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CAPR-08-0003
Abstract
Modifiable factors, including diet, might alter breast cancer risk. We used the Women's
Health Initiative Dietary Modification trial to test the effect of the intervention on risk of benign proliferative breast disease, a condition associated with increased risk of, and considered to be on the pathway to, invasive breast cancer. The Women's Health Initiative Dietary
Modification trial was a randomized, controlled, primary prevention trial conducted in 40 U.S.
clinical centers from 1993 to 2005. A total of 48,835 postmenopausal women, ages 50 to
79 years, without prior breast cancer, were enrolled. Participants were randomly assigned to
the dietary modification intervention group or to the comparison group. The intervention was
designed to reduce total dietary fat intake to 20% of total energy intake, and to increase fruit
and vegetable intake to 5 servings/d and intake of grain products to 6 servings/d, but
resulted in smaller, albeit significant, changes in practice. Participants had biennial mammograms and regular clinical breast exams. We identified women who reported breast biopsies
free of cancer, obtained the histologic sections, and subjected them to standardized central
review. During follow-up (average, 7.7 years), 570 incident cases of benign proliferative
breast disease were ascertained in the intervention group and 793 in the comparison group.
The hazard ratio for the association between dietary modification and benign proliferative
breast disease was 1.09 (95% confidence interval, 0.98-1.23). Risk varied by levels of baseline total vitamin D intake but it varied little by levels of other baseline variables. These results
suggest that a modest reduction in fat intake and increase in fruit, vegetable, and grain
intake do not alter the risk of benign proliferative breast disease.
intake. In general, cohort studies have not supported an association between dietary fat intake and breast cancer risk (25),
although several recent cohort studies have reported small
increases in risk in postmenopausal women (68). Additionally, there is little recent evidence from cohort studies that
fruit and vegetable consumption (9, 10) and dietary fiber intake (11) are associated with altered breast cancer risk,
although earlier studies provided some support for inverse
associations (5).
The Women's Health Initiative (WHI) randomized controlled Dietary Modification trial was the first large-scale randomized trial to test the effect of adoption of a low-fat dietary
pattern (decrease in total fat intake, increase in fruit, vegetable,
and grain intake) on breast cancer risk (12). After 8 years of
follow-up, risk in the intervention group was 9% lower than
that in the comparison group, but the effect was not statistically significant. Among the possible explanations for this lack
of effect is that the follow-up period was too short. If that is
the case, it does not preclude the possibility of an effect of the
intervention on earlier stages in the natural history of breast
cancer in the short term, with a subsequent (and consequent)
reduction in breast cancer incidence. Therefore, we used the
WHI Dietary Modification trial to test the effect of adoption
of a low-fat dietary pattern on risk of benign proliferative
breast disease, a condition which is associated with increased
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275
Ascertainment of outcomes
Histology
H&E-stained histologic sections were reviewed by the study pathologist (D.L.P.), who was blinded to the randomization assignment. The
benign lesions were classified using well-established criteria as nonproliferative lesions, proliferative lesions without atypia (classified
further according to whether they were mild, moderate, or florid in
extent), or atypical (ductal/lobular) hyperplasia (1921).
Statistical analysis
Incidence rates of benign proliferative breast disease in the dietary
modification and comparison groups were compared based on the
intention-to-treat principle using time-to-event analyses. The primary
analysis used a weighted (two-sided) log-rank test with weight
increasing linearly from zero at randomization to a maximum of 1
at 10 y and constant thereafter to enhance statistical power under
the design assumptions (12). The time to benign proliferative breast
disease was defined as the number of days from the date of randomization to the date of the first postrandomization diagnostic biopsy.
