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In pursuit of wealthy and wealth

Private Banks A global perspective

Kuala Lumpur
October, 2014

Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

Worlds Leading Wealth Insights Firm


Winner 2007-10 Global Wealth Insights Firm Wealth Briefing; Winner of 2013 Thought Leadership Award Asia Wealth Briefing
Runner-up 2010-2012 Agency of the Year Financial Services Forum, Runner-up 2014 Thought Leadership in North America Wealth Briefing
Currently shortlisted for 2014 Thought Leadership in Switzerland, 2014 Thought Leadership in the United Kingdom, 2014 Thought Leadership in Asia

Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

Triangulating the value proposition for private banks


McLagan advisor productivity and
compensation benchmarking

Advisor
insight
Scorpio Partnership market
research and employee surveys

2
Ongoing strategic
insight, calibration
and practical
implementation

Scorpio Partnership global


private banking KPI benchmark

Business model
insight
McLagan financial institutions
KPI benchmarking analysis

Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

Scorpio Partnership global


HNW/UHNW client journey surveys

HNW/UHNW
Client insight
Scorpio Partnership market entry
strategic research and consulting

1. The state of the global private banking


industry

Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

Banks are shifting capital away from risky institutional


businesses to wealth management but challenges remain
Global
Private
Banks

Brokers

Independent
Advisors

Boutique
Private
Banks

Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

Regional
Banks

UBS has refocused on WM which accounts for 65% of


attributed Equity and 80% of profit
Attributed Equity to
Business Divisions

~35%
~65%

~65%

Expected Pre-tax
Profit Contribution

~20%

~80%

~35%

3Q12

2013
WM business, R&C, Global AM
Investment Bank

CHF 3.4 4.5 billion reduction in Investment Bank expense base by 2015
Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

Private Banking Share of RWA at Credit Suisse Up 9% Points


to 38% and Expected to Grow to 50%
Contribution to
Basel 3 Risk-Weighted Assets
29%
15%

56%

3Q11

36%

38%

Private Banking
& Wealth
Management

26%

Equities
Advisory,
Underwriting

26%

38%

36%

4Q12

4Q13

Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

Fixed
Income

Moving business mix


towards 50/50% split by
gradually growing capital
allocation in PB&WM
Investment
Banking

Consistent earnings
capacity of business
model to generate
substantial levels of
excess capital

Morgan Stanley Has Reshaped Its Business So That Wealth Is


Now The Largest Component
Full Year 2006 Net Revenues

Asset
Management

Asset
Management
Other

Global Wealth
Management

Equity Sales

Fixed Income
and Commodities
(ex-DVA)

Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

Full Year 2013 Net Revenues

Other

Equity Sales

Fixed Income
and Commodities
(ex-DVA)

Global Wealth
Management

Bankable assets have grown at twice the rate of captured


wealth since crisis
CAGR:
4.8%

60

CAGR:
2.6%

52.6

Assets in USD trillions

46.2
39.7

40

35.0
30.8

30

26.7

26.4
20.3

20

10

17.8

18.5

17.4

8.0

0
2002
Total PB market size (USD)

Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

2007

2012

Bankable assets market size (USD)

2013
Total HNW financial assets (USD)

Source: Scorpio Partnership Private Banking KPI Benchmark 2014

50

NNM is positive but slowing down


Average diversified NNM

Average pure player NNM

Average overall NNM

5.87

4.43

3.74

3.39
3.62
3.04

3.02

2.07
2.74

2
0.73

0.86
0

-2

2.74

0.95

1.02

1.06

2011

2012

2013

-0.07

-1.24

-1.16

2008

2009

Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

10

2010

Source: Scorpio Partnership Private Banking KPI Benchmark 2014

Average NNM (USD billions)

while cost-income ratios are growing


Pure player

160

Diversified

Global Financial
Crisis

Overall

138

140
Gross margin in bps

127

119

100

120

117

120

113

110

107

104

102

2011

2012

2013

98.5

112
102

98.2

80
60
2007

2008

2009

Diversified

2010

Pure player

Overall

100%
88%

87%

85.6%

86.1%

75.1%

75.0%

74.6%

75.4%

2009

2010

2011

2012

81%

88.3%

CIR

80%
66%
60%

70.6%

78.3%

61.9%

40%
2007

2008

*Gross margin is defined as operating income divided by AuM


Source: Scorpio Partnership Private Banking Benchmark 2014
Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

11

2013

Sustained
increase of costincome ratios
and flattening
gross margins
form a
challenging
environment for
both type of PB
and WM firms.

