices so
far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa
7. Which of these is your favorite thing about Donald Trump right now?
Asked of Trump supporters

His outlook for America . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%


He says things others are afraid to say . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
His personal success story . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Hes not a typical politician . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
His faith and religious beliefs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

8. Which of these is your favorite thing about Ben Carson right now?
Asked of Carson supporters

His outlook for America . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%


He says things others are afraid to say . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
His personal success story . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Hes not a typical politician . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
His faith and religious beliefs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%

9. Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you
feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ben Carson
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Jeb Bush

Ready
43%
49%
67%
51%
38%

Not ready
38%
39%
15%
28%
46%

Not sure
19%
12%
18%
21%
16%

10. Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you
feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Martin OMalley

Ready
84%
60%
23%

Not ready
7%
21%
37%

Not sure
8%
19%
39%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa
11. If [First Choice Candidate Name] wins the Presidency, how confident are you he/she could
actually do the things theyre talking about?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Very confident he/she could do them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%


Somewhat confident, and would give him/her a chance to try . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
Not confident yet, but electing him/her would at least send a message about the
direction we need . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

12. How much have the terrorism attacks in Paris affected your decision about whom to
support for President in 2016?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Somewhat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Not at all . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%

13. Do you favor or oppose sending US ground troops to the Middle East to fight ISIS?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Favor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa
14. Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants?
Illegal immigrants...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Fill jobs Americans


wont do
Drive down
Americans wages
Are generally
hard-working people
Have broken the law
and should be
penalized or
deported
Harm national
security

Agree

Disagree

45%

55%

81%

19%

63%

37%

89%

11%

88%

12%

15. If elected, how much change would Hillary Clinton bring to the country?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

A big change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%


Some change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .61%
Not much change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%

16. If elected, how much change would Bernie Sanders bring to the country?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

A big change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%


Some change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .49%
Not much change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa
17. On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on
which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Immigration
Matters of faith and
religion
Handling ISIS
Same sex marriage

Must agree with you


61%

Okay with some


differences
39%

39%
71%
54%

61%
29%
46%

18. On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on
which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Guns
Healthcare
Campaign Finance
Rights and equality
Handling ISIS

Okay with some


differences
57%
30%
55%
21%
63%

Must agree with you


43%
70%
45%
79%
37%

19. Do you think the candidates policies toward Wall Street would be ...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Martin OMalley

Too tough
3%
15%
5%

Too easy
53%
14%
42%

About right
44%
71%
53%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa
20. Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Jeb Bush
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Invite
36%
52%
40%
44%
34%
44%
44%

Not Invite
64%
48%
60%
56%
66%
56%
56%

21. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?


Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%

22. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*


Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

23. Thinking about politics these days, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?*
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Very Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.
Earlier responses were used where available.

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa
24. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

25. Are you male or female?


Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%

26. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%

27. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?


White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

28. What is the highest level of education you have completed?


HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa
1. Direction of country
Would you say things in this country today are...
Gender
Generally headed in the right direction
Off on the wrong track
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

21%
71%
8%

23%
72%
5%

20%
69%
10%

11%
83%
6%

21%
74%
4%

22%
70%
8%

28%
60%
12%

21%
71%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,554)

(741)

(813)

(274)

(270)

(643)

(367)

(1,486)

(10)

(13)

(44)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential caucus in Iowa?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

59%
13%
9%
8%
10%
1%

64%
12%
5%
8%
9%
1%

54%
15%
12%
8%
10%
1%

55%
21%
10%
8%
5%
0%

52%
16%
15%
7%
9%
2%

60%
10%
8%
10%
11%
1%

67%
11%
3%
7%
10%
1%

59%
13%
9%
8%
9%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,555)

(741)

(814)

(274)

(270)

(644)

(367)

(1,487)

(10)

(13)

(44)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

3. 2016 Primary Turnout


In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential caucus?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

33%
34%
17%
16%

30%
40%
18%
12%

36%
29%
17%
19%

29%
30%
12%
30%

28%
33%
18%
21%

34%
36%
20%
10%

37%
35%
16%
12%

32%
34%
18%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,555)

(741)

(814)

(274)

(270)

(644)

(367)

(1,487)

(10)

(13)

(44)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

4. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Iowa Republican Presidential caucus in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

5%
19%
2%
21%
4%
0%
0%
1%
2%
1%
0%
2%
11%
2%
30%
0%

6%
19%
1%
24%
3%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
12%
0%
32%
0%

5%
19%
4%
18%
5%
0%
0%
2%
4%
1%
0%
2%
9%
3%
28%
1%

3%
4%
0%
23%
4%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
3%
0%
0%
62%
1%

4%
26%
1%
21%
1%
0%
0%
0%
7%
0%
0%
3%
7%
5%
25%
0%

7%
20%
2%
23%
6%
0%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
1%
14%
1%
23%
0%

5%
19%
4%
18%
3%
0%
0%
3%
1%
1%
0%
2%
13%
1%
31%
1%

5%
18%
2%
21%
4%
0%
0%
1%
2%
1%
0%
2%
11%
2%
30%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(657)

(371)

(286)

(80)

(114)

(297)

(166)

(630)

(0)

(6)

(21)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

5. First Choice Democratic Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Iowa Democratic Presidential caucus in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

50%
5%
44%
1%

40%
6%
53%
1%

57%
4%
38%
1%

27%
2%
70%
0%

47%
1%
51%
1%

51%
8%
40%
1%

65%
4%
30%
1%

48%
5%
46%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(601)

(243)

(359)

(91)

(96)

(254)

(160)

(571)

(6)

(0)

(24)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

6. Enthusiasm for First Choice


How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

57%
36%
6%

59%
35%
6%

56%
37%
7%

69%
23%
7%

51%
42%
7%

55%
38%
7%

59%
37%
4%

58%
35%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,250)

(612)

(639)

(170)