Follow-up time was censored at the date of last documented contact,
diagnosis of breast cancer, mastectomy, death, or trial close-out (between October 2004 and March 2005), whichever came first. Women
who developed a nonproliferative benign breast lesion continued to be
followed up because they remained at risk of developing a subsequent
proliferative lesion. Event rates over time were summarized using
cumulative hazard plots. The intervention effect was summarized
using hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) estimated from Cox proportional hazards models (22), with stratification
by age, prior breast biopsies, and randomization to the WHI hormone
therapy and calcium/vitamin D supplementation trials. Stratification
was time dependent in the case of the calcium/vitamin D supplementation trial (16). The possibility that the intervention effect differed by
levels of other characteristics of the study population was investigated
by including product terms between treatment assignment and indicator variables for the subsets of interest in Cox proportional hazards
models stratified by age, prior breast biopsies, and randomization to
the hormone therapy and calcium/vitamin D trials (16), and was assessed by testing the equality of the product-term coefficients. Given
that a total of 22 interactions were tested, approximately one significant test at an level of 0.05 was expected by chance alone. The proportional hazards assumption, which was tested both by fitting
models containing a product term between the intervention and
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follow-up time and assessing the coefficient of the product term for
statistical significance, and by fitting piecewise constant intervention
effects on nonoverlapping time intervals and testing for equality of
such terms with the intervals chosen in advance, was shown not to
be violated. Annualized event rates were calculated for comparisons
of absolute disease rates. Results were considered statistically significant when two-sided P 0.05.
the association between dietary modification and benign proliferative breast disease was 1.09 (95% CI, 0.98-1.23; Table 2).
The intervention was associated with a slight, statistically nonsignificant increase in risk of benign proliferative breast disease without atypia (HR, 1.10; 95% CI, 0.97-1.25) and with a
statistically significant increase in risk for either atypical hyperplasia or moderately extensive or florid proliferative disease without atypia (HR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.02-1.33). Risk of
atypical hyperplasia was essentially unaltered by the intervention (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.79-1.39). The Kaplan-Meier estimate of the cumulative hazard of benign proliferative
breast disease (all types combined) revealed that there was
little difference between the intervention and comparison
groups for the first 4 years of follow-up, after which the hazard for the dietary modification group exceeded slightly
that for the comparison group (Fig. 1).
The overall dietary modification effect was largely unchanged by exclusion of the first year of follow-up (HR,
1.09; 95% CI, 0.97-1.23), exclusion of women with a breast
biopsy before the commencement of the trial (HR, 1.07; 95%
CI, 0.93-1.23), or adjustment for annual measures of height
and weight (HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.98-1.23) or use of prior hormone therapy (estrogen alone or estrogen plus progestin; HR,
1.09; 95% CI, 0.97-1.22).
Risk of benign proliferative breast disease in association
with dietary modification varied by levels of baseline total
vitamin D intake (from diet and supplements), albeit not substantially and not monotonically. Risk did not vary by levels of
other dietary variables (Table 3), and it varied little by levels
of most of the other baseline variables examined (Table 4).
Although risk varied significantly by levels of estrogen plus
progestin use as reported at baseline, the magnitude of the
difference in risk between categories of this variable was not
large.
To address the possible effect of nonadherence on the study
results, we used an inverse probability weighting scheme to
estimate a full adherence relative risk function for the intervention as described earlier (12). This yielded a HR of 1.37
(95% CI, 0.95-1.99) for all proliferative breast diseases combined.
The WHI study protocol mandated that participants had
biennial mammograms and regular clinical breast exams.
Compliance with these exams was high, and there was essentially no difference between the intervention and comparison
groups with respect to the frequency with which these were
done (12). Neither adjustment for the frequency of mammograms (HR, 1.10; 95% CI, 0.98-1.23) nor adjustment for the
frequency of clinical breast exams (HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.981.23) had much impact on the estimated dietary modification
effect.
Results
The study groups differed little at baseline with respect to
age, ethnicity, breast cancer risk factors, participation in other
WHI trials, or intake of energy or selected nutrients and vitamins (Table 1).