Key highlights
Global Banks have realized the importance of focusing on Wealth
Management as a sustainable and less riskier business

Growth in wealth and high % of untapped wealth provides good


impetus for PBs to consider it as a future oriented business

High cost business model compared to institutional business means


that scale & breadth is needed for success

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2. Looking at Asia through the Global Lens

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13

The rising APAC HNW + wealth world


2012 Total HNW Wealth

2015 Forecast Total HNW Wealth

Total HNW Wealth (USD trillion)

20

15.9

16

15
13.1

12

12.7

12

APAC will
dominate global
wealth by 2020
based on
forecasts.

10.9
8.3
7.5

4
1.8

1.3 1.4

2.2

0
Africa

Middle East

Latin
America

Europe

North
America

Asia Pacific

Notably, regional
HNW growth in
APAC HNW
wealth is 9.8%
compares with an
average of 5.5%
GDP growth rate
in APAC exJapan.

Source: RBC Capgemini 2013 World Wealth Report


Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

14

The offshore fund flows for HNW+ assets


Source of total HNW offshore wealth market, USD trillion

At USD2.4trn
APAC is the
second largest
market region for
offshore business.

1.9

0.6

2.4

0.9
2.6

Destination of offshore wealth market by booking centre, USD trillion


Switzerland
Hong Kong and Singapore
Channel Islands and Dublin
Caribbean and Panama
United Kingdom
United States
Other
Luxembourg
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15

USD2.2trn
USD1.2trn
USD1.1trn
USD1.1trn
USD0.9trn
USD0.7trn
USD0.7trn
USD0.6trn

Equally, the
growth in the
regional key
booking centers is
significant.
In sum, wealth
management in
Asia is not just the
future, it is the
now.
Source: Scorpio Partnership analysis, BCG

Assets-switching velocity is impacting the attitudes


APAC M&A
momentum is likely
to grow based on
continued operating
model pressures.

6yr Total USD102.0bn


6yr Total USD314.0bn
6yr Total - USD575.2bn

6yr Total - USD451.3bn


6yr Total - USD286.5bn

6yr Total - USD32.7bn


UK
Switzerland
Europe exc. UK and Switzerland

6yr Total - USD11.8bn

Asia Pacific
Middle East and Africa
Latin America
Source: Scorpio Partnership Deal Tracker 2013

North America
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Private Banks in Asia experienced double-digit % asset


growth
Asia-Pacific AuM in 2012 (US$ Bn)
UBS
Citi PB
Credit Suisse
HSBC
JP Morgan
Julius Baer
Morgan Stanley
Deutsche
DBS
Bank of Singapore
BNP Paribas
Standard Chartered
Barclays
Pictet
EFG
ABN AMRO
J. Safra Sarasin
Societe Generale
Coutts
UOB

215
201
117
115
75
60
58
50
46
43
43
35
30
30
16
15
15
15
14
13
0

50

100

150

200

250

Private banks are growing at 16% in the region but wealth is also growing at the same pace

Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

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Source: Private Banker International

PBs in Asia are at a low point on pre-tax margins with a


median cost-to-income ratio at about 70%
Cost-to-income (%)
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0

81

79

75

Profit Margins* (bps)

80
71

61

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0

39

Global Financial
Crisis

41

39

36

32
20
16

18

20
15

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Cost to income ratio have been running north of 70% with some boutique firms reporting CIR of 90% and above.
Effect of such high CIR will be felt in the moderate to long term

Compensation expense in boutique PB firms are at level of 70%+ of total compensation expenses while for bulge
firms, it is at 50% levels

Profit margins in Private Banking industry have continued to decline since the global financial crisis and have
reached a very low level of almost 20 basis points

*Profit margins are defined as (revenue-cost)/AuM


Source: BCG Wealth Report; McLagan database
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Key Challenges Faced by Private Banks in Asia


Internal Challenges

External Challenges

Organizational Setup:

Demand for RMs:

Lack of alignment of front, middle and back office and


leadership challenges in teams and markets

High demand for RMs who can move assets leading to


overcompensation and reduced productivity

Performance Management:

Client Behavior:

Weak performance management methodology and pay


for performance approach

High price sensitive clients who want control and have


mismatched expectations on risk-return

Front Support Cost:

Quality of Advice:

Increasing cost in front and selected middle office


functions (e.g. ARM, Business Managers etc.)

