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每日交投策略
MARKET DATELINE
2010 年 4 月 2 日
市场技术解读
低交投量是短期交投情绪的主要威胁…
本地股市的交投指引∶
♦ 由于主要亚洲国家出现经济转强的迹象,这成功掀起了区域股市的涨势,并且推动本地股市周四展开一轮涨潮。
♦ 这成功抵消了隔夜美国股市下跌所带来的负面影响。美股下滑,归咎于美国私人领域的就业意外下跌。
技术解读∶
Page 1 of 6
2010 年 4 月 2 日
每日交投策略∶
♦ 就如我们之前所强调,低靡的交投量将会破坏短期交投情绪,并将会使到卖压增加,从而会限制近期的上扬动力。
表 1 ∶每日统计 表 2∶主要海外指数及原产品
3月 3月 3月 3月 4月 变动 变动
收盘
股市摘要 26 日 29 日 30 日 31 日 1日 本地主要指数 (点) (%)
上升股 富时大马综合指数 1,329.84 9.27 0.7
517 472 279 275 423
下跌股 富时大马 100 指数 8,753.36 54.66 0.6
238 308 486 441 316
平盘 富时大马创业板 4,243.71 34.73 0.8
261 239 225 274 295
无交易 各大海外指数
330 327 357 362 319
道琼斯工商指数 10,927.07 70.44 0.6
市场资本 纳斯达克指数 2,402.58 4.62 0.2
总成交量 标准与普尔 500 1,178.10 8.67 0.7
(百万股) 1,251 1,139 1,047 961 807 伦敦金融时报指数 5,744.89 65.25 1.1
总成交值 恒生指数 21,537.00 297.65 1.4
(百万令吉) 1,706 1,499 1,331 1,540 1,349 雅加达综合指数 2,830.00 52.70 1.9
东京日经 225 指数 11,244.40 154.46 1.4
外汇 首尔综合指数 1,719.17 26.32 1.6
令吉兑美元 3.3050 3.2700 3.2670 3.2600 3.2560 上海综合指数 3,147.42 38.31 1.2
曼谷综合指数 801.32 13.34 1.7
资料来源∶RHBInvest &彭博社( Bloomberg) 富时新加坡海峡时报指
数 2,943.02 55.56 1.9
台湾加权指数 8,013.09 93.03 1.2
印度 Sensex 指数 17,692.62 164.85 0.9
主要原产品
纽约商品交易所
(NYMEX)原油期货
(每桶/美元) 84.87 1.11 1.3
MDEX 原棕油 – 第 3
个月 (每公吨/令吉) 2,543.00 -8.00 -0.3
美国利率 目前 最新
10 年 3 月
隔夜联邦基金利率 0-0.25% 无变动
16 日
下个联邦公开市场操作
2010 年 4 月 27 日-28 日
委员会(FOMC)会议
Page 2 of 6
2010 年 4 月 2 日
图 3∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(日线图) 图 4∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(单日线图)
技术解读∶
♦ 在市场再度对全球经济复苏感到乐观下,亚洲股市普遍大奏凯歌,从而激励了本地期货指数重拾多头动力,并写下自 2008
年 2 月以来的最高水平。
♦ 技术而言,利多阳烛和短期动力指标所出现的温和改善,建议近日的卖压可能会反转。
每日交投策略∶
♦ 昨日的强势收盘建议买盘动力看来将会恢复。
表 3∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)收盘
FKLI (月份) 变动
合约 开盘 最高 最低 收盘 (点) 结算 成交量 未平仓宗数
10 年 4 月 1328.50 1338.50 1327.50 1338.00 11.50 1338.00 6547 18826
10 年 5 月 1327.50 1338.00 1327.00 1338.00 - 1338.00 393 0
10 年 6 月 1326.00 1336.00 1324.00 1336.00 11.00 1336.50 301 455
10 年 9 月 1323.00 1336.00 1321.00 1336.00 14.00 1336.50 74 157
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2010 年 4 月 2 日
图 5∶美国道琼斯工商指数(DJIA)(日线图) 图 6∶美国纳斯达克指数(Nasdaq)(日线图)
美国股市的交投指引∶
♦ 基于制造业和每周申请失业津贴人数数据优于预期,带动了华尔街股市周四以强势的姿态启动第 2 季的行情。
♦ 这鼓舞了投资者扯购股项,即使关键非农业就业报告将在周五出炉,以及美国股市和大多数的欧洲股市将会在周五休市,以
配合耶稣受难节假期(Good Friday)。
技术解读∶
♦ 从图表看来,它形成“类似星线”(star-like),显示它可能会走软。
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2010 年 4 月 2 日
每日技术焦点∶
图 7∶ 丹绒( Tanjong)(日线图) 图 8∶ 丹绒(单日线图)
♦ 经过将近 3 个月的整盘后,它昨日终于以一根巨大阳烛一鼓作气突破了该三角形。这反映出将出现一轮多头涨势。
技术解读∶
♦ 阻力水平: IR = RM19.50
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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
This report has been prepared by RHB Research Institute Sdn Bhd (RHBRI) and is for private circulation only to clients of RHBRI and RHB Investment Bank Berhad
(previously known as RHB Sakura Merchant Bankers Berhad). It is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. The
opinions and information contained herein are based on generally available data believed to be reliable and are subject to change without notice, and may differ or
be contrary to opinions expressed by other business units within the RHB Group as a result of using different assumptions and criteria. This report is not to be
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manner whatsoever and no reliance upon such statement by anyone shall give rise to any claim whatsoever against RHBRI. RHBRI and/or its associated persons
may from time to time have an interest in the securities mentioned by this report.
This report does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives
of persons who receive it. The securities discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors. RHBRI recommends that investors independently evaluate
particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. The appropriateness of a particular investment or
strategy will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. Neither RHBRI, RHB Group nor any of its affiliates, employees or agents accepts
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Technical Recommendation:
Trading Buy = Short-term positive opportunity spotted. It is an aggressive trading recommendation with a book to sellers’ price for short-term technical upside.
Bargain Buy = Short-term positive but technical signals have yet to trigger a rally. Traders can park and queue for their desired entry level within a small range.
Buy on Weakness = Short- to Medium-term positiveness anticipated, but technical readings are still negative. Traders can pick-up the stock for future rally.
Sell on Strength = Short-term momentum still positive, Traders are advice to lock in profit base on current strength.
Take Profit = Short-term target achieved. Traders are advice to exit before the technical readings turn bearish.
Avoid = Risky situation in the short-term and high volatility expected on the share price. Traders’ best strategy is staying away until it stabilises.
Technical recommendations are generally short-term in nature and may differ from RHBRI’s equity fundamental view and recommendation on the same company.
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