Data on follow-up and adherence, as well as change in
nutrient and food intake and blood biomarker levels, were
reported elsewhere (12). In brief, 4.7% of women in the intervention group and 4.0% of those in the comparison group
withdrew from the study or were lost to follow-up. Estimated
adherence rates were 87% and 75% in the comparison group
and 57% and 31% in the intervention group at years 3 and 6,
respectively. Based on estimates from the food frequency
questionnaires, the intervention and comparison groups were
essentially identical at baseline with respect to intake of fat,
fruit and vegetables, and grains (as well as other dietary
items). One year after randomization, statistically significant,
albeit modest, between-group differences in intake of these
dietary items were evident: For the intervention and comparison group, the mean (SD) percent energy from fat, servings of
fruit and vegetables per day, and servings of grains per day
were 24.3 (7.5) versus 35.1 (6.9), 5.1 (2.3) versus 3.9 (2.0), and
5.1 (2.7) versus 4.2 (2.3), respectively. By year 6, the mean (SD)
difference in change (change in intervention group minus
change in comparison group) in percent energy from fat
between the intervention and comparison groups was 8.1
(7.8), whereas the mean differences in change for servings
per day of fruit and vegetables and of grains were 1.1 (2.1)
and 0.4 (2.6), respectively; all of these differences were
statistically significant. Compared with blood levels in the
comparison group, the intervention group showed a greater
reduction in blood levels of -tocopherol, a greater increase
in -cryptoxanthin, and smaller decreases in - and -carotene.
Estradiol levels decreased more and sex hormone-binding
levels increased more in the intervention group than in
the control group.
During follow-up (average duration, 7.7 years), we identified 3,383 potentially eligible biopsies that had been done
for benign breast disease. The eligibility of 65 biopsies could
not be determined due to lack of consent, hospital refusal, and
other reasons. Of the 3,318 biopsies confirmed to be eligible,
consent was provided for review of 3,314, and 3,254 histologic
sections were obtained. Of the sections reviewed, 172 were
from biopsies that occured outside the trial period and 217
had no breast tissue. The remaining 2,865 sections were from
2,610 women. Of these women, 19 were censored (so that the
corresponding section was excluded from consideration), 7
had no pathological diagnosis, 1,221 had a nonproliferative lesion (and therefore continued to be eligible to develop a proliferative lesion), and 1,363 had a proliferative lesion.
Overall, 570 cases of benign proliferative breast disease
were ascertained in the intervention group and 793 were
ascertained in the comparison group. The estimated HR for
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Discussion
The results of this study suggest that the WHI low-fat dietary intervention, which yielded a statistically significant, albeit modest, decrease in fat intake and increase in intake of
fruit, vegetables, and grains, was not associated with altered
risk of benign proliferative breast disease after almost 8 years
of follow-up. Although there was a small increase in overall
risk (9%) that was even larger (37%) when the extent of adherence to the dietary intervention was taken into account,
277
Age, y*
Race/ethnicity, %
White
Black
Hispanic
American Indian
Asian/Pacific Islander
Other
Unknown
Family history of breast cancer, %
Gail model 5-y risk 1.75, %
