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Climate change will contribute to the

increasing of soil water deficits. Dry soil


becomes drier, therefore the need for
irrigation increases.
Drought is a sustained and regionally
extensive occurrence of below average
natural water availability. It is mainly caused
by low precipitation and high evaporation
rates, but in regions with a cold climate,
temperatures below zero can also give rise to
a
winter
drought.
Drought
can
be
characterized as a deviation from normal
conditions in the physical system (climate
and hydrology), which is reflected in
variables such as precipitation, soil water,
groundwater and streamflow. Drought is a
recurring and worldwide phenomenon having
spatial and temporal characteristics that vary
significantly from one region to another
(Tallaksen & van Lanen, 2004).
Since Climate Change is expected to
primarily affect precipitation, temperature
and potential evapotranspiration, thus, there
will be greater chance and occurrence of
droughts. The period of time when droughts
last will also be increasing. The changing in

the hydrologic cycle cause changes in


precipitation. Some places get wetter, other
drier. When there is a build-up of water vapor
in the atmosphere because the atmosphere
is heating up, or very sudden changes in
climate, droughts happen more regularly.
According to some scientists, by 2030
countries
around
the
world
will
be
experiencing up to 20 percent more months
of droughts.
In 2050, IPCC expects that the annual
average river flow will have increased by 1040% at high latitudes, and decreased by 1030% over some dry regions at mid-latitudes
and semi-arid low latitudes, some of which
are presently already water-stressed areas.
Drought prone areas and regions affected by
heat waves are considered likely to increase
in extent.
Droughts, like floods, could also cause famine
because they ruin crops.
Despite technological advances, such as
improved varieties, genetically modified
organisms, and irrigation systems, weather is
still a key factor in agricultural productivity,

as well as soil
communities.

properties

and

natural

Climate change induced by increasing


greenhouse gases is likely to affect crops
differently from region to region. For
example, average crop yield is expected to
drop down to 50% in Pakistan according to
the UKMO scenario whereas corn production
in Europe is expected to grow up to 25% in
optimum hydrologic conditions.
A published research by David Lobell
suggests that, due to climate change,
"southern Africa could lose more than 30% of
its main crop, maize, by 2030. In South Asia
losses of many regional staples, such as rice,
millet and maize could top 10%".
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) has produced several reports
that have assessed the scientific literature on
climate change. The IPCC Third Assessment
Report, published in 2001, concluded that the
poorest countries would be hardest hit, with
reductions in crop yields in most tropical and
sub-tropical regions due to decreased water
availability, and new or changed insect pest

incidence. We all know that the Philippines


belong to the poorest country in the world.
In Africa and Latin America many rainfed
crops are near their maximum temperature
tolerance, so that yields are likely to fall
sharply for even small climate changes; falls
in agricultural productivity of up to 30% over
the 21st century are projected.
In the long run, the climatic change could
affect agriculture in several ways
productivity, in terms of quantity and quality
of crops
agricultural practices, through changes of
water use (irrigation) and agricultural inputs
such as herbicides, insecticides and fertilizers
environmental effects, in particular in relation
of frequency and intensity of soil drainage
(leading to nitrogen leaching), soil erosion,
reduction of crop diversity
rural space, through the loss and gain of
cultivated lands, land speculation, land
renunciation, and hydraulic amenities.
adaptation, organisms may become more or
less competitive, as well as humans may
develop
urgency
to
develop
more

competitive organisms, such as flood


resistant or salt resistant varieties of rice.
Mang _____ and Mang _______are just just
some of the many citizens, not just of our
country but also of the whole world, that will
be greatly affected by climate change in
terms of agriculture.

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