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Based on the literature review, the author of this paper then used the proposed
criteria to examine and to evaluate DBFO partnership in general. The proposed criteria then
applied to examine and to evaluate three selected DBFO projects as case studies. Those
selected projects were: the Croydon Tramlink in London, UK; the State Route 91 toll lanes in
Orange County, CA; and the Cross City Tunnel in Sydney, Australia.
Based on the examination and evaluation results of those three selected projects the
author of this paper then drew conclusion about the implementation of those projects and
finally propose suggestions that would benefit the future implementation of future PPPs
projects , in particular those use the PPPs DBFO model.
C. JOURNAL CONTENT
Mention the major results of the study (use past tense).
State what the author of the study learned.
1. A Brief History of Infrastructure Delivery Partnership
The author cited the U.S Federal Highway Administration report in 2009 mentioning
the variety of models of PPPs according to how responsibility was divided to each party.
The variety of PPPs model were Design-Bid-Build (DBB), Design-build (DB), Design-BuildFinance-Operate (DBFO) and Build-Own-Operate (BOO).
The author of this article stated that though both the design-bid-build (DBB) and
design build (DB) were PPPs, both have long histories as methods of delivering public
infrastructure and reserve the greatest authority and responsibility for the public sector
partner. In contrast, the design-build-finance-operate (DBFO) and build-own-operate (BOO)
models gave more control and risk to the private sector/private partner. In this article, the
author focused on the DBFO model.
Traditionally, DBB model that assigned the public sector primary responsibility
(Yakowenko, 2004). In the mid-1980s, government around the world began experimenting
the BOO model as a way to raise funds for new projects and improve the efficiency of
service provision. However, this strategy experienced strong citizen and political opposition
to complete infrastructure privatization, and the level of benefits and service quality varied
(Gomez-Ibanez, 1996; Gomez, Ibanez and Meyer, 1993; Sclar 2001).
Britain pioneered the implementation of new model that bundled facility design,
construction, financing, and operation into a single long term concession in the early 1990s.
This model is called DBFO model. This model became an important model to deliver large
public sector transportation and this model claims to achieve benefits by introducing greater
competition into project planning processes and harmonizing the interest, rewards, and risk
of both public and private partners through a long term contractual agreements (Grimsey
and Lewis 2005).
According to Deloitte Research Report (2006), Britain was still the most active for
PPPs in the world and had also developed the most sophisticated institutional, legal,
regulatory and business structure to support the expansion of DBFO model. However, some
countries including Australia, Spain, South Korea, Ireland, Canada, France, China, and
Brazil were moving up to what was called as market maturity curve in acquiring DBFO model
on transportation sector. While in the US, there had been a relatively small but growing
number of transportation projects were being delivered through DBFO partnership as the US
Government found DBFO partnership were more expensive compare to self-financing
method.
5. Will the project be within budget and on time, meet traffic forecast and deliver desired
community benefits?
The success of transportation infrastructure projects are measured by whether those
projects are delivered on time and within budget and whether they achieve their traffic
forecasts and performance specification. Those indicators are widely used by scholars,
governments and independent auditor in evaluating the success of transportation
infrastructure projects. In reality, many large transportation infrastructure projects
experience underestimated costs, construction times, and overestimation of traffic users,
overestimated projection of economic development and environmental benefits they
would provide (Flybjerg et al., 2003; Pickrell, 1992). PPPs are proposed as a key
strategy to solve these problems since private financiers are believed to have better risk
management since they provide significant capital at stake (Flybjerg et al., 2003).
The author used four indicators/definition of success of this criteria. Those indicators
were as follows:
a. Whether actual delivery costs within the forecasted budget
b. Whether project opened before or on the expected date
c. Whether, after 3 years, traffic the project carried met or exceeded forecasted levels
d. Whether project delivered the expected community benefits
6. Will supply and demand risks be transferred to the private partners?
Another primary reason for choosing the DBFO PPP model is to transfer risk to private
partner. While the standard measures of success for an infrastructure projects are
primarily whether cost overruns or revenue shortfalls occur, a successful DBFO project
also focused on identifying which partner would bear the cost should those unexpected
event really occurred (Quiggin, 2004).
In conventional public-sector-led model of delivering infrastructure, the costs of most type
of risk are covered by the government agencies and taxpayers. In contrast, the DBFO
PPPs method enables the potential to transfer certain supply and demand related risks to
private partner with the greatest incentive and ability to manage those risks. As the
consequence, transferring risk is often accompanied by a cost premium, and the types of
risks shifted to the private partners on transportation projects are those related to
construction cost overruns, delays in opening the facility, facility availability and
operational performance, and sometimes the unachieved predicted traffic volumes
( Deloitte Research, 2006; Hodge, 2004).
The indicator/definition of success of this criteria is whether government need not cover
either rising construction costs or financial losses from low traffic volume, outside of
contract stipulations.
Long term concern
7. Will DBFO Contract terms Constrain Future options?
The planners should take into account the possibility of the long term contractual
arrangement between DBFO partners limits the flexibility of future decision makers to
respond to changing conditions and make plans that best meet evolving public interest
(GAO, 2008). To be more specific, international experience shows that the terms of many
DBFO concession agreements include clauses that prevent governments from
influencing the size and frequency of toll escalations, upgrading adjacent facilities that
would potentially harm the revenue generating capacity of the private operator or
demand the private operator to implement more environmentally sustainable practices as
those opportunity is available (GAO, 2008; Ortiz and Buxbaum, 2008).