(210)

(546)

(324)

(1,194)

(6)

(6)

(44)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

7. Favorite Trump Characteristic


Which of these is your favorite thing about Donald Trump right now?
Asked of Trump supporters

Gender
His outlook for America
He says things others are afraid to say
His personal success story
Hes not a typical politician
His faith and religious beliefs
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

30%
40%
1%
28%
0%

32%
37%
0%
31%
0%

28%
44%
2%
25%
1%

31%
45%
0%
24%
0%

33%
50%
0%
17%
0%

30%
40%
1%
29%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(118)

(80)

100%

(197)

(69)

(51)

(189)

(49)

(29)

(0)

(1)

(8)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

8. Favorite Carson Characteristic


Which of these is your favorite thing about Ben Carson right now?
Asked of Carson supporters

Gender
His outlook for America
He says things others are afraid to say
His personal success story
Hes not a typical politician
His faith and religious beliefs
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

20%
18%
2%
29%
31%

24%
18%
1%
27%
30%

14%
18%
2%
33%
32%

18%
23%
2%
24%
33%

18%
19%
2%
29%
32%

100%

100%

100%
(53)

100%

(69)

100%

(122)

(3)

(30)

(58)

(31)

(116)

(0)

(0)

(6)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

9. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Ben Carson


Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

43%
38%
19%

45%
41%
14%

41%
35%
25%

42%
43%
14%

58%
30%
12%

42%
37%
22%

36%
44%
21%

43%
38%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(619)

(350)

(269)

(76)

(110)

(284)

(149)

(594)

(0)

(6)

(20)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

10. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Donald Trump


Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

49%
39%
12%

57%
28%
15%

38%
52%
10%

65%
22%
12%

42%
50%
8%

48%
40%
13%

48%
37%
16%

49%
38%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(647)

(364)

(283)

(80)

(114)

(293)

(160)

(620)

(0)

(6)

(21)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

11. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Ted Cruz


Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

67%
15%
18%

78%
10%
12%

53%
23%
24%

70%
14%
16%

67%
24%
9%

66%
13%
21%

68%
13%
19%

68%
15%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(627)

(356)

(271)

(76)

(114)

(287)

(150)

(601)

(0)

(6)

(20)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

12. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Marco Rubio


Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

51%
28%
21%

52%
31%
18%

50%
25%
25%

28%
53%
19%

46%
26%
28%

57%
23%
20%

54%
27%
19%

51%
28%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(631)

(356)

(274)

(76)

(113)

(289)

(152)

(605)

(0)

(6)

(20)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

13. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Jeb Bush


Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

38%
46%
16%

35%
50%
15%

42%
40%
18%

19%
77%
4%

38%
47%
15%

43%
38%
19%

39%
44%
18%

37%
46%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(634)

(358)

(276)

(76)

(113)

(292)

(153)

(609)

(0)

(6)

(20)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

14. Democrats Ready to Be Commander in Chief Hillary Clinton


Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

84%
7%
8%

78%
11%
11%

88%
5%
7%

66%
13%
21%

89%
4%
8%

85%
8%
6%

91%
5%
5%

85%
7%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(598)

(239)

(359)

(91)

(96)

(253)

(158)

(568)

(6)

(0)

(24)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

15. Democrats Ready to Be Commander in Chief Bernie Sanders


Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

60%
21%
19%

65%
16%
19%

57%
24%
18%

77%
6%
17%

59%
30%
11%

55%
22%
23%

60%
22%
18%

62%
19%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(558)

(229)

(328)

(81)

(92)

(239)

(146)

(531)

(3)

(0)

(24)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

16. Democrats Ready to Be Commander in Chief Martin OMalley


Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

23%
37%
39%

31%
31%
38%

18%
42%
40%

20%
29%
50%

24%
36%
40%

23%
42%
35%

26%
36%
39%

24%
36%
40%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(562)

(228)

(335)

(83)

(92)

(236)

(151)

(535)

(3)

(0)

(24)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

17. Confidence in Candidate Choice


If [First Choice Candidate Name] wins the Presidency, how confident are you he/she could actually do the things theyre talking about?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not confident yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

44%
50%
6%

46%
47%
7%

43%
53%
5%

54%
40%
5%

47%
49%
4%

42%
52%
6%

40%
51%
8%

44%
50%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,251)

(612)

(639)

(170)

(210)

(547)

(324)

(1,194)

(6)

(6)

(44)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

18. Paris Attacks Effect on Vote


How much have the terrorism attacks in Paris affected your decision about whom to support for President in 2016?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
A lot
Somewhat
Not much
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

16%
17%
23%
44%

14%
17%
22%
47%

18%
17%
24%
41%

19%
12%
23%
46%

16%
13%
22%
49%

13%
19%
24%
44%

21%
18%
23%
39%

17%
17%
23%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,260)

(614)

(646)

(171)

(211)

(552)

(327)

(1,202)

(6)

(7)

(45)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

19. Troops to Fight ISIS


Do you favor or oppose sending US ground troops to the Middle East to fight ISIS?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Favor
Oppose
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

74%
26%

76%
24%

72%
28%

49%
51%

85%
15%

79%
21%

67%
33%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(639)

(362)

(278)

(71)

(114)

(295)

(159)

(614)

(0)

(6)

(19)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

20. Agree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants Illegal immigrants...
Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants? Illegal immigrants...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Fill jobs Americans wont do
Drive down Americans wages
Are generally hard-working people
Should be penalized/deported
Harm national security
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

45%
81%
63%
89%
88%

39%
84%
64%
93%
91%

52%
75%
57%
81%
80%

22%
81%
55%
91%
88%

36%
87%
63%
88%
94%

50%
78%
62%
88%
87%

50%
78%
61%
86%
80%

44%
81%
61%
88%
87%

(658)

(371)

(287)

(80)

(114)

(298)

(166)

(631)

(0)

