TEKNOLOGI

PETRONAS

FINAL EXAMINATON
SEPTEMBER 2013 SEMESTER
COURSE

FCM2O63/EBB21

231

8AB,2123

- P ROBABI

LITY &

STATISTICS
DATE

o4th JANUARY 2014 ( SATURDAY)

TIME

9.00 AM

- 12.00 NOON (3 hours)

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
1.

Answer ALL questions in the Answer Booklet.

2.

Begin EACH answer on a new page.

3.

lndicate clearly answers that are cancelled, if any.

4.

Where applicable, show clearly steps taken in arriving at the solutions and
indicate ALL assumptions.

5.

Do not open this Question Booklet until instructed.

Note

There are SEVEN (7) pages in this Question Booklet including

the cover page.
I

Engineering Data and Formulae Book is provided.

Uniwersiti Teknologi

PETRONAS

FCM2063 lEAB2123

1.

a.

The furnace temperatures recorded on successive batches in

semiconductor manufacturing process (in "F) are given as:

953, 950, 949, 955, 951, g4g, 957, 954,

i.

1255.

Calculate the sample mean and sample standard deviation of the

above data.
[2 marks]

ii.

Calculate median, the quartiles and the lQR.

[4 marks]

iii.

Draw a box plot of the above data and indicate any outliers, if any.
[4 marks]

b.

During

a space shot, the primary computer system is backed up by two

secondary systems. They operate independently of one another, and each is

90% reliable. What is the probability that

i.

all the three system will be operable at the time of the launch?;

[3 marks]

ii.

all the three system will not be operable at the time of the launch?

[3 marks]

ii.

at least one of the system is not operable at the time of the launch?.

[4marks]

FCM2063 I EAB2123
2.

a.

A contractor wishes to bid for a construction project in Bandar Sri lskandar. The
profit (in million RM) of the project is described by the following probability density

function,/(x), given in Figure Q2.

-2.5

34

(RM1,000,000)

FIGURE Q2
Determne the probabi!ity density funclion, (x).
[2 marks]
lt

Find the probability that contractor will lose money in this job.

[2 marks]
ilt

What is the percentage that his proft is more than RM 2,200,000?

[2 marks]

iv.

Find the cumulative distribution function of the random variable.

[4 marks]

b.

The number of accidents at a PLUS highway is thought to be well modeled by

Poisson process wth a mean of 5 accidents per month.

i.

lf

is a waiting time between accidents, what is the distribution of Y?

[4 marks]

ii.

Determine the mean waiting time between accidents?

[2 marks]

iii.

Find the probability that there is no accident will occur next month?
[4 marks]

FCM2063 lEAB2123

A student claims that the average amount of time spent studying for an exam is

3.

less than or equal to 120 minutes per day. A random sample of 25 students is

drawn from

normal distribution with mean

of

125 minutes and standard

deviation of 20 minutes.

State the hypothesis testing?

[2 marks]
il

Determine the test statistics for this test?

[2 marks]

ilt

By using lhe P-value approach, what is your conclusion about this test?
[4 marks]

V.

Construct a 95o/o two-sided confTdence interval on the average amount of

time spent studying for an exam and comment.
[2 marks]

b.

The Malaysia Royal Polce Department claims that the incidence of violent crime

this year (2013) is down compared to last year (2012). From the 100 files of
crime reports, it shows that in year 2012, 260/0 of the reports were classified as
of violent crime while this year only 16%.

Use a 5% significance level to test that the claim is true?

[5 marks]
il

Determine lhe P-value for this test and draw the conclusion.

ilt

[3 marks]
Give a 90% two sided confidence interval for the difference in proportion.
[2 marks]

FCM2O63 IEAB2123

4.

a.

use the partially completed Minitab output as in TABLE 4(a):

TABLE a(a)

Predictor

Goefficient

SE Coefficient

Constant

3.318

1.007

3.29

X1

0.7417

0.5768

Xz

0.6571

13.87

$=

R,=

n'z 1ao

87.6o/o

Analysis of Variance

Source

DF

SS

MS

Regression

133.366

66.683

Error

17.332

27

150.698

Total

Answer the following:

i.
ii.

Copy the Minitab output and fill all of the missing values.
[4 marks]

lf

is

the dependent variable, write the multiple regressions for the

above analysis.
[2 marks]

ii.
iv.

Find the estimate of variance,

02
[2 marks]

Test for significance of regression. Use

d = 0.05.
[2 marks]

FCM2063 tEAB2123

b.

An experiment was conducted to investigate the warping of copper plates,

The two factors studied wre temperature and the copper content of the
plates. The response variables are the amount of warping. The data are
as in TABLE a(b):

TABLE 4(b)

Temperature

Gopper

(uC)

50

i.
ii.
iii.

Content

(%l

40

80

17,20

24, 22

16, 12

25, 23

Construct the design matrix for the above data.

[2 marks]
Find the estimates of the main and interaction effects.
[2 marks]

construct the analysis

of

variance (ANovA) table. Give your

comment.
[6 marks]

FCM2O3
5.

I EAB2123

For overseas flights, MAS airline has three different choices on its dinner

a.

menu: rice with beef, rice with chicken and lamb chop. Based on the past
experience the airline feels that each dinner is equally likely to be chosen.
lf a random sample of
five passengers is selected, what is the probability that at reast two
will choose lamb chop for dinner?
[4 marks]
lt

twenty one passengers is selected, what is the approximation

probability that at least two will choose lamb chop for dinner?
[6 marks]

b.

control charts for

x and R are to be set up for an important quality

characteristics. The sample size is z = S,

of 35 samples. The summary data are:

35

>X,
r=l

and r are computed for each

35

Z',
t=l

= 7805

Find the control limits for

=1200

and R charts.
[6 marks]

ll

Assuming that the process is in control, estimate the process mean

and the process standard deviation.
[4 marks]

- END OF PAPER -