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7415
7416
Gender
Men
Women
Mean age (SD), years
Primary tumor stage (T)
0a
0is
1
2
3
4
Infiltrated Nodes (N)
No
Yes
Metastasis (M)
No
Yes
Anatomical stage*
0a
0is
1
2
3
4
Histological grade
1
2
3
In situ
Newlydiagnosed
(n=105)
History of
bladder
Ca (N=64)
Control
(n=39)
n (%)
n (%)
n (%)
90 (85.7)
15 (14.3)
68.4 (10.5)
58 (90.6)
6 (9.4)
68.5 (10.9)
36
1
34
20
9
5
20
4
34
4
1
1
(34.3)
(1)
(32.4)
(19)
(8.6)
(4.8)
29 (74.4)
10 (25.6)
67.2 (18.0)
(31.3)
(6.3)
(53.1)
(6.3)
(1.6)
(1.6)
97 (92.4)
8 (7.6)
62 (96.9)
2 (3.1)
105 (100)
0 (0)
64 (100)
0 (0)
35
3
33
16
7
11
(33.3)
(2.9)
(31.4)
(15.2)
(6.7)
(10.5)
20
4
34
3
1
2
(31.3)
(6.3)
(53.1)
(4.7)
(1.6)
(3.1)
8
46
50
1
(7.6)
(43.8)
(47.6)
(1)
5
29
26
4
(7.8)
(45.3)
(40.6)
(6.3)
Gene name
Product size
Sequence
CK19
Cytokeratin 19
159 bp
CK20
Cytokeratin 20
371 bp
EGFR
480 bp
SURVIVIN
258 bp
hTERT
GAPDH
Glyceraldehyde-3-phosphate dehydrogenase
471 bp
F: CGACTACAGCCACTACTACACGA
R: CTCATCCGCAGAGCCTGT
F: CAGACACACGGTGAACTATGG
R: GATCAGCTTCCACTGTTAGACG
EGFR F: TCTCAGCCACATGTCGATGG
EGFR R: TCGCACTTCTTACACTTGCG
SURVIVIN F: TTAACCGCCAGATTTGAATCGCG
SURVIVIN R: GCTCCCAGCCTTCCAGCT
HTERTF: CGGAAGAGTGTCTGGAGCAA
HTERT R: GGATGAAGCGGAGTCTGGA
F: CATCACTGCCACCCAGAAGA
R: TCCACCACCCTGTTGCTGTA
146 bp
Results
The proportion of men was 85.7%, 90.6% and 74.4% in the
newly-diagnosed group, in patients with history of bladder
cancer and in healthy volunteers, respectively (p=0.077).
Twenty-three patients (21.9%) from the newly-diagnosed
group underwent radical cystectomy and the corresponding
proportion was 12.5% for the group with history of bladder
cancer (p=0.125). None of the patients had distal metastasis,
7417
Blood
EGFR
CK19
CK20
EGFR and CK19
EGFR and CK20
CK19 and CK20
EGFR and CK19 and CK20
EGFR-CK19-positive
EGFR-CK20-positive
CK19-CK20-positive
EGFR-CK19-CK20-positive
Urine
SURVIV
hTERT
CK20
SURVIV and hTERT
SURVIV and CK20
hTERT and CK20
SURVIV and hTERT and CK20
SURVIV-hTERT-positive
SURVIV-CK20-positive
hTERT-CK20-positive
SURVIV-hTERT-CK20-positive
Newly-diagnosed
n (%)
Control
n (%)
p-Value
24
61
56
17
21
41
17
68
59
76
79
(23.1).C
(58.7)C
(53.8)C
(16.3)
(20.2).C
(39.4)
(16.3)
(65.4)C
(56.7)C
(73.1)C
(76.0)C
5
32
42
2
3
27
1
35
44
47
48
(8.2)
(50.0)
(65.6)C
(3.1)
(4.7)
(42.2)
(1.6)
(54.7)C
(68.8)C
(73.4)C
(75.0)C
2
12
12
2
2
8
2
12
12
17
17
(5.1)
(30.8)
(30.8)A,B
(5.1)
(5.1)
(20.5)
(5.1)
(30.8)A,B
(30.8)A,B
(43.6)A,B
(43.6)A,B
0.010*
0.028*
0.003*
0.027**
0.010**
0.090*
0.007**
0.003*
0.001*
0.004*
0.001*
22
11
35
9
22
9
9
25
35
38
38
(21)C
(10.5)
(33.3)C
(8.6)
(21)C
(8.6)
(8.6)
(23.8)C
(33.3)C
(36.2)C
(36.2)C
13
5
22
4
13
4
4
14
22
23
23
(20.3)C
(7.8)
(34.4)C
(6.3)