(6)

(21)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

21. Disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants Illegal immigrants...
Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants? Illegal immigrants...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Fill jobs Americans wont do
Drive down Americans wages
Are generally hard-working people
Should be penalized/deported
Harm national security
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

55%
19%
37%
11%
12%

60%
16%
34%
7%
8%

46%
23%
39%
17%
17%

78%
19%
45%
9%
12%

64%
13%
37%
12%
6%

48%
21%
34%
10%
12%

48%
18%
36%
14%
17%

54%
18%
37%
11%
12%

(658)

(371)

(287)

(80)

(114)

(298)

(166)

(631)

(0)

(6)

(21)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

22. Clinton Change


If elected, how much change would Hillary Clinton bring to the country?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
A big change
Some change
Not much change
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

13%
61%
26%

6%
57%
37%

17%
63%
20%

9%
58%
33%

10%
66%
24%

13%
53%
34%

16%
70%
14%

13%
59%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(602)

(243)

(359)

(91)

(96)

(254)

(161)

(571)

(6)

(0)

(24)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

23. Sanders Change


If elected, how much change would Bernie Sanders bring to the country?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
A big change
Some change
Not much change
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

33%
49%
18%

35%
48%
17%

32%
49%
19%

64%
22%
14%

34%
40%
25%

25%
59%
16%

28%
52%
20%

34%
50%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(598)

(243)

(356)

(91)

(96)

(254)

(157)

(568)

(6)

(0)

(24)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

24. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Immigration


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

61%
39%

66%
34%

53%
47%

54%
46%

53%
47%

62%
38%

66%
34%

60%
40%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(646)

(371)

(276)

(79)

(114)

(295)

(158)

(619)

(0)

(6)

(21)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

25. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Matters of faith and religion


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

39%
61%

38%
62%

40%
60%

57%
43%

42%
58%

32%
68%

41%
59%

40%
60%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(647)

(368)

(279)

(79)

(114)

(295)

(159)

(621)

(0)

(6)

(20)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

26. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Handling ISIS


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

71%
29%

73%
27%

69%
31%

41%
59%

67%
33%

76%
24%

80%
20%

71%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(650)

(370)

(281)

(79)

(114)

(296)

(161)

(623)

(0)

(6)

(21)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

27. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Same sex marriage


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

54%
46%

55%
45%

52%
48%

59%
41%

52%
48%

49%
51%

62%
38%

54%
46%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(646)

(369)

(277)

(79)

(114)

(295)

(157)

(619)

(0)

(6)

(20)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

28. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Guns


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

43%
57%

30%
70%

52%
48%

38%
62%

29%
71%

42%
58%

58%
42%

44%
56%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(601)

(242)

(358)

(91)

(96)

(254)

(160)

(570)

(6)

(0)

(24)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

29. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Healthcare


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

70%
30%

63%
37%

75%
25%

66%
34%

61%
39%

73%
27%

74%
26%

70%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(602)

(243)

(359)

(91)

(96)

(254)

(160)

(571)

(6)

(0)

(24)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

30. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Campaign Finance


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

45%
55%

60%
40%

35%
65%

49%
51%

31%
69%

47%
53%

49%
51%

47%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(597)

(243)

(354)

(91)

(94)

(253)

(159)

(567)

(5)

(0)

(24)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

31. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Rights and equality


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

79%
21%

71%
29%

84%
16%

92%
8%

85%
15%

74%
26%

75%
25%

78%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(599)

(243)

(356)

(91)

(94)

(253)

(160)

(568)

(6)

(0)

(24)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

32. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Handling ISIS


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

37%
63%

30%
70%

42%
58%

28%
72%

32%
68%

35%
65%

49%
51%

35%
65%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(243)

(352)

(91)

(94)

(254)

(156)

(564)

(5)

(0)

(24)

32

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

33. Candidates Policies Toward Wall Street Hillary Clinton


Do you think the candidates policies toward Wall Street would be ...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Too tough
Too easy
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

3%
53%
44%

2%
62%
35%

3%
46%
51%

10%
62%
28%

1%
61%
39%

2%
51%
47%

1%
46%
53%

3%
52%
45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(243)

(352)

(91)

(96)

(252)

(155)

(564)

(6)

(0)

(24)

33

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

34. Candidates Policies Toward Wall Street Bernie Sanders


Do you think the candidates policies toward Wall Street would be ...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Too tough
Too easy
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

15%
14%
71%

13%
13%
74%

17%
15%
69%

1%
5%
94%

10%
27%
63%

13%
10%
77%

31%
19%
51%

16%
11%
73%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(590)

(243)

(347)

(91)

(93)

(251)

(154)

(559)

(5)

(0)

(24)

34

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

35. Candidates Policies Toward Wall Street Martin OMalley


Do you think the candidates policies toward Wall Street would be ...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Too tough
Too easy
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

5%
42%
53%

5%
31%
64%

6%
49%
45%

14%
50%
36%

2%
50%
48%

3%
38%
59%

7%
36%
57%

6%
40%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(555)

(228)

(327)

(86)

(92)

(239)

(138)

(526)

(5)

(0)

(24)

35

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

36. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Donald Trump


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

36%
64%

44%
56%

27%
73%

39%
61%

34%
66%

36%
64%

35%
65%

36%
64%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,229)

(599)

(630)

(171)

(207)

(540)

(311)

(1,171)

(6)

(7)

(45)

36

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

37. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Ben Carson


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

52%
48%

59%
41%

45%
55%

41%
59%

58%
42%

53%
47%

51%
49%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,215)

(589)

(626)

(167)

(207)

(527)

(313)

(1,158)

(6)

(6)

(44)

37

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

38. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Ted Cruz


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

40%
60%

52%
48%

30%
70%

34%
66%

45%
55%

41%
59%

40%
60%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,216)

(589)

(627)

(167)

(208)

(527)