Body mass index, kg/m2*,
Prior breast disease
No
1 biopsy
2 biopsies
Unknown
Age at menarche, y
10
11-14
15
Unknown
Age at first full-term pregnancy, y
Never had term pregnancy
<20
20-29
30
Unknown
Parity
Never
1
2
3
4+
Unknown
Age at natural menopause, y*
Oral contraceptive use
Ever used, %
Duration of use, y*
Postmenopausal hormone use
Estrogen alone
Ever used, %
Duration of use, y*
Estrogen plus progestin
Ever used, %
Duration of use, y*
Mammography screening
within 2 y, %
Comparison (n = 29,294)
62.26 (6.87)
62.26 (6.86)
15,871 (81.22)
2,135 (10.93)
751 (3.84)
88 (0.45)
431 (2.21)
221 (1.13)
44 (0.23)
3,396 (17.38)
6,510 (33.31)
29.16 (6.05)
23,891 (81.56)
3,127 (10.67)
1,094 (3.73)
114 (0.39)
674 (2.30)
339 (1.16)
55 (0.19)
4,929 (16.83)
9,696 (33.10)
29.17 (6.46)
13,812
2,553
1,014
2,162
20,559
3,914
1,553
3,268
(70.68)
(13.06)
(5.19)
(11.06)
(70.18)
(13.36)
(5.30)
(11.16)
1,311 (6.71)
16,338 (83.61)
1,834 (9.39)
58 (0.30)
1,907 (6.51)
24,520 (83.70)
2,771 (9.46)
96 (0.33)
496 (2.54)
2,709 (13.86)
11,577 (59.24)
1,372 (7.02)
3,387 (17.33)
732 (2.50)
4,183 (14.28)
17,220 (58.78)
2,008 (6.85)
5,151 (17.58)
2,114 (10.82)
1,682 (8.61)
4,766 (24.39)
4,714 (24.12)
6,159 (31.52)
106 (0.54)
48.01 (6.47)
3,214 (10.97)
2,463 (8.41)
7,002 (23.90)
7,183 (24.52)
9,294 (31.73)
138 (0.47)
47.91 (6.51)
8,751 (44.78)
5.32 (5.14)
12,992 (44.35)
5.27 (5.24)
7,279 (37.25)
9.96 (8.9)
10,842 (37.01)
10.02 (8.86)
5,345 (27.35)
5.78 (5.18)
15,729 (80.49)
7,995 (27.29)
5.72 (5.06)
23,708 (80.93)
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Table 1. Baseline characteristics of participants in the WHI Dietary Modification trial (Cont'd)
No. participants (%)
Dietary modification (n = 19,541)
Enrollment in WHI estrogen alone trial, %
No
16,359 (83.72)
Active
615 (3.15)
Control
670 (3.43)
Enrollment in WHI estrogen plus progestin trial, %
No
16,359 (83.72)
Active
972 (4.97)
Control
925 (4.73)
Enrollment in WHI calcium plus vitamin D supplementation trial, %
No
9,896 (50.64)
Intervention
4,767 (24.39)
Control
4,878 (24.96)
Total daily energy intake, kcal*
1,790 (710)
Total daily fat intake, g*
75.7 (34.1)
Total daily calcium intake (supplements plus diet), mg*
1,123.7 (686.8)
Total daily vitamin D intake (supplements plus diet), IU*
349.0 (262.9)
24,426 (83.38)
1,039 (3.55)
1,068 (3.65)
24,426 (83.38)
1,457 (4.97)
1,304 (4.45)
13,729 (46.87)
7,827 (26.72)
7,738 (26.41)
1,789 (703)
75.7 (33.6)
1,117.5 (662.9)
348.5 (265.1)
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Comparison (n = 29,294)
279
Table 2. Risk of benign proliferative breast disease in association with dietary modification, overall and by the
presence/absence of atypia
No. cases (annualized %)
HR (95% CI)*
Unweighted* Weighted
570 (0.38)
477 (0.32)
429 (0.29)
793 (0.35)
660 (0.29)
565 (0.25)
1.09 (0.98-1.23)
1.10 (0.97-1.25)
1.16 (1.02-1.33)
0.13
0.12
0.03
0.18
0.22
0.05
93 (0.06)
133 (0.06)
1.05 (0.79-1.39)
0.76
0.59
*Proportional hazards model stratified by age, prior breast disease, and treatment assignment in the hormone therapy and calcium plus
vitamin D supplementation trials.
Weighted log-rank test stratified by age, prior breast disease, and treatment assignment in the hormone therapy trial and adjusted for
calcium plus vitamin D supplementation trial randomization as a time-dependent covariate. Weights increase linearly from zero at randomization to a maximum of 1 at 10 y.
Fig. 1. Kaplan-Meier estimates of the cumulative hazard of benign proliferative breast disease in the dietary modification and comparison groups.
