Problem and Burning Building Model

Definition of Terms and Parameters with Expected Results

Population Dynamics in a Burning Building

Lois Danielle Banasig, Michelle Cirunay, Aldrich Suratos
National Institute of Physics
University of the Philippines Diliman

3 November 2015

Lois Danielle Banasig, Michelle Cirunay, Aldrich Suratos

Population Dynamics in a Burning Building

Problem and Burning Building Model

Definition of Terms and Parameters with Expected Results

Outline

Problem and Burning Building Model

Definition of Terms and Parameters with Expected Results

Components of the Population
Parameters and Transformations
Expected Results from the Transformed Differential Equations

Lois Danielle Banasig, Michelle Cirunay, Aldrich Suratos

Population Dynamics in a Burning Building

Problem and Burning Building Model

Definition of Terms and Parameters with Expected Results

Problem and Compartmental Model

SIMULATE THE POPULATION DYNAMICS INSIDE A
BURNING BUILDING.

Figure 1: Compartmental model of the population dynamics inside the

burning building

Lois Danielle Banasig, Michelle Cirunay, Aldrich Suratos

Population Dynamics in a Burning Building

Problem and Burning Building Model

Definition of Terms and Parameters with Expected Results

Components of the Population

Parameters and Transformations
Expected Results from the Transformed Differential Equations

Definition of terms
E: Exposed individual.
Can die (D), be injured (I), or saved (SE).
SE: Saved individual that was once exposed but not injured.
Has the capacity to go back again inside the building.
I: Injured individual.
Can only be SI or D.
SI: Saved injured individual.
Cannot go back to the burning building.
D: Dead individual due to fire or suffocation.
Cannot change its state.
Lois Danielle Banasig, Michelle Cirunay, Aldrich Suratos

Population Dynamics in a Burning Building

Problem and Burning Building Model

Definition of Terms and Parameters with Expected Results

Components of the Population

Parameters and Transformations
Expected Results from the Transformed Differential Equations

Differential Equations
E = -E + - E -
SE = E -
I = E - I - I
SI = I
D = (E + I)
E
: Saving constant for E (E SE) , = 2I
: Injury constant (E I) , = t
E
: Saving constant for I (I SI) , = 2I
: Heroic constant for SE (SE E) , = EI
: Mortality constant (I,E D) , = t

Lois Danielle Banasig, Michelle Cirunay, Aldrich Suratos

Population Dynamics in a Burning Building

Problem and Burning Building Model

Definition of Terms and Parameters with Expected Results

Components of the Population

Parameters and Transformations
Expected Results from the Transformed Differential Equations

Final Equations, Methods, and Results

2

E = - E2I + EI - Et - tE
2
SE = E2I - EI
2
I = tE- E I2 - It
2
SI = E I2
D = (I + E)t
Runge-Kutta Method and the Modified SIR Model
Expected Results: Plots showing the individual population of SE,
I, SI, E, D over time

Lois Danielle Banasig, Michelle Cirunay, Aldrich Suratos

Population Dynamics in a Burning Building