Delhis proposal to take cars off the road may only be a band-aid, but it must be allowed to work.
n early December, Delhis High Court first took matters into
hand. It described Delhi as a gas chamber and asked the citys government to submit time-bound plans on managing pollution by 21 December 2015. Road space rationing is one of the responses of the Delhi government to the courts injunctions. The Government of Delhis proposal to have vehicles (cars and two-wheelers) with odd/even numbers run on alternate days has been greeted with a volley of criticism on the airwaves, in social media and in print expressed by those who depend on personal transport, not by those who live and work in the open in the gas chamber. While Delhis roads teem with cars, a fetid smog hangs almost permanently over its air, especially in the winters. The recently instituted National Air Quality Index has reserved its worst for Delhis air, which it ranks as severe on most days and very poor on others. According to the index, Delhis air was severe on 20 days in November with PM 2.5 levels going above 500 microgram/cubic metre. The World Health Organization (WHO) has set 25 microgram/cubic metre as a safe standard for these extremely fine particles that issue from the tail pipes of vehicles, especially those that run on diesel and from other operations that involve burning fuel. Indias Central Pollution Control Board has a far lenient standard of 60 microgram/ cubic metre. On most days, PM 2.5 in Delhis air is six times more than even this relaxed standard. The WHO and other health agencies incriminate PM 2.5 for a host of health problems, including respiratory and cardiovascular ailments. Beijing authorities issued an emergency alert when the citys PM 2.5 count went up to 390 microgram/cubic metre. In its 4 December announcement, the Delhi government claimed that allowing a car to run on alternate days would reduce pollution by 50%. The formula has been tried out with mixed results in different parts of the world, including Beijing, Mexico City and Paris. Some parts of Delhiand Gurgaonhave observed car-free days in the past few months and there has been appreciable decline in pollution levels during those days. But Delhiin fact all Indian citiesrequires much more than road rationing to bring down pollution to bearable levels over the long term. A robust public transport is the first amongst essentials. Public transport meets more than 60% of Delhis demands but occupies only 5% of the roads. Allocating more space to public transport, however, is not going to be enough. Experience around the world also shows that a healthy public transport system does not always wean people off cars. A recent study claims road rationing did not improve Mexico Citys air quality, in spite of 8
the citys efficient public transport system, because the rich
went ahead and bought another car. Economists hold that an ascendant middle class will remain besotted with cars unless it is deterred. Today, there is much that car owners take for granted. For example, cars in most Indian cities are driven only 5% of the time. The rest of the time they occupy valuable real estate for which owners sometimes pay a pittancemost times they do not. This perverse subsidy must end. Legal parking areas need to be limited and clearly demarcated. London and Singapore used congestion taxes to rein in cars. There is, of course, no one-size-fits-all formula. The proposal also targets two-wheelers, preferred mode of convenience of many service workersrepairmen, sales executives. Should they bear an equal burden? However, it is also clear that spaces have to be snatched away from cars if air and landscapes are to remain healthy. Immediately after the Aam Aadmi Party government made its first announcement, it faced a volley of criticism. People went berserk on social media. The naysayers were a variety: those who felt the move would be counterproductive as the rich would buy more cars, the ones who felt road rationing would tax the already overburdened public transport system and those who gave examples of similar moves not working elsewhere. A well-known pulp fiction writerwho also fancies himself as a political commentatoreven tweeted that road rationing could seriously jeopardise the countrys economic development. The Union Minister of Surface Transport Kiren Rijiju questioned the Delhi governments jurisdiction over the matter. Notwithstanding the merit in some of the criticism, the sharp reaction has highlighted that Delhis middle classpossibly the middle class in the rest of the country tooloves its automobiles. According to the Delhi governments data, the city adds 1,400 vehicles every daymore than 5 lakh a year, nearly 3,70,000 of which are private vehicles. Middle class Delhi also fancies its diesel carsa large number of them SUVs. Last heard, the Delhi government was on the back foot over road rationing. A pity. Jettisoning the move, without giving it a fair try, would be akin to throwing the baby out with the bathwater. Delhis air needs much more than allowing a car to run on alternate days. The formula is, at best, a short-term band-aid. But it is a good beginning and should be given a chance to work. It must precede more long-term measures encouraging public transport, disincentives to private transport and eventually better urban planning. decEMBER 12, 2015