280
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Table 3. Risk of benign proliferative breast disease in association with dietary modification, by intake of
selected dietary variables at baseline
No. cases of BPBD (annualized %)*
HR (95% CI)
Pinteraction
232
153
135
272
(0.33)
(0.38)
(0.35)
(0.36)
1.05
1.08
1.19
1.09
(0.85-1.29)
(0.83-1.39)
(0.90-1.57)
(0.90-1.32)
0.91
104 (0.40)
322 (0.38)
366 (0.32)
1.14 (0.83,1.56)
1.16 (0.97-1.38)
1.02 (0.86-1.21)
0.56
126
152
207
307
(0.34)
(0.35)
(0.40)
(0.34)
1.10
1.15
1.01
1.12
(0.83-1.45)
(0.89-1.49)
(0.80-1.26)
(0.93-1.34)
0.87
183
204
187
218
(0.32)
(0.37)
(0.34)
(0.38)
1.07
1.05
1.18
1.07
(0.84-1.36)
(0.84-1.32)
(0.94-1.48)
(0.86-1.33)
0.90
187
188
210
208
(0.33)
(0.33)
(0.39)
(0.36)
1.05 (0.83-1.33)
1.26 (1.00-1.57)
0.99 (0.79-1.24)
1.09 (0.87,1.37)
0.50
164
216
215
197
(0.29)
(0.38)
(0.38)
(0.36)
1.28
1.06
0.94
1.14
(1.00-1.63)
(0.86-1.32)
(0.75-1.18)
(0.91-1.42)
0.33
169
192
210
221
(0.30)
(0.33)
(0.38)
(0.39)
1.12
1.41
1.04
0.85
(0.87-1.43)
(1.13-1.75)
(0.83-1.30)
(0.68-1.08)
0.02
200
188
208
196
(0.36)
(0.33)
(0.37)
(0.34)
1.12
1.12
1.06
1.07
(0.93-1.34)
(0.93-1.36)
(0.87-1.28)
(0.88-1.29)
0.95
315 (0.34)
263 (0.36)
141 (0.37)
73 (0.36)
1.07
1.14
1.12
0.92
(0.92-1.23)
(0.97-1.35)
(0.90-1.40)
(0.67-1.27)
0.65
Unweighted proportional hazards model stratified by age, prior disease, and randomization group.
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281
Table 4. Risk of benign proliferative breast disease in association with dietary modification, by selected baseline
characteristics
No. cases of BPBD (annualized %)*
Dietary modification (n = 19,541)
Pinteraction
HR (95% CI)
Comparison (n = 29,294)
Age, y
50-59
249 (0.43)
60-69
257 (0.38)
70-79
64 (0.27)
Race/ethnicity
White
474 (0.39)
Black
52 (0.32)
Hispanic
18 (0.32)
Other
25 (0.46)
Family history of breast cancer in first-degree relative
No
434 (0.37)
Yes
105 (0.40)
Gail model 5-y risk, %
<1.25
190 (0.35)
1.25-1.74
174 (0.36)
1.75
206 (0.42)
311 (0.36)
371 (0.36)
111 (0.31)
1.24 (1.04-1.48)
1.04 (0.88,1.23)
0.88 (0.63-1.21)
0.13
688 (0.37)
51 (0.21)
18 (0.22)
33 (0.39)
1.03
1.65
1.92
1.20
(0.91-1.17)
(1.10-2.48)
(0.96-3.85)
(0.71-2.03)
0.06
591 (0.33)
161 (0.43)
1.13 (0.99-1.29)
0.95 (0.74-1.23)
0.23
231 (0.29)
256 (0.35)
306 (0.42)
1.24 (1.01-1.53)
1.09 (0.89-1.33)
1.00 (0.83-1.20)
0.31
1.08
1.09
1.09
1.13
(0.88-1.33)
(0.90-1.31)
(0.85-1.41)
(0.83-1.54)
0.99
171 (0.43)
206 (0.39)
116 (0.34)
77 (0.34)
234
292
163
104
Age at menarche, y
10
11-14
15
32 (0.32)
483 (0.38)
54 (0.39)
46 (0.31)
669 (0.35)
74 (0.34)
0.94 (0.58-1.52)
1.11 (0.98-1.26)
1.07 (0.74-1.56)
0.79
15 (0.40)
94 (0.46)
345 (0.39)
47 (0.45)
23 (0.41)
105 (0.33)
496 (0.37)
54 (0.35)
0.91
1.44
1.03
1.27
(0.46-1.83)
(1.07-1.94)
(0.89-1.20)
(0.84-1.92)
0.19
54 (0.33)
56 (0.44)
154 (0.42)
136 (0.38)
169 (0.36)
79 (0.32)
61 (0.32)
218 (0.40)
192 (0.35)
242 (0.34)
1.13
1.46
0.99
1.07
1.10
(0.79-1.62)
(1.00-2.14)
(0.79-1.24)
(0.85-1.35)
(0.89-1.35)
0.55
236 (0.43)
55 (0.40)
154 (0.39)
104 (0.34)
312 (0.37)
70 (0.35)
221 (0.38)
149 (0.33)
1.11
1.16
1.09
1.10
(0.93-1.32)
(0.80-1.67)
(0.88-1.35)
(0.85-1.44)
0.99
(0.33)
(0.41)
(0.47)
396 (0.32)
225 (0.40)
172 (0.38)
1.04 (0.88-1.22)
1.04 (0.84-1.30)
1.28 (1.01-1.61)
0.32
(0.35)
420 (0.29)
1.23 (1.06-1.43)
0.08
(0.39)
(0.36)
(0.32)
(0.31)
*For some variables, the number of events does not equal the total number shown in Table 2 due to missing values.