(315)

(1,160)

(6)

(6)

(44)

38

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

39. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Marco Rubio


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

44%
56%

50%
50%

39%
61%

31%
69%

48%
52%

47%
53%

43%
57%

43%
57%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,206)

(582)

(624)

(160)

(207)

(527)

(312)

(1,150)

(6)

(6)

(44)

39

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

40. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Jeb Bush


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

34%
66%

33%
67%

35%
65%

15%
85%

34%
66%

40%
60%

34%
66%

33%
67%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,208)

(588)

(620)

(167)

(206)

(531)

(304)

(1,152)

(6)

(6)

(44)

40

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

41. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Hillary Clinton


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

44%
56%

34%
66%

53%
47%

50%
50%

38%
62%

42%
58%

47%
53%

44%
56%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,200)

(586)

(614)

(167)

(205)

(520)

(307)

(1,143)

(6)

(7)

(44)

41

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa

42. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Bernie Sanders


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

44%
56%

40%
60%

48%
52%

44%
56%

39%
61%

46%
54%

43%
57%

45%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,203)

(591)

(613)

(167)

(207)

(520)

(309)

(1,146)

(6)

(6)

(44)

42

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

658 Likely Republican Caucus Voters


November 15-19, 2015

6.2%

1. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Iowa Republican Presidential caucus in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

5%
19%
2%
21%
4%
0%
0%
1%
2%
1%
0%
2%
11%
2%
30%
0%

2%
12%
0%
41%
5%
0%
0%
0%
4%
0%
0%
2%
7%
3%
23%
0%

8%
25%
4%
11%
4%
0%
0%
2%
1%
1%
0%
1%
14%
1%
29%
0%

3%
14%
1%
3%
4%
0%
0%
2%
0%
2%
0%
2%
13%
1%
53%
0%

3%
18%
2%
30%
3%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
2%
5%
2%
32%
0%

8%
19%
3%
12%
5%
0%
0%
2%
1%
1%
0%
2%
17%
1%
28%
1%

6%
23%
3%
23%
4%
0%
0%
2%
4%
1%
0%
2%
6%
2%
25%
0%

5%
11%
2%
18%
6%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
20%
0%
37%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(657)

(232)

(340)

(52)

(331)

(310)

(368)

(236)

Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

5%
19%
2%
21%
4%
0%

6%
19%
1%
24%
3%
0%

5%
19%
4%
18%
5%
0%

3%
4%
0%
23%
4%
0%

4%
26%
1%
21%
1%
0%

7%
20%
2%
23%
6%
0%

5%
19%
4%
18%
3%
0%

6%
19%
3%
21%
5%
0%

3%
14%
0%
21%
2%
0%

continued on the next page . . .

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

continued from previous page


Age group

Gender
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

0%
1%
2%
1%
0%
2%
11%
2%
30%
0%

0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
12%
0%
32%
0%

0%
2%
4%
1%
0%
2%
9%
3%
28%
1%

0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
3%
0%
0%
62%
1%

0%
0%
7%
0%
0%
3%
7%
5%
25%
0%

0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
1%
14%
1%
23%
0%

0%
3%
1%
1%
0%
2%
13%
1%
31%
1%

0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
2%
12%
2%
27%
0%

0%
1%
6%
1%
0%
2%
6%
0%
43%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(657)

(371)

(286)

(80)

(114)

(297)

(166)

(520)

(122)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

2. Enthusiasm for First Choice


How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

61%
35%
4%

74%
22%
4%

54%
44%
2%

58%
38%
4%

69%
29%
2%

53%
41%
5%

62%
35%
3%

58%
38%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(653)

(230)

(338)

(52)

(329)

(308)

(367)

(234)

Gender
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative

Tea Party

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

61%
35%
4%

65%
34%
2%

55%
38%
7%

78%
18%
4%

60%
35%
5%

58%
39%
3%

57%
38%
5%

61%
36%
4%

59%
37%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(653)

(370)

(283)

(79)

(114)

(295)

(165)

(517)

(121)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

3. Favorite Trump Characteristic


Which of these is your favorite thing about Donald Trump right now?
Asked of Trump supporters

Ideology
His outlook for America
He says things others are afraid to say
His personal success story
Hes not a typical politician
His faith and religious beliefs
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

30%
40%
1%
28%
0%

23%
41%
0%
36%
0%

27%
41%
0%
32%
0%

26%
38%
2%
34%
0%

35%
43%
0%
21%
0%

35%
40%
2%
23%
0%

26%
34%
0%
40%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(52)

(99)

100%

(197)

(107)

(86)

(92)

(86)

(28)

Gender
His outlook for America
He says things others are afraid to say
His personal success story
Hes not a typical politician
His faith and religious beliefs
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

30%
40%
1%
28%
0%

32%
37%
0%
31%
0%

28%
44%
2%
25%
1%

31%
45%
0%
24%
0%

33%
50%
0%
17%
0%

24%
40%
1%
35%
1%

47%
41%
0%
12%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(118)

(80)

100%

(197)

(69)

(51)

(140)

(52)

(49)

(29)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

4. Favorite Carson Characteristic


Which of these is your favorite thing about Ben Carson right now?
Asked of Carson supporters

Ideology
His outlook for America
He says things others are afraid to say
His personal success story
Hes not a typical politician
His faith and religious beliefs
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

20%
18%
2%
29%
31%

22%
16%
1%
32%
29%

26%
20%
1%
20%
33%

15%
17%
2%
37%
29%

19%
20%
1%
20%
39%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(61)

(58)

(83)

100%
(122)

(27)

(85)

(8)

Gender
His outlook for America
He says things others are afraid to say
His personal success story
Hes not a typical politician
His faith and religious beliefs
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Age group

(27)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

20%
18%
2%
29%
31%

24%
18%
1%
27%
30%

14%
18%
2%
33%
32%

18%
23%
2%
24%
33%

20%
21%
2%
23%
34%

100%

100%

100%
(53)

