Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Kuala Lumpur
October, 2014
Advisor
insight
Scorpio Partnership market
research and employee surveys
2
Ongoing strategic
insight, calibration
and practical
implementation
Business model
insight
McLagan financial institutions
KPI benchmarking analysis
HNW/UHNW
Client insight
Scorpio Partnership market entry
strategic research and consulting
Brokers
Independent
Advisors
Boutique
Private
Banks
Regional
Banks
~35%
~65%
~65%
Expected Pre-tax
Profit Contribution
~20%
~80%
~35%
3Q12
2013
WM business, R&C, Global AM
Investment Bank
CHF 3.4 4.5 billion reduction in Investment Bank expense base by 2015
Scorpio Partnership 2014 |
56%
3Q11
36%
38%
Private Banking
& Wealth
Management
26%
Equities
Advisory,
Underwriting
26%
38%
36%
4Q12
4Q13
Fixed
Income
Consistent earnings
capacity of business
model to generate
substantial levels of
excess capital
Asset
Management
Asset
Management
Other
Global Wealth
Management
Equity Sales
Fixed Income
and Commodities
(ex-DVA)
Other
Equity Sales
Fixed Income
and Commodities
(ex-DVA)
Global Wealth
Management
60
CAGR:
2.6%
52.6
46.2
39.7
40
35.0
30.8
30
26.7
26.4
20.3
20
10
17.8
18.5
17.4
8.0
0
2002
Total PB market size (USD)
2007
2012
2013
Total HNW financial assets (USD)
50
5.87
4.43
3.74
3.39
3.62
3.04
3.02
2.07
2.74
2
0.73
0.86
0
-2
2.74
0.95
1.02
1.06
2011
2012
2013
-0.07
-1.24
-1.16
2008
2009
10
2010
160
Diversified
Global Financial
Crisis
Overall
138
140
Gross margin in bps
127
119
100
120
117
120
113
110
107
104
102
2011
2012
2013
98.5
112
102
98.2
80
60
2007
2008
2009
Diversified
2010
Pure player
Overall
100%
88%
87%
85.6%
86.1%
75.1%
75.0%
74.6%
75.4%
2009
2010
2011
2012
81%
88.3%
CIR
80%
66%
60%
70.6%
78.3%
61.9%
40%
2007
2008
11
2013
Sustained
increase of costincome ratios
and flattening
gross margins
form a
challenging
environment for
both type of PB
and WM firms.
Key highlights
Global Banks have realized the importance of focusing on Wealth
Management as a sustainable and less riskier business
12
13
20
15.9
16
15
13.1
12
12.7
12
APAC will
dominate global
wealth by 2020
based on
forecasts.
10.9
8.3
7.5
4
1.8
1.3 1.4
2.2
0
Africa
Middle East
Latin
America
Europe
North
America
Asia Pacific
Notably, regional
HNW growth in
APAC HNW
wealth is 9.8%
compares with an
average of 5.5%
GDP growth rate
in APAC exJapan.
14
At USD2.4trn
APAC is the
second largest
market region for
offshore business.
1.9
0.6
2.4
0.9
2.6
15
USD2.2trn
USD1.2trn
USD1.1trn
USD1.1trn
USD0.9trn
USD0.7trn
USD0.7trn
USD0.6trn
Equally, the
growth in the
regional key
booking centers is
significant.
In sum, wealth
management in
Asia is not just the
future, it is the
now.
Source: Scorpio Partnership analysis, BCG
Asia Pacific
Middle East and Africa
Latin America
Source: Scorpio Partnership Deal Tracker 2013
North America
Scorpio Partnership 2014 |
16
215
201
117
115
75
60
58
50
46
43
43
35
30
30
16
15
15
15
14
13
0
50
100
150
200
250
Private banks are growing at 16% in the region but wealth is also growing at the same pace
17
81
79
75
80
71
61
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
39
Global Financial
Crisis
41
39
36
32
20
16
18
20
15
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Cost to income ratio have been running north of 70% with some boutique firms reporting CIR of 90% and above.