Unweighted proportional hazards model stratified by age, prior disease, and randomization group.
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Table 4. Risk of benign proliferative breast disease in association with dietary modification, by selected baseline
characteristics (Cont'd)
No. cases of BPBD (annualized %)*
Dietary modification (n = 19,541)
<5
5
Estrogen plus progestin, y
None
<5
5
Enrollment in WHI hormone trials
Estrogen alone
Active
Placebo
Estrogen plus progestin
Active
Placebo
Enrollment in WHI calcium plus vitamin
Intervention
Placebo
HR (95% CI)
Pinteraction
Comparison (n = 29,294)
83 (0.39)
158 (0.46)
117 (0.38)
256 (0.49)
0.96 (0.71-1.30)
0.93 (0.76-1.15)
341 (0.31)
97 (0.45)
132 (0.69)
531 (0.32)
117 (0.36)
145 (0.50)
0.97 (0.84-1.12)
1.30 (0.97-1.73)
1.38 (1.08-1.76)
0.02
19 (0.40)
13 (0.26)
32 (0.40)
18 (0.22)
0.81 (0.43-1.51)
1.26 (0.63-2.53)
0.35
20 (0.27)
11 (0.15)
D trial
149 (0.40)
166 (0.44)
49 (0.44)
28 (0.28)
0.60 (0.34-1.04)
0.63 (0.30-1.32)
0.90
239 (0.39)
214 (0.35)
1.09 (0.88-1.34)
1.21 (0.98-1.49)
0.48
Acknowledgments
We thank the WHI investigators and staff for their outstanding dedication and
commitment. A list of key investigators involved in this research follows. A full
listing of WHI investigators can be found at the following website: http://www.
whi.org.
Program Office: National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (Bethesda, MD)
Elizabeth Nabel, Jacques Rossouw, Shari Ludlam, Linda Pottern, Joan McGowan, Leslie Ford, and Nancy Geller.
Clinical Coordinating Centers: Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center
(Seattle, WA)Ross Prentice, Garnet Anderson, Andrea LaCroix, Charles L.
Kooperberg, Ruth E. Patterson, and Anne McTiernan; Wake Forest University
School of Medicine (Winston-Salem, NC)Sally Shumaker; Medical Research
Labs (Highland Heights, KY)Evan Stein; University of California at San Francisco (San Francisco, CA)Steven Cummings.
Clinical Centers: Albert Einstein College of Medicine (Bronx, NY)Sylvia
Wassertheil-Smoller; Baylor College of Medicine (Houston, TX)Jennifer Hays;
Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School (Boston, MA)JoAnn
Manson; Brown University (Providence, RI)Annlouise R. Assaf; Emory University (Atlanta, GA)Lawrence Phillips; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center
(Seattle, WA)Shirley Beresford; George Washington University Medical Center (Washington, DC)Judith Hsia; Los Angeles Biomedical Research Institute
at Harbor-University of California at Los Angeles Medical Center (Torrance, CA)
Rowan Chlebowski; Kaiser Permanente Center for Health Research (Portland,
OR)Evelyn Whitlock; Kaiser Permanente Division of Research (Oakland, CA)
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