(20.3)C
(6.3)
(6.3)
(21.9)C
(34.4)C
(35.9)C
(35.9)C
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
1
2
(5.1),
(0.0)
(2.6),
(0)
(2.6),
(0)
(0)
(5.1),
(5.1),
(2.6),
(5.1),
0.043*
0.099**
<0.001*
0.175**
0.026*
0.175**
0.175**
0.038*
0.002*
<0.001*
0.001*
*Pearsons Chi-square test; **Fishers exact test. A,B,Cindicate significant differences in pairwise comparisons.
whereas positive nodes were found in 7.6% of the newlydiagnosed group and 3.1% of the group with history of
bladder cancer (p=0.322). Of the newly-diagnosed group,
17.2% were categorized as having disease of anatomic stage
III or IV (AJCC) and the corresponding proportion was 4.7%
for the group with history of bladder cancer (p=0.017).
Recurrence was recorded in 20 patients (19.2%) from the
newly-diagnosed group and in 26 patients (40.6%) from the
group with history of bladder cancer (p=0.002), while
disease progression was recorded in 12 of the patients with
newly-diagnosed bladder cancer (11.8%) and in 11 (18.0%)
with history of bladder cancer (p>0.050). The mean followup period was 26.9 months (SD=11.9), with a median of 32
months (interquartile range from 15 to 37 months).
Expression of EGFR, CK19, CK20 in peripheral blood. The
detection of all markers and their respective combinations in
blood and urine samples in the three study groups is
presented in Table III.
With regard to blood measurements, EGFR-positive
detections were more frequent in the group of patients with
7418
Discussion
Although the European Organization for Research and
Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) Genito-Urinary Cancer
Group has developed a scoring system and risk tables (26),
more intensive research is required in the field of CTCs in
order to improve the predictive accuracy of the currently
7419
23.1
58.7
53.9
16.4
20.2
39.2
16.4
65.4
56.7
73.1
76.0
(15.4-32.4)
(48.6-68.2)
(43.8-63.7)
(9.8-24.9)
(13.0-29.2)
(30.0-49.5)
(9.8-24.9)
(55.4-74.5)
(46.7-66.4)
(63.5-81.3)
(66.6-83.8)
94.9
69.2
69.2
94.9
94.9
79.5
94.9
69.2
69.2
56.4
56.4
21.0
10.5
33.3
8.6
21.0
8.6
8.6
23.8
33.3
36.2
36.2
(13.6-30.0)
(5.4-18.0)
(24.4-43.2)
(4.0-15.7)
(13.6-30.0)
(4.0-15.7)
(4.0-15.7)
(16.0-33.1)
(24.4-43.2)
(27.0-46.2)
(27.0-46.2)
94.9
100.0
97.4
100.0
97.4
100.0
100.0
94.9
94.9
97.4
94.9
(82.7-99.4)
(52.4-83.0)
(52.4-83.0)
(82.7-99.4)
(82.7-99.4)
(63.5-90.7)
(82.7-99.4)
(52.4-83.0)
(52.4-83.0)
(39.6-72.2)
(39.6-72.2)
(82.7-99.4)
(91.0-100.0)
(86.5-99.9)
(91.0-100.0)
(86.5-99.9)
(90.97-100.0)
(90.97-100.0)
(82.7-99.4)
(82.7-99.4)
(86.5-99.9)
(82.7-99.4)
92.3
83.6
82.4
89.5
91.3
83.7
89.5
85.0
83.1
81.7
82.3
(74.9-99.1)
(73.1-91.2)
(71.2-90.5)
(66.9-98.7)
(72.0-98.9)
(70.3-92.7)
(66.9-98.7)
(75.3-92.0)
(72.3-91.0)
