MISSOURI

REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT PRIMARY

2015

Survey conducted December 18 through December 19, 2015. 1,528 likely Republican Presidential
Primary voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for
the 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Election. Margin of Error is +/-2.6% with a 95% level of
confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. Margins of Error within specific
demographics (crosstabs) is significantly higher due to smaller sample size. Survey conducted by
Remington Research Group on behalf of Missouri Scout.

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

Q: If the Republican Primary Election for President of the United States were held today, for whom
would you vote?
Donald Trump: 33%
Ted Cruz: 23%
Marco Rubio: 12%
Ben Carson: 8%
Jeb Bush: 3%
Chris Christie: 3%
Carly Fiorina: 2%
Rand Paul: 1%
John Kasich: 1%
Undecided: 14%
Q: In your opinion, what should be the President of the United States top priority?
Terrorism: 33%
Border Security: 14%
Deficit & Spending: 11%
National Security: 11%
Jobs & Economy: 9%
Immigration: 5%
Healthcare: 3%
Taxes: 1%
Something Else: 3%
Not Sure: 11%
Q: Which Republican candidate for President of the United States do you trust most on issues relating to
national security and terrorism?
Donald Trump: 34%
Ted Cruz: 25%
Marco Rubio: 10%
Ben Carson: 6%
Jeb Bush: 6%
Chris Christie: 4%
Carly Fiorina: 2%
Rand Paul: 2%
John Kasich: 1%
Undecided: 10%

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

Q: Which Republican candidate for President of the United States do you trust most on issues relating to
jobs and the economy?
Donald Trump: 49%
Ted Cruz: 14%
Marco Rubio: 8%
Ben Carson: 6%
Jeb Bush: 4%
Chris Christie: 2%
Carly Fiorina: 3%
Rand Paul: 2%
John Kasich: 2%
Undecided: 10%

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

Q: If the Republican Primary Election for President of the United States were held today, for whom
would you vote?
BY CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
Column %

CD 1

CD 2

CD 3

CD 4

CD 5

CD 6

CD 7

CD 8

Donald Trump

26%

33%

36%

31%

38%

30%

29%

38%

Ted Cruz

20%

19%

22%

24%

18%

26%

28%

23%

Marco Rubio

15%

15%

14%

11%

11%

11%

9%

10%

Ben Carson

5%

6%

9%

8%

10%

10%

11%

6%

Jeb Bush

5%

4%

2%

3%

1%

5%

4%

3%

Chris Christie

2%

5%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

Carly Fiorina

5%

2%

1%

2%

4%

3%

0%

3%

Rand Paul

0%

0%

2%

2%

0%

1%

1%

1%

John Kasich

8%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Undecided

14%

15%

10%

18%

15%

13%

15%

11%

BY GENDER
Column %

Female

Male

Donald Trump

28%

37%

Ted Cruz

22%

24%

Marco Rubio

11%

12%

Ben Carson

10%

6%

Jeb Bush

3%

3%

Chris Christie

3%

3%

Carly Fiorina

2%

2%

Rand Paul

1%

2%

John Kasich

1%

1%

Undecided

18%

10%

Column %

18-29

30-39

40-49

50-69

70+

Donald Trump

26%

36%

39%

31%

31%

Ted Cruz

26%

19%

25%

25%

20%

Marco Rubio

10%

6%

10%

13%

11%

Ben Carson

8%

15%

7%

8%

8%

Jeb Bush

6%

1%

2%

3%

4%

Chris Christie

2%

3%

2%

2%

5%

Carly Fiorina

0%

5%

3%

2%

2%

Rand Paul

1%

4%

0%

1%

1%

BY AGE

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

John Kasich

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Undecided

19%

9%

10%

13%

17%

Q: If the Republican Primary Election for President of the United States were held today, for whom
would you vote? (CONTINUED)
BY IDEOLOGY
Column %