Ineffective advisory process of RMs with focus on sales


orientation rather than advisory orientation

Platform Inefficiency & Regulatory Cost:

Changing Regulations:

Lack of holistic platform to support increased regulatory


requirements (e.g. AML, KYC, FATCA)

Growing sophistication of regulators and increased


scrutiny on sales process and pricing policies

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just

Wealth management is not about the money


all
all
Wealth management is about the people

All working together


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3. The HNW mind

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HNW routes to wealth are forcing change


Greater control /
influence over
investments.

Selfdirecting

Durability of financial
suppliers and
protection of assets

Risk
awareness

Value
sensitivity

Delivering value for


money.

Rise of
digital

Segment
complexity

Offering of real-time
wealth management.

Age and attitudes,


wealth level, type of
wealth.
Source: Scorpio Partnership

Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

22

The starting line is the value point this is recalibrating


Q: How would you rate the industry in terms of value for money today?

Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

The issue of
value and its
variance among
the demographics
is possibly the
single most
important
planning factor for
the future of
wealth
management.

23

Source: Scorpio Partnership, Sungard

Client view of the wealth managers performance


Factors performance, global

Factor performance, APAC

90
82
78

80

76

75

75
71

70

70

70

68

74
68

60

67

65

64

69
65

63

62

61
58

63

62

61
55

50

65

57

51
56

56

55

55

55
51

40

42
42

41

APAC
respondents tend
to assess
performance of
wealth managers
7.9% lower, on
average

30

Source: Scorpio Partnership Futurewealth 2014


Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

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APAC HNWs hold WM to a high standard


WM performance

Client minimum tolerance


63.5

Asia-Pacific
59.9

61.8
Europe

65.3
Middle East & Africa
56.3

69.1
Latin America
57.4

77.9

North America
50.2
Analysis based on the following:
Q: Wed now like you to imagine that you are giving your wealth manager an exam mark. Thinking about your overall relationship with your
main wealth manager, what performance score would you give them ?
Q: And, at what level of overall service would you consider moving your relationship to another firm?
Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

25

Source: Capgemini, RBC WM, and Scorpio Partnership


Global HNW Insights Survey 2013

53.0

HNWs are searching for the core relationship

Q: (on a 10-point spectrum): Please indicate your preference for working with multiple wealth management firms (who each have a specific area
of expertise) vs. a single firm (that can meet your full range of needs)

Single firm

Global

41.4%

Even in the emerging


markets where the
complexity of assets
may be high, the
trend is toward
working with a single
firm. Notably, in Asia,
the clients most want
a single firm with the
ability to access
multiple experts

53.1%

Latin America

52.8%

North America

26

14.4%

19.6%

11.8%

APAC (excl. Japan)

49.2%

16.6%

MENA

43.2%

21.9%

Europe

35.4%

19.0%
Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

Multiple firms

Japan

18.1%

6.9%

Source Capgemini, RBC WM, and Scorpio Partnership Global HNW Insights Survey 2013

The global HNW market is transforming in the debate around engagement.

HNWs in APAC are more focused on wealth preservation


than growth
Emerging markets
(APAC-based) HNWs
are almost in the
balance between
preservation and
creation.
Crucially, global
average is 26%
(growth) and 33%
(preservation).
Compared to RoW
APAC investors are
more bullish on
equities. Rebalancing
cash is key.
Source: Capgemini, RBC WM, and Scorpio Partnership
Global HNW Insights Survey 2013
Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

27

APAC HNWs have strong multi-shore tendencies


Whether it is preservation or growth, emerging markets (APAC-based) HNWs
are nearly twice as likely to consider they have complex needs (linked typically
to offshoring and re-shoring)

Perspective on financial needs


APAC

Global

42%

41%

40%
35%

30%

33%

26%

23%

20%

10%

0%
Complex needs

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No strong preference

Straightforward needs

Source: Capgemini, RBC WM, and Scorpio Partnership


Global HNW Insights Survey 2013

50%

4. Onwards What next in wealth


management for APAC?

Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

29

Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

Pre
During

Global

Post

Asia Pacific

Source: Scorpio Partnership Futurewealth 2014, which aimed to determine globally clients requirements from
different stages of the customer experience in order to do more business.
30
Source: Scorpio Partnership analysis

Investment performance

Quality of research

Product innovation

Frequency and quality of advisor contact

Recognition of loyalty

Invitations to non-financial events

Invitations to financial events / seminars

Fair pricing and fees

Solutions and services that meet my


needs

Relationship manager who understands


their needs

Market knowledge of advisor

Efficiency when executing trades

International outreach

High quality reporting

Professional premises

Brand values

Products & services

Online experience

Advertising

% importance

The future is benchmarking the tangible experience


Q: In your opinion which of the following factors would you rank as the most important attributes when considering
a wealth management firms?
APAC importance features
90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

APAC HNWs have priorities on what wealth means


Having sufficient wealth to secure your own
and your familys future
Having sufficient wealth to choose what you
do in life
Not worrying about money every day

Having a disposable income (in excess of


what you require for financial security)

Having sufficient wealth to buy or invest in


whatever you wish

Being able to enjoy a luxury lifestyle

% of respondents
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31

Other

Having a level of wealth that commands


political or economic influence

Source: Futurepriority (Research program produced by Scorpio Partnership)

The route to winning new business not whispering


Q: How were you first introduced to your primary wealth manager?

Introduction reason

Global

APAC

Referral from family or friend

24%

20%

Through my own research of the market

17%

16%

Through a relationship manager at the firm

12%

17%

Referral from a trusted advisor (e.g. attorney, accountant)

11%

11%

Other

9%

5%

Through the website of the firm

8%

11%

Referral from another part of the business

8%

8%

In response to an advertisement

6%

6%

Referral from another client at the firm

6%

6%

Percentage of clients introduced


through the website

Independent assessment
33%
Note: This increases with wealth
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<US$500,000: 8.7%
US$500,000-US$2m: 8.5%
US$2m-US$4m: 13.9%
US$4m +: 13.2%

APAC HNWs are financial shoppers wealth managers need


to constantly innovate to succeed

USD4m+

Q: How many providers do you


currently work with regarding your
personal investments?

APAC

6.6

USD2m-4m

5.1

USD500,000-2m

3.4

<USD500,000

2.6

average

average

4.7

4.9

7.2

USD4m+

5.3

USD2m-4m

3.2

USD500,000-2m

2.5

<USD500,000

4.9

USD4m+

3.3

USD2m-4m

1.9

USD500,000-2m

1.9

<USD500,000

Rest of the world

USD4m+

4.8

USD2m-4m

3.2

USD500,000-2m

2.1

<USD500,000

2.0

Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

33

average

average

2.6

2.5

Source: Scorpio Partnership Futurewealth 2014

Q: How many other firms did you


consider working with before making
your selection?

APAC HNWs will pay for premium service


an extra 12%, on average
Asia-Pacific

Rest of the world

80%

% of respondents who would pay extra

66%

67%

64%
61%

57%

60%

57%

60%

55%

53%

50%
50%

46%

45%
38%

40%

27%

30%

20%
20%

10%
Understanding
my wealth
management
needs

Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

34

Staff who are


knowledgeable,
well-trained,
and
professional

Delivering
appropriate
products,
services and
advice

Working with a
firm that has a
solid reputation

Reporting that
allows me to
monitor my
portfolio in
detail

On-going
Communication
account
about the
servicing and
services and
inquiry handling value they can
offer to clients
like me

Account
opening
processes

Source: Scorpio Partnership Global HNW Insights Survey 2013

67%

70%

Premium services are not just products and prices


What your clients want

Consistency

Credibility

Scorpio Partnership 2014 |

Creativity

35

What the industry needs to build

Experience

Knowledge

Empathy

The future is based on better business intelligence


Advisor
insight

Business
model insight

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36

Wealth management has


evolved in APAC almost in
spite of itself. But we are now
entering an industrialisation
of the model where future
profits are dependent on
better sustained insight on all
aspects of the business. A
lack of intelligence would be
a great loss .

Ongoing strategic
insight, calibration
and practical
implementation

HNW/UHNW
Client insight

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