100%

(69)

100%

(122)

(3)

(30)

(58)

(31)

(99)

(17)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

5. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Ben Carson


Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

43%
38%
19%

43%
43%
14%

44%
36%
20%

48%
37%
15%

39%
39%
23%

49%
32%
19%

33%
45%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(218)

(330)

100%

(619)

(317)

(289)

(345)

(225)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure

Tea Party

(47)
Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

43%
38%
19%

45%
41%
14%

41%
35%
25%

42%
43%
14%

58%
30%
12%

42%
37%
22%

36%
44%
21%

43%
39%
18%

44%
34%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(619)

(350)

(269)

(76)

(110)

(284)

(149)

(492)

(115)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

6. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Donald Trump


Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

49%
39%
12%

46%
39%
15%

46%
41%
13%

69%
29%
2%

58%
29%
13%

39%
49%
12%

43%
44%
13%

57%
31%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(647)

(225)

(335)

(52)

(327)

(303)

(359)

(235)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

49%
39%
12%

57%
28%
15%

38%
52%
10%

65%
22%
12%

42%
50%
8%

48%
40%
13%

48%
37%
16%

45%
42%
13%

65%
23%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(647)

(364)

(283)

(80)

(114)

(293)

(160)

(511)

(121)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

7. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Ted Cruz


Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

67%
15%
18%

83%
11%
6%

62%
15%
23%

81%
10%
9%

53%
21%
26%

66%
16%
18%

70%
15%
15%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(221)

(331)

100%

(627)

(320)

(290)

(348)

(226)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure

Tea Party

(47)
Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

67%
15%
18%

78%
10%
12%

53%
23%
24%

70%
14%
16%

67%
24%
9%

66%
13%
21%

68%
13%
19%

68%
14%
18%

65%
18%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(627)

(356)

(271)

(76)

(114)

(287)

(150)

(498)

(116)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

8. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Marco Rubio


Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

51%
28%
21%

44%
32%
24%

57%
26%
17%

48%
34%
18%

54%
23%
23%

47%
30%
23%

57%
26%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(225)

(330)

100%

(631)

(317)

(297)

(354)

(227)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure

Tea Party

(48)
Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

51%
28%
21%

52%
31%
18%

50%
25%
25%

28%
53%
19%

46%
26%
28%

57%
23%
20%

54%
27%
19%

56%
25%
19%

29%
43%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(631)

(356)

(274)

(76)

(113)

(289)

(152)

(503)

(115)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

9. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief Jeb Bush


Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

38%
46%
16%

29%
62%
9%

45%
35%
20%

28%
55%
17%

49%
35%
16%

38%
47%
14%

40%
44%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(223)

(336)

100%

(634)

(317)

(301)

(356)

(226)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure

Tea Party

(47)
Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

38%
46%
16%

35%
50%
15%

42%
40%
18%

19%
77%
4%

38%
47%
15%

43%
38%
19%

39%
44%
18%

40%
45%
16%

31%
49%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(634)

(358)

(276)

(76)

(113)

(292)

(153)

(507)

(116)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

10. Confidence in Candidate Choice


If [First Choice Candidate Name] wins the Presidency, how confident are you he/she could actually do the things theyre talking about?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not confident yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

54%
43%
3%

63%
35%
2%

48%
50%
3%

57%
38%
5%

64%
34%
2%

44%
52%
4%

55%
43%
2%

52%
44%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(654)

(231)

(338)

(52)

(330)

(308)

(367)

(234)

Gender
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not confident yet

Tea Party

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

54%
43%
3%

60%
38%
2%

46%
50%
4%

79%
19%
1%

49%
47%
4%

51%
47%
2%

50%
46%
4%

54%
44%
2%

48%
46%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(654)

(371)

(284)

(79)

(114)

(295)

(166)

(518)

(121)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

11. Paris Attacks Effect on Vote


How much have the terrorism attacks in Paris affected your decision about whom to support for President in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
A lot
Somewhat
Not much
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

21%
22%
20%
36%

20%
19%
17%
45%

22%
22%
23%
33%

32%
26%
23%
19%

23%
17%
20%
40%

21%
26%
20%
33%

21%
20%
20%
40%

22%
23%
22%
32%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(658)

(232)

(340)

(52)

(331)

(311)

(369)

(236)

Gender
A lot
Somewhat
Not much
Not at all

Tea Party

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

21%
22%
20%
36%

18%
21%
21%
40%

26%
23%
19%
32%

26%
18%
3%
52%

23%
19%
18%
41%

17%
23%
24%
36%

27%
25%
23%
26%

20%
23%
21%
36%

29%
18%
16%
37%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(658)

(371)

(287)

(80)

(114)

(298)

(166)

(520)

(123)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

12. Troops to Fight ISIS


Do you favor or oppose sending US ground troops to the Middle East to fight ISIS?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Favor
Oppose
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

74%
26%

77%
23%

72%
28%

73%
27%

76%
24%

73%
27%

77%
23%

70%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(639)

(216)

(336)

(52)

(319)

(304)

(353)

(233)

Gender
Favor
Oppose

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

74%
26%

76%
24%

72%
28%

49%
51%

85%
15%

79%
21%

67%
33%

74%
26%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(639)

(362)

(278)

(71)

(114)

(295)

(159)

(503)

(121)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

13. Agree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants Illegal immigrants...
Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants? Illegal immigrants...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Fill jobs Americans wont do
Drive down Americans wages
Are generally hard-working people
Should be penalized/deported
Harm national security
(Weighted N)

(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

45%
81%
63%
89%
88%

36%
89%
51%
87%
92%

47%
77%
67%
89%
85%

50%
71%
66%
78%
73%

35%
88%
57%
93%
93%

52%
73%
64%
82%
80%

43%
79%
58%
84%
84%

43%
82%
68%
92%
89%

(658)