(72.4-89.0)
(73.2-89.3)
31.6
38.6
36.0
29.8
30.8
33.0
29.8
42.9
37.5
44.0
46.8
(23.3-40.9)
(27.2-51.0)
(25.2-47.9)
(22.0-38.7)
(22.7-39.9)
(23.6-43.4)
(22.0-38.7)
(30.5-56.0)
(26.4-49.7)
(30.0-58.8)
(32.1-61.9)
91.7
100.0
97.2
100.0
95.7
100.0
100.0
92.6
94.6
97.4
95.0
(73.0-99.0)
(71.5-100.0)
(85.5-99.9)
(66.4-100.0)
(78.1-99.9)
(66.4-100.0)
(66.4-100.0)
(75.7-99.1)
(81.8-99.3)
(86.5-99.9)
(83.1-99.4)
30.8
29.3
35.2
28.9
31.4
28.9
28.9
31.6
34.6
36.2
35.6
(22.7-39.9)
(21.8-37.8)
(26.2-45.0)
(21.4-37.3)
(23.3-40.5)
(21.4-37.3)
(21.4-37.3)
(23.3-40.9)
(25.7-44.4)
(27.0-46.2)
(26.4-45.6)
Table V. Percentage sensitivity, specificity, positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive values of study markers for the discrimination between the
group with history of bladder cancer and controls.
Sensitivity (95% CI)
Blood
EGFR
CK19
CK20
EGFR and CK19
EGFR and CK20
CK19 and CK20
EGFR and CK19 and CK20
EGFR-CK19-positive
EGFR-CK20-positive
CK19-CK20-positive
EGFR-CK19-CK20-positive
Urine
SURVIV
H-TERT
CK20
SURVIV and H-TERT
SURVIV and CK20
H-TERT and CK20
SURVIV and H-TERT and CK20
SURVIVN-H-TERT-positive
SURVIV-CK20-positive
H-TERT-CK20-positive
SURVIV-H-TERT-CK20-positive
7420
8.2
50.0
65.6
3.1
4.7
42.2
1.6
54.7
68.8
73.4
75.0
(2.7-18.1)
(37.2-62.8)
(52.7-77.1)
(0.4-10.8)
(1.0-13.1)
(29.9-55.2)
(0.0-8.4)
(41.8-67.2)
(55.9-79.8)
(60.9-83.7)
(62.6-85.0)
94.9
69.2
69.2
94.9
94.9
79.5
94.9
69.2
69.2
56.4
56.4
(82.7-99.4)
(52.4-83.0)
(52.4-83.0)
(82.7-99.4)
(82.7-99.4)
(63.5-90.7)
(82.7-99.4)
(52.4-83.0)
(52.4-83.0)
(39.6-72.2)
(39.6-72.2)
71.4
72.7
77.8
50.0
60.0
77.1
33.3
74.5
78.6
73.4
73.9
(29.0-96.3)
(57.2-85.0)
(64.4-88.0)
(6.8-93.2)
(14.7-94.7)
(59.9-89.6)
(0.8-90.6)
(59.7-86.1)
(65.6-88.4)
(60.9-83.7)
(61.5-84.0)
39.8
45.8
55.1
37.4
37.8
45.6
37.0
48.2
57.5
56.4
57.9
(29.8-50.5)
(32.7-59.3)
(40.2-69.3)
(27.9-47.7)
(28.2-48.1)
(33.5-58.1)
(27.6-47.2)
(34.7-62.0)
(42.2-71.7)
(39.6-72.2)
(40.8-73.7)
20.3
7.8
34.4
6.3
20.3
6.3
6.3
21.9
34.4
35.9
35.9
(11.3-32.2)
(2.6-17.3)
(23.0-47.3)
(1.7-15.2)
(11.3-32.2)
(1.7-15.2)
(1.7-15.2)
(12.5-34.0)
(23.0-47.3)
(24.3-48.9)
(24.3-48.9)
94.9
100.0
97.4
100.0
97.4
100.0
100.0
94.9
94.9
97.4
94.9
(82.7-99.4)
(91.0-100.0)
(86.5-99.9)
(91.0-100.0)
(86.5-99.9)
(91.0-100.0)
(91.0-100.0)
(82.7-99.4)
(82.7-99.4)
(86.5-99.9)
(82.7-99.4)
86.7
100.0
95.7
100.0
92.9
100.0
100.0
87.5
91.7
95.8
92.0
(59.5-98.3)
(47.8-100.0)
(78.1-99.9)
(39.8-100.0)
(66.1-99.8)
(39.8-100.0)
(39.8-100.0)
(61.6-98.5)
(73.0-99.0)
(78.9-99.9)
(74.0-99.0)
42.1
39.8
47.5
39.4
42.7
39.4
39.4
42.5
46.8
48.1
47.5
(31.6-53.1)
(30.0-50.2)
(36.2-59.0)
(29.7-49.7)
(32.3-53.6)
(29.7-49.7)
(29.7-49.7)
(32.0-53.6)
(35.5-58.4)
(36.7-59.6)
(36.0 9.1)