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

Donald Trump

30%

39%

35%

Ted Cruz

28%

10%

6%

Marco Rubio

11%

15%

7%

Ben Carson

9%

6%

6%

Jeb Bush

3%

5%

6%

Chris Christie

3%

3%

2%

Carly Fiorina

2%

2%

2%

Rand Paul

1%

2%

4%

John Kasich

0%

3%

6%

Undecided

13%

15%

25%

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

Q: In your opinion, what should be the President of the United States top priority?
BY CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
Column %

CD 1

CD 2

CD 3

CD 4

CD 5

CD 6

CD 7

CD 8

Terrorism

31%

34%

31%

33%

34%

35%

28%

38%

Border Security

4%

14%

12%

18%

17%

13%

15%

13%

Deficit & Spending

9%

12%

14%

10%

8%

9%

11%

8%

National Security

10%

10%

11%

10%

12%

12%

10%

12%

Jobs & Economy

11%

12%

10%

9%

9%

8%

7%

9%

Immigration

2%

7%

5%

3%

6%

4%

5%

4%

Healthcare

8%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

5%

3%

Taxes

4%

1%

1%

1%

0%

2%

0%

1%

Something else

6%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

4%

Not Sure

14%

7%

11%

10%

8%

12%

15%

9%

BY GENDER
Column %

Female

Male

Terrorism

37%

28%

Border Security

12%

16%

Deficit & Spending

9%

12%

National Security

11%

11%

Jobs & Economy

8%

11%

Immigration

4%

5%

Healthcare

3%

3%

Taxes

1%

1%

Something else

2%

4%

Not Sure

13%

9%

Column %

18-29

30-39

40-49

50-69

70+

Terrorism

28%

31%

25%

33%

36%

Border Security

8%

11%

14%

16%

12%

Deficit & Spending

18%

16%

14%

10%

8%

National Security

15%

11%

8%

11%

11%

Jobs & Economy

9%

7%

15%

10%

6%

Immigration

1%

4%

5%

4%

6%

Healthcare

8%

5%

6%

2%

3%

Taxes

4%

2%

2%

1%

0%

Something else

1%

2%

1%

4%

3%

Not Sure

9%

11%

10%

9%

14%

BY AGE

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

Q: In your opinion, what should be the President of the United States top priority? (CONTINUED)
BY IDEOLOGY
Column %

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

Terrorism

34%

29%

25%

Border Security

15%

10%

6%

Deficit & Spending

11%

10%

8%

National Security

12%

8%

12%

Jobs & Economy

7%

16%

11%

Immigration

5%

5%

2%

Healthcare

2%

6%

12%

Taxes

1%

1%

0%

Something else

3%

2%

9%

Not Sure

10%

12%

14%

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

Q: Which Republican candidate for President of the United States do you trust most on issues relating to
national security and terrorism?
BY CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
Column %