(232)

(340)

(52)

(331)

(311)

(369)

(236)

Gender
Fill jobs Americans wont do
Drive down Americans wages
Are generally hard-working people
Should be penalized/deported
Harm national security

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

45%
81%
63%
89%
88%

39%
84%
64%
93%
91%

52%
75%
57%
81%
80%

22%
81%
55%
91%
88%

36%
87%
63%
88%
94%

50%
78%
62%
88%
87%

50%
78%
61%
86%
80%

45%
80%
64%
89%
87%

37%
80%
47%
82%
84%

(658)

(371)

(287)

(80)

(114)

(298)

(166)

(520)

(123)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

14. Disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants Illegal immigrants...
Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants? Illegal immigrants...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Fill jobs Americans wont do
Drive down Americans wages
Are generally hard-working people
Should be penalized/deported
Harm national security
(Weighted N)

(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

55%
19%
37%
11%
12%

62%
10%
44%
13%
6%

51%
22%
31%
10%
14%

45%
29%
34%
20%
26%

63%
11%
39%
6%
5%

47%
27%
35%
17%
19%

55%
20%
39%
15%
14%

56%
17%
31%
7%
10%

(658)

(232)

(340)

(52)

(331)

(311)

(369)

(236)

Gender
Fill jobs Americans wont do
Drive down Americans wages
Are generally hard-working people
Should be penalized/deported
Harm national security

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

55%
19%
37%
11%
12%

60%
16%
34%
7%
8%

46%
23%
39%
17%
17%

78%
19%
45%
9%
12%

64%
13%
37%
12%
6%

48%
21%
34%
10%
12%

48%
18%
36%
14%
17%

53%
19%
34%
10%
12%

62%
19%
50%
16%
15%

(658)

(371)

(287)

(80)

(114)

(298)

(166)

(520)

(123)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

15. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Immigration


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

61%
39%

65%
35%

58%
42%

62%
38%

67%
33%

54%
46%

54%
46%

69%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(646)

(225)

(337)

(51)

(325)

(305)

(358)

(235)

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

61%
39%

66%
34%

53%
47%

54%
46%

53%
47%

62%
38%

66%
34%

62%
38%

58%
42%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(646)

(371)

(276)

(79)

(114)

(295)

(158)

(509)

(122)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

16. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Matters of faith and religion


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

39%
61%

55%
45%

31%
69%

48%
52%

29%
71%

48%
52%

24%
76%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(228)

(335)

100%

(647)

(323)

(308)

(360)

(234)

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences

Tea Party

(49)
Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

39%
61%

38%
62%

40%
60%

57%
43%

42%
58%

32%
68%

41%
59%

41%
59%

28%
72%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(647)

(368)

(279)

(79)

(114)

(295)

(159)

(512)

(120)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

17. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Handling ISIS


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

71%
29%

74%
26%

71%
29%

61%
39%

72%
28%

70%
30%

69%
31%

72%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(650)

(228)

(338)

(51)

(328)

(307)

(366)

(236)

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

71%
29%

73%
27%

69%
31%

41%
59%

67%
33%

76%
24%

80%
20%

71%
29%

77%
23%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(650)

(370)

(281)

(79)

(114)

(296)

(161)

(513)

(122)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

18. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Same sex marriage


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

54%
46%

78%
22%

44%
56%

64%
36%

45%
55%

69%
31%

35%
65%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(228)

(336)

100%

(646)

(324)

(306)

(360)

(234)

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences

Tea Party

(49)
Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

54%
46%

55%
45%

52%
48%

59%
41%

52%
48%

49%
51%

62%
38%

57%
43%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(646)

(369)

(277)

(79)

(114)

(295)

(157)

(512)

(119)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

19. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Donald Trump


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

59%
41%

56%
44%

59%
41%

75%
25%

67%
33%

52%
48%

54%
46%

67%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(642)

(225)

(333)

(51)

(320)

(306)

(357)

(232)

Gender
Invite
Not Invite

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

59%
41%

64%
36%

52%
48%

68%
32%

55%
45%

57%
43%

60%
40%

56%
44%

73%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(642)

(367)

(275)

(80)

(112)

(290)

(160)

(511)

(116)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

20. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Ben Carson


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

83%
17%

85%
15%

85%
15%

87%
13%

80%
20%

86%
14%

80%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(230)

(323)

100%

(629)

(324)

(289)

(354)

(223)

Gender
Invite
Not Invite

Tea Party

(49)
Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

83%
17%

90%
10%

75%
25%

71%
29%

80%
20%

90%
10%

80%
20%

82%
18%

89%
11%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(629)

(358)

(272)

(76)

(113)

(278)

(162)

(500)

(115)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

21. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Ted Cruz


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

73%
27%

83%
17%

70%
30%

88%
12%

56%
44%

75%
25%

71%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(230)

(326)

100%

(632)

(323)

(292)

(355)

(224)

Gender
Invite
Not Invite

Tea Party

(49)
Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

73%
27%

83%
17%

59%
41%

72%
28%

67%
33%

74%
26%

74%
26%

73%
27%

70%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(632)

(359)

(273)

(76)

(113)

(279)

(164)

(505)

(111)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

22. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Marco Rubio


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

68%
32%

64%
36%

73%
27%

68%
32%

68%
32%

63%
37%

78%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(228)

(319)

100%

(623)

(320)

(286)

(355)

(216)

Gender
Invite
Not Invite

Tea Party

(48)
Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

68%
32%

74%
26%

61%
39%

54%
46%

63%
37%

74%
26%

69%
31%

72%
28%

50%
50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(623)

(350)

(272)

(71)

(113)

(277)

(162)

(499)

(109)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

23. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Jeb Bush


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

45%
55%

36%
64%

50%
50%

35%
65%

55%
45%

45%
55%

45%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(216)

