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165
166
167
.2
GRADE
P51
51
Y. Child'sNews
Use
P_
<Media
SEX
25~~~~
c,
Instructional
Method
Knowledge
P
X4
In64
ndex
168
1
.70
.79
.66
News magazinereading
Newspaperreading
Television news watching
h2 =
1
.91
.66
.09
52.0%
2
-.01
.44
.95
72.2%
Y Child'sPrint News
5
MediaUse
Child's TV
NewsUsey
X
Parental TV
X
News Media Use
Y Knowledge
6
InstructionalA
3
Method
Unfortunately,multi-collinearityamong system variables (a problem frequently encounteredwhen using two-stageleast squares;see Kritzer, 1976)preventedthe generation of meaningfulpath estimates.
NEWS MEDI
IN CHLDEN'S
SOCILIZATION
169
media use? It can be argued that knowledge must precede media use;
in this view, one does not consume the media'snews content until one
has the capacity to understandthe meaningof what is viewed or read.
An alternative argumentholds that children consume the news content because it is available to them, and thus increased knowledge
comes from this pattern of either incidental or deliberately sought
exposure to the news.
Discarding the notion that these two positions must be mutually
exclusive, a developmental process can be suggested in which both
endogenous variables have causal effects. Therefore, rather than rejecting one of these positions on a priori grounds, we propose an
alternative nonrecursive model in which political knowledge and
media use are conceived as mutually dependent variables. In Figure
1, this situation of reciprocal influence is denoted by paths P65 and
P56.
The estimation of nonrecursive paths presents a number of methodological problems not encountered with recursive systems. First,
because a situation of reciprocal causation is specified, it cannot be
assumed that explanatory variables are uncorrelatedwith model disturbanceterms. As a result, ordinaryleast squares estimators are not
appropriate.The method of two-stage least squares provides a solution to this problem.
A more serious problem encountered with nonrecursivesystems is
the problem of identification.In order to generate unique path coefficients, certain conditions must be met. The order condition for identification requires that the numberof model paths to be estimated be
limited so that the numberof variableseffectively excluded from each
of the model's equations "be at least as great as the number of
equationsin the model less one" (Johnston, 1972:348).4This condition
is met for the model specified in Figure 1 by eliminatingcausal paths
P61 and Pm. That is, the effect exerted on child's political knowledge
(Y6) by parental news media use (X1) is assumed to be exclusively
indirect and mediated by child's news media use (Y5). Similarly,
instructional method (X4) is assumed to have no direct effect on
child's news media use (Y5).5
4 A necessary and sufficientconditionfor identification,the rank condition, is more
difficultto establish. In general, establishmentof the order condition is consideredan
adequate basis for assuming identification.
S While the validity of this specificationmust be determinedon a prioriratherthan
empiricalgrounds, some readers may wish to note the following partialcorrelations:
r16
.27,
r16.5
.14, p
- .001
170
.2
.25
VYChild's News
j Media Use
~~~~~~~~~~~~.62
.46Ine
Method
Knowledge
171
P51
P64
P63
P65
P56
a
Total Sample
Boys
Girls
.23
.31
.64
.69
.41
.22
.32
.61
.70
.46
.27
.31
.69
.63
.27 (n.s.)
knowledgeto news media use (P56); for girls this is small and insignificant. Thus, knowledge may be a more importantinfluence on news
media use for boys than for girls.
Until now we have examined only the process involved in the
developmentof predispositionstoward news media use and the acquisition of political knowledge. The second stage of our analysis treats
these variables as interveningfactors in the development of electoral
system support, political party support, and political participation.7
The four independent variables of parent's media use score, instructional method used in the classroom, grade, and sex are again
included in the analysis.
All possible recursive paths between the six variables in the initial
model and the three additional dependent variables were estimated
initially. Paths which are insignificantat p S .05 have been discarded
and the remainingpaths re-estimated.In order to accomplishthis task
while adheringto the order condition for identification,the new models are treated as bloc-recursive systems.8
The direct, indirect, and total effects of antecedent and intervening
variables on electoral system support, party system support, and
politicalparticipationare presented in Table 2 and Figures 3, 4, and 5.
Direct effects are simply the standardizedcoefficients associated with
each independent-dependentvariable path. Indirect and total effects
are computed using the method explicated by Lewis-Beck and Mohr
(1976).
The data in Table 2 and Figure 3 indicate that political knowledge
has a much greater direct impact on electoral system support than
does news media use. However, because the indirect effects of news
7 A political participationindex was created from the students' responses to
questions about participationin various kinds of political activity. Questions used to measure party system supportand electoral system supportare based on items reportedin
other studies. The two attitudinalscales used as dependentvariableswere developed
throughprincipalcomponentsanalyses with varimaxrotation.(See the Appendixfor a
list of items used in the party system supportand electoral system supportscales and
the political participationindex.)
8 For a discussion of bloc-recursivemodels see Duncan
(1975:85).