Effect of such high CIR will be felt in the moderate to long term
Compensation expense in boutique PB firms are at level of 70%+ of total compensation expenses while for bulge
firms, it is at 50% levels
Profit margins in Private Banking industry have continued to decline since the global financial crisis and have
reached a very low level of almost 20 basis points
18
External Challenges
Organizational Setup:
Performance Management:
Client Behavior:
Quality of Advice:
Changing Regulations:
19
just
20
21
Selfdirecting
Durability of financial
suppliers and
protection of assets
Risk
awareness
Value
sensitivity
Rise of
digital
Segment
complexity
Offering of real-time
wealth management.
22
The issue of
value and its
variance among
the demographics
is possibly the
single most
important
planning factor for
the future of
wealth
management.
23
90
82
78
80
76
75
75
71
70
70
70
68
74
68
60
67
65
64
69
65
63
62
61
58
63
62
61
55
50
65
57
51
56
56
55
55
55
51
40
42
42
41
APAC
respondents tend
to assess
performance of
wealth managers
7.9% lower, on
average
30
24
Asia-Pacific
59.9
61.8
Europe
65.3
Middle East & Africa
56.3
69.1
Latin America
57.4
77.9
North America
50.2
Analysis based on the following:
Q: Wed now like you to imagine that you are giving your wealth manager an exam mark. Thinking about your overall relationship with your
main wealth manager, what performance score would you give them ?
Q: And, at what level of overall service would you consider moving your relationship to another firm?
Scorpio Partnership 2014 |
25
53.0
Q: (on a 10-point spectrum): Please indicate your preference for working with multiple wealth management firms (who each have a specific area
of expertise) vs. a single firm (that can meet your full range of needs)
Single firm
Global
41.4%
53.1%
Latin America
52.8%
North America
26
14.4%
19.6%
11.8%
49.2%
16.6%
MENA
43.2%
21.9%
Europe
35.4%
19.0%
Scorpio Partnership 2014 |
Multiple firms
Japan
18.1%
6.9%
Source Capgemini, RBC WM, and Scorpio Partnership Global HNW Insights Survey 2013
27
Global
42%
41%
40%
35%
30%
33%
26%
23%
20%
10%
0%
Complex needs
28
No strong preference
Straightforward needs
50%
29
Pre
During
Global
Post
Asia Pacific
Source: Scorpio Partnership Futurewealth 2014, which aimed to determine globally clients requirements from
different stages of the customer experience in order to do more business.
30
Source: Scorpio Partnership analysis
Investment performance
Quality of research
Product innovation
Recognition of loyalty
International outreach
Professional premises
Brand values
Online experience
Advertising
% importance
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
% of respondents
Scorpio Partnership 2014 |
31
Other
Introduction reason
Global
APAC
24%
20%
17%
16%
12%
17%
11%
11%
Other
9%
5%
8%
11%
8%
8%
In response to an advertisement
6%
6%
6%
6%
Independent assessment
33%
Note: This increases with wealth
Scorpio Partnership 2014 |
32
<US$500,000: 8.7%
US$500,000-US$2m: 8.5%
US$2m-US$4m: 13.9%
US$4m +: 13.2%
USD4m+
APAC
6.6
USD2m-4m
5.1
USD500,000-2m
3.4
<USD500,000
2.6
average
average
4.7
4.9
7.2
USD4m+
5.3
USD2m-4m
3.2
USD500,000-2m
2.5
<USD500,000
4.9
USD4m+
3.3
USD2m-4m
1.9
USD500,000-2m
1.9
<USD500,000
USD4m+
4.8
USD2m-4m
3.2
USD500,000-2m
2.1
<USD500,000
2.0
33
average
average
2.6
2.5
80%
66%
67%
64%
61%
57%
60%
57%
60%
55%
53%
50%
50%
46%
45%
38%
40%
27%
30%
20%
20%
10%
Understanding
my wealth
management
needs
34
Delivering
appropriate
products,
services and
advice
Working with a
firm that has a
solid reputation
Reporting that
allows me to
monitor my
portfolio in
detail
On-going
Communication
account
about the
servicing and
services and
inquiry handling value they can
offer to clients
like me
Account
opening
processes
67%
70%
Consistency
Credibility
Creativity
35
Experience
Knowledge
Empathy
Business
model insight
36
Ongoing strategic
insight, calibration
and practical
implementation
HNW/UHNW
Client insight