The author used two indicators/definition of success of this criteria. Those indicators were
as follows:
a. Whether government is able to make changes to infrastructure service levels, service
quality, an toll or fare rates
b. Whether government is able to plan for new adjacent infrastructure projects as if they
controlled the PPP facility
8. Will PPPs (in particular DBFO model) deliver value for public money?
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Some countries such Britain, Australia, and Canada, uses systematic value for money
assessments to conduct an ex ante evaluation of PPP projects. In such approaches, the
complete lifecycle cost of a proposed PPPs project is compared with the conventional
public sector procurement model. Value for money is achieved if the PPPs model has
lower lifecycle cost that the comparator when differential cost of construction, operation,
public sector oversight, financing and risks are considered (Grimsey and Lewis, 2005;
Quiggin, 2004).
However, this analysis failed to address the critics of DBFO PPPs critics that reverse to
many studies of DBFO around the world which stated that DBFO public partners pay
high transaction costs associated with structuring and monitoring partnership
arrangements (Gavin and Bosso 2008 ; Vining and Bourdman, 2008), significant cost
premium to ensure projects are delivered on time and on budget (Stapleton et al., 2004) ,
large cost escalations during project planning (Siemiatycki, 2007), borrowing cost that
significantly exceed those available to governments (Quiggin, 2004), and excessively
high rates of return to the private investors (Shaoul et. al., 2006).
The author used two indicators/definition of success of this criteria. Those indicators were
as follows:
a. Whether PPP is less expensive than having designed, built and operated a
comparable projects through traditional public methods
b. Whether Concessionaire is highly profitable during the operation period
9. Will Conflict Between the Partners Threaten Project Success?
Jacobson and Choi (2008) identified the important factors that contributed to successfully
delivering public works through a partnership between a public sector client and a private
sector client concessionaire. Those factors were: open communication and trust,
willingness to compromise and to collaborate, and respect. In spite of that, international
experience showed that frequent and long lasting conflicts often arise between parties
involved over the setting of tolls, service quality, and the planning of new competing
facilities. Many partnerships ended in bankruptcy or government buyout before the
contracts were up. (Gavin and Bosso, 2008; Vining and Boardman, 2008).
The author used three indicators/definition of success of this criteria. Those indicators
were as follows:
a. Whether relationship between concessionaire and elected officials in amicable over
long-term operating contract
b. Whether disputes over interpretation of contract are settled through alternatives to
legal challenges
c. Whether partnership lasts to the end of the contracted period with the original
concessionaire
Case study of DBFO model
Based on the criteria mentioned above, the author of this paper tried to explore whether the
theoretical benefits of delivering transportation infrastructure through DBFO PPPs were
matched the real-world experience by examining three selected case study projects. Those
projects were Croydon Tramlink, UK, SR 91 Express Toll Lanes, US and Cross City Tunnel,
Sydney, Australia.
The selection of those three projects were based on following reasons:
a. Each of the three projects had varied circumstances for case process and outcome
therefore each projects had different starting points. The SR 91 toll lanes was
considered as a highly successful project. In contrast, the cross city tunnel was seen as
having many deficiencies, while the Croydon Tramlink was initially considered as having
a mixed result. This variation enable the author to examine the factors that contribute to
projects success or failure in the short term and trace how projects outcome change
over time from three different stating points.
b. Those three projects were selected because of the availability of data regarding the
project planning process and system performance, as well as community and political
responses to the ongoing operation of the facility.
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c. Each of the case were planned and delivered in countries that are different stages on
the PPP market maturity curve for the transportation sector (Deloitte Research, 2006).
Britain and Australia were both very experienced at delivering DBFO PPs and have
substantial institution in place to procure projects using such a model. The US had
carried out fewer DBFO partnerships in the transportation sector, and its legal and
governance mechanisms relating to DBFOs were not fully formed.
The summary of the evaluation result of the three case study projects based on proposed
set of criteria and more specifically each indicator of each criteria were seen at below table:
a. Comparison of case studied on short them criteria (1-6)
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experience. Government agencies should develop databases that compile both financial
and nonfinancial information on project performance.
Organization
The introductory paragraph summarizes the background information and purpose of the
research (specific questions the study researched).
Then, explain the methods that were used to investigate the research questions (use past
tense).
Mention the major results of the study (use past tense).
State what the author of the study learned.
Critique: A Critical Review and Assessment of the Article
Include a summary as well as your own analysis and evaluation of the article.
Know the article thoroughly.
Do not include personal opinions.
Be sure to distinguish your thoughts from the authors words.
Focus on the positive aspects and what the author(s) of the study learned.
Note limitations of the study at the end of the essay:
o Do the data and conclusions contradict each other?
o Is there sufficient data to support the authors generalizations?
o What questions remain unanswered?
o How could future studies be improved?
D. SUMMARY
Contribution of the paper
Based on above parts, it is concluded this articles has provided an adequate
framework on setting the criteria of evaluating PPPs in particular DBFO style PPPs.
This paper also gives important information about the
1.
Many subsequent research successfully applied and tested the prediction of the
models suggested by Akerlof, Spence and Stiglitz. This article also review other
authors works that applied and tested the work of these three researchers works.
Most of other authors works that try to apply and test the models suggested by
George Akerlof, Michael Spence and Joseph Stiglitz confirm the prediction of the
models. Eventhough, some attempts to test the prediction of the models suggested
by Akerlof did revealed some ambiguous results. For example a direct test carried
out by Bond (1982) on data from a market for second-hand small trucks did not
support the asymmetric information hypothesis. Chiappori and Salanie (2000)
examined whether individuals who buy car insurance car insurance with better
coverage have more accidents. They failed to find statistical support for such
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