(330)

100%

(622)

(311)

(294)

(345)

(225)

Gender
Invite
Not Invite

Tea Party

(48)
Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

45%
55%

41%
59%

50%
50%

22%
78%

42%
58%

51%
49%

47%
53%

46%
54%

40%
60%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(622)

(356)

(266)

(76)

(111)

(281)

(153)

(500)

(107)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

24. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Hillary Clinton


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

7%
93%

1%
99%

10%
90%

6%
94%

9%
91%

8%
92%

8%
92%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(215)

(317)

100%

(605)

(311)

(278)

(336)

(217)

Gender
Invite
Not Invite

Tea Party

(46)
Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

7%
93%

8%
92%

7%
93%

16%
84%

11%
89%

6%
94%

3%
97%

7%
93%

5%
95%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(605)

(350)

(255)

(76)

(111)

(268)

(150)

(484)

(106)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Republican Voters

25. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Bernie Sanders


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

10%
90%

4%
96%

11%
89%

7%
93%

12%
88%

11%
89%

8%
92%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(215)

(318)

100%

(607)

(310)

(280)

(336)

(218)

Gender
Invite
Not Invite

Tea Party

(47)
Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

10%
90%

9%
91%

10%
90%

5%
95%

16%
84%

9%
91%

8%
92%

8%
92%

12%
88%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(607)

(351)

(256)

(76)

(111)

(269)

(151)

(485)

(106)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

602 Likely Democratic Caucus Voters


November 15-19, 2015

7.6%

1. First Choice Democratic Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Iowa Democratic Presidential caucus in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

50%
5%
44%
1%

44%
1%
56%
0%

41%
8%
51%
1%

61%
5%
33%
1%

40%
6%
53%
1%

57%
4%
38%
1%

27%
2%
70%
0%

47%
1%
51%
1%

51%
8%
40%
1%

65%
4%
30%
1%

54%
4%
42%
1%

33%
10%
56%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(601)

(122)

(209)

(224)

(243)

(359)

(91)

(96)

(254)

(160)

(448)

(126)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

2. Enthusiasm for First Choice


How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

54%
38%
8%

74%
20%
6%

62%
31%
7%

38%
54%
8%

50%
38%
12%

56%
37%
7%

62%
27%
11%

40%
51%
9%

51%
37%
12%

62%
36%
3%

60%
32%
9%

37%
52%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(597)

(121)

(208)

(222)

(241)

(356)

(91)

(96)

(252)

(159)

(444)

(125)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

3. Democrats Ready to Be Commander in Chief Hillary Clinton


Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

84%
7%
8%

89%
9%
2%

83%
6%
11%

84%
6%
11%

78%
11%
11%

88%
5%
7%

66%
13%
21%

89%
4%
8%

85%
8%
6%

91%
5%
5%

85%
6%
9%

80%
13%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(598)

(120)

(208)

(223)

(239)

(359)

(91)

(96)

(253)

(158)

(446)

(125)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

4. Democrats Ready to Be Commander in Chief Bernie Sanders


Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

60%
21%
19%

82%
10%
8%

65%
17%
18%

45%
31%
24%

65%
16%
19%

57%
24%
18%

77%
6%
17%

59%
30%
11%

55%
22%
23%

60%
22%
18%

59%
22%
19%

72%
7%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(558)

(121)

(183)

(220)

(229)

(328)

(81)

(92)

(239)

(146)

(406)

(124)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

5. Democrats Ready to Be Commander in Chief Martin OMalley


Regardless of whether youd personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

23%
37%
39%

35%
29%
35%

27%
36%
37%

14%
43%
43%

31%
31%
38%

18%
42%
40%

20%
29%
50%

24%
36%
40%

23%
42%
35%

26%
36%
39%

21%
39%
39%

31%
25%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(562)

(120)

(189)

(219)

(228)

(335)

(83)

(92)

(236)

(151)

(411)

(124)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

6. Confidence in Candidate Choice


If [First Choice Candidate Name] wins the Presidency, how confident are you he/she could actually do the things theyre talking about?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not confident yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

34%
57%
9%

40%
51%
8%

36%
57%
7%

28%
58%
14%

24%
60%
15%

40%
55%
5%

33%
59%
9%

44%
52%
4%

32%
58%
10%

30%
57%
13%

36%
57%
7%

18%
64%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(597)

(121)

(208)

(222)

(241)

(356)

(91)

(96)

(252)

(159)

(444)

(125)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

7. Paris Attacks Effect on Vote


How much have the terrorism attacks in Paris affected your decision about whom to support for President in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
A lot
Somewhat
Not much
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

11%
11%
26%
52%

11%
2%
15%
72%

12%
13%
30%
45%

7%
13%
28%
52%

9%
10%
24%
57%

12%
12%
28%
48%

12%
6%
40%
41%

7%
7%
27%
60%

9%
15%
23%
53%

14%
10%
24%
52%

13%
11%
26%
50%

2%
11%
31%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(602)

(122)

(209)

(224)

(243)

(359)

(91)

(96)

(254)

(161)

(448)

(126)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

8. Clinton Change
If elected, how much change would Hillary Clinton bring to the country?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
A big change
Some change
Not much change
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

13%
61%
26%

10%
55%
36%

11%
62%
27%

16%
64%
20%

6%
57%
37%

17%
63%
20%

9%
58%
33%

10%
66%
24%

13%
53%
34%

16%
70%
14%

15%
62%
23%

5%
52%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(602)

(122)

(209)

(224)

(243)

(359)

(91)

(96)

(254)

(161)

(448)

(126)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

9. Sanders Change
If elected, how much change would Bernie Sanders bring to the country?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
A big change
Some change
Not much change
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

33%
49%
18%

53%
42%
5%

33%
51%
16%

23%
55%
22%

35%
48%
17%

32%
49%
19%

64%
22%
14%

34%
40%
25%

25%
59%
16%

28%
52%
20%

32%
49%
20%

39%
57%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(598)