CD 1

CD 2

CD 3

CD 4

CD 5

CD 6

CD 7

CD 8

Donald Trump

25%

35%

37%

32%

40%

29%

33%

44%

Ted Cruz

18%

20%

24%

27%

19%

30%

31%

19%

Marco Rubio

17%

13%

8%

10%

9%

11%

11%

8%

Ben Carson

5%

4%

8%

5%

6%

6%

6%

4%

Jeb Bush

10%

5%

5%

5%

5%

6%

6%

5%

Chris Christie

3%

7%

4%

4%

7%

3%

3%

5%

Carly Fiorina

5%

1%

1%

3%

3%

3%

0%

2%

Rand Paul

0%

2%

2%

4%

2%

1%

1%

2%

John Kasich

3%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

Undecided

14%

11%

10%

11%

7%

9%

10%

10%

BY GENDER
Column %

Female

Male

Donald Trump

31%

37%

Ted Cruz

23%

27%

Marco Rubio

11%

10%

Ben Carson

6%

5%

Jeb Bush

5%

6%

Chris Christie

5%

4%

Carly Fiorina

2%

2%

Rand Paul

1%

3%

John Kasich

1%

1%

Undecided

15%

6%

Column %

18-29

30-39

40-49

50-69

70+

Donald Trump

23%

44%

40%

32%

34%

Ted Cruz

35%

21%

26%

27%

21%

Marco Rubio

8%

8%

9%

11%

11%

Ben Carson

9%

7%

5%

5%

6%

Jeb Bush

4%

1%

4%

6%

7%

Chris Christie

0%

4%

4%

4%

6%

Carly Fiorina

0%

6%

2%

2%

2%

Rand Paul

5%

3%

3%

2%

1%

John Kasich

5%

0%

1%

1%

1%

Undecided

11%

7%

7%

10%

12%

BY AGE

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

Q: Which Republican candidate for President of the United States do you trust most on issues relating to
national security and terrorism? (CONTINUED)
BY IDEOLOGY
Column %

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

Donald Trump

33%

39%

36%

Ted Cruz

30%

12%

9%

Marco Rubio

10%

12%

6%

Ben Carson

6%

4%

1%

Jeb Bush

4%

10%

11%

Chris Christie

4%

5%

5%

Carly Fiorina

2%

1%

2%

Rand Paul

1%

3%

7%

John Kasich

0%

1%

5%

Undecided

9%

13%

17%

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

Q: Which Republican candidate for President of the United States do you trust most on issues relating to
jobs and the economy?
BY CONGRESSIONAL
Column %

CD 1

CD 2

CD 3

CD 4

CD 5

CD 6

CD 7

CD 8

Donald Trump

31%

52%

51%

46%

53%

51%

48%

51%

Ted Cruz

12%

11%

17%

12%

9%

16%

16%

14%

Marco Rubio

15%

10%

9%

8%

11%

7%

6%

6%

Ben Carson

3%

3%

3%

6%

5%

7%

9%

6%

Jeb Bush

9%

6%

2%

4%

4%

5%

3%

4%

Carly Fiorina

5%

4%

2%

4%

3%

3%

3%

5%

Chris Christie

1%

4%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

Rand Paul

1%

0%

3%

3%

4%

1%

0%

1%

John Kasich

7%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

Undecided

16%

9%

8%

14%

6%

7%

12%

9%

BY GENDER
Column %

Female

Male

Donald Trump

45%

53%

Ted Cruz

12%

16%

Marco Rubio

8%

8%

Ben Carson

7%

4%

Jeb Bush

4%

4%

Carly Fiorina

4%

3%

Chris Christie

2%

2%

Rand Paul

1%

2%

John Kasich

1%

2%

Undecided

15%

6%

Column %

18-29

30-39

40-49

50-69

70+

Donald Trump

38%

53%

56%

48%

48%

Ted Cruz

25%

13%

12%

16%

12%

Marco Rubio

9%

7%

8%

8%

9%

Ben Carson

5%

9%

4%

5%

7%

Jeb Bush

9%

1%

2%

4%

7%

Carly Fiorina

0%

6%

3%

4%

2%

Chris Christie

0%

2%

2%

2%

3%

Rand Paul

3%

4%

3%

1%

1%

John Kasich

3%

1%

3%

2%

1%

Undecided

10%

4%

8%

11%

11%

BY AGE

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

Q: Which Republican candidate for President of the United States do you trust most on issues relating to
jobs and the economy? (CONTINUED)
BY IDEOLOGY
Column %

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

Donald Trump

49%

51%

37%

Ted Cruz

17%

6%

5%

Marco Rubio

8%

10%

4%

Ben Carson

6%

5%

6%

Jeb Bush

4%

6%

7%

Carly Fiorina

3%

3%

4%

Chris Christie

2%

3%

7%

Rand Paul

2%

1%

5%

John Kasich

1%

4%

5%

Undecided

9%

11%

19%

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

DEMOGRAPHICS
CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
%
5%
15%
15%
16%
6%
16%
16%
11%

CD 1
CD 2
CD 3
CD 4
CD 5
CD 6
CD 7
CD 8
GENDER
Female
Male

%
49%
51%

AGE
18-29
30-39
40-49
50-69
70+

%
2%
7%
13%
48%
30%

IDEOLOGY
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal

%
74%
22%
4%

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com