172
.12
.12
Instructional
Grade Method Sex
.06
.06
-.09
-.04
-.13
-.05
-.05
.08
.16
.24
.09
.06
.15
.11
.10
.21
-.09
-.06
-.15
Child's
Media
Use Knowledge R2
.20
.14
.33
.47
.20
-.12
-.12
.31
.21
.52
-.22
-.22
-.25
-.10
-.35
.33
.30
.63
.19
.09
.28
.20
.29
.49
.20
.10
.31
media use are substantial, the total effects associated with these
intervening variables are very similar and they are clearly the most
important explanatory variables in the analysis. The total effects
attributableto method of instructionare considerablysmaller and are
equally the result of-irect and indirect influence. On the other hand,
the effects of gender on electoral system support are entirely direct.
This suggests that boys tend to evaluate electoral politics more favorably than girls regardlessof news media use patternsand levels of
political knowledge. Finally, parental news media use and grade in
school have only weak and indirect effects on electoral system support.
Turningto the analysis of party system support (Figure 4), a quite
different pattern is found. First, the signs of all paths leading to the
dependent variable are negative. Child's media use has only an indi-
Parents'News
MediaUse
.ir
0
.C
3.
SEX
ChildIsNews
MediaUse
Sts
Insrcinl
RD
GRADE
56 .62 .46
Knwldg
31
Insrut2oalR
Method
-Y4
Y6
P
2
InexY7 ELECTORAL
~SYSTEM
SUPPORT
2
.20
Index
~~~~~~Knowledge
173
e95
Child'sNews
MediaUse
Parents'News
MediaUse
1
SE
~~~~5
A2
6.4
~~~~
le7
195
U'~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~7
09
PARTY
o
~~~~~~~~Y7
21
.2<GADE
SEUPPORT
0~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~R
oXX
_Y
SYSTEM
1
KnowledgeIndex
e06
rect effect on party system support, but both grade and sex have a
small direct effect. Once again, the knowledge variablehas the largest
direct effect, and children who are more knowledgeable about the
political party system are more negative about it. Instructional
method effects, both direct and indirect, are slight but negative. Parental news media use has only an indirecteffect throughchild's news
media use and level of political knowledge.
That the signs from the knowledge and instructionalmethods variables to party system support are negative is not surprising.Political
parties receive low levels of support from adults (Feigert and Conway, 1976),civics instructionin the schools tends to emphasize voting
for the person and not for the party (Hess and Torney, 1967; Merelman, 1971), and news media content tends to present a negative view
of the political party system (Hofstetter, 1976). The results also indi,
Child'sNews
MediaUse
Parents'News
MediaUse
Xs
e7
o
c
.09
kGRADE
.X
cn
.83
46
.? /SEX
.31
~~~~~~~R
.62
Instruction ai
Method
)'4
Y POLITICAL
PARTICIPATION
6 KnowledgeIndex
F6
174
cate that girls are less supportiveof the political parties and that sixth
grade children are less supportive than fifth graders.
In the political participationanalysis (Figure 5 and Table 2), yet
another pattern is found. In contrast to the previous two models,
gender is not a significantvariable. However, all other variables have
both direct and indirect effects. Child's media use has the largest
impact through both direct and indirect effects, with level of knowledge also having substantialtotal effects. Comparedto instructional
method and parentalnews media use, teaching method has a stronger
direct effect on children's political participation.
Conclusionsand Discussion
To explore the potential impact of the news media vis-a-vis other
agents of socialization on preadolescents' political orientations, a
system of six variables thought to contribute to such orientations,
includingindicatorsof mass media, school, and family influences, has
been analyzed using causal modeling techniques. Grade in school and
instructional method have statistically significant, but moderate to
marginal effects on children's political knowledge, while parental
news media use has moderate and statistically significant effects on
children'snews media use. On the other hand, gender differences are
not found to have significant additive effects on either political
knowledge or news media use.
More important, the analysis indicates that children's news media
use and level of political knowledge function as primary sources of
causal effects for one another. However, upon dividingthe sample on
the basis of sex and reestimating the model for the resulting subsamples, knowledge appears to be a more important influence on
news media use for boys than for girls.
A plausible interpretationof these findings is that knowledge of
politics and attention to political affairs through news media use are
related in a developmental process which may be initially stimulated
or partially reinforced by the primary aspects of socialization but
which also seems capable of independentlybuilding and maintaining
its own momentumonce engaged. In the absence of longitudinaldata
this interpretationaccounts for our results in a theoretically reasonable fashion.
Furthermore,our findings indicate that children's news media use
and level of knowledge about American political processes are consistently more importantin determininglevel of political participation,
supportfor the political parties, and supportfor the electoral process
175
176
CONWAY,WYCKOFF,FELDBAUM,ANDAHERN
Loadings
.460
.458
-.417
.641
.410
.551
INDEX ITEMS
1.
2.
3.
4.
177
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178