(122)

(209)

(221)

(243)

(356)

(91)

(96)

(254)

(157)

(445)

(126)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

10. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Guns


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

43%
57%

54%
46%

42%
58%

35%
65%

30%
70%

52%
48%

38%
62%

29%
71%

42%
58%

58%
42%

47%
53%

33%
67%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(601)

(122)

(209)

(224)

(242)

(358)

(91)

(96)

(254)

(160)

(447)

(126)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

11. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Healthcare


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

70%
30%

73%
27%

70%
30%

68%
32%

63%
37%

75%
25%

66%
34%

61%
39%

73%
27%

74%
26%

73%
27%

59%
41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(602)

(122)

(209)

(224)

(243)

(359)

(91)

(96)

(254)

(160)

(448)

(126)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

12. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Campaign Finance


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

45%
55%

60%
40%

50%
50%

33%
67%

60%
40%

35%
65%

49%
51%

31%
69%

47%
53%

49%
51%

44%
56%

55%
45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(597)

(122)

(208)

(223)

(243)

(354)

(91)

(94)

(253)

(159)

(444)

(126)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

13. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Rights and equality


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

79%
21%

87%
13%

77%
23%

75%
25%

71%
29%

84%
16%

92%
8%

85%
15%

74%
26%

75%
25%

79%
21%

77%
23%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(599)

(122)

(209)

(224)

(243)

(356)

(91)

(94)

(253)

(160)

(445)

(126)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

14. Democratic Candidate Policy Agreement Handling ISIS


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

37%
63%

29%
71%

33%
67%

42%
58%

30%
70%

42%
58%

28%
72%

32%
68%

35%
65%

49%
51%

35%
65%

34%
66%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(119)

(208)

(223)

(243)

(352)

(91)

(94)

(254)

(156)

(441)

(126)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

15. Candidates Policies Toward Wall Street Hillary Clinton


Do you think the candidates policies toward Wall Street would be ...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Too tough
Too easy
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

3%
53%
44%

0%
67%
33%

5%
57%
38%

1%
45%
54%

2%
62%
35%

3%
46%
51%

10%
62%
28%

1%
61%
39%

2%
51%
47%

1%
46%
53%

4%
46%
50%

1%
72%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(122)

(202)

(223)

(243)

(352)

(91)

(96)

(252)

(155)

(441)

(126)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

16. Candidates Policies Toward Wall Street Bernie Sanders


Do you think the candidates policies toward Wall Street would be ...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Too tough
Too easy
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

15%
14%
71%

8%
4%
89%

20%
5%
74%

15%
27%
58%

13%
13%
74%

17%
15%
69%

1%
5%
94%

10%
27%
63%

13%
10%
77%

31%
19%
51%

17%
11%
71%

9%
14%
77%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(590)

(122)

(204)

(221)

(243)

(347)

(91)

(93)

(251)

(154)

(436)

(126)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

17. Candidates Policies Toward Wall Street Martin OMalley


Do you think the candidates policies toward Wall Street would be ...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Too tough
Too easy
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

5%
42%
53%

0%
53%
47%

9%
38%
53%

2%
38%
60%

5%
31%
64%

6%
49%
45%

14%
50%
36%

2%
50%
48%

3%
38%
59%

7%
36%
57%

6%
40%
54%

2%
41%
57%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(555)

(118)

(188)

(207)

(228)

(327)

(86)

(92)

(239)

(138)

(412)

(116)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

18. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Donald Trump


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

10%
90%

9%
91%

10%
90%

6%
94%

13%
87%

8%
92%

13%
87%

9%
91%

10%
90%

8%
92%

10%
90%

9%
91%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(587)

(120)

(199)

(222)

(232)

(355)

(91)

(95)

(250)

(151)

(437)

(123)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

19. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Ben Carson


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

18%
82%

11%
89%

12%
88%

27%
73%

11%
89%

22%
78%

16%
84%

31%
69%

12%
88%

20%
80%

15%
85%

14%
86%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(585)

(120)

(201)

(218)

(231)

(354)

(91)

(94)

(249)

(152)

(435)

(123)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

20. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Ted Cruz


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

5%
95%

4%
96%

2%
98%

10%
90%

3%
97%

7%
93%

2%
98%

18%
82%

3%
97%

3%
97%

3%
97%

1%
99%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(585)

(120)

(198)

(220)

(230)

(354)

(91)

(95)

(248)

(151)

(434)

(123)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

21. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Marco Rubio


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

19%
81%

12%
88%

16%
84%

25%
75%

14%
86%

22%
78%

12%
88%

31%
69%

18%
82%

15%
85%

18%
82%

12%
88%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(583)

(117)

(200)

(220)

(232)

(352)

(88)

(94)

(250)

(150)

(433)

(123)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

22. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Jeb Bush


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

23%
77%

10%
90%

20%
80%

33%
67%

22%
78%

23%
77%

8%
92%

25%
75%

28%
72%

21%
79%

17%
83%

31%
69%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(587)

(120)

(200)

(221)

(232)

(355)

(91)

(95)

(250)

(151)

(436)

(123)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

23. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Hillary Clinton


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

81%
19%

79%
21%

84%
16%

82%
18%

74%
26%

85%
15%

78%
22%

69%
31%

81%
19%

89%
11%

86%
14%

62%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(594)

(120)

(204)

(223)

(235)

(359)

(91)

(94)

(252)

(157)

(445)

(122)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

24. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner Bernie Sanders


Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

79%
21%

87%
13%

85%
15%

74%
26%

84%
16%

75%
25%

77%
23%

66%
34%

86%
14%

76%
24%

80%
20%

87%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(596)

(122)

(206)

(222)

(240)

(356)

(91)

(96)

(252)

(158)

(443)

(126)

24