Figure 1. Kaplan-Meier estimates for disease progression in the newlydiagnosed group according to the expression of SURVIV.
existing risk tables (27, 28). The goal would be not only to
use these molecular markers as a screening test in
populations at higher risk for bladder cancer (29, 30), but to
also achieve a better surveillance (31-34) and perhaps a
better understanding over the biological behavior of the
disease, especially when there is interobserver variability in
classification of stage T1 versus Ta tumors and tumor
grading in both 1997 and 2004 classifications. In such
difficult cases, where an additional review by an experienced
genitourinary pathologist is recommended, an objective,
easy-to-perform and highly specific assay would be of great
importance.
Rink et al. showed significantly worse overall
progression-free survival and cancer-specific survival in
CTC-positive compared to CTC-negative patients (35).
Msaouel and Koutsilieris further performed a systematic
review and meta-analysis of the value of CTC detection in
bladder and urothelial cancer, highlighting the potential
clinical role of CTCs as markers of advanced bladder
cancer (17). It has also been shown that CTC status may
provide prognostic information in the face of negative
imaging (36). In the case of urothelial carcinoma, it could
provide clinicians with valuable information that might be
applied to preoperative management algorithms.
Furthermore, CTC status could potentially identify patients
who would be most appropriate for neoadjuvant
chemotherapy or clinical trial protocols.
7421
7422
References
1 Chavan S, Bray F, Lortet-Tieulent J, Goodman M and Jemal A:
International Variations in Bladder Cancer Incidence and
Mortality. Eur Urol 2013.
2 Herr HW, Donat SM and Dalbagni G: Correlation of cystoscopy
with histology of recurrent papillary tumors of the bladder. J
Urol 168: 978-980, 2002.
3 Kriegmair M, Baumgartner R, Knuchel R, Stepp H, Hofstadter F
and Hofstetter A: Detection of early bladder cancer by 5aminolevulinic acid induced porphyrin fluorescence. J Urol 155:
105-109; discussion 109-110, 1996.
4 Curry JL and Wojcik EM: The effects of the current World
Health Organization/International Society of Urologic
Pathologists bladder neoplasm classification system on urine
cytology results. Cancer 96: 140-145, 2002.
5 Lokeshwar VB, Habuchi T, Grossman HB, Murphy WM,
Hautmann SH, Hemstreet GP 3rd Bono AV, Getzenberg RH,
Goebell P, Schmitz-Drager BJ, Schalken JA, Fradet Y, Marberger
M, Messing E and Droller MJ:Bladder tumor markers beyond
cytology: International Consensus Panel on bladder tumor
markers. Urol 66: 35-63, 2005.
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